Alan E Gelfand, Chair of the Department, James B Duke Professor of Statistical Science and Professor of Environmental Sciences and Policy

Contact Info:

214A Old Chemistry Bldg.

919 668-5229

alan@stat.duke.edu

Personal Web Page:

http://www.stat.duke.edu/~alan

Education:

PhD, Stanford University, 1969

MS, Stanford University, 1967

BS, City College of New York, 1965

Curriculum Vitae

Representative Publications   (More Publications)   (search)

1. A.E. Gelfand (with P. Diggle, M. Fuentes, P. Guttorp). The Handbook of Spatial Statistics.. Chapman Hall (forthcoming), 2009.
2. A.E. Gelfand (with Clark, J.S.). Hierarchical Modeling for Environmental Data; Some applications and Perspectives.. Oxford University Press., 2006.
3. A.E. Gelfand (with S. Banerjee and B.P. Carlin). Hierarchical Modeling and Analysis for Spatial Data. Chapman Hall, Boca Raton., 2004.
4. Gelfand, A.E. (with A. Latimer, S. Wu and J.A. Silander, Jr.). "Building Statistical Models to Analyze Species Distributions." Ecological Applications 16.1 (2006): 33-50.
5. Gelfand, A.E. with J.A. Silander, Jr., S. Wu, A. Latimer, P.O. Lewis, A.G. Rebelo and M. Holder. "Explaining Species Distribution Patterns Through Hierarchical Modeling." Bayesian Analysis 1 (2005): 1; 41-92.
6. Gelfand, A.E. (with A.M. Schmidt, S. Wu, J.A. Silander, A. Latimer and A.G. Rebelo). "Explaining Species diversity Through species Level Hierarchical Modeling.." Applied Statistics 65 (2005): 1-20.
7. Gelfand, A.E. (with S. Banerjee and D. Gamerman). "Spatial Process Modelling for Univariate and Multivariate Dynamic spatial Data." Environmetrics 16 (2005): 1-15.
8. Gelfand, A.E. (with D. Agarwal). "Slice Gibbs Sampling for Simulation Based Fitting of Spatial Models." Statistics and Computing 15 (2005): 61-69.
9. Gelfand, A.E. (with J. Valenti, S. Wu, and C.F. Sirmans). "Apartment Rent Predictions Using Spatial Modeling." Journal of Real Estate Research 27 (2005): 1, 105-136.
10. A.E. Gelfand (with D. Agarwal, J. Silander, J. Mickelson and R. Dewar). "Relating Tropical Deforestation and Population Pressure through spatially Explicit Misaligned Bivariate Regression Models." Ecological Modelling 185 (2005): 105-131.
11. Gelfand, A.E. (with M. Short and B.P. Carlin). "Covariate-adjusted Spatial CDF's for Air Pollutant Data." Journal of Agricultural, biological and environmental Statistics 10 (2005): 259-275.
12. Gelfand, A.E. (with A.Kottas and S.N. Mac Eachern). "Bayesian Nonparametric Spatial Modeling with Dirichlet Process Mixing." Journal of the american Statistical Association 100 (2005): 1021-1035.
13. Gelfand, A.E., M.D. Ecker, J.R. Knight and C.F. Sirmans. "The Dynamics of Location in Home Price." Journal of Real estate and Financial Economics 29 (2004): 149-166.
14. Gelfand, A.E., with S. Banerjee, J.R. Knight and C.F. Sirmans. "Nonstationary Spatial Modeling through Normalized Distance-Weighted Sums of Stationary Processes." Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 22 (2004): 206-213.
15. Gelfand, A.E., A.M. Latimer, J.A. Silander, Jr., A.G. Rebelo and D.M. Richardson. "Quantifying threats to biodiversity from invasive alien plants and other factors; a case study from the Cape Floristic Region." South African Journal of Science 100 (2004): 81-86.
16. Gelfand, A.E.. "Discussion to: Statistical Research: Some Advice for Beginners." The American Statistician 58 (2004): 197-199.
17. Gelfand, A.E., with A. Majumdar and S. Banerjee. "Spatio-temporal change Point Modeling." Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 130 (2004): 1-2; 149-166.
18. Gelfand, A.E., with A.M. Schmidt, S. Banerjee, and C.F. Sirmans. "Nonstationary Multivariate Process Modelling through Spatially Varying Coregionalization (with discussion)." Test 13 (2004): 2; 1-50.
19. Gelfand, A.E.. "Some Comments on Model Criticism." Highly Structured Stochastic Systems (2003): 449-453.
20. Gelfand, A.E., M.D. Ecker. "Spatial Modeling and Prediction Under Range Anisotropy." Environmental and Ecological Statistics 10 (2003): 165-178.
21. Gelfand, A.E., P. Vlachos. "On the Calibration of Bayesian Model Choice Criteria." Journal of Satistical Planning and Inference 111 (2003): 223-234.
22. Gelfand, A.E., P. Vounatsou and T. Smith. "Spatial Modeling of Gene Frequencies in the Presence of Undetectable Alleles." Journal of Applied Statistics 30 (2003): 49-62.
23. Gelfand, A.E., A.M. Schmidt. "A Bayesian Coregionalization Approach for Multivariate Pollutant Data." Journal of Geophysical Research Atmosphere.108 (2003): D24, 8783.
24. Gelfand, A.E., S. Banerjee. "On Smoothness Properties of Spatial Processes." Journal of Multivariate Analysis 84 (2003): 85-100.
25. Gelfand, A.E., R. Fu, K. Holsinger. "Exact Moment Calculations for Genetic Models." Journal of Theoretical Population Biology 63 (2003): 231-243.
26. Gelfand, A.E., L. Zhu and B.P. Carlin. "Hierarchical Regression with Misaligned Spatio Temporal Data: Relating ambient ozone and pediatric asthma ER visits in Atlanta." Environmetrics 14 (2003): 537-557.
27. Gelfand, A.E., H-J. Kim, C.F. Sirmans and S. Banerjee. "Spatial Modeling with spatially varying Coefficient Processes." Journal of the American Statistical Association 98 (2003): 387-396.
28. Gelfand, A.E., S. Banerjee and C.F. Sirmans. "Directional Rates of Change under Spatial Process Models." Journal of the American Statistical Association 98 (2003): 946-954.
29. Gelfand, A.E., A. Kottas. "Bayesian Semiparametric Regression for Median Residual Life." Scandinavian Journal of Statistics 30 (2003): 651-665.
30. Gelfand, A.E., M. Trevisani. "Inequalities Between Expected Marginal Log Likelihoods with Implications for Likelihood-based Model Comparison." Canadian Journal of Statistics 31 (2003): 239-250.
31. Gelfand, A.E., (with Carlin, C.P., Mugglin, A.S., and Zhu, L.). "Modeling spatiotemporally misaligned areal and point process environmental data.." Quantitative Methods for Current Environmental Issues 1 (2002): 150-151.
32. Gelfand, A. with A. Kottas. "A Computational Approach for Full Nonparametric Bayesian Inference in Single and Multiple Sample Problems." Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 114 (2002): 289-305.
33. A. Gelfand with M. Branco and A. Kottas. "A nonparametric Bayesian modeling approach for cytogenetic dosimetry." Biometrics 58 (2002): 593-600.
34. A. Gelfand with F. Wang. "A simulation based approach to sample size determination under a given model and for separating models." Statistical Science 17 (2002): 193-208.
35. A. Gelfand with M. Trevisani. "Discussion to "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit." J. Royal Statistical Soc. B (2002): 631.
36. A. Gelfand with D. Agarwal and J. Silander. "Investigating Tropical Deforestation Using Two Stage Spatialy Misaligned Regression Models." Journal Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics 71 (2002): 420-439.
37. A. Gelfand with P. Vlachos. "On the calibration of Bayesian Model choice criteria." Journal Statistical Planning and Interference (2002).
38. A. Gelfand with S. Banerjee. "Prediction, interpolation and regression for spatially misaligned data points." Sankhya A 64 (2002): 227-245.
39. A. Gelfand with P. Vounatsou. "Proper Multivariate Conditional Autoregressive Models for Spatial Data Analysis." Biostatistics 4 (2002): 11-25.
40. A. Gelfand with D. Agarwal and S. Pousty. "Zero-inflated regression models for spatial count data." Environmental and Ecological Statistics (2002).
41. A.E. Gelfand, J.M. Clapp, H-J Kim. "Spatial Prediction of House Prices Using LPR and Bayesian Smoothing." Real Estate Economics 30 (2002).
42. A.E. Gelfand, J. Sfiridis. "A Survey of Sampling-based Bayesian Analysis for Financial Data." Applied Mathematical Finance 9 (2002): 273-290.
43. A. Gelfand with B.P. Carlin and L. Zhu. "Accommodating Scale Misalignment In Spatio-Temporal Data In: Bayesian Methods with Applications to Science." Policy and Official Statistics (2001): 81-90.
44. A. Gelfand with A. Kottas. "Bayesian Semiparametric Median Regression Modeling." Journal American Statistical Association 96 (2001): 1458-1468.
45. A. Gelfand with A. Kottas. "Modeling Variability Order: A Semiparametric Bayesian Approach." Methodology and Computing In Applied Probability 31 (2001): 427-442.
46. A. Gelfand with A. Kottas. "Nonparametric Bayesian Modeling for Stochastic Order." Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 114 (2001): 865-876.
47. A. Gelfand with B.P. Carlin and M. Trevisani. "On Computation using Gibbs Sampling for Multilevel Models." Statistica Sinica 115 (2001): 981-1003.
48. A. Gelfand with L. Zhu and B.P. Carlin. "On the Change of Support Problem for Spatio-Temporal Data." Biostatistics 20 (2001): 31-45.
49. A. Gelfand with M.D. Ecker, C. Christiansen, S.B. Soumerai and T.J. McLaughlin. "Conditional Categorical Response Models with Application to Treatment Compliance for and Survival of AMI Patients." Applied Statistics 49 (2000): 171-186.
50. A. Gelfand. "Discussion to Bayesian Backfitting." Statistical Science 15 (2000): 217-18.
51. A. Gelfand with S. Banerjee and W. Polasek. "Geostatistical Modeling for Spatial Interaction Data with Application to Postal Service Performance." Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 90 (2000): 87-105.
52. A. Gelfand. "Gibbs Sampling." Journal of the American Statistical Association 95 (2000): 1300-1304. (Reprinted in Statistics In the 21st Century, Edited by A.E. Raftery, M.A. Tanner and M.T. Wells, Chapman and Hall/CRC 2001, 341-350)
53. A. Gelfand with P. Vounatsou and T. Smith. "Modeling of Multinominal data with latent structure: application to geographical mapping of human gene and haplotype frequencies." Biostatistics 10 (2000): 177-189.
54. A. Gelfand with A. Mugglin and B.P. Carlin. "Fully Model Based Approaches for Misaligned Spatial Data." Journal American Statistical Association 95 (2000): 877-887.
55. A. Gelfand with F. Wang. "Modeling the Cummulative Risk for a False Positive Under Repeated Screening Events." Statistics in Medicine 19 (2000): 1865-1879.
56. A. Gelfand with C.L. Christiansen, F. Wang, M.B. Barton, W. Kreuter, J.G. Elmore and S.W. Fletcher. "Predicting the Cumulative Risk of False Positive Mammograms." Journal National Cancer Institute 92 (2000): 1657-1666.
57. A. Gelfand with S.K. Ghosh, C. Christiansen, S.B. Soumerai and T.J. McLaughlin. "Proportional Hazards Models: A Latent Risks Approach." Applied Statistics 49 (2000): 385-397.
58. A. Gelfand with S. Sahu. "Gibbs Sampling, Identifiability and Improper Priors in Generalized Linear Mixed Models." Journal American Statistical Association 94 (1999): 247-253.
59. Gelfand, A.E. with S.K. Ghosh. "Model Choice: A Minimum Posterior Predictive Loss Approach." Biometrika 85 (1998): 1-11.
60. Gelfand, A.E. with S.K. Ghosh. "Spatio-temporal modeling of residential sales markets." J. Business & Economic Stat. 16 (1998): 312-321.
61. Gelfand, A.E. with S.K. Ghosh. "A Latent Risk Approach for Modeling Individual Level Data Consisting of Multiple Event Times." Journal of Statistical Research 32 (1998): 23-39.
62. Gelfand, A.E. with S.K. Ghosh, J. Knight and C.F. Sirmans. "Analyzing Real Estate Data Problems Using the Gibbs Sampler." Real Estate Economics 26 (1998): 469-492.
63. Gelfand, A.E. with S.K. Ghosh. "Latent Waiting Time Models for Bivariate Event Times with Censoring." Sankhya B 60 (1998): 31-47.
64. Gelfand, A.E. with B.P. Carlin and J.B. Kadane. "Approaches for Optimal Sequential Decision Analysis in Clinical Trials." Biometrics 54 (1998): 964-975.
65. Gelfand, A.E. with M.D. Ecker. "Modeling and Inference for Geometrically Anisotropic Spatial Data." Mathematical Geology 31 (1998): 67-83.
66. Gelfand, A.E. with D. Dey, T. Swartz and P. Vlachos. "Simulation Based Model Checking for Hierarchical Models." Test 7 (1998): 325-346.
67. Gelfand, A.E. with S. Mukhopadhyay. "Dirichlet Process Mixed Generalized Linear Models." J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 92 (1997): 633-639.
68. Gelfand, A.E. with L. Waller, B.P. Carlin and H. Xia. "Hierarchical Spatio-temporal Mapping of Disease Rates." J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 92 (1997): 607-617.
69. Gelfand, A.E. with B.K. Mallick and W. Polasek. "Broken Biological Size Relationships: A Censored Semiparametric Regression Approach with Measurement Error." Journal of the American Statistical Association 92 (1997): 836-845.
70. Gelfand, A.E. with M.D. Ecker. "Bayesian Variogram Modeling for an Isotropic Spatial Process." Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics 2 (1997): 347-369.
71. Gelfand, A.E. with D. Dey, F. Peng. "Overdispersed Generalized Linear Models." Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 64 (1997): 93-107.
72. Gelfand, A.E.. "Discussion to Empirical methods for combining likelihoods." J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 91 (1996): 551-552.
73. Gelfand, A.E. with B. Mallick. "Semiparametric Errors in Variables Models: A Bayesian Approach." J. Stat. Planning and Inference 52 (1996): 307-321.
74. Gelfand, A.E. with J. Sfiridis. "Bayesian Analysis of Financial Event Study Data." Advances in Econometrics 11 (1996): 25-62.
75. Gelfand, A.E. with P. Vlachos. "Issues in Bayesian Clinical Trial Design for Categorical Endpoint Models." Proceedings of the Biometrics Section (1996).
76. Gelfand, A.E. with B. Mallick. "Discussion to Assessment and Propagation of Model Uncertainty." J. Royal Stat. Soc. B 57 (1995): 82-83.
77. Gelfand, A.E. with S. Sahu. "On Markov chain Monte Carlo acceleration." Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 3 (1995): 261-276.
78. Geland, A.E. with B. Mallic, D. Dey. "Modeling expert opinion: likelihoods under incomplete probabilistic specification." J. Amer Statist. Assoc. 90 (1995): 598-604.
79. Gelfand, A.E. with B. Mallick. "Bayesian analysis of semiparametric proportional hazards models." Biometrics 51 (1995): 843-852.
80. Gelfand, A.E. with B.P. Carlin. "Comment on Bayesian Computation and Stochastic Systems." Statistical Science 10 (1995): 43-46.
81. Gelfand, A.E. with S. Sahu and B. Carlin. "Efficient Parametrization for Normal Linear Mixed Effects Models." Biometrika 82 (1995): 479-488.
82. Gelfand, A.E. with S. Mukhopadhyay. "On Nonparametric Bayesian Inference for the Distribution of a Random Sample." Canadian Journal of Statistics 23 (1995): 411-420.
83. Gelfand, A.E. and D. Dey. "Bayesian model choice: asymptotic and exact calculations." Journal Royal Statistical Society B 56 (1994): 501-514.
84. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Mallick. "Generalized linear models with unknown link function." Biometrika 81 (1994): 237-245.
85. Gelfand, A.E., J. Pai, N. Ravishanker. "Bayesian analysis of concurrent time series with application to regional IBM revenue data." Journal of Forecasting 13 (1994): 463-479.
86. Gelfand, A.E.. "Discussion to the papers of Smith and Roberts, Besag and Green, and Gilks et al.." J. Royal Statistical Society B 55 (1993): 70-71.
87. Gelfand, A.E.. "Discussion to "Inference from Iterative Simulation using Multiple Sequences" and "Practical Markov Chain Monte Carlo"." Statistical Science 7 (1993): 486-487.
88. Gelfand, A.E., A. Racine-Poon, A.F.M. Smith, J. Wakefield. "Bayesian analysis of population models using the Gibbs sampler." Applied Statistics 43 (1993): 201-221.
89. Gelfand, A.E.. "Discussion to Approximate Bayesian Inference with the Weighted Likelihood Bootstrap." J. Royal Statistical Society B 56 (1993): 36-37.
90. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Carlin. "Meximum likelihood estimation for constrained or missing data models." Canadian Journal of Statistics 21 (1993): 303-311.
91. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Carlin. "Parametric likelihood inference for record breaking problems." Biometrika 80 (1993): 507-515.
92. Gelfand, A.E. and J. Wakefield, A.F.M. Smith. "Efficient computation of random variates via the ratio-of-uniforms method." Statistics and Computing 1 (1992): 129-133.
93. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Carlin, A.F.M. Smith. "Hierarchical Bayesian analysis of change point problems." Applied Statistics 41 (1992): 389-405.
94. Gelfand, A.E., B. Crabtree, S. Zyzanski, W.L. Miller, P.J. O'Connor, D. Winsemius. "Data analysis in primary care research: log linear models." Family Medicine 24 (1992): 145-151.
95. Gelfand, A.E., J. Glaz, L. Kuo, T.=-M. Lee. "Inference for the maximum cell probability under multinomial sampling." Naval Research Logistics 39 (1992): 97-114.
96. Gelfand, A.E. and A.F.M. Smith. "Bayesian statistics without tears: a sampling-resampling perspective." American Statistician 46 (1992): 84-88.
97. Gelfand, A.E., A.F.M. Smith, T-M. Lee. "Bayesian analysis of constrained parameter and truncated data problems." Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc. 87 (1992): 523-532.
98. Gelfand, A.E., N. Lange, B. Carlin. "Hierarchical Bayes models for the progression of HIV infection using longitudinal CD4+ counts (with discussion)." Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc. 87 (1992): 615-632. (JASA applications paper of the year)
99. Gelfand, A.E.. "Discussion to Constrained Monte Carlo maximum likelihood for dependent data." Journal Royal Statistical Society B 54 (1992): 690-691.
100. Gelfand, A.E. and A.F.M. Smith. "Gibbs sampling for marginal posterior expectations." Communications in Statistics, Theory and Methods 20.5 and 6 (1991): 1747-1766.
101. Gelfand, A.E. and L. Kuo. "Nonparametric Bayesian bioassay including ordered polytomous response." Biometrika 78 (1991): 657-666.
102. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Carlin. "An iterative Monte Carlo method for non cojugate Bayesian analysis." Statistics and Computing 1 (1991): 119-128.
103. Gelfand, A.E. and D.K. Dey. "Improved Estimation of a Patterned Covariance Matrix." Journal of Multivariate Analysis 31 (1990): 107-116.
104. Gelfand, A.E. and D.K. Dey. "A note on Overdispersed Exponential Families." Biometrika 77 (1990): 55-64.
105. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Carlin. "Approaches for Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals." Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc. 85 (1990): 105-114.
106. Gelfand, A.E. and A.F.M. Smith. "Sampling Based Approaches to Calculating Marginal Densities." Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc. 85 (1990): 398-409. (Reprinted in "Breakthroughs in Statistics")
107. Gelfand, A.E., S. Hills, A. Racine-Poon and A.F.M. Smith. "Illustration of Bayesian Inference in Normal Data Models Using Gibbs Sampling." Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc. 85 (1990): 972-985.
108. Gelfand, A.E. and B. Carlin. "A Sample Reuse Method for Accurate Parametric Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals." Journal Royal Stat. Soc. Ser. B 53 (1990): 189-200.
109. Gelfand, A.E. and D.K. Dey. "On measuring Bayesian robustness of contaminated classes of priors." Statistics and Decisions 9 (1990): 63-80.

Duke Statistics Home | Contact | Cross-Disciplinary Activities | Statistics Sites | A&S Home | Duke Home