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Alan E Gelfand, Chair of the Department, James B Duke Professor of Statistical Science

 

Alan E Gelfand

Contact Info:
Office Location:  214A Old Chemistry Bldg.
Office Phone:  919 668-5229
Email Address: send me a message
Web Page:  http://www.stat.duke.edu/~alan

Education:

PhDStanford University1969
MSStanford University1967
BSCity College of New York1965

Specialties:

Bayesian Statistics

Research Interests: Bayesian Models, Spatial Data Analysis, and Nonparametric Bayesian Methods

Curriculum Vitae

Current Ph.D. Students  
  • Graduate Students  

Representative Publications   (More Publications)   (search)

  1. A.E. Gelfand (with P. Diggle, M. Fuentes, P. Guttorp), The Handbook of Spatial Statistics. (2009), Chapman Hall (forthcoming)
  2. A. Gelfand with Carlin, B.P., Mugglin, A.S., and Zhu, L., Modeling spatio-temporally misaligned areal and point process environmental data, in Quantitative Methods for Current Environmental Issues, edited by C. Anderson, et. al. (2002), pp. 3-35, London, Springer Verlag
  3. A.E. Gelfand (with Clark, J.S.), Hierarchical Modeling for Environmental Data; Some applications and Perspectives. (2006), Oxford University Press.
  4. A. Gelfand, Bayesian Computation, in Encyclopedia of Environmetrics, edited by A.H. El-Shaarawi and W.W. Piegorsch, vol. 1 (2002), pp. 150-151
  5. A.E. Gelfand (with S. Banerjee and B.P. Carlin), Hierarchical Modeling and Analysis for Spatial Data (2004), Chapman Hall, Boca Raton.
  6. A. Gelfand, Bayesian Methods and Modeling, in Encyclopedia of Environmetrics, edited by A.H. El-Shaarawi and W.W. Piegorsch, vol. 1 (2002), pp. 155-160
  7. A. Gelfand with M. Haran, B.P. Carlin, J.L. Adgate, G. Ramachandran and L.A. Waller, Hierarchical models for relating particulant matter exposure measures, in Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics, edited by C. Gatsonis, et. al., vol. VI (2002), pp. 239-254, New York, Springer-Verlag
  8. A. Gelfand, Gibbs Sampling, in Statistics in the 21st Century, edited by A.E. Raftery, M.A. Tanner, M.T. Wells (2001), pp. 341-349, Chapman Hall/CRC, Boca Raton
  9. A. Gelfand, Gibbs Sampling, in Statistics in the 21st Century, edited by A.E. Raftery, M.A. Tanner, M.T. Wells (2001), pp. 341-349, Chapman Hall/CRC, Boca Raton
  10. A. Gelfand with M. Ghosh, Generalized Linear Models: A Bayesian View, in Generalized Linear Models: A Bayesian Perspective, edited by D.K. Dey, M. Ghosh and S. Ghosh (2000), pp. 3-22, Marcel Dekker Press
  11. A. Gelfand with N. Ravishanker and M.D. Ecker, Modeling and Inference for Binary Spatial Data, in Generalized Linear Models: A Bayesian Perspective, edited by D.K. Dey, M. Ghosh and S. Ghosh (2000), pp. 373-386, Marcel Dekker Press
  12. Gelfand, A.E. (with A. Latimer, S. Wu and J.A. Silander, Jr.), Building Statistical Models to Analyze Species Distributions, Ecological Applications, vol. 16 no. 1 (2006), pp. 33-50
  13. Gelfand, A.E. with J.A. Silander, Jr., S. Wu, A. Latimer, P.O. Lewis, A.G. Rebelo and M. Holder, Explaining Species Distribution Patterns Through Hierarchical Modeling, Bayesian Analysis no. 1 (2005), pp. 1; 41-92
  14. Gelfand, A.E. (with A.M. Schmidt, S. Wu, J.A. Silander, A. Latimer and A.G. Rebelo), Explaining Species diversity Through species Level Hierarchical Modeling., Applied Statistics no. 65 (2005), pp. 1-20
  15. Gelfand, A.E. (with S. Banerjee and D. Gamerman), Spatial Process Modelling for Univariate and Multivariate Dynamic spatial Data, Environmetrics no. 16 (2005), pp. 1-15
  16. Gelfand, A.E. (with D. Agarwal), Slice Gibbs Sampling for Simulation Based Fitting of Spatial Models, Statistics and Computing no. 15 (2005), pp. 61-69
  17. Gelfand, A.E. (with J. Valenti, S. Wu, and C.F. Sirmans), Apartment Rent Predictions Using Spatial Modeling, Journal of Real Estate Research no. 27 (2005), pp. 1, 105-136
  18. A.E. Gelfand (with D. Agarwal, J. Silander, J. Mickelson and R. Dewar), Relating Tropical Deforestation and Population Pressure through spatially Explicit Misaligned Bivariate Regression Models, Ecological Modelling no. 185 (2005), pp. 105-131
  19. Gelfand, A.E. (with M. Short and B.P. Carlin), Covariate-adjusted Spatial CDF's for Air Pollutant Data, Journal of Agricultural, biological and environmental Statistics no. 10 (2005), pp. 259-275
  20. Gelfand, A.E. (with A.Kottas and S.N. Mac Eachern), Bayesian Nonparametric Spatial Modeling with Dirichlet Process Mixing, Journal of the american Statistical Association no. 100 (2005), pp. 1021-1035
  21. Gelfand, A.E., M.D. Ecker, J.R. Knight and C.F. Sirmans, The Dynamics of Location in Home Price, Journal of Real estate and Financial Economics no. 29 (2004), pp. 149-166
  22. Gelfand, A.E., with S. Banerjee, J.R. Knight and C.F. Sirmans, Nonstationary Spatial Modeling through Normalized Distance-Weighted Sums of Stationary Processes, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics no. 22 (2004), pp. 206-213
  23. Gelfand, A.E., A.M. Latimer, J.A. Silander, Jr., A.G. Rebelo and D.M. Richardson, Quantifying threats to biodiversity from invasive alien plants and other factors; a case study from the Cape Floristic Region, South African Journal of Science no. 100 (2004), pp. 81-86
  24. Gelfand, A.E., Discussion to: Statistical Research: Some Advice for Beginners, The American Statistician no. 58 (2004), pp. 197-199
  25. Gelfand, A.E., with A. Majumdar and S. Banerjee, Spatio-temporal change Point Modeling, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference no. 130 (2004), pp. 1-2; 149-166
  26. Gelfand, A.E., with A.M. Schmidt, S. Banerjee, and C.F. Sirmans, Nonstationary Multivariate Process Modelling through Spatially Varying Coregionalization (with discussion), Test no. 13 (2004), pp. 2; 1-50
  27. Gelfand, A.E., Some Comments on Model Criticism, in Highly Structured Stochastic Systems, edited by P.J. Green, N.L. Hjort and S. Richardson (2003), pp. 449-453, Oxford University Press, Oxford
  28. Gelfand, A.E., M.D. Ecker, Spatial Modeling and Prediction Under Range Anisotropy, Environmental and Ecological Statistics no. 10 (2003), pp. 165-178
  29. Gelfand, A.E., P. Vlachos, On the Calibration of Bayesian Model Choice Criteria, Journal of Satistical Planning and Inference, vol. 111 (2003), pp. 223-234
  30. Gelfand, A.E., P. Vounatsou and T. Smith, Spatial Modeling of Gene Frequencies in the Presence of Undetectable Alleles, Journal of Applied Statistics no. 30 (2003), pp. 49-62
  31. Gelfand, A.E., A.M. Schmidt, A Bayesian Coregionalization Approach for Multivariate Pollutant Data, Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. Atmosphere no. 108 (2003), pp. D24, 8783
  32. Gelfand, A.E., S. Banerjee, On Smoothness Properties of Spatial Processes, Journal of Multivariate Analysis no. 84 (2003), pp. 85-100
  33. Gelfand, A.E., R. Fu, K. Holsinger, Exact Moment Calculations for Genetic Models, Journal of Theoretical Population Biology no. 63 (2003), pp. 231-243
  34. Gelfand, A.E., L. Zhu and B.P. Carlin, Hierarchical Regression with Misaligned Spatio Temporal Data: Relating ambient ozone and pediatric asthma ER visits in Atlanta, Environmetrics no. 14 (2003), pp. 537-557
  35. Gelfand, A.E., H-J. Kim, C.F. Sirmans and S. Banerjee, Spatial Modeling with spatially varying Coefficient Processes, Journal of the American Statistical Association no. 98 (2003), pp. 387-396
  36. Gelfand, A.E., S. Banerjee and C.F. Sirmans, Directional Rates of Change under Spatial Process Models, Journal of the American Statistical Association no. 98 (2003), pp. 946-954
  37. Gelfand, A.E., A. Kottas, Bayesian Semiparametric Regression for Median Residual Life, Scandinavian Journal of Statistics no. 30 (2003), pp. 651-665
  38. Gelfand, A.E., M. Trevisani, Inequalities Between Expected Marginal Log Likelihoods with Implications for Likelihood-based Model Comparison, Canadian Journal of Statistics no. 31 (2003), pp. 239-250
  39. Gelfand, A.E., (with Carlin, C.P., Mugglin, A.S., and Zhu, L.), Modeling spatiotemporally misaligned areal and point process environmental data., Quantitative Methods for Current Environmental Issues, vol. 1 (2002), pp. 150-151
  40. Gelfand, A. with A. Kottas, A Computational Approach for Full Nonparametric Bayesian Inference in Single and Multiple Sample Problems, Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, vol. 114 (2002), pp. 289-305
  41. A. Gelfand with M. Branco and A. Kottas, A nonparametric Bayesian modeling approach for cytogenetic dosimetry, Biometrics, vol. 58 (2002), pp. 593-600
  42. A. Gelfand with F. Wang, A simulation based approach to sample size determination under a given model and for separating models, Statistical Science, vol. 17 (2002), pp. 193-208
  43. A. Gelfand with M. Trevisani, Discussion to "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit, J. Royal Statistical Soc., vol. B (2002), pp. 631
  44. A. Gelfand with D. Agarwal and J. Silander, Investigating Tropical Deforestation Using Two Stage Spatialy Misaligned Regression Models, Journal Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, vol. 71 (2002), pp. 420-439
  45. A. Gelfand with P. Vlachos, On the calibration of Bayesian Model choice criteria, Journal Statistical Planning and Interference (2002)
  46. A. Gelfand with S. Banerjee, Prediction, interpolation and regression for spatially misaligned data points, Sankhya A, vol. 64 (2002), pp. 227-245
  47. A. Gelfand with P. Vounatsou, Proper Multivariate Conditional Autoregressive Models for Spatial Data Analysis, Biostatistics, vol. 4 (2002), pp. 11-25
  48. A. Gelfand with D. Agarwal and S. Pousty, Zero-inflated regression models for spatial count data, Environmental and Ecological Statistics (2002)
  49. A.E. Gelfand, J.M. Clapp, H-J Kim, Spatial Prediction of House Prices Using LPR and Bayesian Smoothing, Real Estate Economics, vol. 30 (2002)
  50. A.E. Gelfand, J. Sfiridis, A Survey of Sampling-based Bayesian Analysis for Financial Data, Applied Mathematical Finance no. 9 (2002), pp. 273-290
  51. A. Gelfand with B.P. Carlin and L. Zhu, Accommodating Scale Misalignment In Spatio-Temporal Data In: Bayesian Methods with Applications to Science, Policy and Official Statistics (2001), pp. 81-90
  52. A. Gelfand with A. Kottas, Bayesian Semiparametric Median Regression Modeling, Journal American Statistical Association, vol. 96 (2001), pp. 1458-1468
  53. A. Gelfand with A. Kottas, Modeling Variability Order: A Semiparametric Bayesian Approach, Methodology and Computing In Applied Probability, vol. 31 (2001), pp. 427-442
  54. A. Gelfand with A. Kottas, Nonparametric Bayesian Modeling for Stochastic Order, Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 114 (2001), pp. 865-876
  55. A. Gelfand with B.P. Carlin and M. Trevisani, On Computation using Gibbs Sampling for Multilevel Models, Statistica Sinica, vol. 115 (2001), pp. 981-1003
  56. A. Gelfand with L. Zhu and B.P. Carlin, On the Change of Support Problem for Spatio-Temporal Data, Biostatistics, vol. 20 (2001), pp. 31-45
  57. A. Gelfand with M.D. Ecker, C. Christiansen, S.B. Soumerai and T.J. McLaughlin, Conditional Categorical Response Models with Application to Treatment Compliance for and Survival of AMI Patients, Applied Statistics, vol. 49 (2000), pp. 171-186
  58. A. Gelfand, Discussion to Bayesian Backfitting, Statistical Science, vol. 15 (2000), pp. 217-18
  59. A. Gelfand with S. Banerjee and W. Polasek, Geostatistical Modeling for Spatial Interaction Data with Application to Postal Service Performance, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, vol. 90 (2000), pp. 87-105
  60. A. Gelfand, Gibbs Sampling, Journal of the American Statistical Association, vol. 95 (2000), pp. 1300-1304 (Reprinted in Statistics In the 21st Century, Edited by A.E. Raftery, M.A. Tanner and M.T. Wells, Chapman and Hall/CRC 2001, 341-350.)
  61. A. Gelfand with P. Vounatsou and T. Smith, Modeling of Multinominal data with latent structure: application to geographical mapping of human gene and haplotype frequencies, Biostatistics, vol. 10 (2000), pp. 177-189
  62. A. Gelfand with A. Mugglin and B.P. Carlin, Fully Model Based Approaches for Misaligned Spatial Data, Journal American Statistical Association, vol. 95 (2000), pp. 877-887
  63. A. Gelfand with F. Wang, Modeling the Cummulative Risk for a False Positive Under Repeated Screening Events, Statistics in Medicine, vol. 19 (2000), pp. 1865-1879
  64. A. Gelfand with C.L. Christiansen, F. Wang, M.B. Barton, W. Kreuter, J.G. Elmore and S.W. Fletcher, Predicting the Cumulative Risk of False Positive Mammograms, Journal National Cancer Institute, vol. 92 (2000), pp. 1657-1666
  65. A. Gelfand with S.K. Ghosh, C. Christiansen, S.B. Soumerai and T.J. McLaughlin, Proportional Hazards Models: A Latent Risks Approach, Applied Statistics, vol. 49 (2000), pp. 385-397
  66. A. Gelfand with S. Sahu, Gibbs Sampling, Identifiability and Improper Priors in Generalized Linear Mixed Models, Journal American Statistical Association, vol. 94 (1999), pp. 247-253
  67. Gelfand, A.E. with S.K. Ghosh, Model Choice: A Minimum Posterior Predictive Loss Approach, Biometrika, vol. 85 (1998), pp. 1-11
  68. Gelfand, A.E. with S.K. Ghosh, Spatio-temporal modeling of residential sales markets, J. Business & Economic Stat., vol. 16 (1998), pp. 312-321
  69. Gelfand, A.E. with S.K. Ghosh, A Latent Risk Approach for Modeling Individual Level Data Consisting of Multiple Event Times, Journal of Statistical Research, vol. 32 (1998), pp. 23-39
  70. Gelfand, A.E. with S.K. Ghosh, J. Knight and C.F. Sirmans, Analyzing Real Estate Data Problems Using the Gibbs Sampler, Real Estate Economics, vol. 26 (1998), pp. 469-492
  71. Gelfand, A.E. with S.K. Ghosh, Latent Waiting Time Models for Bivariate Event Times with Censoring, Sankhya B, vol. 60 (1998), pp. 31-47
  72. Gelfand, A.E. with B.P. Carlin and J.B. Kadane, Approaches for Optimal Sequential Decision Analysis in Clinical Trials, Biometrics, vol. 54 (1998), pp. 964-975
  73. Gelfand, A.E. with M.D. Ecker, Modeling and Inference for Geometrically Anisotropic Spatial Data, Mathematical Geology, vol. 31 (1998), pp. 67-83
  74. Gelfand, A.E. with D. Dey, T. Swartz and P. Vlachos, Simulation Based Model Checking for Hierarchical Models, Test, vol. 7 (1998), pp. 325-346
  75. Gelfand, A.E. with S. Mukhopadhyay, Dirichlet Process Mixed Generalized Linear Models, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., vol. 92 (1997), pp. 633-639
  76. Gelfand, A.E. with L. Waller, B.P. Carlin and H. Xia, Hierarchical Spatio-temporal Mapping of Disease Rates, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., vol. 92 (1997), pp. 607-617
  77. Gelfand, A.E. with B.K. Mallick and W. Polasek, Broken Biological Size Relationships: A Censored Semiparametric Regression Approach with Measurement Error, Journal of the American Statistical Association, vol. 92 (1997), pp. 836-845
  78. Gelfand, A.E. with M.D. Ecker, Bayesian Variogram Modeling for an Isotropic Spatial Process, Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, vol. 2 (1997), pp. 347-369
  79. Gelfand, A.E. with D. Dey, F. Peng, Overdispersed Generalized Linear Models, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, vol. 64 (1997), pp. 93-107
  80. Gelfand, A.E., Discussion to Empirical methods for combining likelihoods, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., vol. 91 (1996), pp. 551-552
  81. Gelfand, A.E. with B. Mallick, Semiparametric Errors in Variables Models: A Bayesian Approach, J. Stat. Planning and Inference, vol. 52 (1996), pp. 307-321
  82. Gelfand, A.E. with J. Sfiridis, Bayesian Analysis of Financial Event Study Data, Advances in Econometrics, vol. 11 (1996), pp. 25-62
  83. Gelfand, A.E. with P. Vlachos, Issues in Bayesian Clinical Trial Design for Categorical Endpoint Models, Proceedings of the Biometrics Section (1996), ASA Meeting
  84. Gelfand, A.E. with B. Mallick, Discussion to Assessment and Propagation of Model Uncertainty, J. Royal Stat. Soc. B, vol. 57 (1995), pp. 82-83
  85. Gelfand, A.E. with S. Sahu, On Markov chain Monte Carlo acceleration, Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, vol. 3 (1995), pp. 261-276
  86. Geland, A.E. with B. Mallic, D. Dey, Modeling expert opinion: likelihoods under incomplete probabilistic specification, J. Amer Statist. Assoc., vol. 90 (1995), pp. 598-604
  87. Gelfand, A.E. with B. Mallick, Bayesian analysis of semiparametric proportional hazards models, Biometrics, vol. 51 (1995), pp. 843-852
  88. Gelfand, A.E. with B.P. Carlin, Comment on Bayesian Computation and Stochastic Systems, Statistical Science, vol. 10 (1995), pp. 43-46
  89. Gelfand, A.E. with S. Sahu and B. Carlin, Efficient Parametrization for Normal Linear Mixed Effects Models, Biometrika, vol. 82 (1995), pp. 479-488
  90. Gelfand, A.E. with S. Mukhopadhyay, On Nonparametric Bayesian Inference for the Distribution of a Random Sample, Canadian Journal of Statistics, vol. 23 (1995), pp. 411-420
  91. Gelfand, A.E. and D. Dey, Bayesian model choice: asymptotic and exact calculations, Journal Royal Statistical Society B, vol. 56 (1994), pp. 501-514
  92. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Mallick, Generalized linear models with unknown link function, Biometrika, vol. 81 (1994), pp. 237-245
  93. Gelfand, A.E., J. Pai, N. Ravishanker, Bayesian analysis of concurrent time series with application to regional IBM revenue data, Journal of Forecasting, vol. 13 (1994), pp. 463-479
  94. Gelfand, A.E., Discussion to the papers of Smith and Roberts, Besag and Green, and Gilks et al., J. Royal Statistical Society B, vol. 55 (1993), pp. 70-71
  95. Gelfand, A.E., Discussion to "Inference from Iterative Simulation using Multiple Sequences" and "Practical Markov Chain Monte Carlo", Statistical Science, vol. 7 (1993), pp. 486-487
  96. Gelfand, A.E., A. Racine-Poon, A.F.M. Smith, J. Wakefield, Bayesian analysis of population models using the Gibbs sampler, Applied Statistics, vol. 43 (1993), pp. 201-221
  97. Gelfand, A.E., Discussion to Approximate Bayesian Inference with the Weighted Likelihood Bootstrap, J. Royal Statistical Society B, vol. 56 (1993), pp. 36-37
  98. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Carlin, Meximum likelihood estimation for constrained or missing data models, Canadian Journal of Statistics, vol. 21 (1993), pp. 303-311
  99. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Carlin, Parametric likelihood inference for record breaking problems, Biometrika, vol. 80 (1993), pp. 507-515
  100. Gelfand, A.E. and J. Wakefield, A.F.M. Smith, Efficient computation of random variates via the ratio-of-uniforms method, Statistics and Computing, vol. 1 (1992), pp. 129-133
  101. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Carlin, A.F.M. Smith, Hierarchical Bayesian analysis of change point problems, Applied Statistics, vol. 41 (1992), pp. 389-405
  102. Gelfand, A.E., B. Crabtree, S. Zyzanski, W.L. Miller, P.J. O'Connor, D. Winsemius, Data analysis in primary care research: log linear models, Family Medicine, vol. 24 (1992), pp. 145-151
  103. Gelfand, A.E., J. Glaz, L. Kuo, T.=-M. Lee, Inference for the maximum cell probability under multinomial sampling, Naval Research Logistics, vol. 39 (1992), pp. 97-114
  104. Gelfand, A.E. and A.F.M. Smith, Bayesian statistics without tears: a sampling-resampling perspective, American Statistician, vol. 46 (1992), pp. 84-88
  105. Gelfand, A.E., A.F.M. Smith, T-M. Lee, Bayesian analysis of constrained parameter and truncated data problems, Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc., vol. 87 (1992), pp. 523-532
  106. Gelfand, A.E., N. Lange, B. Carlin, Hierarchical Bayes models for the progression of HIV infection using longitudinal CD4+ counts (with discussion), Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc., vol. 87 (1992), pp. 615-632 (JASA applications paper of the year.)
  107. Gelfand, A.E., Discussion to Constrained Monte Carlo maximum likelihood for dependent data, Journal Royal Statistical Society B, vol. 54 (1992), pp. 690-691
  108. Gelfand, A.E. and A.F.M. Smith, Gibbs sampling for marginal posterior expectations, Communications in Statistics, Theory and Methods, vol. 20 no. 5 and 6 (1991), pp. 1747-1766
  109. Gelfand, A.E. and L. Kuo, Nonparametric Bayesian bioassay including ordered polytomous response, Biometrika, vol. 78 (1991), pp. 657-666
  110. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Carlin, An iterative Monte Carlo method for non cojugate Bayesian analysis, Statistics and Computing, vol. 1 (1991), pp. 119-128
  111. Gelfand, A.E. and D.K. Dey, Improved Estimation of a Patterned Covariance Matrix, Journal of Multivariate Analysis, vol. 31 (1990), pp. 107-116
  112. Gelfand, A.E. and D.K. Dey, A note on Overdispersed Exponential Families, Biometrika, vol. 77 (1990), pp. 55-64
  113. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Carlin, Approaches for Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals, Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc., vol. 85 (1990), pp. 105-114
  114. Gelfand, A.E. and A.F.M. Smith, Sampling Based Approaches to Calculating Marginal Densities, Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc., vol. 85 (1990), pp. 398-409 (Reprinted in "Breakthroughs in Statistics".)
  115. Gelfand, A.E., S. Hills, A. Racine-Poon and A.F.M. Smith, Illustration of Bayesian Inference in Normal Data Models Using Gibbs Sampling, Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc., vol. 85 (1990), pp. 972-985
  116. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Carlin, A Sample Reuse Method for Accurate Parametric Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals, Journal Royal Stat. Soc. Ser. B, vol. 53 (1990), pp. 189-200
  117. Gelfand, A.E. and D.K. Dey, On measuring Bayesian robustness of contaminated classes of priors, Statistics and Decisions, vol. 9 (1990), pp. 63-80