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| Publications of Philip J. Cook :chronological alphabetical combined listing:%% Books @book{fds370071, Author = {Braga, AA and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Policing gun violence: Strategic reforms for controlling our most pressing crime problem}, Pages = {1-241}, Year = {2023}, Month = {January}, ISBN = {9780199929283}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780199929283.001.0001}, Abstract = {This book makes the case that increasing the effectiveness of the police in gun-violence prevention is both possible and essential. It is essential because in many cities, gun violence is the most pressing crime problem, making cities less liveable and negatively affecting economic development. There is no good alternative to police authority for gaining control of criminal gangs and interrupting cycles of retaliation. Increasing police effectiveness is possible due to considerable advances in the understanding of what works (and what does not) in the strategic use of police resources. In particular, innovations such as focused deterrence, hot spots policing, procedural justice, and enhanced shooting investigations have been widely studied and offer real promise if implemented correctly. The challenges in this domain begin with the fact that low-income communities of color, which bear the brunt of gun violence, tend to be distrustful of the police. Residents of these communities often believe that they are overpoliced, due to heavy-handed tactics and officer-involved shootings. But they also believe they are underpoliced, as evidenced by slow response times, failure to intervene in tense situations, and low arrest rates for serious crime. A comprehensive strategy for policing gun violence requires a community focus and a commitment to reining in police misbehavior. This book makes the case that, done correctly, policing gun violence is an urgent investment and a matter of social justice.}, Doi = {10.1093/oso/9780199929283.001.0001}, Key = {fds370071} } @book{fds339875, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Foreword}, Pages = {xiii-xiv}, Publisher = {Routledge}, Year = {2018}, Month = {January}, ISBN = {9780813397801}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9780429501265}, Doi = {10.4324/9780429501265}, Key = {fds339875} } @book{fds333581, Author = {Krawiec, K and Cook, P}, Title = {If We Allow Football Players and Boxers to Be Paid for Entertaining the Public, Why Don't We Allow Kidney Donors to Be Paid for Saving Lives?}, Volume = {81}, Pages = {9-35}, Year = {2018}, Key = {fds333581} } @misc{fds266429, Author = {Cook, PJ and Goss, KA}, Title = {The Gun Debate: What Everyone Needs to Know}, Pages = {336 pages}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press}, Year = {2014}, ISBN = {0190073454}, Abstract = {The volume includes information on gun control pertaining to U.S. history, jurisprudence, cultural beliefs, political agendas, epidemiologcal data, criminology, law and regulation, and policy effectiveness.}, Key = {fds266429} } @misc{fds266428, Author = {Cook, PJ and Machin, S and Marie, O and Mastrobuoni, G}, Title = {Lessons from the Economics of Crime: What Reduces Offending?}, Publisher = {MIT Press}, Address = {Cambridge, MA}, Year = {2013}, Key = {fds266428} } @book{fds266472, Author = {Cook, Philip J. and Ludwig, Jens and McCrary, Justin}, Title = {Controlling Crime: Strategies and Tradeoffs}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Address = {Chicago}, Editor = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J and McCrary, J}, Year = {2011}, url = {http://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/C/bo12322295.html}, Key = {fds266472} } @book{fds266427, Author = {Frank, RH and Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Winner-Take-All Society}, Publisher = {Virgin Books}, Year = {2010}, Key = {fds266427} } @book{fds266426, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Paying the Tab: The Economics of Alcohol Policy}, Publisher = {Princeton University Press}, Year = {2007}, Key = {fds266426} } @book{fds14350, Title = {Evaluating Gun Violence}, Publisher = {Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press}, Editor = {J Ludwig and PJ Cook}, Year = {2003}, Key = {fds14350} } @book{fds266425, Title = {Evaluating Gun Policy}, Publisher = {Brookings Institution Press}, Editor = {Ludwig, J and Cook, PJ}, Year = {2003}, Key = {fds266425} } @book{fds47480, Author = {PJ Cook and J Ludwig}, Title = {Gun Violence: The Real Costs}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press}, Year = {2000}, Key = {fds47480} } @book{fds266424, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Gun Violence: The Real Costs}, Pages = {1-256}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press}, Year = {2000}, ISBN = {0195137930}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153842.001.0001}, Abstract = {Until now researchers have assessed the burden imposed by gunshot injuries and deaths in terms of medical costs and lost productivity. Here, the chapters widen the lens, developing a framework to calculate the full costs borne by Americans in a society where both gun violence and its ever-present threat mandate responses that touch every aspect of our lives. All Americans share the costs of gun violence. Whether waiting in line to pass through airport security or paying taxes for the protection of public officials; whether buying a transparent book-bag for their children to meet their school's post-Columbine regulations or subsidizing an urban trauma center, the steps taken are many and the expenditures enormous. The chapters reveal that investments in prevention, avoidance, and harm reduction, both public and private, constitute a far greater share of the gun-violence burden than previously recognized. They also employ extensive survey data to measure the subjective costs of living in a society where there is risk of being shot or losing a loved one or neighbor to gunfire. At the same time, they demonstrate that the problem of gun violence is not intractable. The review of the available evidence suggests that there are both additional gun regulations and targeted law enforcement measures that will help. This book moves the debate over gun violence past symbolic politics to a direct engagement with the costs and benefits of policies that hold promise for reducing gun violence and may even pay for themselves.}, Doi = {10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153842.001.0001}, Key = {fds266424} } @book{fds266342, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Guns in America results of a comprehensive national survey on firearms ownership and use}, Pages = {94 pages}, Publisher = {The Police Foundation}, Year = {1996}, Month = {January}, Abstract = {With nearly 200,000,000 guns in private hands, firearms have an important impact on the quality of American life.}, Key = {fds266342} } @book{fds266423, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Kids, Guns and Public Policy}, Volume = {59}, Number = {1}, Publisher = {Duke University School of Law}, Editor = {Cook, PJ}, Year = {1996}, Month = {Winter}, Key = {fds266423} } @book{fds266422, Author = {Frank, RH and Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Winner-Take-All Society}, Publisher = {New York: The Free Press}, Year = {1995}, Key = {fds266422} } @book{fds47388, Author = {PJ Cook and D Slawson}, Title = {The Costs of Processing Murder Cases in North Carolina}, Publisher = {Administrative Office of the Courts, Raleigh, NC}, Year = {1993}, Key = {fds47388} } @book{fds266346, Author = {Cook, PJ and Slawson, D}, Title = {The Costs of Adjudicating Murder Cases in North Carolina}, Publisher = {Administrative Office of the Courts}, Year = {1993}, Key = {fds266346} } @book{fds266475, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Selling Hope: State Lotteries in America}, Publisher = {Harvard University Press}, Year = {1989}, url = {http://www.pubpol.duke.edu/people/faculty/clotfelter/index.html}, Key = {fds266475} } @book{fds47338, Title = {Vice}, Journal = {Law and Contemporary Problems}, Editor = {PJ Cook}, Year = {1988}, Month = {Winter}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0023-9186%28198824%2951%3A1%3C1%3AAITV%3E2.0.CO%3B2-F}, Key = {fds47338} } @book{fds266347, Author = {Cook, P}, Title = {Robbery in the United States an analysis of recent trends and patterns}, Pages = {32 pages}, Publisher = {National Institute of Justice}, Year = {1983}, Month = {September}, Key = {fds266347} } @book{fds47423, Author = {PJ Cook}, Title = {Robbery in the United States}, Publisher = {National Institute of Justice}, Year = {1983}, Month = {September}, Key = {fds47423} } @book{fds47422, Title = {Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science}, Series = {Issue entitled "Gun Control"}, Editor = {PJ Cook}, Year = {1981}, Month = {May}, Key = {fds47422} } @book{fds266348, Author = {Blose, J and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Regulating Handgun Transfers Current State and Federal Procedures, and an Assessment of the Feasibility and Cost of the Proposed Procedures in the Handgun Crime Control Act of 1979}, Pages = {136 pages}, Publisher = {Institute of Policy Sciences and Public Affairs, Duke University}, Year = {1980}, Key = {fds266348} } @book{fds266343, Author = {Cook, PJ and Nagin, D}, Title = {Does the Weapon Matter? An Evaluation of a Weapon Emphasis Policy in the Prosecution of Violent Offenders}, Publisher = {Institute of Law and Social Research}, Year = {1979}, Key = {fds266343} } @book{fds266349, Author = {Vaupel, JW and Cook, P}, Title = {Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Self-hazardous Behavior}, Pages = {158 pages}, Publisher = {Institute of Policy Sciences and Public Affairs, Duke University}, Year = {1978}, Key = {fds266349} } @book{fds266350, Author = {Cook, PJ and Austin, J and Levi, R}, Title = {A Summary of State Legal Codes Governing Juvenile Delinquency Proceedings}, Publisher = {Institute of Policy Sciences and Public Affairs, Duke University}, Year = {1977}, Key = {fds266350} } @book{fds266421, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Criminal Process in the Seventies}, Volume = {41}, Number = {1}, Editor = {Pye, AK and Cook, PJ}, Year = {1977}, Month = {Winter}, Key = {fds266421} } @book{fds266351, Author = {Cook, PJ and Fischer, GW}, Title = {Citizen Cooperation with the Criminal Justice System}, Pages = {158 pages}, Year = {1976}, Key = {fds266351} } @book{fds289583, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Valuing Lives}, Volume = {40}, Pages = {17-22}, Editor = {Cook, PJ}, Year = {1976}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0023-9186(197623)40:4%3C1:F%3E2.0CO;2-E}, Abstract = {In the history and traditions of India, the river plays an overwhelming role - shaping her economy and the culture. All old civilisations were cradled in river valleys. But the importance of a river in a tropical country with a nine-month dry period led to the symbolism of river as the life-giver, the concept of Ganga - the mother and provider. Lately, modern industrialism, population expansion and over-exploitation have caused serious degradation to the country's river systems. Whereas development has brought in benefits, it has also imposed environmental costs, normally not entered in the books of cost-benefit. The river for the Indian society has been extremely valuable; it remains so and will remain more so in the future, for development and sustainability of the civilisation. River provides both use values and non-use values. The use value is derived out of direct uses like in irrigation, drinking water usage or power generation. The indirect uses are from maintenance of ground water, deposition of silts during flooding and maintaining the fertility of the soil, moderation of the microclimate etc. The non-use value is derived in form of its scenic significance and the religious and cultural importance to the Indian civilisation. The intention in this paper is to provide a theoretical and methodological foundation to valuing the river in all its tangibles and intangibles. This is likely to help in evaluating projects as well as in decision making about social investments in their preservation, conservation and wherever necessary, in re-generation of the river systems.}, Key = {fds289583} } @book{fds266352, Author = {Cook, PJ and University of California and BIOIR and Administration, USDOLM}, Title = {The effect of legitimate opportunities on the probability of parolee recidivism}, Pages = {96 pages}, Year = {1971}, Key = {fds266352} } %% Book Reviews @article{fds214742, Author = {P.J. Cook}, Title = {Craig Whitney's Living With Guns}, Journal = {New York Times}, Year = {2012}, Month = {December}, Key = {fds214742} } @article{fds157262, Author = {P.J. Cook}, Title = {The Economics of Crime by Harold Winter}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Literature}, Year = {2009}, Month = {September}, Key = {fds157262} } @article{fds266353, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Economics of Crime: An introduction to rational crime analysis by Harold Winter}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Literature}, Volume = {47}, Year = {2009}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0364-281X}, Key = {fds266353} } @article{fds303083, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Demand for Alcohol, Tobacco, and Marijuana: International Evidence by S. Selvanathan and E.A. Selvanathan}, Journal = {Addiction}, Volume = {102}, Pages = {830-830}, Publisher = {Wiley: 12 months}, Year = {2007}, ISSN = {1360-0443}, Key = {fds303083} } @article{fds303084, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Can Gun Control Work? by James B. Jacobs}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {23 (1)}, Number = {Winter}, Pages = {198-201}, Publisher = {Wiley}, Year = {2004}, ISSN = {1520-6688}, Key = {fds303084} } @article{fds303085, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Drug War Heresies by Robert J. MacCoun and Peter Reuter}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {21 (2)}, Number = {Spring}, Pages = {303-306}, Publisher = {Wiley}, Year = {2002}, ISSN = {1520-6688}, Key = {fds303085} } @article{fds266358, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {What Price Fame? by Tyler Cowen}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Literature}, Pages = {933-935}, Year = {2001}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0364-281X}, Key = {fds266358} } @article{fds303086, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Cost-Benefit Analysis of Heroin Maintenance Treatment by Felix Gutzwiller and Thomas Steffen}, Journal = {Addiction}, Volume = {96}, Pages = {1071-1072}, Publisher = {Wiley: 12 months}, Year = {2001}, ISSN = {1360-0443}, Key = {fds303086} } @article{fds266359, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Reducing Firearm Injury and Death: A public health sourcebook on guns by Trudy Ann Karlson and Stephen W. Hargarten}, Journal = {The New England journal of medicine}, Publisher = {Massachusetts Medical Society}, Year = {1998}, Month = {February}, ISSN = {1533-4406}, Key = {fds266359} } @article{fds266361, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Point Blank: Guns and Violence in America by Gary Kleck}, Journal = {The New England journal of medicine}, Publisher = {Massachusetts Medical Society}, Year = {1994}, Month = {February}, ISSN = {1533-4406}, Key = {fds266361} } @article{fds266360, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Smoking Policy: Law Politics and Culture, Robert L. Rabin and Stephen D. Sugarman, eds.}, Journal = {Science}, Volume = {262}, Year = {1993}, Month = {December}, Key = {fds266360} } @article{fds266363, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Confronting Drunk Driving: Social Policy for Saving Lives by H. Lawrence Ross}, Journal = {Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law}, Volume = {18 (1)}, Number = {Spring}, Pages = {235-237}, Publisher = {Duke University Press}, Year = {1993}, ISSN = {1527-1927}, Key = {fds266363} } @article{fds266362, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Costs of Poor Health Habits by Willard Manning et. al.}, Journal = {The Costs of Poor Health Habits in Policy Currents}, Volume = {2 (4)}, Number = {November}, Year = {1992}, Key = {fds266362} } @article{fds266364, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results by Mark A.R. Kleiman and The Search for Rational Drug Control Policy by Franklin E. Zimring and Gordon Hawkins}, Journal = {The Search for Rational Drug Control Policy in Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {11 (4)}, Number = {Fall}, Year = {1992}, Key = {fds266364} } @article{fds266365, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Drugs and Crime, Michael Tonry and Norval Morris, eds.}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {10 (3)}, Number = {Summer}, Publisher = {Wiley}, Year = {1991}, ISSN = {1520-6688}, Key = {fds266365} } @article{fds266366, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Social Control of the Drinking Driver, Michael D. Laurence, John R. Snortum, and Franklin Zimring. eds.}, Journal = {Science}, Year = {1988}, Month = {July}, Key = {fds266366} } @article{fds266367, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Choosing the Right Pond: Human Behavior and the Quest for Status by Robert H. Frank}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Number = {Fall}, Publisher = {Wiley}, Year = {1986}, ISSN = {1520-6688}, Key = {fds266367} } @article{fds266368, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Deterring the Drinking Driver by Laurence Ross}, Journal = {Journal of Health Politics, Policy, and Law}, Number = {Winter}, Pages = {958-961}, Year = {1983}, Abstract = {Also published in Popular Government, Winter 1983, 37 38.}, Key = {fds266368} } @article{fds266369, Author = {Cook, PJ and White, A}, Title = {Economic Models of Criminal Behavior by John Heineke}, Journal = {Southern economic journal}, Number = {April}, Pages = {1255-1257}, Publisher = {Southern Economic Association}, Year = {1980}, ISSN = {0038-4038}, Key = {fds266369} } @article{fds266370, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Prisoners Among Us by David T. Stanley}, Journal = {Policy analysis}, Number = {Winter}, Pages = {139-141}, Year = {1978}, ISSN = {0098-2067}, Key = {fds266370} } @article{fds266371, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Public Policy Evaluation by Kenneth Dolbeare}, Journal = {Policy analysis}, Number = {Fall}, Pages = {604-606}, Year = {1977}, ISSN = {0098-2067}, Key = {fds266371} } @article{fds266372, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Crime, Punishment, and Deterrence by Jack P. Gibbs}, Journal = {Contemporary Psychology}, Volume = {21}, Number = {5}, Year = {1976}, Key = {fds266372} } %% Journal Articles @article{fds375283, Author = {Cook, PJ and Lopez, J}, Title = {Explaining the Extraordinary Decline in Chicago’s Homicide Arrest Rates, 1965 to 1994 and Beyond: Trends in Case Mix Versus Standards for Arrest}, Journal = {Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice}, Volume = {40}, Number = {1}, Pages = {82-112}, Year = {2024}, Month = {February}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/10439862231219470}, Abstract = {Chicago’s homicide arrest rate dropped from 91% in 1965 to 57% in 1994 and dropped still lower in recent years. This pattern mirrors the trend in the national homicide clearance rate. A plausible explanation for this great decline is the trend in homicide case mix, which arguably has made it intrinsically more difficult to solve homicide cases. Our analysis describes the change in case mix for the period 1965 to 2020 and analyzes the effect on the arrest rate for the first 30 years of this period, all by use of a unique homicide case microdata set. We document the large changes in case mix: for example, the percentage of all homicides in which a male victim was shot outdoors increased from 18% (1965) to 69% (2020). But the change in case mix does not account for Chicago’s great decline during the earlier decades, as we demonstrate by use of a novel arrest rate index. In fact, the arrest rates in each of the categories defined by location, sex, and weapon type exhibited similar declines through 1994. (Subsequent years of arrest data are unavailable for now.) Our preferred explanation for the great decline is that the operational standard for making an arrest increased during this period. That interpretation is well supported by evidence explaining the corresponding national trend, though direct evidence is lacking for Chicago. This interpretation challenges the use of the arrest rate as a police performance indicator and offers a positive interpretation of the great decline.}, Doi = {10.1177/10439862231219470}, Key = {fds375283} } @article{fds376103, Author = {Cook, PJ and Mancik, A}, Title = {The Sixty-Year Trajectory of Homicide Clearance Rates: Toward a Better Understanding of the Great Decline}, Journal = {Annual Review of Criminology}, Volume = {7}, Pages = {59-83}, Year = {2024}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-criminol-022422-122744}, Abstract = {In 1962, the FBI reported a national homicide clearance rate of 93%. That rate dropped 29 points by 1994. This Great Decline has been studied and accepted as a real phenomenon but remains mysterious, as does the period of relative stability that followed. The decline was shared across regions and all city sizes but differed greatly among categories defined by victim race and weapon type. Gun homicides with Black victims accounted for most of the decline. We review the evidence on several possible explanations for the national decline, including those pertaining to case mix, investigation resources, and citizen cooperation. Our preferred explanation includes an upward trend in the standard for arrest, with strong evidence that although clearance-by-arrest rates declined, the likelihood of conviction and prison sentence actually increased. That result has obvious implications for the history of policing practice and for the validity of the usual clearance rate as a police performance measure.}, Doi = {10.1146/annurev-criminol-022422-122744}, Key = {fds376103} } @article{fds350093, Author = {Zang, E and Tan, PL and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Sibling Spillovers: Having an Academically Successful Older Sibling May be More Important for Children in Disadvantaged Families.}, Journal = {AJS; American journal of sociology}, Volume = {128}, Number = {5}, Pages = {1529-1571}, Year = {2023}, Month = {March}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/724723}, Abstract = {This paper examines causal sibling spillover effects among students from different family backgrounds in elementary and middle school. Family backgrounds are captured by race, household structure, mothers' educational attainment, and school poverty. Exploiting discontinuities in school starting age created by North Carolina school-entry laws, we adopt a quasi-experimental approach and compare test scores of public school students whose older siblings were born shortly before and after the school-entry cutoff date. We find that individuals whose older siblings were born shortly after the school-entry cutoff date have significantly higher test scores in middle school, and that this positive spillover effect is particularly strong in disadvantaged families. We estimate that the spillover effect accounts for approximately one third of observed statistical associations in test scores between siblings, and the magnitude is much larger for disadvantaged families. Our results suggest that spillover effects from older to younger siblings may lead to greater divergence in academic outcomes and economic inequality between families.}, Doi = {10.1086/724723}, Key = {fds350093} } @article{fds357520, Author = {Guryan, J and Ludwig, J and Bhatt, MP and Cook, PJ and Davis, JMV and Dodge, K and Farkas, G and Fryer, RG and Mayer, S and Pollack, H and Steinberg, L and Stoddard, G}, Title = {Not Too Late: Improving Academic Outcomes among Adolescents}, Journal = {American Economic Review}, Volume = {113}, Number = {3}, Pages = {738-765}, Publisher = {American Economic Association}, Year = {2023}, Month = {March}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.20210434}, Abstract = {Improving academic outcomes for economically disadvantaged students has proven challenging, particularly for children at older ages. We present two large-scale randomized controlled trials of a high-dosage tutoring program delivered to secondary school students in Chicago. One innovation is to use paraprofessional tutors to hold down cost, thereby increasing scalability. Participating in math tutoring increases math test scores by 0.18 to 0.40 standard deviations and increases math and nonmath course grades. These effects persist into future years. The data are consistent with increased personalization of instruction as a mechanism. The benefit- cost ratio is comparable to many successful early childhood programs.(JEL H75, I21, I24, I26, I32, J13, J15).}, Doi = {10.1257/aer.20210434}, Key = {fds357520} } @article{fds364018, Author = {Barber, C and Cook, PJ and Parker, ST}, Title = {The emerging infrastructure of US firearms injury data.}, Journal = {Preventive medicine}, Volume = {165}, Number = {Pt A}, Pages = {107129}, Year = {2022}, Month = {December}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2022.107129}, Abstract = {For every fatal shooting in the United States, detailed information from reports of coroners or medical examiners, police departments, and other sources is recorded in the National Violent Death Reporting System. There is no such system in place for nonfatal shootings, which far outnumber fatalities. Hospital data systems are in place that could, with some improvements, provide access to reliable local, state and national estimates of firearm injuries. Such estimates are possible because most firearms injuries are treated in hospitals, and hospitals routinely assign "external cause of injury" codes to all injury encounters. Federal health agencies supervise a number of data systems that centralize hospital data. Challenges currently being addressed are public access, timeliness, and accuracy of coding of intent. (Hospitals misclassify many firearm assaults as accidents.) Law enforcement agencies provide detailed data on shootings in criminal circumstances, including shootings that are not treated in a hospital. The FBI's Uniform Crime Reports (UCR) system aggregates data from agencies. The FBI instituted a radical reform of this system beginning in 2021, resulting in a sharp agency participation drop that prevents valid national estimates. The reform requires agencies to report incident-level data instead of summary counts, which is all that was required for the previous 90 years. There are ongoing efforts to increase participation in the new system and restore its former status as the leading source of national crime estimates. In the meantime, data on nonfatal gunshot cases are available from a number of police departments. We discuss additional reforms needed to generate timely, accurate, publicly accessible data from hospitals and police.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.ypmed.2022.107129}, Key = {fds364018} } @article{fds368417, Author = {Cook, PJ and Parker, ST}, Title = {Correcting Misinformation on Firearms Injuries.}, Journal = {JAMA network open}, Volume = {5}, Number = {12}, Pages = {e2246434}, Year = {2022}, Month = {December}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.46434}, Doi = {10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.46434}, Key = {fds368417} } @article{fds367848, Author = {Gibson, JA and Gebhardt, MJ and Santos, RERS and Dove, SL and Watnick, PI}, Title = {Sequestration of a dual function DNA-binding protein by Vibrio cholerae CRP.}, Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, Volume = {119}, Number = {46}, Pages = {e2210115119}, Year = {2022}, Month = {November}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2210115119}, Abstract = {Although the mechanism by which the cyclic AMP receptor protein (CRP) regulates global gene transcription has been intensively studied for decades, new discoveries remain to be made. Here, we report that, during rapid growth, CRP associates with both the well-conserved, dual-function DNA-binding protein peptidase A (PepA) and the cell membrane. These interactions are not present under nutrient-limited growth conditions, due to post-translational modification of three lysines on a single face of CRP. Although coincident DNA binding is rare, dissociation from CRP results in increased PepA occupancy at many chromosomal binding sites and differential regulation of hundreds of genes, including several encoding cyclic dinucleotide phosphodiesterases. We show that PepA represses biofilm formation and activates motility/chemotaxis. We propose a model in which membrane-bound CRP interferes with PepA DNA binding. Under nutrient limitation, PepA is released. Together, CRP and free PepA activate a transcriptional response that impels the bacterium to seek a more hospitable environment. This work uncovers a function for CRP in the sequestration of a regulatory protein. More broadly, it describes a paradigm of bacterial transcriptome modulation through metabolically regulated association of transcription factors with the cell membrane.}, Doi = {10.1073/pnas.2210115119}, Key = {fds367848} } @article{fds371408, Author = {Braga, AA and Cook, PJ and Douglas, S}, Title = {Prevention Strategies for Policing Gun Violence}, Journal = {Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science}, Volume = {704}, Number = {1}, Pages = {158-180}, Year = {2022}, Month = {November}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/00027162231164481}, Abstract = {The police have the unique capacity to preempt and deter violence and to reduce the use of firearms in violent encounters. But overly aggressive policing tactics have contributed to a fraught relationship with low-income minority communities in which gun violence is heavily concentrated. Increased resources should be devoted to policing gun violence, but efforts of this sort must be targeted and disciplined. Effective policing requires a focus on the places and people that are at greatest risk; and there is a strong case for police agencies to increase the resources devoted to investigations of all criminal shootings, not just homicides. Successful policing of gun violence requires a productive working relationship with victims and their neighbors, which can be facilitated through observing community policing principles and respect for residents’ interests.}, Doi = {10.1177/00027162231164481}, Key = {fds371408} } @article{fds367305, Author = {Cook, PJ and Donohue, JJ}, Title = {Regulating Assault Weapons and Large-Capacity Magazines for Ammunition.}, Journal = {JAMA}, Volume = {328}, Number = {12}, Pages = {1191-1192}, Year = {2022}, Month = {September}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1001/jama.2022.17120}, Doi = {10.1001/jama.2022.17120}, Key = {fds367305} } @article{fds364256, Author = {Donohue, JJ and Cai, S and Bondy, M and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Why Does Right-to-Carry Cause Violent Crime to Increase?}, Year = {2022}, Month = {June}, Key = {fds364256} } @article{fds363121, Author = {Cook, PJ and Parker, ST}, Title = {Reducing Misuse of Handguns by Rural Youth-Focus on the Parents.}, Journal = {JAMA network open}, Volume = {5}, Number = {4}, Pages = {e225136}, Year = {2022}, Month = {April}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.5136}, Doi = {10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.5136}, Key = {fds363121} } @article{fds362023, Author = {Gibson, JM and MacDonald, JM and Fisher, M and Chen, X and Pawlick, A and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Early life lead exposure from private well water increases juvenile delinquency risk among US teens.}, Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, Volume = {119}, Number = {6}, Pages = {e2110694119}, Year = {2022}, Month = {February}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2110694119}, Abstract = {Early life exposure to environmental lead (Pb) has been linked to decreased IQ, behavior problems, lower lifetime earnings, and increased criminal activity. Beginning in the 1970s, limits on Pb in paint, gasoline, food cans, and regulated water utilities sharply curtailed US environmental Pb exposure. Nonetheless, hundreds of thousands of US children remain at risk. This study reports on how unregulated private well water is an underrecognized Pb exposure source that is associated with an increased risk of teenage juvenile delinquency. We build a longitudinal dataset linking blood Pb measurements for 13,580 children under age 6 to their drinking water source, individual- and neighborhood-level demographics, and reported juvenile delinquency records. We estimate how early life Pb exposure from private well water influences reported delinquency. On average, children in homes with unregulated private wells had 11% higher blood Pb than those with community water service. This higher blood Pb was significantly associated with reported delinquency. Compared to children with community water service, those relying on private wells had a 21% (95% CI: 5 to 40%) higher risk of being reported for any delinquency and a 38% (95% CI: 10 to 73%) increased risk of being reported for serious delinquency after age 14. These results suggest that there could be substantial but as-yet-unrecognized social benefits from intervention programs to prevent children's exposure to Pb from private wells, on which 13% of the US population relies.}, Doi = {10.1073/pnas.2110694119}, Key = {fds362023} } @article{fds352324, Author = {Braga, AA and Brunson, RK and Cook, PJ and Turchan, B and Wade, B}, Title = {Underground Gun Markets and the Flow of Illegal Guns into the Bronx and Brooklyn: A Mixed Methods Analysis.}, Journal = {Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine}, Volume = {98}, Number = {5}, Pages = {596-608}, Year = {2021}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11524-020-00477-z}, Abstract = {New York City (NYC) has experienced large reductions in violent crime over the last two decades, but gun-related violence continues to pose a threat to public safety. Despite strong gun laws, high-risk individuals in NYC neighborhoods are unfortunately still able to access and misuse firearms. This research analyzes NYC's underground gun market by closely examining the flow of guns into the two boroughs where gun violence and crime gun recoveries are most prevalent: the Bronx and Brooklyn. A mixed methods approach is utilized that consists of an assessment of firearms trace data and in-depth interviews with individuals considered to be at high risk for involvement in gun violence. Findings suggest that guns recovered in the Bronx and Brooklyn were significantly more likely to originate in states with less restrictive gun laws and more likely to have changed ownership in unregulated transactions relative to guns recovered elsewhere in NYC. Interviews revealed three primary avenues for illegal guns reaching Bronx and Brooklyn neighborhoods: high-volume gun brokers, middlemen, and individuals who make episodic low-level acquisitions from straw purchasers in other states. No subjects identified theft as a meaningful source of crime guns.}, Doi = {10.1007/s11524-020-00477-z}, Key = {fds352324} } @article{fds357519, Author = {Guryan, J and Ludwig, J and Bhatt, M and Cook, PJ and Davis, JMV and Dodge, K and Farkas, G and Fryer, RG and Mayer, S and Pollack, HA and Steinberg, L}, Title = {Not Too Late: Improving Academic Outcomes Among Adolescents}, Journal = {University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper}, Number = {2021}, Year = {2021}, Month = {March}, Key = {fds357519} } @article{fds354309, Author = {White, K and Cook, PJ and Pollack, HA}, Title = {Gunshot-victim cooperation with police investigations: Results from the Chicago Inmate Survey.}, Journal = {Preventive medicine}, Volume = {143}, Pages = {106381}, Year = {2021}, Month = {February}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2020.106381}, Abstract = {Just one in ten nonfatal shootings in Chicago lead to an arrest. Unlike in fatal cases, gunshot victims who survive can often provide information of use in the police investigation. Nonetheless, nonfatal shooting cases in Chicago and elsewhere have much lower arrest rates than fatal cases, in part because most victims do not cooperate. We use data from the Chicago Inmate Survey (CIS) to analyze the potential value that gunshot-victim cooperation could have for increasing arrest rates. Half of CIS respondents reported they had been shot before. Very few cooperated with police investigations of these shootings, although at least half of them could have provided useful information. In fact, victims were more likely to speak with the police when they did not have any information on their shooter. Respondents explained their choice not to cooperate by reference to "street codes" against snitching, mistrust of the police, and the desire to retaliate against the shooter personally. If more shooting victims could be persuaded to cooperate, the police could solve more cases and hence be more effective in curtailing gun violence.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.ypmed.2020.106381}, Key = {fds354309} } @article{fds357489, Author = {Cook, PJ and Berglund, A}, Title = {More and better video evidence for police investigations of shootings: Chicago's area technology centers}, Journal = {Policing}, Volume = {44}, Number = {4}, Pages = {655-668}, Year = {2021}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/PIJPSM-12-2020-0186}, Abstract = {Purpose: The purpose of this study is to describe the creation, implementation, activities and rationale for the Area Technology Centers (ATCs), an innovation adopted by the Chicago Police Department’s (CPD’s) Bureau of Detectives (BoD) in 2019 for the purpose of supporting investigations of crimes of serious violence by deploying specialized teams of officers to gather and process video and digital evidence. Design/methodology/approach: This case study utilizes historical information and descriptive data generated by a record-keeping system adopted by the ATCs. Findings: The ATCs were developed as a collaboration between the CPD and the University of Chicago Crime Lab (a research center). The start-up was funded by a gift from the Griffin Foundation. Detectives have made extensive use of the services provided by the ATCs from the beginning, with the result that homicide and shooting investigations now have access to more video and digital evidence that has been processed by state-of-the-art equipment. The CPD has assumed budget responsibility for the ATCs, which is an indication of their success. The ATC teams have been assembled by voluntary transfers by sworn officers, together with an embedded analyst from the University of Chicago. Practical implications: The ATC model could be adopted by other large police departments. The study finds that ATCs can be effectively staffed by redeploying and training existing staff and that their operation does not require a budget increase. Social implications: By arguably making police investigations of shooting cases more efficient, the ATCs have the potential to increase the clearance rate and thereby prevent future gun violence. Originality/value: The ATCs are a novel response to the challenges of securing and making good use of video and digital evidence in police investigations.}, Doi = {10.1108/PIJPSM-12-2020-0186}, Key = {fds357489} } @article{fds355589, Author = {Barao, L and Braga, AA and Turchan, B and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Clearing gang- and drug-involved nonfatal shootings}, Journal = {Policing}, Volume = {44}, Number = {4}, Pages = {577-590}, Year = {2021}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/PIJPSM-01-2021-0011}, Abstract = {Purpose: Clearance rates for nonfatal shootings, especially cases involving gang- and drug-related violence, are disturbingly low in many US cities. Using data from a previously completed project in Boston, we explore the prospects for improving gang/drug nonfatal shooting cases by investing the same investigative effort found in similar gang/drug gun murder cases. Design/methodology/approach: Our analyses primarily focus on a sample of 231 nonfatal shootings that occurred in Boston from 2010 to 2014. Logistic regressions are first used to analyze differences in the likelihood of case clearance for gang/drug nonfatal shooting cases relative to other nonfatal shooting cases. Independent samples t-tests are then used to compare the investigative characteristics of these two different kinds of nonfatal shootings. Next, independent samples t-tests are used to compare the investigation of gang/drug gun assaults relative to the investigation of very similar gang/drug gun homicides. Findings: Results demonstrate that the odds of clearing gang/drug nonfatal shootings are 77.2% less likely relative to the odds of clearing nonfatal shootings resulting from other circumstances. This stark difference in clearance rates is not driven by diminished investigative effort, but investigative effort does matter. Relative to gang/drug gun assaults, gang/drug gun homicides have much higher clearance rates that are the result of greater investigative resources and effort that produces significantly more witnesses and evidence, and generate more forensic tests and follow-up investigative actions. Originality/value: Gang- and drug-related violence generates a bulk of urban nonfatal shootings. Low clearance rates for nonfatal shootings undermine police efforts to hold offenders accountable, disrupt cycles of gun violence, and provide justice to victims. Police should make investments to improve investigative effort such as handling these cases with the same vigor as homicide cases.}, Doi = {10.1108/PIJPSM-01-2021-0011}, Key = {fds355589} } @article{fds352429, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Thinking about gun violence}, Journal = {Criminology and Public Policy}, Volume = {19}, Number = {4}, Pages = {1371-1393}, Year = {2020}, Month = {November}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1745-9133.12519}, Abstract = {The Stockholm Prize for 2020 was awarded for research on gun violence and its prevention, and recognizes the growing depth and scope of this field. I am honored to be a co-recipient, together with Franklin E. Zimring. This essay focuses on three of the topics that have been on my agenda over the course of the last 45 years: how best to conceptualize and measure the problem of gun violence; the availability of guns to violent offenders; and how and why to improve police investigations of criminal shooting incidents, including assaults and homicides.}, Doi = {10.1111/1745-9133.12519}, Key = {fds352429} } @article{fds350982, Author = {Gibson, JM and Fisher, M and Clonch, A and MacDonald, JM and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Children drinking private well water have higher blood lead than those with city water.}, Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, Volume = {117}, Number = {29}, Pages = {16898-16907}, Year = {2020}, Month = {July}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2002729117}, Abstract = {Although the Flint, Michigan, water crisis renewed concerns about lead (Pb) in city drinking water, little attention has been paid to Pb in private wells, which provide drinking water for 13% of the US population. This study evaluates the risk of Pb exposure in children in households relying on private wells. It is based on a curated dataset of blood Pb records from 59,483 North Carolina children matched with household water source information. We analyze the dataset for statistical associations between children's blood Pb and household drinking water source. The analysis shows that children in homes relying on private wells have 25% increased odds (95% CI 6.2 to 48%, <i>P</i> < 0.01) of elevated blood Pb, compared with children in houses served by a community water system that is regulated under the Safe Drinking Water Act. This increased Pb exposure is likely a result of corrosion of household plumbing and well components, because homes relying on private wells rarely treat their water to prevent corrosion. In contrast, corrosion control is required in regulated community water systems. These findings highlight the need for targeted outreach to prevent Pb exposure for the 42.5 million Americans depending on private wells for their drinking water.}, Doi = {10.1073/pnas.2002729117}, Key = {fds350982} } @article{fds366350, Author = {Cook, PJ and Kang, S}, Title = {Girls to the front: How redshirting and test-score gaps are affected by a change in the school-entry cut date}, Journal = {Economics of Education Review}, Volume = {76}, Year = {2020}, Month = {June}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2020.101968}, Abstract = {Most states have moved their public-school-entry cut date forward in recent years. In North Carolina the latest date by which a matriculant must turn 5 was recently changed from October 16th to August 31st. Those born in between the old and new cut dates (the “swing group”), formerly among the youngest entrants, became the oldest. Utilizing a comprehensive statewide administrative data set, we demonstrate that for the swing group the black-white standardized test-score gaps (3rd and 4th grade) has narrowed, and the gender gaps changed markedly to favor girls. These shifts are explained in part by the near elimination of redshirting for the swing group, and in part by gender differences in the gain to being older.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.econedurev.2020.101968}, Key = {fds366350} } @article{fds354532, Author = {Krawiec, K and Cook, P}, Title = {Kidney Donation and the Consent of the Poor}, Journal = {Loyola Law Review}, Volume = {66}, Number = {1}, Pages = {23-32}, Year = {2020}, Key = {fds354532} } @article{fds343563, Author = {Cook, PJ and Pollack, HA and White, K}, Title = {The Last Link: from Gun Acquisition to Criminal Use.}, Journal = {Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine}, Volume = {96}, Number = {5}, Pages = {784-791}, Year = {2019}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11524-019-00358-0}, Abstract = {Guns that are used in crime and recovered by the police typically have changed hands often since first retail sale and are quite old. While there is an extensive literature on "time to crime" for guns, defined as the elapsed time from first retail sale to known use in a crime, there is little information available on the duration of the "last link"-the elapsed time from the transaction that actually provided the offender with the gun in question. In this article, we use data from the new Chicago Inmate Survey (CIS) to estimate the duration of the last link. The median is just 2 months. Many of the gun-involved respondents to the CIS (42%) did not have any gun 6 months prior to their arrest for the current crime. The CIS respondents were almost all barred from purchasing a gun from a gun store because of their prior criminal record-as a result, their guns were obtained by illegal transactions with friends, relatives, and the underground market. We conclude that more effective enforcement of the laws governing gun transactions may have a quick and pervasive effect on gun use in crime.}, Doi = {10.1007/s11524-019-00358-0}, Key = {fds343563} } @article{fds343387, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {RESPONSE TO COUNTERPOINT: VIOLENCE ITSELF IS A ROOT CAUSE OF VIOLENCE}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {38}, Number = {3}, Pages = {802-804}, Year = {2019}, Month = {June}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pam.22142}, Doi = {10.1002/pam.22142}, Key = {fds343387} } @article{fds343386, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {UNDERSTANDING GUN VIOLENCE: PUBLIC HEALTH VS. PUBLIC POLICY}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {38}, Number = {3}, Pages = {788-795}, Year = {2019}, Month = {June}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pam.22141}, Doi = {10.1002/pam.22141}, Key = {fds343386} } @article{fds335163, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {The social costs of gun ownership: a reply to Hayo, Neumeier, and Westphal}, Journal = {Empirical Economics}, Volume = {56}, Number = {1}, Pages = {13-22}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2019}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00181-018-1497-5}, Abstract = {We respond to the new article by Hayo, Neumeier, and Westphal (HNW), which is a critique of our 2006 article. The principal contribution of that article was to use a greatly improved proxy for gun prevalence to estimate the effect of gun prevalence on homicide rates. While the best available, our proxy, the ratio of firearms suicides to total suicides in a jurisdiction (FSS), is subject to measurement error which limits its use to larger jurisdictions that have enough suicides to stabilize the ratio. In this response, we report estimates for four different specifications and two data sets, the 200-county data and the data for the 50 states. We develop the claim that measurement error in FSS helps explain the observed pattern of results. Adopting the assumption that FSS follows a binomial process with a number of trials equal to the number of suicides, we characterize the relationship between measurement error and size of the jurisdiction, and thereby justify our conclusion that restricting the estimation to large jurisdictions reduces measurement error in FSS and hence the attenuation bias in the key coefficient estimate. We conclude that for the county-level data, the measurement error in FSS is of greater concern than using a specification that is flexible with respect to population. HNW focus on the latter but at the cost of increasing the effects of the former. We then demonstrate that the state-level data provide a robust case that more guns lead to more homicides.}, Doi = {10.1007/s00181-018-1497-5}, Key = {fds335163} } @article{fds343790, Author = {Weisburd, D and Majmundar, MK and Aden, H and Braga, A and Bueermann, J and Cook, PJ and Goff, PA and Harmon, RA and Haviland, A and Lum, C and Manski, C and Mastrofski, S and Meares, T and Nagin, D and Owens, E and Raphael, S and Ratcliffe, J and Tyler, T}, Title = {Proactive Policing: a Summary of the Report of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine}, Journal = {Asian Journal of Criminology}, Year = {2019}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11417-019-09284-1}, Abstract = {This paper provides a summary of our report for the National Academy of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine on proactive policing. We find that there is sufficient scientific evidence to support the adoption of many proactive policing practices if the primary goal is to reduce crime, though the evidence base generally does not provide long-term or jurisdictional estimates. In turn, we conclude that crime prevention outcomes can often be obtained without producing negative community reactions. However, the most effective proactive policing strategies do not appear to have strong positive impacts on citizen perceptions of the police. At the same time, some community-based strategies have begun to show evidence of improving the relations between the police and public. We conclude that there are likely to be large racial disparities in the volume and nature of police–citizen encounters when police target high-risk people or high-risk places, as is common in many proactive policing programs. We could not conclude whether such disparities are due to statistical prediction, racial animus, implicit bias, or other causes.}, Doi = {10.1007/s11417-019-09284-1}, Key = {fds343790} } @article{fds345654, Author = {Cook, PJ and Braga, AA and Turchan, BS and Barao, LM}, Title = {Why do gun murders have a higher clearance rate than gunshot assaults?}, Journal = {Criminology and Public Policy}, Volume = {18}, Number = {3}, Pages = {525-551}, Year = {2019}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1745-9133.12451}, Abstract = {Research Summary: The prevailing view is that follow-up investigations are of limited value as crimes are primarily cleared by patrol officers making on-scene arrests and through the presence of eyewitnesses and forensic evidence at the initial crime scene. We use a quasi-experimental design to compare investigative resources invested in clearing gun homicide cases relative to nonfatal gun assaults in Boston. We find the large gap in clearances (43% for gun murders vs. 19% for nonfatal gun assaults) is primarily a result of sustained investigative effort in homicide cases made after the first 2 days. Policy Implications: Police departments should invest additional resources in the investigation of nonfatal gun assaults. When additional investigative effort is expended, law enforcement improves its success in gaining the cooperation of key witnesses and increases the amount of forensic evidence collected and analyzed. In turn, the capacity of the police to hold violent gun offenders accountable, deliver justice to victims, and prevent future gun attacks is enhanced.}, Doi = {10.1111/1745-9133.12451}, Key = {fds345654} } @article{fds339874, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Expanding the Public Health Approach to Gun Violence Prevention.}, Journal = {Annals of internal medicine}, Volume = {169}, Number = {10}, Pages = {723-724}, Year = {2018}, Month = {November}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.7326/m18-2846}, Doi = {10.7326/m18-2846}, Key = {fds339874} } @article{fds337404, Author = {Braga AA, and Cook PJ}, Title = {The association of firearm caliber with likelihood of death from gunshot injury in criminal assaults}, Journal = {JAMA Network Open}, Volume = {1}, Number = {3}, Pages = {e180833}, Year = {2018}, Month = {July}, url = {https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2688536}, Abstract = {Importance A foundational issue in firearms policy has been whether the type of weapon used in an assault affects the likelihood of death.Objective To determine whether the likelihood of death from gunshot wounds inflicted in criminal assaults is associated with the power of the assailant’s firearm as indicated by its caliber.Design, Setting, and Participants Cross-sectional study with multivariate analysis of data on shooting cases extracted by the authors from police investigation files for assaults that took place in Boston, Massachusetts, between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2014. These data were analyzed between October 1, 2017, and February 18, 2018. In all cases the victim sustained 1 or more gunshot wounds in circumstances that the Boston Police Department deemed criminal. The working sample included all 221 gun homicides and a stratified random sample of 300 nonfatal cases drawn from the 1012 that occurred during the 5-year period. Seven nonfatal cases were omitted because they had been misclassified.Exposures The primary source of variation was the caliber of the firearm used to shoot the victim.Main Outcomes and Measures Whether the victim died from the gunshot wound(s).Results The final sample of 511 gunshot victims and survivors (n = 220 fatal; n = 291 nonfatal) was predominantly male (n = 470 [92.2%]), black (n = 413 [80.8%]) or Hispanic (n = 69 [13.5%]), and young (mean [SD] age, 26.8 [9.4] years). Police investigations determined firearm caliber in 184 nonfatal cases (63.2%) and 183 fatal cases (83.2%). These 367 cases were divided into 3 groups by caliber: small (.22, .25, and .32), medium (.38, .380, and 9 mm), or large (.357 magnum, .40, .44 magnum, .45, 10 mm, and 7.62 × 39 mm). Firearm caliber had no systematic association with the number of wounds, the location of wounds, circumstances of the assault, or victim characteristics, as demonstrated by χ2 tests of each cluster of variables and by a comprehensive multinomial logit analysis. A logit analysis of the likelihood of death found that compared with small-caliber cases, medium caliber had an odds ratio of 2.25 (95% CI, 1.37-3.70; P = .001) and large caliber had an odds ratio of 4.54 (95% CI, 2.37-8.70; P < .001). Based on a simulation using the logit equation, replacing the medium- and large-caliber guns with small-caliber guns would have reduced gun homicides by 39.5%.Conclusions and Relevance Firearms caliber was associated with the likelihood of death from gunshot wounds in criminal assault. Shootings with larger-caliber handguns were more deadly but no more sustained or accurate than shootings with smaller-caliber handguns. This conclusion is of direct relevance to the design of gun policy.}, Doi = {10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2018.0833}, Key = {fds337404} } @article{fds335164, Author = {Smucker, S and Kerber, RE and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Suicide and Additional Homicides Associated with Intimate Partner Homicide: North Carolina 2004-2013.}, Journal = {Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine}, Volume = {95}, Number = {3}, Pages = {337-343}, Year = {2018}, Month = {June}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11524-018-0252-8}, Abstract = {Intimate partner homicide (IPH) is a critical public health and safety issue in the USA. In this study, we determine the prevalence and correlates of perpetrator suicide and additional homicides following intimate partner homicide (IPH) in a large, diverse state with high quality data. We extract IPHs from the North Carolina Violent Death Reporting System for 2004-2013 and identify suicides and other homicides that were part of the same incidents. We analyze the likelihood (in odds ration form) of perpetrator suicide and additional homicides using logistic regression analysis. Almost all IPH-suicide cases were by men with guns (86.6%). Almost one-half of IPHs committed by men with guns ended with suicide. Male-perpetrated IPH incidents averaged 1.58 deaths if a gun was used, and 1.14 deaths otherwise. It is well-known that gun access increases the chance that a violent domestic relationship will end in death. The current findings demonstrate that gun IPH is often coupled with additional killings. As suicidal batterers will not be deterred from IPH by threat of punishment, the results underline the importance of preemption by limiting batterers' access to guns.}, Doi = {10.1007/s11524-018-0252-8}, Key = {fds335164} } @article{fds333796, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Gun Theft and Crime.}, Journal = {Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine}, Volume = {95}, Number = {3}, Pages = {305-312}, Year = {2018}, Month = {June}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11524-018-0253-7}, Abstract = {Some law enforcement officials and other observers have asserted that theft is the primary source of guns to crime. In fact, the role of theft in supplying the guns used in robbery, assault, and murder is unknown, and current evidence provides little guidance about whether an effective program to reduce gun theft would reduce gun violence. The current article analyzes publicly available national data on gun theft together with a unique data set for Chicago. The results tend to support a conclusion that stolen guns play only a minor role in crime. First, publicly available data are used to calculate that thefts are only about 1% of all gun transactions nationwide. Second, an analysis of original data from Chicago demonstrates that less than 3% of crime guns recovered by the police have been reported stolen to the Chicago Police Department (CPD). If a gun is reported stolen, there is a 20% chance that it will be recovered, usually in conjunction with an arrest for illegal carrying. Less than half of those picked up with a stolen gun have a criminal record that includes violent offenses. Third, results from surveys of convicted criminals, both nationally and in Chicago, suggest that it is rare for respondents to have stolen the gun used in their most recent crime. The data on which these results are based have various shortcomings. A research agenda is proposed that would provide more certainty about the role of theft.}, Doi = {10.1007/s11524-018-0253-7}, Key = {fds333796} } @article{fds335165, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Challenge of Firearms Control in a Free Society}, Journal = {Criminology and Public Policy}, Volume = {17}, Number = {2}, Pages = {437-451}, Year = {2018}, Month = {May}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1745-9133.12359}, Abstract = {Chapter 10 of The Challenge of Crime in a Free Society, titled “Control of Firearms,” is a brief but strong statement in support of regulating gun transactions, possession, and carrying, with several specific recommendations, including the adoption of universal gun registration and permit-to-purchase requirements. The U.S. President's Commission on Law Enforcement and Administration of Justice, when writing the chapter, had no systematic research to draw on. Since its publication in 1967, the field of gun violence has become an active area of research, and much has been learned. But the nation has become far more polarized politically during the last 50 years, and gun policy has become a rigidly partisan issue. A new commission would have great difficulty reaching consensus, although there may be common ground on regulating guns vis-à-vis mental illness and domestic violence.}, Doi = {10.1111/1745-9133.12359}, Key = {fds335165} } @article{fds335166, Author = {Cook, PJ and Kang, S}, Title = {The School-Entry-Age Rule Affects Redshirting Patterns and Resulting Disparities in Achievement}, Year = {2018}, Month = {April}, Key = {fds335166} } @article{fds333797, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Gun markets}, Journal = {Annual Review of Criminology}, Volume = {1}, Number = {1}, Pages = {379-400}, Publisher = {ANNUAL REVIEWS}, Year = {2018}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-criminol-032317-092149}, Abstract = {The systematic study of how available weapons influence the rates, patterns, and outcomes of criminal violence is new, but it is now a well-established and fast-growing subfield in criminology, legal studies, public health, and economics. This review focuses on the transactions that arm dangerous offenders, noting that if those transactions could be effectively curtailed it would have an immediate and profound effect on gun violence and homicide rates. Guns are legal commodities, but violent offenders typically obtain their guns by illegal means. Our knowledge of these transactions comes primarily from trace data on guns recovered by the police and from occasional surveys of gun-involved offenders. Because most guns used in crime are sourced from the stock of guns in private hands (rather than a purchase from a licensed dealer), the local prevalence of gun ownership appears to influence the transaction costs and the proportions of robberies and assaults committed with guns rather than knives or other weapons. Nonetheless, regulations that govern licensed dealers have been linked to trafficking patterns and in some cases to the use of guns in crime.}, Doi = {10.1146/annurev-criminol-032317-092149}, Key = {fds333797} } @article{fds335167, Author = {Cook, PJ and Krawiec, K}, Title = {If We Pay Football Players, Why Not Kidney Donors?}, Journal = {Regulation}, Volume = {41}, Pages = {12-17}, Publisher = {Cato Institute}, Year = {2018}, Abstract = {Ethicists who oppose compensating kidney donors claim they do so because kidney donation is risky for the donor’s health, donors may not appreciate the risks and may be cognitively biased in other ways, and donors may come from disadvantaged groups and thus could be exploited. However, few ethical qualms are raised about professional football players, who face much greater health risks than kidney donors, have much less counseling and screening concerning that risk, and who often come from racial and economic groups deemed disadvantaged. It thus seems that either ethicists—and the law—should ban both professional football and compensated organ donation, allow both, or allow compensated organ donation but prohibit professional football. The fact that we choose none of those options raises questions about the wisdom of the compensation ban}, Key = {fds335167} } @article{fds330821, Author = {Cook, PJ and Donohue, JJ}, Title = {Saving lives by regulating guns: Evidence for policy}, Journal = {Science}, Volume = {358}, Number = {6368}, Pages = {1259}, Year = {2017}, Month = {December}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aar3067}, Doi = {10.1126/science.aar3067}, Key = {fds330821} } @article{fds330368, Author = {Sorensen, LC and Cook, PJ and Dodge, KA}, Title = {From Parents to Peers: Trajectories in Sources of Academic Influence Grades 4 to 8}, Journal = {Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis}, Volume = {39}, Number = {4}, Pages = {697-711}, Publisher = {American Educational Research Association (AERA)}, Year = {2017}, Month = {December}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3102/0162373717708335}, Abstract = {Prior research and anecdotal evidence from educators suggest that classroom peers play a meaningful role in how students learn. However, the literature has failed to consider the dynamic and context-dependent nature of classroom peer influence. Developmental psychology theories suggest that peer influence will increase and family influence will decrease as children enter adolescence. This study uses rich administrative data from North Carolina in 2006 to 2012, matching students to all peers in each of their courses in third through eighth grades. The analysis identifies trends in the magnitude of classroom peer effects across grade levels, with special attention to controlling for confounding factors such as simultaneous influence, student–classroom sorting, nonlinearity, and school-type effects. Consistent with psychological theories about adolescence, our findings indicate that the effect of average peer quality multiplies by a factor of nearly 3 for reading and 5 for math between fourth grade and seventh grade; contemporaneously, family socioeconomic status effects on academic performance nearly vanish by the end of middle school. We uncover additional evidence that ability grouping, while often harmful in an elementary school setting, becomes increasingly beneficial in later grades—particularly for math subjects.}, Doi = {10.3102/0162373717708335}, Key = {fds330368} } @article{fds330369, Author = {Cook, PJ and Rivera-Aguirre, AE and Cerdá, M and Wintemute, G}, Title = {Cook et al. Respond.}, Journal = {American journal of public health}, Volume = {107}, Number = {12}, Pages = {e23}, Year = {2017}, Month = {December}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2105/ajph.2017.304101}, Doi = {10.2105/ajph.2017.304101}, Key = {fds330369} } @article{fds330174, Author = {Cook, PJ and Dodge, KA and Gifford, EJ and Schulting, AB}, Title = {A new program to prevent primary school absenteeism: Results of a pilot study in five schools}, Journal = {Children and Youth Services Review}, Volume = {82}, Pages = {262-270}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2017}, Month = {November}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.childyouth.2017.09.017}, Abstract = {Frequent absences in the primary grades are associated with school disengagement, academic failure, and eventual dropout. The Early Truancy Prevention Project (ETPP) was designed to improve attendance of primary-grade children by facilitating communication between teachers and parents and giving the teachers the lead role in intervening with students when attendance problems emerge. In 2013–14, the current version of ETPP was implemented in 20 classrooms in five high-poverty public elementary schools, with 21 other classrooms in the same schools serving as controls. Our analysis of attendance data indicated that ETPP significantly reduced the prevalence of absenteeism without excessively burdening teachers. Teachers reported improved communication between parents and teachers and had a positive assessment of the effects of specific program elements.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.childyouth.2017.09.017}, Key = {fds330174} } @article{fds330371, Author = {Cook, PJ and Rivera-Aguirre, AE and Cerdá, M and Wintemute, G}, Title = {RE: "The hidden epidemic of firearm injury: Increasing firearm injury rates during 2001-2013".}, Journal = {American journal of epidemiology}, Volume = {186}, Number = {7}, Pages = {896}, Year = {2017}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwx279}, Doi = {10.1093/aje/kwx279}, Key = {fds330371} } @article{fds339876, Author = {Cook, PJ and Pollack, HA}, Title = {Reducing access to guns by violent offenders}, Journal = {RSF}, Volume = {3}, Number = {5}, Pages = {2-36}, Publisher = {Russell Sage Foundation}, Year = {2017}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.7758/rsf.2017.3.5.01}, Doi = {10.7758/rsf.2017.3.5.01}, Key = {fds339876} } @article{fds326876, Author = {Cook, PJ and Rivera-Aguirre, AE and Cerdá, M and Wintemute, G}, Title = {Constant Lethality of Gunshot Injuries From Firearm Assault: United States, 2003-2012.}, Journal = {American journal of public health}, Volume = {107}, Number = {8}, Pages = {1324-1328}, Year = {2017}, Month = {August}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2105/ajph.2017.303837}, Abstract = {<h4>Objectives</h4>To investigate the validity of the apparent downward trend in the national case-fatality rate for gunshot wounds from assault.<h4>Methods</h4>We reanalyzed the estimated annual number of nonfatal firearm injuries the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System reported from 2003 to 2012. We adjusted the estimates for discontinuities created by the substitution of 1 hospital for another in the sample and for a downward trend in the percentage of gunshot injuries classified as "unknown circumstance." Firearm homicide data are from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Web-based Injury Statistics Query and Reporting System.<h4>Results</h4>The unadjusted National Electronic Injury Surveillance System estimate increased by 49%, yielding a decline in the case-fatality rate from 25% to 18%. Our adjustments eliminated these trends; the case-fatality rate was 22% in both 2003 and 2012.<h4>Conclusions</h4>With reasonable adjustments, the trend in nonfatal injuries from interpersonal firearms assault tracks the flat trend in firearms homicides, suggesting that there was no increase in firearms violence during this period. The case-fatality rate did not change, and trauma care improvements did not influence the firearms homicide trend.}, Doi = {10.2105/ajph.2017.303837}, Key = {fds326876} } @article{fds323617, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {At Last, a Good Estimate of the Magnitude of the Private-Sale Loophole for Firearms.}, Journal = {Annals of internal medicine}, Volume = {166}, Number = {4}, Pages = {301-302}, Year = {2017}, Month = {February}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.7326/m16-2819}, Doi = {10.7326/m16-2819}, Key = {fds323617} } @article{fds324190, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Deadly force.}, Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, Volume = {355}, Number = {6327}, Pages = {803}, Year = {2017}, Month = {February}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aam5966}, Doi = {10.1126/science.aam5966}, Key = {fds324190} } @article{fds321553, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Behavioral Science Critique of HOPE}, Journal = {Criminology and Public Policy}, Volume = {15}, Number = {4}, Pages = {1155-1161}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2016}, Month = {November}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1745-9133.12256}, Doi = {10.1111/1745-9133.12256}, Key = {fds321553} } @article{fds317724, Author = {Webster, DW and Cerdá, M and Wintemute, GJ and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Epidemiologic Evidence to Guide the Understanding and Prevention of Gun Violence.}, Journal = {Epidemiologic reviews}, Volume = {38}, Number = {1}, Pages = {1-4}, Year = {2016}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/epirev/mxv018}, Abstract = {Gunfire from assaults, suicides, and unintentional shootings exacts an enormous burden on public health globally. The epidemiologic reviews in this special issue enhance our understanding of various forms of gun violence, inform interventions, and help chart directions for future research. The available science, however, is limited to answer many important questions necessary for mounting successful efforts to reduce gun violence. Certain data are lacking, and there are numerous analytical challenges to deriving unbiased estimates of policy impacts. Significant investments in research over the long term are warranted to answer questions central to successful prevention of gun violence.}, Doi = {10.1093/epirev/mxv018}, Key = {fds317724} } @article{fds317725, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Will the Current Crisis in Police Legitimacy Increase Crime? Research Offers a Way Forward.}, Journal = {Psychological science in the public interest : a journal of the American Psychological Society}, Volume = {16}, Number = {3}, Pages = {71-74}, Year = {2015}, Month = {December}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1529100615610575}, Doi = {10.1177/1529100615610575}, Key = {fds317725} } @article{fds266408, Author = {Cook, PJ and Parker, ST and Pollack, HA}, Title = {Sources of guns to dangerous people: what we learn by asking them.}, Journal = {Preventive medicine}, Volume = {79}, Pages = {28-36}, Year = {2015}, Month = {October}, ISSN = {0091-7435}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2015.04.021}, Abstract = {Gun violence exacts a lethal toll on public health. This paper focuses on reducing access to firearms by dangerous offenders, contributing original empirical data on the gun transactions that arm offenders in Chicago. Conducted in the fall of 2013, analysis of an open-ended survey of 99 inmates of Cook County Jail focuses on a subset of violence-prone individuals with the goal of improving law enforcement actions. Among our principal findings: *Our respondents (adult offenders living in Chicago or nearby) obtain most of their guns from their social network of personal connections. Rarely is the proximate source either direct purchase from a gun store, or theft. *Only about 60% of guns in the possession of respondents were obtained by purchase or trade. Other common arrangements include sharing guns and holding guns for others. *About one in seven respondents report selling guns, but in only a few cases as a regular source of income. *Gangs continue to play some role in Chicago in organizing gun buys and in distributing guns to members as needed. *The Chicago Police Department has a considerable effect on the workings of the underground gun market through deterrence. Transactions with strangers and less-trusted associates are limited by concerns over arrest risk (if the buyer should happen to be an undercover officer or a snitch), and about being caught with a "dirty" gun (one that has been fired in a crime).}, Doi = {10.1016/j.ypmed.2015.04.021}, Key = {fds266408} } @article{fds266417, Author = {Cook, PJ and Kang, S and Braga, AA and Ludwig, J and O’Brien, ME}, Title = {An Experimental Evaluation of a Comprehensive Employment-Oriented Prisoner Re-entry Program}, Journal = {Journal of Quantitative Criminology}, Volume = {31}, Number = {3}, Pages = {355-382}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2015}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0748-4518}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10940-014-9242-5}, Abstract = {Objectives: While the economic model of crime suggests that improving post-prison labor market prospects should reduce recidivism, evaluations of previous employment-oriented re-entry programs have mixed results, possibly due to the multi-faceted challenges facing prisoners at the time of their release. We present an evaluation of an experiment that combines enhanced employment opportunities with wrap around services before and after release. Methods: This paper presents what we believe is the first randomized controlled trial (RCT) of a re-entry program that combines post-release subsidized work with “reach-in” social services provided prior to release. The sample was 236 high-risk offenders in Milwaukee with a history of violence or gang involvement. Results: We observe increased employment rates and earnings during the period when ex-offenders are eligible for subsidized jobs, and these gains persist throughout the year. The intervention has significant effects (p < 0.01) in reducing the likelihood of rearrest. The likelihood that the treatment group is re-imprisoned during the first year after release is lower than for controls (22 vs. 26 %) but the difference is not statistically significantly different from zero. Conclusions: The results of our RCT suggest that “reach-in” services to help improve human capital of inmates prior to release, together with wrap around services following release, boosts employment and earnings, although whether there is sufficient impact on recidivism for the intervention to pass a benefit-cost test is more uncertain. Average earnings for both treatment and control groups were very low; legal work simply does not seem that important in the economic lives of released prisoners.}, Doi = {10.1007/s10940-014-9242-5}, Key = {fds266417} } @article{fds317726, Author = {Frattaroli, S and Pollack, KM and Cook, PJ and Salomon, M and Omaki, E and Gielen, AC}, Title = {Public opinion concerning residential sprinkler systems for 1- and 2-family homes.}, Journal = {Injury epidemiology}, Volume = {2}, Number = {1}, Pages = {27}, Year = {2015}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40621-015-0060-5}, Abstract = {<h4>Background</h4>Residential sprinkler systems (RSS) are one intervention to prevent fire injury and death, yet there is no literature documenting why RSS homeowners opt to purchase a sprinkler-equipped home. This manuscript describes homeowners' decisions to purchase homes with residential sprinkler systems (RSS) and their experiences with the technology. It also compares how RSS homeowners and owners of homes without RSS value sprinklers and their levels of support for policies to mandate RSS in new homes.<h4>Methods</h4>We used a national online web panel to sample owners of 1- and 2-family homes, and descriptive methods to analyze the resulting data.<h4>Results</h4>Our final sample included 1,357 homeowners of 1- and 2-family homes without RSS and 976 homeowners with RSS. RSS homeowners were more likely than owners of non-RSS homes to indicate they would buy an RSS home in the future (75 % vs. 30 %), and more often indicated a willingness to pay for sprinklers (70 % vs. 40 %). RSS homeowners also expressed higher levels of support for policies to mandate RSS in all new 1- and 2-family homes (48 % vs. 19 %).<h4>Conclusions</h4>The findings offer insight into educational and policy strategies to promote RSS in all new homes, and provide a foundation for future research in this area.}, Doi = {10.1186/s40621-015-0060-5}, Key = {fds317726} } @article{fds266264, Author = {Cook, PJ and Harris, RJ and Ludwig, J and Pollack, HA}, Title = {Some sources of crime guns in Chicago: Dirty dealers, straw purchasers, and traffickers}, Journal = {The Journal of criminal law & criminology}, Volume = {104}, Number = {4}, Pages = {717-760}, Publisher = {University of Illinois Press}, Year = {2015}, ISSN = {0091-4169}, Abstract = {In this Article, we seek to help guide law enforcement activities targeting gun acquisition by high-risk people by examining two potentially important sources of crime guns: licensed retail dealers and traffickers. Limited data availability is a key reason more is not currently known about how criminals obtain guns. This Article assembles a unique dataset that combines five years (2009–2013) of crime gun trace requests submitted to the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) National Tracing Center (NTC) by the Chicago Police Department (CPD), linked to other CPD data sources about the person who was caught with the gun. From these data, we are able to identify which of the violators are or have been gang members and to compare their guns with those of violators who are not gang members. We focus in particular on how gang members obtain guns, since this population is at the highest risk for shooting someone and for being shot. We hypothesize that gang members may differ from others in how they access guns. This hypothesis could help explain why our earlier work found that the underground gun market as a whole in Chicago is characterized by high transaction costs that keep many criminals from becoming armed, yet the vast majority of the city’s homicides are committed with guns. Our first finding is that the guns confiscated by the police from gang members tend to be quite old—a median age of over ten years—with every indication that they have gone through a series of transactions before being acquired by the current owner. It is very rare for these guns to be purchased new from a gun dealer in a documented sale (occurring in less than 2% of circumstances). Besides the age of the guns, the most striking fact about gang guns is that most come from out of state. Even for new guns, fully 60% are imported. It appears that while licensed dealers may play some small direct role in arming gang members, other intermediaries are far more important. If enforcement is to be effective at reducing access to guns by gang members, a likely focus is on the intermediaries in the underground market—straw purchasers, brokers, and traffickers. Gathering information on these intermediaries will require interviews with the violators in addition to further analysis of trace data.}, Key = {fds266264} } @article{fds266344, Author = {Cook, PJ and Kang, S}, Title = {Birthdays, schooling, and crime: Regression-discontinuity analysis of school performance, delinquency, dropout, and crime initiation}, Journal = {American Economic Journal: Applied Economics}, Volume = {8}, Number = {1}, Pages = {33-57}, Publisher = {American Economic Association}, Year = {2015}, ISSN = {1945-7782}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/app.20140323}, Abstract = {Dropouts have high crime rates, but is there a direct causal link? This study, utilizing administrative data for six cohorts of public school children in North Carolina, demonstrates that those born just after the cut date for enrolling in public kindergarten are more likely to drop out of high school before graduation and to commit a felony offense by age 19. We present suggestive evidence that dropout mediates criminal involvement. Paradoxically, these late-entry students outperform their grade peers academically while still in school, which helps account for the fact that they are less likely to become juvenile delinquents.}, Doi = {10.1257/app.20140323}, Key = {fds266344} } @article{fds266415, Author = {Krawiec, K and Cook, P}, Title = {Foreword: Organs and Inducements}, Journal = {Law & Contemporary Problems}, Volume = {77}, Pages = {i-vii}, Year = {2014}, url = {http://scholarship.law.duke.edu/lcp/vol77/iss3/1}, Key = {fds266415} } @article{fds266416, Author = {Krawiec, K and Cook, P}, Title = {A Primer on Kidney Transplantation: Anatomy of the Shortage}, Journal = {Law & Contemporary Problems}, Volume = {77}, Number = {3}, Pages = {1-23}, Year = {2014}, url = {http://scholarship.law.duke.edu/lcp/vol77/iss3/2/}, Key = {fds266416} } @article{fds266432, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The great american gun war: Notes from four decades in the trenches}, Journal = {Crime and Justice}, Volume = {42}, Number = {1}, Pages = {19-73}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2013}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {0192-3234}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000325952400003&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {In this essay I provide an account of how research on gun violence has evolved over the last four decades, intertwined with personal observations and commentary on my contributions. It begins with a sketch of the twentieth century history of gun control in the United States. I then provide an account of why gun violence is worth studying, with a discussion of how and why the type of weapon used in crime matters, and assess the social costs of the widespread private ownership of firearms. I then detour into the methodological disputes over estimating basic facts relevant to understanding gun use and misuse. In Section IV, I focus on how gun availability influences the use of guns in crime and whether the incidence of misuse is influenced by the prevalence of gun ownership, regulations, and law enforcement. I go on to review evaluations of efforts to focus law enforcement directly at gun use in violent crime. Next I turn to the hottest topic of our day, the role of guns in self-defense and what might be deemed private deterrence. The conclusion summarizes the claims and counterclaims concerning gun regulation and asks, finally, if there is the possibility of an influential role for scientific research in the policy debate. © 2013 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1086/670397}, Key = {fds266432} } @misc{fds266334, Author = {Frank, RH and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Winner-Take-All Markets}, Journal = {Studies in Microeconomics}, Volume = {1}, Number = {2}, Pages = {131-154}, Publisher = {SAGE Publications}, Year = {2013}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {2321-0222}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2321022213501254}, Abstract = {In recent decades, explosive growth in the salaries of top earners, combined with income stagnation or decline for most others, has formed a renewed challenge to the claim that a free market serves the public interest. These trends lend new urgency to understanding why some people earn so much more than others and what the consequences of growing income gaps are for economic growth and well being. In this article, we build on earlier work by Alfred Marshall and Sherwin Rosen to argue that it is the distribution of opportunities, not the distribution of talent, that has been changing in recent decades. The reason for this shift is partly technological. As the revolution in information processing and transmission continues, there is increasing leverage for the talents of those who occupy top positions, and correspondingly less room for others to find a lucrative niche. In effect, the reward structure common in entertainment and sports—where thousands compete for a handful of big prizes at the top—has now permeated many other sectors of the economy. The payoffs in these markets are not only skewed but depend more on rank order than productivity in the traditional sense. We describe general conditions under which markets organized like tournaments will attract a wastefully large share of inputs. The article’s conclusions do not fit comfortably into any one intellectual camp. We begin with the presumption that markets work (low transaction costs, free entry) and that observed trends reflect underlying economic forces. But unlike many economists, we conclude that markets do not always serve the public interest well—indeed, that much of the rivalry for society’s top prizes is both costly and unproductive. And unlike most economists, we conclude that rising inequality is more likely to curtail economic growth than to stimulate it. We argue that cooperative agreements to reduce the top prizes and curb some forms of competition need not lead inevitably to socialist squalor.}, Doi = {10.1177/2321022213501254}, Key = {fds266334} } @article{fds266482, Author = {Cook, PJ and Durrance, CP}, Title = {The virtuous tax: lifesaving and crime-prevention effects of the 1991 federal alcohol-tax increase.}, Journal = {Journal of health economics}, Volume = {32}, Number = {1}, Pages = {261-267}, Year = {2013}, Month = {January}, url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23220460}, Abstract = {The last time that federal excise taxes on alcoholic beverages were increased was 1991. The changes were larger than the typical state-level changes that have been used to study price effects, but the consequences have not been assessed due to the lack of a control group. Here we develop and implement a novel method for utilizing interstate heterogeneity to estimate the aggregate effects of a federal tax increase on rates of injury fatality and crime. We provide evidence that the relative importance of alcohol in violence and injury rates is directly related to per capita consumption, and build on that finding to generate estimates. A conservative estimate is that the federal tax (which increased alcohol prices by 6% initially) reduced injury deaths by 4.5% (6480 deaths), in 1991, and had a still larger effect on violent crime.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jhealeco.2012.11.003}, Key = {fds266482} } @article{fds266509, Author = {Braga, AA and Wintemute, GJ and Pierce, GL and Cook, PJ and Ridgeway, G}, Title = {Interpreting the empirical evidence on illegal gun market dynamics.}, Journal = {Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine}, Volume = {89}, Number = {5}, Pages = {779-793}, Year = {2012}, Month = {October}, ISSN = {1099-3460}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11524-012-9681-y}, Abstract = {Thousands of Americans are killed by gunfire each year, and hundreds of thousands more are injured or threatened with guns in robberies and assaults. The burden of gun violence in urban areas is particularly high. Critics suggest that the results of firearm trace data and gun trafficking investigation studies cannot be used to understand the illegal supply of guns to criminals and, therefore, that regulatory and enforcement efforts designed to disrupt illegal firearms markets are futile in addressing criminal access to firearms. In this paper, we present new data to address three key arguments used by skeptics to undermine research on illegal gun market dynamics. We find that criminals rely upon a diverse set of illegal diversion pathways to acquire guns, gun traffickers usually divert small numbers of guns, newer guns are diverted through close-to-retail diversions from legal firearms commerce, and that a diverse set of gun trafficking indicators are needed to identify and shut down gun trafficking pathways.}, Doi = {10.1007/s11524-012-9681-y}, Key = {fds266509} } @article{fds266430, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Drug policy research}, Journal = {ISSUES IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY}, Volume = {29}, Number = {1}, Pages = {9-11}, Publisher = {NATL ACAD SCIENCES}, Year = {2012}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0748-5492}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000208839300003&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266430} } @article{fds266511, Author = {Cook, PJ and O'Brien, M and Braga, A and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Lessons from a partially controlled field trial}, Journal = {Journal of Experimental Criminology}, Volume = {8}, Number = {3}, Pages = {271-287}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2012}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {1573-3750}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11292-012-9146-z}, Abstract = {Objectives: Using the case of an on-going work-oriented prisoner-reentry experiment in Milwaukee, describe the challenges of organizing and sustaining a high-quality trial in the field in which only the randomization and data analysis are directly "controlled" by the evaluation team. Methods: The case study is of a randomized experiment involving youthful male prisoners with a history of violence and gang membership, scheduled for release into Milwaukee. The intervention included six months of pre-release services with a work-release opportunity, and intensive services and supervision following release. The case study describes the initial experimental plan and how much of that plan could be salvaged in the face of delays, administrative errors, and other problems. Results: The initial plan, when compared with the actual experiment, specified a larger and more homogeneous sample, more resources devoted to various aspects of the treatment, and more intensive supervision following release. These problems arose despite the best efforts of public officials. Randomization was preserved, and for that reason the results will still be of interest, although perhaps under-powered. Conclusions: The "gold standard" may become a bit tarnished in the field. It was crucial in this experiment to have a member of the experimental team engaged with the relevant state agencies at every step of the process to sustain this effort and to ensure that the treatment was delivered and relevant data generated. A newsletter and regular meetings with agents proved useful. The outcomes will have high internal validity. © 2012 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.}, Doi = {10.1007/s11292-012-9146-z}, Key = {fds266511} } @article{fds266508, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Evidence from a high-income country.}, Journal = {Addiction (Abingdon, England)}, Volume = {107}, Number = {8}, Pages = {1388-1389}, Year = {2012}, Month = {August}, url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22779413}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1360-0443.2012.03901.x}, Key = {fds266508} } @article{fds317729, Author = {Cook, PJ and Machin, SJ and Marie, OE and Mastrobuoni, G}, Title = {Lessons from the Economics of Crime}, Year = {2012}, Month = {July}, Abstract = {What have the economists contributed to the study of criminal behavior and crime control? In what follows, to motivate and describe the contributions to this edited volume, we discuss three domains: • A normative framework for evaluating criminal law and crime prevention, and the application of sophisticated quantitative methods to analyze the causes of crime and the effects of crime-control measures in this framework; • The conception of criminal behavior as individual choice, influenced by perceived consequences; • The aggregation of individual choices to a systems framework for understanding crime rates and patterns. The papers in this volume are informed by and contribute to all of these domains.}, Key = {fds317729} } @misc{fds266507, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Alcohol retail privatization: a commentary.}, Journal = {American journal of preventive medicine}, Volume = {42}, Number = {4}, Pages = {430-432}, Year = {2012}, Month = {April}, url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22424258}, Doi = {10.1016/j.amepre.2012.01.001}, Key = {fds266507} } @article{fds266510, Author = {Bushway, S and Cook, PJ and Phillips, M}, Title = {The Overall Effect of the Business Cycle on Crime}, Journal = {German Economic Review}, Volume = {13}, Number = {4}, Pages = {436-446}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2012}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {1465-6485}, url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-0475.2012.00578.x/pdf}, Abstract = {This paper analyses the 13 business cycles since 1933 to provide evidence on the old question of whether recessions cause crime. Using data from the United States, we find that recessions are consistently associated with an uptick in burglary and robbery, and a reduction in theft of motor vehicles. There is no statistical association with homicide. These patterns are suggestive of the relative importance of the various channels by which economic conditions influence crime. © 2012 The Authors German Economic Review © 2012 Verein für Socialpolitik.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1468-0475.2012.00578.x}, Key = {fds266510} } @article{fds266263, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Q&A on Firearms Availability, Carrying, and Misuse}, Journal = {Government, Law and Policy Journal}, Volume = {14}, Number = {1}, Pages = {77-81}, Publisher = {New York State Bar Association}, Year = {2012}, Month = {Summer}, Key = {fds266263} } @article{fds266513, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Impact of Drug Market Pulling Levers Policing on Neighborhood Violence An Evaluation of the High Point Drug Market Intervention}, Journal = {Criminology & Public Policy}, Volume = {11}, Number = {2}, Pages = {161-164}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2012}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-9133.2012.00796.x}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1745-9133.2012.00796.x}, Key = {fds266513} } @misc{fds266515, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Post-Heller Strategies to reduce gun violence}, Journal = {Journal of Catholic Social Thought}, Volume = {8}, Number = {1}, Pages = {93-110}, Year = {2011}, Month = {Winter}, Key = {fds266515} } @article{fds266516, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {The Economist's guide to crime busting}, Journal = {The Wilson Quarterly}, Pages = {62-66}, Year = {2011}, Month = {Winter}, url = {https://www.ncjrs.gov/pdffiles1/nij/238489.pdf}, Key = {fds266516} } @article{fds266506, Author = {Durrance, CP and Golden, S and Perreira, K and Cook, P}, Title = {Taxing sin and saving lives: Can alcohol taxation reduce female homicides?}, Journal = {Social science & medicine (1982)}, Volume = {73}, Number = {1}, Pages = {169-176}, Year = {2011}, Month = {July}, ISSN = {0277-9536}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2011.04.027}, Abstract = {With costs exceeding $5.8 billion per year, violence against women has significant ramifications for victims, their families, the health care systems that treat them, and the employers who depend on their labor. Prior research has found that alcohol abuse contributes to violence against both men and women, and that stringent alcohol control policies can reduce alcohol consumption and in turn some forms of violence. In this paper, we estimate the direct relationship between an important alcohol control measure, excise taxes, and the most extreme form of violence, homicide. We use female homicide rates as our measure of severe violence, as this measure is consistently and accurately reported across multiple years. Our results provide evidence that increased alcohol taxes reduce alcohol consumption and that reductions in alcohol consumption can reduce femicide. Unfortunately, a direct test of the relationship does not have the power to determine whether alcohol taxes effectively reduce female homicide rates. We conclude that while alcohol taxes have been shown to effectively reduce other forms of violence against women, policy makers may need alternative policy levers to reduce the most severe form of violence against women.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.socscimed.2011.04.027}, Key = {fds266506} } @article{fds266257, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Paying the tab: The costs and benefits of alcohol control}, Journal = {Paying the Tab: The Costs and Benefits of Alcohol Control}, Pages = {1-262}, Year = {2011}, Month = {June}, Abstract = {What drug provides Americans with the greatest pleasure and the greatest pain? The answer, hands down, is alcohol. The pain comes not only from drunk driving and lost lives but also addiction, family strife, crime, violence, poor health, and squandered human potential. Young and old, drinkers and abstainers alike, all are affected. Every American is paying for alcohol abuse. Paying the Tab, the first comprehensive analysis of this complex policy issue, calls for broadening our approach to curbing destructive drinking. Over the last few decades, efforts to reduce the societal costs--curbing youth drinking and cracking down on drunk driving--have been somewhat effective, but woefully incomplete. In fact, American policymakers have ignored the influence of the supply side of the equation. Beer and liquor are far cheaper and more readily available today than in the 1950s and 1960s. © 2007 by Princeton University Press. All Rights Reserved.}, Key = {fds266257} } @article{fds266431, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Paying the tab: The costs and benefits of alcohol control}, Journal = {Paying the Tab: The Costs and Benefits of Alcohol Control}, Pages = {1-262}, Year = {2011}, Month = {June}, Abstract = {What drug provides Americans with the greatest pleasure and the greatest pain? The answer, hands down, is alcohol. The pain comes not only from drunk driving and lost lives but also addiction, family strife, crime, violence, poor health, and squandered human potential. Young and old, drinkers and abstainers alike, all are affected. Every American is paying for alcohol abuse. Paying the Tab, the first comprehensive analysis of this complex policy issue, calls for broadening our approach to curbing destructive drinking. Over the last few decades, efforts to reduce the societal costs--curbing youth drinking and cracking down on drunk driving--have been somewhat effective, but woefully incomplete. In fact, American policymakers have ignored the influence of the supply side of the equation. Beer and liquor are far cheaper and more readily available today than in the 1950s and 1960s. Philip Cook's well-researched and engaging account chronicles the history of our attempts to "legislate morality," the overlooked lessons from Prohibition, and the rise of Alcoholics Anonymous. He provides a thorough account of the scientific evidence that has accumulated over the last twenty-five years of economic and public-health research, which demonstrates that higher alcohol excise taxes and other supply restrictions are effective and underutilized policy tools that can cut abuse while preserving the pleasures of moderate consumption. Paying the Tab makes a powerful case for a policy course correction. Alcohol is too cheap, and it's costing all of us.}, Key = {fds266431} } @misc{fds266514, Author = {Cook, PJ and Macdonald, J}, Title = {Public Safety through Private Action: An Economic Assessment of BIDs}, Journal = {Economic Journal}, Volume = {121}, Number = {552}, Pages = {445-462}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2011}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0013-0133}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2011.02419.x}, Abstract = {Private actions to avoid and prevent criminal victimisation and assist public law enforcement are vital inputs into the crime-control process. One form of private action, the business improvement district (BID), appears particularly promising. A BID is a non-profit organisation created by property owners to provide local public goods, usually including public safety. Our analysis of 30 Los Angeles BIDs demonstrates that the social benefits of BID expenditures on security are a large multiple (about 20) of the private expenditures. Crime displacement appears minimal. Crime reduction in the BID areas has been accompanied by a reduction in arrests, suggesting further savings. © 2011 The Author(s). The Economic Journal © 2011 Royal Economic Society.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1468-0297.2011.02419.x}, Key = {fds266514} } @article{fds266512, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Co-Production in deterring crime}, Journal = {Criminology & Public Policy}, Volume = {10}, Number = {1}, Pages = {103-108}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2011}, Month = {February}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-9133.2010.00686.x}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1745-9133.2010.00686.x}, Key = {fds266512} } @misc{fds266517, Author = {Kim, EHW and Cook, PJ}, Title = {The continuing importance of children in relieving elder poverty: evidence from Korea}, Journal = {Ageing and Society}, Volume = {31}, Number = {6}, Pages = {953-976}, Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)}, Year = {2011}, ISSN = {0144-686X}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0144686X10001030}, Abstract = {The population of South Korea is ageing rapidly and government provision for older people is meagre. Hence the erosion of traditional family support for older people is of much concern. Yet relatively little is known about the actual financial status of elderly Koreans or the amount of economic support they receive from children. This paper addresses these issues using data from the 2006 Korean Longitudinal Study of Ageing. We find that almost 70 per cent of Koreans aged 65 or more years received financial transfers from children and that the transfers accounted for about a quarter of an average elder's income. While over 60 per cent of elders would be poor without private transfers, children's transfers substantially mitigate elder poverty, filling about one-quarter of the poverty gap. Furthermore, children's transfers tend to be proportionally larger to low-income parents, so elder income inequality is reduced by the transfers. Over 40 per cent of elders lived with a child and co-residence helps reduce elder poverty. By showing that Korean children still play a crucial role in providing financial old-age security, we demonstrate how important it is for the Korean government to design old-age policies that preserve the incentives for private assistance. This snapshot of today's Korea also has implications for other rapidly changing Asian countries that are following a similar trajectory. © Copyright Cambridge University Press 2011.}, Doi = {10.1017/S0144686X10001030}, Key = {fds266517} } @misc{fds266518, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Property crimes - yes; violence - no: Comment on Lauritsen and Heimer}, Journal = {Criminology & Public Policy}, Volume = {9}, Number = {4}, Pages = {693-697}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2010}, Month = {November}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-9133.2010.00661.x}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1745-9133.2010.00661.x}, Key = {fds266518} } @article{fds266303, Author = {Tokunaga, K and Sugiu, K and Yoshino, K and Terai, Y and Imaoka, T and Handa, A and Hirotsune, N and Kusaka, N and Date, I}, Title = {Percutaneous balloon angioplasty for acute occlusion of intracranial arteries.}, Journal = {Neurosurgery}, Volume = {67}, Number = {3 Suppl Operative}, Pages = {ons189-ons196}, Year = {2010}, Month = {September}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1227/01.NEU.0000380954.29925.CE}, Abstract = {BACKGROUND: The benefits of intravenous thrombolysis for acute ischemic stroke are still limited. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the safety and efficacy of double-lumen balloon catheter-based reperfusion therapy with or without intra-arterial thrombolysis for acute occlusion of intracranial arteries. METHODS: Fifty-nine patients with acute occlusion of intracranial arteries were enrolled. A Gateway balloon catheter was used to disrupt clots or dilate atheromatous plaques in every patient. The technical details, technique-related complications, recanalization rates, and clinical outcomes were analyzed. RESULTS: The occlusion sites were internal carotid arteries in 17 patients, M1 segments in 32 patients, the M2 segment in 1 patient, a vertebral artery in 1 patient, and basilar arteries in 8 patients. Twenty-four patients (41%) were treated with thrombolysis first, and 20 patients (34%) were treated with percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA) followed by thrombolysis. PTA alone was performed in 15 patients (25%). The mean dose of urokinase was 205 x 10 U. The extent of recanalization was complete (Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction [TIMI] score of 3) in 17 patients (29%), and partial (TIMI 1/2) in 28 patients (47%). Functional independence at discharge was preserved in 76%, 25%, and 7% of patients with TIMI 3, TIMI 1/2, and TIMI 0, respectively. A combination of PTA and thrombolysis resulted in a significantly higher recanalization rate than PTA only. Seven patients (12%) experienced hemorrhagic events after treatment. Severe parenchymal hemorrhage with neurologic deterioration was observed in 2 patients (4%), and vessel rupture was encountered in 1 atherosclerotic case. CONCLUSIONS: Mechanical angioplasty using a Gateway catheter combined with a low-dose thrombolytic agent is a safe and effective treatment for acute intracranial embolic and atherosclerotic occlusion with a low risk of hemorrhagic complications.}, Doi = {10.1227/01.NEU.0000380954.29925.CE}, Key = {fds266303} } @article{fds266505, Author = {Cook, PJ and Gottfredson, DC and Na, C}, Title = {School crime control and prevention}, Journal = {Crime and Justice}, Volume = {39}, Number = {1}, Pages = {313-440}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Address = {Chicago}, Editor = {Michael Tonry}, Year = {2010}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0192-3234}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/652387}, Abstract = {School violence, drug use, vandalism, gang activity, bullying, and theft are costly and interfere with academic achievement. Fortunately, crime victimization in schools for students and teachers followed the downward trend in national crime rates during the 1990s and has remained at a relatively low level since 2000. Youths are as likely to be victimized in school as out when it comes to theft and minor assaults, but the most serious assaults tend to occur outside of school. Despite the high rates of crime in school, school crime plays a relatively minor role in juvenile criminal careers. Nonetheless, school crime deserves public concern. The composition and operation of schools influence crime. A variety of instructional programs can reduce crime, such as those that teach self-control or social competency skills using cognitive-behavioral or behavioral instructional methods. School discipline management policies and practices are also important. Schools in which rules are clearly stated, are fair, and are consistently enforced, and in which students participate in establishing mechanisms for reducing misbehavior, experience less disorder. © 2010 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1086/652387}, Key = {fds266505} } @article{fds304156, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Potential savings from abolition of the death penalty in North Carolina}, Journal = {American Law and Economics Review}, Volume = {11}, Number = {2}, Pages = {498-529}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2009}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {1465-7252}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/aler/ahp022}, Abstract = {Despite the long-term decline in the number of death sentences and the lack of executions, the cost of the death penalty in North Carolina remains high. To document this cost, the empirical analysis here focuses on a recent two-year period, comparing actual costs associated with capital proceedings, with likely costs in the absence of the death penalty. The conclusion: the state would have spent almost $11 million less each year on criminal justice activities (including appeals and imprisonment) if the death penalty had been abolished. Additional criminal justice resources would have been freed up and available to be redirected to other cases. © The Author 2009. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Law and Economics Association. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org.}, Doi = {10.1093/aler/ahp022}, Key = {fds304156} } @article{fds266503, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Comment on "explaining change and stasis in alcohol consumption"}, Journal = {Addiction Research and Theory}, Volume = {17}, Number = {6}, Pages = {586-587}, Publisher = {Informa UK Limited}, Year = {2009}, Month = {November}, ISSN = {1606-6359}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3109/16066350903145080}, Doi = {10.3109/16066350903145080}, Key = {fds266503} } @article{fds266443, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Economics of Crime: An Introduction to Rational Crime Analysis.}, Journal = {JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC LITERATURE}, Volume = {47}, Number = {3}, Pages = {804-806}, Publisher = {AMER ECONOMIC ASSOC}, Year = {2009}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0022-0515}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000270795400008&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266443} } @article{fds266521, Author = {Cook, PJ and Cukier, W and Krause, K}, Title = {The illicit firearms trade in North America}, Journal = {Criminology and Criminal Justice}, Volume = {9}, Number = {3}, Pages = {265-286}, Publisher = {SAGE Publications}, Editor = {Sheptycki, J and Edwards, A}, Year = {2009}, Month = {August}, ISSN = {1748-8958}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1748895809336377}, Abstract = {Gun violence in North American is the subject of much speculation and debate, often based on limited or incomplete empirical evidence. We summarize the regulatory frameworks in Mexico, the United States and Canada, and provide statistics on gun misuse in these countries. Based on our analysis of publicly available information on sources of crime guns, we conclude that while the United States is a major supplier of illegal handguns to Canada and illegal firearms of all types to Mexico, quantifying the extent of its role, particularly in Mexico, is difficult because of data limitations. Still more difficult is to project the consequences of an effective crackdown by US authorities. If the illicit supply from the USA dried up, the criminal gangs could turn to a variety of other sources that already appear to be playing some role. A complete analysis of these issues must await more complete disclosure by the authorities of data on gun sources and trafficking investigations. © The Author(s), 2009.}, Doi = {10.1177/1748895809336377}, Key = {fds266521} } @article{fds266522, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J and Samaha, AM}, Title = {Gun control after Heller: Threats and sideshows from a social welfare perspective}, Journal = {UCLA Law Review}, Volume = {56}, Number = {5}, Pages = {1041-1093}, Year = {2009}, Month = {June}, ISSN = {0041-5650}, Abstract = {What will happen after District of Columbia v. Heller? We know that five justices on the Supreme Court now oppose comprehensive federal prohibitions on home handgun possession by some class of trustworthy homeowners for the purpose of, and maybe only at the time of, self-defense. Perhaps the justices will push fur' ther and apply Heller's holding to state and local governments via the Fourteenth Amendment. But the majority opinion in Heller offered limited guidance for future cases, it did not follow a purely originalist method of constitutional interpretation, nor did it establish a constraining doctrinal framework for evaluating firearms regulation - although the opinion did gratuitously suggest that much existing gun control is acceptable. There is significant room for judges to maneuver after Heller. In the absence of more information from the Supreme Court, we identify plausible legal arguments for the next few rounds of litigation and assess the stakes for social welfare. Based on available data, we conclude that some salient legal arguments after Heller have little or no likely consequence for social welfare. For example, the looming constitutional fight over local handgun bans - an issue on which we present original empirical data - seems largely inconsequential. The same can be said for a right to carry a firearm in public with a permit. On the other hand, less prominent legal arguments could be quite threatening to social welfare. At some point judges might draw on free speech doctrine and presumptively disfavor taxation or regulation targeted especially at firearms. This could have serious consequences. In addition, and perhaps most important, Second Amendment doctrine might deter innovative regulatory responses to the problem of gun violence. The threat of litigation may inhibit useful policy experimentation ranging from personalized firearms technology and the microstamping of shell casings, to pre-market review of gun design, social-cost taxation, gun-owner insurance requirements, and beyond.}, Key = {fds266522} } @article{fds266520, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Crime Control in the City: A Research-Based Briefing on Public and Private Measures}, Journal = {Cityscape: A Journal of Policy Development and Research}, Volume = {11}, Number = {1}, Pages = {53-80}, Year = {2009}, Month = {March}, Key = {fds266520} } @article{fds266433, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Crime in the city}, Pages = {297-327}, Year = {2009}, Month = {January}, Key = {fds266433} } @article{fds266519, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Potential savings from abolition of the death penalty in North Carolina}, Journal = {American Law and Economics Review}, Volume = {10}, Number = {2}, Pages = {1-32}, Year = {2009}, ISSN = {1465-7252}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/aler/ahp022}, Abstract = {Despite the long-term decline in the number of death sentences and the lack of executions, the cost of the death penalty in North Carolina remains high. To document this cost, the empirical analysis here focuses on a recent two-year period, comparing actual costs associated with capital proceedings, with likely costs in the absence of the death penalty. The conclusion: the state would have spent almost $11 million less each year on criminal justice activities (including appeals and imprisonment) if the death penalty had been abolished. Additional criminal justice resources would have been freed up and available to be redirected to other cases.}, Doi = {10.1093/aler/ahp022}, Key = {fds266519} } @article{fds266450, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Regulation and Public Interests: The Possibility of Good Regulatory Government by Steven P. Croley}, Journal = {Political Science Quarterly}, Volume = {123}, Number = {4}, Pages = {700-701}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2008}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {0032-3195}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000262212100022&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1002/j.1538-165x.2008.tb01823.x}, Key = {fds266450} } @article{fds266529, Author = {Cook, PJ and MacCoun, R and Muschkin, C and Vigdor, J}, Title = {The negative impacts of starting middle school in sixth grade}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {27}, Number = {1}, Pages = {104-121}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2008}, Month = {Winter}, ISSN = {0276-8739}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pam.20309}, Abstract = {Using administrative data on public school students in North Carolina, we find that sixth grade students attending middle schools are much more likely to be cited for discipline problems than those attending elementary school. That difference remains after adjusting for the socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of the students and their schools. Furthermore, the higher infraction rates recorded by sixth graders who are placed in middle school persist at least through ninth grade. An analysis of end-of-grade test scores provides complementary findings. A plausible explanation is that sixth graders are at an especially impressionable age; in middle school, the exposure to older peers and the relative freedom from supervision have deleterious consequences. These findings are relevant to the current debate over the best school configuration for incorporating the middle grades. Based on our results, we suggest that there is a strong argument for separating sixth graders from older adolescents. © 2008 by the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management.}, Doi = {10.1002/pam.20309}, Key = {fds266529} } @article{fds266526, Author = {Carpenter, C and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Cigarette taxes and youth smoking: new evidence from national, state, and local Youth Risk Behavior Surveys.}, Journal = {Journal of health economics}, Volume = {27}, Number = {2}, Pages = {287-299}, Year = {2008}, Month = {March}, ISSN = {0167-6296}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2007.05.008}, Abstract = {Several studies have examined the effects of state cigarette tax increases on youth substance use over the 1990s, with most--but not all--finding that higher taxes reduce youth consumption of tobacco. We advance the literature by using data from the 1991 to 2005 waves of the national Youth Risk Behavior Surveys (YRBS), providing information on over 100,000 high school age youths. We also are the first to make use of hundreds of independently fielded state and local versions of the YRBS, reflecting data from over 750,000 youths. Importantly, these data are to our knowledge the only sources of relevant information on youth smoking that were explicitly designed to be representative of the sampled state or locality. We estimate two-way fixed effects models of the effect of state cigarette taxes on youth smoking, controlling for survey demographics and area and year fixed effects. Our most consistent finding is that--contrary to some recent research--the large state tobacco tax increases of the past 15 years were associated with significant reductions in smoking participation and frequent smoking by youths. Our price elasticity estimates for smoking participation by high school youths are generally smaller than previous cross-sectional approaches but are similar to recent quasi-experimental estimates.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jhealeco.2007.05.008}, Key = {fds266526} } @article{fds266525, Author = {Sorenson, SB and Cook, PJ}, Title = {'We've got a gun?': Comparing reports of adolescents and their parents about household firearms}, Journal = {Journal of Community Psychology}, Volume = {36}, Number = {1}, Pages = {1-19}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2008}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jcop.20213}, Doi = {10.1002/jcop.20213}, Key = {fds266525} } @article{fds266527, Author = {MacCoun, R and Cook, PJ and Muschkin, C and Vigdor, JL}, Title = {Distinguishing spurious and real peer effects: Evidence from artificial societies, small-group experiments, and real schoolyards}, Journal = {Review of Law and Economics}, Volume = {4}, Number = {3}, Publisher = {WALTER DE GRUYTER GMBH}, Year = {2008}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {1555-5879}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2202/1555-5879.1226}, Abstract = {In a variety of important domains, there is considerable correlational evidence suggestive of what are variously referred to as social norm effects, contagion effects, information cascades, or peer effects. It is difficult to statistically identify whether such effects are causal, and there are various non-causal mechanisms that can produce such apparent norm effects. Lab experiments demonstrate that real peer effects occur, but also that apparent cascade or peer effects can be spurious. A curious feature of American local school configuration policy provides an opportunity to identify true peer influences among adolescents. Some school districts send 6th graders to middle school (e.g., 6th-8th grade "junior high"); others retain 6th graders for one additional year in K-6 elementary schools. Using administrative data on public school students in North Carolina, we have found that sixth grade students attending middle schools are much more likely to be cited for discipline problems than those attending elementary school, and the effects appear to persist at least through ninth grade. A plausible explanation is that these effects occur because sixth graders in middle schools are suddenly exposed to two cohorts of older, more delinquent peers. © 2008 by bepress.}, Doi = {10.2202/1555-5879.1226}, Key = {fds266527} } @article{fds266524, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {A Free Lunch}, Journal = {Journal of Drug Policy Analysis}, Volume = {1}, Number = {1}, Address = {http://www.bepress.com/jdpa/vol1/iss1/art2}, Year = {2008}, Key = {fds266524} } @article{fds266502, Author = {Cook, P and Ludwig, J and Venkatesh, S and Braga, A}, Title = {Half-cocked}, Journal = {Economist}, Volume = {385}, Number = {8558}, Year = {2007}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {0013-0613}, Key = {fds266502} } @article{fds266531, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J and Venkatesh, S and Braga, AA}, Title = {Underground gun markets}, Journal = {Economic Journal}, Volume = {117}, Number = {524}, Pages = {F588-F618}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2007}, Month = {November}, ISSN = {0013-0133}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2007.02098.x}, Abstract = {This article provides an economic analysis of underground gun markets, drawing on interviews with gang members, gun dealers, professional thieves, prostitutes, police, public school security guards and teenagers in the city of Chicago, complemented by results from government surveys of recent arrestees in 22 cities, plus administrative data for suicides, homicides, robberies, arrests and confiscated crime guns. We find evidence that transactions costs are considerable in the underground gun market in Chicago, and to some extent in other cities as well. The most likely explanation is that the underground gun market is both illegal and 'thin'-relevant information about trading opportunities is scarce due to illegality, which makes search costly for market participants and leads to a market thickness effect on transaction costs. © 2007 The Author(s). Journal compilation © Royal Economic Society 2007.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1468-0297.2007.02098.x}, Key = {fds266531} } @article{fds266500, Author = {Cook, PJ and Reuter, P}, Title = {Response to comments}, Journal = {Addiction}, Volume = {102}, Number = {8}, Pages = {1192-1193}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2007}, Month = {August}, ISSN = {0965-2140}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2007.01938.x}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1360-0443.2007.01938.x}, Key = {fds266500} } @article{fds266501, Author = {Cook, PJ and Reuter, P}, Title = {When is alcohol just another drug? Some thoughts on research and policy.}, Journal = {Addiction (Abingdon, England)}, Volume = {102}, Number = {8}, Pages = {1183-1188}, Year = {2007}, Month = {August}, ISSN = {0965-2140}, url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17624970}, Abstract = {<h4>Aim</h4>To reflect on the divergence and overlap between alcohol and illicit drugs with respect to both current policies and policy research.<h4>Results</h4>For demand reduction, there is considerable overlap in programs and services for prevention and even more clearly for treatment. For supply controls there is mostly divergence, reflecting the difference in legal status. Research generally follows the same pattern. However, a cross-cutting research agenda on the supply side has merit.<h4>Conclusion</h4>Even in a prohibition regime, law-enforcement agencies have considerable discretion. A systematic, pragmatic, 'evidence-based' use of that discretion to reduce harm is possible. It can be accomplished only by a continuing program of policy research that measures the harms of drug use and drug enforcement, assesses the effects of current policies on both these sources of social cost and explores alternative strategies. There is a similarly important project for alcohol and tobacco control policy. The goal for research on alcohol and tobacco is to document the extent to which supply controls can be effective in reducing harm; the additional goal for illicit drugs is to document just how much the current ideologically driven approach is costing the public.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1360-0443.2007.01837.x}, Key = {fds266501} } @article{fds266530, Author = {Cook, PJ and Reuter, P}, Title = {When is alcohol just another drug?}, Journal = {Addiction}, Volume = {98}, Number = {10}, Pages = {1182-1188}, Year = {2007}, Month = {June}, Key = {fds266530} } @article{fds266498, Author = {Cook, PJ and Hutchinson, R}, Title = {Smoke Signals: Adolescent Smoking and School Continuation}, Journal = {Advances in Austrian Economics}, Volume = {10}, Pages = {157-186}, Publisher = {Emerald (MCB UP )}, Editor = {Marina Bianchi}, Year = {2007}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {1529-2134}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1529-2134(07)10007-7}, Abstract = {This paper presents an exploratory analysis using NLSY97 data of the relationship between the likelihood of school continuation and the choices of whether to smoke or drink.}, Doi = {10.1016/S1529-2134(07)10007-7}, Key = {fds266498} } @article{fds266470, Author = {COOK, PJ}, Title = {The Demand for Alcohol, Tobacco and Marijuana: International Evidence}, Journal = {Addiction}, Volume = {102}, Number = {5}, Pages = {830-830}, Publisher = {Wiley}, Year = {2007}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0965-2140}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000245811300027&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1360-0443.2007.01813.x}, Key = {fds266470} } @article{fds266499, Author = {Sanford, C and Marshall, SW and Martin, SL and Coyne-Beasley, T and Waller, AE and Cook, PJ and Norwood, T and Demissie, Z}, Title = {Deaths from violence in North Carolina, 2004: how deaths differ in females and males.}, Journal = {Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention}, Volume = {12 Suppl 2}, Number = {SUPPL. 2}, Pages = {ii10-ii16}, Year = {2006}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {1353-8047}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/ip.2006.012617}, Abstract = {<h4>Objective</h4>To identify gender differences in violent deaths in terms of incidence, circumstances, and methods of death.<h4>Design</h4>Analysis of surveillance data.<h4>Setting</h4>North Carolina, a state of 8.6 million residents on the eastern seaboard of the US.<h4>Subjects</h4>1674 North Carolina residents who died from violence in the state during 2004.<h4>Methods</h4>Information on violent deaths was collected by the North Carolina Violent Death Reporting System using data from death certificates, medical examiner reports, and law enforcement agency incidence reports.<h4>Results</h4>Suicide and homicide rates were lower for females than males. For suicides, females were more likely than males to have a diagnosis of depression (55% v 36%), a current mental health problem (66% v 42%), or a history of suicide attempts (25% v 13%). Firearms were the sole method of suicide in 65% of males and 42% of females. Poisonings were more common in female than male suicides (37% v 12%). Male and female homicide victims were most likely to die from a handgun or a sharp instrument. Fifty seven percent of female homicides involved intimate partner violence, compared with 13% of male homicides. Among female homicides involving intimate partner violence, 78% occurred in the woman's home. White females had a higher rate of suicide than African-American females, but African-American females had a higher rate of homicide than white females.<h4>Conclusions</h4>The incidence, circumstances, and methods of fatal violence differ greatly between females and males. These differences should be taken into account in the development of violence prevention efforts.}, Doi = {10.1136/ip.2006.012617}, Key = {fds266499} } @article{fds266288, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Symposium on Deterrence: Editorial Introduction}, Journal = {Criminology & Public Policy}, Volume = {53}, Number = {3}, Pages = {413-416}, Year = {2006}, Month = {August}, Key = {fds266288} } @article{fds337373, Author = {Cook, PJ and MacCoun, R and Muschkin, C and Vigdor, JL}, Title = {Should Sixth Grade Be in Elementary or Middle School? An Analysis of Grade Configuration and Student Behavior}, Year = {2006}, Month = {August}, Key = {fds337373} } @article{fds266532, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Aiming for evidence-based gun policy}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {25}, Number = {3}, Pages = {691-735}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2006}, Month = {Summer}, ISSN = {0276-8739}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pam.20202}, Doi = {10.1002/pam.20202}, Key = {fds266532} } @article{fds266565, Author = {Cook, PJ and Sorenson, SB}, Title = {The gender gap among teen survey respondents: Why are boys more likely to report a gun in the home than girls?}, Journal = {Journal of Quantitative Criminology}, Volume = {22}, Number = {1}, Pages = {61-76}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2006}, Month = {March}, ISSN = {0748-4518}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10940-005-9002-7}, Abstract = {It is a reliable though unexplained feature of national surveys that include items on gun ownership that wives are less likely to report a gun in the home than husbands. In this article we extend the inquiry regarding this gender gap in reporting of house hold guns to include adolescent children (age 12-17 years). The California Health Interview Survey of 2001, the largest-ever state survey of its kind, includes over 4000 marital households in which both a parent and adolescent child were interviewed and asked whether there was a gun in the home. There is little "age gap" in reporting - California teens are almost as likely to say that there is a gun as are their parents - but there is a gender gap among both the teens and their parents. We also find a large gap in personal experience with guns - boys are three times as likely to report hunting or shooting with a family member than girls. This difference in experience fully accounts for the gender gap in reporting. The relevance of these Qndings for the interpretation of survey data is clear. Whether there is a gun reported in a home depends to a remarkable extent on which member of the household is asked the question. Hence, the method of selection of respondent(s) from within a household will affect estimates of the patterns and prevalence of gun ownership, and, potentially, the accuracy of case-control studies that use self-report information about guns in the home. © 2006 Springer Science+Business Media, Inc.}, Doi = {10.1007/s10940-005-9002-7}, Key = {fds266565} } @article{fds266497, Author = {Cook, PJ and Khmilevska, N}, Title = {Cross-national patterns in crime rates}, Journal = {Crime and Justice}, Volume = {33}, Pages = {331-345}, Booktitle = {Crime and Punishment in Western Countries, 1980-1999}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Michael Tonry and David P. Farrington}, Year = {2006}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0192-3234}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/655369}, Doi = {10.1086/655369}, Key = {fds266497} } @article{fds266566, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {The social costs of gun ownership}, Journal = {Journal of Public Economics}, Volume = {90}, Number = {1-2}, Pages = {379-391}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2006}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2005.02.003}, Abstract = {This paper provides new estimates of the effect of household gun prevalence on homicide rates, and infers the marginal external cost of handgun ownership. The estimates utilize a superior proxy for gun prevalence, the percentage of suicides committed with a gun, which we validate. Using county- and state-level panels for 20 years, we estimate the elasticity of homicide with respect to gun prevalence as between +0.1 and +0.3. All of the effect of gun prevalence is on gun homicide rates. Under certain reasonable assumptions, the average annual marginal social cost of household gun ownership is in the range $100 to $1800. © 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jpubeco.2005.02.003}, Key = {fds266566} } @article{fds266591, Author = {Wintemute, GJ and Cook, PJ and Wright, MA}, Title = {Risk factors among handgun retailers for frequent and disproportionate sales of guns used in violent and firearm related crimes.}, Journal = {Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention}, Volume = {11}, Number = {6}, Pages = {357-363}, Year = {2005}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {1353-8047}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/ip.2005.009969}, Abstract = {<h4>Objective</h4>To determine the retailer and community level factors associated with frequent and disproportionate sales of handguns that are later used in violent and firearm related crimes (VFC handguns).<h4>Design</h4>Cross sectional. The authors used California records to identify all handguns sold by study subjects during 1996-2000 and federal gun tracing records to determine which of these guns had been recovered by a police agency in the US or elsewhere and traced by 30 September 2003.<h4>Subjects and setting</h4>The 421 licensed gun retailers in California selling at least 100 handguns annually during 1996-2000.<h4>Main outcome measure</h4>The number of VFC handguns per 1000 gun years of exposure. Differences are expressed as incidence rate ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).<h4>Results</h4>Subjects accounted for 11.7% of California retailers with handgun sales, 81.5% of handgun sales, and 85.5% of VFC handguns. Among subjects, the 3426 VFC handguns accounted for 48.0% of all traced handguns and 65.0% of those linked to a specified crime. The median VFC handgun trace rate was 0.5/1000 gun years (range 0-8.8). In multivariate analysis, this rate increased substantially for each single-point increase in the percentage of proposed sales that were denied because the purchasers were prohibited from owning guns (RR 1.43; 95% CI 1.32 to 1.56), and was increased for pawnbrokers (RR 1.26; 95% CI 1.02 to 1.55). Community level crime rates and sociodemographics had little predictive value.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Risk factors, largely determined at the retailer level, exist for frequent and disproportionate sales of handguns that are later used in violent and firearm related crimes. Screening to identify high risk retailers could be undertaken with data that are already available.}, Doi = {10.1136/ip.2005.009969}, Key = {fds266591} } @article{fds266564, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J and Braga, AA}, Title = {Criminal records of homicide offenders.}, Journal = {JAMA}, Volume = {294}, Number = {5}, Pages = {598-601}, Year = {2005}, Month = {August}, url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16077054}, Abstract = {<h4>Context</h4>Homicide prevention strategies can be either targeted toward high-risk groups or addressed to the population at large. One high-risk group of particular interest is adults with a criminal record. But the prevalence of a criminal record among homicide offenders has not been reliably quantified, nor has the prevalence of criminal record in the general population.<h4>Objective</h4>To determine what portion of the homicide problem would be addressed by interventions linked to arrest or conviction.<h4>Design, setting, and participants</h4>A case-control analysis was performed using a comprehensive data set of all arrests and felony convictions in Illinois for 1990-2001. Cases were defined as Illinois residents aged 18 to 64 years who were arrested for homicide in 2001. Controls were all other Illinois residents aged 18 to 64 years in 2001. Illinois criminal and juvenile record information for cases and controls was compiled for 1990-2000. Five definitions of previous record were considered (arrest, arrest for a violent crime, 5 or more arrests with at least 1 for a violent crime, felony conviction, and violent-felony conviction), each measured for 1990-2000 and for 1996-2000.<h4>Main outcome measure</h4>The population-attributable risk: the portion of homicide offenses that would be eliminated by a hypothetical intervention that reduced the offending risk of individuals with a record to the offending risk of those who lack a record.<h4>Results</h4>For 1990-2000, 42.6% of 884 cases had at least 1 felony conviction compared with 3.9% of nearly 7.9 million controls, for a population-attributable risk of 40.3% (95% CI, 37.0%-43.8%); among cases, 71.6% had experienced any arrest from 1990-2000 compared with 18.2% of controls, for a population-attributable risk of 65.3% (95% CI, 61.6%-68.8%). For 1996-2000, the population-attributable risk among individuals with a felony conviction or any arrest was 31.0% (95% CI, 27.9%-34.2%) and 58.5% (95% CI, 54.9%-62.1%), respectively.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Interventions after arrest or conviction, such as supervised release, imprisonment, correctional programs, or bans on firearm possession, are targeted toward a group that has relatively high incidence of lethal violence, but they leave a large portion of the problem untouched.}, Doi = {10.1001/jama.294.5.598}, Key = {fds266564} } @article{fds266523, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ostermann, J and Sloan, FA}, Title = {The Net Effect of an Alcohol Tax Increase on}, Journal = {American Economic Review}, Volume = {95}, Number = {2}, Pages = {278-281}, Year = {2005}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0002-8282}, url = {http://proquest.umi.com/pqdlink?did=937513981&sid=1&Fmt=2&clientId=15020&RQT=309&VName=PQD}, Abstract = {This article combines new estimates on the effect of per capital alcohol consumption on drinking patterns with a summary estimate from the epidemiology literature of relative risks associated with different levels of drinking. It is calculated that a permanent reduction of 1% in alcohol consumption per capital, induced by a tax increase or some other mechanism, would have little net effect on mortality in middle age. Sensitivity experiments suggest that the effect may be positive or negative but is always close to zero. Since there is no health benefit from drinking for younger people, and considerable risks, it is concluded that the public-health case for increased alcohol taxation is strong.}, Doi = {10.1257/000282805774670419}, Key = {fds266523} } @article{fds304155, Author = {Sloan, FA and Cook, PJ and Ostermann, J}, Title = {Net Effect of an Alcohol Tax Increase on Death Rates in Middle Age}, Journal = {American Economic Review}, Volume = {95}, Number = {2}, Pages = {278-281}, Publisher = {American Economic Association}, Year = {2005}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0002-8282}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/000282805774670419}, Doi = {10.1257/000282805774670419}, Key = {fds304155} } @article{fds339379, Author = {Wintermute, GJ and Cook, PJ and Wright, M}, Title = {Risk Factors among Handgun Retailers for Frequent and Disproportionate Sales of Guns Used in Violent and Firearm-Related Crimes}, Pages = {357-363}, Year = {2005}, Key = {fds339379} } @article{fds266453, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Can gun control work?}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {23}, Number = {1}, Pages = {198-201}, Publisher = {Wiley}, Year = {2004}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {0276-8739}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000187114600020&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1002/pam.10191}, Key = {fds266453} } @article{fds266495, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Public policy perspectives: Principles for effective gun policy}, Journal = {Fordham Law Review}, Volume = {73}, Number = {2}, Pages = {589-614}, Year = {2004}, Month = {November}, ISSN = {0015-704X}, Key = {fds266495} } @article{fds266580, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Principles for effective gun policy}, Journal = {FORDHAM LAW REVIEW}, Volume = {73}, Number = {2}, Pages = {589-613}, Publisher = {FORDHAM UNIV SCHOOL LAW}, Year = {2004}, Month = {November}, ISSN = {0015-704X}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000225385300008&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {We review the evidence pertinent to judging the effectiveness of policies to reduce the use of firearms in crime. One goal is to correct popular misconceptions based on such sources as bumper-strip slogans (“Guns don’t kill people, people kill people”) and Michael Moore’s documentary Bowling for Columbine. A second goal is to describe an evidence-based approach to firearms policy. We conclude that a promising strategy for reducing gun violence is to make guns a legal liability to criminals, a goal that can be furthered through a variety of both regulatory and law-enforcement tactics. Furthermore, while existing “supply side” regulations on gun transfers (what most people mean by “gun control”) do not appear to have had much effect, several innovative approaches to shrinking the illicit market are worth serious consideration.}, Key = {fds266580} } @article{fds266581, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Youths' involvement with guns: motivation vs availability.}, Journal = {Archives of pediatrics & adolescent medicine}, Volume = {158}, Number = {7}, Pages = {705}, Year = {2004}, Month = {July}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1001/archpedi.158.7.705}, Doi = {10.1001/archpedi.158.7.705}, Key = {fds266581} } @article{fds266589, Author = {Azrael, D and Cook, PJ and Miller, M}, Title = {State and local prevalence of firearms ownership measurement, structure, and trends}, Journal = {Journal of Quantitative Criminology}, Volume = {20}, Number = {1}, Pages = {43-62}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2004}, Month = {March}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/B:JOQC.0000016699.11995.c7}, Abstract = {Of the readily computed proxies for the prevalence of gun ownership, one, the percentage of suicides committed with a gun, is most highly correlated with survey-based estimates. It is the best choice for use in cross-section analysis of the effect of gun prevalence on crime patterns across states and larger counties. Analysis of this proxy measure for the period 1979-1997 demonstrates that the geographic structure of gun ownership has been highly stable. That structure is closely linked to rural tradition. There is, however, some tendency toward homogenization over this period, with high-prevalence states trending down and low-prevalence states trending up.}, Doi = {10.1023/B:JOQC.0000016699.11995.c7}, Key = {fds266589} } @article{fds266588, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Does gun prevalence affect teen gun carrying after all?}, Journal = {Criminology}, Volume = {42}, Number = {1}, Pages = {27-54}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2004}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0011-1384}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-9125.2004.tb00512.x}, Abstract = {Previous research suggests that American adolescents usually have ready access to guns, and that the extent of misuse of guns by adolescents is not much affected by local gun prevalence or regulation. This "futility" claim is based on one interpretation of survey data from several cities, but has not been tested directly. Here we do so using microdata from a nationally representative survey, the 1995 National Survey of Adolescent Males. Using the restricted geo-coded version of these data, and conditioning on an extensive set of covariates, we find (among other results) that the likelihood of gun carrying increases markedly with the prevalence of gun ownership in the given community. We also analyze the propensity to carry other types of weapons, finding that it is unrelated to the local prevalence of gun ownership. The prevalence of youths carrying both guns and other weapons is positively related to the local rate of youth violence (as measured by the robbery rate), confirmatory evidence that weapons carrying by youths is motivated in part by self-protection.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1745-9125.2004.tb00512.x}, Key = {fds266588} } @article{fds266476, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Can gun control work&quest}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {23}, Number = {1}, Pages = {198-201}, Year = {2004}, Month = {Fall}, ISSN = {1520-6688}, Key = {fds266476} } @article{fds266578, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Pricing and Taxation of Alcohol: What is the 'Right' Tax Rate? Comment on Alcohol: No Ordinary Commodity}, Journal = {Addiction}, Volume = {98}, Number = {10}, Pages = {1356-1357}, Year = {2003}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1360-0443.2003.00515.x}, Doi = {10.1046/j.1360-0443.2003.00515.x}, Key = {fds266578} } @article{fds304154, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Pricing and taxation of alcohol: What is the 'right' tax rate? Comment on chapter 6: Pricing and taxation}, Journal = {Addiction}, Volume = {98}, Number = {10}, Pages = {1356-1357}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2003}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1360-0443.2003.00515.x}, Doi = {10.1046/j.1360-0443.2003.00515.x}, Key = {fds304154} } @article{fds266547, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Meeting the Demand for Expert Advice on Drug Policy}, Journal = {Criminology and Public Policy}, Volume = {2}, Number = {3}, Pages = {565-570}, Year = {2003}, Month = {July}, url = {http://proquest.umi.com/pqdlink?did=408592461&sid=3&Fmt=2&clientId=15020&RQT=309&VName=PQD}, Abstract = {Cook comments on Manski's essay entitled "Credible Research Practices to Inform Drug Law Enforcement." Although he agrees with Manski that the quality of the statistical evidence is poor, he holds that drug enforcement researchers have made important contributions in structuring and defining the drug problem. Moreover, he suggests that the public interest would be well served if policy makers heeded the advice of drug policy researchers.}, Key = {fds266547} } @article{fds266590, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Fact-free gun policy?}, Journal = {University of Pennsylvania Law Review}, Volume = {151}, Number = {4}, Pages = {1329-1340}, Year = {2003}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3312931}, Doi = {10.2307/3312931}, Key = {fds266590} } @article{fds303089, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {The costs of gun violence against children.}, Journal = {The Future of children}, Volume = {12}, Number = {2}, Pages = {86-99}, Year = {2002}, Month = {June}, ISSN = {1054-8289}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1602740}, Abstract = {Gun violence imposes significant costs on children, families, and American society as a whole. But these costs can be difficult to quantify, as much of the burden of gun violence results from intangible concerns about injury and death. This article explores several methods for estimating the costs of gun violence. One method is to assess how much Americans would be willing to pay to reduce the risk of gun violence. The authors use this "willingness-to-pay" framework to estimate the total costs of gun violence. Their approach yields the following lessons: Although gun violence has a disproportionate impact on the poor, it imposes costs on the entire socioeconomic spectrum through increased taxes, decreased property values, limits on choices of where to live and visit, and safety concerns. Most of the costs of gun violence--especially violence against children--result from concerns about safety. These are not captured by the traditional public health approach to estimating costs, which focuses on medical expenses and lost earnings. When people in a national survey were asked about their willingness to pay for reductions in gun violence, their answers suggested that the costs of gun violence are approximately $100 billion per year, of which at least $15 billion is directly attributable to gun violence against youth. The authors note that in light of the substantial costs of gun violence, even modestly effective regulatory and other interventions may generate benefits to society that exceed costs.}, Doi = {10.2307/1602740}, Key = {fds303089} } @article{fds266464, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Drug War Heresies: Learning from Other Vices, Times, and Places by Robert J. MacCoun and Peter Reuter. Why Our Drug Laws Have Failed and What We Can Do About It: A Judicial Indictment of the War on Drugs by James P. Gray}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {21}, Number = {2}, Pages = {303-306}, Publisher = {Wiley}, Year = {2002}, Month = {March}, ISSN = {0276-8739}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000174367800011&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1002/pam.10032}, Key = {fds266464} } @article{fds266584, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MJ}, Title = {The economics of alcohol abuse and alcohol-control policies.}, Journal = {Health affairs (Project Hope)}, Volume = {21}, Number = {2}, Pages = {120-133}, Year = {2002}, Month = {March}, ISSN = {0278-2715}, url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11900152}, Abstract = {Economic research has contributed to the evaluation of alcohol policy through empirical analysis of the effects of alcohol-control measures on alcohol consumption and its consequences. It has also provided an accounting framework for defining and comparing costs and benefits of alcohol consumption and related policy interventions, including excise taxes. The most important finding from the economics literature is that consumers tend to drink less ethanol, and have fewer alcohol-related problems, when alcoholic beverage prices are increased or alcohol availability is restricted. That set of findings is relevant for policy purposes because alcohol abuse imposes large "external" costs on others. Important challenges remain, including developing a better understanding of the effects of drinking on labor-market productivity.}, Doi = {10.1377/hlthaff.21.2.120}, Key = {fds266584} } @article{fds266447, Author = {Braga, AA and Cook, PJ and Kennedy, DM and Moore, MH}, Title = {The Illegal Supply of Firearms}, Journal = {Crime and Justice}, Volume = {29}, Pages = {319-352}, Booktitle = {Crime and Justice: A Review of Research}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Michael Tonry}, Year = {2002}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0192-3234}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000179795600006&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {The case for focusing regulatory and enforcement efforts on the illegal supply of forearms to criminals rests on the belief that a supply-side approach has the potential to reduce the use of guns in violence. The case against this focus follows from the belief that guns in America are so readily available, and from such a variety of sources, that efforts to restrict the supply are futile. Individuals who are proscribed from buying guns legally (because of their criminal record or youth) tend to acquire firearms from “point” sources, such as illegal traffickers and scofflaw dealers, and “diffuse sources,” including all sorts of informal transfers from the vast stock of weapons in private hands. Both are important. The mix within a jurisdiction appears to depend on the prevalence of gun ownership and the stringency of state regulations. A variety of promising supply-side measures are available, and some have been tried. Lessons have been learned – for example, that gun “buybacks” are ineffective – but for the most part any conclusions necessarily are speculative. Systematic “experimentation” with different tactics appears warranted.}, Doi = {10.1086/652223}, Key = {fds266447} } @article{fds266480, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Drug War Heresies: Learning from Other Vices, Times, and Places by Robert J. MacCoun and Peter Reuter}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {21}, Number = {2}, Pages = {303-306}, Year = {2002}, ISSN = {1520-6688}, Key = {fds266480} } @article{fds266583, Author = {Cook, PJ and Leitzel, JA}, Title = {'Smart' Guns: A Technological Fix for Regulating the Secondary Gun Market}, Journal = {Contemporary Economic Problems}, Volume = {20}, Number = {1}, Pages = {38-49}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2002}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cep/20.1.38}, Doi = {10.1093/cep/20.1.38}, Key = {fds266583} } @article{fds266463, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {What price fame?}, Journal = {JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC LITERATURE}, Volume = {39}, Number = {3}, Pages = {933-935}, Publisher = {AMER ECONOMIC ASSOC}, Year = {2001}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0022-0515}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000171208300028&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266463} } @article{fds266465, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Cost-benefit analysis of heroin maintenance treatment (medical prescription of narcotics, volume II)}, Journal = {ADDICTION}, Volume = {96}, Number = {7}, Pages = {1071-1072}, Publisher = {CARFAX PUBLISHING}, Year = {2001}, Month = {July}, ISSN = {0965-2140}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000169657400017&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266465} } @article{fds266596, Author = {Ludwig, J and Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Benefits of Reducing Gun Violence: Evidence from Contingent-Valuation Survey Data}, Journal = {Journal of Risk and Uncertainty}, Volume = {22}, Number = {3}, Pages = {207-226}, Year = {2001}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1011144500928}, Abstract = {This article presents an estimate of the benefits of reducing crime using the contingent-valuation (CV) method. We focus on gun violence, a crime of growing policy concern in America. Our data come from a national survey in which we ask respondents referendum-type questions that elicit their willingness-to-pay (WTP) to reduce gun violence by 30%. We estimate that the public's WTP to reduce gun assaults by 30% equals $24.5 billion, or around $1.2 million per injury. Our estimate implies a statistical value of life that is quite consistent with those derived from other methods.}, Doi = {10.1023/A:1011144500928}, Key = {fds266596} } @article{fds47461, Author = {PJ Cook and A Braga}, Title = {Comprehensive Firearms Tracing: Strategic and Investigative Uses of New Data on Firearms Markets}, Journal = {Arizona Law Review}, Volume = {43}, Number = {2}, Pages = {277-309}, Year = {2001}, Key = {fds47461} } @article{fds266585, Author = {Cook, PJ and Braga, A}, Title = {Comprehensive Firearms Tracing: Strategic and Investigative Uses of New Data on Firearms Markets}, Journal = {Arizona Law Review}, Volume = {43}, Number = {2}, Pages = {277-309}, Year = {2001}, Key = {fds266585} } @article{fds266446, Author = {Ludwig, J and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Impact of the Brady Act on homicide and suicide rates - Reply}, Journal = {JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION}, Volume = {284}, Number = {21}, Pages = {2720-2721}, Publisher = {AMER MEDICAL ASSOC}, Year = {2000}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {0098-7484}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000165509500019&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266446} } @article{fds266491, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MJ}, Title = {Chapter 30 Alcohol}, Journal = {Handbook of Health Economics}, Volume = {1}, Number = {PART B}, Pages = {1629-1673}, Publisher = {Elsevier}, Year = {2000}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {1574-0064}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0064(00)80043-8}, Abstract = {Excess drinking is associated with lost productivity, accidents, disability, early death, crime, neglect of family responsibilities, and personality deterioration. These and related concerns have justified special restrictions on alcoholic-beverage commerce and consumption. The nature and extent of government involvement in this arena vary widely over time and place, and are often controversial. Economists have contributed to the evaluation of alcohol policy through empirical work on the effects of alcohol-control measures on consumption and its consequences. Economics has also provided an accounting framework for defining and comparing costs and benefits of interventions, including excise taxes. Outside of the policy arena, economists have analyzed alcohol consumption in the context of stretching the standard model of consumer choice to include intertemporal effects and social influence. Nonetheless, perhaps the most important contribution by economists has been the repeated demonstration that there is nothing unusual about alcohol in at least one essential respect: consumers drink less ethanol (and have fewer alcohol-related problems) when alcohol-beverage prices are increased. Important econometric challenges remain, including the search for a satisfactory resolution to the conflicting results on the effect of price changes on consumption by consumers who tend to drink heavily. There are also unresolved puzzles about the relationship between drinking and productivity; even after controlling for a variety of other characteristics, drinkers tend to have higher earnings than abstainers, and women's earnings (but not men's) tend to increase with alcohol consumption. © 2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1016/S1574-0064(00)80043-8}, Key = {fds266491} } @article{fds266493, Author = {Kleck, G and Marvell, T}, Title = {Impact of the Brady Act on homicide and suicide rates.}, Journal = {JAMA}, Volume = {284}, Number = {21}, Pages = {2718-2719}, Year = {2000}, Month = {December}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1001/jama.284.21.2718}, Doi = {10.1001/jama.284.21.2718}, Key = {fds266493} } @article{fds266597, Author = {Ludwig, J and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Homicide and suicide rates associated with implementation of the Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act.}, Journal = {JAMA}, Volume = {284}, Number = {5}, Pages = {585-591}, Year = {2000}, Month = {August}, ISSN = {0098-7484}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1001/jama.284.5.585}, Abstract = {<h4>Context</h4>In February 1994, the Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act established a nationwide requirement that licensed firearms dealers observe a waiting period and initiate a background check for handgun sales. The effects of this act have not been analyzed.<h4>Objective</h4>To determine whether implementation of the Brady Act was associated with reductions in homicide and suicide rates.<h4>Design and setting</h4>Analysis of vital statistics data in the United States for 1985 through 1997 from the National Center for Health Statistics.<h4>Main outcome measures</h4>Total and firearm homicide and suicide rates per 100,000 adults (>/=21 years and >/=55 years) and proportion of homicides and suicides resulting from firearms were calculated by state and year. Controlling for population age, race, poverty and income levels, urban residence, and alcohol consumption, the 32 "treatment" states directly affected by the Brady Act requirements were compared with the 18 "control" states and the District of Columbia, which had equivalent legislation already in place.<h4>Results</h4>Changes in rates of homicide and suicide for treatment and control states were not significantly different, except for firearm suicides among persons aged 55 years or older (-0.92 per 100,000; 95% confidence interval [CI], -1.43 to -0.42). This reduction in suicides for persons aged 55 years or older was much stronger in states that had instituted both waiting periods and background checks (-1.03 per 100,000; 95% CI, -1.58 to -0.47) than in states that only changed background check requirements (-0.17 per 100,000; 95% CI, -1.09 to 0.75).<h4>Conclusions</h4>Based on the assumption that the greatest reductions in fatal violence would be within states that were required to institute waiting periods and background checks, implementation of the Brady Act appears to have been associated with reductions in the firearm suicide rate for persons aged 55 years or older but not with reductions in homicide rates or overall suicide rates. However, the pattern of implementation of the Brady Act does not permit a reliable analysis of a potential effect of reductions in the flow of guns from treatment-state gun dealers into secondary markets. JAMA. 2000;284:585-591}, Doi = {10.1001/jama.284.5.585}, Key = {fds266597} } @article{fds266456, Author = {Ludwig, J and Cook, PJ and Smith, TW}, Title = {Ludwig et al. Respond}, Journal = {American Journal of Public Health}, Volume = {89}, Number = {9}, Pages = {1442-1442}, Publisher = {American Public Health Association}, Year = {1999}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0090-0036}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000082214600036&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.2105/ajph.89.9.1442-a}, Key = {fds266456} } @article{fds266490, Author = {Trent, RB and Van Court and JC and Kim, AN}, Title = {Household gun ownership.}, Journal = {American journal of public health}, Volume = {89}, Number = {9}, Pages = {1442}, Year = {1999}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0090-0036}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2105/ajph.89.9.1442}, Doi = {10.2105/ajph.89.9.1442}, Key = {fds266490} } @article{fds266492, Author = {Cook, PJ and Lawrence, BA and Ludwig, J and Miller, TR}, Title = {The medical costs of gunshot injuries in the United States.}, Journal = {JAMA}, Volume = {282}, Number = {5}, Pages = {447-454}, Year = {1999}, Month = {August}, ISSN = {0098-7484}, url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10442660}, Abstract = {<h4>Context</h4>The cost of treating gunshot injuries imposes a financial burden on society. Estimates of such costs are relevant to evaluation of gun violence reduction programs and may help guide reimbursement policies.<h4>Objectives</h4>To develop reliable US estimates of the medical costs of treating gunshot injuries and to present national estimates for the sources of payment for treating these injuries.<h4>Design and setting</h4>Cost analysis using E-coded discharge data from hospitals in Maryland for 1994-1995 and New York for 1994 and from emergency departments in South Carolina for 1997. Other sources of data included the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System for 1994 incidence of nonfatal gun injuries, the National Spinal Cord Injury Statistical Center database for 1988-1992 estimates of lifetime medical costs of gun injuries, and the 1994 Vital Statistics census for incidence of fatal gun injuries.<h4>Main outcome measures</h4>Estimated national acute-care and follow-up treatment costs and payment sources for gunshot injuries.<h4>Results</h4>At a mean medical cost per injury of about $17000, the 134445 (95% confidence interval [CI], 109465-159425) gunshot injuries in the United States in 1994 produced $2.3 billion (95% CI, $2.1 billion-$2.5 billion) in lifetime medical costs (in 1994 dollars, using a 3% real discount rate), of which $1.1 billion (49%) was paid by US taxpayers. Gunshot injuries due to assaults accounted for 74% of total costs.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Gunshot injury costs represent a substantial burden to the medical care system. Nearly half this cost is borne by US taxpayers.}, Doi = {10.1001/jama.282.5.447}, Key = {fds266492} } @article{fds47365, Author = {PJ Cook and A Parnell and MJ Moore and D Pagnini}, Title = {The Effects of Short-Term Variation in Abortion Funding on Pregnancy Outcomes}, Journal = {Journal of Health Economics}, Volume = {18}, Number = {2}, Pages = {241-258}, Year = {1999}, Abstract = {The appropriations for North Carolina's abortion fund have proven inadequate during five of the years betweeen 1980 and 1994. This on-again, off-again funding pattern provides a natural experiment for estimating the short-run effect of changes in the cost of abortions on the number of abortions to indigent women. Using an unusually detailed dataset, we estimate the effects of funding termination on the monthly abortion and birth rates. Overall, approximately one-third of pregnancies that would have resulted in an abortion, had state funds been available, are instead carried to term.}, Key = {fds47365} } @article{fds47457, Author = {PJ Cook and B Lawrence and J Ludwig and T Miller}, Title = {The Medical Costs of Gunshot Wounds}, Journal = {Journal of the American Medical Association}, Volume = {282}, Number = {5}, Pages = {447-454}, Year = {1999}, Key = {fds47457} } @article{fds266586, Author = {Cook, PJ and Lawrence, B and Ludwig, J and Miller, T}, Title = {The Medical Costs of Gunshot Wounds}, Journal = {Journal of the American Medical Association}, Volume = {282}, Number = {5}, Pages = {447-454}, Year = {1999}, Key = {fds266586} } @article{fds266587, Author = {Cook, PJ and Parnell, A and Moore, MJ and Pagnini, D}, Title = {The Effects of Short-Term Variation in Abortion Funding on Pregnancy Outcomes}, Journal = {Journal of Health Economics}, Volume = {18}, Number = {2}, Pages = {241-258}, Year = {1999}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0167-6296(98)00048-4}, Abstract = {The appropriations for North Carolina's abortion fund have proven inadequate during five of the years between 1980 and 1994. This on-again, off-again funding pattern provides a natural experiment for estimating the short-run effect of changes in the cost of abortions on the number of abortions to indigent women. Using an unusually detailed dataset, we estimate the effects of funding termination on the monthly abortion and birth rates. Overall, approximately one-third of pregnancies that would have resulted in an abortion, had state funds been available, are instead carried to term.}, Doi = {10.1016/s0167-6296(98)00048-4}, Key = {fds266587} } @article{fds266539, Author = {Ludwig, J and Cook, PJ and Smith, TW}, Title = {The gender gap in reporting household gun ownership.}, Journal = {American journal of public health}, Volume = {88}, Number = {11}, Pages = {1715-1718}, Year = {1998}, Month = {November}, ISSN = {0090-0036}, url = {http://search.epnet.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=bth&an=1259610&site=ehost&scope=site}, Abstract = {<h4>Objectives</h4>This study examined errors in estimating household gun ownership that result from interviewing only 1 adult per household.<h4>Methods</h4>Data from 2 recent telephone surveys and a series of in-person surveys were used to compare reports of household gun ownership by husbands and wives.<h4>Results</h4>In the telephone surveys, the rate of household gun ownership reported by husbands exceeded wives' reports by an average of 12 percentage points; husbands' reports also implied 43.3 million more guns. The median "gender gap" in recent in-person surveys is 7 percentage points.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Future research should focus on respondents' reports about personally owned guns.}, Doi = {10.2105/ajph.88.11.1715}, Key = {fds266539} } @article{fds266460, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Safer guns}, Journal = {ISSUES IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY}, Volume = {15}, Number = {1}, Pages = {12-12}, Publisher = {NATL ACAD SCIENCES}, Year = {1998}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0748-5492}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000076437000010&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266460} } @article{fds266567, Author = {Teret, SP and Webster, DW and Vernick, JS and Smith, TW and Leff, D and Wintemute, GJ and Cook, PJ and Hawkins, DF and Kellermann, AL and Sorenson, SB and DeFrancesco, S}, Title = {Support for new policies to regulate firearms. Results of two national surveys.}, Journal = {The New England journal of medicine}, Volume = {339}, Number = {12}, Pages = {813-818}, Year = {1998}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0028-4793}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1056/nejm199809173391206}, Abstract = {<h4>Background</h4>New policy options are emerging in the debate regarding the regulation of firearms in the United States. These options include the treatment of firearms as consumer products, the design of which can be regulated for safety; denial of gun ownership to those convicted of misdemeanors; and strategies to curtail the illegal sale of guns. The public's opinion of these innovative gun-policy options has not been thoroughly assessed.<h4>Methods</h4>We conducted two telephone surveys of 1200 adults each in the United States in 1996 and 1997-1998. Cognitive interviews and pretests were used in the development of the survey instruments. Potential participants were then contacted by random-digit dialing of telephone numbers.<h4>Results</h4>A majority of the respondents favored safety standards for new handguns. These standards included childproofing (favored by 88 percent of respondents), personalization (devices that permit firing only by an authorized person; 71 percent), magazine safeties (devices that prevent firing after the magazine or clip is removed; 82 percent), and loaded-chamber indicators (devices that show whether the handgun is loaded; 73 percent). There was strong support for policies prohibiting persons convicted of specific misdemeanors from purchasing a firearm. Support for such prohibitions was strongest for crimes involving violence or the illegal use of a firearm (83 to 95 percent) or substance abuse (71 to 92 percent). There was also widespread support for policies designed to reduce the illegal sale of guns, such as mandatory tamper-resistant serial numbers (90 percent), a limit of one handgun purchase per customer per month (81 percent), and mandatory registration of handguns (82 percent). Even among the subgroup of respondents who were gun owners, a majority were in favor of stricter gun regulations with regard to 20 of the 22 proposals covered in the poll.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Strong public support, even among gun owners, for innovative strategies to regulate firearms suggests that these proposals warrant serious consideration by policy makers.}, Doi = {10.1056/nejm199809173391206}, Key = {fds266567} } @article{fds266538, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Defensive Gun Uses: New Evidence from a National Survey}, Journal = {Journal of Quantitative Criminology}, Volume = {14}, Number = {2}, Pages = {111-131}, Year = {1998}, Month = {January}, url = {http://search.epnet.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=aph&an=11303450&site=ehost&scope=site}, Abstract = {The number of civilian defensive gun uses (DGUs) against criminal attackers is regularly invoked in public policy debates as a benefit of widespread private ownership of firearms. Yet there is considerable uncertainty for the prevalence of civilian DGUs, with estimates ranging from 108,000 (using the National Crime Victimization Survey) to 2.5 million (using smaller telephone surveys) per year. In this paper we analyze the results of a new national random-digit-dial telephone survey to estimate the prevalence of DGU and then discuss the plausibility of the results in light of other well-known facts and possible sources of bias in survey data for sensitive behaviors. Because DGU is a relatively rare event by any measure, a small proportion of respondents who falsely report a gun use can produce substantial overestimates of the prevalence of DGU, even if every true defensive gun user conceals his or her use. We find that estimates from this new survey are apparently subject to a large positive bias, which calls into question the accuracy of DGU estimates based on data from general-population surveys. Our analysis also suggests that available survey data are not able to determine whether reported DGU incidents, even if true, add to or detract from public health and safety.}, Doi = {10.1023/A:1023077303928}, Key = {fds266538} } @article{fds266535, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Weighing the “burden of ‘acting white’”: Are there race differences in attitudes toward education?}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {16}, Number = {2}, Pages = {256-278}, Publisher = {Wiley}, Year = {1997}, Month = {Spring}, url = {http://search.epnet.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=bth&an=9712030902&site=ehost&scope=site}, Abstract = {Analyzes the `National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988' to answer three questions on race differences in attitudes toward education in the United States. Greater alienation experienced by blacks toward school than non-Hispanic whites; Peer penalties for academic success; Impact of family backgrounds between blacks and whites in the educational process. Winner of the Vernon Prize for best paper in Volume 16.}, Doi = {10.1002/(sici)1520-6688(199721)16:2<256::aid-pam4>3.3.co;2-9}, Key = {fds266535} } @article{fds266540, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J and Hemenway, D}, Title = {The gun debate's new mythical number: How many defensive uses per year?}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {16}, Number = {3}, Pages = {463-469}, Publisher = {Wiley}, Year = {1997}, Month = {Summer}, ISSN = {0276-8739}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1997XD96800007&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {Presents information on a number of Americans who use guns defensively against a criminal attacker each year. Details on research supporting this fact; Why widespread gun ownership is a net plus for public safety.}, Doi = {10.1002/(sici)1520-6688(199722)16:3<463::aid-pam6>3.0.co;2-f}, Key = {fds266540} } @article{fds340206, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Weighing the OBurden of Acting WhiteO: Are There Race Differences in Attitudes Towards Education?}, Journal = {JOURNAL OF POLICY ANALYSIS AND MANAGEMENT}, Volume = {16}, Number = {3}, Year = {1997}, Key = {fds340206} } @article{fds266440, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Kids, guns, and public policy - Foreword}, Journal = {LAW AND CONTEMPORARY PROBLEMS}, Volume = {59}, Number = {1}, Pages = {1-4}, Publisher = {DUKE UNIV}, Editor = {PJ Cook (special}, Year = {1996}, Month = {Winter}, ISSN = {0023-9186}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1996WX25900001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266440} } @article{fds266541, Author = {Cook, PJ and Leitzel, J}, Title = {Perversity, Futility, Jeopardy: An Economic Analysis of the Attack on Gun Control}, Journal = {Law and Contemporary Problems}, Volume = {59}, Number = {1}, Pages = {91-118}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1996}, Month = {Winter}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0023-9186%28199624%2959%3A1%3C91%3A%22FJAEA%3E2.0.CO%3B2-L}, Doi = {10.2307/1192211}, Key = {fds266541} } @article{fds266489, Author = {Cook, PJ and Leitzel, JA}, Title = {Letters to the editor}, Journal = {Society}, Volume = {33}, Number = {6}, Pages = {6-7}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {1996}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0147-2011}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF02701856}, Doi = {10.1007/BF02701856}, Key = {fds266489} } @article{fds266487, Author = {Cook, PJ and Cole, TB}, Title = {Strategic thinking about gun markets and violence.}, Journal = {JAMA}, Volume = {275}, Number = {22}, Pages = {1765-1767}, Year = {1996}, Month = {June}, ISSN = {0098-7484}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1001/jama.1996.03530460069035}, Doi = {10.1001/jama.1996.03530460069035}, Key = {fds266487} } @article{fds266568, Author = {Cook, PJ and Cole, T}, Title = {Editorial: Strategic Thinking About Gun Markets and Violence}, Journal = {Journal of the American Medical Association}, Volume = {275}, Number = {22}, Pages = {1765-1767}, Year = {1996}, Key = {fds266568} } @article{fds311234, Title = {Kids, Guns, and Public Policy}, Journal = {Law and Contemporary Problems : a Quarterly Published by the Duke University, School of Law}, Volume = {59}, Number = {1}, Publisher = {Duke University School of Law}, Editor = {Cook, PJ}, Year = {1996}, Key = {fds311234} } @article{fds266593, Author = {Warner, KE and Cook, PJ and al, E}, Title = {Criteria for Determining an Optimal Cigarette Tax: the Economists' Perspective}, Journal = {Tobacco Control}, Volume = {4}, Number = {4}, Pages = {380-386}, Year = {1995}, Month = {Winter}, Abstract = {In the debate on cigarette taxation, both supporters and opponents of higher taxes often appeal to economic theory and analysis. To evaluate the criteria for defining an optimal cigarette excise tax from the perspective of economics, the office on Smoking and Health of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention convened a meeting of economists on 5 May 1995. Meeting participants acknowledged that, by itself, neither the discipline of economics nor any other could determine what is socially “right” or “wrong”. However, the economist’s understanding of efficiency and equity in the workings of the marketplace can inform the debate, offering insights relevant to assessing the merits of tax proposals and of arguments supporting or opposing such proposals. In this paper, the efficiency and equity considerations that economists use in evaluating the desirability of a tax are described and applied to the case of cigarettes. It is concluded that at present neither the arguments of tax increase advocates nor those of opponents are well grounded in economic analysis per se. Additional research based knowledge of the costs imposed on people other than the immediate consumers of cigarettes, especially those related to environmental tobacco smoke, is needed, as is further understanding of children’s responsiveness to cigarette price changes. Protection of children constitutes the strongest argument favoring increased taxation of cigarettes.}, Key = {fds266593} } @article{fds266449, Author = {COOK, PJ and SKOG, OJ}, Title = {ALCOOL, ALCOOLISME, ALCOOLISATION - COMMENT}, Journal = {ALCOHOL HEALTH & RESEARCH WORLD}, Volume = {19}, Number = {1}, Pages = {30-31}, Publisher = {NATL INST ALCOHOL ABUSE ALCOHOLISM}, Year = {1995}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0090-838X}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1995QV60900005&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266449} } @article{fds376578, Author = {Cook, PJ and Skog, O-J}, Title = {Alcool, Alcoolisme, Aloolisation.}, Journal = {Alcohol health and research world}, Volume = {19}, Number = {1}, Pages = {30-31}, Year = {1995}, Month = {January}, Key = {fds376578} } @article{fds266542, Author = {Cook, PJ and Molliconi, S and Cole, TB}, Title = {Regulating Gun Markets}, Journal = {The Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology (1973-)}, Volume = {86}, Number = {1}, Pages = {59-59}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1995}, ISSN = {0091-4169}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1995TM01700004&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {The article explores issues relating to the secondary gun market in the U.S. Guns are used in two-thirds of criminal homicides, and over 80 percent of male homicide victims aged fifteen to twenty-four die of gunshot wounds. Many delinquent youths are active in the gun market as both buyers and sellers, and they acquire guns by borrowing and stealing them. One objective of the federal gun control law is to insulate states so that stringent regulations on firearms commerce adopted in some states will not be undercut by greater availability of guns in other states. As of 1993, a majority of states require that handgun buyers submit to a waiting period and a criminal record check before taking possession of a handgun. The secondary market is diverse, similar to the secondary market for motor vehicles. Word-of-mouth advertising is apparently an effective means for finding a buyer on the street, and some people, often drug dealers, deal in guns frequently enough to become known in this regard. To compete, secondary sellers have to offer lower prices, both because guns sold in the secondary market are used and of uncertain quality and because shopping in the secondary market is inconvenient.}, Doi = {10.2307/1144000}, Key = {fds266542} } @article{fds266557, Author = {Cook, PJ and Skog, OJ}, Title = {Alcool, alcoolisme, alcoolisation" by S. Ledermann}, Journal = {Alcohol Health & Research World}, Volume = {19}, Number = {1}, Pages = {30-32}, Year = {1995}, url = {http://search.epnet.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=aph&an=9506020235&site=ehost&scope=site}, Abstract = {Discusses the impact of the article `Alcool, Alcoolisme, Alcoolisation,' by S. Leddermann on the direction of alcohol research. Original publication in the Volume One Number 29 issue of the `Donnees Scientifique de Caractere Physiologique, Economique et Social' periodical; Changes that have occurred since the article was published; Developing trends as a result of this research.}, Key = {fds266557} } @article{fds266452, Author = {COOK, PJ and MOORE, MJ}, Title = {THIS TAXS FOR YOU - THE CASE FOR HIGHER BEER TAXES}, Journal = {NATIONAL TAX JOURNAL}, Volume = {47}, Number = {3}, Pages = {559-573}, Publisher = {NATL TAX ASSN}, Year = {1994}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0028-0283}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1994PH70200008&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266452} } @article{fds266556, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MJ}, Title = {This Tax's for You}, Journal = {National Tax Journal}, Pages = {559-573}, Year = {1994}, Month = {September}, url = {http://proquest.umi.com/pqdlink?did=27614&sid=1&Fmt=2&clientId=15020&RQT=309&VName=PQD}, Abstract = {Some of the evidence that alcoholic beverages prices influence the prevalence and social costs of alcohol abuse is reviewed. The focus is on youths since it is this group that is most prone to abusing alcohol and that suffers a disproportionate share of the adverse consequences of abuse. Since most youthful alcohol consumption is in the form of beer, the particular concern is documenting the effects of raising the federal and state beer excise taxes. In the search for the effective policy instruments to reduce the social cost of alcohol abuse, excise taxes represent an attractive option that is currently under used. State and federal taxes on alcoholic beverages are substantially lower than warranted by the negative external costs of consumption. The implicit policy of Congress and most state legislatures has been to allow inflation to erode the real value of alcohol taxes, and both taxes and prices are substantially lower now than in the 1970s and earlier.}, Key = {fds266556} } @article{fds266445, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The matter of tobacco use.}, Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, Volume = {262}, Number = {5140}, Pages = {1750-1751}, Year = {1993}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {0036-8075}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1993ML22000047&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1126/science.262.5140.1750}, Key = {fds266445} } @article{fds266478, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Notes: The "Gambler's Fallacy" in Lottery Play}, Journal = {Management Science}, Volume = {39}, Number = {12}, Pages = {1521-1525}, Year = {1993}, Month = {December}, Abstract = {The "gambler's fallacy" is the belief that the probability of an event is lowered when that event has recently occurred, even though the probability of the event is objectively known to be independent from one trial to the next. This paper provides evidence on the time pattern of lottery participation to see whether actual behavior is consistent with this fallacy. Using data from the Maryland daily numbers game, we find a clear and consistent tendency for the amount of money bet on a particular number to fall sharply immediately after it is drawn, and then gradually to recover to its former level over the course of several months. This pattern is consistent with the hypothesis that lottery players are in fact subject to the gambler's fallacy.}, Key = {fds266478} } @article{fds266550, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Notes: The “Gambler's Fallacy” in Lottery Play}, Journal = {Management Science}, Volume = {39}, Number = {12}, Pages = {1521-1525}, Publisher = {Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS)}, Year = {1993}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {0025-1909}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1993MQ37900008&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {<jats:p> The “gambler's fallacy” is the belief that the probability of an event is lowered when that event has recently occurred, even though the probability of the event is objectively known to be independent from one trial to the next. This paper provides evidence on the time pattern of lottery participation to see whether actual behavior is consistent with this fallacy. Using data from the Maryland daily numbers game, we find a clear and consistent tendency for the amount of money bet on a particular number to fall sharply immediately after it is drawn, and then gradually to recover to its former level over the course of several months. This pattern is consistent with the hypothesis that lottery players are in fact subject to the gambler's fallacy. </jats:p>}, Doi = {10.1287/mnsc.39.12.1521}, Key = {fds266550} } @article{fds47379, Author = {PJ Cook and CT Clotfelter}, Title = {The Peculiar Scale of Economics of Lotto}, Journal = {American Economic Review}, Pages = {634-643}, Year = {1993}, Month = {June}, url = {http://proquest.umi.com/pqdlink?did=128611&sid=2&Fmt=2&clientId=15020&RQT=309&VName=PQD}, Abstract = {A small state seeking to increase per capita lotto sales has several options. First, it could increase the fraction of the handle going into the jackpot. However, the regression estimate of the "jackpot elasticity of demand" in Massachusetts suggests that the additional betting engendered by this ploy will not cover the cost. Second, the state could seek to mimic the game offered by a larger state by guaranteeing a large minimum jackpot while changing the format to produce a corresponding reduction in the probability of winning. This ploy would surely fail, however, because the game would lose credibility after going many weeks without a winner. Third, the state could join with other states to increase the population base for the game, and that is what a number of small states have done. The scale effect evident in lotto forms an interesting contrast to the scale effect in insurance markets. In insurance, increasing the scale reduces the investment risk. In lotto, increasing the scale provides a more risky instrument. In both cases, bigger is better.}, Key = {fds47379} } @article{fds266436, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Confronting Drunk Driving: Social Policy for Saving Lives}, Journal = {Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law}, Volume = {18}, Number = {1}, Pages = {235-237}, Publisher = {Duke University Press}, Year = {1993}, Month = {February}, ISSN = {0361-6878}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1993KY53600012&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1215/03616878-18-1-235}, Key = {fds266436} } @article{fds266488, Author = {Zwerling, C and McMillan, D and Cook, PJ and Gunderson, P and Johnson, N and Kellermann, AL and Lee, RK and Loftin, C and Merchant, JA and Teret, S}, Title = {Firearm injuries: Public health recommendations}, Journal = {American Journal of Preventive Medicine}, Volume = {9}, Number = {3 SUPPL.}, Pages = {52-56}, Year = {1993}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0749-3797(18)30680-9}, Doi = {10.1016/s0749-3797(18)30680-9}, Key = {fds266488} } @article{fds304153, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Notes on the availability and prevalence of firearms}, Journal = {American Journal of Preventive Medicine}, Volume = {9}, Number = {3 SUPPL.}, Pages = {33-38}, Year = {1993}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0749-3797(18)30676-7}, Abstract = {Legislators have formulated a variety of state and federal regulations to make obtaining firearms more difficult for dangerous people. Even though this goal may appear hopeless in the face of the 150-200 million guns currently in circulation, both evidence and economic logic suggest otherwise. Guns are scarce commodities, and policies that would make them scarcer, to reduce violent crimes that involve guns, warrant consideration. Possibilities include state-level regulation of gun dealers, interdiction of black markets where stolen guns are fenced, and an increase in the federal excise tax on guns.}, Doi = {10.1016/s0749-3797(18)30676-7}, Key = {fds304153} } @article{fds266558, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MJ}, Title = {Violence Reduction through Restrictions on Alcohol Availability}, Journal = {Alcohol Health & Research World}, Volume = {17}, Number = {2}, Pages = {151-156}, Year = {1993}, url = {http://proquest.umi.com/pqdlink?did=1502237&sid=1&Fmt=2&clientId=15020&RQT=309&VName=PQD}, Abstract = {It is suggested that the link between alcohol and violence is relevant to evaluating alcohol control policies and that policies that can curtail the use or abuse of alcohol among people who may be prone to violence can reduce the incidence of violent crime.}, Key = {fds266558} } @article{fds266569, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Notes on the Availability and Prevalence of Firearms}, Journal = {American Journal of Preventive Medicine}, Volume = {9}, Number = {3,supp}, Pages = {33-38}, Year = {1993}, ISSN = {0749-3797}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1993LK71100009&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {Legislators have formulated a variety of state and federal regulations to make obtaining firearms more difficult for dangerous people. Even though this goal may appear hopeless in the face of the 150-200 million guns currently in circulation, both evidence and economic logic suggest otherwise. Guns are scarce commodities, and policies that would make them scarcer, to reduce violent crimes that involve guns, warrant consideration. Possibilities include state-level regulation of gun dealers, interdiction of black markets where stolen guns are fenced, and an increase in the federal excise tax on guns.}, Key = {fds266569} } @article{fds266579, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MJ}, Title = {Drinking and Schooling}, Journal = {Journal of Health Economics}, Volume = {12}, Number = {4}, Pages = {411-429}, Year = {1993}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0167-6296(93)90003-w}, Abstract = {We employ the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth data to explore the effect of youthful drinking on years of schooling and on the likelihood of college graduation. Our instruments for youthful drinking include the state beer tax and the minimum purchase age. Reduced form equations are also estimated. Our results indicate that heavy drinking in high school reduces the average number of years of schooling completed following high school. Other things equal, students who spend their high school years in states with relatively high taxes and minimum age are more likely to graduate from college.}, Doi = {10.1016/0167-6296(93)90003-w}, Key = {fds266579} } @article{fds355100, Author = {ZWERLING, C and MCMILLAN, D and COOK, PJ and GUNDERSON, P and JOHNSON, N and KELLERMAN, AL and LEE, RK and LOFTIN, C and MERCHANT, JA and TERET, S}, Title = {FIREARM INJURIES - PUBLIC-HEALTH RECOMMENDATIONS}, Journal = {AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PREVENTIVE MEDICINE}, Volume = {9}, Number = {3}, Pages = {52-55}, Year = {1993}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0749-3797(18)30680-9}, Doi = {10.1016/S0749-3797(18)30680-9}, Key = {fds355100} } @article{fds266458, Author = {Cook, PJ and Kleiman, MAR and Zimring, FE and Hawkins, G}, Title = {Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {11}, Number = {4}, Pages = {716-716}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1992}, ISSN = {0276-8739}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1992JN14000013&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.2307/3324968}, Key = {fds266458} } @article{fds266551, Author = {Cook, PJ and Clotfelter, CT}, Title = {The Peculiar Scale Economies of Lotto}, Volume = {83}, Number = {3}, Pages = {634-643}, Year = {1991}, Month = {July}, ISSN = {0002-8282}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1993LJ37000019&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266551} } @article{fds266552, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Lotteries in the real world}, Journal = {Journal of Risk and Uncertainty}, Volume = {4}, Number = {3}, Pages = {227-232}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {1991}, Month = {July}, ISSN = {0895-5646}, url = {http://search.epnet.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=bth&an=16620366&site=ehost&scope=site}, Abstract = {Observed patterns of lottery play suggest that many players believe they can improve their chance of winning by adjusting their bets according to which numbers have won in recent drawings, or in response to their dreams or other portents. This skill orientation is encouraged by state lottery advertising, which tends to be misleading in other respects as well. Patterns of lottery play and the content of lottery commercials provide readily available illustrations of psychological tendencies in risky decision-making that have been documented in laboratory experiments. © 1991 Kluwer Academic Publishers.}, Doi = {10.1007/BF00114154}, Key = {fds266552} } @article{fds266485, Author = {Cook, PJ and Juarez, P and Lee, RK and Loftin, C and Marshall, OA and Murrain, WA and Roth, JA and Ryan, J and Smith, GK and Spivak, H}, Title = {Weapons and minority youth violence.}, Journal = {Public health reports (Washington, D.C. : 1974)}, Volume = {106}, Number = {3}, Pages = {254-258}, Year = {1991}, Month = {May}, Key = {fds266485} } @article{fds266592, Author = {Clotfelter, and Charles, T and Philip, JC}, Title = {What Kind of Lottery for North Carolina?}, Journal = {Popular Government}, Volume = {56}, Number = {4}, Pages = {25-29}, Year = {1991}, Month = {Spring}, Abstract = {In this time of fiscal distress, the lottery—the “voluntary tax”—can be an appealing option. The North Carolina Senate passed a bill in the 1990 session that mandated a public referendum on the creation of a state lottery, and a similar bill is being considered by both houses of the General Assembly this year. If it passes, it would place the question of a lottery on the November 5, 1991, ballot. Our state has held out longer than most: there are thirty-three state lotteries currently in operation, with half of them in business for more than a decade. What will it mean for North Carolina if we join in? The answer, we believe, depends to some extent on how the lottery agency would be structured and what restrictions would be placed on lottery operations. In this article we review the experience of other states as a basis for making a few predictions and recommendations about a North Carolina lottery.}, Key = {fds266592} } @article{fds266439, Author = {Cook, PJ and Brenner, R and Brenner, GA}, Title = {Gambling and Speculation: A Theory, a History, and a Future of Some Human Decisions.}, Journal = {Contemporary Sociology}, Volume = {20}, Number = {1}, Pages = {70-70}, Publisher = {SAGE Publications}, Year = {1991}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0094-3061}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1991EV76600063&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.2307/2072088}, Key = {fds266439} } @article{fds266324, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {On the Economics of State Lotteries (shorter version)}, Journal = {The Conference Board of Economic Times}, Volume = {2}, Number = {4}, Year = {1991}, Key = {fds266324} } @article{fds266455, Author = {Cook, PJ and Tonry, M and Wilson, JQ}, Title = {Drugs and Crime}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {10}, Number = {4}, Pages = {695-695}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1991}, ISSN = {0276-8739}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1991GJ24300015&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.2307/3324996}, Key = {fds266455} } @article{fds266477, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Drugs and crime, edited by Michael Tonry and James Q. Wilson. Volume 13 of Crime and Justice: A Review of Research. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1990, 574 pp. Price: $39.95 cloth, $19.95 paper}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {10}, Number = {4}, Pages = {695-698}, Year = {1991}, Key = {fds266477} } @article{fds266553, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {On the Economics of State Lotteries}, Journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives}, Volume = {4}, Number = {4}, Pages = {105-119}, Publisher = {American Economic Association}, Year = {1990}, Month = {Fall}, ISSN = {0895-3309}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1990EJ39800007&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {<jats:p> This article examines several aspects of the economics of state lotteries, focusing primarily on the demand for lottery products. We begin by giving a descriptive overview. The succeeding sections examine the motivations for playing lottery games and evidence on the determinants of lottery demand. The final section considers the welfare economics of the apparent objective of lotteries—to maximize profits for the state. </jats:p>}, Doi = {10.1257/jep.4.4.105}, Key = {fds266553} } @article{fds266554, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Redefining “success” in the state lottery business}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {9}, Number = {1}, Pages = {99-104}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1990}, Month = {Winter}, ISSN = {0276-8739}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1990CF85300008&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {Assesses implications of the state lottery business in the United States. Maximization of lottery revenues; Options that lottery managers used to increase their sales; Alternatives to revenue lottery; Perception that lotteries should accommodate rather than encourage gambling.}, Doi = {10.2307/3325117}, Key = {fds266554} } @article{fds289584, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Redefining “success” in the state lottery business}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {9}, Number = {1}, Pages = {99-104}, Year = {1990}, Key = {fds289584} } @article{fds266595, Author = {Walsh, DC and Cook, PJ and Davis, K and Grant, M and Sulkunen, P and Vaillant, GE and Delbanco, TL}, Title = {The cultural dimensions of alcohol policy worldwide.}, Journal = {Health affairs (Project Hope)}, Volume = {8}, Number = {2}, Pages = {48-62}, Year = {1989}, Month = {Summer}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1377/hlthaff.8.2.48}, Abstract = {For a polyglot society like the United States, cultural factors such as these create a pastiche of competing definitions and values that frustrate attempts to build consensus or comprehensive policy. Americans therefore can learn much from a cross-cultural exploration of styles of alcohol use, perceptions of associated problems, and attitudes toward control. Two main lessons stand out from international comparisons. First, effective alcohol policy must take account of tensions between health considerations and political, economic, and social forces, as well as deeper cultural meanings attached to alcohol and its use. Second, a wide range of policy options can be subsumed in a general analytic framework that highlights the levers and the targets of efforts to control the harmful effects of alcohol.}, Doi = {10.1377/hlthaff.8.2.48}, Key = {fds266595} } @article{fds266471, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {A sociolegal problem: social control of the drinking driver.}, Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, Volume = {241}, Number = {4865}, Pages = {603-604}, Year = {1988}, Month = {July}, ISSN = {0036-8075}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1988P435000047&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1126/science.241.4865.603}, Key = {fds266471} } @article{fds266534, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Increasing the federal excise taxes on alcoholic beverages}, Journal = {Journal of Health Economics}, Volume = {7}, Number = {1}, Pages = {89-91}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {1988}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0167-6296}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0167-6296(88)90008-2}, Doi = {10.1016/0167-6296(88)90008-2}, Key = {fds266534} } @article{fds266457, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {An Introduction to Vice}, Journal = {Law and Contemporary Problems}, Volume = {51}, Number = {1}, Pages = {1-1}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1988}, ISSN = {0023-9186}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1988R920800001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.2307/1191712}, Key = {fds266457} } @article{fds316969, Author = {, }, Title = {Vice}, Journal = {Law and Contemporary Problems : a Quarterly Published by the Duke University, School of Law}, Publisher = {Duke University School of Law}, Editor = {Cook, PJ}, Year = {1988}, Key = {fds316969} } @article{fds266555, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Implicit Taxation in Lottery Finance}, Volume = {40}, Number = {4}, Pages = {533-546}, Year = {1987}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0028-0283}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1987L735900002&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {State lotteries as they are operated in the United States today involve four distinct aspects: legalization of lottery games, monopolistic provision by the state, marketing of lottery products, and extraction of a portion of the surplus they derive from sales for state revenue. In this paper we use conventional tools of applied public finance to examine the implicit tax levied by lottery agencies through this fourth function. We examine the incidence of the implicit lottery tax, focusing on the dominant lottery games used in the 1980s. We find that the implicit tax is regressive in virtually all cases. We then consider whether the implicit tax rate on lotteries is too high, comparing that rate to excise tax rates on alcohol and tobacco.}, Key = {fds266555} } @article{fds266484, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Robbery violence}, Journal = {Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology}, Volume = {78}, Number = {2}, Pages = {357-376}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1987}, Month = {January}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0091-4169%28198722%2978%3A2%3C357%3ARV%3E2.0.CO%3B2-W}, Doi = {10.2307/1143453}, Key = {fds266484} } @article{fds266574, Author = {Cook, PJ and Laub, JH}, Title = {The (Surprising) stability of youth crime rates}, Journal = {Journal of Quantitative Criminology}, Volume = {2}, Number = {3}, Pages = {265-277}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {1986}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0748-4518}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01066530}, Abstract = {Despite the profound demographic and socioeconomic changes characterizing family life in recent years, youth crime rates have remained more or less constant since 1971. This finding is of interest given the intense public concern regarding the welfare of children. It also serves as a convenient basis for projecting the future volume of youth crime. © 1986 Plenum Publishing Corporation.}, Doi = {10.1007/BF01066530}, Key = {fds266574} } @article{fds266543, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Relationship Between Victime Resistance and Injury in Noncommercial Robbery}, Journal = {Journal of Legal Studies}, Volume = {XV}, Number = {1}, Pages = {405-416}, Year = {1986}, Month = {June}, ISSN = {0047-2530}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0047-2530%28198606%2915%3A2%3C405%3ATRBVRA%3E2.0.CO%3B2-T}, Doi = {10.1086/467819}, Key = {fds266543} } @article{fds304150, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Relationship between Victim Resistance and Injury in Noncommercial Robbery}, Journal = {The Journal of Legal Studies}, Volume = {15}, Number = {2}, Pages = {405-416}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {1986}, Month = {June}, ISSN = {0047-2530}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1986D041700008&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1086/467819}, Key = {fds304150} } @article{fds266575, Author = {Cook, PJ and Zarkin, G}, Title = {Homicide and Economic Conditions}, Journal = {Journal of Quantitative Criminology}, Volume = {2}, Number = {1}, Pages = {69-80}, Year = {1986}, Month = {March}, ISSN = {0748-4518}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01064596}, Abstract = {M. Harvey Brenner has produced two influential studies of the social costs of unemployment, economic inequality, and economic growth, both sponsored by the Joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress. This paper reports the results of an effort to reproduce Brenner’s findings for homicide from his more recent (1984) study. Our conclusions are as follows. (1) Although not obvious from his write-up, Brenner’s 1984 results differ substantively from his earlier results. (2) We are unable to reproduce his reported findings. (3) There are serious methodological problems with his procedure for choosing a regression specification.}, Doi = {10.1007/BF01064596}, Key = {fds266575} } @article{fds304152, Author = {Cook, PJ and Zarkin, GA}, Title = {Homicide and economic conditions: A replication and critique of M. Harvey Brenner's new report to the U.S. Congress}, Journal = {Journal of Quantitative Criminology}, Volume = {2}, Number = {1}, Pages = {69-80}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {1986}, Month = {March}, ISSN = {0748-4518}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01064596}, Abstract = {M. Harvey Brenner has produced two influential studies of the social costs of unemployment, economic inequality, and economic growth, both sponsored by the Joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress. This paper reports the results of an effort to reproduce Brenner's findings for homicide from his more recent (1984) study. Our conclusions are as follows. (1) Although not obvious from his write-up, Brenner's 1984 results differ substantively from his earlier results. (2) We are unable to reproduce his reported findings. (3) There are serious methodological problems with his procedure for choosing a regression specification. © 1986 Plenum Publishing Corporation.}, Doi = {10.1007/BF01064596}, Key = {fds304152} } @article{fds266467, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Demand and Supply of Criminal Opportunities}, Journal = {Crime and Justice}, Volume = {7}, Pages = {1-27}, Booktitle = {Crime and Justice: An Annual Review of Research}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Michael Tonry and Norval Morris}, Year = {1986}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0192-3234}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/449111}, Abstract = {Criminal opportunity theory provides a framework for examining the interaction between potential offenders and potential victims. Criminals’ behavior influences the nature and amount of self-protective measures taken by potential victims, and changes in self-protection make criminal opportunities more or less attractive. Criminal opportunity theory has precursors in criminological theory, preeminently in the work of Cloward and Ohlin, but in these theories opportunities are mediated through social learning. Criminal opportunity theory employs the economic theory of markets to describe and predict how criminals and victims interact. Evidence is available that potential victims take more self-protection measures when the perceived risk of victimization is greater and that prospective criminals are likelier to attack relatively more vulnerable targets. Little research is available on whether increases in self-protection reduce the total volume of crime or merely displace crime to more vulnerable targets; the extent of displacement probably differs among offenses. The market perspective has several benefits to the investigation of interaction between potential victims and offenders: it assembles different topics encompassed by criminal opportunity theory into a coherent whole, it is expressed in a form that facilitates borrowing from economic theory, and it generates new and important insights for policy evaluation and criminological theory. One central insight is that law enforcement strategies may alter the quality of opportunities and thereby precipitate additional crime. Effective incapacitation or rehabilitation policies, for example, may reduce the number of offenders in circulation and thereby reduce the perceived risk of victimization. This may cause individuals to reduce their self-protection efforts, making them more attractive targets than before and thereby stimulating increased crime rates on the part of those criminals who remain active.}, Doi = {10.1086/449111}, Key = {fds266467} } @article{fds266468, Author = {Cook, PJ and Frank, RH}, Title = {Social Behavior}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {6}, Number = {1}, Pages = {117-117}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1986}, ISSN = {0276-8739}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1986E734800019&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.2307/3324091}, Key = {fds266468} } @article{fds266570, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The case of the missing victims: Gunshot woundings in the National Crime Survey}, Journal = {Journal of Quantitative Criminology}, Volume = {1}, Number = {1}, Pages = {91-102}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {1985}, Month = {March}, ISSN = {0748-4518}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01065250}, Abstract = {National Crime Survey (NCS) data yield an estimate that 171,000 Americans were nonfatally shot in criminal assaults, robberies, and rapes for the period 1973-1979. Comparing this estimate with the number of firearms homicides during this period suggests either that the death rate in gunshot cases is very high (over 1/3) or that the NCS estimate is low. Based on police-generated data appropriate to estimating the true death rate from gunshot wounds, it appears that the NCS estimate is low by a factor of about 3.0 compared with the number of criminal gunshot woundings known to the police. It is common knowledge that survey-based estimates of assault rates tend to be relatively unreliable, a fact that has been attributed to problems with respondents being willing and able to recall threats, fist fights, and other minor assaults. The current result indicates that the estimation problem is not limited to minor assaults. There is reason to think that the underestimate of gunshot woundings is the result of problems with the NCS sample as well as problems with respondent cooperation. © 1985 Plenum Publishing Corporation.}, Doi = {10.1007/BF01065250}, Key = {fds266570} } @article{fds266594, Author = {Wilson, JQ and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Unemployment and Crime--What is the Connection?}, Journal = {The Public Interest}, Volume = {79}, Number = {79}, Pages = {3-8}, Year = {1985}, Month = {Spring}, Key = {fds266594} } @article{fds266544, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Is robbery becoming more violent? An analysis of robbery murder trends since 1968}, Journal = {Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology}, Volume = {76}, Number = {2}, Pages = {480-489}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1985}, Month = {Summer}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0091-4169%28198522%2976%3A2%3C480%3AIRBMVA%3E2.0.CO%3B2-V}, Abstract = {According to the police-generated data, 1973 was a turning point. Robbery murders as a percentage of both total homicides and total robberies were increasing before 1973, but not thereafter. Indeed, a substantial reduction in the robbery murder-robbery ratio occurred in 1981. Thus, there is little support for the fears that there is a new breed of street criminals who cause more serious injuries and deaths in robberies. Very recent trends point in the other direction. Killing a robbery victim appears to be going out of fashion.}, Doi = {10.2307/1143614}, Key = {fds266544} } @article{fds266548, Author = {Cook, PJ and Zarkin, GA}, Title = {Crime and the Business Cycle}, Journal = {The Journal of Legal Studies}, Volume = {14}, Number = {1}, Pages = {115-128}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {1985}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0047-2530}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1985AAE9100005&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1086/467767}, Key = {fds266548} } @article{fds266536, Author = {Cook, PJ and Vaupel, JW}, Title = {What Policy Analysts Do: Three Research Styles}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {4}, Number = {3}, Pages = {427-427}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1985}, Month = {Spring}, ISSN = {0276-8739}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1985AGJ7500011&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {Focuses on the characteristics of three styles of social science research conducted by policy analysts. Policy analysis related to students' activities after graduation; Definition of policy research agenda by problems; Derivation of solutions from given information in Applied Social Science Research.}, Doi = {10.2307/3324197}, Key = {fds266536} } @article{fds266533, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Use of Criminal Statutes to Regulate Product Safety: Comment on Wheeler}, Journal = {The Journal of Legal Studies}, Volume = {13}, Number = {3}, Pages = {619-622}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {1984}, Month = {August}, ISSN = {0047-2530}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1984TN24400014&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1086/467762}, Key = {fds266533} } @article{fds266559, Author = {Cook, PJ and Tauchen, G}, Title = {The Effect of Minimum Drinking Age Legislation on Youthful Auto Fatalities, 1970-1977}, Journal = {The Journal of Legal Studies}, Volume = {13}, Number = {1}, Pages = {169-190}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {1984}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0047-2530}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0047-2530%28198401%2913%3A1%3C169%3ATEOMDA%3E2.0CO%3B2-R}, Doi = {10.1086/467738}, Key = {fds266559} } @article{fds266444, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Deterring the Drinking Driver}, Journal = {Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law}, Volume = {7}, Number = {4}, Pages = {958-961}, Publisher = {Duke University Press}, Year = {1983}, Month = {August}, ISSN = {0361-6878}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1983QJ88100011&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1215/03616878-7-4-958}, Key = {fds266444} } @article{fds266560, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Alcohol taxes as a public health measure.}, Journal = {British journal of addiction}, Volume = {77}, Number = {3}, Pages = {245-250}, Year = {1982}, Month = {September}, url = {http://search.epnet.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=aph&an=6273185&site=ehost&scope=site}, Abstract = {Prices of alcoholic beverages in the US have declined sharply over the last two decades relative to the overall rate of price inflation, in part because federal alcohol excise taxes have not been increased since 1951. There is strong evidence that an increase in alcohol taxes would reduce the prevalence of chronic heavy drinking; this evidence, summarized here, is based on an analysis of the effect of changes in state liquor taxes rates on cirrhosis mortality. Thus alcohol taxation is an effective public health policy investment. Alcohol taxes are also fairly well targeted, in the sense that a large fraction of tax revenues are collected from those whose alcohol consumption level places them at risk for health problems and other alcohol-related problems.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1360-0443.1982.tb02453.x}, Key = {fds266560} } @article{fds266561, Author = {Cook, PJ and Tauchen, G}, Title = {The Effect of Liquor Taxes on Heavy Drinking}, Journal = {The Bell Journal of Economics}, Volume = {13}, Number = {2}, Pages = {379-379}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1982}, ISSN = {0361-915X}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1982PX95100007&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {In this article we present the strongest evidence to date that chronic heavy drinkers' consumption is responsive to changes in the price of liquor. We estimate that an increase in the liquor excise tax by one dollar (1967 prices) per proof gallon reduces the liver cirrhosis mortality rate by 5.4% in the short run and by perhaps twice that amount in the long run. (The liver cirrhosis mortality rate is a reliable proxy for the prevalence of chronic excess consumption.) Our estimate is based on an analysis of covariance of annual state-level data, for a 16-year panel of 30 states, with state excise taxes and per capita income as the covariates. Of course, our estimate is not sufficient to determine whether an increase in the liquor tax is worthwhile, much less to determine an "optimal" tax. It is, however, an important datum for making these determinations.}, Doi = {10.2307/3003461}, Key = {fds266561} } @article{fds266310, Author = {Cook, PJ and Hawley, K}, Title = {North Carolina's Pistol Permit Law: An Evaluation}, Journal = {Popular Government}, Pages = {1-6}, Booktitle = {Popular Government}, Year = {1981}, Month = {May}, Abstract = {A pistol purchaser in North Carolina must obtain a permit in his county of residence—from the sheriff (in 81 counties) or clerk of superior court (in 19 counties)—before he can take possession of the gun. This article, based on a survey in 81 counties and an intensive investigation of six urban counties, will describe in detail how the pistol permit works.}, Key = {fds266310} } @article{fds266448, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Effect of Gun Availability on Violent Crime Patterns}, Journal = {The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science}, Volume = {455}, Number = {1}, Pages = {63-79}, Booktitle = {Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science}, Publisher = {SAGE Publications}, Year = {1981}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0002-7162}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/000271628145500107}, Abstract = {<jats:p> Social scientists have started to find answers to some of the questions raised in the ongoing debate over gun control. The basic factual issue in this debate concerns the effect of gun availability on the distribution, seriousness, and number of violent crimes. Some evidence is available on each of these dimensions of the violent crime problem. The distribution of violent crimes among different types of victims is governed in part by the "vulnerability pattern" in weapon choice. The seriousness of robbery and assault incidents is influenced by weapon type, as indicated by the objective dangerousness and instrumental violence pattern. A reduc tion in gun availability would cause some weapon substitution and probably little change in overall robbery and assault rates—but the homicide rate would be reduced. </jats:p>}, Doi = {10.1177/000271628145500107}, Key = {fds266448} } @article{fds266545, Author = {Cook, P}, Title = {The 'saturday night special': An assessment of alternative definitions from a policy perspective}, Journal = {Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology}, Volume = {72}, Number = {4}, Pages = {1735-1745}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1981}, Month = {Winter}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0091-4169%28198124%2972%3A4%3C1735%3AT%22NSAA%3E2.0.CO%3B2-N}, Doi = {10.2307/1143251}, Key = {fds266545} } @article{fds266571, Author = {Cook, PJ and Blose, J}, Title = {State Programs for Screening Handgun Buyers}, Journal = {The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science}, Volume = {455}, Number = {1}, Pages = {80-91}, Publisher = {SAGE Publications}, Year = {1981}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0002-7162}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1981LU07400008&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {Three to five million handguns change hands each year. Almost half the states—including 64 percent of the population—require that buyers be screened by the police, with the objective of preventing certain groups of po tentially dangerous people—felons, fugitives, ex-mental pa tients, drug addicts, and so forth—from obtaining handguns. These state systems operate within the federal framework created by the Gun Control Act of 1968, which requires that most all interstate transactions in firearms be handled by federally licensed dealers or manufacturers. The states& main problems are 1 weak federal regulation of licensees, (2 incomplete state criminal history files, and 3 the difficulty of regulating hand-to-hand transactions in used handguns. States that wish to increase the effectiveness of their screen ing systems will probably have to assume responsibility for regulating retail dealers and will have to institute civil liability for dealers and individual gun owners, together with a more comprehensive registration system, to make the screening system more difficult to circumvent. © 1981, Sage Publications. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1177/000271628145500108}, Key = {fds266571} } @article{fds266546, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Guns and Crime: The Perils of Long Division}, Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management}, Volume = {1}, Number = {1}, Pages = {120-120}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1981}, Month = {Fall}, ISSN = {0276-8739}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1981MU96100008&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {Analyzes the use of handguns in crime in the U.S. Rates of handgun suicide and fatal handgun accident; Mathematical relationship between crime involvement rate and the probability of criminal use.}, Doi = {10.2307/3324114}, Key = {fds266546} } @article{fds305859, Author = {Cook, PJ and Leitzel, JA}, Title = {Gun Control}, Journal = {Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science}, Number = {May}, Publisher = {SAGE Publications (UK and US)}, Editor = {Cook, PJ}, Year = {1981}, Key = {fds305859} } @article{fds266462, Author = {Cook, PJ and Witte, AD and Heineke, JM}, Title = {Economic Models of Criminal Behavior}, Journal = {Southern Economic Journal}, Volume = {46}, Number = {4}, Pages = {1255-1255}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1980}, Month = {April}, ISSN = {0038-4038}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1980JP34600031&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.2307/1057268}, Key = {fds266462} } @article{fds266572, Author = {COOK, PJ}, Title = {REDUCING INJURY AND DEATH RATES IN ROBBERY}, Journal = {POLICY ANALYSIS}, Volume = {6}, Number = {1}, Pages = {21-45}, Publisher = {UNIV CALIF PRESS}, Year = {1980}, Month = {Winter}, ISSN = {0098-2067}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1980JC35600002&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {The author presents a variety of evidence that a large fraction of injuries and deaths in robbery are the result of the robber’s unprovoked decision to harm the victim. This finding supports a policy of sentencing enhancements for robbery injury. Sentencing enhancements for the use of a gun in robbery may reduce the robbery murder rate, but at the cost of an increased injury rate.}, Key = {fds266572} } @article{fds266576, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The clearance rate as a measure of criminal justice system effectiveness}, Journal = {Journal of Public Economics}, Volume = {11}, Number = {1}, Pages = {135-142}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {1979}, Month = {February}, ISSN = {0047-2727}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0047-2727(79)90050-1}, Abstract = {The validity of the clearance rate as a measure of either criminal justice system (CJS) effectiveness or of the probability of punishment for crime can be questioned on the grounds that the relationship between CJS effectiveness and observed clearance rates is mediated by the choice behavior of criminals. If the clearance rate is endogenous in that sense, then recent econometric results concerning the deterrence effect of punishment are fundamentally flawed. A model of criminal adaptation to changes in CJS effectiveness illustrates the basic problem. © 1979.}, Doi = {10.1016/0047-2727(79)90050-1}, Key = {fds266576} } @article{fds266573, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Effect of Gun Availability on Robbery and Robbery Murder: A Cross-Section Study of Fifty Cities}, Journal = {Policy Studies Review Annual}, Volume = {3}, Pages = {743-781}, Publisher = {Sage Publications}, Year = {1979}, Key = {fds266573} } @article{fds266437, Author = {COOK, PJ}, Title = {PRISONERS AMONG US - PROBLEM OF PAROLE - STANLEY,DT}, Journal = {POLICY ANALYSIS}, Volume = {4}, Number = {1}, Pages = {139-141}, Publisher = {UNIV CALIF PRESS}, Year = {1978}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0098-2067}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1978EK58700014&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266437} } @article{fds266562, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The value of human life in the demand for safety: Comment}, Journal = {American Economic Review}, Volume = {68}, Number = {4}, Pages = {710-711}, Year = {1978}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0002-8282}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1978FN12400020&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {Presents a derivation of B. Conley's justification for the use of labor earnings measure of the value of life which states that the value of life saving is greater than the discounted lifetime labor income. Elasticity of utility with respect to lifetime consumption; Relation between utility associated with death and utility associated with positive level of consumption.}, Key = {fds266562} } @article{fds266549, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Punishment and Crime: A Critique of Recent Findings on the Preventive Effects of Punishment}, Journal = {Law and Contemporary Problems}, Volume = {41}, Number = {1}, Pages = {164-204}, Publisher = {JSTOR}, Year = {1977}, Month = {Winter}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0023-9186%28197724%2941%3A1%3C164%3APACACO%3E2.0.CO%3B2-5}, Doi = {10.2307/1191234}, Key = {fds266549} } @article{fds266528, Author = {Cook, PJ and Graham, DA}, Title = {The Demand for Insurance and Protection: The Case of Irreplaceable Commodities}, Journal = {The Quarterly Journal of Economics}, Volume = {91}, Number = {1}, Pages = {143-143}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {1977}, Month = {February}, ISSN = {0033-5533}, url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10161/2637 Duke open access}, Abstract = {This article evaluates the new theoretical characterization of commodities and develops some results concerning the demand for insurance in the U.S. A rational individual, risk-averse with respect to lotteries on wealth, will typically not fully insure an irreplaceable commodity and may even choose to bet against losing it. In assessing the benefit of an increase in public protection activity, the correct value of a commodity is bracketed by the amount of money the owner would pay to avoid its loss and the amount of money required to fully compensate him for its loss.}, Doi = {10.2307/1883142}, Key = {fds266528} } @article{fds266442, Author = {COOK, PJ}, Title = {PUBLIC-POLICY EVALUATION - DOLBEARE,KM}, Journal = {POLICY ANALYSIS}, Volume = {3}, Number = {4}, Pages = {604-606}, Publisher = {UNIV CALIF PRESS}, Year = {1977}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0098-2067}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1977DY62100019&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266442} } @article{fds266461, Author = {COOK, PJ}, Title = {A Plea To Deter Hasty Conclusions About Deterrence Research}, Journal = {Contemporary Psychology: A Journal of Reviews}, Volume = {21}, Number = {5}, Pages = {351-352}, Publisher = {Portico}, Year = {1976}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0010-7549}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1976BR20000026&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1037/015129}, Key = {fds266461} } @article{fds266438, Author = {COOK, PJ and VAUPEL, JW}, Title = {VALUING LIVES - FOREWORD}, Journal = {LAW AND CONTEMPORARY PROBLEMS}, Volume = {40}, Number = {4}, Pages = {1-4}, Publisher = {DUKE UNIV}, Editor = {P.J. Cook}, Year = {1976}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0023-9186}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1976EE92300001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266438} } @article{fds305860, Title = {Valuing Lives: When and How Should Society Spend its Scarce Resources to Decrease Mortality}, Journal = {Law and contemporary problems}, Publisher = {Duke University School of Law}, Editor = {Cook, PJ and Vaupel, JW}, Year = {1976}, Key = {fds305860} } @article{fds266466, Author = {COOK, PJ}, Title = {CORRECTIONAL CARROT - BETTER JOBS FOR PAROLEES}, Journal = {POLICY ANALYSIS}, Volume = {1}, Number = {1}, Pages = {11-54}, Publisher = {UNIV CALIFORNIA PRESS}, Year = {1975}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0098-2067}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1975AE71000002&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266466} } @article{fds266563, Author = {Cook, PJ and Frank, RH}, Title = {The effect of unemployment dispersion on the rate of wage inflation}, Journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics}, Volume = {1}, Number = {2}, Pages = {241-249}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {1975}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0304-3932}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(70)90008-5}, Doi = {10.1016/0304-3932(70)90008-5}, Key = {fds266563} } @article{fds266577, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Correctional Carrot: The Prospect of Reducing Recidivism through Improved Job Opportunities}, Journal = {Policy Analysis}, Pages = {11-54}, Year = {1975}, Month = {January}, Abstract = {How can men who have been released from prison be deterred from returning to crime? Our present “correctional” system does not correct, and most experiments with innovative rehabilitation techniques have reached negative conclusions. The most promising avenue for future research is job creation and on-the-job training programs for released prisoners. Original results presented here give an empirical characterization of the labor market confronting parolees and demonstrate that job satisfaction is associated with parole success.}, Key = {fds266577} } @article{fds266537, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {A 'One Line' Proof of the Slutsky Equation}, Journal = {The American Economic Review}, Pages = {139}, Year = {1972}, Month = {March}, url = {http://search.epnet.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=bth&an=4502321&site=ehost&scope=site}, Abstract = {This article discusses the key features of consumer theory on individual consumers' reaction to changes in the market price of commodities. The discussion presented that market price of a commodity can be broken into vectors of substitution effects and income effects. The price effect can be used on the Slutsky equation if the expenditure includes an expenditure function. The article has presented the equation used to determine the minimum expenditure necessary for the consumer to achieve any utility level if the consumer income faces a vector of commodity prices.}, Key = {fds266537} } %% Chapters in Books @misc{fds363922, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The demand and supply of criminal opportunities}, Pages = {127-153}, Booktitle = {Crime Opportunity Theories: Routine Activity, Rational Choice and their Variants}, Year = {2017}, Month = {July}, ISBN = {9780754629702}, Abstract = {Criminal opportunity theory provides a framework for examining the interaction between potential offenders and potential victims. Criminals' behavior influences the nature and amount of self-protective measures taken by potential victims, and changes in self-protection make criminal opportunities more or less attractive. Criminal opportunity theory has precursors in criminological theory, preeminently in the work of Cloward and Ohlin, but in these theories opportunities are mediated through social learning. Criminal opportunity theory employs the economic theory of markets to describe and predict how criminals and victims interact. Evidence is available that potential victims take more self-protection measures when the perceived risk of victimization is greater and that prospective criminals are likelier to attack relatively more vulnerable targets. Little research is available on whether increases in self-protection reduce the total volume of crime or merely displace crime to more vulnerable targets; the extent of displacement probably differs among offenses. The market perspective has several benefits to the investigation of interaction between potential victims and offenders: it assembles different topics encompassed by criminal opportunity theory into a coherent whole, it is expressed in a form that facilitates borrowing from economic theory, and it generates new and important insights for policy evaluation and criminological theory. One central insight is that law enforcement strategies may alter the quality of opportunities and thereby precipitate additional crime. Effective incapacitation or rehabilitation policies, for example, may reduce the number of offenders in circulation and thereby reduce the perceived risk of victimization. This may cause individuals to reduce their self-protection efforts, making them more attractive targets than before and thereby stimulating increased crime rates on the part of those criminals who remain active.}, Key = {fds363922} } @misc{fds303078, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Robbery Violence}, Booktitle = {Gun Violence}, Publisher = {Ashgate Publishing Ltd.}, Editor = {Hornsby, R and Hobbs, R}, Year = {2015}, Month = {August}, Key = {fds303078} } @misc{fds303081, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {The Burden of 'Acting White:' Do Black Adolescents Disparage Academic Achievement?}, Booktitle = {Minority status, Oppositional Culture and Academic Engagement}, Publisher = {RoutledgeFarmer}, Editor = {Ogbu, JU}, Year = {2015}, Month = {August}, Key = {fds303081} } @misc{fds366789, Author = {Reuter, P and Bouchard, M and Chaloupka, FJ and Cook, PJ and Farrelly, MC and Fong, GT and Harmon, RA and Kleemans, ER and Kottak, CP and Levi, M and Owens, E and Rees, VW and So, AD and von Lampe, K and Wipfli, H and Majmundar, M and Schuck, JA and Backes, E and Boyd, B and Ghitelman, M and Green, LG and Travis, J and Peterson, RD and Bell, CC and Donohue, JJIII and Fullilove, M and Kleiman, MAR and Lafree, G and Lauritsen, JL and Loury, G and Lynch, JP and Manski, CF and Nagin, DS and Piehl, AM and Prieto, DB and Sorenson, SB and Weisburd, D and Widom, CS and Wormeli, PK and Clayton, EW and Berg, AO and Burke, SP and Curry, SJ and Dentzer, S and Graham, G and Lee, GM and Markel, H and McCauley, LA and Polsky, D and Rich, JA and Sharfstein, JM and Teutsch, S and Weinstein, JN and Wong, WF and Yasnoff, WA}, Title = {Interventions in the Illicit Tobacco Market: Policy and Regulatory Options}, Pages = {111-138}, Booktitle = {UNDERSTANDING THE U.S. ILLICIT TOBACCO MARKET: CHARACTERISTICS, POLICY CONTEXT, AND LESSONS FROM INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCES}, Year = {2015}, Key = {fds366789} } @misc{fds366790, Author = {Reuter, P and Bouchard, M and Chaloupka, FJ and Cook, PJ and Farrelly, MC and Fong, GT and Harmon, RA and Kleemans, ER and Kottak, CP and Levi, M and Owens, E and Rees, VW and So, AD and von Lampe, K and Wipfli, H and Majmundar, M and Schuck, JA and Backes, E and Boyd, B and Ghitelman, M and Green, LG and Travis, J and Peterson, RD and Bell, CC and Donohue, JJIII and Fullilove, M and Kleiman, MAR and Lafree, G and Lauritsen, JL and Loury, G and Lynch, JP and Manski, CF and Nagin, DS and Piehl, AM and Prieto, DB and Sorenson, SB and Weisburd, D and Widom, CS and Wormeli, PK and Clayton, EW and Berg, AO and Burke, SP and Curry, SJ and Dentzer, S and Graham, G and Lee, GM and Markel, H and McCauley, LA and Polsky, D and Rich, JA and Sharfstein, JM and Teutsch, S and Weinstein, JN and Wong, WF and Yasnoff, WA}, Title = {Possible Changes in Tobacco Products: Considering Consumer and Supply Responses}, Pages = {173-196}, Booktitle = {UNDERSTANDING THE U.S. ILLICIT TOBACCO MARKET: CHARACTERISTICS, POLICY CONTEXT, AND LESSONS FROM INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCES}, Year = {2015}, Key = {fds366790} } @misc{fds366791, Author = {Reuter, P and Bouchard, M and Chaloupka, FJ and Cook, PJ and Farrelly, MC and Fong, GT and Harmon, RA and Kleemans, ER and Kottak, CP and Levi, M and Owens, E and Rees, VW and So, AD and von Lampe, K and Wipfli, H and Majmundar, M and Schuck, JA and Backes, E and Boyd, B and Ghitelman, M and Green, LG and Travis, J and Peterson, RD and Bell, CC and Donohue, JJIII and Fullilove, M and Kleiman, MAR and Lafree, G and Lauritsen, JL and Loury, G and Lynch, JP and Manski, CF and Nagin, DS and Piehl, AM and Prieto, DB and Sorenson, SB and Weisburd, D and Widom, CS and Wormeli, PK and Clayton, EW and Berg, AO and Burke, SP and Curry, SJ and Dentzer, S and Graham, G and Lee, GM and Markel, H and McCauley, LA and Polsky, D and Rich, JA and Sharfstein, JM and Teutsch, S and Weinstein, JN and Wong, WF and Yasnoff, WA}, Title = {UNDERSTANDING THE US ILLICIT TOBACCO MARKET Characteristics, Policy Context, and Lessons from International Experiences Introduction}, Pages = {13-30}, Booktitle = {UNDERSTANDING THE U.S. ILLICIT TOBACCO MARKET: CHARACTERISTICS, POLICY CONTEXT, AND LESSONS FROM INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCES}, Year = {2015}, Key = {fds366791} } @misc{fds366792, Author = {Reuter, P and Bouchard, M and Chaloupka, FJ and Cook, PJ and Farrelly, MC and Fong, GT and Harmon, RA and Kleemans, ER and Kottak, CP and Levi, M and Owens, E and Rees, VW and So, AD and von Lampe, K and Wipfli, H and Majmundar, M and Schuck, JA and Backes, E and Boyd, B and Ghitelman, M and Green, LG and Travis, J and Peterson, RD and Bell, CC and Donohue, JJIII and Fullilove, M and Kleiman, MAR and Lafree, G and Lauritsen, JL and Loury, G and Lynch, JP and Manski, CF and Nagin, DS and Piehl, AM and Prieto, DB and Sorenson, SB and Weisburd, D and Widom, CS and Wormeli, PK and Clayton, EW and Berg, AO and Burke, SP and Curry, SJ and Dentzer, S and Graham, G and Lee, GM and Markel, H and McCauley, LA and Polsky, D and Rich, JA and Sharfstein, JM and Teutsch, S and Weinstein, JN and Wong, WF and Yasnoff, WA}, Title = {Participants in the Illicit Tobacco Market}, Pages = {55-76}, Booktitle = {UNDERSTANDING THE U.S. ILLICIT TOBACCO MARKET: CHARACTERISTICS, POLICY CONTEXT, AND LESSONS FROM INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCES}, Year = {2015}, Key = {fds366792} } @misc{fds366793, Author = {Reuter, P and Bouchard, M and Chaloupka, FJ and Cook, PJ and Farrelly, MC and Fong, GT and Harmon, RA and Kleemans, ER and Kottak, CP and Levi, M and Owens, E and Rees, VW and So, AD and von Lampe, K and Wipfli, H and Majmundar, M and Schuck, JA and Backes, E and Boyd, B and Ghitelman, M and Green, LG and Travis, J and Peterson, RD and Bell, CC and Donohue, JJIII and Fullilove, M and Kleiman, MAR and Lafree, G and Lauritsen, JL and Loury, G and Lynch, JP and Manski, CF and Nagin, DS and Piehl, AM and Prieto, DB and Sorenson, SB and Weisburd, D and Widom, CS and Wormeli, PK and Clayton, EW and Berg, AO and Burke, SP and Curry, SJ and Dentzer, S and Graham, G and Lee, GM and Markel, H and McCauley, LA and Polsky, D and Rich, JA and Sharfstein, JM and Teutsch, S and Weinstein, JN and Wong, WF and Yasnoff, WA}, Title = {Interventions in the Illicit Tobacco Market: International Case Studies}, Pages = {161-172}, Booktitle = {UNDERSTANDING THE U.S. ILLICIT TOBACCO MARKET: CHARACTERISTICS, POLICY CONTEXT, AND LESSONS FROM INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCES}, Year = {2015}, Key = {fds366793} } @misc{fds366794, Author = {Reuter, P and Bouchard, M and Chaloupka, FJ and Cook, PJ and Farrelly, MC and Fong, GT and Harmon, RA and Kleemans, ER and Kottak, CP and Levi, M and Owens, E and Rees, VW and So, AD and von Lampe, K and Wipfli, H and Majmundar, M and Schuck, JA and Backes, E and Boyd, B and Ghitelman, M and Green, LG and Travis, J and Peterson, RD and Bell, CC and Donohue, JJIII and Fullilove, M and Kleiman, MAR and Lafree, G and Lauritsen, JL and Loury, G and Lynch, JP and Manski, CF and Nagin, DS and Piehl, AM and Prieto, DB and Sorenson, SB and Weisburd, D and Widom, CS and Wormeli, PK and Clayton, EW and Berg, AO and Burke, SP and Curry, SJ and Dentzer, S and Graham, G and Lee, GM and Markel, H and McCauley, LA and Polsky, D and Rich, JA and Sharfstein, JM and Teutsch, S and Weinstein, JN and Wong, WF and Yasnoff, WA}, Title = {Interventions in the Illicit Tobacco Market: Law Enforcement}, Pages = {139-160}, Booktitle = {UNDERSTANDING THE U.S. ILLICIT TOBACCO MARKET: CHARACTERISTICS, POLICY CONTEXT, AND LESSONS FROM INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCES}, Year = {2015}, Key = {fds366794} } @misc{fds366795, Author = {Reuter, P and Bouchard, M and Chaloupka, FJ and Cook, PJ and Farrelly, MC and Fong, GT and Harmon, RA and Kleemans, ER and Kottak, CP and Levi, M and Owens, E and Rees, VW and So, AD and von Lampe, K and Wipfli, H and Majmundar, M and Schuck, JA and Backes, E and Boyd, B and Ghitelman, M and Green, LG and Travis, J and Peterson, RD and Bell, CC and Donohue, JJIII and Fullilove, M and Kleiman, MAR and Lafree, G and Lauritsen, JL and Loury, G and Lynch, JP and Manski, CF and Nagin, DS and Piehl, AM and Prieto, DB and Sorenson, SB and Weisburd, D and Widom, CS and Wormeli, PK and Clayton, EW and Berg, AO and Burke, SP and Curry, SJ and Dentzer, S and Graham, G and Lee, GM and Markel, H and McCauley, LA and Polsky, D and Rich, JA and Sharfstein, JM and Teutsch, S and Weinstein, JN and Wong, WF and Yasnoff, WA}, Title = {UNDERSTANDING THE US ILLICIT TOBACCO MARKET Characteristics, Policy Context, and Lessons from International Experiences Summary}, Pages = {1-+}, Booktitle = {UNDERSTANDING THE U.S. ILLICIT TOBACCO MARKET: CHARACTERISTICS, POLICY CONTEXT, AND LESSONS FROM INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCES}, Year = {2015}, Key = {fds366795} } @misc{fds366796, Author = {Reuter, P and Bouchard, M and Chaloupka, FJ and Cook, PJ and Farrelly, MC and Fong, GT and Harmon, RA and Kleemans, ER and Kottak, CP and Levi, M and Owens, E and Rees, VW and So, AD and von Lampe, K and Wipfli, H and Majmundar, M and Schuck, JA and Backes, E and Boyd, B and Ghitelman, M and Green, LG and Travis, J and Peterson, RD and Bell, CC and Donohue, JJIII and Fullilove, M and Kleiman, MAR and Lafree, G and Lauritsen, JL and Loury, G and Lynch, JP and Manski, CF and Nagin, DS and Piehl, AM and Prieto, DB and Sorenson, SB and Weisburd, D and Widom, CS and Wormeli, PK and Clayton, EW and Berg, AO and Burke, SP and Curry, SJ and Dentzer, S and Graham, G and Lee, GM and Markel, H and McCauley, LA and Polsky, D and Rich, JA and Sharfstein, JM and Teutsch, S and Weinstein, JN and Wong, WF and Yasnoff, WA}, Title = {Characteristics of the Illicit Tobacco Market}, Pages = {31-54}, Booktitle = {UNDERSTANDING THE U.S. ILLICIT TOBACCO MARKET: CHARACTERISTICS, POLICY CONTEXT, AND LESSONS FROM INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCES}, Year = {2015}, Key = {fds366796} } @misc{fds366797, Author = {Reuter, P and Bouchard, M and Chaloupka, FJ and Cook, PJ and Farrelly, MC and Fong, GT and Harmon, RA and Kleemans, ER and Kottak, CP and Levi, M and Owens, E and Rees, VW and So, AD and von Lampe, K and Wipfli, H and Majmundar, M and Schuck, JA and Backes, E and Boyd, B and Ghitelman, M and Green, LG and Travis, J and Peterson, RD and Bell, CC and Donohue, JJIII and Fullilove, M and Kleiman, MAR and Lafree, G and Lauritsen, JL and Loury, G and Lynch, JP and Manski, CF and Nagin, DS and Piehl, AM and Prieto, DB and Sorenson, SB and Weisburd, D and Widom, CS and Wormeli, PK and Clayton, EW and Berg, AO and Burke, SP and Curry, SJ and Dentzer, S and Graham, G and Lee, GM and Markel, H and McCauley, LA and Polsky, D and Rich, JA and Sharfstein, JM and Teutsch, S and Weinstein, JN and Wong, WF and Yasnoff, WA}, Title = {Measuring the Size of the Illicit Tobacco Market}, Pages = {77-109}, Booktitle = {UNDERSTANDING THE U.S. ILLICIT TOBACCO MARKET: CHARACTERISTICS, POLICY CONTEXT, AND LESSONS FROM INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCES}, Year = {2015}, Key = {fds366797} } @misc{fds303087, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Elusive Facts about Gun Violence: Where Good Surveys Go Bad}, Booktitle = {Envisioning Criminology: Researchers on Research as a Process of Discovery}, Publisher = {Springer}, Editor = {Maltz, MD and Rice, SK}, Year = {2014}, Month = {May}, Abstract = {Sometimes a survey is well designed, but the resulting estimates are demonstrably wrong, and by a wide margin. For that reason, we believe that if getting a reasonably accurate estimate is important (and if it is not, why bother?), then the analyst should ask and attempt to answer the following prosaic question: “Given everything we know, both from the survey in question and other sources, is this estimate in the right ballpark?” We might call this a “plausibility test.” It may seem like common sense, but a quick scan of reports of survey results will demonstrate that a discussion of procedure is far more common than a discussion of plausibility. In what follows we consider three examples from the study of gun ownership and use (or misuse). The first example is gun ownership – the household prevalence of guns, and the number of guns in private hands. The second is the number of individuals who are shot and wounded in assault circumstances. And the third is the number of instances in which a private individual uses a gun to defend against crime. In each case the apparent bias in estimates based on population surveys is remarkably large.}, Key = {fds303087} } @misc{fds305851, Author = {Cook, PJ and Dodge, K and Farkas, G and Fryer, RG and Guryan, J and Ludwig, J and Mayer, SE and Pollack, HA and Steinberg, L}, Title = {The (Surprising) Efficacy of Academic and Behavioral Intervention with Disadvantaged Youth: Results from a Randomized Experiment in Chicago}, Year = {2014}, Month = {January}, Abstract = {There is growing concern that improving the academic skills of disadvantaged youth is too difficult and costly, so policymakers should instead focus either on vocationally oriented instruction for teens or else on early childhood education. Yet this conclusion may be premature given that so few previous interventions have targeted a potential fundamental barrier to school success: "mismatch" between what schools deliver and the needs of disadvantaged youth who have fallen behind in their academic or non-academic development. This paper reports on a randomized controlled trial of a two-pronged intervention that provides disadvantaged youth with non-academic supports that try to teach youth social-cognitive skills based on the principles of cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT), and intensive individualized academic remediation. The study sample consists of 106 male 9th and 10th graders in a public high school on the south side of Chicago, of whom 95% are black and 99% are free or reduced price lunch eligible. Participation increased math test scores by 0.65 of a control group standard deviation (SD) and 0.48 SD in the national distribution, increased math grades by 0.67 SD, and seems to have increased expected graduation rates by 14 percentage points (46%). While some questions remain about the intervention, given these effects and a cost per participant of around $4,400 (with a range of $3,000 to $6,000), this intervention seems to yield larger gains in adolescent outcomes per dollar spent than many other intervention strategies.<br><br>Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at <a href="http://www.nber.org/papers/w??19862" TARGET="_blank">www.nber.org</a>.<br>}, Key = {fds305851} } @misc{fds217210, Author = {P.J. Cook and D.C. Gottfredson and C. Na}, Title = {School crime statistics}, Booktitle = {(forthcoming) Encyclopedia of Criminology and Criminal Justice}, Publisher = {Springer Science+Business Media}, Address = {New York}, Editor = {G.J.N. Bruinsma and D.L. Weisburd}, Year = {2014}, Key = {fds217210} } @misc{fds317727, Author = {Swanson, JW and Robertson, AG and Frisman, LK and Norko, MA and Lin, HJ and Swartz, MS and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Preventing gun violence involving people with serious mental illness}, Volume = {9781421411118}, Pages = {320 pages}, Booktitle = {Reducing Gun Violence in America}, Publisher = {Johns Hopkins University Press}, Editor = {Webster, DW and Vernick, JW}, Year = {2013}, Month = {January}, ISBN = {9781421411118}, Abstract = {The December 2012 tragedy at Newtown may soon settle in the collective memory of senseless rampages by unstable young men. But inthe immediate aftermath, the question of what might have been done to prevent those 28 untimely deaths may galvanize the attention of policymakers desperate to respond. Shall we now hold mental health systems more accountable for failing to find, treat, or confine people who incline to violence? Should we fault the loose enforcement of federal firearms restrictions, and a loophole-ridden system of background-checks, for failing to keep guns out of the hands of dangerous people? Does the problem lie with the laws themselves, with their blunt and archaic definitions that leave risky people untouched while sweeping up legions of the harmless?}, Key = {fds317727} } @misc{fds317728, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {The limited impact of the brady act: Evaluation and implications}, Volume = {9781421411118}, Pages = {21-32}, Booktitle = {Reducing Gun Violence in America: Informing Policy with Evidence and Analysis}, Publisher = {JHU Press}, Address = {Baltimore, MD}, Editor = {Daniel W. Webster and Jon S. Vernick}, Year = {2013}, Month = {January}, ISBN = {9781421411101}, Abstract = {Federal firearms law divides the population into two groups: those prohibited from legally possessing a firearm due to their criminal record or certain other disqualifying conditions and everyone else. The vast majority of the adult public is allowed to acquire and possess all the firearms they want, thus preserving the personal right to "keep and bear arms" that has been established by recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings.1 But that right, like all rights, has limits. People with serious criminal records or severe mental illness may reasonably be deemed at such high risk of misusing firearms that public-safety concerns take precedence over gun rights. While in practice it is impossible to keep all members of high-risk groups disarmed in a gun-rich environment, a selective prohibition may cause some reduction in gun misuse and save enough lives to be worthwhile.}, Key = {fds317728} } @misc{fds266345, Author = {Bushway, S and Cook, PJ and Phillips, M}, Title = {The net effect of the business cycle on crime and violence}, Pages = {23-52}, Booktitle = {Economics and youth violence: Crime, disadvantage, and community}, Publisher = {New York University Press}, Editor = {Rosenfeld, R and Edberg, M and Fang, X and Florence, CS}, Year = {2013}, Abstract = {The paper analyzes the causal effects of the business cycle on crime. Among the main conclusions are that robbery and burglary are countercyclical, motor vehicle theft is pro-cyclical, and criminal homicide is acyclical. We also analyze suicide patterns, finding that while suicide rates overall are countercyclical, suicide rates by younger teens are actually procyclical. The paper begins with a discussion of causal mechanisms linking economic conditions to crime and violence, both overall and for youths. We investigate the effect of short-term fluctuations in economic activity on crime and violence (and on arrest rates) using the quasi-experimental analysis of the last 13 business cycles (beginning in 1933). We then develop and implement a second approach, a regression analysis on detrended data, and report the results. The regression analysis generally confirms the qualitative results from the quasi-experimental approach, and provides estimates of magnitudes.}, Key = {fds266345} } @misc{fds303072, Author = {Cook, PJ and Machin, S and Marie, O and Mastrobuoni, G}, Title = {Crime economics in its fifth decade}, Booktitle = {Lessons from the Economics of Crime: What Reduces Offending?}, Publisher = {MIT Press}, Year = {2013}, Key = {fds303072} } @misc{fds266410, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Robbery}, Booktitle = {The Oxford Handbook of Crime and Public Policy}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press}, Year = {2012}, Month = {September}, ISBN = {9780199844654}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199844654.013.0005}, Abstract = {This article provides a description of trends and patterns in robbery using police statistics and statistics from crime surveys. The focus is on data of robbery rate trends for the United States, which is the most established of the national crime surveys. The survey data support a fine-grained analysis of the age, sex, race, and number of robbers and victims involved in an incident, as well as the type of weapon and the outcomes of the confrontation with respect to theft and injury. It examines the demographics of robber perpetration and victimization and robbery outcomes (property loss, injury, and death). This article discusses robbers' strategic choices about whom to rob, how, and with what weapon and interventions aimed at preventing robberies. Policies to reduce the scope of the underground market will thus be helpful in the effort to curtail robbery.}, Doi = {10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199844654.013.0005}, Key = {fds266410} } @misc{fds266411, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Firearm Violence}, Booktitle = {The Oxford Handbook of Crime and Public Policy}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press}, Year = {2012}, Month = {September}, ISBN = {9780199844654}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199844654.013.0004}, Abstract = {This article begins by characterizing the nature and scope of the gun violence problem, including a discussion of the potential benefit from use of guns in self-defense. The next section is devoted to a discussion of guns and it gives some basic facts on the patterns of private gun ownership and gun misuse. The article then discusses policies designed to discourage gun misuse directly by making guns a liability to criminals. Studies using a same basic research design have found evidence of some decline in gun use in crime. The article shows the importance of assessing the effects of overall rates of gun ownership within a community. The descriptive and analytical information summarized here opens the door to favorable consideration of a variety of other interventions.}, Doi = {10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199844654.013.0004}, Key = {fds266411} } @misc{fds266412, Author = {Gottfredson, DC and Cook, PJ and Na, C}, Title = {Schools and Prevention}, Booktitle = {The Oxford Handbook of Crime Prevention}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press}, Year = {2012}, Month = {March}, ISBN = {9780195398823}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780195398823.013.0014}, Abstract = {Student misbehavior, which includes school violence and bullying, interfere with academic achievements and is one of the major sources of teacher turnover in American schools. This article shows how schools can be organized and managed in order to minimize and prevent student misbehavior. It identifies the kinds of practices and policies they can adopt to decrease the levels of victimization, violence, substance use, and crime both in and out of schools. It considers the research conducted on the effectiveness of curriculum-based prevention programs. It then presents evidence that shows that how the school is organized and managed also influences school behavior and problem behavior. This article also discusses discipline management and school culture and explains how these can be used to reduce crime and other related problem behaviors.}, Doi = {10.1093/oxfordhb/9780195398823.013.0014}, Key = {fds266412} } @misc{fds266414, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Foreword}, Pages = {Ix-Xii}, Booktitle = {Experimental Criminology}, Publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, Address = {New York}, Editor = {Brandon C. Welsh and Anthony A. Braga and Gerben J. N. Bruinsma}, Year = {2012}, Month = {January}, ISBN = {9781107032231}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139424776.001}, Abstract = {We need this new field of experimental criminology. The design of cost-effective policy requires good evidence on what works well and, equally important, what doesn’t. Intuition, casual observation, and good intentions are not enough. The exceptional case, albeit from another field, helps prove the rule. Cambridge Professor Gordon Smith and his colleague Jill Pell once pointed out that there had been no rigorous evaluations of parachute use as a method of preventing death resulting from jumping out of an airplane. They noted that “advocates of evidence based medicine have criticised the adoption of interventions evaluated by using only observational data” (2003: 1459) and suggested that those advocates participate in a randomized field trial of parachute use. The point is that observational data combined with our understanding of basic mechanisms (gravity, vulnerability to trauma) is entirely persuasive in this case, just as is the usual evidence we have about which switch controls a particular light. But such easy cases are rare. The processes by which innovations in policing or corrections or social policy might influence crime rates are complex and cannot be confidently assessed by what might be called “common sense” alone. More systematic evidence is required. And the new field, well documented in this book, is beginning to provide just that.}, Doi = {10.1017/CBO9781139424776.001}, Key = {fds266414} } @misc{fds266274, Author = {Gottfredson, D and Cook, PJ and Na, C}, Title = {School-based crime prevention}, Pages = {269-2897}, Booktitle = {The Oxford Handbook of Crime Prevention}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press}, Address = {New York}, Editor = {Walsh, BC and Farrington, DP}, Year = {2012}, Key = {fds266274} } @misc{fds266320, Author = {Cook, PJ and Clotfelter, CT}, Title = {The Gambler's Fallacy in Lottery Play}, Booktitle = {The Economics Of Gambling And National Lotteries}, Publisher = {Edgar Elgar Publishers}, Editor = {Williams, LV}, Year = {2012}, Abstract = {The -gambler's fallacy- is the belief that the probability of an event is lowered when that event has recently occurred, even though the probability of the event is objectively known to be independent from one trial to the next.}, Key = {fds266320} } @misc{fds266322, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Lotteries in the Real World}, Booktitle = {The Economics Of Gambling And National Lotteries}, Publisher = {Edgar Elgar Publishers}, Editor = {Williams, LV}, Year = {2012}, Key = {fds266322} } @misc{fds266275, Author = {Cook, PJ and MacDonald, J}, Title = {The role of private action in controlling crime}, Booktitle = {Controlling Crime: Strategies and Tradeoffs}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Address = {Chicago}, Editor = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J and McCrary, J}, Year = {2011}, Key = {fds266275} } @misc{fds266276, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Economical Crime Control}, Booktitle = {Controlling Crime: Strategies and Tradeoffs}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Address = {Chicago}, Editor = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J and McCrary, J}, Year = {2011}, Key = {fds266276} } @misc{fds266325, Author = {Cook, PJ and Gearing, M}, Title = {The minimum drinking age: 21 as an artifact}, Booktitle = {College Student Drinking and Drug Use: Multiple Perspectives on a Complex Problem}, Publisher = {Guilford Press}, Editor = {White, HR and Rabiner, DL}, Year = {2011}, Key = {fds266325} } @misc{fds266326, Author = {Chaloupja, FJ and Cook, PJ and Peck, RM and Tauras, JA}, Title = {Enhancing compliance with tobacco control policies}, Pages = {325-350}, Booktitle = {After Tobacco}, Publisher = {Columbia University Press}, Address = {New York}, Editor = {Bearman, P and Neckerman, KM and Wright, L}, Year = {2011}, Key = {fds266326} } @misc{fds305852, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Economical Crime Control}, Year = {2010}, Month = {November}, Abstract = {This paper is the introductory chapter for the forthcoming NBER volume Controlling Crime: Strategies and Tradeoffs. The Great Recession has led to cuts in criminal justice expenditures, and the trend towards ever-higher incarceration rates that has been underway since the 1970s in the U.S. appears to have turned the corner. That raises the question of whether the crime drop can be sustained. State and local revenue shortfalls have engendered intense interest in cost-cutting measures that do not sacrifice public safety. We argue that there is some reason for optimism, simply because current criminal justice allocations and policies appear to be inefficient - more crime control could be accomplished with fewer resources. The crime problem is often framed as a debate between those who favor a "tough" punitive approach versus those who favor a "soft" approach that focuses on prevention or remediation programs. But the canonical economic model of crime from Becker (1968) suggests that the decision to commit crime involves a weighing of both benefits and costs, implying that both tough and soft approaches might be useful. It is ultimately an empirical question about how the marginal crime-control dollar may be most effectively deployed. The evidence presented in this edited volume suggests that a more efficient portfolio of crime-control strategies would involve greater attention to enhancing the certainty rather than the severity of punishment for criminal behavior, stimulating private-sector cooperation for controlling crime, and making strategic investments in the human capital of at-risk populations, including in particular efforts to improve the social-cognitive skills of justice-system-involved populations. To help illustrate the magnitude of the inefficiencies within the current system, the essay concludes with a thought experiment that considers how much additional crime-prevention could be obtained by reverting average sentence lengths back to 1984 levels (midway through the Reagan era) and redirecting the freed-up resources (on the order of $12 billion annually) to alternative uses.}, Key = {fds305852} } @misc{fds337370, Author = {Cook, PJ and MacDonald, J}, Title = {Public Safety Through Private Action: An Economic Assessment of Bids, Locks, and Citizen Cooperation}, Year = {2010}, Month = {April}, Key = {fds337370} } @misc{fds266258, Author = {Cook, PJ and Braga, A and Moore, MH}, Title = {Gun Control}, Pages = {257-292}, Booktitle = {Crime and Public Policy}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press}, Address = {New York}, Editor = {J.Q. Wilson and J. Petersilia}, Year = {2010}, Key = {fds266258} } @misc{fds266259, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J and Samaha, AM}, Title = {Gun Control After Heller: Litigating against Regulation}, Pages = {103-135}, Booktitle = {Regulation versus Litigation}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Kessler, D}, Year = {2010}, Key = {fds266259} } @misc{fds266277, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {'Comment' on 'What do economists know about crime?'}, Pages = {302-304}, Booktitle = {The Economics of Crime: Lessons for & from Latin America}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {DiTella, R and Edwards, S and Schargodsky, E}, Year = {2010}, Key = {fds266277} } @misc{fds266407, Author = {Frank, RH and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Preface to the new edition}, Booktitle = {The Winner-Take-All Society}, Publisher = {Virgin Books, Random House}, Year = {2010}, Key = {fds266407} } @misc{fds303073, Author = {Cook, PJ and Gottfredson, DC and Na, C}, Title = {School crime control and prevention}, Booktitle = {Crime and Justice}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Tonry, M}, Year = {2010}, Key = {fds303073} } @misc{fds337371, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J and Samaha, AM}, Title = {Gun Control after Heller: Litigating Against Regulation}, Year = {2009}, Month = {October}, Key = {fds337371} } @misc{fds139467, Author = {P.J. Cook and J. Ludwig}, Title = {Firearm Violence}, Booktitle = {Handbook on Crime and Public Policy}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press}, Editor = {Michael Tonry}, Year = {2009}, Key = {fds139467} } @misc{fds266261, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Firearms Violence}, Booktitle = {Oxford Handbook on Crime and Public Policy}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press}, Editor = {Tonry, M}, Year = {2009}, Key = {fds266261} } @misc{fds266286, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Robbery}, Booktitle = {Handbook on Crime and Justice}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press}, Editor = {Tonry, M}, Year = {2009}, Key = {fds266286} } @misc{fds266287, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Crime}, Pages = {297-327}, Booktitle = {MAKING CITIES WORK: Prospects and Policies for Urban America}, Publisher = {Princeton University Press}, Address = {Princeton, NJ}, Editor = {Inman, RP}, Year = {2009}, Key = {fds266287} } @misc{fds266319, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Ends and Means in State Lotteries: The Importance of a Good Cause}, Pages = {11-38}, Booktitle = {Gambling: Mapping the American Moral Landscape}, Publisher = {Baylor University Press}, Editor = {Wolfe, A and Owens, EC}, Year = {2009}, Key = {fds266319} } @misc{fds266327, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Leave the minimum drinking age to the states}, Pages = {99-106}, Booktitle = {Contemporary Issues in Criminal Justice Policy}, Publisher = {Wadsworth}, Address = {Belmont, MA}, Editor = {Frost, NA and Freilich, JD and Clear, TR}, Year = {2009}, Key = {fds266327} } @misc{fds303070, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Robbery}, Booktitle = {Oxford Handbook on Crime and Public Policy}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press}, Editor = {Tonry, J}, Year = {2009}, Key = {fds303070} } @misc{fds266418, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {The burden of "acting white": Do Black adolescents disparage academic achievement?}, Pages = {275-297}, Booktitle = {Minority Status, Oppositional Culture, and Schooling}, Publisher = {Routledge}, Year = {2008}, Month = {February}, ISBN = {9780203931967}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9780203931967}, Doi = {10.4324/9780203931967}, Key = {fds266418} } @misc{fds337372, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Assessing Urban Crime and its Control: An Overview}, Year = {2008}, Month = {February}, Key = {fds337372} } @misc{fds266299, Author = {Cook, PJ and Parnell, A and Moore, MJ and Pagnini, D}, Title = {The Effects of Short-term Variation in Abortion Funding on Pregnancy Outcomes}, Booktitle = {The Economics of Health Behaviours}, Publisher = {Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.}, Editor = {Cawley, JH and Kenkel, DS}, Year = {2008}, Key = {fds266299} } @misc{fds266302, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MJ}, Title = {Drinking and Schooling}, Booktitle = {The Economics of Health Behaviours}, Publisher = {Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.}, Editor = {Cawley, JH and Kenkel, DS}, Year = {2008}, Key = {fds266302} } @misc{fds266400, Author = {Cook, PJ and Tauchen, G}, Title = {The Effect of Minimum Drinking Age Legislation on Youthful Auto Fatalities, 1970-77}, Booktitle = {The Economics of Health Behaviours}, Publisher = {Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.}, Editor = {Cawley, JH and Kenkel, DS}, Year = {2008}, Key = {fds266400} } @misc{fds178752, Author = {R.H. Frank and P.J. Cook}, Title = {The Winner-Take-All Society}, Series = {2nd}, Booktitle = {The International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences}, Publisher = {Gale}, Editor = {William A. Darity Jr.}, Year = {2007}, Key = {fds178752} } @misc{fds266262, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Use and Control of Firearms}, Booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Law & Society}, Publisher = {Sage Publications, Inc.}, Editor = {David S. Clark}, Year = {2007}, Key = {fds266262} } @misc{fds266265, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwing, J}, Title = {The Effects of the Brady Act on Gun Violence}, Booktitle = {Economics of the Criminal Law}, Publisher = {Edward Elgar Publishing}, Editor = {Levitt, SD and Miles, TJ}, Year = {2007}, Key = {fds266265} } @misc{fds303080, Author = {Cook, PJ and Hutchinson, R}, Title = {Smoke Signals Adolescent Smoking and School Continuation}, Volume = {10}, Pages = {157-188}, Booktitle = {The Evolution of Consumption: Theories and Practices}, Editor = {Bianchi, M}, Year = {2007}, Abstract = {This paper presents an exploratory analysis using NLSY97 data of the relationship between the likelihood of school continuation and the choices of whether to smoke or drink.}, Key = {fds303080} } @misc{fds266329, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Acting White}, Series = {2nd}, Booktitle = {International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences}, Publisher = {Gale}, Editor = {Darity, W}, Year = {2007}, Key = {fds266329} } @misc{fds266333, Author = {Cook, PJ and Frank, RH}, Title = {The Winner-take-all Society Why the Few at the Top Get So Much More Than the Rest of Us}, Booktitle = {The International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences}, Publisher = {Gale}, Editor = {Darity, W}, Year = {2007}, Abstract = {More relevant today than ever before, this fascinating book shows how in business, as in sport, thousands are competing for only a handful of top prizes.}, Key = {fds266333} } @misc{fds266479, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Introduction to Paying the Tab: The Costs and Benefits of Alcohol Control}, Year = {2007}, ISBN = {9780691125206}, Abstract = {What drug provides Americans with the greatest pleasure and the greatest pain? The answer, hands down, is alcohol. The pain comes not only from drunk driving and lost lives but also addiction, family strife, crime, violence, poor health, and squandered human potential. Young and old, drinkers and abstainers alike, all are affected. Every American is paying for alcohol abuse. <i>Paying the Tab</i>, the first comprehensive analysis of this complex policy issue, calls for broadening our approach to curbing destructive drinking. Over the last few decades, efforts to reduce the societal costs--curbing youth drinking and cracking down on drunk driving--have been somewhat effective, but woefully incomplete. In fact, American policymakers have ignored the influence of the supply side of the equation. Beer and liquor are far cheaper and more readily available today than in the 1950s and 1960s. Philip Cook's well-researched and engaging account chronicles the history of our attempts to "legislate morality," the overlooked lessons from Prohibition, and the rise of Alcoholics Anonymous. He provides a thorough account of the scientific evidence that has accumulated over the last twenty-five years of economic and public-health research, which demonstrates that higher alcohol excise taxes and other supply restrictions are effective and underutilized policy tools that can cut abuse while preserving the pleasures of moderate consumption. <i>Paying the Tab</i> makes a powerful case for a policy course correction. Alcohol is too cheap, and it's costing all of us.}, Key = {fds266479} } @misc{fds266279, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Assigning Youths to Minimize Total Harm}, Pages = {67-89}, Booktitle = {Deviant Peer Influences in Programs for Youth: Problems and Solutions}, Publisher = {The Guilford Press}, Editor = {Dodge, KA and Dishion, TJ and Lansford, JE}, Year = {2006}, Abstract = {A common practice in the fields of education, mental health, and juvenile justice is to segregate problem youths in groups with deviant peers. Assignments of this sort, which concentrate deviant youths, may facilitate deviant peer influence and lead to perverse outcomes. This possibility adds to the list of arguments in support of "mainstreaming" whenever possible. But there are other concerns that help justify segregated-group assignments, including efficiency of service delivery and protection of the public. Our analysis organizes the discussion about the relevant tradeoffs. First, the number of deviant youths (relative to the size of the relevant population, or to the number of assignment locations) affects whether the harm-minimizing assignment calls for diffusion or segregation. Second, the nature of the problematic behavior is relevant; behavior which has a direct, detrimental effect on others who share the assignment makes a stronger case for segregation. Third, the capacity for behavior control matters, and may make the difference in a choice between segregation and integration. We briefly discuss the empirical literature, which with some exceptions is inadequate to the task of providing clear guidance about harm-minimizing assignment strategies. Finally, we reflect briefly on the medical-practice principle "first do no harm," and contrast it with the claims of potential victims of deviants.}, Key = {fds266279} } @misc{fds266341, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Correctional Carrot: The Prospect of Reducing Recidivism through Improved Job Opportunities}, Booktitle = {The Economics of Crime}, Publisher = {Edward Elgar Publishing, Inc.}, Editor = {Ehrlich, I and Liu, Z}, Year = {2006}, Key = {fds266341} } @misc{fds337374, Author = {Cook, PJ and Peters, BL}, Title = {The Myth of the Drinker's Bonus}, Year = {2005}, Month = {December}, Key = {fds337374} } @misc{fds337375, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Assigning Deviant Youths to Minimize Total Harm}, Year = {2005}, Month = {June}, Key = {fds337375} } @misc{fds303074, Author = {Cook, PJ and Khmilevska, N}, Title = {Cross-National Patterns in Crime Rates}, Pages = {331-345}, Booktitle = {Crime and Punishment in Western Countries, 1980-1999}, Publisher = {Univesity of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Tonry, M and Farrington, DP}, Year = {2005}, Key = {fds303074} } @misc{fds266266, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {The Effects of the Brady Act on Gun Violence}, Pages = {283-298}, Booktitle = {Guns, Crime, and Punishment in America}, Publisher = {NYU Press}, Editor = {Harcourt, BE}, Year = {2003}, Key = {fds266266} } @misc{fds266267, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Pragmatic Gun Policy}, Pages = {1-37}, Booktitle = {Evaluating Gun Policy}, Publisher = {Brookings Institution Press}, Editor = {Ludwig, J and Cook, PJ}, Year = {2003}, Key = {fds266267} } @misc{fds266268, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {The Effects of Gun Prevalence on Burglary Deterrence Vs. Inducement}, Pages = {74-118}, Booktitle = {Evaluating Gun Policy}, Publisher = {Brookings Institution Press}, Editor = {Ludwig, J and Cook, PJ}, Year = {2003}, Key = {fds266268} } @misc{fds266270, Author = {Cook, PJ and Braga, A}, Title = {New Law Enforcement Uses for Comprehensive Firearms Trace Data}, Pages = {163-187}, Booktitle = {Guns, Crime, and Punishment}, Publisher = {NYU Press}, Editor = {Harcourt, BE}, Year = {2003}, Key = {fds266270} } @misc{fds266281, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {'Comment' on 'Catching Cheating Teachers'}, Pages = {2010-215}, Booktitle = {Brookings-Wharton Papers on Urban Affairs 2003}, Publisher = {Brookings Institution Press}, Editor = {Gale, WG and Pack, JR}, Year = {2003}, Key = {fds266281} } @misc{fds337376, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {The Effects of Gun Prevalence on Burglary: Deterrence vs Inducement}, Year = {2002}, Month = {May}, Key = {fds337376} } @misc{fds266474, Author = {Cook, PJ and Laub, JH}, Title = {After the Epidemic: Recent Trends in Youth Violence in the United States}, Pages = {1-37}, Booktitle = {Crime and Justice: A Review of Research}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Michael Tonry}, Year = {2002}, Month = {January}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000179795600001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {The epidemic of youth violence in the United States peaked in 1993 and has been followed by a rapid, sustained drop. We assess two types of explanation for this drop – those that focus on “cohort” effects (including the effects of abortion legalization) and those that focus on “period” effects (including the effects of the changing crack-cocaine trade). We are able to reject the cohort-type explanations yet also find contradictions with an account based on the dynamics of crack markets. The “way out” of this epidemic has not been the same as the “way in.” The relative importance in homicide of youths, racial minorities, and guns, all of which increased greatly during the epidemic, has remained high during the drop. Arrest patterns tell a somewhat different story, in part because of changing police practice with respect to aggravated assault. Finally, we demonstrate that the rise and fall of youth violence has been narrowly confined with respect to race, sex, and age, but not geography. Given the volatility in the rates of juvenile violence, forecasting rates is a risky business indeed. Effectively narrowing the range of plausible explanations for the recent ups and downs may require a long time horizon, consideration of a broader array of problem behaviors, and comparisons with trends in other countries.}, Doi = {10.1086/652218}, Key = {fds266474} } @misc{fds14353, Author = {PJ Cook and J Ludwig}, Title = {Litigation as Regulation: Firearms}, Booktitle = {Regulation Through Litigation}, Publisher = {Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press}, Editor = {WK Viscusi}, Year = {2002}, Key = {fds14353} } @misc{fds266271, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MH and Braga, A}, Title = {Gun Control}, Pages = {291-329}, Booktitle = {Crime: Public Policies For Crime Control}, Publisher = {ICS Press}, Editor = {Wilson, JQ and Petersilia, J}, Year = {2002}, Key = {fds266271} } @misc{fds303075, Author = {Cook, PJ and Laub, JH}, Title = {After the Epidemic: Recent Trends in Youth Violence in the United States}, Pages = {117-153}, Booktitle = {Crime and Justice: A Review of Research}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Tonry, M}, Year = {2002}, Key = {fds303075} } @misc{fds303071, Author = {Braga, AA and Cook, PJ and Kennedy, DM and Moore, MH}, Title = {The Illegal Supply of Firearms}, Pages = {229-262}, Booktitle = {Crime and Justice: A Review of Research}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Tonry, M}, Year = {2002}, Key = {fds303071} } @misc{fds266283, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Forward}, Booktitle = {Costs and Benefits of Preventing Crime}, Publisher = {Westview Press}, Editor = {Welsh, BC and Farrington, DP and Sherman, LW}, Year = {2001}, Key = {fds266283} } @misc{fds266297, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MJ}, Title = {Environment and Persistence in Youthful Drinking Patterns}, Pages = {375-437}, Booktitle = {Risky Behavior Among Youths: An Economic Analysis}, Publisher = {Univesity of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Gruber, J}, Year = {2001}, Key = {fds266297} } @misc{fds266308, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Technology of Personal Violence}, Booktitle = {The Gun Control Debate: You Decide}, Publisher = {Promethus Books}, Editor = {Nisbet, L}, Year = {2001}, Key = {fds266308} } @misc{fds266298, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MJ}, Title = {Alcohol}, Volume = {1B}, Pages = {1629-1673}, Booktitle = {Handbook of Health Economics}, Publisher = {North-Holland}, Editor = {Culyer, AJ and Newhouse, JP}, Year = {2000}, Key = {fds266298} } @misc{fds337377, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MJ}, Title = {Alcohol}, Year = {1999}, Month = {January}, Key = {fds337377} } @misc{fds266272, Author = {Kellermann, AL and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Armed and Dangerous: Guns in American Homes}, Pages = {425-440}, Booktitle = {Lethal Imagination: Violence and Brutality in American History}, Publisher = {New York University Press}, Editor = {Bellesiles, MA}, Year = {1999}, Key = {fds266272} } @misc{fds47413, Author = {PJ Cook}, Title = {The Unprecedented Epidemic in Youth Violence}, Pages = {101-138}, Booktitle = {Youth Violence}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Michael Tonry and Mark H. Moore}, Year = {1998}, Key = {fds47413} } @misc{fds266284, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Epidemic of Youth Gun Violence}, Pages = {107-125}, Booktitle = {Perspectives on Crime and Violence:1997-1998 Lecture Series}, Publisher = {National Institute of Justice}, Year = {1998}, Abstract = {An epidemic of youth gun violence has swept the United States in recent years. The increase in youth homicide, which began in the mid-1980s and peaked in 1993, was unusual, large, abrupt, and unprecedented. Although it is now 5 years past the peak, great uncertainty remains about its causes and what can be done to head off the next epidemic. During the early 1980s, violent crime rates in the United States were generally headed down from a previous record-breaking peak in 1980. But in 1985, this positive trend reversed—not for everyone, but for demographic groups with the highest prevalence of perpetrators and victims of violent crime. While homicide rates for older adults continued to decline, adolescents and young adults in minority communities increasingly resorted to gunplay and suffered its deadly consequences. My objective is to describe this epidemic of youth gun violence and consider two prominent explanations of the problem that have influenced policy over the past 7 or 8 years. One school of thought explains the epidemic in terms of the character of the youths involved. Other researchers see the problem in terms of the context in which the youths operate. In my opinion, the evidence favors context over character. A focused response to this epidemic was slow in coming, but in recent years a number of law enforcement innovations designed to separate kids from guns have been implemented around the country. Although the research results are not yet in, many of these efforts may have helped turn the corner in reducing homicide rates.}, Key = {fds266284} } @misc{fds266285, Author = {Cook, PJ and Laub, J}, Title = {The Unprecedented Epidemic}, Pages = {101-138}, Booktitle = {Youth Violence}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Tonry, M and Moore, MH}, Year = {1998}, Key = {fds266285} } @misc{fds266305, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MH}, Title = {Guns, Gun Control, and Homicide: A Review of Research and Public Policy}, Pages = {277-296}, Booktitle = {Homicide: A Sourcebook of Social Research}, Publisher = {Sage Publications}, Editor = {Smith, MD and Zahn, MA}, Year = {1998}, Key = {fds266305} } @misc{fds266306, Author = {Cook, PJ and Leitzel, J}, Title = {Gun Control}, Booktitle = {New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics and Law}, Year = {1998}, Key = {fds266306} } @misc{fds266330, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {The Burden of 'Acting White:' Do Black Adolescents Disparage Academic Achievement?}, Pages = {375-400}, Booktitle = {The Black-White Test Score Gap}, Publisher = {Brookings Institution Press}, Editor = {Jencks, C and Phillips, M}, Year = {1998}, Key = {fds266330} } @misc{fds303077, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MH}, Title = {Guns, Gun Control, and Homicide: A Review of Research and Public Policy}, Pages = {246-273}, Booktitle = {Studying and Preventing Homicide: Issues and Challenges}, Publisher = {Sage Publications}, Editor = {Smith, MD and Zahn, MA}, Year = {1998}, Key = {fds303077} } @misc{fds266323, Author = {Cook, PJ and Clotfelter, CT}, Title = {On the Economics of State Lotteries (revised version)}, Pages = {457-472}, Booktitle = {Readings in Public Finance}, Publisher = {South-Western College Publishers}, Editor = {Baker, SH and Elliott, CS}, Year = {1997}, Key = {fds266323} } @misc{fds266332, Author = {Cook, PJ and Frank, RH}, Title = {The Economic Payoff of Attending an Ivy-League Institution}, Booktitle = {Critical White Studies: Looking Behind the Mirror}, Publisher = {Temple University Press}, Editor = {Delgado, R and Stefancic, J}, Year = {1997}, Key = {fds266332} } @misc{fds47358, Author = {PJ Cook}, Title = {Social Costs of Alcohol, Tobacco and Drug Abuse" and "Tax Laws, Alcohol}, Booktitle = {The Encyclopedia of Drugs and Alcohol}, Publisher = {New York: Macmillan Publishing Co.}, Editor = {J.H. Jaffe}, Year = {1996}, Key = {fds47358} } @misc{fds266300, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Tax Laws, Alcohol}, Booktitle = {The Encyclopedia of Drugs and Alcohol}, Publisher = {Macmillan Publishing Co.}, Editor = {Jeffe, JH}, Year = {1996}, Key = {fds266300} } @misc{fds266301, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Social Costs of Alcohol, Tobacco and Drug Abuse}, Booktitle = {The Encyclopedia of Drugs and Alcohol}, Publisher = {Macmillan Publishing Co.}, Editor = {Jaffe, JH}, Year = {1996}, Key = {fds266301} } @misc{fds337378, Author = {Moore, MJ and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Habit and Heterogeneity in the Youthful Demand for Alcohol}, Year = {1995}, Month = {June}, Key = {fds337378} } @misc{fds266307, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MH}, Title = {Gun Control}, Pages = {267-294}, Booktitle = {Crime}, Publisher = {ICS Press}, Editor = {Wilson, JQ and Petersilia, J}, Year = {1995}, Abstract = {The purpose of this essay is to provide a foundation for understanding the "Great American Gun War," and to consider the next steps that could be taken in the search for an effective gun-control policy. We begin with a review of the more-or-less uncontroversial facts about trends in gun ownership and use, and the reasons why Americans are inclined to arm themselves. A discussion follows of the more contentious issues, whether and how guns influence levels or seriousness of crime. We then identify the important values at stake in adopting any gun-control policy, and go on to describe the existing policies and the mechanisms by which they and other such measures have their effect. Finally, we make recommendations about promising next steps.}, Key = {fds266307} } @misc{fds266331, Author = {Cook, PJ and Frank, RH}, Title = {The Growing Concentration of Top Students at Elite Schools}, Booktitle = {Studies of Supply and Demand in Higher Education}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Clotfelter, CT and Rothschild, M}, Year = {1993}, Key = {fds266331} } @misc{fds266394, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MJ}, Title = {Economic Perspectives on Reducing Alcohol-Related Violence}, Pages = {193-212}, Booktitle = {Alcohol and Interpersonal Violence: Fostering Multidisciplinary Perspectives}, Publisher = {NIH}, Editor = {Martin, SE}, Year = {1993}, Key = {fds266394} } @misc{fds266395, Author = {Cook, PJ and Moore, MJ}, Title = {Taxation of Alcoholic Beverages}, Pages = {33-58}, Booktitle = {Economic Research on the Prevention of Alcohol-Related Problems}, Publisher = {NIAAA}, Editor = {Hilton, M and Bloss, G}, Year = {1993}, Abstract = {Excess drinking is associated with lost productivity, accidents, disability, early death, crime, neglect of family responsibilities, and personality deterioration. These and related concerns have justified special restrictions on alcoholic beverage commerce and consumption. The nature and extent of government involvement in this arena vary widely over time and place, and are often controversial. Economists have contributed to the evaluation of alcohol policy through empirical work on the effects of alcohol-control measures on consumption and its consequences. Economics has also provided an accounting framework for defining and comparing costs and benefits of interventions, including excise taxes. Outside of the policy arena, economists have analyzed alcohol consumption in the context of stretching the standard model of consumer choice to include intertemporal effects and social influence. Nonetheless, perhaps the most important contribution by economists has been the repeated demonstration that there is nothing unusual about alcohol in at least one essential respect: consumers drink less ethanol (and have fewer alcohol-related problems) when alcohol-beverage prices are increased. Important econometric challenges remain, including the search for a satisfactory resolution to the conflicting results on the effect of price changes on consumption by consumers who tend to drink heavily. There are also unresolved puzzles about the relationship between drinking and productivity; even after controlling for a variety of other characteristics, drinkers tend to have higher earnings than abstainers, and women’s earnings (but not men’s) tend to increase with alcohol consumption.}, Key = {fds266395} } @misc{fds266321, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {Lotteries}, Booktitle = {The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance}, Publisher = {Macmillan Press,}, Editor = {Newman, P and Milgate, M and Eatwell, J}, Year = {1992}, Key = {fds266321} } @misc{fds266309, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Technology of Personal Violence}, Volume = {14}, Booktitle = {Crime and Justice: An Annual Review of Research}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Tonry, M}, Year = {1991}, Abstract = {Over 30,000 deaths each year result from gunshot wounds. Two decades of systematic research on weapons and personal violence indicate a pervasive influence of weapon type on the patterns and outcomes of violent encounters. The likelihood that an assault will result in death depends (among other things) on the lethality of the weapon. The evidence that weapon lethality affects the likelihood of death in suicide is somewhat weaker. Assailants’ weapon choice depends on a number of factors, including the relative vulnerability of the intended victim and the general availability of firearms. National Crime Survey data indicate that guns are used only about 80,000 times each year in self-defense.}, Key = {fds266309} } @misc{fds266315, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Effect of Gun Availability on Violent Crime Patterns}, Booktitle = {Violence: Patterns, Causes, Public Policy}, Publisher = {Harcourt Brace Jovanovich}, Editor = {Weiner, NA and Zahn, MA and Sagi, RJ}, Year = {1990}, Key = {fds266315} } @misc{fds325920, Author = {Clotfelter, CT and Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Demand for Lottery Products}, Year = {1989}, Month = {April}, Abstract = {Lotteries constitute one of the fastest-growing categories of consumer expenditure in the United States. Not only have an increasing number of states legalized state lotteries, but the per capita expenditures on lotteries in lottery states have increased at an annual rate of 13 percent after inflation between 1975 and 1988. This article examines the demand for lottery products. A majority of the adult public in lottery states play in any one year, but relatively few of these players account for most of the action". Socioeconomic patterns of play, measured from both sales data and household surveys, offer some surprises -- for example, that the Engle curve of lottery expenditures decline with income. There is some evidence that lottery sales increase with the payout rate, although it is not clear that it would be profitable for the states to increase payout rates. The addition of a new game, such as lotto, does not undercut sales of existing games, and the oft-heard claim that interest (and sales) will "inevitably" decline is contradicted by the data. The organizational form of the lottery is evolving in response to the quest for higher revenues: in particular, smaller states are forming multistate game. This article is a chapter from Selling Hope: State Lotteries in America, an NBER monograph to be published by Harvard University Press in November, 1989.}, Key = {fds325920} } @misc{fds266396, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Comment}, Volume = {66}, Pages = {181-183}, Booktitle = {Preventing Automobile Injury: New Findings for Evaluation Research}, Publisher = {Auburn House Publishing Company}, Editor = {Graham, JD}, Year = {1988}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1227/01.NEU.0000360378.84853.A0}, Doi = {10.1227/01.NEU.0000360378.84853.A0}, Key = {fds266396} } @misc{fds266289, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Notes on an Accounting Scheme for a Juvenile Correctional System}, Volume = {2}, Pages = {362-370}, Booktitle = {From Children to Citizens: The Role of the Juvenile Court}, Publisher = {Springer-Verlag}, Editor = {Hartman, FX}, Year = {1987}, Key = {fds266289} } @misc{fds266290, Author = {Cook, PJ and Laub, JH}, Title = {Trends in Child Abuse and Juvenile Delinquency}, Volume = {2}, Pages = {109-127}, Booktitle = {From Children to Citizens: The Role of the Juvenile Court}, Publisher = {Springer Verlag}, Editor = {Hartman, FX}, Year = {1987}, Abstract = {This paper seeks to project future trends in child abuse and juvenile delinquency. Such projections are useful in planning capacity changes in the juvenile justice system. Trends in youth crime and child abuse as well as information on various social indicators affecting children are reviewed. We conclude that juvenile crime rates per capita will probably remain at current levels or even decline over the next 10 to 15 years, although we are inclined to emphasize the uncertainty that attaches to this prediction.}, Key = {fds266290} } @misc{fds266291, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Economics of Criminal Sanctions}, Booktitle = {Sanctions and Rewards in the Legal System}, Publisher = {University of Toronot Press}, Editor = {Friedland, ML}, Year = {1987}, Abstract = {This is an essay on the economists’ theoretical perspective of how rewards and sanctions influence criminal activity. Although I include an occasional reference to the empirical evidence, Franklin Zimring’s essay (elsewhere in this volume) precludes the necessity of a more complete account. In any event, as an economist I run true to form in placing precedence on developing the theory: as the joke has it, an economist is someone who, told that something is true in practice, wonders whether it is true in theory. Economics is unique among the social sciences in having a well-developed paradigm for guiding theoretical inquiry on any topic that an economist chooses to investigate. This paradigm is well illustrated in the modern literature on the economics of crime, beginning with the seminal articles by Becker and Ehrlich. In essence, the paradigm has five parts: 1. Identify the relevant decision-makers and the objectives that motivate their behavior, usually by assuming self-interest and rationality. 2. Given these objectives, and a characterization of the available options, develop the implications for how behavioral choices will respond to changes in opportunity. 3. Specify the conditions of interaction or exchange among the decision-makers. 4. Derive a characterization of the aggregate consequences of this interaction, with special attention to the characteristics of ‘equilibrium’. 5. Analyze the effects on this equilibrium of changes in contextual variables. Of course, economists traditionally have applied this approach to the analysis of prices and quantities in the context of a market system of exchange, and efforts to expand the domain of economic inquiry to include topics such as criminal behavior have met with resistance from other social scientists. The bulk of this essay is devoted to an account of the ‘economic’ characterization of the behavior of the potential (or actual) criminal, together with a discussion of the common objections to this characterization. This account covers only the first two of the five parts that constitute the economic paradigm. The entire paradigm is briefly illustrated in a subsequent section of the essay, with an analysis of the crime of motor vehicle theft. The conclusion discusses research priorities.}, Key = {fds266291} } @misc{fds266397, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Impact of Distilled Spirits Taxes on Consumption, Auto Fatalities and Cirrhosis Mortality}, Pages = {159-167}, Booktitle = {Control Issues in Alcohol Abuse Prevention: Strategies for States and Communities, Advances in Substance Abuse, Suppl: 1}, Publisher = {Jai Press}, Editor = {Holder, HD}, Year = {1987}, Key = {fds266397} } @misc{fds266292, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Criminal Incapacitation Effects Considered in an Adaptive Choice Framework}, Pages = {202-216}, Booktitle = {The Reasoning Criminal}, Publisher = {Springer Verlag}, Editor = {Cornish, D and Clarke, R}, Year = {1986}, Abstract = {Philip Cook’s analysis of the possible adaptations made by offenders to policies of incapacitation constitutes a valuable example of the policy applications of a rational choice perspective. Taking as his starting point the assumption that people adapt their behavior in the light of information about the costs and benefits of alternative courses of action, Cook draws on the “danger compensation” thesis current in the road safety field to argue that such adaptations may sometimes act to partially negate the effects of policy. He shows clearly that selective incapacitation measures may, depending on the extent to which different classes of offender adapt their behaviors in the knowledge of the changing costs and benefits involved, very well lead to an increase rather than a decrease in overall levels of crime. His is a hypothetical example and needs to be fleshed out with interview and behavioral data, but it illustrates how important it may be for policymakers to obtain a clearer understanding of the way in which crime-control policies—whether incapacitative, deterrent, rehabilitative, or preventive—are perceived, evaluated, and reacted to by their intended objects. Neglect of the offender’s perspective probably underlies the catastrophic failure of rehabilitation, and a similar neglect may well lead to the failure of many of the new deterrent policies. The situation can only be remedied by a large investment in research into offender perceptions.}, Key = {fds266292} } @misc{fds303076, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Demand and Supply of Criminal Opportunities}, Volume = {7}, Pages = {1-28}, Booktitle = {Crime and Justice: An Annual Review of Research}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Tonry, M and Morris, N}, Year = {1986}, Key = {fds303076} } @misc{fds266316, Author = {Cook, PJ and Blose, J}, Title = {State Programs for Screening Handgun Buyers}, Booktitle = {State Politics and the New Federalism}, Publisher = {Longman}, Editor = {Gittell, M}, Year = {1986}, Key = {fds266316} } @misc{fds342399, Author = {Payne, JW and Johnson, EJ}, Title = {The decision to commit a crime: An information processing analysis}, Pages = {170-185}, Booktitle = {The Reasoning Criminal: Rational Choice Perspectives of Offending}, Publisher = {Springer-Verlag}, Editor = {Cornish, D and Clark, R}, Year = {1986}, ISBN = {9781412852753}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781315134482}, Doi = {10.4324/9781315134482}, Key = {fds342399} } @misc{fds266398, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Economics of Alcohol Consumption and Abuse}, Pages = {56-77}, Booktitle = {Alcoholism and Related Problems: Issues for the American Public}, Publisher = {Prentiice-Hall}, Editor = {West, LJ}, Year = {1984}, Key = {fds266398} } @misc{fds266399, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Increasing the Federal Alcohol Excise Tax}, Pages = {24-32}, Booktitle = {Toward the Prevention of Alcohol Problems: Government, Business, and Community Action}, Publisher = {National Academic Press}, Editor = {Gerstein, D}, Year = {1984}, Key = {fds266399} } @misc{fds266294, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Costs of Crime}, Booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Crime and Justice}, Publisher = {Macmillan Publishing Company}, Editor = {Kadish, SH}, Year = {1983}, Key = {fds266294} } @misc{fds266313, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Influence of Gun Availability on Violent Crime Patterns}, Volume = {4}, Pages = {49-90}, Booktitle = {Crime and Justice: An Annual Review of Research}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Morris, N and Tonry, M}, Year = {1983}, Key = {fds266313} } @misc{fds266402, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Effect of Liquor Taxes on Drinking, Cirrhosis, and Auto Fatalities}, Pages = {203-220}, Booktitle = {What Role for Government?}, Publisher = {Duke Universigty Press}, Editor = {Zeckhauser, R and Leebaert, D}, Year = {1983}, Key = {fds266402} } @misc{fds266403, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Effect of Liquor Taxes on Drinking, Cirrhosis, and Auto Fatalities}, Pages = {203-220}, Booktitle = {What Role for Government?}, Publisher = {Duke Universigty Press}, Editor = {Zeckhauser, R and Leebaert, D}, Year = {1983}, Key = {fds266403} } @misc{fds303088, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Alcohol Taxes as a Public Health Measure}, Booktitle = {Economics and Alcohol}, Publisher = {Croom Helm Ltd.}, Editor = {Grant, M and Plant, M and Williams, A}, Year = {1983}, Key = {fds303088} } @misc{fds266314, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Role of Firearms in Violent Crime}, Pages = {236-289}, Booktitle = {Criminal Violence}, Publisher = {Sage Publications}, Editor = {Wolfgang, ME and Weiner, NA}, Year = {1982}, Key = {fds266314} } @misc{fds266404, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Effect of Liquor Taxes on Drinking, Cirrhosis, and Auto Fatalities}, Pages = {255-285}, Booktitle = {Alcohol and Public Policy: Beyond the Shadow of Prohibition}, Publisher = {National Academy of Sciences}, Editor = {Moore, M and Gerstein, D}, Year = {1981}, url = {http://www.nap.edu/books/0309031494/html/}, Key = {fds266404} } @misc{fds266295, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Research in criminal deterrence laying the groundwork for the second decade}, Volume = {2}, Pages = {211-268}, Booktitle = {Crime and Justice: An Annual Review of Research}, Publisher = {Univesity of Chicago Press}, Editor = {Morris, N and Tonry, M}, Year = {1980}, Abstract = {Deterrence theory has been developed primarily by economists, who have viewed potential criminals as rational decision-makers faced with an array of illicit opportunities characterized by costs (time, possible adverse legal consequences, and so forth) and payoffs. The crime decision is thus characterized in a way that fits the well-developed theoretical framework of decision-making under uncertainty. Herbert Simon and others have questioned the descriptive accuracy of this theory, and are beginning to uncover systematic patterns in decision-making that violate the predictions of the economic theory: This work could usefully be incorporated into the crime choice framework. One of the most important issues for further research in this area is the way in which potential criminals acquire information about criminal opportunities and the effectiveness of the criminal justice system. A simple “realistic” model of threat communication can be outlined that yields deterrence-like effects, even though no one is well informed concerning the true effectiveness of the system. Three other questions that have been of great interest to deterrence theorists are discussed: (1) what factors influence the rate at which active criminals commit crimes; (2) which dimension of the threat of punishment has a greater deterrent effect—likelihood or severity; and (3) what effect does the threat of punishment for one type of crime have on involvement in other criminal activities?}, Key = {fds266295} } @misc{fds266296, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Implications of Deterrence and Incapacitation Research for Policy Evaluation}, Pages = {55-77}, Booktitle = {An Anatomy of Criminal Justice}, Publisher = {D.C. Health}, Editor = {Foust, C and Webster, R}, Year = {1980}, Key = {fds266296} } @misc{fds266340, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Punishment and Crime: A Critique of Recent Findings on the Preventive Effects of Punishment}, Pages = {137-180}, Booktitle = {The Economics of Crime}, Publisher = {John Wiley}, Editor = {Andreano, R and Siegfried, J}, Year = {1980}, Key = {fds266340} } @misc{fds303082, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Clearance Rate as a Measure of Criminal Justice System Effectiveness}, Volume = {2}, Booktitle = {Criminology Review Yearbook}, Publisher = {Sage Publications}, Editor = {Bittner, E and Messinger, SL}, Year = {1980}, Key = {fds303082} } @misc{fds266317, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Effect of Gun Availability on Robbery and Robbery Murder A Cross-section Study of 50 Cities}, Volume = {3}, Pages = {743-781}, Booktitle = {Policy Studies Review Annual}, Publisher = {Sage Publications}, Year = {1979}, Key = {fds266317} } @misc{fds266318, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {A Strategic Choice Analysis of Robbery}, Pages = {173-187}, Booktitle = {Sample Surveys of the Victims of Crimes}, Publisher = {Ballinger}, Editor = {Skogan, W}, Year = {1976}, Key = {fds266318} } %% Op-eds @misc{fds266413, Author = {Cook, PJ and Kang, S}, Title = {Birthdays, Schooling, and Crime: New Evidence on the Dropout-Crime Nexus}, Year = {2013}, Month = {February}, url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10161/9546 Duke open access}, Abstract = {Based on administrative data for five cohorts of public school children in North Carolina, we demonstrate that those born just after the cut date for starting school are likely to outperform those born just before in reading and math in middle school, and are less likely to be involved in juvenile delinquency. On the other hand, those born after the cut date are more likely to drop out of high school before graduation and commit a felony offense by age 19. We also present suggestive evidence that the higher dropout rate is due to the fact that youths born after the cut date have longer exposure to the legal possibility of dropping out. The "crime" and "dropout" differences are strong but somewhat muted by the fact that youths born just before the cut date are substantially more likely to be held back in school. We document considerable heterogeneity in educational and criminal outcomes by sex, race and other indicators of socioeconomic disadvantage.<br><br>Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at <a href="http://www.nber.org/papers/w??18791" TARGET="_blank">www.nber.org</a>.<br>}, Key = {fds266413} } @misc{fds266373, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {How we can reduce gun violence?}, Journal = {Chronicle of Higher Education}, Year = {2013}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0009-5982}, url = {http://http://chronicle.com/blogs/conversation/2013/01/08/how-we-can-reduce-gun-violence/}, Key = {fds266373} } @misc{fds266375, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Gun Point}, Journal = {Times of India - Education Times}, Year = {2012}, Month = {December}, Key = {fds266375} } @misc{fds266374, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Craig Whitney's Living With Guns}, Journal = {New York Times}, Year = {2012}, Month = {August}, Key = {fds266374} } @misc{fds266392, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Commentary: Evidence from a high-income country}, Journal = {Addiction}, Year = {2012}, Key = {fds266392} } @misc{fds266384, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {More prisoners vs. more crime is the wrong question}, Journal = {Brookings Policy Brief}, Number = {185}, Year = {2011}, Month = {December}, Key = {fds266384} } @misc{fds266376, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {How to cut gun death toll}, Journal = {CNN.com}, Year = {2011}, Month = {January}, url = {http://http://www.cnn.com/2011/OPINION/01/12/cook.ludwig.gun.control/index.html}, Key = {fds266376} } @misc{fds266377, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Five myths about gun control}, Journal = {Washington Post}, Year = {2010}, Month = {June}, url = {http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/06/11/AR2010061103259.html}, Key = {fds266377} } @misc{fds266378, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Will wider availability of guns improve public safety? No}, Journal = {CQ Researcher}, Year = {2008}, Month = {October}, Key = {fds266378} } @misc{fds266385, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {OpEd.}, Journal = {The News & Observer (Raleigh)}, Year = {2007}, Month = {March}, Key = {fds266385} } @misc{fds266435, Author = {Clotfelter, C and Cook, Philip J.}, Title = {What if the Lottery were Run for Lottery Players?}, Publisher = {Raleigh News and Observer}, Year = {2007}, Month = {March}, url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10161/7523 Duke open access}, Key = {fds266435} } @misc{fds266379, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {What did the sniper case teach us? Lessons in Gun Control}, Journal = {News & Observer (Raleigh)}, Pages = {25A-25A}, Year = {2002}, Month = {November}, Key = {fds266379} } @misc{fds266380, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Protecting the Public in Presidential Style}, Journal = {News & Observer (Raleigh)}, Year = {2001}, Month = {June}, Key = {fds266380} } @misc{fds266381, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Toward Smarter Gun Laws}, Journal = {The Christian Science Monitor}, Year = {2001}, Month = {February}, Key = {fds266381} } @misc{fds266382, Author = {Cook, PJ and Ludwig, J}, Title = {Has the Brady Act Been Successful?}, Journal = {The Charlotte Observer}, Year = {2000}, Month = {August}, Key = {fds266382} } @misc{fds266386, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {0pEd.}, Journal = {The News & Observer (Raleigh)}, Year = {1999}, Month = {February}, Key = {fds266386} } @misc{fds207532, Author = {PJ Cook and Charles T Clotfelter}, Title = {OpEd. Pieces}, Journal = {The News & Observer (Raleigh)}, Year = {1999}, Key = {fds207532} } @misc{fds266335, Author = {Cook, PJ and Frank, R}, Title = {OpEd.}, Journal = {Chronicle of Higher Education}, Year = {1996}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0009-5982}, Key = {fds266335} } @misc{fds266419, Author = {Goss, KA and Cook, P}, Title = {A Selective Review of the Social-Contagion Literature}, Publisher = {Terry Sanford Instiute Working Paper, Duke University}, Year = {1996}, Key = {fds266419} } @misc{fds266336, Author = {Cook, PJ and Frank, R}, Title = {OpEd.}, Journal = {Washington Monthly}, Year = {1995}, Month = {December}, Key = {fds266336} } @misc{fds266337, Author = {Cook, PJ and Frank, R}, Title = {OpEd.}, Journal = {Washington post (Washington, D.C. : 1974)}, Year = {1995}, Month = {November}, ISSN = {0190-8286}, Key = {fds266337} } @misc{fds266338, Author = {Cook, PJ and Frank, R}, Title = {OpEd.}, Journal = {USA Today}, Pages = {13A-13A}, Year = {1995}, Month = {October}, Key = {fds266338} } @misc{fds207533, Author = {PJ Cook and Robert Frank}, Title = {USA Today}, Pages = {13A}, Year = {1995}, Key = {fds207533} } @misc{fds207535, Author = {PJ Cook and Robert Frank}, Title = {Washington Post}, Year = {1995}, Key = {fds207535} } @misc{fds207534, Author = {PJ Cook and Charles T Clotfelter}, Title = {OpEd. Pieces}, Journal = {San Diego Union}, Year = {1991}, Month = {April}, Key = {fds207534} } @misc{fds266387, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {OpEd.}, Journal = {San Diego Union}, Year = {1991}, Month = {April}, Key = {fds266387} } @misc{fds266388, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {0pEd.}, Journal = {Newsday}, Year = {1990}, Month = {July}, Key = {fds266388} } @misc{fds266389, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {OpEd.}, Journal = {The News and Observer (Raleigh)}, Year = {1990}, Month = {May}, Key = {fds266389} } @misc{fds207536, Author = {PJ Cook and Charles T Clotfelter}, Title = {OpEd. Pieces}, Journal = {The News and Observer (Raleigh)}, Year = {1990}, Key = {fds207536} } @misc{fds207537, Author = {PJ Cook and Charles T Clotfelter}, Title = {OpEd. Pieces}, Journal = {Newsday}, Year = {1990}, Key = {fds207537} } @misc{fds266390, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {OpEd.}, Journal = {The Atlanta Constitution}, Year = {1989}, Month = {February}, Key = {fds266390} } @misc{fds207538, Author = {PJ Cook and Charles T Clotfelter}, Title = {OpEd. Piece}, Journal = {The Atlanta Constitution}, Year = {1989}, Key = {fds207538} } @misc{fds266391, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {OpEd.}, Journal = {The New York times}, Year = {1987}, Month = {August}, ISSN = {0362-4331}, Key = {fds266391} } @misc{fds207539, Author = {PJ Cook and Charles T Clotfelter}, Title = {OpEd. Piece}, Journal = {New York Times}, Year = {1987}, Key = {fds207539} } @misc{fds266383, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Making Handguns Harder to Hide}, Journal = {The Christian Science Monitor}, Year = {1981}, Month = {May}, Key = {fds266383} } %% Other @misc{fds266409, Author = {Cook, PJ and Machin, S and Marie, O and Mastrobuoni, G}, Title = {Crime Economics in Its Fifth Decade}, Journal = {LESSONS FROM THE ECONOMICS OF CRIME: WHAT REDUCES OFFENDING?}, Pages = {1-16}, Booktitle = {Lessons from the Economics of Crime: What Reduces Offending?}, Publisher = {MIT PRESS}, Address = {Cambridge, MA}, Editor = {Cook, PJ and Machin, S and Marie, O and Mastrobuoni, G}, Year = {2013}, Month = {January}, ISBN = {978-0-262-31462-6}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000345697800001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266409} } @misc{fds305857, Author = {, }, Title = {Explaining the growth in the prison population}, Journal = {Criminology and Public Policy}, Volume = {8}, Number = {1}, Publisher = {Wiley: 24 months}, Editor = {Cook, PJ}, Year = {2009}, Month = {February}, Key = {fds305857} } @misc{fds266441, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Crime: Crime in the city}, Pages = {297-327}, Year = {2009}, Month = {January}, ISBN = {9780691131054}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000286971800010&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds266441} } @misc{fds157205, Author = {P.J. Cook and special}, Title = {Symposium on deterrence: editorial introduction}, Journal = {Criminology & Public Policy}, Volume = {5}, Number = {3}, Pages = {413-416}, Year = {2007}, Month = {August}, Key = {fds157205} } @misc{fds266434, Author = {Clotfelter, C and Cook, Philip J.}, Title = {State Lotteries at the Turn of the Century: Report to the National Gambling Impact Study Commission}, Pages = {51 pages}, Year = {1999}, Month = {June}, url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10161/7548 Duke open access}, Abstract = {This report provides an overview of lottery operations, with particular attention to who plays the lottery, how the lotteries are marketed, and what kinds of policy alternatives exist for state and federal policymakers. Section I of the report provides a descriptive overview of state lotteries, a statistical profile, and a description of the distribution and size of their revenues. Section II discusses the findings from the national survey of gambling conducted by NORC for the Commission. Section III presents a preliminary analysis of data available to marketers as well as an initial assessment of marketing plans. The final section of the report discusses the prominent policy issues involved in the legalization and operation of state lotteries.}, Key = {fds266434} } @misc{fds47474, Author = {PJ Cook and Robert Frank}, Title = {Chronicle of Higher Education}, Year = {1996}, Key = {fds47474} } @misc{fds47473, Author = {PJ Cook and Robert Frank}, Title = {Washington Monthly}, Year = {1995}, Month = {December}, Key = {fds47473} } @misc{fds266406, Author = {Cook, PJ and Scharff, AS}, Title = {Recommendations Concerning Administration and Rate Structure for Excise Taxation in Romania}, Publisher = {Distributed by Tax Advisory Program, US Treasury Department}, Editor = {PJ Cook and A Scharff}, Year = {1994}, Month = {August}, Key = {fds266406} } @misc{fds266393, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Social Costs of Drinking}, Publisher = {Norewegian Ministry of Health and Social Affairs}, Year = {1991}, Abstract = {Societies in which drinking is widespread experience a wide variety of negative social and economic consequences. Several accounting frameworks are commonly used to assess the relative importance of these effects, and to calculate some sort of “total cost” figure. The public health framework measures costs in terms of excess mortality and morbidity. The economic cost framework is also concerned with health effects, but measures them in terms of resulting lost productivity in employment and in the household. The economic framework also takes account of other resources expended or lost as a result of alcohol use, and measures all of these effects in monetary units. A variant of this approach distinguishes between costs borne by the drinker, and costs imposed by the drinker on other people; only the latter are deemed appropriate as a basis for government action. A review of social cost studies in the United States and other advanced western nations suggests that of the various consequences of alcohol use, two dominate the cost statistics; lost productivity due to alcohol-related morbidity, and trauma deaths due to alcohol-related accidents and intentional violence. Alcohol use is associated with absenteeism, job accidents, and poor work performance, as well as impaired productivity in household tasks. But recent research, based on population survey data in the United States, has generally found no relationship between how much a man drinks and how productive he is (as measured by his earnings, or days lost from work). While these results may prove to reflect biases in the survey data or an inadequate conceptual framework, for now there is little basis for asserting that alcohol use imposes large costs on the U.S. economy in terms of lost job productivity. On the other hand, there is firm evidence that alcohol use causes a substantial increase in total accidents and victimization from violent crime, and that these consequences are of considerable importance. Estimates of the total cost of alcohol use, whether based on the public health or economic accounting frameworks, are commonly used to quality the importance of this problem. A more appropriate use of this perspective is in the evaluation of specific policy interventions intended to reduce problems related to alcohol consumption.}, Key = {fds266393} } @misc{fds303079, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {The Effect of Gun Availability on Violent Crime Patterns}, Booktitle = {Federal Regulation of Firearms}, Publisher = {USGPO}, Year = {1982}, Month = {May}, Key = {fds303079} } @misc{fds266405, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Discussion (on Martin Bailey's paper on Safety Decisions and Insurance)}, Journal = {American Economics Association Papers and Proceedings}, Pages = {300-300}, Year = {1978}, Month = {May}, Key = {fds266405} } @misc{fds266312, Author = {Cook, PJ}, Title = {Causal Linkages between Gun Control Ordinances and Crime: A Conceptualization and Review of the Literature}, Booktitle = {Hearings}, Publisher = {before the Subcommittee on Crime, Commitee on the Judiciacy, U.S. House of Representatives, 95th Congress, 2nd Session, Appendix 4}, Year = {1978}, Abstract = {Hearings on the Treasury Department's proposed gun regulations, before the Subcommittee on Crime, Committee on the Judiciary, U.S. House of Representatives, 95th Congress, 2nd Session, Appendix 4, May 4 and 18, 1978.}, Key = {fds266312} } | |
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