| Publications [#268090] of Henry Petroski
Papers Published
- Petroski, H; Kayello, S, Measures and mismeasures of the applied mechanics literature,
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 31 no. 4
(January, 1987),
pp. 323-333, Elsevier BV, ISSN 0040-1625 [doi]
(last updated on 2023/06/01)
Abstract: A 1975 study of the archival literature of applied mechanics showed it to be following a classic growth pattern for a scientific field. The present study, with ten years' additional data, tests some extrapolations of the 1975 data and finds them wanting. How such well-behaved data can prove unreliable for forecasting is explored. © 1987.
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