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Publications of Nicholas W. Carnes    :chronological  alphabetical  combined listing:

%% Books   
@book{fds371821,
   Author = {Carnes, N and Lupu, N},
   Title = {The Economic Backgrounds of Politicians},
   Volume = {26},
   Pages = {253-270},
   Year = {2023},
   Month = {June},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-051921-102946},
   Abstract = {Research on the economic backgrounds of politicians is once
             again flourishing in political science. In this article, we
             describe the economic characteristics that scholars have
             recently studied and the common threads that have emerged in
             modern work on this topic. This growing literature is
             largely united by a shared concern about the unequal
             economic makeup of institutions: Recent studies generally
             agree that politicians tend to be vastly better off than
             citizens on every economic measure and that politicians from
             different economic backgrounds tend to think and behave
             differently in office. However, the literature is far from a
             consensus regarding why politicians are so economically
             advantaged. Going forward, there are numerous opportunities
             for future work to address this gap; to extend the
             literature to new countries, institutions, and time periods;
             and to better understand how economic backgrounds intersect
             with race, gender, and other social characteristics.},
   Doi = {10.1146/annurev-polisci-051921-102946},
   Key = {fds371821}
}

@book{fds220410,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {White-collar Government: The Hidden Role of Class in
             Economic Policy Making},
   Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {November},
   Key = {fds220410}
}


%% Chapters in Books   
@misc{fds323129,
   Author = {Carnes, N and Lupu, N},
   Title = {What good is a college degree? Education and leader quality
             reconsidered},
   Journal = {Journal of Politics},
   Volume = {78},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {35-49},
   Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/683027},
   Abstract = {Do people with more formal education make better political
             leaders? In this article we analyze cross-national data on
             random leadership transitions, data on close elections in
             the US Congress, and data on randomly audited municipalities
             in Brazil. Across a wide range of outcomes, we consistently
             find that college-educated leaders perform about the same as
             or worse than leaders with less formal education.
             Politicians with college degrees do not tend to govern over
             more prosperous nations, do not pass more bills, do not tend
             to do better at the polls, and are no less likely to be
             corrupt. These findings have important implications for how
             citizens evaluate candidates, how scholars measure leader
             quality, and how we think about the role of education in
             policy making.},
   Doi = {10.1086/683027},
   Key = {fds323129}
}


%% Papers Published   
@article{fds372685,
   Author = {Bartels, LM and Carnes, N},
   Title = {House Republicans were rewarded for supporting Donald
             Trump's 'stop the steal' efforts.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {120},
   Number = {34},
   Pages = {e2309072120},
   Year = {2023},
   Month = {August},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2309072120},
   Abstract = {In early 2021, members of Congress cast a series of
             high-profile roll call votes forcing them to choose between
             condoning or opposing Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the
             2020 presidential election. Substantial majorities of House
             Republicans supported Trump, first by opposing the
             certification of electoral votes from Arizona and
             Pennsylvania on January 6th, then by opposing the
             president's impeachment for inciting the attack on the US
             Capitol, and then by opposing a bill that would have created
             a national commission to investigate the events of January
             6th. We examine whether the House Republicans who voted to
             support Trump in 2021 were rewarded or punished in the 2022
             congressional midterm elections. We find no evidence that
             members who supported Trump did better or worse in contested
             general election races. However, Trump supporters were less
             likely to lose primary elections, more likely to run
             unopposed in the general election, more likely to run for
             higher office, and less likely to retire from politics.
             Overall, there seem to have been no significant political
             costs and some significant rewards in 2022 for House
             Republicans who supported Trump's undemocratic
             behavior.},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.2309072120},
   Key = {fds372685}
}

@article{fds347005,
   Author = {Broockman, DE and Carnes, N and Crowder-Meyer, M and Skovron,
             C},
   Title = {Why Local Party Leaders Don't Support Nominating
             Centrists},
   Journal = {British Journal of Political Science},
   Volume = {51},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {724-749},
   Year = {2021},
   Month = {April},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0007123419000309},
   Abstract = {Would giving party leaders more influence in primary
             elections in the United States decrease elite polarization?
             Some scholars have argued that political party leaders tend
             to support centrist candidates in the hopes of winning
             general elections. In contrast, the authors argue that many
             local party leaders - especially Republicans - may not
             believe that centrists perform better in elections and
             therefore may not support nominating them. They test this
             argument using data from an original survey of 1,118
             county-level party leaders. In experiments, they find that
             local party leaders most prefer nominating candidates who
             are similar to typical co-partisans, not centrists.
             Moreover, given the choice between a more centrist and more
             extreme candidate, they strongly prefer extremists:
             Democrats do so by about 2 to 1 and Republicans by 10 to 1.
             Likewise, in open-ended questions, Democratic Party leaders
             are twice as likely to say they look for extreme candidates
             relative to centrists; Republican Party leaders are five
             times as likely. Potentially driving these partisan
             differences, Republican leaders are especially likely to
             believe that extremists can win general elections and
             overestimate the electorate's conservatism by double
             digits.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S0007123419000309},
   Key = {fds347005}
}

@article{fds349967,
   Author = {Carnes, N and Lupu, N},
   Title = {The white working class and the 2016 election},
   Journal = {Perspectives on Politics},
   Volume = {19},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {55-72},
   Year = {2021},
   Month = {March},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1537592720001267},
   Abstract = {Academics and political pundits alike attribute rising
             support for right-wing political options across advanced
             democracies to the working classes. In the United States,
             authors claim that the white working class offered
             unprecedented and crucial support for Donald Trump in the
             2016 election. But what is the evidence for this claim? We
             examine all of the available academic survey data gathered
             around the election, along with a number of surveys from
             prior elections. We test four common claims about the white
             working class in 2016: (1) that most Trump voters were white
             working-class Americans; (2) that most white working-class
             voters supported Trump; (3) that unusually large numbers of
             white working-class voters switched from Obama in 2012 to
             Trump in 2016; and (4) that white working-class voters were
             pivotal to Trump's victory in several swing states. We find
             that three of the four are not supported by the available
             data, and the other lacks crucial context that casts doubt
             on the idea that Trump uniquely appealed to working-class
             Americans. White working-class Americans have been
             supporting Republican presidential candidates at higher
             rates in recent elections, but that process long predates
             2016, and narratives that center on Trump's alleged appeal
             obscure this important long-term trend.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S1537592720001267},
   Key = {fds349967}
}

@article{fds340965,
   Author = {Hansen, ER and Carnes, N and Gray, V},
   Title = {What Happens When Insurers Make Insurance Laws? State
             Legislative Agendas and the Occupational Makeup of
             Government},
   Journal = {State Politics and Policy Quarterly},
   Volume = {19},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {155-179},
   Year = {2019},
   Month = {June},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1532440018813013},
   Abstract = {Do the occupational backgrounds of politicians affect the
             government’s agenda? Businesses have long thought so. The
             first occupational data on state legislators were collected
             by the Insurance Information Institute, an interest group
             representing major insurance companies. In this paper, we
             test one potential motive for these kinds of efforts: the
             idea that the occupational makeup of governments affects the
             agendas they pursue, an argument that has been largely
             neglected in research on politicians’ occupational
             backgrounds. We focus here on the insurance industry. Using
             original data, we find that state legislatures with more
             former insurers consider fewer bills regulating insurance
             (negative agenda control), that former insurers play a
             disproportionate role in drafting the insurance bills that
             are introduced (positive agenda control), and that the bills
             former insurers introduce tend to be more favorable to the
             industry than those that their colleagues introduce
             (positive agenda control). The occupational makeup of
             legislatures may indeed affect their agendas, as industry
             groups have long suspected.},
   Doi = {10.1177/1532440018813013},
   Key = {fds340965}
}

@article{fds342398,
   Author = {Carnes, N and Holbein, J},
   Title = {Do public officials exhibit social class biases when they
             handle casework? Evidence from multiple correspondence
             experiments.},
   Journal = {PloS one},
   Volume = {14},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {e0214244},
   Year = {2019},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0214244},
   Abstract = {Are public officials more responsive to requests from
             affluent or poor constituents? A growing body of evidence
             suggests that lawmakers are more responsive to the rich when
             they craft policy. However, some scholars theorize that
             officials also exhibit a corresponding bias in favor of the
             poor when they handle casework, essentially giving policy to
             the rich and services to the poor. In this paper, we test
             this casework prediction using four experiments in which
             confederates sent simple requests to state or local
             officials. In each, our confederates' reported social
             classes were randomly assigned and signaled with a brief
             introductory statement mentioning the sender's occupation or
             economic situation. Across our samples, we find
             precisely-estimated null effects of social class biases: the
             officials we studied were equally likely to respond
             regardless of the constituent's class. These findings raise
             doubts about whether casework is really a class-biased
             process.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0214244},
   Key = {fds342398}
}

@article{fds329270,
   Author = {Carnes, N},
   Title = {Adam Smith would be spinning in His Grave: Government by the
             rich in the United States},
   Journal = {Forum (Germany)},
   Volume = {15},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {151-165},
   Publisher = {WALTER DE GRUYTER GMBH},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {April},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/for-2017-0009},
   Abstract = {Politicians in the US tend to be vastly better off than the
             people they represent. But why, and does it matter? In the
             last decade, scholar of US politics have revived an old line
             of inquiry into the causes and consequences of government by
             the privileged, or what I call white-collar government. This
             article briefly reviews what scholars have learned, and what
             we still need to know. Most research to date has focused on
             the effects of government by the privileged; just as the
             shortage of female politicians seems to bias policy on
             gender issues, the shortage of politicians from lower-income
             and working-class backgrounds appears to tilt economic
             policy in favor of the more conservative positions typically
             favored by more affluent Americans. Why, then, do so few
             lower-income and working-class Americans go on to become
             politicians? On this point, scholars have more hunches than
             hard evidence.},
   Doi = {10.1515/for-2017-0009},
   Key = {fds329270}
}

@article{fds323128,
   Author = {Carnes, N and Lupu, N},
   Title = {Do voters dislike working-class candidates? Voter biases and
             the descriptive underrepresentation of the working
             class},
   Journal = {American Political Science Review},
   Volume = {110},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {832-844},
   Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {November},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0003055416000551},
   Abstract = {In most democracies, lawmakers tend to be vastly better off
             than the citizens who elect them. Is that because voters
             prefer more affluent politicians over leaders from
             working-class backgrounds? In this article, we report the
             results of candidate choice experiments embedded in surveys
             in Britain, the United States, and Argentina. Using conjoint
             designs, we asked voters in these different contexts to
             choose between two hypothetical candidates, randomly varying
             several of the candidates' personal characteristics,
             including whether they had worked in blue-collar or
             white-collar jobs. Contrary to the idea that voters prefer
             affluent politicians, the voters in our experiments viewed
             hypothetical candidates from the working class as equally
             qualified, more relatable, and just as likely to get their
             votes. Voters do not seem to be behind the shortage of
             working-class politicians. To the contrary, British,
             American, and Argentine voters seem perfectly willing to
             cast their ballots for working-class candidates.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S0003055416000551},
   Key = {fds323128}
}

@article{fds323616,
   Author = {Carnes, N and Hansen, ER},
   Title = {Does paying politicians more promote economic diversity in
             legislatures?},
   Journal = {American Political Science Review},
   Volume = {110},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {699-716},
   Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {November},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S000305541600054X},
   Abstract = {If politicians in the United States were paid better, would
             more middle- and working-class people become politicians?
             Reformers often argue that the low salaries paid in state
             and local governments make holding office economically
             infeasible for lower-income citizens and contribute to the
             enduring numerical under-representation of the working class
             in our political institutions. Of course, raising
             politicians' salaries could also make political office more
             attractive to affluent professionals, increasing competition
             for office and ultimately discouraging lower-income citizens
             from running and winning. In this article, we test these
             hypotheses using data on the salaries and economic
             backgrounds of state legislators. Contrary to the notion
             that paying politicians more promotes economic diversity, we
             find that the descriptive representation of the working
             class is the same or worse in states that pay legislators
             higher salaries. These findings have important implications
             for research on descriptive representation, political
             compensation, and political inequality.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S000305541600054X},
   Key = {fds323616}
}

@article{fds305165,
   Author = {Carnes, N},
   Title = {White-collar government in the United States},
   Journal = {Swiss Political Science Review},
   Volume = {21},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {213-221},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {June},
   ISSN = {1424-7755},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/spsr.12165},
   Doi = {10.1111/spsr.12165},
   Key = {fds305165}
}

@article{fds305164,
   Author = {Bellemare, MF and Carnes, N},
   Title = {Why do members of congress support agricultural
             protection?},
   Journal = {Food Policy},
   Volume = {50},
   Pages = {20-34},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0306-9192},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2014.10.010},
   Abstract = {It seems paradoxical that until recently, developed
             countries have continued subsidizing agriculture even though
             their agricultural sectors had been declining in relative
             importance since the middle of the 20th century. What drives
             support for agricultural protection-the broad array of
             subsidies to farmers and taxes and quotas imposed on
             agricultural imports-in developed countries? We answer this
             question by testing three competing hypotheses about what
             drives support for agricultural protection in the US: (i)
             legislator preferences, (ii) electoral incentives, or (iii)
             lobbying. Using data on the roll call votes of the members
             of the 106th through the 110th Congresses (1999-2009) and
             the scores given to each legislator by the Farm Bureau, our
             findings suggest that electoral incentives explain a great
             deal of the variation in support for agricultural
             protection, but that legislator preferences and lobbying
             might play a role, too. Moreover, legislator preferences and
             electoral incentives appear to be substitutes for one
             another. Why does Congress support agricultural protection?
             Because many members have electoral incentives to-and
             because many of those who do not still have other personal
             or strategic interests at stake.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.foodpol.2014.10.010},
   Key = {fds305164}
}

@article{fds305168,
   Author = {Carnes, N and Lupu, N},
   Title = {Rethinking the comparative perspective on class and
             representation: Evidence from latin america},
   Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
   Volume = {59},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {1-18},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12112},
   Abstract = {Does it matter that working-class citizens are numerically
             underrepresented in political offices throughout the world?
             For decades, the conventional wisdom in comparative politics
             has been that it does not, that lawmakers from different
             classes think and behave roughly the same in office. In this
             article, we argue that this conclusion is misguided. Past
             research relied on inappropriate measures of officeholders'
             class backgrounds, attitudes, and choices. Using data on 18
             Latin American legislatures, we show that lawmakers from
             different classes bring different economic attitudes to the
             legislative process. Using data on one least likely case, we
             also show that pre-voting decisions like sponsoring
             legislation often differ dramatically along social class
             lines, even when political parties control higher-visibility
             decisions like roll-call votes. The unequal numerical or
             descriptive representation of social classes in the world's
             legislatures has important consequences for the substantive
             representation of different class interests.},
   Doi = {10.1111/ajps.12112},
   Key = {fds305168}
}

@article{fds323130,
   Author = {Carnes, N and Sadin, ML},
   Title = {The "mill worker's son" heuristic: How voters perceive
             politicians from working-class families-And how they really
             behave in office},
   Journal = {Journal of Politics},
   Volume = {77},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {285-298},
   Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/678530},
   Abstract = {Politicians often highlight how hard their families had it
             when they were growing up, presumably in the hopes that
             voters will see them as more supportive of policies that
             benefit middle-and working-class Americans. What do voters
             actually infer from how candidates were raised? And what
             should they infer? We use a set of candidate evaluation
             experiments (and an external validity test drawing on actual
             congressional election returns) to study how Americans
             perceive politicians raised in more and less affluent
             families. We then compare these perceptions to data on how
             lawmakers brought up in different classes actually behave in
             office. Although voters often infer that politicians from
             less privileged families are more economically progressive,
             these lawmakers don't actually stand out on standard
             measures of legislative voting. The "mill worker's son"
             heuristic appears to be a misleading shortcut, a cue that
             leads voters to make faulty inferences about candidates'
             political priorities.},
   Doi = {10.1086/678530},
   Key = {fds323130}
}

@article{fds305167,
   Author = {Carnes, N and Lupu, N},
   Title = {Rethinking the comparative perspective on class and
             representation: Evidence from Latin America},
   Journal = {Working Paper of the Helen Kellogg Institute for
             International Studies},
   Volume = {59},
   Number = {394},
   Pages = {1-33},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0092-5853},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12112},
   Abstract = {Does it matter that working-class citizens are numerically
             underrepresented in political offices throughout the world?
             For decades, the conventional wisdom in comparative politics
             has been that it does not, that lawmakers from different
             classes think and behave roughly the same in office. In this
             paper, we argue that this conclusion is misguided. Past
             research relied on inappropriate measures of officeholders'
             class backgrounds, attitudes, and choices. Using data on 18
             Latin American legislatures, we show that lawmakers from
             different classes bring different economic attitudes to the
             legislative process. And using data on one least-likely
             case, we show that pre-voting decisions like sponsoring
             legislation often differ dramatically along social class
             lines, even when political parties control higher-visibility
             decisions like roll-call votes. The unequal numerical or
             descriptive representation of social classes in the world's
             legislatures has important consequences for the substantive
             representation of different class interests.},
   Doi = {10.1111/ajps.12112},
   Key = {fds305167}
}

@article{fds305169,
   Author = {Arnold, RD and Carnes, N},
   Title = {Holding Mayors Accountable: New York's Executives from Koch
             to Bloomberg},
   Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
   Volume = {56},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {949-963},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {October},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2012.00603.x},
   Abstract = {How do citizens evaluate the performance of their mayors?
             Previous studies have examined mayoral performance either
             with cross-sectional surveys or by comparing pairs of
             consecutive elections. In this paper, we use 150 surveys
             conducted in New York City between 1984 and 2009 to carry
             out the first time series analysis of mayoral approval. We
             show that fluctuations in crime and the economy affect
             mayors’ ratings, and that black and white citizens react
             similarly to changing local conditions (although their
             initial evaluations of mayors often diverge sharply). We
             also show that how New Yorkers rate mayors in the polls is
             closely related to how they vote for mayors at the
             polls.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1540-5907.2012.00603.x},
   Key = {fds305169}
}

@article{fds305170,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {Does the Numerical Underrepresentation of the Working Class
             in Congress Matter?},
   Journal = {Legislative Studies Quarterly},
   Volume = {37},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {5-34},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://www.duke.edu/~nwc8/Carnes_LSQ_Revised_Submission.pdf},
   Abstract = {Working-class citizens have been numerically
             underrepresented in policymaking institutions throughout
             most of America‟s history. Little is known, however, about
             the political consequences of this enduring feature of our
             democratic system. This essay examines the relationship
             between legislators‟ class backgrounds and their votes on
             economic policy in the House of Representatives during the
             20th century. Like ordinary Americans, representatives from
             working-class occupations exhibit more liberal economic
             preferences than other legislators, especially those from
             profit-oriented professions. These findings provide the
             first evidence of a link between the descriptive and
             substantive representation of social classes in the United
             States.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1939-9162.2011.00033.x},
   Key = {fds305170}
}


%% Papers Submitted   
@article{fds220430,
   Author = {Marc F. Bellemare and Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {Why Do Members of Congress Support Agricultural
             Protection?},
   Year = {2013},
   Abstract = {It seems paradoxical that developed countries continue
             subsidizing agriculture even though their agricultural
             sectors have been declining in relative importance since the
             middle of the 20th century. What drives support for
             agricultural protection in developed countries? We answer
             this question by testing three competing hypotheses about
             what drives support for agricultural protection in the US:
             (i) legislator preferences, (ii) electoral incentives, or
             (iii) lobbying. Using data on the roll call votes of the
             members of the 106th through the 110th Congresses
             (1999-2009) and the scores given to each legislator by the
             Farm Bureau, our findings suggest electoral incentives
             explain a great deal of the variation in support for
             agricultural protection, but that legislator preferences and
             lobbying play a role, too. Moreover, legislator preferences
             and electoral incentives appear to be substitutes for one
             another. Why does Congress support agricultural protection?
             Because many members have electoral incentives to — and
             because many of those who do not still have other personal
             or strategic interests at stake.},
   Key = {fds220430}
}

@article{fds220432,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {Is Working-class Representation a Threat to Women and
             Minorities?},
   Year = {2013},
   Abstract = {As women and minorities have gained more seats in Congress
             and state legislatures, working-class Americans have lost
             ground in these institutions. Does it have to be that way?
             Are the political fortunes of women and minorities tied to
             the political misfortunes of the working class? Would
             greater working-class representation pose a threat to women
             and minorities? This study develops a simple theory to
             predict when the descriptive representation of one group
             will “crowd out” other underrepresented groups. I then
             use the Local Elections in America Project’s (LEAP) data
             on California elections to explore the links between the
             racial, gender, and social class makeup of candidates and
             officeholders in local and county elections. The
             representation of workers does not appear to imperil female
             or minority candidates. To the contrary, many working class
             candidates are women and minorities, and those who aren’t
             don’t seem to pose any threat to the political progress of
             other historically underrepresented groups.},
   Key = {fds220432}
}

@article{fds220433,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {Who Votes for Inequality?},
   Year = {2013},
   Abstract = {In an age of soaring economic inequality, what good is our
             Congress? Should we expect lawmakers to push back against
             the economic and social changes that are driving wealth into
             fewer and fewer hands? Or do legislators have incentives to
             let the broadly shared prosperity America enjoyed a half
             century ago become the stuff of history books?},
   Key = {fds220433}
}

@article{fds212228,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes and John Holbein},
   Title = {Don’t Take It Personally: Affluence, Influence, and
             Prejudice},
   Year = {2013},
   Abstract = {Why is the political process more responsive to affluent
             Americans? This paper tests the troubling possibility that
             some officeholders are prejudiced against the less
             fortunate. Building on recent work on racial prejudice, we
             conducted two field experiments to determine whether
             lawmakers prioritize requests from affluent citizens when
             they have few incentives to do so. We find that lawmakers
             are equally likely to agree to these requests regardless of
             the citizen’s class. Inequalities eventually emerge when
             the stakes are higher. However, these biases probably do not
             reflect ingrained prejudices. Lawmakers often privilege the
             affluent, but not because they hate the poor.},
   Key = {fds212228}
}

@article{fds220413,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes and Meredith L. Sadin},
   Title = {The Other John Edwards Lie: How Voters Perceive Politicians
             from Working-class Families--and How They Really Behave in
             Office},
   Year = {2013},
   Abstract = {Politicians often highlight how hard their families had it
             when they were growing up, presumably in the hopes that
             voters will see them as more supportive of policies that
             benefit middle- and working-class Americans. What do voters
             actually infer about a candidate’s policy positions from
             how a candidate was raised? And what should they infer? We
             use a nationally representative candidate evaluation
             experiment to study how the public perceives politicians
             raised in more and less affluent families. We then compare
             these perceptions to data on how lawmakers brought up in
             different classes actually behave in office. Although voters
             consistently infer that politicians from less privileged
             families are more economically progressive, those
             politicians don’t actually stand out on standard measures
             of legislative voting. The “Mill Worker’s Son”
             heuristic, as we call it, is a misleading shortcut, a cue
             that drives voters—even well-informed ones—to make
             faulty inferences about candidates’ political
             priorities.},
   Key = {fds220413}
}

@article{fds220467,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {Why Are There So Few Working-class People in Political
             Office? Evidence from State Legislatures},
   Year = {2013},
   Key = {fds220467}
}


%% Op-eds   
@misc{fds220434,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {We Need Blue-Collar Candidates},
   Journal = {Pittsburgh Post-Gazette (October 10, 2013), Raleigh News and
             Observer (October 10, 2013), Contra Costa Times (October 11,
             2013), Oakland Tribune (October 11, 2013), Newark
             Star-Ledger (October 15, 2013), and Detroit Free Press
             (October 17, 2013)},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {October},
   Key = {fds220434}
}

@misc{fds220435,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {How Poorer Politicians can Shatter the Cash
             Ceiling},
   Journal = {Bangor Daily News},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {October},
   Key = {fds220435}
}

@misc{fds220436,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes and Noam Lupu},
   Title = {Como Afecta el Gobierno de los Privilegiados a la
             Democracia?},
   Journal = {Condistintosacentos},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {September},
   Key = {fds220436}
}

@misc{fds220441,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {A Tax Reform Plan that Rewards the Wealthy and Stalls the
             State},
   Journal = {Raleigh News and Observer},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds220441}
}

@misc{fds212238,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {Which Millionaire Are You Voting For?},
   Journal = {The New York Times Sunday Review},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {October},
   Key = {fds212238}
}


%% Book Reviews   
@article{fds220412,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {Book Review: The Not-So-Special Interests: Interest Groups,
             Public Representation, and American Governance},
   Journal = {American Review of Politics},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {Summer},
   Key = {fds220412}
}


%% Other   
@misc{fds199709,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {“normal.survey,” “logit.survey,”
             “probit.survey,” “gamma.survey,” and
             “poisson.survey” (survey-weighted regression estimation
             procedures)},
   Journal = {Zelig: Everyone’s Statistical Software (Kosuke Imai, Gary
             King, and Olivia Lau)},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {fds199709}
}


%% Published Policy Briefs and Comments   
@misc{fds220438,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes and David Broockman},
   Title = {The Promise of Union Programs that Recruit and Support
             Workers to Run for Public Office},
   Journal = {SSN Basic Facts},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {August},
   Key = {fds220438}
}

@misc{fds220439,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes and Noam Lupu},
   Title = {How Government by the Privileged Distorts
             Democracies},
   Journal = {SSN Key Findings},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {July},
   Key = {fds220439}
}

@misc{fds220442,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes and John Holbein},
   Title = {Are Politicians Prejudiced Against the Poor?},
   Journal = {SSN Key Findings},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds220442}
}

@misc{fds220440,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {The Cash Ceiling},
   Journal = {SSN Forum on Money in Politics},
   Year = {2013},
   Key = {fds220440}
}

@misc{fds212239,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {Economic Inequality and White-collar Government},
   Journal = {States, Power, and Societies},
   Volume = {17},
   Number = {2},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {July},
   Key = {fds212239}
}

@misc{fds212241,
   Author = {Nicholas Carnes},
   Title = {How Government by the Privileged Distorts Economic
             Policy},
   Journal = {SSN Key Findings},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds212241}
}


%% Book Chapter   
@misc{fds337135,
   Author = {Carnes, N},
   Title = {Who votes for inequality?},
   Pages = {106-134},
   Booktitle = {Congress and Policy Making in the 21st Century},
   Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {February},
   ISBN = {9781107126381},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316411117.005},
   Doi = {10.1017/CBO9781316411117.005},
   Key = {fds337135}
}


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