Publications of V. Joseph Hotz     :chronological  combined  bibtex listing:

Papers Accepted

  1. with Marta Tienda, Avner Ahituv and Michelle Bellessa Frost. "Employment and Wage Prospects of Black, White, and Hispanic Women," Human Resources Economics and Public Policy: Essays in Honor of Vernon Briggs, Jr.  (2008, forthcoming).
  2. with Richard Crump, Guido Imbens and Oscar Mitnik. "Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity," Review of Economics and Statistics  (2008, forthcoming).
  3. with Lingxin Hao and Ginger Zhe Jin. "Games Parents and Adolescents Play: Risky Behaviors, Parental Reputation, and Strategic Transfers," Economic Journal  (2008, forthcoming).
  4. with Suzanne Bianchi, Kathleen McGarry and Judith Seltzer. "Intergenerational Ties: Alternative Theories, Empirical Findings and Trends, and Remaining Challenges," Caring and Exchange Within and Across Generations  (2008, forthcoming).

Journal Articles

  1. "Cohort Changes in the Transition from School to Work: Evidence from Three NLS Surveys," with M. Bacolod, Economics of Education Review 25.4 (August, 2006): 351-73.
  2. "Evaluating the Differential Effects of Alternative Welfare-to-Work Training Components: A Re-Analysis of the California GAIN Program," with Guido Imbens and Jacob Klerman, Journal of Labor Economics 24.3 (July, 2006): 521-66.
  3. "Explaining Family Change and Variation: Challenges for Family Demographers," with J. Selt-zer, C. Bachrach, S. Bianchi, C. Bledsoe, L. Casper, P. L. Chase-Lansdale, T. DiPrete, S. P. Mor-gan, S. Sanders, and D. Thomas, Journal of Marriage and the Family 67 (November, 2005): 908-25.
  4. "Teenage Childbearing and Its Life Cycle Consequences: Exploiting a Very Natural Experiment," with S. McElroy and S. Sanders, Journal of Human Resources 40.3 (Summer, 2005): 683-715.
  5. "“Predicting the Efficacy of Future Training Programs Using Past Experiences at Other Locations," with G. Imbens and J. Mortimer, Journal of Econometrics 125 (March-April 2005): 241-70.
  6. "Accidents Will Happen? Unintentional Childhood Injuries and the Effects of Child Care Regu-lations," with J. Currie, Journal of Health Economics 23.1 (January, 2004): 25-9.
  7. "Welfare, Employment and Income: Evidence on the Effects of Benefit Reductions from California," with C. Mullin and J. K. Scholz, American Economic Review 92.2 (May, 2002): 380-4.
  8. "Are There Returns to the Wages of Young Men from Working While in School?," with L. Xu, M. Tienda, and A. Ahituv, Review of Economics and Statistics 84.2 (May, 2002): 221-36.
  9. "Not Perfect, but Still Pretty Good: The EITC and Other Policies to Support the U.S. Low-Wage Labour Market," with J. K. Scholz, OECD Economic Studies 2000/II.31 (2000): 25-42.
  10. "Evaluating Work-Related Cash Benefit Programs: The Earned Income Tax Credit," with C. J. Hill and J. K. Scholz, New Directions in Program Evaluation 79 (Fall, 1998): 25-42.
  11. "Bounding Causal Effects Using Data from a Contaminated Natural Experiment: Analyzing the Effects of Teenage Childbearing," with C. Mullin and S. Sanders, Review of Economic Studies 64 (1997): 576-603.
  12. "The Responsiveness of the Demand for Condoms to the Local Prevalence of AIDS," with A. Ahituv and T. Philipson, Journal of Human Resources 21.4 (Fall, 1996): 869-97.
  13. "The Costs and Consequences of Teenage Childbearing for Mothers," with S. McElroy and S. Sanders, Chicago Policy Review 1.1 (1996): 55-94.
  14. "A Simulation Estimator for Dynamic Models of Discrete Choice," with R. Miller, S. Sanders and J. Smith, Review of Economic Studies 61 (April, 1994): 256-89.
  15. "Conditional Choice Probabilities and the Estimation of Dynamic Models," with R. Miller, Review of Economic Studies 60(3).204 (July, 1993): 497-530.
  16. "Introduction," with D. Blau, Journal of Human Resources  (Winter, 1992). Special Issue on “The Economics of Child Care"
  17. "Designing Experimental Evaluations of Social Programs: The Case of the U.S. National JTPA Study," V.J. Hotz, Proceedings of the Italian Statistical Society 1 (1992): 205-219.
  18. "Choosing Among Alternative Nonexperimental Methods for Estimating the Impact of Social Programs: The Case of Manpower Training," with J. Heckman, Journal of the American Statistical Association 84.408 (December, 1989): 862-80. with discussion
  19. "Intertemporal Preferences and Labor Supply," with F. Kydland and G. Sedlacek, Econometrica 57.2 (March, 1988): 335-60.
  20. "An Empirical Analysis of Life Cycle Fertility and Female Labor Supply," with R. Miller, Econometrica 57.1 (January, 1988).
  21. "“Do We Need Experimental Data to Evaluate the Impact of Manpower Training on Earnings?," with J. Heckman and M. Dabos, Evaluation Review 11.4 (August, 1987): 395-427.
  22. "An Investigation of the Labor Market Earnings of Panamanian Males: Evaluating Sources of Inequality," with J. Heckman, Journal of Human Resources 21.4 (Fall, 1986): 507-42.
  23. "The Influence of Early Fertility on Subsequent Births and the Importance of Controlling for Heterogeneity," with J. Heckman and J. Walker, Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute LI.2 (August, 1985): 14.4-1 - 14.4-15.
  24. "New Evidence on the Timing and Spacing of Births," with J. Heckman and J. Walker, American Economic Review 75.2 (May, 1985): 179-84.
  25. "Multiperiod Probit Models and Orthogonality Condition Estimation," with L.P. Hansen and R. Avery, International Economic Review 24.1 (February, 1983): 21-35.
  26. "Employment Contracts, Risk Sharing, and the Role of Unions," with D. Epple and A. Zelenitz, Research in Labor Economics 5 (1982): 237-78.

Chapters in Books

  1. "Hispanics in the U.S. Labor Market," Hispanics and the American Future, with B. Duncan and S. Trejo. Edited by M. Tienda and F. Mitchell. 2006: 228-290.
  2. "Inequality in Life and Death: What Drives Racial Trends in U.S. Child Death Rates?," Social Inequality, with J. Currie. Edited by K. Neckerman. 2004: 569-632.
  3. "The Earned Income Tax Credit," Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the U.S., with J. K. Scholz. Edited by R. Moffitt. 2003: 141-98.
  4. "Education and Employment in a Diverse Society: Generating Inequality through the School-to-Work Transition," American Diversity: A Demographic Challenge for the Twenty-First Century, with M. Tienda. Edited by N. Denton and S. Tolnay. 2002.
  5. "Measuring Employment and Income Outcomes for Low-Income Populations with Administra-tive and Survey Data," Studies of Welfare Populations: Data Collection and Research Issues, with J. K. Scholz. Edited by M. Ver Ploeg, R. Moffitt and C. Citro. 2002: 275-315.
  6. "The Statistical Power of National Data to Evaluate Welfare Reform," Evaluating Welfare Reform in an Era of Transition, with J. Adams. Edited by R. Moffitt and M. Ver Ploeg. 2001: 209-19.
  7. "Transition from School to Work: Black, Hispanic and White Men in the 1980s," Back to Shared Prosperity: The Growing Inequality of Wealth and Income in America, with A. Ahituv and M. Tienda. Edited by R. Marshall. 2000: 250-8.
  8. "The Economics of Fertility in Developed Countries," with J. Klerman and R. Willis. Edited by M. Rosenzweig and O. Stark. 1997: 275-347.
  9. "The Costs and Consequences of Teenage Childbearing for the Mothers and the Government," Kids having Kids: The Economic Costs and Social Consequences of Teen Pregnancy, with S. McElroy and S. Sanders. Edited by R. Maynard. 1997: 55-94.
  10. "Initial Labor Market Experiences of Minority and Nonminority Men," Proceedings of the Industrial Relations Research Association, with A. Ahituv, M. Tienda, and L. Xu May, 1995: 256-65.
  11. "Bounding Treatment Effects in Experimental Evaluations Subject to Post-Randomization Treat-ment Choice," Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute, with S. Sanders 1994.
  12. "Recent Experience in Designing Evaluations of Social Programs: The Case of the National JTPA Study," Evaluating Welfare and Training Programs, V.J. Hotz. Edited by I. Garfinkel and C. Manski. 1992: 76-114.
  13. "Are Classical Experiments Necessary for Evaluating the Impact of Manpower Training Programs? A Critical Assessment," Industrial Relations Research Association Proceedings, with J. Heckman June, 1988: 291-302.
  14. "Statistical Approaches to Modeling Absenteeism," Absenteeism, with R. Avery. Edited by P. Goodman et al.. 1984: 158-93.
  15. "Labor Supply Estimates for Public Policy Evaluation: A Comment," Industrial Relations Research Association Proceedings, V.J. Hotz 1979: 332-5.
  16. "The Labor Response of Married Women in the New Jersey Negative Income Tax Experiment," Follow-Up Study Using Data Generated by the New Jersey Income Maintenance Experiment, V.J. Hotz 1976: 211-42.

Working Papers

  1. "Dealing with Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects," with R. Crump, G. Imbens and O. Mitnik,   (December, 2007). revision under review at Biometrika
  2. "Living Arrangements among Elderly Women using the Panel Study of Income Dynamics," with G. Lukens, K. McGarry and E. Wiemers,   (September, 2007).
  3. "How of the Returns to Schooling and Work Experiences Changeover the Last 40 Years? Evidence from the NLS Cohorts," with M. Bacolod and D. McKee,   (February, 2007). Preliminary draft.
  4. "Strategic Information Disclosure: The Case of Mult-Attribute Products with Heterogeneous Consumers," with M. Xiao,   (January, 2007). revision under review at Rand Journal.
  5. "Examining the Effect of the Earned Income Tax Credit on the Labor Market Participation of Families on Welfare," with J.K. Scholz and C.Mullin,   (September, 2006). Under revision for the Review of Economics and Statistics.
  6. "Can Administrative Data on Child Support Be Used to Improve the EITC? Evidence from Wisconsin," with J.K. Scholz,   (May, 2006). Under revision for National Tax Journal.
  7. "Estimating Dynamic Discrete Choice Models with Heterogeneous Agents: A Cluster Analysis Approach," with M. Buchinsky and J. Hahn,   (April, 2005).
  8. "Did the Returns to the Early School and Work Experiences of Young Adults Change Across Cohorts over the Last 40 Years?," with M. Bacolod,   (October, 2004).
  9. "Trends in EITC Take-Up and Receipt for California’s Welfare Population, 1992-1999," with C. Mullin and J. K. Scholz,   (August, 2003).
  10. "The Effects of Welfare Reform on Employment and Income: Evidence from California," with J.K. Scholz and C.Mullin,   (March, 2003).
  11. "A Dynamic Model of Amniocentesis," with E. Fajnzylber and S.G. Sanders,   (May, 2002).
  12. "The Returns to Early Work Experience in the Transition from School to Work for Young Men in the U.S.: An Analysis of the 1980s," with L. Xu, M. Tienda, and A. Ahituv,   (August, 1996).
  13. "Regulating Child Care: The Effects of State Regulations on Child Care Demand and Its Cost," with R. Kilburn,   (March, 1996).
  14. "Estimating the Demand for Child Care and Child Care Costs: Should We Ignore Families with Non-Working Mothers?," with R. Kilburn,   (February, 1992).
  15. "A Statistical Portrait of Child Care Utilization in the U.S. by Working and Non-Working Mothers," with R. Kilburn,   (February, 1992).
  16. "The Economics of Family Planning," with R. Miller,   (May, 1987).
  17. "Risk Sharing and the Union Status of Firms: A Study of the Construction Industry," V.J. Hotz,   (January, 1987).
  18. "Estimating Systems of Nonlinear Equations with Limited Dependent Variables," with R. Avery,   (November, 1985).
  19. "Estimation of Multiple Indicator Multiple Cause Models with Discrete Indicators," with R. Avery,   (March, 1985).

Other

  1. "The Earned Income Tax Credit: Its Impact on California’s Low-Income and Welfare Populations," with J.K. Scholz, (September, 2005). Final Project Report to California Franchise Tax Board.
  2. "Welfare Reform in California: Early Results from the Impact Analysis," with J. Klerman, E. Reardon, A. Cox, D. Farley, S. Haider, G. Imbens and R. Schoeni, (2002). Report MR-1358-CDSS, RAND.
  3. "Welfare Reform in California: Design of the Impact Analysis," with J. Klerman, G. Imbens, P. Steinberg, E. Reardon, P. Ebener, J. Hawes-Dawson, (2000). Report MR-1266.0-CDSS, RAND.
  4. "EITC Eligibility, Participation and Compliance Rates for AFDC Households: Evidence from the California Caseload," with C. Hill, C. Mullin and J. K. Scholz, (April, 1999). Final Project Report to the U.S. Depart-ment of Health and Human Services, California Department of Social Services and California Franchise Tax Board.
  5. "Administrative Data for Policy-Relevant Research: Assessment of Current Utility and Recommendations for Development," (January, 1998). A Report of the Advisory Panel on Research Uses of Administrative Data of the Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research.
  6. "The Demand for Child Care and Child Care Costs: Should We Ignore Families with Non- Working Mothers?," with R. Kilburn, (December, 1991). Final Project Report submitted to the Institute for Research on Poverty.
  7. "Designing an Evaluation of Nonexperimental Methods in the National JTPA Study," V.J. Hotz, (November, 1990). Chapter 7 in The Design of the National JTPA Study.
  8. "The Effects of Child Care Costs and Policies on Women’s Participation in the Labor Market: What Do We Know?," V.J. Hotz, (July, 1988). Report to the U.S. Department of Labor.
  9. "On the Use of Nonexperimental Methods of Estimating the Impact of Manpower Training Programs: Re-Evaluating the Evaluations," with J. Heckman, (May, 1987). Final Project Report submitted to the U.S. Department of Labor.
  10. "Consumption Behavior During the Gary Income Maintenance Experiment," with C. Metcalf, (1979): 33-754. in Final Report of the Gary Income Maintenance Experiment, U.S. Department of Health, Education and Welfare.
  11. "Family Expenditures in the Gary Income Maintenance Experiment," with C. Metcalf, (1977): 576-600. The Gary Income Maintenance Experiment Initial Findings Report, Indiana University.