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P. J. Eric Stallard, Research Professor and A.S.A, M.A.A.A., F.C.A.

P. J. Eric Stallard

 

Short Description of Research Approach:

P. J. Eric Stallard
Research Professor and A.S.A, M.A.A.A., F.C.A.

Office Info

Office: Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke
Phone: 919 668 2724 (North Carolina)
Email Address:   send me a message
Fax: (919) 684-3861
Office hrs:
 

Other Links

 

Areas of Interest:

 
Medical Demography
Health/LTC Actuarial Practice
Social Insurance-Medicare and Social Security
 
Professor Stallard’s research expertise includes modeling and forecasting for medical demography and health/LTC actuarial practice:
  • He was a 1996 winner of the National Institute on Aging James A. Shannon Director’s Award for his research proposal Forecasting Models for Acute and Long-Term Care.
  • In 1999, he won first prize for the best conference paper for his paper Retirement and health: Estimates and projections of acute and long-term care needs and expenditures of the U.S. elderly population, presented at the Society of Actuaries’ Retirement Needs Framework Conference.
  • In 2008, he won the Society of Actuaries’ Edward A. Lew Award for the Best Paper in Modeling Research for his paper Estimates of the incidence, prevalence, duration, intensity and cost of chronic disability among the U.S. elderly.
  • In 2010, he was nominated jointly by the American Academy of Actuaries and the Society of Actuaries for Presidential Appointment to the CLASS Independence Advisory Council.
  • In 2011, he was appointed to the National Academy of Sciences/Institute of Medicine Panel on Measuring Medical Care Risk in Conjunction with the New Supplemental Income Poverty Measure.
  • Professor Stallard’s 1984 book Recent Trends in Mortality Analysis, published by Academic Press with co-author K.G. Manton, provided in-depth and comprehensive models for the analysis of underlying and multiple cause mortality data. His 2005 book Forecasting Product Liability Claims: Epidemiology and Modeling in the Manville Asbestos Case, published by Springer with co-authors K.G. Manton and J.E. Cohen, covers the full range of epidemiological, demographic, and actuarial issues in asbestos-related disease and mortality. His six other books/monographs, 112 scientific articles, and 66 actuarial publications span a broad range of topics in medical demography and health/LTC actuarial practice. 
 

Selected Publications/Recent Research:

 
Representative Publications   (More Publications)

    2005     Forecasting Product Liability Claims: Epidemiology and Modeling in the Manville Asbestos Case Eric Stallard, Kenneth G. Manton, and Joel E. Cohen. ,2005. Springer Verlag, New York

    1979     The impact of heterogeneity in individual frailty on the dynamics of mortality James W. Vaupel, Kenneth G. Manton, and Eric Stallard. Demography , Vol. 16, No. 3,1979. , 439-454

    1989     Empirical Bayes procedures for stabilizing maps of U.S. cancer mortality rates Kenneth G. Manton, Max A. Woodbury, Eric Stallard, Wilson B. Riggan, John P. Creason, and Alvin C. Pellom. Journal of the American Statistical Association , Vol. 84, No. 407,1989. , 637-650

    1993     Estimates of change in chronic disability and institutional incidence and prevalence rates in the U.S. elderly population from the 1982, 1984, and 1989 National Long Term Care Survey Kenneth G. Manton, Larry S. Corder, and Eric Stallard. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences , Vol. 48, No. 4,1993. , S153-S166

    2000     Non-Insured Home and Community-Based Long-Term Care Incidence and Continuance Tables Eric Stallard and Robert K. Yee. Schaumburg, IL,March, 2000. Society of Actuaries

    2007     2007 Technical Panel on Assumptions and Methods: Report to the Social Security Advisory Board Dan L. Crippen, Mary C. Daly, Robert J. Gordon, William Hsiao, Steve Lieberman, Deborah J. Lucas, Jeffrey S. Passel, Beth Soldo, P.J. Eric Stallard, and Shripad Tuljapurkar. Washington, DC,2007. Social Security Advisory Board

    1997     Chronic disability trends in elderly United States populations 1982-1994 Kenneth G. Manton, Larry S. Corder, and Eric Stallard. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA , Vol. 94,1997. , 2593-2598

    1988     Chronic Disease Modelling Kenneth G. Manton and Eric Stallard. London, Great Britain,1988. Charles Griffin Limited

    2011     Estimates of the incidence, prevalence, duration, intensity and cost of chronic disability among the U.S. elderly Eric Stallard. North American Actuarial Journal , Vol. 15, No. 1,2011. , 32–58

 

Teaching:

Professor Stallard teams with Professor Kenneth C. Land to teach the proseminar Demography of Aging which surveys the research literature in the three main areas of the demography of aging: biodemography, medical demography, and social demography.

In each area, the objectives are for students to obtain an understanding of key concepts, theories, methods, and research findings so that they can read, understand, and begin contributing to current research in the area. The course will next be offered during the 2012 spring semester (see Sociology 224S).  

 


 
   
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