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Papers Published
- WHO-VMI Dengue Vaccine Modeling Group (including K. Koelle), Assessing the potential of a candidate dengue vaccine with mathematical modeling,
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, vol. 6 no. 3
(2012),
pp. e1450 [doi]
- K. Koelle, D.A. Rasmussen, Rates of coalescence for epidemiological models at equilibirum,
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, vol. 9 no. 70
(2012),
pp. 997-1007 [doi]
- N. Arinaminpathy, O. Ratmann, K. Koelle, S.L. Epstein, G.E. Prince, C. Viboud, M. Miller, B. Grenfell, Impact of cross-protective vaccines on epidemiological and evolutionary dynamics of influenza,
PNAS, vol. 109 no. 8
(2012),
pp. 3173-3177 [doi]
- S. Luo, M. Reed, J.C. Mattingly, K. Koelle, The impact of host immune status on the within-host and population dynamics of antigenic immune escape,
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, vol. 9 no. 75
(2012),
pp. 2603-2613 [doi]
- D.A. Rasmussen, O. Ratmann, K. Koelle, Inference for nonlinear epidemiological models using genealogies and time series,
PLoS Computational Biology, vol. 7 no. 8
(2011),
pp. e1002136
- K. Koelle, O. Ratmann, D.A. Rasmussen, V. Pasour, J. Mattingly, A dimensionless number for understanding the evolutionary dynamics of antigenically variable RNA viruses,
Proceedings of the Royal Society, Series B, vol. 278
(2011),
pp. 3723–3730
- Meyers, L.A., Kerr, B., Koelle, K., Network Perspectives on Infectious Disease Dynamics,
Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases, vol. 2011 no. 146765
(2011),
pp. 2
- Koelle, K., Khatri, P., Kamradt, M., Kepler, T., A two-tiered model for studying the ecological and evolutionary dynamics of rapidly evolving viruses, with an application to influenza,
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface
(2010)
- Koelle. K., The impact of climate on the disease dynamics of cholera,
Clinical Microbiology and Infection, vol. 15 no. s1
(2009),
pp. 29-31
- Koelle, K., Kamradt, M., Pascual, M., Understanding the dynamics of rapidly evolving pathogens through modeling the tempo of antigenic change: influenza as a case study,
Epidemics, vol. 1
(2009),
pp. 129-137
- Pascual, M., Cazelles, B., Bouma, M., Chaves, L., Koelle, K., Shifting patterns: malaria dynamics and rainfall variability in an African highland,
Proceedings of the Royal Society, Series B, Biological Sciences, vol. 275
(2008),
pp. 123-132
- Cobey, S., Koelle, K., Capturing escape in infectious disease dynamics,
Trends in Ecology and Evolution, vol. 23 no. 10
(2008),
pp. 572-577
- Nagao, Y., K. Koelle, K., Decreases in dengue transmission may act to increase the incidence of dengue hemorrhagic fever,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 105 no. 6
(2008),
pp. 2238-2243
- Finkelman, B., Viboud, C., Koelle, K., Ferrari, M., Bharti, N., Grenfell, B., Global Patterns in Seasonal Activity of Influenza A/H3N2, A/H1N1, and B from 1997 to 2005: Viral Coexistence and Latitudinal Gradients,
PLoS One, vol. 2 no. 12
(2007),
pp. e1296
- Koelle, K., Cobey, S., Grenfell, B., Pascual, M., Epochal evolution shapes the phylodynamics of interpandemic influenza A (H3N2) in humans,
Science, vol. 314
(2006),
pp. 1898-1903
- Koelle, K., Pascual, M., Yunus, M., Serotype cycles in cholera dynamics,
Proceedings of the Royal Society, Series B, Biological Sciences, vol. 273
(2006),
pp. 2879-2886
- Pascual, M., Koelle, K., Dobson, A., Hyperinfectivity in Cholera: A New Mechanism for an Old Epidemiological Model?,
PLoS Medicine, vol. 3 no. 6
(2006),
pp. e280
- K. Koelle, X. Rodó, M. Pascual, M. Yunus, G. Mostafa, Refractory periods to climate forcing in cholera dynamics,
Nature, vol. 436
(2005),
pp. 696-700
- K. Koelle, M. Pascual, M. Yunus, Pathogen adaptation to seasonal forcing and climate change,
Proceedings of the Royal Society, Series B, Biological Sciences, vol. 272
(2005),
pp. 971-977
- K. Koelle, J. Vandermeer, Dispersal-induced desynchronization: from metapopulations to metacommunities,
Ecology Letters, vol. 8 no. 2
(2005),
pp. 167-175
- C. Buckee, K. Koelle, M. Mustard, S. Gupta, The effects of host contact network structure on pathogen diversity and strain structure,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 101 no. 29
(2004),
pp. 10839-10844
- K. Koelle, M. Pascual, Disentangling extrinsic from intrinsic factors in disease dynamics: a nonlinear time series approach with an application to cholera,
The American Naturalist, vol. 163 no. 6
(2004),
pp. 901-913
- S.M. Blower, K. Koelle, D. E. Kirschner, J. Mills, Live attenuated HIV vaccines: Predicting the tradeoff between efficacy and safety,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 98 no. 6
(2001),
pp. 3618-3623
- S.M. Blower, K., Koelle, T. Lietman, Antibiotic resistance- to treat…,
Nature Medicine, vol. 5 no. 4
(1999),
pp. 358
Papers Accepted
- Volz, E.M., Koelle, K., Bedford, T., Viral phylodynamics,
PLoS Computational Biology
(2012)
- Yuan, H., Koelle, K., The evolutionary dynamics of receptor binding avidity in influenza A: a mathematical model for a new antigenic drift hypothesis,
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B.
(2012)
- Ratmann, O., Donker, G., Meijer, A., Fraser, C., Koelle, K., Phylodynamic inference and model assessment with Approximate Bayesian Computation: influenza as a case study,
PLoS Computational Biology
(2012)
- S. Luo, K. Koelle, Navigating the devious course of evolution: the importance of mechanistic models for identifying eco-evolutionary dynamics in nature,
The American Naturalist
(2012)
- S. Wu, K. Koelle, A. Rodrigo, Coalescent entanglement and the conditional dependence of the times-to-common-ancestry of mutually exclusive pairs of individuals,
Journal of Heredity
(2012)
Papers Submitted
- Scholle, S.O., Ypma, R., Lloyd, A.L., Koelle, K., The effect of epidemiological dynamics on viral substitution rates,
in review in The American Naturalist
(2012)
- D.A. Rasmussen, E.M. Volz, K. Koelle, Phylodynamic inference for structured epidemiological models,
in review in Genetics
(2012)
Book Chapter
- R. Savit, K. Koelle, W. Treynor, R. Gonzalez, Man and Superman: Human Limitations, Innovation, and Emergence in Resource Competition,
in Collectives and the Design of Complex Systems, edited by Tumer, K. & Wolpert, D.
(2004), Springer-Verlag, New York, NY
- S.M. Blower, K. Koelle, J. Mills, Health policy modeling: epidemic control, HIV vaccines and risky behavior,
in Quantitative Evaluation of HIV Prevention Programs, edited by E. H. Kaplan & R. Brookmeyer
(2002), Yale University Press, New Haven, CT
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