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Kevin D. Hoover, Professor of Economics    editKevin D. Hoover

Professor Hoover's research interests include macroeconomics, monetary economics, the history of economics, and the philosophy and methodology of empirical economics. His recent work in economics has focused on the application of causal search methodologies for structural vector autoregression, the history of microfoundational programs in macroeconomics, and Roy Harrod's early work on dynamic macroeconomics. In philosophy, he has concentrated on issues related to causality, especially in economics, and on reductionism -- the philosophical counterpart to microfoundations. Recent publications include:

  • "Trygve Haavelmo's Experimental Methodology and Scenario Analysis in a Cointegrated Vector Autoregression" (Econometric Theory, 2015), 
  • "Reductionism in Economics:  Intentionality and Eschatological Justification in the Microfoundations of Macroeconomics" (Philosophy of Science 2015), 
  • "Mathematical Economics Comes to America:  Charles S. Peirce’s Engagement with Cournot’s Recherches sur les Principes Mathematiques de la Théorie des Richesses" (Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 2015), 
  • "The Genesis of Samuelson and Solow’s Price-Inflation Phillips Curve" (History of Economics Review, 2015), 
  • "Solow's Harrod: Transforming Cyclical Dynamics into a Model of Long-run Growth" (European Journal of the History of Economic Thought 2015), 
  • "In the Kingdom of Solovia:  The Rise of Growth Economics at MIT, 1956-1970" (History of Political Economy 2014), 
  • “Still Puzzling: Evaluating the Price Puzzle in an Empirically Identified Structural Vector Autoregression” (Empirical Economics, 2014),
  • "On the Reception of Haavelmo's Econometric Thought" (Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 2014) – winner of the History of Economics Society Best Paper Award in 2015.  

Office Location: 07B Social Sciences, Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708
Office Phone: (919) 660-1800
Fax:  919.660.3060
Email Address: send me a message
Web Page: http://public.econ.duke.edu/~kdh9/

Office Hours:
No office hours Fall 2006 semester.

Education:
Ph.D., University of Oxford (United Kingdom), 1985
M.A., University of Oxford (United Kingdom), 1983
B.A., University of Oxford (United Kingdom), 1979

Specialties:
History of Economics
Macroeconomics

Research Interests:
Professor Hoover's research interests include macroeconomics, monetary economics, the history of economics, and the philosophy and methodology of empirical economics. His recent work in economics has focused on the application of causal search methodologies for structural vector autoregression, the history of microfoundational programs in macroeconomics, and Roy Harrod's early work on dynamic macroeconomics. In philosophy, he has concentrated on issues related to causality, especially in economics, and on reductionism -- the philosophical counterpart to microfoundations. Recently published papers include: He has conducted studies to investigate the history of twentieth century macroeconomics, the structure of vector auto-regression models, and causality in macroeconomics examined via specification search methodologies. Recent working papers include: “Still Puzzling: Evaluating the Price Puzzle in an Empirically Identified Structural Vector Autoregression,” “Was Harrod Right?” "Identity, Structure, and Causal Representation in Scientific Models."
Teaching (Spring 2024):
  • ECON 312S.01, Adam smith & natural liberty Synopsis
    SEE INSTRU, MW 03:05 PM-04:20 PM
  • ECON 690.05, Selected topics in economics Synopsis
    Social Sciences 111, MW 01:25 PM-02:40 PM
  • ECON 884.01, Topics in history of economics Synopsis
    Social Sciences 111, MW 01:25 PM-02:40 PM

Recent Publications   (More Publications)
  • Hoover, KD; Svorenčík, A. "Who Runs the AEA?." Journal of Economic Literature 61.3 (September, 2023): 1127-1171. [doi]  [abs]
  • Hoover, KD. "The struggle for the soul of macroeconomics." Journal of Economic Methodology 30.2 (January, 2023): 80-89. [doi]  [abs]
  • Hoover, KD. "Models, truth, and analytic inference in economics." (August, 2022): 119-144. [doi]
  • Hoover, KD. "Erratum to: Hoover, k.d. 2020. the discovery of long-run causal order: A preliminary investigation. econometrics 8: 31." Econometrics 9.1 (March, 2021). [doi]  [abs]
  • Wible, JR; Hoover, KD. "The economics of trade liberalization: Charles S. Peirce and the Spanish Treaty of 1884." The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought 28.2 (January, 2021): 229-248. [doi]  [abs]

Conferences Organized
  • Conference Organization. 2008 - 2011, Conference Organization, 2008 - 2011  

Curriculum Vitae
Research Interests

Macroeconomics, Monetary Economics;
Philosophy and Methodology of Empirical Economics;
History of Economic Thought.

Current Research:

The structure of vector autoregression models; causality in macroeconomics, specification search methodologies; the history of 20th century macroeconomics.

Teaching Interests:

Macroeconomics
Monetary Economics
History of Economic Thought
Methodology

Professional Affiliations:

Associate Editor, Journal of Economic Methodology
Editor, Journal of Economic Methodology (1996-2005)
Associate Editor, Journal of Economic Surveys
Editorial Board, Economics and Philosophy
Board of Editors, Review of Political Economy
Board of Editors, American Economic Review (1990-1994)
President, History of Economics Society (2002-2003)
Chairman, International Network for Economic Method (1999-2001)
International Network for Economic Method (Founding Member)
American Economics Association
History of Economics Society
British Society for the Philosophy of Science


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