![Alan E. Gelfand](https://fds.duke.edu/photos/fac/u1452.jpg)
Alan E. Gelfand, James B. Duke Distinguished Professor Emeritus
- Contact Info:
- 223A Old Chem Bldg, Durham, NC 27708
- alan@stat.duke.edu
- Personal Web Page:
- http://www.stat.duke.edu/~alan
- Education:
- Ph.D., Stanford University, 1969
- M.S., Stanford University, 1967
- B.S., City College of New York, 1965
- Representative Publications
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- A.E. Gelfand (with P. Diggle, M. Fuentes, P. Guttorp). The Handbook of Spatial Statistics.. Chapman Hall (forthcoming), 2009.
- A.E. Gelfand (with Clark, J.S.). Hierarchical Modeling for Environmental Data; Some applications and Perspectives.. Oxford University Press., 2006.
- A.E. Gelfand (with S. Banerjee and B.P. Carlin). Hierarchical Modeling and Analysis for Spatial Data. Chapman Hall, Boca Raton., 2004.
- Gelfand, AE; Latimer, A; Wu, S; Silander Jr, JA. "Building Statistical Models to Analyze Species Distributions." Ecological Applications 16.1 (2006): 33-50. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Kottas, A; Maceachern, SN. "Bayesian nonparametric spatial modeling with dirichlet process mixing." Journal of the American Statistical Association 100.471 (September, 2005): 1021-1035. [doi] [abs]
- Majumdar, A; Gelfand, AE; Banerjee, S. "Spatio-temporal change-point modeling." Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 130.1-2 (March, 2005): 149-166. [doi] [abs]
- Agarwal, DK; Gelfand, AE. "Slice sampling for simulation based fitting of spatial data models." Statistics and Computing 15.1 (January, 2005): 61-69. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Short, M; Carlin, BP. "Covariate-adjusted Spatial CDF's for Air Pollutant Data." Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics 10 (2005): 259-275.
- Gelfand, AE; Agarwal, D; Silander, J; Mickelson, J; Dewar, R. "Relating Tropical Deforestation and Population Pressure through spatially Explicit Misaligned Bivariate Regression Models." Ecological Modelling 185 (2005): 105-131.
- Gelfand, AE; Valenti, J; Wu, S; Sirmans, CF. "Apartment Rent Predictions Using Spatial Modeling." Journal of Real Estate Research 27.27 (2005): 1, 105-136.
- Gelfand, AE; Banerjee, S; Gamerman, D. "Spatial Process Modelling for Univariate and Multivariate Dynamic spatial Data." Environmetrics 16.16 (2005): 1-15. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Schmidt, AM; Wu, S; Silander, JA; Latimer, A; Rebelo, AG. "Explaining Species diversity Through species Level Hierarchical Modeling.." Applied Statistics 65 (2005): 1-20.
- Gelfand, AE; Silander Jr, JA; Wu, S; Latimer, A; Lewis, PO; Rebelo, AG; Holder, M. "Explaining Species Distribution Patterns Through Hierarchical Modeling." Bayesian Analysis 1.1 (2005): 1; 41-92. [doi] [abs]
- Latimer, AM; Silander, JA; Gelfand, AE; Rebelo, AG; Richardson, DM. "Quantifying threats to biodiversity from invasive alien plants and other factors: A case study from the Cape Floristic Region." South African Journal of Science 100.1-2 (January, 2004): 81-86. [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Schmidt, AM; Banerjee, S; Sirmans, CF. "Nonstationary Multivariate Process Modelling through Spatially Varying Coregionalization (with discussion)." Test 13 (2004): 2; 1-50.
- Gelfand, AE. "Discussion to: Statistical Research: Some Advice for Beginners." The American Statistician 58 (2004): 197-199.
- Gelfand, AE; Banerjee, S; Knight, JR; Sirmans, CF. "Nonstationary Spatial Modeling through Normalized Distance-Weighted Sums of Stationary Processes." Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 22 (2004): 206-213.
- Gelfand, AE; Ecker, MD; Knight, JR; Sirmans, CF. "The Dynamics of Location in Home Price." Journal of Real Estate and Financial Economics 29.29 (2004): 149-166. [doi] [abs]
- Banerjee, S; Gelfand, AE; Sirmans, CF. "Directional Rates of Change under Spatial Process Models." Journal of the American Statistical Association 98.464 (December, 2003): 946-954. [doi] [abs]
- Zhu, L; Carlin, BP; Gelfand, AE. "Hierarchical regression with misaligned spatial data: Relating ambient ozone and pediatric asthma ER visits in Atlanta." Environmetrics 14.5 (August, 2003): 537-557. [doi] [abs]
- Vlachos, PK; Gelfand, AE. "On the calibration of Bayesian model choice criteria." Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 111.1-2 (February, 2003): 223-234. [doi] [abs]
- Trevisani, M; Gelfand, AE. "Inequalities between expected marginal log-likelihoods, with implications for likelihood-based model complexity and comparison measures." Canadian Journal of Statistics 31.3 (January, 2003): 239-250. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Kottas, A. "Bayesian Semiparametric Regression for Median Residual Life." Scandinavian Journal of Statistics 30.4 (January, 2003): 651-665. [doi] [abs]
- Banerjee, S; Gelfand, AE. "On smoothness properties of spatial processes." Journal of Multivariate Analysis 84.1 (January, 2003): 85-100. [doi] [abs]
- Vounatsou, P; Smith, T; Gelfand, AE. "Spatial modelling of gene frequencies in the presence of undetectable alleles." Journal of Applied Statistics 30.1 (January, 2003): 49-62. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Vounatsou, P. "Proper multivariate conditional autoregressive models for spatial data analysis.." Biostatistics (Oxford, England) 4.1 (January, 2003): 11-25. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, A.E.. "Some Comments on Model Criticism." Highly Structured Stochastic Systems (2003): 449-453.
- Gelfand, A.E., P. Vlachos. "On the Calibration of Bayesian Model Choice Criteria." Journal of Satistical Planning and Inference 111 (2003): 223-234.
- Gelfand, AE; Kim, HJ; Sirmans, CF; Banerjee, S. "Spatial Modeling with spatially varying Coefficient Processes." Journal of the American Statistical Association 98.98 (2003): 387-396. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Fu, R; Holsinger, K. "Exact Moment Calculations for Genetic Models." Journal of Theoretical Population Biology 63 (2003): 231-243.
- Gelfand, AE; Schmidt, AM. "A Bayesian Coregionalization Approach for Multivariate Pollutant Data." Journal of Geophysical Research Atmosphere.108 (2003): D24, 8783. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Ecker, MD. "Spatial Modeling and Prediction Under Range Anisotropy." Environmental and Ecological Statistics 10 (2003): 165-178.
- Kottas, A; Branco, MD; Gelfand, AE. "A nonparametric Bayesian modeling approach for cytogenetic dosimetry.." Biometrics 58.3 (September, 2002): 593-600. [doi] [abs]
- Agarwal, DK; Gelfand, AE; Silander, JA. "Investigating tropical deforestation using two-stage spatially misaligned regression models." Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics 7.3 (September, 2002): 420-439. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, A; Kottas, A. "A Computational Approach for Full Nonparametric Bayesian Inference in Single and Multiple Sample Problems." Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 114 (2002): 289-305.
- Gelfand, AE; Carlin, CP; Mugglin, AS; Zhu, L. "Modeling spatiotemporally misaligned areal and point process environmental data.." Quantitative Methods for Current Environmental Issues 1 (2002): 150-151.
- Sfiridis, J; Gelfand, A. "A survey of sampling-based Bayesian analysis of financial data." Applied Mathematical Finance 9.4 (2002): 273-291. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Clapp, JM; Kim, HJ. "Spatial Prediction of House Prices Using LPR and Bayesian Smoothing." Real Estate Economics 30 (2002).
- Gelfand, A; Agarwal, D; Pousty, S. "Zero-inflated regression models for spatial count data." Environmental and Ecological Statistics (2002).
- Gelfand, A; Banerjee, S. "Prediction, interpolation and regression for spatially misaligned data points." Sankhya A 64 (2002): 227-245.
- Gelfand, A; Trevisani, M. "Discussion to "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit." J. Royal Statistical Soc. B (2002): 631.
- Gelfand, A; Wang, F. "A simulation based approach to sample size determination under a given model and for separating models." Statistical Science 17.2 (2002): 193-208. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Kottas, A. "Nonparametric Bayesian modeling for stochastic order." Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 53.4 (December, 2001): 865-876. [doi] [abs]
- Kottas, A; Gelfand, AE. "Bayesian semiparametric median regression modeling." Journal of the American Statistical Association 96.456 (December, 2001): 1458-1468. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Carlin, BP; Trevisani, M. "On computation using Gibbs sampling for multilevel models." Statistica Sinica 11.4 (October, 2001): 981-1003. [abs]
- Gelfand, A; Zhu, L; Carlin, BP. "On the Change of Support Problem for Spatio-Temporal Data." Biostatistics 20 (2001): 31-45.
- Gelfand, A; Kottas, A. "Modeling Variability Order: A Semiparametric Bayesian Approach." Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability 31 (2001): 427-442.
- Gelfand, A; Carlin, BP; Zhu, L. "Accommodating Scale Misalignment In Spatio-Temporal Data In: Bayesian Methods with Applications to Science." Policy and Official Statistics (2001): 81-90.
- Gelfand, AE. "Gibbs Sampling." Journal of the American Statistical Association 95.452 (December, 2000): 1300-1304. (Reprinted in Statistics In the 21st Century, Edited by A.E. Raftery, M.A. Tanner and M.T. Wells, Chapman and Hall/CRC 2001, 341-350) [doi]
- Christiansen, CL; Wang, F; Barton, MB; Kreuter, W; Elmore, JG; Gelfand, AE; Fletcher, SW. "Predicting the cumulative risk of false-positive mammograms.." Journal of the National Cancer Institute 92.20 (October, 2000): 1657-1666. [doi] [abs]
- Banerjee, S; Gelfand, AE; Polasek, W. "Geostatistical modelling for spatial interaction data with application to postal service performance." Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 90.1 (September, 2000): 87-105. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, A; Ghosh, SK; Christiansen, C; Soumerai, SB; McLaughlin, TJ. "Proportional Hazards Models: A Latent Risks Approach." Applied Statistics 49.3 (2000): 385-397. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Wang, F. "Modelling the cumulative risk for a false-positive under repeated screening events." Statistics in Medicine 19.14 (2000): 1865-1879. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, A; Mugglin, A; Carlin, BP. "Fully Model Based Approaches for Misaligned Spatial Data." Journal American Statistical Association 95.451 (2000): 877-887. [abs]
- Gelfand, A; Vounatsou, P; Smith, T. "Modeling of Multinominal data with latent structure: application to geographical mapping of human gene and haplotype frequencies." Biostatistics 10 (2000): 177-189.
- Gelfand, A. "Discussion to Bayesian Backfitting." Statistical Science 15.3 (2000): 217-218.
- Gelfand, A; Ecker, MD; Christiansen, C; Soumerai, SB; McLaughlin, TJ. "Conditional Categorical Response Models with Application to Treatment Compliance for and Survival of AMI Patients." Applied Statistics 49 (2000): 171-186.
- Gelfand, A; Sahu, S. "Gibbs Sampling, Identifiability and Improper Priors in Generalized Linear Mixed Models." Journal American Statistical Association 94.445 (1999): 247-253. [abs]
- Carlin, BP; Kadane, JB; Gelfand, AE. "Approaches for optimal sequential decision analysis in clinical trials.." Biometrics 54.3 (September, 1998): 964-975. [doi] [abs]
- Knight, JR; Sirmans, CF; Gelfand, AE; Ghosh, SK. "Analyzing real estate data problems using the Gibbs sampler." Real Estate Economics 26.3 (January, 1998): 469-492. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Ghosh, SK; Knight, JR; Sirmans, CF. "Spatio-temporal modeling of residential sales data." Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 16.3 (January, 1998): 312-321. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Ghosh, SK. "Model choice: A minimum posterior predictive loss approach." Biometrika 85.1 (January, 1998): 1-11. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Dey, D; Swartz, T; Vlachos, P. "Simulation Based Model Checking for Hierarchical Models." Test 7.2 (1998): 325-346. [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Ecker, MD. "Modeling and Inference for Geometrically Anisotropic Spatial Data." Mathematical Geology 31 (1998): 67-83.
- Gelfand, AE; Ghosh, SK. "Latent Waiting Time Models for Bivariate Event Times with Censoring." Sankhya B 60 (1998): 31-47.
- Gelfand, AE; Ghosh, SK. "A Latent Risk Approach for Modeling Individual Level Data Consisting of Multiple Event Times." Journal of Statistical Research 32 (1998): 23-39.
- Dey, DK; Gelfand, AE; Peng, F. "Overdispersed generalized linear models." Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 64.1 (October, 1997): 93-107. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Mallick, BK; Polasek, W. "Broken biological size relationships: A truncated semiparametric regression approach with measurement error." Journal of the American Statistical Association 92.439 (September, 1997): 836-845. [doi] [abs]
- Waller, LA; Carlin, BP; Xia, H; Gelfand, AE. "Hierarchical Spatio-Temporal Mapping of Disease Rates." Journal of the American Statistical Association 92.438 (June, 1997): 607-617. [doi] [abs]
- Mukhopadhyay, S; Gelfand, AE. "Dirichlet Process Mixed Generalized Linear Models." Journal of the American Statistical Association 92.438 (June, 1997): 633-639. [doi] [abs]
- Ecker, MD; Gelfand, AE. "Bayesian Variogram Modeling for an Isotropic Spatial Process." Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics 2.4 (January, 1997): 347-369. [doi] [abs]
- Mallick, BK; Gelfand, AE. "Semiparametric errors-in-variables models: A Bayesian approach." Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 52.3 (July, 1996): 307-321. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Vlachos, P. "Issues in Bayesian Clinical Trial Design for Categorical Endpoint Models." Proceedings of the Biometrics Section (1996).
- Gelfand, AE; Sfiridis, J. "Bayesian Analysis of Financial Event Study Data." Advances in Econometrics 11 (1996): 25-62.
- Gelfand, AE. "Discussion to Empirical methods for combining likelihoods." J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 91.434 (1996): 551-552. [doi]
- Gelfand, AE; Sahu, SK; Carlin, BP. "Efficient parametrisations for normal linear mixed models." Biometrika 82.3 (September, 1995): 479-488. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Mukhopadhyay, S. "On Nonparametric Bayesian Inference for the Distribution of a Random Sample." Canadian Journal of Statistics 23.4 (1995): 411-420. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Carlin, BP. "Comment on Bayesian Computation and Stochastic Systems." Statistical Science 10.1 (1995): 43-46. [doi]
- Gelfand, AE; Mallick, B. "Bayesian analysis of semiparametric proportional hazards models." Biometrics 51.3 (1995): 843-852. [doi] [abs]
- Geland, AE; Mallic, B; Dey, D. "Modeling expert opinion: likelihoods under incomplete probabilistic specification." J. Amer Statist. Assoc. 90.430 (1995): 598-604. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Sahu, S. "On Markov chain Monte Carlo acceleration." Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 3.3 (1995): 261-276. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Mallick, B. "Discussion to Assessment and Propagation of Model Uncertainty." J. Royal Stat. Soc. B 57 (1995): 82-83.
- Mallick, BK; Gelfand, AE. "Generalized linear models with unknown link functions." Biometrika 81.2 (June, 1994): 237-245. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Pai, J; Ravishanker, N. "Bayesian analysis of concurrent time series with application to regional IBM revenue data." Journal of Forecasting 13.5 (1994): 463-479. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Dey, D. "Bayesian model choice: asymptotic and exact calculations." Journal Royal Statistical Society B 56 (1994): 501-514.
- Carlin, BP; Gelfand, AE. "Parametric likelihood inference for record breaking problems." Biometrika 80.3 (September, 1993): 507-515. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Carlin, B. "Meximum likelihood estimation for constrained or missing data models." Canadian Journal of Statistics 21.3 (1993): 303-311. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE. "Discussion to Approximate Bayesian Inference with the Weighted Likelihood Bootstrap." J. Royal Statistical Society B 56 (1993): 36-37.
- Gelfand, AE; Racine Poon, A; Smith, AFM; Wakefield, J. "Bayesian analysis of population models using the Gibbs sampler." Applied Statistics 43 (1993): 201-221.
- Gelfand, AE. "Discussion to "Inference from Iterative Simulation using Multiple Sequences" and "Practical Markov Chain Monte Carlo"." Statistical Science 7 (1993): 486-487.
- Gelfand, AE. "Discussion to the papers of Smith and Roberts, Besag and Green, and Gilks et al.." J. Royal Statistical Society B 55 (1993): 70-71.
- Gelfand, AE. "Discussion to Constrained Monte Carlo maximum likelihood for dependent data." Journal Royal Statistical Society B 54 (1992): 690-691.
- Gelfand, AE; Lange, N; Carlin, B. "Hierarchical Bayes models for the progression of HIV infection using longitudinal CD4+ counts (with discussion)." Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc. 87.419 (1992): 615-632. (JASA applications paper of the year) [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Smith, AFM; Lee, TM. "Bayesian analysis of constrained parameter and truncated data problems." Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc. 87.418 (1992): 523-532. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Smith, AFM. "Bayesian statistics without tears: a sampling-resampling perspective." American Statistician 46.2 (1992): 84-88. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, ; E, A; Glaz, J; Kuo, L; Lee, T-M. "Inference for the maximum cell probability under multinomial sampling." Naval Research Logistics 39.1 (1992): 97-114. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Crabtree, B; Zyzanski, S; Miller, WL; O'Connor, PJ; Winsemius, D. "Data analysis in primary care research: log linear models." Family Medicine 24.2 (1992): 145-151. [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Carlin, B; Smith, AFM. "Hierarchical Bayesian analysis of change point problems." Applied Statistics 41 (1992): 389-405.
- Wakefield, JC; Gelfand, AE; Smith, AFM. "Efficient generation of random variates via the ratio-of-uniforms method." Statistics and Computing 1.2 (December, 1991): 129-133. [doi] [abs]
- Carlin, BP; Gelfand, AE. "An iterative Monte Carlo method for nonconjugate Bayesian analysis." Statistics and Computing 1.2 (December, 1991): 119-128. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Kuo, L. "Nonparametric Bayesian bioassay including ordered polytomous response." Biometrika 78.3 (September, 1991): 657-666. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Smith, AFM. "Gibbs sampling for marginal posterior expectations." Communications in Statistics, Theory and Methods 20.5 and 6 (1991): 1747-1766. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Hills, SE; Racine-Poon, A; Smith, AFM. "Illustration of Bayesian Inference in Normal Data Models Using Gibbs Sampling." Journal of the American Statistical Association 85.412 (December, 1990): 972-972. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Dalal, SR. "A note on overdispersed exponential families." Biometrika 77.1 (December, 1990): 55-64. [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Smith, AFM. "Sampling-based approaches to calculating marginal densities." Journal of the American Statistical Association 85.410 (January, 1990): 398-409. (Reprinted in "Breakthroughs in Statistics") [doi] [abs]
- Gelfand, AE; Dey, DK. "On measuring Bayesian robustness of contaminated classes of priors." Statistics and Decisions 9 (1990): 63-80.
- Gelfand, AE; Carlin, B. "A Sample Reuse Method for Accurate Parametric Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals." Journal Royal Stat. Soc. Ser. B 53 (1990): 189-200.
- Gelfand, AE; Carlin, B. "Approaches for Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals." Journal Amer. Stat. Assoc. 85.409 (1990): 105-114. [doi] [abs]
- Dey, DK; Gelfand, AE. "Improved estimation of a patterned covariance matrix." Journal of Multivariate Analysis 31.1 (January, 1989): 107-116. [doi] [abs]
Curriculum Vitae