Publications [#164660] of Christopher D. Timmins

Working Papers

1. C. Timmins and E. G. Center, Health and Climate Change in the Developing World: The Impact of Global Warming on Brazilian Morbidity Patterns (2003)
   (last updated on 2009/10/22)

   Abstract:
   The IPCC and WHO have identified increasing disease incidence as a potential consequence of global climate change, especially in the developing world where morbidity rates are already high and health resources are scarce. This paper infers the likely impact of global warming on Brazilian disease patterns from crosssectional covariation in morbidity and climate data while conditioning upon demographics, access to healthcare, education, characteristics of the housing stock, and other local attributes. A combination of Brazilian census and recently assembled public health data identify this model for four disease categories and infant mortality.

   Keywords:
   General circulation model • Global warming • IPCC • morbidity • WHO