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V. Joseph Hotz, Arts and Sciences Professor of Economics and Faculty Research Scholar of DuPRI's Population Research Center

V. Joseph Hotz

Professor Hotz specializes in the subjects of applied econometrics, labor economics, economic demography, and economics of the family. His studies have investigated the impacts of social programs, such as welfare-to-work training; the relationship between childbearing patterns and labor force participation of U.S. women; the effects of teenage pregnancy; the child care market; the Earned Income Tax Credit; and other such subjects. He began conducting his studies in 1977, and has since published his work extensively in books and leading academic journals. Many of his projects have been funded by grants awarded by the National Institute of Health and the National Science Foundation. He is currently completing a project with Duncan Thomas on, “Preference and Economic Decision-Making” under a grant from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. His recent works also include, “Tax Policy and Low-Wage Labor Markets: New Work on Employment, Effectiveness and Administration” with John Karl Scholz and Charles Mullin; and “Designing New Models to Explain Family Change and Variation” with S. Philip Morgan. Along with his duties as an independent researcher, Professor Hotz has also held positions as a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the National Poverty Center, the Institute for the Study of Labor, and the Institute for Research on Poverty. He is presently a member of the Committee on National Statistics for the National Academy of Sciences’ Research Council.

Contact Info:
Office Location:  243 Social Sciences, Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708-0097
Office Phone:  (919) 660-1841
Email Address: send me a message
Web Page:  http://www.econ.duke.edu/~vjh3

Teaching (Fall 2019):

  • ECON 608D.001, INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMETRICS Synopsis
    Social Sciences 136, MW 08:30 AM-09:45 AM
  • ECON 608D.01D, INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMETRICS Synopsis
    Social Sciences 136, Th 06:15 PM-07:05 PM
  • ECON 881.13, TOPICS IN APPLIED MICROECON Synopsis
    Social Sciences 111, MW 01:25 PM-02:40 PM
Education:

Ph.D.University of Wisconsin at Madison1980
M.S.University of Wisconsin at Madison1977
B.A.University of Notre Dame1972
Specialties:

Labor Economics / Economics of the Household
Econometrics
Economics of Education
Research Interests: Labor Economics, Economics of the Family, Applied Econometrics

Professor Hotz specializes in the subjects of applied econometrics, labor economics, economic demography, and economics of the family. His studies have investigated the impacts of social programs, such as welfare-to-work training; the relationship between childbearing patterns and labor force participation of U.S. women; the effects of teenage pregnancy; the child care market; the Earned Income Tax Credit; and other such subjects. He began conducting his studies in 1977, and has since published his work extensively in books and leading academic journals. Many of his projects have been funded by grants awarded by the National Institute of Health and the National Science Foundation. He is currently completing a project with Duncan Thomas on, “Preference and Economic Decision-Making” under a grant from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. His recent works also include, “Tax Policy and Low-Wage Labor Markets: New Work on Employment, Effectiveness and Administration” with John Karl Scholz and Charles Mullin; and “Designing New Models to Explain Family Change and Variation” with S. Philip Morgan. Along with his duties as an independent researcher, Professor Hotz has also held positions as a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the National Poverty Center, the Institute for the Study of Labor, and the Institute for Research on Poverty. He is presently a member of the Committee on National Statistics for the National Academy of Sciences’ Research Council.

Keywords:

Accidents • Adolescent • Applied Econometrics • Changing Effects • Child • Child Day Care Centers • Child Welfare • Child, Preschool • Decision Making • Earnings of Americans • Economics of the Family • Effects of Regulations • Effects of the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) • Female • Fertility • Hispanics • Humans • Infant • Labor Economics • Labor economics • living arrangements of America's elderly • Longitudinal Studies • Male • Manpower policy • Microeconomics • Models • Models, Statistical • Parent-Child Interactions • Program Evaluation • role of the family • Schooling • the Child Care Market • United States • using game theory • Work Experince • Wounds and Injuries

Curriculum Vitae  Bio
Working Papers   (More Publications)

  1. M. Dalton, V. J. Hotz, D. Thomas, Resources, Composition and Family Decision-Making (January, 2013)  [abs]
  2. with Federico Bugni, Esteban Aucejo, Identification and Inference of Regressions with Missing Covariate Data (November, 2012)
  3. with P. Arcidiacono, E. Aucejo, P. Coate, Estimating the Effects of California’s Affirmative Action Ban on College Enrollment and Graduation Rates: A Cautionary Note (September, 2012)
  4. with L. Hao, G. Jin and J. Pantano, Parental Learning and Teenagers’ Risky Behavior (April, 2009)
  5. with J. Pantano, Strategic Parenting, Birth Order and School Achievement (May, 2008)
  6. with M. Bacolod and D. McKee, How of the Returns to Schooling and Work Experiences Changeover the Last 40 Years? Evidence from the NLS Cohorts (February, 2007) (Preliminary draft..)
  7. with Hector Conroy, Catherine Eckel, Amar Hamoudi, Cathleen Johnson, Cesar Marti-nelli, Susan Parker, Luis Rubalcava, Seth Sanders, Duncan Thomas, and Graciela Teruel, Attitudes to Risk, Time Preferences and Socio-Economic Status: Experimental and Survey Evidence (October, 2006)
  8. with J.K. Scholz and C.Mullin, Examining the Effect of the Earned Income Tax Credit on the Labor Market Participation of Families on Welfare (September, 2006) (Under revision for the Review of Economics and Statistics..)
  9. with J.K. Scholz, Can Administrative Data on Child Support Be Used to Improve the EITC? Evidence from Wisconsin (May, 2006) (Under revision for National Tax Journal..)
  10. with M. Buchinsky and J. Hahn, Estimating Dynamic Discrete Choice Models with Heterogeneous Agents: A Cluster Analysis Approach (April, 2005)
  11. with M. Bacolod, Did the Returns to the Early School and Work Experiences of Young Adults Change Across Cohorts over the Last 40 Years? (October, 2004)
  12. with C. Mullin and J. K. Scholz, Trends in EITC Take-Up and Receipt for California’s Welfare Population, 1992-1999 (August, 2003)
  13. with J.K. Scholz and C.Mullin, The Effects of Welfare Reform on Employment and Income: Evidence from California (March, 2003)
  14. with L. Xu, M. Tienda, and A. Ahituv, The Returns to Early Work Experience in the Transition from School to Work for Young Men in the U.S.: An Analysis of the 1980s (August, 1996)
  15. with R. Kilburn, Regulating Child Care: The Effects of State Regulations on Child Care Demand and Its Cost (March, 1996)
  16. with R. Kilburn, Estimating the Demand for Child Care and Child Care Costs: Should We Ignore Families with Non-Working Mothers? (February, 1992)
  17. with R. Kilburn, A Statistical Portrait of Child Care Utilization in the U.S. by Working and Non-Working Mothers (February, 1992)
  18. with R. Miller, The Economics of Family Planning (May, 1987)
  19. V.J. Hotz, Risk Sharing and the Union Status of Firms: A Study of the Construction Industry (January, 1987)
  20. with R. Avery, Estimating Systems of Nonlinear Equations with Limited Dependent Variables (November, 1985)
  21. with R. Avery, Estimation of Multiple Indicator Multiple Cause Models with Discrete Indicators (March, 1985)
Recent Publications   (More Publications)

  1. Wiemers, EE; Seltzer, JA; Schoeni, RF; Hotz, VJ; Bianchi, SM, Stepfamily Structure and Transfers Between Generations in U.S. Families., Demography, vol. 56 no. 1 (February, 2019), pp. 229-260 [doi]  [abs]
  2. Hotz, VJ; Wiemers, E; Rasmussen, J; Maxwell, K, The Role of Parental Wealth and Income in Financing Children's College Attendance and its Consequences (October, 2018)
  3. Ashworth, J; Hotz, VJ; Maurel, A; Ransom, T, Changes Across Cohorts in Wage Returns to Schooling and Early Work Experiences (May, 2018)
  4. Hotz, VJ; Johansson, P; Karimi, A, Parenthood, Family Friendly Firms, and the Gender Gaps in Early Work Careers (December, 2017)
  5. Ashworth, J; Hotz, VJ; Maurel, A; Ransom, T, Changes Across Cohorts in Wage Returns to Schooling and Early Work Experiences (December, 2017)

Recent story and video on Professor Hotz's work.


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