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| Publications of Pietro F. Peretto :chronological alphabetical combined listing:%% Papers Submitted @article{fds15968, Author = {P. Peretto}, Title = {Effluent Taxes, Market Structure and the Rate and Direction of Endogenous Technological Change}, Year = {2006}, Key = {fds15968} } @article{fds53015, Author = {P. Peretto}, Title = {A Schumpeterian Analysis of Deficit-Financed Dividend Tax Cuts}, Year = {2006}, Key = {fds53015} } @article{fds53013, Author = {P. Peretto}, Title = {Energy Taxes and Endogenous Technological Change}, Year = {2006}, Key = {fds53013} } @article{fds53016, Author = {P. Peretto}, Title = {The Employment (and Output) of Nations: Theory and Policy Implications}, Year = {2006}, Key = {fds53016} } @article{fds53017, Author = {P. Peretto (with Michelle Connolly)}, Title = {The Manhattan Metaphor}, Year = {2005}, Key = {fds53017} } @article{fds15969, Author = {P. Peretto}, Title = {Market Power, Unemployment and Growth}, Year = {2003}, Key = {fds15969} } @article{fds15971, Author = {P. Peretto (with N. Cetorelli)}, Title = {Oligopoly Banking and Capital Accumulation}, Year = {2003}, Key = {fds15971} } %% Journal Articles @article{fds372694, Author = {Chu, AC and Peretto, P and Xu, R}, Title = {Export-led takeoff in a Schumpeterian economy}, Journal = {Journal of International Economics}, Volume = {145}, Year = {2023}, Month = {November}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2023.103798}, Abstract = {This study develops an open-economy Schumpeterian growth model with endogenous takeoff to explore the effects of exports on the transition of an economy from stagnation to innovation-driven growth. We find that a higher export demand raises the level of employment, which causes a larger market size and an earlier takeoff along with a higher transitional growth rate but has no effect on long-run economic growth. These theoretical results are consistent with empirical evidence that we document using cross-country panel data in which the positive effect of exports on economic growth becomes smaller, as countries become more developed, and eventually disappears. We also calibrate the model to data in China and find that its export share increasing from 4.6% in 1978 to 36% in 2006 causes a rapid growth acceleration, but the fall in exports after 2007 causes a growth deceleration that continues until recent times.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jinteco.2023.103798}, Key = {fds372694} } @article{fds373655, Author = {Chu, AC and Peretto, PF}, Title = {Innovation and inequality from stagnation to growth}, Journal = {European Economic Review}, Volume = {160}, Year = {2023}, Month = {November}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104615}, Abstract = {This study explores the evolution of income inequality in an economy featuring an endogenous transition from stagnation to growth. We incorporate heterogeneous households in a Schumpeterian model of endogenous takeoff. In the pre-industrial era, the economy is in stagnation, and income inequality is determined by the unequal distribution of land. When the takeoff occurs, the economy experiences innovation and economic growth, and income inequality gradually rises until the economy reaches the steady state. We calibrate the model for a quantitative analysis and compare the simulation results to historical data in the UK. Extending the analysis to allow for endogenous labor supply, we find that endogenous labor supply introduces a channel through which inequality contributes to shaping the transition path of the economy and that households sort themselves into a leisure class that supplies zero labor and the rest of society that supplies labor.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104615}, Key = {fds373655} } @article{fds364041, Author = {Chu, AC and Peretto, PF and Wang, X}, Title = {Agricultural revolution and industrialization}, Journal = {Journal of Development Economics}, Volume = {158}, Year = {2022}, Month = {September}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102887}, Abstract = {This study explores how agricultural technology affects the endogenous takeoff of an economy in the Schumpeterian growth model. Due to the subsistence requirement for agricultural consumption, an improvement in agricultural technology reallocates labor from agriculture to the industrial sector. Therefore, agricultural improvement expands firm size in the industrial sector, which determines innovation and triggers an endogenous transition from stagnation to growth. Calibrating the model to data, we find that without the reallocation of labor from agriculture to the industrial sector in the early 19th century, the takeoff of the US economy would have been delayed by about four decades.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102887}, Key = {fds364041} } @article{fds355814, Author = {Iacopetta, M and Peretto, PF}, Title = {Corporate governance and industrialization}, Journal = {European Economic Review}, Volume = {135}, Year = {2021}, Month = {June}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103718}, Abstract = {Corporate governance distortions delay or even halt a country's transformation into a modern innovation economy. We investigate the mechanism through a growth model that allows for agency issues within firms. Governance distortions raise the cost of investment and depress the incentives to set up new firms. Modest differences in governance account for large gaps in income: A 32 percent investment cost differential can explain the secular decline of Latin America income relative to that of the USA, and implies an industrialization delay of a third of a century. We obtain similar results for a large number of countries and macro-regions.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103718}, Key = {fds355814} } @article{fds355815, Author = {Chu, AC and Furukawa, Y and Mallick, S and Peretto, P and Wang, X}, Title = {Dynamic effects of patent policy on innovation and inequality in a Schumpeterian economy}, Journal = {Economic Theory}, Volume = {71}, Number = {4}, Pages = {1429-1465}, Year = {2021}, Month = {June}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00199-021-01357-6}, Abstract = {This study explores the dynamic effects of patent policy on innovation and income inequality in a Schumpeterian growth model with endogenous market structure and heterogeneous households. We find that strengthening patent protection has a positive effect on economic growth and a positive or an inverted-U effect on income inequality when the number of differentiated products is fixed in the short run. However, when the number of products adjusts endogenously, the effects of patent protection on growth and inequality become negative in the long run. We also calibrate the model to US data to perform a quantitative analysis and find that the long-run negative effect of patent policy on inequality is much larger than its short-run positive effect. This result remains consistent with our empirical finding from a panel vector autoregression.}, Doi = {10.1007/s00199-021-01357-6}, Key = {fds355815} } @article{fds348836, Author = {Brunnschweiler, CN and Peretto, PF and Valente, S}, Title = {Wealth creation, wealth dilution and demography}, Journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics}, Volume = {117}, Pages = {441-459}, Year = {2021}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.02.002}, Abstract = {Demographic forces are crucial drivers of macroeconomic performance. Yet, existing theories do not allow demography to respond to fundamentals and policies while determining key macroeconomic variables. We build a model of endogenous interactions between fertility and innovation-led productivity growth that delivers empirically consistent co-movements of population, income and wealth. Wealth dilution and wage dynamics stabilize population through non-Malthusian forces; demography determines the ratios of labor income and consumption to financial wealth. Shocks that reduce population size, like immigration barriers, reduce permanently the labor share and the mass of firms, creating prolonged stagnation and substantial intergenerational redistribution of income and welfare.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.02.002}, Key = {fds348836} } @article{fds366250, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Through scarcity to prosperity: Toward a theory of sustainable growth}, Journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics}, Volume = {117}, Pages = {243-257}, Year = {2021}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.01.004}, Abstract = {To make progress toward a comprehensive theory of sustainable growth, this paper integrates fertility choice and exhaustible resource dynamics in a tractable model of endogenous technological change. The model identifies conditions under which the interdependence of population, resources and technology produces a transition that consists of three phases: (1) an initial phase where agents exploit exhaustible natural resources to support population growth; (2) an intermediate phase where agents turn on the Schumpeterian engine of endogenous innovation in response to population-led market expansion; (3) a terminal phase where knowledge accumulation becomes the sole engine of growth. The last phase is crucial: not only economic growth no longer requires growth of physical inputs, but technological change also compensates for the exhaustion of the natural resource.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.01.004}, Key = {fds366250} } @article{fds353241, Author = {Ferraro, D and Ghazi, S and Peretto, PF}, Title = {Implications of tax policy for innovation and aggregate productivity growth}, Journal = {European Economic Review}, Volume = {130}, Year = {2020}, Month = {November}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103590}, Abstract = {We examine the quantitative implications of income taxation for innovation and aggregate productivity growth within the context of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of innovation-led growth. In the model, innovation comes from entrants creating new products and incumbents improving own existing products. The model embodies key features of the U.S. government sector: (i) an individual income tax with differential treatment of labor income, dividends, and capital gains; (ii) a corporate tax; (iii) a consumption tax; (iv) government purchases. The model is restricted to fit observations for the post-war U.S. economy. Our results suggest that endogenous movements in aggregate productivity and endogenous market structure play a quantitatively important role in the propagation of tax shocks.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103590}, Key = {fds353241} } @article{fds325930, Author = {Coffey, B and McLaughlin, PA and Peretto, P}, Title = {The cumulative cost of regulations}, Journal = {Review of Economic Dynamics}, Volume = {38}, Number = {2016}, Pages = {1-21}, Year = {2020}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2020.03.004}, Abstract = {We estimate the effects of federal regulation on the value added to GDP for a panel of 22 industries in the United States over a period of 35 years (1977–2012). The structure of our linear specification is explicitly derived from the closed-form solutions of a multisector Schumpeterian model of endogenous growth. We allow regulation to enter the specification in a fairly flexible manner. Our estimates of the model's parameters are then identified from covariation in some standard sector-specific data joined with RegData 2.2, which measures the incidence of regulations on industries based on a text analysis of federal regulatory code. With the model's parameters fitted to real data, we confidently conduct counterfactual experiments on alternative regulatory environments. Our results show that regulatory restrictions have had a net effect of dampening economic growth by approximately 0.8 percent per annum since 1980. Had regulation been held constant at levels observed in 1980, our model predicts that the economy would have been nearly 25 percent larger by 2012 (i.e., regulatory growth since 1980 cost GDP $4 trillion in 2012, or about $13,000 per capita).}, Doi = {10.1016/j.red.2020.03.004}, Key = {fds325930} } @article{fds347330, Author = {Ferraro, D and Peretto, PF}, Title = {Innovation-led growth in a time of debt}, Journal = {European Economic Review}, Volume = {121}, Year = {2020}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.103350}, Abstract = {We study the effects of large reductions in government budget deficits (labeled “fiscal consolidations”) on firms’ entry, innovative investments, productivity and per capita output growth in a model of endogenous technological change. Due to the absence of lump-sum taxes, temporary budget deficits set government debt-output ratios on unsustainable paths. An equilibrium then requires the specification of a date at which the debt-output ratio is stabilized at a constant finite value. We discipline parameters using post-war observations for the U.S. economy. We find that fiscal consolidations produce persistent growth slowdowns, permanently lowering the path of per capita output relative to a benchmark economy in which the fiscal consolidation is achieved with lump-sum taxes. These output losses are sizable. In this sense, government debt is a burden on the economy. Tax-based consolidations produce output losses that are twice as large as those from spending-based consolidations.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.103350}, Key = {fds347330} } @article{fds346851, Author = {Kane, RF and Peretto, PF}, Title = {More apples vs. better apples: Distribution and innovation-driven growth}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Theory}, Volume = {185}, Year = {2020}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2019.104964}, Abstract = {We model distribution, the delivery of goods to customers, as an activity governed by its own technology and undertaken by firms subsequently to production. We then use the model to investigate how distribution shapes innovation-driven economic growth. We contrast two canonical specifications of distribution costs, iceberg vs. per-unit. The per-unit cost implies that factory-specific productivity improvements cannot sustain steady-state growth. Quality improvement, instead, raises the services that customers obtain from each unit of the good so that firms can increase the volume of services without increasing the volume of shipments. Unless technological advancements allow the distribution cost to fall to zero, quantity growth must cease and growth must be driven by quality improvement. More generally, the ratio of distribution to manufacturing unit costs must be constant in steady state. The iceberg cost delivers this property by assumption. The per-unit distribution cost, instead, yields an endogenous structure of the costs of serving the market.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jet.2019.104964}, Key = {fds346851} } @article{fds325931, Author = {Ferraro, D and Peretto, PF}, Title = {Commodity Prices and Growth}, Journal = {Economic Journal}, Volume = {128}, Number = {616}, Pages = {3242-3265}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2018}, Month = {December}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12559}, Abstract = {In this article, we propose an endogenous growth model of commodity-rich economies in which: (i) long-run (steady-state) growth is endogenous and yet independent of commodity prices; (ii) commodity prices affect short-run growth through transitional dynamics; and (iii) the status of net commodity importer/exporter is endogenous. We argue that these predictions are consistent with historical evidence from the 19th to the 21st century.}, Doi = {10.1111/ecoj.12559}, Key = {fds325931} } @article{fds335433, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Robust endogenous growth}, Journal = {European Economic Review}, Volume = {108}, Pages = {49-77}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2018}, Month = {September}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2018.06.007}, Abstract = {This paper studies a generalization of the Schumpeterian models with endogenous market structure that allows the overall production structure to be more than linear in the growth-driving factor and yet generates endogenous growth, defined as steady-state, constant, exponential growth of income per capita. This version of modern growth theory, therefore, is robust in the sense that its key result obtains for a thick set of parameter values instead of, as often claimed, for a set of measure zero. The paper, moreover, pays close attention to transitional dynamics, showing not only the existence but also the global stability of the endogenous-growth steady state.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.euroecorev.2018.06.007}, Key = {fds335433} } @article{fds285736, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {From Smith to Schumpeter: A Theory of Take-Off and Convergence to Sustained Growth}, Journal = {European Economic Review}, Volume = {78}, Pages = {1-26}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2015}, Month = {August}, ISSN = {0014-2921}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.05.001}, Doi = {10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.05.001}, Key = {fds285736} } @article{fds320611, Author = {Suphaphiphat, N and Peretto, PF and Valente, S}, Title = {Endogenous Growth and Property Rights over Renewable Resources}, Volume = {76}, Number = {C}, Pages = {125-151}, Year = {2015}, Abstract = {We study how different regimes of access rights to renewable natural resources – namely open access versus full property rights – affect sustainability, growth and welfare in the context of modern endogenous growth theory. Resource exhaustion may occur under both regimes but is more likely to arise under open access. Moreover, under full property rights, positive resource rents increase expenditures on manufacturing goods and temporarily accelerate productivity growth, but also yield a higher resource price at least in the short-to-medium run. We characterize analytically and quantitatively the model׳s dynamics to assess the welfare implications of differences in property rights enforcement.}, Key = {fds320611} } @article{fds320612, Author = {Iacopetta, M and Minetti, R and Peretto, PF}, Title = {Financial Markets, Industry Dynamics, and Growth}, Journal = {Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID)}, Number = {172}, Pages = {55 pages}, Year = {2014}, Month = {August}, Abstract = {We study the impact of corporate governance frictions in an economy where growth is driven both by the foundation of new firms and by the in-house investment of incumbent firms. Firms' managers engage in tunneling and empire building activities. Active shareholders monitor managers, but can shirk on their monitoring, to the detriment of minority (passive) shareholders. The analysis reveals that these conflicts among firms' stakeholders inhibit the entry of new firms, thereby increasing market concentration. Despite depressing investment returns in the short run, the frictions can however lead incumbents to invest more aggressively in the long run to exploit the concentrated market structure. By means of quantitative analysis, we characterize conditions under which corporate governance reforms boost or reduce welfare.}, Key = {fds320612} } @article{fds285738, Author = {Peretto, P}, Title = {Comments on the paper: "Production process heterogeneity, time to build, and macroeconomic performance" by M. Amendola, J. L. Gaffard and F. Saraceno}, Journal = {Revue de l'OFCE}, Volume = {124}, Number = {5}, Pages = {59a-59a}, Publisher = {CAIRN}, Year = {2012}, Month = {November}, ISSN = {1265-9576}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3917/reof.124.0513}, Doi = {10.3917/reof.124.0513}, Key = {fds285738} } @article{fds285747, Author = {Cetorelli, N and Peretto, PF}, Title = {Credit quantity and credit quality: Bank competition and capital accumulation}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Theory}, Volume = {147}, Number = {3}, Pages = {967-998}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2012}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0022-0531}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2012.01.006}, Abstract = {In this paper we show that bank competition has an intrinsically ambiguous impact on capital accumulation. We further show that it is also responsible for the emergence of development traps in economies that otherwise would be characterized by unique equilibria. These results explain the conflicting evidence emerging from the recent empirical studies of the effects of bank competition on economic growth. We obtain them developing a dynamic, general equilibrium model of capital accumulation where banks operate in a Cournot oligopoly. More banks lead to a higher quantity of credit available to entrepreneurs, but also to diminished incentives to offer relationship services that improve the likelihood of success of investment projects. We also show that conditioning on one key parameter resolves the theoretical ambiguity: in economies where intrinsic market uncertainty is high (low), less (more) competition leads to higher capital accumulation. © 2012 Elsevier Inc.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jet.2012.01.006}, Key = {fds285747} } @article{fds285746, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Resource abundance, growth and welfare: A Schumpeterian perspective}, Journal = {Journal of Development Economics}, Volume = {97}, Number = {1}, Pages = {142-155}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2012}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0304-3878}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2010.12.001}, Abstract = {This paper takes a new look at the long-run implications of resource abundance. It develops a Schumpeterian model of endogenous growth that incorporates an upstream resource-intensive sector and yields an analytical solution for the transition path. It then derives conditions under which, as the economy's endowment of a natural resource rises, (i) growth accelerates and welfare rises, (ii) growth decelerates but welfare rises nevertheless, and (iii) growth decelerates and welfare falls. Which of these scenarios prevails depends on the response of the natural resource price to an increase in the resource endowment. The price response determines the change in income earned by the owners of the resource (the households) and thereby the change in their expenditure on manufacturing goods. Since manufacturing is the economy's innovative sector, this income-to-expenditure effect links resource abundance to the size of the market for manufacturing goods and drives how re-source abundance affects incentives to undertake innovative activity. © 2010 Elsevier B.V.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jdeveco.2010.12.001}, Key = {fds285746} } @article{fds285744, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {The Growth and Welfare Effects of Deficit-Financed Dividend Tax Cuts}, Journal = {Journal of Money, Credit and Banking}, Volume = {43}, Number = {5}, Pages = {835-869}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2011}, Month = {August}, ISSN = {0022-2879}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4616.2011.00399.x}, Abstract = {I develop a tractable growth model that allows me to study analytically transition dynamics and welfare in response to a deficit-financed cut of the tax rate on distributed dividends. I then carry out a quantitative assessment of the Job Growth and Taxpayer Relief Reconciliation Act (JGTRRA) of 2003. I find that the Act produceslowersteady-state growth despite the fact that the economy's saving and employment ratiosrise. Most importantly, it produces a welfarelossof 19.34% of annual consumption per capita-a substantial effect driven by the fact that the steady-state growth rate falls from 2% to 1.08%. © 2011 The Ohio State University.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1538-4616.2011.00399.x}, Key = {fds285744} } @article{fds320613, Author = {Peretto, PF and Valente, S}, Title = {Growth on a Finite Planet: Resources, Technology and Population in the Long Run}, Number = {11}, Year = {2011}, Month = {June}, Abstract = {We study the interactions between technological change, resource scarcity and population dynamics in a Schumpeterian model with endogenous fertility. There exists a pseudo-Malthusian equilibrium in which population is constant and income grows exponentially: the equilibrium population level is determined by resource scarcity but is independent of technology. The stability properties are driven by (i) the income reaction to increased resource scarcity and (ii) the fertility response to income dynamics. If labor and resources are substitutes in production, income and fertility dynamics are self-balancing and the pseudo-Malthusian equilibrium is the global attractor of the system. If labor and resources are complements, income and fertility dynamics are self-reinforcing and drive the economy towards either demographic explosion or human extinction. Introducing a minimum resource requirement, we obtain a second steady state implying constant population even under complementarity. The standard result of exponential population growth appears as a rather special case of our model.}, Key = {fds320613} } @article{fds285745, Author = {Peretto, PF and Valente, S}, Title = {Resources, innovation and growth in the global economy}, Journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics}, Volume = {58}, Number = {4}, Pages = {387-399}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2011}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0304-3932}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2011.07.001}, Abstract = {The relative performance of open economies is analyzed in an endogenous growth model with asymmetric trade. A resource-rich country trades resource-based intermediates for final goods produced by a resource-poor economy. The effects of an increase in the resource endowment depend on the elasticity of substitution between resources and labor in intermediates' production. Under substitution (complementarity), the resource boom generates higher (lower) income, lower (higher) employment in the primary sector and faster (slower) growth in the resource-rich economy. In the resource-poor economy, the shock induces a higher (lower) relative wage and positive (negative) growth effects that are exclusively due to trade. © 2011 Elsevier B.V.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jmoneco.2011.07.001}, Key = {fds285745} } @article{fds285741, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Market power, growth, and unemployment}, Pages = {493-525}, Year = {2011}, Month = {January}, ISBN = {9781780523965}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/S1574-8715(2011)0000011024}, Abstract = {I present a model where firms and workers set wages above the marketclearing level. Unemployment is thus generated by their exercise of market power. Because both the labor and product markets are imperfectly competitive, market power in the labor market interacts with market power in the product market. This interaction sheds new light on the effects of policy interventions on unemployment and growth. For example, labor market reforms that reduce labor costs reduce unemployment and boost growth because they expand the scale of the economy and generate more competition in the product market. © 2011 by Emerald Group Publishing Limited. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1108/S1574-8715(2011)0000011024}, Key = {fds285741} } @article{fds285749, Author = {Sá, N and Connolly, M and Peretto, P}, Title = {Sustaining the goose that lays the golden egg: A continuous treatment of technological transfer}, Journal = {Scottish Journal of Political Economy}, Volume = {56}, Number = {4}, Pages = {492-507}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2009}, Month = {November}, ISSN = {0036-9292}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9485.2009.00495.x}, Abstract = {This paper proposes a simple model of the trade-offs perceived by innovating firms when investing in countries with limited intellectual property rights (IPR). The model allows for a continuous treatment of technology transfer and production cost gains occurring through FDI. While it does not consider possible changes in rates of innovation caused by changes in IPR in developing countries, it allows one to uncover a potentially non-monotonic relationship between welfare and IPR in the recipient country. © 2009 The Authors. Journal compilation © 2009 Scottish Economic Society.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1467-9485.2009.00495.x}, Key = {fds285749} } @article{fds285743, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Energy taxes and endogenous technological change}, Journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, Volume = {57}, Number = {3}, Pages = {269-283}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2009}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0095-0696}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2008.07.007}, Abstract = {This paper studies the effects of a tax on energy use in a growth model where market structure is endogenous and jointly determined with the rate of technological change. Because this economy does not exhibit the scale effect (a positive relation between TFP growth and aggregate R&D), the tax has no effect on the steady-state growth rate. It has, however, important transitional effects that give rise to surprising results. Specifically, under the plausible assumption that energy demand is inelastic, there may exist a hump-shaped relation between the energy tax and welfare. This shape stems from the fact that the reallocation of resources from energy production to manufacturing triggers a temporary acceleration of TFP growth that generates a √-shaped time profile of consumption. If endogenous technological change raises consumption sufficiently fast and by a sufficient amount in the long run, and households are sufficiently patient, the tax raises welfare despite the fact that-in line with standard intuition-it lowers consumption in the short run. © 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jeem.2008.07.007}, Key = {fds285743} } @article{fds285742, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Effluent taxes, market structure, and the rate and direction of endogenous technological change}, Journal = {Environmental and Resource Economics}, Volume = {39}, Number = {2}, Pages = {113-138}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2008}, Month = {February}, ISSN = {0924-6460}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10640-007-9101-z}, Abstract = {This paper studies the effects of effluent taxes on firms' allocation of resources to cost-reducing and emission-reducing R&D, and on entrepreneurs' decisions to develop new goods and enter the market. A tax set at an exogenous rate that does not depend on the state of technology reduces growth, the level of consumption of each good, and raises the number of firms. The induced increase in the variety of goods is a benefit not considered in previous analyses. In terms of environmental benefits, the tax induces a positive rate of pollution abatement that offsets the "dirty" side of economic growth. A tax set at an endogenous rate that holds constant the tax burden per unit of output, in contrast, has ambiguous effects on growth, the scale of activity of each firm and the number of firms. Besides being novel, the potential positive growth effect of this type of effluent tax is precisely what makes this instrument effective for welfare-maximizing purposes. The socially optimal policy, in fact, requires the tax burden per unit of output to equal the marginal rate of substitution between the growth rate of consumption and abatement. Moreover, a tax/subsidy on entry is needed, depending on whether the contribution of product variety to pollution dominates consumers' love of variety. © 2007 Springer Science+Business Media, Inc.}, Doi = {10.1007/s10640-007-9101-z}, Key = {fds285742} } @article{fds285748, Author = {Peretto, PF and Connolly, M}, Title = {The Manhattan metaphor}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Growth}, Volume = {12}, Number = {4}, Pages = {329-350}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2007}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {1381-4338}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10887-007-9023-1}, Abstract = {Fixed operating costs draw a sharp distinction between endogenous growth based on horizontal and vertical innovation: a larger number of product lines puts pressure on an economy's resources; greater productivity of existing product lines does not. Consequently, the only plausible engine of endogenous growth is vertical innovation whereby progress along the quality or cost ladder does not require the replication of fixed costs. Is, then, product variety expansion irrelevant? No. The two dimensions of technology are complementary in that using one and the other produces a more comprehensive theory of economic growth. The vertical dimension allows endogenous growth unconstrained by endowments, the horizontal provides the mechanism that translates changes in aggregate variables into changes in product-level variables, which ultimately drive incentives to push the technological frontier in the vertical dimension. We show that the potential for exponential growth due to an externality that makes entry costs fall linearly with the number of products, combined with the limited carrying capacity of the system due to fixed operating costs, yields logistic dynamics for the number of products. This desirable property allows us to provide a closed-form solution for the model's transition path and thereby derive analytically the welfare effects of changes in parameters and policy variables. Our Manhattan Metaphor illustrates conceptually why we obtain this mathematical representation when we simply add fixed operating costs to the standard modeling of variety expansion. © Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2007.}, Doi = {10.1007/s10887-007-9023-1}, Key = {fds285748} } @article{fds285751, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Schumpeterian growth with productive public spending and distortionary taxation}, Journal = {Review of Development Economics}, Volume = {11}, Number = {4}, Pages = {699-722}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2007}, Month = {November}, ISSN = {1363-6669}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9361.2007.00425.x}, Abstract = {Schumpeterian growth theory eliminates the scale effect by positing a process of development of new product lines that fragments the aggregate market in submarkets whose size does not increase with population or the size of the workforce. This entails the sterilization of the growth effects of selected fiscal variables. This insight is applied to shed new light on the role of distortionary taxes on consumption, household labor and assets income, corporate income, and of productive public spending. The framework allows the identification of which of these fiscal variables have permanent (steady-state) growth effects, and which ones have only transitory effects. It also allows the transitional dynamics to be solved analytically and thus the analysis of the welfare effects of revenue-neutral changes in tax structure. It is found that replacing taxes that distort labor supply with taxes that distort saving/investment choices raises welfare, and the intuition behind this surprising result is discussed. © 2007 The Author; Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1467-9361.2007.00425.x}, Key = {fds285751} } @article{fds285764, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Corporate taxes, growth and welfare in a Schumpeterian economy}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Theory}, Volume = {137}, Number = {1}, Pages = {353-382}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2007}, Month = {November}, ISSN = {0022-0531}, url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10161/1939 Duke open access}, Abstract = {I take a new look at the long-run implications of taxation through the lens of modern Schumpeterian growth theory. I focus on the latest vintage of models that sterilize the scale effect through a process of product proliferation that fragments the aggregate market into submarkets whose size does not increase with the size of the workforce. I show that the following interventions raise welfare: (a) granting full expensibility of R&D to incorporated firms; (b) eliminating the corporate income tax and/or the capital gains tax; (c) reducing taxes on labor and/or consumption. What makes these results remarkable is that in all three cases the endogenous increase in the tax on dividends necessary to balance the budget has a positive effect on growth. A general implication of my analysis is that corporate taxation plays a special role in Schumpeterian economies and provides novel insights on how to design welfare-enhancing tax reforms. © 2007 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jet.2006.11.005}, Key = {fds285764} } @article{fds285750, Author = {Laincz, CA and Peretto, PF}, Title = {Scale effects in endogenous growth theory: An error of aggregation not specification}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Growth}, Volume = {11}, Number = {3}, Pages = {263-288}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2006}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {1381-4338}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10887-006-9004-9}, Abstract = {Modern Schumpeterian growth theory focuses on the product line as the main locus of innovation and exploits endogenous product proliferation to sterilize the scale effect. The empirical core of this theory consists of two claims: (i) growth depends on average employment (i.e., employment per product line); (ii) average employment is scale invariant. We show that data on employment, RandD personnel, and the number of establishments in the US for the period 1964-2001 provide strong support for these claims. While employment and the total number of R&D workers increase with no apparent matching change in the long-run trend of productivity growth, employment and RandD employment per establishment exhibit no long-run trend. We also document that the number of establishments, employment and population exhibit a positive trend, while the ratio employment/establishment does not. Finally, we provide results of time series tests consistent with the predictions of these models. © Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2006.}, Doi = {10.1007/s10887-006-9004-9}, Key = {fds285750} } @article{fds285765, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Fiscal policy and long-run growth in R&D-based models with endogenous market structure}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Growth}, Volume = {8}, Number = {3}, Pages = {325-347}, Year = {2003}, Month = {September}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1026288415768}, Abstract = {This paper shows that in a model of endogenous growth that does not exhibit the scale effect, taxes on consumption and labor income and the level and composition of public expenditure have no effect on steady-state growth. The only fiscal instruments that affect steady-state growth are taxes on asset and corporate income. In line with standard intuition, tax rates and public expenditure have level effects on income per capita. These results emphasize that although growth is endogenous, in the sense that it is determined by the model and it is subject to policy action, instruments that work by changing market size do not affect it. Effective growth-enhancing policies operate through the interest rate. © 2003 Kluwer Academic Publishers.}, Doi = {10.1023/A:1026288415768}, Key = {fds285765} } @article{fds285757, Author = {Connolly, M and Peretto, PF}, Title = {Industry and the family: Two engines of growth}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Growth}, Volume = {8}, Number = {1}, Pages = {115-148}, Year = {2003}, Month = {March}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1022864901652}, Abstract = {We generalize the class of endogenous growth models in which the scale of the economy has level rather than growth effects, and study the implications of different demographic and technological factors when both fertility choice and research effort are endogenous. The model incorporates two dimensions of technological progress: vertical (quality of goods) and horizontal (variety of goods). Both dimensions contribute to productivity growth but are driven by different processes and hence respond differently to changes in fundamentals. Specifically, while unbounded vertical progress is feasible, the scale of the economy limits the variety of goods. Incorporating a linearity in reproduction generates steady-state population growth and variety expansion. We thus have two engines of growth generating dynamics that we compare with observed changes in demographics, market structure, and patterns of growth. Numerical solutions yield the important insight that, while endogenous, fertility responds very little to industrial policies. Demographic shocks, in contrast, have substantial effects on growth. © 2003 Kluwer Academic Publishers.}, Doi = {10.1023/A:1022864901652}, Key = {fds285757} } @article{fds285756, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Endogenous market structure and the growth and welfare effects of economic integration}, Journal = {Journal of International Economics}, Volume = {60}, Number = {1}, Pages = {177-201}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2003}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(02)00025-9}, Abstract = {This paper studies the growth and welfare effects of integration in a world economy populated by global oligopolists. In economies that move from autarky to trade, growth and welfare rise because exit of domestic firms is more than compensated by entry of foreign firms so that integration generates a larger, more competitive market where firms have access to a larger body of technological spillovers that support faster growth. The effects of a gradual reduction of tariffs are different because economies start out from a situation where all firms already serve all markets. In this case, the global number of firms falls so that the variety of consumption goods and the diversity of innovation paths fall. The surviving firms, on the other hand, are larger and exploit static and dynamic economies of scale to a larger degree. These homogenization and rationalization effects work in opposite directions. Under plausible conditions, the rationalization effect dominates and growth and welfare rise. © 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1016/S0022-1996(02)00025-9}, Key = {fds285756} } @article{fds285755, Author = {Peretto, P and Smulders, S}, Title = {Technological distance, growth and scale effects}, Journal = {Economic Journal}, Volume = {112}, Number = {481}, Pages = {603-624}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2002}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1468-0297.00732}, Abstract = {We present an endogenous growth model in which the scale effect may be positive or negative but vanishes asymptotically. The mechanism behind this result provides a microfoundation for models that exploit the interaction of growth and market structure to remove the scale effect. When more firms are active, the economy is more specialised in that firms are less likely to work on related problems. This increase in technological distance reduces the spillovers between firms. A larger economy with more firms accumulates more knowledge. However, the spillovers that benefit a firm do not necessarily increase because of the differentiation of the knowledge stock.}, Doi = {10.1111/1468-0297.00732}, Key = {fds285755} } @article{fds285754, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Firm size, rivalry and the extent of the market in endogenous technological change}, Journal = {European Economic Review}, Volume = {43}, Number = {9}, Pages = {1747-1773}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {1999}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0014-2921(98)00038-5}, Abstract = {Evidence shows that firms build their market position by accumulating knowledge protected by secrecy, patents and other appropriation devices. I explore the implications of this fact in a model economy where oligopolistic firms establish in-house R and D programs. In symmetric equilibrium, the number of firms determines concentration and firm size. These determine the scale and the efficiency of R and D operations and the rate of innovation. The number of firms, moreover, is endogenous and determined jointly with the rate of growth by the zero-profit condition. This property yields new results. For example, the scale effect of population size may be negative. The market allocation of resources is not Pareto optimal. I discuss the nature of this distortion.}, Doi = {10.1016/S0014-2921(98)00038-5}, Key = {fds285754} } @article{fds285753, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Industrial development, technological change, and long-run growth}, Journal = {Journal of Development Economics}, Volume = {59}, Number = {2}, Pages = {389-417}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {1999}, Month = {August}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3878(99)00018-8}, Abstract = {To account for the qualitative differences between developed and developing countries, this paper argues that the expensive in-house R and D that manufacturing firms undertake in advanced industrial economies cannot be supported in countries that are in the early stage of industrialization and do not have sufficiently large markets for manufacturing goods. Such economies grow as standard development models predict: by accumulating physical and human capital and increasing specialization by industry. Only at sufficiently high levels of development there are incentives for systematic R and D efforts. As a result, economies go through an industrial life cycle as they move from initial backwardness to industrial maturity. In other words, development and growth are stages of a process of structural transformation characterized by changing patterns of capital accumulation, specialization by industry, and technological change.}, Doi = {10.1016/S0304-3878(99)00018-8}, Key = {fds285753} } @article{fds285752, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Cost reduction, entry, and the interdependence of market structure and economic growth}, Journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics}, Volume = {43}, Number = {1}, Pages = {173-195}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {1999}, Month = {February}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3932(98)00040-3}, Abstract = {I study the joint determination of market structure and growth in an oligopolistic economy. Firms run in-house R&D programs to produce over time a continuous flow of cost-reducing innovations. In symmetric equilibrium, the relation between market structure and growth has two aspects. First, a larger number of firms induces fragmentation of the market and dispersion of R&D resources. This prevents exploitation of scale economies internal to the firm and slows down growth. Second, the number of firms changes with market and technology conditions and is endogenous. In particular, R&D spending is a fixed cost and there is a negative feed-back of the rate of growth on the number of firms. The explicit consideration of the interdependence of market structure and growth identifies a fundamental trade-off between growth and variety that produces interesting results. For example, the scale effect is bounded from above and converges to zero when the number of firms is large. Moreover, the market grows too little and supplies too much variety. The inefficiency is not due to technological externalities but to oligopolistic pricing and the interaction between R&D and entry decisions.}, Doi = {10.1016/S0304-3932(98)00040-3}, Key = {fds285752} } @article{fds285758, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Technological change and population growth}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Growth}, Volume = {3}, Number = {4}, Pages = {283-311}, Year = {1998}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {1381-4338}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1009799405456}, Abstract = {What is the relationship between the rate of population growth and the rate of technological change? To answer this question, I discuss a model where increasing returns generate long-run growth but where the scale effect is absent. More precisely, the model predicts that steady-state productivity growth does not depend on population size because an increase in population size leads to entry. The resulting crowding-in effect generates dispersion of R&D resources across firms and offsets the positive effect of the scale of the economy on the returns to R&D. Changes in population size have only transitory effects on productivity growth. This desirable property allows me to introduce population growth in the model and study the effects of demographic shocks. The predicted patterns of growth, entry, and change in industrial structure match the experience of several industrialized countries. In addition, they match several of the empirical observations cited as evidence against standard models of endogenous technological change. © 1998 Kluwer Academic Publishers.}, Doi = {10.1023/A:1009799405456}, Key = {fds285758} } @article{fds285763, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Technological change, market rivalry, and the evolution of the capitalist engine of growth}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Growth}, Volume = {3}, Number = {1}, Pages = {53-80}, Year = {1998}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {1381-4338}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1009722031825}, Abstract = {In the early stages of Western industrialization, innovation was the domain of individuals who devoted their entrepreneurial talents to the development of a new product or process, typically setting up a new firm in order to take the innovation to the market. Today, commercial R&D is almost exclusively carried out by corporate laboratories affiliated with manufacturing firms. The corporate R&D lab, however, did not exist in its modern form until the late nineteenth century. The history of Western industrialization, thus, suggests that a fundamental change in the structure of incentives, and consequently in the nature and the organization of the R&D process, occurred around the turn of the century. Three questions arise. What is the nature of this change? What economic forces caused it? What are its implications? To answer these questions, I construct a model where this change is endogenous to the evolution of the economy toward industrial maturity. The change in the locus of innovation - from R&D undertaken by intventor-entrepreneurs, to R&D undertaken within established firms in close proximity to the production line - results from the interaction of market structure and technological change. This interaction captures the essence of the evolution of the capitalist engine of growth and provides an economic explanation of a "stylized fact" that has received no attention in the theoretical literature. The endogenous market structure generates dynamic feedbacks that shape the growth path of the economy and determine the structural change it undergoes, including the endogenous formation of corporate R&D labs. The evolution of market rivalry explains when and how established firms become the major locus of R&D activity. © 1998 Kluwer Academic Publishers.}, Doi = {10.1023/A:1009722031825}, Key = {fds285763} } @article{fds285762, Author = {Malerba, F and Orsenigo, L and Peretto, P}, Title = {Persistence of innovative activities, sectoral patterns of innovation and international technological specialization}, Journal = {International Journal of Industrial Organization}, Volume = {15}, Number = {6}, Pages = {801-826}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {1997}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0167-7187(97)00012-x}, Abstract = {In this paper, we focus on the role of persistence and heterogeneity of innovative activities at the level of the firm in determining the patterns of technological change in different industries and countries. We ask: are persistence and heterogeneity associated with higher degrees of concentration in innovative activities, stability in the ranking of innovators, and lower degrees of entry and exit in the population of innovators? Or, do the patterns of innovation depend on other variables like firm size and industrial concentration? Moreover, what are the relationships between the patterns of innovative activities, their determinants, and the technological specialization of countries? We compute indicators of persistence and heterogeneity using the OTAF-SPRU patent database at the firm level for five European countries over the period 1969-1986 for 33 technological classes. Then, we estimate the relationships between our indicators of the sectoral patterns of innovative activities and international technological specialization on the one hand, and our indicators of persistence, heterogeneity and market structure on the other. Results show that persistence and asymmetries are important (and strongly related) phenomena that affect the patterns of innovative activities across countries and sectors, while the role of market structure variables is less clear. Finally, international technological specialization is associated to a competitive core of persistent innovators. © 1997 Elsevier Science B.V.}, Doi = {10.1016/s0167-7187(97)00012-x}, Key = {fds285762} } @article{fds285761, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Sunk costs, market structure, and growth}, Journal = {International Economic Review}, Volume = {37}, Number = {4}, Pages = {895-923}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1996}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2527316}, Abstract = {I present a model of endogenous innovation where firms undertake in-house research and development (R&D). The concentration of sales and R&D resources determines the scale and efficiency of R&D operations and rate of productivity growth. In zero-profit equilibrium, R&D expenditure is one component of total fixed costs and determines the number of active firms. This feedback generates interdependent pricing, investment, and entry/exit decisions. The (jointly determined) rate of growth and number of firms supported in general equilibrium define the economy's balanced growth path. Multiple equilibria exist, and firms' expectations about rivalry determine the economy's performance.}, Doi = {10.2307/2527316}, Key = {fds285761} } @article{fds285760, Author = {Peretto, P and Malerba, F and Heimler, A}, Title = {Sources, Appropriability and Directions of Technological Change: USA and Italy}, Journal = {Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review}, Year = {1993}, Month = {June}, Key = {fds285760} } @article{fds285759, Author = {Peretto, P}, Title = {Technoloy, Learning Opportunity and Internaitonal Competitiveness: Some Empirical Evidence with Panel Data}, Journal = {Giornale degli Economisti}, Year = {1990}, Month = {May}, Key = {fds285759} } %% Chapters in Books @misc{fds325932, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Market Power, Unemployment, and Growth}, Pages = {493-525}, Booktitle = {Frontiers of Economic Growth and Development}, Publisher = {Emerald Group Publishing Limited}, Editor = {de La Grandville and O and Choi, EK}, Year = {2012}, ISBN = {978-1-78052-396-5}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/S1574-8715(2011)0000011024}, Abstract = {I present a model where firms and workers set wages above the market-clearing level. Unemployment is thus generated by their exercise of market power. Because both the labor and product markets are imperfectly competitive, market power in the labor market interacts with market power in the product market. This interaction sheds new light on the effects of policy interventions on unemployment and growth. For example, labor market reforms that reduce labor costs reduce unemployment and boost growth because they expand the scale of the economy and generate more competition in the product market.}, Doi = {10.1108/S1574-8715(2011)0000011024}, Key = {fds325932} } @misc{fds325933, Author = {Peretto, PF}, Title = {Variety, Spillovers and Market Structure in a Model of Endogenous Technological Change}, Pages = {338-366}, Booktitle = {Increasing Returns and Economic Analysis}, Publisher = {Macmillan Press Ltd}, Editor = {Arrow, KJ and Ng, YK and Yang, X}, Year = {1998}, ISBN = {978-1-349-26257-1}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-26255-7_21}, Abstract = {Growth theorists have produced a number of interesting models investigating the idea that technological progress, the engine of growth in income per capita, is endogenous to the economic system and driven by market forces. These models are radically different from the traditional theory of economic growth based on capital accumulation and emphasize the incentives for profit-seeking agents to undertake R&D aimed at developing new products and processes, or incrementally improving old ones. In particular, infinitely lived and perfectly enforceable patents generate local monopolies by assigning to the innovator the exclusive right to manufacture and sell the new good.1 The emphasis on the non-rivalry of knowledge and the patent law makes clear that imperfect markets and monopoly power are necessary for profit-seeking agents to undertake R&D and innovation. However, these models focus exclusively on monopolistic competition to describe market structure and firms’ behaviour. In addition, the emphasis on the patent market and free entry in R&D neglects the fact that most innovations are carried out by established producers. As a consequence, these models neglect the central role of the oligopolistic corporation and its in-house integration of manufacturing and R&D. Thus, the theory does not address those components of the market structure, like concentration, firm size and market rivalry, emphasized by Schumpeter (1942) as key determinants of the R&D activity of profit-seeking firms.}, Doi = {10.1007/978-1-349-26255-7_21}, Key = {fds325933} } | |
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