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| Publications of Judith Kelley :chronological combined listing:%% Books @book{fds270005, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {Ethnic Politics in Europe: The Power of Norms and Incentives}, Pages = {288 pages}, Publisher = {Princeton University Press}, Year = {2004}, ISBN = {9781400835652}, Abstract = {This book's simultaneous assessment of soft diplomacy and stricter conditionality advances a long overdue dialogue between proponents rational choice models and social constructivists.}, Key = {fds270005} } @book{fds12950, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Ethnic Politics in Europe: The Power of Norms and Incentives. 2004}, Publisher = {Princeton University Press}, Year = {2004}, url = {http://pup.princeton.edu/titles/7875.html}, Abstract = {This detailed account of ethnic minority politics explains when and how European institutions successfully used norms and incentives to shape domestic policy toward ethnic minorities and why those measures sometimes failed. Going beyond traditional analyses, Kelley examines the pivotal engagement by the European Union, the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, and the Council for Europe in the creation of such policies. Following language, education, and citizenship issues during the 1990s in Latvia, Estonia, Slovakia, and Romania, she shows how the combination of membership conditionality and norm-based diplomacy was surprisingly effective at overcoming even significant domestic opposition. However, she also finds that diplomacy alone, without the offer of membership, was ineffective unless domestic opposition to the proposed policies was quite limited. As one of the first systematic analyses of political rather than economic conditionality, the book illustrates under what conditions and through what mechanisms institutions influenced domestic policy in the decade, preparing the way for the historic enlargement of the European Union. This thoughtful and thorough discussion, based on case studies, quantitative analysis, and interviews with more than seventy-five policymakers and experts, tells an important story about how European organizations helped facilitate peaceful solutions to ethnic tensions--in sharp contrast to the ethnic bloodshed that occurred in the former Yugoslavia during this time. And it advances a long overdue dialogue between proponents of rational choice models and social constructivists. As political requirements increasingly become part of conditionality, it also provides keen policy insights for the strategic choices made by actors in international institutions. Judith G. Kelley is Assistant Professor of Public Policy Studies and Political Science at Duke University. Endorsements: "Kelley's analysis is compelling, theoretically innovative, and empirically rich. By exploring not only cases where international institutions have an impact, but also instances where they fail, she shows how the international community has been able to bring about progressive change. This book fills an important gap."--Jeffrey T. Checkel, University of Oslo "A well-researched book written by an author who is well acquainted with the details of the negotiations between the European Union and candidate countries."--Ilya Prizel, University of Pittsburgh}, Key = {fds12950} } @book{fds270007, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {Monitoring Democracy: When International Election Monitoring Works and Why It Often Fails}, Pages = {338 pages}, Publisher = {Princeton University Press}, Year = {2012}, ISBN = {9780691152783}, Abstract = {What is novel about this book--and what stands as Judith Kelley's singular achievement--is her comprehensive and systematic collection of evidence.}, Key = {fds270007} } @book{fds325396, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {Scorecard Diplomacy Grading States to Influence their Reputation and Behavior}, Publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, Year = {2017}, Month = {May}, ISBN = {9781316649138}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/9781108186100}, Abstract = {What can the international community do when countries would rather ignore a thorny problem? Scorecard Diplomacy shows that, despite lacking traditional force, public grades are potent symbols that can evoke countries’ concerns about their reputations and motivate them to address the problem. The book develops an unconventional but careful argument about the growing phenomenon of such ratings and rankings. It supports this by examining the United States foreign policy on human trafficking using a global survey of NGOs, case studies, thousands of diplomatic cables, media stories, 90 interviews worldwide, and other documents. All of this is gathered together in a format that walks the reader through the mechanisms of scorecard diplomacy, including assessment of the outcomes. Scorecard Diplomacy speaks both to those keen to understand the pros and cons of the US policy on human trafficking and to those interested in the central question of influence in international relations.}, Doi = {10.1017/9781108186100}, Key = {fds325396} } @book{fds339453, Title = {The Power of Global Performance Indicators}, Publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, Editor = {Kelley, J and Simmons, B}, Year = {2020}, Key = {fds339453} } %% Chapters in Books @misc{fds217734, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {The Potential for Organizational Membership Rules to Enhance Regional Cooperation?}, Pages = {78-103}, Booktitle = {Integrating Regions: Asia in Comparative Perspective}, Publisher = {Stanford University Press}, Address = {Palo Alto}, Editor = {Miles Kahler and Andrew MacIntyre}, Year = {2013}, Key = {fds217734} } %% Journal Articles @article{fds376223, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {Reputation and Policy Conclusion}, Pages = {230-262}, Booktitle = {SCORECARD DIPLOMACY: GRADING STATES TO INFLUENCE THEIR REPUTATION AND BEHAVIOR}, Year = {2017}, ISBN = {978-1-316-64913-8}, Key = {fds376223} } @article{fds376215, Author = {Kelley, JG and Simmons, BA}, Title = {The Power of Global Performance Indicators Introduction}, Pages = {1-21}, Booktitle = {POWER OF GLOBAL PERFORMANCE INDICATORS}, Year = {2020}, ISBN = {978-1-108-48720-7}, Key = {fds376215} } @article{fds376220, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {When Does It Work?}, Pages = {182-204}, Booktitle = {SCORECARD DIPLOMACY: GRADING STATES TO INFLUENCE THEIR REPUTATION AND BEHAVIOR}, Year = {2017}, ISBN = {978-1-316-64913-8}, Key = {fds376220} } @article{fds223293, Author = {Judith Kelley and Jon Pevehouse}, Title = {An Opportunity Cost Theory of Treaty Ratification}, Journal = {International Studies Quarterly}, Year = {2012}, Abstract = {It is a striking feature of multilateral cooperation that although the United States often leads in the creation of treaties, it sometimes never joins those treaties or does so only after considerable delay. Most international relations theory expects states to join treaties as long as the benefits outweigh the costs. Domestic theories modify this with the constraints of institutional veto players. Yet, sometimes neither of these arguments explains the delay or absence of US participation. This paper supplements these explanations with an opportunity cost theory that argues that the advice and consent process sometimes slows or stalls because it imposes costs in terms of legislative time and political capital that politicians prefer to spend on other priorities. These costs alter the calculus of key players and may obstruct or delay the process, sometimes leading the President and Senators to deprioritize treaties despite their interests in their success. Statistical analysis of the stages of the treaty process supports the argument. The priority the Senate and President give to treaties depends not only on the value they assign to the treaty, but also on the value of other possible policy achievements. Presidents are less, not more likely to transmit treaties to the Senate the more support he has in Congress. Furthermore, the more support the President has in Congress, the more the cost of Senate floor time matters for advice and consent.}, Key = {fds223293} } @article{fds270002, Author = {Kelley, JG and Pevehouse, JCW}, Title = {An Opportunity Cost Theory of US Treaty Behavior}, Journal = {International Studies Quarterly}, Volume = {59}, Number = {3}, Pages = {531-543}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2015}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0020-8833}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/isqu.12185}, Abstract = {The United States often leads in the creation of treaties, but it sometimes never joins those treaties or does so only after considerable delay. This presents an interesting puzzle. Most international relations theory expects states to join treaties as long as the benefits outweigh the costs. Domestic theories modify this with the constraints of institutional veto players. Yet, sometimes neither of these arguments explains the delay or absence of US participation. We supplement these explanations with an opportunity cost theory. We argue that the advice and consent process sometimes slows or stalls because it imposes costs in terms of legislative time and political capital. These costs alter the calculus of key players and may obstruct the process. Statistical analysis supports the argument. The priority the Senate and President give to treaties depends not only on the value they assign to the treaty, but also on the value of the time needed to process the treaty. Presidents are less, not more, likely to transmit treaties to the Senate the more support they have in Congress. Furthermore, the more support the President has in Congress, the more the cost of Senate floor time matters for advice and consent.}, Doi = {10.1111/isqu.12185}, Key = {fds270002} } @article{fds270020, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {Assessing the Complex Evolution of Norms: The Rise of International Election Monitoring}, Journal = {International Organization}, Volume = {62}, Number = {2}, Pages = {221-255}, Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)}, Year = {2008}, Month = {Spring}, ISSN = {0020-8183}, url = {http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&aid=1825128&fulltextType=RA&fileId=S0020818308080089}, Abstract = {Given that states have long considered elections a purely domestic matter, the dramatic growth of international election monitoring in the 1990s was remarkable. Why did states allow international organizations and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) to interfere and why did international election monitoring spread so quickly? Why did election monitoring become institutionalized in so many organizations? Perhaps most puzzling, why do countries invite monitors and nevertheless cheat? This article develops a rigorous method for investigating the causal mechanisms underlying the rise of election monitoring, and "norm cascades" more generally. The evolution and spread of norms, as with many other social processes, are complex combinations of normative, instrumental, and other constraints and causes of action. The rise of election monitoring has been driven by an interaction of instrumentalism, emergent norms, and fundamental power shifts in the international system. By dissecting this larger theoretical complexity into specific subclaims that can be empirically investigated, this article examines the role of each of these causal factors, their mutual tensions, and their interactive contributions to the evolution of election monitoring. © 2008 by The IO Foundation.}, Doi = {10.1017/S0020818308080089}, Key = {fds270020} } @article{fds326148, Author = {Heiss, A and Kelley, J}, Title = {Between a rock and a hard place: International NGOs and the dual pressures of donors and host governments}, Journal = {Journal of Politics}, Volume = {79}, Number = {2}, Pages = {732-741}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2017}, Month = {April}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/691218}, Doi = {10.1086/691218}, Key = {fds326148} } @article{fds376216, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {Country Perspectives}, Pages = {205-229}, Booktitle = {SCORECARD DIPLOMACY: GRADING STATES TO INFLUENCE THEIR REPUTATION AND BEHAVIOR}, Year = {2017}, ISBN = {978-1-316-64913-8}, Key = {fds376216} } @article{fds270013, Author = {Kelley, J}, Title = {D-Minus elections: The politics and norms of international election observation}, Journal = {International Organization}, Volume = {63}, Number = {4}, Pages = {765-787}, Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)}, Year = {2009}, Month = {Fall}, ISSN = {0020-8183}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0020818309990117}, Abstract = {As international election monitors have grown active worldwide, their announcements have gained influence. Sometimes, however, they endorse highly flawed elections. Because their leverage rests largely on their credibility, this is puzzling. Understanding the behavior of election monitors is important because they help the international community to evaluate the legitimacy of governments and because their assessments inform the data used by scholars to study democracy. Furthermore, election monitors are also particularly instructive to study because the variety of both intergovernmental and nongovernmental organizations that observe elections makes it possible to compare them across many countries and political contexts. This study uses a new dataset of 591 international election-monitoring missions. It shows that despite their official mandate to focus on election norms, monitors do not only consider the elections' quality; their assessments also reflect the interests of their member states or donors as well as other tangential organizational norms. Thus, even when accounting as best as possible for the nature and level of irregularities in an election, monitors' concerns about democracy promotion, violent instability, and organizational politics and preferences are associated with election endorsement. The study also reveals differences in the behavior of intergovernmental and nongovernmental organizations and explains why neither can pursue their core objectives single-mindedly. © 2009 The IO Foundation.}, Doi = {10.1017/S0020818309990117}, Key = {fds270013} } @article{fds270015, Author = {Kelley, J}, Title = {Do international election monitors increase or decrease opposition boycotts?}, Journal = {Comparative Political Studies}, Volume = {44}, Number = {11}, Pages = {1527-1556}, Publisher = {SAGE Publications}, Year = {2011}, Month = {November}, ISSN = {0010-4140}, url = {http://cps.sagepub.com/content/early/2011/03/10/0010414011399885.abstract}, Abstract = {Election boycotts are over twice as common when international observers are present. Do international observers increase election boycotts as this correlation and past research suggest? This article argues not. Observers tend to go to elections with many problems, and it is primarily these, rather than monitors, that drive boycotts. Furthermore, opposition parties have reasons to hope that observers can improve the quality of the election or that they will increase attention to election fraud, and therefore opposition parties may actually abandon boycott plans. Whether they do, however, depends on their expectations about how the observers will behave. This makes it important to account for the varying reputation of observer organizations. Thus, using matching to address the selection problem, this article shows that international observers can actually deter boycotts, but only if the observers are reputable. © The Author(s) 2011.}, Doi = {10.1177/0010414011399885}, Key = {fds270015} } @article{fds270023, Author = {Kelley, J}, Title = {Does domestic politics limit the influence of external actors on ethnic politics?}, Journal = {Human Rights Review}, Volume = {4}, Number = {3}, Pages = {34-54}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2003}, ISSN = {1524-8879}, url = {http://www.metapress.com/content/3k2ugrpm4v0r/?p=b41809fc9a4c4e66bee119471a5fe37b&pi=15}, Abstract = {Conclusion: Domestic politics is naturally important in ethnic policies. However, in spite of their potency, domestic political factors are not always the most decisive. International organizations have influenced the Latvian and Estonian governments, and at times the Slovak and Romanian governments. However, the ability of different organizational strategies to overcome domestic opposition and thus bring about their desired policy varies widely. In most cases, actors need to use conditionality and aim it at the appropriate decision makers. In spite of their widespread use, efforts that rely solely on persuasion and diplomacy tend only to work when the domestic opposition is initially quite low or when ethnic minorities themselves have some bargaining power in the government. The key policy implication is that domestic factors do not make failure, or success for that matter, a foregone conclusion. For example, ethnic minority representation within the government coalition is not in itself a guarantee of passage of the policy preferences of the minorities. Conversely, the presence of authoritarian-style leadership does not automatically mean a rejection ethnic minority accommodation either, if organizations present their suggestions so that such leaders view it as being in their greater interests to maintain power. Conditionality that targets incentives to fit goals of the leadership can work. External actors are thus not justified in backing off from action based purely on a domestic analysis. © 2003 Springer.}, Doi = {10.1007/s12142-003-1011-z}, Key = {fds270023} } @article{fds270016, Author = {Kelley, J}, Title = {Election observers and their biases}, Journal = {Journal of Democracy}, Volume = {21}, Number = {3}, Pages = {158-172}, Publisher = {Johns Hopkins University Press}, Year = {2010}, ISSN = {1045-5736}, url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10161/4625 Duke open access}, Abstract = {Why do election monitors sometimes issue contradictory statements or endorse flawed elections? The answers are not always straightforward; in some cases, the monitors' good intentions may undermine their credibility. © 2010 National Endowment for Democracy and The Johns Hopkins University Press.}, Doi = {10.1353/jod.0.0173}, Key = {fds270016} } @article{fds317786, Author = {Kelley, JG and Kolev, K}, Title = {Election Quality and International Observation 1975-2004: Two New Datasets}, Year = {2010}, Month = {October}, Abstract = {This paper introduces two new datasets on national level elections from 1975 to 2004. The data are grouped into two separate datasets, the Quality of Elections Data and the Data on International Election Monitoring. Together these data sets provide original information on elections, election observation and election quality, and will enable researchers to study a variety of research questions. The datasets will be publicly available and are maintained at a project website.}, Key = {fds317786} } @article{fds270011, Author = {Vidmar, N}, Title = {Foreword}, Volume = {71}, Number = {1}, Pages = {I-V}, Year = {2009}, ISSN = {0023-9186}, Key = {fds270011} } @article{fds376221, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {From Reputational Concerns to Effects on Laws, Practices, and Norms}, Pages = {151-181}, Booktitle = {SCORECARD DIPLOMACY: GRADING STATES TO INFLUENCE THEIR REPUTATION AND BEHAVIOR}, Year = {2017}, ISBN = {978-1-316-64913-8}, Key = {fds376221} } @article{fds330372, Author = {Kelley, J}, Title = {From the Trenches: A Global Survey of Anti-TIP NGOs and their Views of US Efforts}, Journal = {Journal of Human Trafficking}, Volume = {Forthcoming}, Number = {3}, Pages = {231-254}, Publisher = {Informa UK Limited}, Year = {2017}, Month = {July}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23322705.2016.1199241}, Abstract = {Amid the academic and policy critiques of the United States’ 15-year push to eliminate human trafficking, the perspective of the nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) working with anti-trafficking advocacy and services has been largely ignored. This article presents the results of a global survey of nearly 500 anti-trafficking NGOs working in 133 countries and is the first NGO-focused survey of its kind. Based on the results of the survey, we provide an overview of the anti-trafficking NGO sector as a whole, detail the relationship between anti-trafficking NGOs and the United States and account for some of the variation in NGO opinions of U.S. efforts. Notably, we find that NGOs are remarkably satisfied with U.S.-led efforts—despite their acknowledged flaws—and that NGOs believe that American anti-TIP policies are important and, on balance, helpful. These results also provide a warning for the future of the United States’ anti-trafficking advocacy, suggesting that the United States avoid politicizing its annual Trafficking in Persons Report.}, Doi = {10.1080/23322705.2016.1199241}, Key = {fds330372} } @article{fds376214, Author = {Kelley, JG and Simmons, BA}, Title = {Global Performance Indicators: Themes, Findings, and an Agenda for Future Research}, Pages = {409-424}, Booktitle = {POWER OF GLOBAL PERFORMANCE INDICATORS}, Year = {2020}, ISBN = {978-1-108-48720-7}, Key = {fds376214} } @article{fds355799, Author = {Kelley, JG and Simmons, BA}, Title = {Governance by other Means: Rankings as regulatory systems}, Journal = {International Theory}, Volume = {13}, Number = {1}, Pages = {169-178}, Year = {2021}, Month = {March}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1752971920000457}, Abstract = {This article takes the challenges of global governance and legitimacy seriously and looks at new ways in which international organizations (IOs) have attempted to ‘govern’ without explicit legal or regulatory directives. Specifically, we explore the growth of global performance indicators as a form of social control that appears to have certain advantages even as states and civil society actors push back against international regulatory authority. This article discusses the ways in which Michael Zürn’s diagnosis of governance dilemmas helps to explain the rise of such ranking systems. These play into favored paradigms that give information and market performance greater social acceptance than rules, laws, and directives designed by international organizations. We discuss how and why these schemes can constitute governance systems, and some of the evidence regarding their effects on actors’ behaviors. Zürn’s book provides a useful context for understanding the rise and effectiveness of Governance by Other Means: systems that ‘inform’ and provoke competition among states, shaping outcomes without directly legislating performance.}, Doi = {10.1017/S1752971920000457}, Key = {fds355799} } @article{fds376218, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {How Third Parties Boost Reputational Concerns}, Pages = {95-114}, Booktitle = {SCORECARD DIPLOMACY: GRADING STATES TO INFLUENCE THEIR REPUTATION AND BEHAVIOR}, Year = {2017}, ISBN = {978-1-316-64913-8}, Key = {fds376218} } @article{fds369107, Author = {Kelley, J}, Title = {International Actors on the Domestic Scene: Membership Conditionality and Socialization by International Institutions}, Pages = {393-425}, Year = {2017}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781315254234-28}, Abstract = {International relations scholars increasingly debate when and how international institutions influence domestic policy. This examination of ethnic politics in four Baltic and East European countries during the 1990s shows how European institutions shaped domestic policy, and why these institutions sometimes failed. Comparing traditional rational choice mechanisms such as membership conditionality with more socialization-based efforts, I argue that conditionality motivated most behavior changes, but that socialization-based efforts often guided them. Furthermore, using new case studies, statistics, and counterfactual analysis, I find that domestic opposition posed far greater obstacles to socialization-based methods than it did to conditionality: when used alone, socialization-based methods rarely changed behavior; when they did, the domestic opposition was usually low and the effect was only moderate. In contrast, incentive-based methods such as membership conditionality were crucial in changing policy: As domestic opposition grew, membership conditionality was not only increasingly necessary to change behavior, but it was also surprisingly effective.}, Doi = {10.4324/9781315254234-28}, Key = {fds369107} } @article{fds270018, Author = {Kelley, J}, Title = {International actors on the domestic scene: Membership conditionally and socialization by international institutions}, Journal = {International Organization}, Volume = {58}, Number = {3}, Pages = {425-457}, Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)}, Year = {2004}, Month = {Summer}, ISSN = {0020-8183}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000223447300001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {International relations scholars increasingly debate when and how international institutions influence domestic policy. This examination of ethnic politics in four Baltic and East European countries during the 1990s shows how European institutions shaped domestic policy, and why these institutions sometimes failed. Comparing traditional rational choice mechanisms such as membership conditionality with more socialization-based efforts, I argue that conditionality motivated most behavior changes, but that socialization-based efforts often guided them. Furthermore, using new case studies, statistics, and counterfactual analysis, I find that domestic opposition posed far greater obstacles to socialization-based methods than it did to conditionality: when used alone, socialization-based methods rarely changed behavior; when they did, the domestic opposition was usually low and the effect was only moderate. In contrast, incentive-based methods such as membership conditionality were crucial in changing policy: As domestic opposition grew, membership conditionality was not only increasingly necessary to change behavior, but it was also surprisingly effective.}, Doi = {10.1017/S0020818304583017}, Key = {fds270018} } @article{fds317787, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {International Influences on Election Quality and Turnover}, Year = {2010}, Abstract = {This chapter is part of a book manuscript with the working title “MONITORING DEMOCRACY: When international election monitoring works and why it often fails.” This chapter follows a theoretical chapter that discusses the possible influence of international monitors on election quality. The present chapter is purely empirical. It examines the influence of international monitors on the quality of individual elections. Using quantitative data to examine the quality of elections provides a far greater breadth of analysis than case studies alone can accomplish. However, using quantitative data to explore the effects of monitors on a given election is complicated. As a previous book chapter discusses, whether an election is monitored depends both on the organizations’ interest in observing an election and on domestic willingness to host observers. Both of these factors are likely to be related to the expected quality of an election. This is the classic problem with analyzing data on any form of nonrandom intervention. This chapter begins with a discussion of the measures used to evaluate election quality. It then uses a mix of approaches to explore the data. First it presents some descriptive overviews. It then applies some of the most cutting-edge statistical techniques to reduce the bias introduced by the selection problem discussed above and identify the effect of monitors on election quality. Two appendices are referred to throughout the chapter. Please contact the author for those appendices or other parts of the manuscript if interested.}, Key = {fds317787} } @article{fds270012, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {International influences on elections in new multiparty states}, Journal = {Annual Review of Political Science}, Volume = {15}, Number = {1}, Pages = {203-220}, Publisher = {ANNUAL REVIEWS}, Year = {2012}, Month = {June}, ISSN = {1094-2939}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-030810-110805}, Abstract = {Practitioners and politicians have long debated the wisdom of pushing countries to hold elections, with some arguing for its necessity and others warning of its futility and even danger. Yet, research on how varying types of international activities affect the conduct and structure of elections still has a long way to go to be able to inform this debate. This article discusses the myriad international forms of engagement with elections and reviews the research on their ability to improve election quality. It also explores the more nefarious international activities, which are even less well understood than the efforts to improve elections. Given the mixed outcomes and findings, much work remains to be done, especially in specifying the conditions under which various effects occur. Such work has both practical and theoretical merits and can shed light on broader scholarly inquiries about the international dimensions of democratization. Copyright © 2012 by Annual Reviews. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1146/annurev-polisci-030810-110805}, Key = {fds270012} } @article{fds341722, Author = {Kelley, JG and Simmons, BA}, Title = {Introduction: The Power of Global Performance Indicators}, Journal = {International Organization}, Volume = {73}, Number = {3}, Pages = {491-510}, Year = {2019}, Month = {June}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0020818319000146}, Abstract = {In recent decades, IGOs, NGOs, private firms and even states have begun to regularly package and distribute information on the relative performance of states. From the World Bank's Ease of Doing Business Index to the Financial Action Task Force blacklist, global performance indicators (GPIs) are increasingly deployed to influence governance globally. We argue that GPIs derive influence from their ability to frame issues, extend the authority of the creator, and-most importantly-to invoke recurrent comparison that stimulates governments' concerns for their own and their country's reputation. Their public and ongoing ratings and rankings of states are particularly adept at capturing attention not only at elite policy levels but also among other domestic and transnational actors. GPIs thus raise new questions for research on politics and governance globally. What are the social and political effects of this form of information on discourse, policies and behavior? What types of actors can effectively wield GPIs and on what types of issues? In this symposium introduction, we define GPIs, describe their rise, and theorize and discuss these questions in light of the findings of the symposium contributions.}, Doi = {10.1017/S0020818319000146}, Key = {fds341722} } @article{fds376217, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {Micro-Level Evidence of Reputational Concerns}, Pages = {117-150}, Booktitle = {SCORECARD DIPLOMACY: GRADING STATES TO INFLUENCE THEIR REPUTATION AND BEHAVIOR}, Year = {2017}, ISBN = {978-1-316-64913-8}, Key = {fds376217} } @article{fds270022, Author = {Kelley, J}, Title = {New Wine in Old Wineskins: Policy Learning and Adaption in The new European Neighborhood Policy}, Journal = {Journal of Common Market Studies}, Volume = {44}, Number = {1}, Pages = {29-55}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2006}, url = {http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1468-5965.2006.00613.x}, Abstract = {The EU’s newly launched European Neighborhood Policy is a fascinating case study in organizational management theory of how the Commission strategically adapted enlargement policies to expand its foreign policy domain. From the use of Action Plans, regular reports and negotiations to the larger conceptualization and use of socialization and conditionality, the development of the policy shows significant mechanical borrowing from the enlargement strategies. Given the lack of the membership carrot, the question is whether such adaptation from enlargement can promote political reforms in the ENP countries, which are generally poor, often autocratic and in some cases embroiled in domestic conflicts.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1468-5965.2006.00613.x}, Key = {fds270022} } @article{fds270008, Author = {Kelley, J}, Title = {Procedural Politics: Issues, Influence, and Institutional Choice in the European Union}, Journal = {Political Science Quarterly}, Volume = {120}, Number = {2}, Pages = {332-333}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2005}, Month = {Summer}, ISSN = {0032-3195}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000230374200028&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1002/j.1538-165x.2005.tb01377.x}, Key = {fds270008} } @article{fds376225, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {Scorecard Diplomacy Grading States to Influence Their Reputation and Behavior Introduction}, Pages = {3-30}, Booktitle = {SCORECARD DIPLOMACY: GRADING STATES TO INFLUENCE THEIR REPUTATION AND BEHAVIOR}, Year = {2017}, ISBN = {978-1-316-64913-8}, Key = {fds376225} } @article{fds376224, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {Scorecard Diplomacy Grading States to Influence Their Reputation and Behavior Preface}, Pages = {XVII-+}, Booktitle = {SCORECARD DIPLOMACY: GRADING STATES TO INFLUENCE THEIR REPUTATION AND BEHAVIOR}, Year = {2017}, ISBN = {978-1-316-64913-8}, Key = {fds376224} } @article{fds376219, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {Scorecard Diplomacy and Reputation}, Pages = {31-63}, Booktitle = {SCORECARD DIPLOMACY: GRADING STATES TO INFLUENCE THEIR REPUTATION AND BEHAVIOR}, Year = {2017}, ISBN = {978-1-316-64913-8}, Key = {fds376219} } @article{fds270024, Author = {Kelley, J}, Title = {Strategic non-cooperation as soft balancing: Why Iraq was not just about Iraq}, Journal = {International Politics}, Volume = {42}, Number = {2}, Pages = {153-173}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2005}, Month = {June}, url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10161/6649 Duke open access}, Abstract = {Many commentators explain recent transatlantic rifts by pointing to diverging norms, interests and geopolitical preferences. This paper proceeds from the premise that not all situations of conflict are necessarily due to underlying deadlocked preferences. Rather, non-cooperation may be a strategic form of soft balancing. That is, more generally, if they believe that they are being shortchanged in terms of influence and payoffs, weaker states may deliberately reject possible cooperation in the short run to improve their influence vis-à-vis stronger states in the long run. This need not be due to traditional relative gains concern. States merely calculate that their reputation as a weak negotiator will erode future bargaining power and subsequently their future share of absolute gains. Strategic non-cooperation is therefore a rational signal of resolve. This paper develops the concept of strategic non-cooperation as a soft balancing tool and applies it to the Iraq case in 2002-2003. © 2005 Palgrave Macmillan Ltd.}, Doi = {10.1057/palgrave.ip.8800105}, Key = {fds270024} } @article{fds270009, Author = {KELLEY, J}, Title = {Talk of the Nation: Language and Conflict in Romania and Slovakia by Zsuzsa Csergo}, Journal = {Nations and Nationalism}, Volume = {14}, Number = {3}, Pages = {626-628}, Publisher = {Wiley}, Year = {2008}, Month = {July}, ISSN = {1354-5078}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000257569800020&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1469-8129.2008.00361_9.x}, Key = {fds270009} } @article{fds355176, Author = {Strezhnev, A and Kelley, JG and Simmons, BA}, Title = {Testing for Negative Spillovers: Is Promoting Human Rights Really Part of the Problem?}, Journal = {International Organization}, Volume = {75}, Number = {1}, Pages = {71-102}, Year = {2021}, Month = {December}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0020818320000661}, Abstract = {The international community often seeks to promote political reforms in recalcitrant states. Recently, some scholars have argued that, rather than helping, international law and advocacy create new problems because they have negative spillovers that increase rights violations. We review three mechanisms for such spillovers: backlash, trade-offs, and counteraction and concentrate on the last of these. Some researchers assert that governments sometimes counteract international human rights pressures by strategically substituting violations in adjacent areas that are either not targeted or are harder to monitor. However, most such research shows only that both outcomes correlate with an intervention - the targeted positively and the spillover negatively. The burden of proof, however, should be as rigorous as those for studies of first-order policy consequences. We show that these correlations by themselves are insufficient to demonstrate counteraction outside of the narrow case where the intervention is assumed to have no direct effect on the spillover, a situation akin to having a valid instrumental variable design. We revisit two prominent findings and show that the evidence for the counteraction claim is weak in both cases. The article contributes methodologically to the study of negative spillovers in general by proposing mediation and sensitivity analysis within an instrumental variables framework for assessing such arguments. It revisits important prior findings that claim negative consequences to human rights law and/or advocacy, and raises critical normative questions regarding how we empirically evaluate hypotheses about causal mechanisms.}, Doi = {10.1017/S0020818320000661}, Key = {fds355176} } @article{fds376222, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {The Case of Human Trafficking}, Pages = {64-94}, Booktitle = {SCORECARD DIPLOMACY: GRADING STATES TO INFLUENCE THEIR REPUTATION AND BEHAVIOR}, Year = {2017}, ISBN = {978-1-316-64913-8}, Key = {fds376222} } @article{fds376213, Author = {Kelley, J and Simmons, B and Doshi, R}, Title = {The Competitive Pressures of Rankings: Experimental Evidence of Rankings’ Influence on Domestic Priorities}, Booktitle = {The Complexity of Human Rights From Vernacularization to Quantification}, Publisher = {Hart Publishing}, Editor = {Alston, P}, Year = {2024}, Month = {February}, ISBN = {9781509972869}, Abstract = {The use of indicators in global governance has the potential to alter the forms, the exercise, and perhaps even the distributions of power in certain spheres of governance}, Key = {fds376213} } @article{fds270019, Author = {Bradley, C and Kelley, J}, Title = {The Concept of International Delegation}, Journal = {Law & Contemporary Problems}, Volume = {71}, Number = {1}, Pages = {1-36}, Year = {2008}, Month = {Winter}, ISSN = {0023-9186}, Abstract = {This article defines and clarifies the concept of international delegation from both a legal and social science perspective. An international delegation, the article explains, involves a grant of authority by two or more states to an international body to make decisions or take actions. After defending this definition, the article describes the types of international bodies to which states may grant authority. To capture the multilayered nature of international delegation, the article considers grants of authority not only to bureaucracies, but also to collective bodies, sub-groups of states, and courts. The article then identifies eight types of authority that states may grant: legislative, adjudicative, regulatory, monitoring and enforcement, agenda-setting, research and advice, policy implementation, and re-delegation. Next, the article discusses how the extent of an international delegation can vary depending on its legal effect and the degree of independence of the international body. The article then considers some of the benefits and costs of international delegation in light of this typology. The article concludes with a discussion of some of the questions raised by the typology and its implications for further research.}, Key = {fds270019} } @article{fds339454, Author = {Nielson, DL and Hyde, SD and Kelley, J}, Title = {The elusive sources of legitimacy beliefs: Civil society views of international election observers}, Journal = {Review of International Organizations}, Volume = {14}, Number = {4}, Pages = {685-715}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2019}, Month = {December}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11558-018-9331-6}, Abstract = {When do members of civil society view international election observers as legitimate? Motivated by recent work on the legitimacy of international organizations, we evaluate what type of information affects non-governmental organizations’ (NGOs) beliefs about international election observer groups, which include both intergovernmental organizations (IGOs) and international non-governmental organizations (INGOs) that seek to exercise authority, often regarding the same elections. Specifically, we examine the effects of two different types of information: information about the observers’ objective substantive features versus information that serves as heuristic shortcuts. Three survey-based experiments – one in Kenya and the others global – prime NGO respondents with information about both real and hypothetical election observer groups in ways intended to affect their votes for which organizations should be invited to observe the next election in their countries. In general, the primes about the objective substantive sources of legitimacy beliefs failed to produce consistent, measurable changes in responses among NGOs across both the hypothetical and real-world observer groups. That is, telling NGOs about the qualities of the organizations work failed to change perceptions. What mattered instead, however, was an organizations’ prominence or type, features that likely served as heuristic shortcuts. The findings, however, varied depending on whether we used hypothetical or real organizations. With hypothetical organizations, NGO respondents preferred other NGOs, suggesting an isomorphism heuristic. Conversely, with real organizations NGO respondents preferred more prominent and well-known intergovernmental organizations. This suggests that the isomorphism and prominence of observer organizations can drive legitimacy beliefs. Given the differences between using real versus hypothetical organizations, however, it also cautions against using hypothetical actors in survey experiments.}, Doi = {10.1007/s11558-018-9331-6}, Key = {fds339454} } @article{fds270014, Author = {J. Kelley and Susan Hyde}, Title = {The Limits of Election Monitoring: What Independent Observation Can (and Can’t) Do}, Journal = {Foreign Affairs}, Year = {2011}, Month = {June}, url = {http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/67968/susan-d-hyde-and-judith-g-kelley/the-limits-of-election-monitoring}, Key = {fds270014} } @article{fds270017, Author = {Kelley, J}, Title = {The more the merrier? the effects of having multiple international election monitoring organizations}, Journal = {Perspectives on Politics}, Volume = {7}, Number = {1}, Pages = {59-64}, Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)}, Year = {2009}, Month = {March}, ISSN = {1537-5927}, url = {http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&aid=3998560}, Abstract = {As the pressure to invite international election monitors rose at the end of the Cold War, states refused to grant the United Nations a dominant role. Thus, today multiple intergovernmental, regional, and international non-governmental organizations often monitor the same elections with equal authority. This article examines the costs and benefits of this complex regime to highlight some possible broader implications of regime complexity. It argues that the availability of many different organizations facilitates action that might otherwise have been blocked for political reasons. Furthermore, when different international election monitoring agencies agree, their consensus can bolster their individual legitimacy as well as the legitimacy of the international norms they stress, and thus magnify their influence on domestic politics. Unfortunately the election monitoring example also suggests that complex regimes can engender damaging inter-organizational politics and that the different biases, capabilities, and standards of organizations sometime can lead organizations to outright contradict each other or work at cross-purposes. © 2009 Copyright American Political Science Association.}, Doi = {10.1017/S1537592709090094}, Key = {fds270017} } @article{fds317785, Author = {Kelley, JG and Simmons, BA}, Title = {The Power of Performance Indicators: Rankings, Ratings and Reactivity in International Relations}, Year = {2014}, Abstract = {Global Performance Indicators (GPIs) are increasingly used to rank, rate or categorize states in a number of issue areas. Many of these new indicators are short-lived efforts to grab attention and are unlikely to matter much. But we believe there are good reasons to think that some GPIs affect important areas of state policy. Indeed, we argue that GPIs should be thought of increasingly as tools of global governance, involving rule-making and the exercise of soft power on a global scale and that their proliferation constitutes a profound social trend with implications for governance world-wide and reflects the diversity of actors and institutions attempting to influence policies across and among states. This article defines what we mean by global performance indicators, and describes their features. Using a new dataset and a series of interviews with producers of various indices, we document the proliferation of GPIs, which have been developed and promulgated by a wide range of actors, both public and private; unilaterally and multilaterally. We then elaborate possible causal mechanisms that we expect to connect externally generated GPIs with state policy, and hypothesize about the scope conditions for their effects.}, Key = {fds317785} } @article{fds341723, Author = {Doshi, R and Kelley, JG and Simmons, BA}, Title = {The Power of Ranking: The Ease of Doing Business Indicator and Global Regulatory Behavior}, Journal = {International Organization}, Volume = {73}, Number = {3}, Pages = {611-643}, Booktitle = {POWER OF GLOBAL PERFORMANCE INDICATORS}, Year = {2019}, Month = {June}, ISBN = {978-1-108-48720-7}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0020818319000158}, Abstract = {We argue that the World Bank has successfully marshaled the Ease of Doing Business (EDB) Index to amass considerable influence over business regulations worldwide. The Ease of Doing is a global performance indicator (GPI), and GPIs-especially those that rate and rank states against one another-are intended to package information to influence the views of an audience important to the target, such as foreign investors or voters, thus generating pressures that induce a change in the target's behavior. The World Bank has succeeded in shaping the global regulatory environment even though the bank has no explicit mandate over regulatory policy and despite questions about EDB accuracy and required policy tradeoffs. We show that the EDB has a dominating market share among business climate indicators. We then use media analyses and observational data to show that EDB has motivated state regulatory shifts. States respond to being publicly ranked and some restructure bureaucracies accordingly. Next we explore plausible influence channels for the EDB ranking and use an experiment involving US portfolio managers to build on existing economics research and examine whether the rankings influence investor sentiment within the experiment. Using a case study of India's multiyear interagency effort to rise in the EDB rankings, as well as its decision to create subnational EDB rankings, we bring the strands of the argument together by showing how politicians see the ranking as affecting domestic politics, altering investor sentiment, and engaging bureaucratic reputation. Overall, a wide variety of evidence converges to illustrate the pressures through which the World Bank has used state rankings to achieve its vision of regulatory reform.}, Doi = {10.1017/S0020818319000158}, Key = {fds341723} } @article{fds341079, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {Who Keeps International Commitments and Why? The International Criminal Court and Bilateral Non-Surrender Agreements}, Journal = {American Political Science Review}, Volume = {3}, Number = {101}, Pages = {573-589}, Year = {2007}, Month = {August}, Key = {fds341079} } @article{fds270021, Author = {Kelley, J}, Title = {Who keeps international commitments and why? The international criminal court and bilateral nonsurrender agreements}, Journal = {American Political Science Review}, Volume = {101}, Number = {3}, Pages = {573-589}, Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)}, Year = {2007}, Month = {August}, ISSN = {0003-0554}, url = {http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayIssue?jid=PSR&volumeId=101&issueId=03}, Abstract = {What do countries do when they have committed to a treaty, but then find that commitment challenged? After the creation of the International Criminal Court, the United States tried to get countries, regardless of whether they were parties to the Court or not, to sign agreements not to surrender Americans to the Court. Why did some states sign and others not? Given United States power and threats of military sanctions, some states did sign. However, such factors tell only part of the story. When refusing to sign, many states emphasized the moral value of the court. Further, states with a high domestic rule of law emphasized the importance of keeping their commitment. This article therefore advances two classic arguments that typically are difficult to substantiate; namely, state preferences are indeed partly normative, and international commitments do not just screen states; they also constrain.}, Doi = {10.1017/S0003055407070426}, Key = {fds270021} } %% Book Reviews @article{fds198838, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Book review The Pseudo-Democrat's Dilemma: Why Election Observation Became an International Norm. By Susan Hyde. (Cornell University Press, 2011}, Journal = {Journal of Politics}, Year = {2011}, Key = {fds198838} } @article{fds198839, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Book Review: Lee Feinstein and Tod Lindberg, Means to an End: US Interests in the International Criminal Court Brookings, 2009}, Journal = {Human Rights Review}, Volume = {2011}, Number = {12}, Pages = {137-138}, Year = {2011}, Month = {December}, Key = {fds198839} } @article{fds166552, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Book Review: Lee Feinstein and Tod Lindberg, Means to an End: US Interests in the International Criminal Court Brookings, 2009}, Journal = {Human Rights Review}, Volume = {2011}, Number = {12}, Pages = {137-138}, Year = {2010}, Month = {February}, Key = {fds166552} } %% Other @misc{fds147650, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {"Big Stick Diplomacy III Serves our Course." Commentary. The News and Observer}, Year = {2004}, Month = {December}, Key = {fds147650} } @misc{fds147649, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {"The Transatlantic Alliance." Symposium on The Future of European and Transatlantic Security Cooperation.}, Publisher = {Young Europeans for Security}, Year = {2005}, Month = {March}, url = {http://www.yes-dk.dk}, Key = {fds147649} } @misc{fds146539, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {"The Transatlantic Alliance." Symposium on The Future of European and Transatlantic Security Cooperation. (Contribution along with Secretary-General of the Council of the EU & High Representative for the CFSP Javier Solana and Danish Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen, among others).}, Journal = {Young Europeans for Security, March 2005.}, Year = {2005}, Month = {March}, url = {http://www.yes-dk.dk/}, Key = {fds146539} } @misc{fds147647, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {"Transatlantic Tensions: Opportunities for Learning." European Union Studies Association Review}, Volume = {17}, Number = {2}, Pages = {9-10}, Year = {2004}, Month = {Spring}, Key = {fds147647} } @misc{fds146541, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Big Stick Diplomacy Ill Serves our Cause}, Journal = {The News and Observer}, Volume = {December 4}, Year = {2004}, Key = {fds146541} } @misc{fds213233, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Commentator}, Journal = {Voice of Russia}, Year = {2012}, Key = {fds213233} } @misc{fds198274, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Data on International Election Monitoring: Three Global Datasets on Election Quality, Election Events and International Election Observation.}, Journal = {[Computer file]. ICPSR31461-v1. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor]}, Year = {2011}, Month = {December}, Abstract = {This data collection focuses on elections and election monitoring throughout the world. Dataset 1, Data on International Election Monitoring (DIEM), codes the assessement and activities of international election monitoring organizations to national-level legislative and presidential elections in 108 countries from 1980-2004. Dataset 2, Quality of Elections Data (QED), codes the quality of national-level legislative and presidential elections in 172 countries from 1978 to 2004. Dataset 3, Supplementary Election Data, includes supplementary information on all direct presidential and legislative elections in 182 countries from 1975-2004.}, Key = {fds198274} } @misc{fds213235, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Interviewee}, Journal = {Radio - New Zealand's Sunday Morning program}, Year = {2012}, Key = {fds213235} } @misc{fds147645, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Letter to the editor: Financial Times}, Series = {US Edition}, Year = {2008}, Key = {fds147645} } @misc{fds146538, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Letters to the editor}, Journal = {Financial Times, US edition}, Year = {2006}, Key = {fds146538} } @misc{fds213231, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Putin 'victory' rests on narrow definition of fraud, Letter to the Editor}, Journal = {Financial Times}, Year = {2012}, Key = {fds213231} } @misc{fds146540, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Transatlantic Tensions: Opportunities for Learning}, Journal = {European Union Studies Association Review}, Volume = {17}, Number = {2}, Pages = {9-10}, Year = {2004}, Month = {Spring}, Key = {fds146540} } %% Published Policy Briefs and Comments @misc{fds213229, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Election Monitoring: Power, Limits, Risks. A Markets and Democracy Brief}, Journal = {Council on Foreign Relations}, Year = {2012}, Key = {fds213229} } @misc{fds198840, Author = {J. Kelley}, Title = {Election Monitoring: the Good, the Bad and the Ugly}, Journal = {International Institute for Electoral Democracy}, Address = {Stockholm, Sweden}, Year = {2011}, Month = {December}, Key = {fds198840} } @misc{fds270010, Author = {Kelley, JG}, Title = {The Role of Membership Rules in Regional Organizations}, Number = {No. 53}, Publisher = {Asian Development Bank}, Year = {2010}, url = {http://aric.adb.org/pdf/workingpaper/WP53_Membership_Rules.pdf}, Abstract = {This paper argues that success in the struggle for regional integration hinges foremost on the degree of heterogeneity among regional states. Regional organizations therefore must consider how to optimize their leverage to forge convergence that will foster agreement and cooperation. To do so, regional organizations can rely on inclusive designs that admit member states and then seek to mold their behavior ex post, or they can use exclusive designs that condition membership on ex ante changes in state behavior. This paper examines the success of these designs in using various ex ante versus ex post tools in soliciting cooperative behavior among regional states, arguing that ex ante tools generally have greater advantages. However, because the advantages vary by issue areas, regions may benefit from creating layers of institutions with different designs. Finally, even after admitting states, regional organizations have options for varying membership rules across different areas of cooperation. Drawing especially on the European experience, the paper considers these various forms of differentiated rules that organizations can use to forge cooperation among different groups of member states despite remaining differences.}, Key = {fds270010} } | |
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