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Publications of Stuart L. Pimm    :chronological  alphabetical  combined listing:

%% Papers Published   
@article{fds369657,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Diamond, J and Bishop, KD},
   Title = {Species coexistence by wide constant size
             spacing.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {120},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {e2217904120},
   Year = {2023},
   Month = {February},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2217904120},
   Abstract = {We consider the distribution of fruit pigeons of the genera
             <i>Ptilinopus</i> and <i>Ducula</i> on the island of New
             Guinea. Of the 21 species, between six and eight coexist
             inside humid lowland forests. We conducted or analyzed 31
             surveys at 16 different sites, resurveying some sites in
             different years. The species coexisting at any single site
             in a single year are a highly nonrandom selection of the
             species to which that site is geographically accessible.
             Their sizes are both much more widely spread and more
             uniformly spaced than in random sets of species drawn from
             the locally available species pool. We also present a
             detailed case study of a highly mobile species that has been
             recorded on every ornithologically explored island in the
             West Papuan island group west of New Guinea. That species'
             rareness on just three well-surveyed islands within the
             group cannot be due to an inability to reach them. Instead,
             its local status decreases from abundant resident to rare
             vagrant in parallel with increasing weight proximity of the
             other resident species.},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.2217904120},
   Key = {fds369657}
}

@article{fds363919,
   Author = {Warudkar, A and Goyal, N and Kher, V and Vinay, KL and Chanda, R and Bandi,
             RS and Jenkins, CN and Robin, VV and Pimm, S},
   Title = {Using the area of habitat to assess the extent of protection
             of India's birds},
   Journal = {Biotropica},
   Volume = {54},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {1466-1479},
   Year = {2022},
   Month = {November},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/btp.13132},
   Abstract = {India hosts multiple global biodiversity hotspots while
             being one of the most populous countries in the world. Here,
             we examine how well India has protected its avifauna, based
             on the fraction of their ranges falling within “protected
             areas.” India has protected 5% of its land this way. The
             issue is whether India has done better than expected in
             protecting its threatened species. To this end, we assessed
             99 Near Threatened, Threatened, and small-ranged species by
             estimating their Area of Habitat (AOH). We refined published
             species ranges using secondary information on elevation
             limits and habitat preferences. More than half (52) of the
             species assessed have their AOH <30% of their published
             ranges, while 31 have <10%. India has protected 87
             threatened species' AOH more than expected (>5%), and for 33
             species, the proportion protected exceeds the Aichi target
             (>17%). When we consider the top 10% richest regions as
             hotspots, only 9.2% of their total area falls under India's
             protected area network, inadequately covering areas with
             most threatened birds. We also discuss the conservation
             concerns for grassland and open habitat species across
             India, since we find that substantial proportions of their
             AOHs fall outside protected areas. This result highlights
             the significance of alternative conservation models,
             including other effective area-based conservation measures.
             We show that species' AOH provides a more realistic
             well-informed range that can aid in assessing their
             protection status.},
   Doi = {10.1111/btp.13132},
   Key = {fds363919}
}

@article{fds363010,
   Author = {Tinsley-Marshall, P and Downey, H and Adum, G and Al-Fulaij, N and Bourn, NAD and Brotherton, PNM and Frick, WF and Hancock, MH and Hellon,
             J and Hudson, MA and Kortland, K and Mastro, K and McNicol, CM and McPherson, T and Mickleburgh, S and Moss, JF and Nichols, CP and O'Brien, D and Ockendon, N and Paterson, S and Parks, D and Pimm, SL and Schofield, H and Simkins, AT and Watuwa, J and Wormald, K and Wilkinson,
             J and Wilson, JD and Sutherland, WJ},
   Title = {Funding and delivering the routine testing of management
             interventions to improve conservation effectiveness},
   Journal = {Journal for Nature Conservation},
   Volume = {67},
   Year = {2022},
   Month = {June},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnc.2022.126184},
   Abstract = {Evidence-based approaches are key for underpinning effective
             conservation practice, but major gaps in the evidence of the
             effectiveness of interventions limit their use. Conservation
             practitioners could make major contributions to filling
             these gaps but often lack the time, funding, or capacity to
             do so properly. Many funders target the delivery of
             conservation and can be reluctant to fund primary research.
             We analysed the literature testing the effectiveness of
             interventions. Of a sample of 1,265 publications published
             in 2019 that tested conservation interventions, 96% included
             academics. Only 21% included conservation practitioners, of
             which just under half were first or last author. A community
             of conservation funders and practitioners undertook a series
             of workshops to explore means of improving the quality and
             quantity of intervention testing. A survey of the suggested
             proportion of conservation grants that should be allocated
             to testing intervention effectiveness showed practitioners
             tended to prefer larger percentages (median 3–6%) than
             funders (median 1–3%), but the overlap was considerable.
             Funders can facilitate the testing of interventions through
             a range of measures, including welcoming applications that
             incorporate testing, allocating funds to testing, and
             providing training and support to deliver testing. The
             funders represented by the authors of this paper have
             committed to these actions. Practitioners can contribute by
             committing to routine testing, benefiting from funding
             allocated specifically to testing, and establishing
             processes for testing interventions. The organisations of
             the practitioner authors have committed to test at least one
             intervention per year and share findings, regardless of
             outcome. Currently, practitioners rarely lead the testing of
             conservation actions. We suggest processes by which both
             funders and practitioners can make this routine. This will
             not only improve the effectiveness and cost-efficiency of
             practice, but also make conservation more attractive to
             funders.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.jnc.2022.126184},
   Key = {fds363010}
}

@article{fds363339,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {We can have biodiversity and eat too.},
   Journal = {Nature Food},
   Volume = {3},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {310-311},
   Publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
   Year = {2022},
   Month = {May},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43016-022-00503-0},
   Doi = {10.1038/s43016-022-00503-0},
   Key = {fds363339}
}

@article{fds364093,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Thomas Lovejoy (1941-2021).},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {32},
   Number = {10},
   Pages = {R446},
   Year = {2022},
   Month = {May},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2022.03.072},
   Abstract = {Stuart Pimm remembers ecologist and conservationist Tom
             Lovejoy, who coined the term biodiversity.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2022.03.072},
   Key = {fds364093}
}

@article{fds362122,
   Author = {Bernstein, AS and Ando, AW and Loch-Temzelides, T and Vale, MM and Li,
             BV and Li, H and Busch, J and Chapman, CA and Kinnaird, M and Nowak, K and Castro, MC and Zambrana-Torrelio, C and Ahumada, JA and Xiao, L and Roehrdanz, P and Kaufman, L and Hannah, L and Daszak, P and Pimm, SL and Dobson, AP},
   Title = {The costs and benefits of primary prevention of zoonotic
             pandemics.},
   Journal = {Science Advances},
   Volume = {8},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {eabl4183},
   Year = {2022},
   Month = {February},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abl4183},
   Abstract = {The lives lost and economic costs of viral zoonotic
             pandemics have steadily increased over the past century.
             Prominent policymakers have promoted plans that argue the
             best ways to address future pandemic catastrophes should
             entail, "detecting and containing emerging zoonotic
             threats." In other words, we should take actions only after
             humans get sick. We sharply disagree. Humans have extensive
             contact with wildlife known to harbor vast numbers of
             viruses, many of which have not yet spilled into humans. We
             compute the annualized damages from emerging viral zoonoses.
             We explore three practical actions to minimize the impact of
             future pandemics: better surveillance of pathogen spillover
             and development of global databases of virus genomics and
             serology, better management of wildlife trade, and
             substantial reduction of deforestation. We find that these
             primary pandemic prevention actions cost less than 1/20th
             the value of lives lost each year to emerging viral zoonoses
             and have substantial cobenefits.},
   Doi = {10.1126/sciadv.abl4183},
   Key = {fds362122}
}

@article{fds362123,
   Author = {Dobson, A and Hopcraft, G and Mduma, S and Ogutu, JO and Fryxell, J and Anderson, TM and Archibald, S and Lehmann, C and Poole, J and Caro, T and Mulder, MB and Holt, RD and Berger, J and Rubenstein, DI and Kahumbu, P and Chidumayo, EN and Milner-Gulland, EJ and Schluter, D and Otto, S and Balmford, A and Wilcove, D and Pimm, S and Veldman, JW and Olff, H and Noss, R and Holdo, R and Beale, C and Hempson, G and Kiwango, Y and Lindenmayer, D and Bond, W and Ritchie, M and Sinclair,
             ARE},
   Title = {Savannas are vital but overlooked carbon
             sinks.},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {375},
   Number = {6579},
   Pages = {392},
   Year = {2022},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abn4482},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.abn4482},
   Key = {fds362123}
}

@article{fds362834,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Edward O. Wilson (1929-2021).},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {375},
   Number = {6579},
   Pages = {385},
   Year = {2022},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abn9848},
   Abstract = {[Figure: see text].},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.abn9848},
   Key = {fds362834}
}

@article{fds367449,
   Author = {Huang, RM and van Aarde, RJ and Pimm, SL and Chase, MJ and Leggett,
             K},
   Title = {Mapping potential connections between Southern Africa's
             elephant populations.},
   Journal = {Plos One},
   Volume = {17},
   Number = {10},
   Pages = {e0275791},
   Year = {2022},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0275791},
   Abstract = {Southern Africa spans nearly 7 million km2 and contains
             approximately 80% of the world's savannah elephants
             (Loxodonta africana) mostly living in isolated protected
             areas. Here we ask what are the prospects for improving the
             connections between these populations? We combine 1.2
             million telemetry observations from 254 elephants with
             spatial data on environmental factors and human land use
             across eight southern African countries. Telemetry data show
             what natural features limit elephant movement and what human
             factors, including fencing, further prevent or restrict
             dispersal. The resulting intersection of geospatial data and
             elephant presences provides a map of suitable landscapes
             that are environmentally appropriate for elephants and where
             humans allow elephants to occupy. We explore the
             environmental and anthropogenic constraints in detail using
             five case studies. Lastly, we review all the major potential
             connections that may remain to connect a fragmented elephant
             metapopulation and document connections that are no longer
             feasible.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0275791},
   Key = {fds367449}
}

@article{fds359932,
   Author = {Halley, JM and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The Dynamic Hypercube as a Niche Community
             Model},
   Journal = {Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {9},
   Year = {2021},
   Month = {October},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2021.686403},
   Abstract = {Different models of community dynamics, such as the
             MacArthur–Wilson theory of island biogeography and
             Hubbell’s neutral theory, have given us useful insights
             into the workings of ecological communities. Here, we
             develop the niche-hypervolume concept of the community into
             a powerful model of community dynamics. We describe the
             community’s size through the volume of the hypercube and
             the dynamics of the populations in it through the
             fluctuations of the axes of the niche hypercube on different
             timescales. While the community’s size remains constant,
             the relative volumes of the niches within it change
             continuously, thus allowing the populations of different
             species to rise and fall in a zero-sum fashion. This dynamic
             hypercube model reproduces several key patterns in
             communities: lognormal species abundance distributions,
             1/f-noise population abundance, multiscale patterns of
             extinction debt and logarithmic species-time curves. It also
             provides a powerful framework to explore significant ideas
             in ecology, such as the drift of ecological communities into
             evolutionary time.},
   Doi = {10.3389/fevo.2021.686403},
   Key = {fds359932}
}

@article{fds359852,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Willigan, E and Kolarova, A and Huang,
             R},
   Title = {Reconnecting nature.},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {31},
   Number = {19},
   Pages = {R1159-R1164},
   Year = {2021},
   Month = {October},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2021.07.040},
   Abstract = {The U.N. has declared 2021-2030 the 'decade of restoration'
             (https://www.decadeonrestoration.org). This initiative
             aspires to many actions, but its agenda must include
             'reconnecting nature'. Even when natural habitats remain,
             they often come in fragments too small or isolated to
             sustain viable populations. Human activities surround
             habitats with unsuitable areas or constrict animals'
             movements with artificial barriers, such as roads or fences.
             The harm this fragmentation causes is evident. Here, we
             discuss various actions to mitigate its problems, seeking
             explicit evidence of their efficacy. These actions range
             from small-scale, controlled experiments to continent-wide
             programmes to allow species the freedom to roam. Even simple
             connections, such as highway overpasses or tunnels, usually
             allow movement such that the genetic and demographic
             problems that beset small, isolated populations may be
             diminished. Showing that species move when we give them the
             chance to do so may be a sufficient measure of success, even
             if we do not always understand the consequences in
             detail.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2021.07.040},
   Key = {fds359852}
}

@article{fds358240,
   Author = {Kong, L and Xu, W and Xiao, Y and Pimm, SL and Shi, H and Ouyang,
             Z},
   Title = {Spatial models of giant pandas under current and future
             conditions reveal extinction risks.},
   Journal = {Nature Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {1309-1316},
   Year = {2021},
   Month = {September},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41559-021-01520-1},
   Abstract = {In addition to habitat loss and fragmentation, demographic
             processes-the vagaries of births, deaths and sex ratio
             fluctuations-pose substantial threats to wild giant panda
             populations. Additionally, climate change and plans for the
             Giant Panda National Park may influence (in opposing
             directions) the extinction risk for wild giant pandas. The
             Fourth National Giant Panda Census showed pandas living in
             33 isolated populations. An estimated 259 animals live in 25
             of these groups, ~14% of the total population. We used
             individual-based models to simulate time series of these
             small populations for 100 years. We analysed the spatial
             pattern of their risk of extinction under current conditions
             and multiple climate change models. Furthermore, we consider
             the impact of the proposed Giant Panda National Park.
             Results showed that 15 populations face a risk >90%, and for
             3 other populations the risk is >50%. Of the 15 most at-risk
             populations, national parks can protect only 3. Under the
             Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 climate change
             scenario, the 33 populations will probably further divide
             into 56 populations. Some 41 of them will face a risk >50%
             and 35 face a risk >90%. Although national parks will
             probably connect some fragmented habitats, 26 populations
             will be outside national park planning. Our study gives
             practical advice for conservation policies and management
             and has implications for the conservation of other species
             in the world that live in isolated, fragmented
             habitats.},
   Doi = {10.1038/s41559-021-01520-1},
   Key = {fds358240}
}

@article{fds358793,
   Author = {Mi, X and Feng, G and Hu, Y and Zhang, J and Chen, L and Corlett, RT and Hughes, AC and Pimm, S and Schmid, B and Shi, S and Svenning, J-C and Ma,
             K},
   Title = {The global significance of biodiversity science in China: an
             overview.},
   Journal = {National Science Review},
   Volume = {8},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {nwab032},
   Year = {2021},
   Month = {July},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/nsr/nwab032},
   Abstract = {Biodiversity science in China has seen rapid growth over
             recent decades, ranging from baseline biodiversity studies
             to understanding the processes behind evolution across
             dynamic regions such as the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. We
             review research, including species catalogues; biodiversity
             monitoring; the origins, distributions, maintenance and
             threats to biodiversity; biodiversity-related ecosystem
             function and services; and species and ecosystems' responses
             to global change. Next, we identify priority topics and
             offer suggestions and priorities for future biodiversity
             research in China. These priorities include (i) the ecology
             and biogeography of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau and
             surrounding mountains, and that of subtropical and tropical
             forests across China; (ii) marine and inland aquatic
             biodiversity; and (iii) effective conservation and
             management to identify and maintain synergies between
             biodiversity and socio-economic development to fulfil
             China's vision for becoming an ecological civilization. In
             addition, we propose three future strategies: (i) translate
             advanced biodiversity science into practice for biodiversity
             conservation; (ii) strengthen capacity building and
             application of advanced technologies, including
             high-throughput sequencing, genomics and remote sensing; and
             (iii) strengthen and expand international collaborations.
             Based on the recent rapid progress of biodiversity research,
             China is well positioned to become a global leader in
             biodiversity research in the near future.},
   Doi = {10.1093/nsr/nwab032},
   Key = {fds358793}
}

@article{fds355507,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {What is biodiversity conservation? : This article belongs to
             Ambio's 50th Anniversary Collection. Theme: Biodiversity
             Conservation.},
   Journal = {Ambio},
   Volume = {50},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {976-980},
   Year = {2021},
   Month = {May},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01399-5},
   Abstract = {Conservation science is a new and evolving discipline, so it
             seems prudent to explore different approaches. That said, we
             should examine what we know and, vitally, what works to
             conserve biodiversity and what does not. Ecosystem processes
             determine the fate of many species, but many attempts to
             theorise about ecosystems have led to ever more fanciful
             descriptions of nature. All conservation is local. It will
             only succeed if we find ways to accommodate people and
             nature. That does not mean indigenous knowledge acquired
             over millennia will be sufficient to our ever more
             overcrowded planet. Observational and experimental studies
             of small populations of wild species, however, do provide
             practical insights into how to manage biodiversity across
             much larger geographical extents.},
   Doi = {10.1007/s13280-020-01399-5},
   Key = {fds355507}
}

@article{fds360056,
   Author = {Huang, RM and Medina, W and Brooks, TM and Butchart, SHM and Fitzpatrick, JW and Hermes, C and Jenkins, CN and Johnston, A and Lebbin, DJ and Li, BV and Ocampo-Peñuela, N and Parr, M and Wheatley,
             H and Wiedenfeld, DA and Wood, C and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Batch-produced, GIS-informed range maps for birds based on
             provenanced, crowd-sourced data inform conservation
             assessments.},
   Journal = {Plos One},
   Volume = {16},
   Number = {11},
   Pages = {e0259299},
   Year = {2021},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0259299},
   Abstract = {Accurate maps of species ranges are essential to inform
             conservation, but time-consuming to produce and update.
             Given the pace of change of knowledge about species
             distributions and shifts in ranges under climate change and
             land use, a need exists for timely mapping approaches that
             enable batch processing employing widely available data. We
             develop a systematic approach of batch-processing range maps
             and derived Area of Habitat maps for terrestrial bird
             species with published ranges below 125,000 km2 in Central
             and South America. (Area of Habitat is the habitat available
             to a species within its range.) We combine existing range
             maps with the rapidly expanding crowd-sourced eBird data of
             presences and absences from frequently surveyed locations,
             plus readily accessible, high resolution satellite data on
             forest cover and elevation to map the Area of Habitat
             available to each species. Users can interrogate the maps
             produced to see details of the observations that contributed
             to the ranges. Previous estimates of Areas of Habitat were
             constrained within the published ranges and thus were, by
             definition, smaller-typically about 30%. This reflects how
             little habitat within suitable elevation ranges exists
             within the published ranges. Our results show that on
             average, Areas of Habitat are 12% larger than published
             ranges, reflecting the often-considerable extent that eBird
             records expand the known distributions of species.
             Interestingly, there are substantial differences between
             threatened and non-threatened species. Some 40% of
             Critically Endangered, 43% of Endangered, and 55% of
             Vulnerable species have Areas of Habitat larger than their
             published ranges, compared with 31% for Near Threatened and
             Least Concern species. The important finding for
             conservation is that threatened species are generally more
             widespread than previously estimated.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0259299},
   Key = {fds360056}
}

@article{fds355009,
   Author = {van Aarde, RJ and Pimm, SL and Guldemond, R and Huang, R and Maré,
             C},
   Title = {The 2020 elephant die-off in Botswana.},
   Journal = {Peerj},
   Volume = {9},
   Pages = {e10686},
   Year = {2021},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj.10686},
   Abstract = {The cause of deaths of 350 elephants in 2020 in a relatively
             small unprotected area of northern Botswana is unknown, and
             may never be known. Media speculations about it ignore
             ecological realities. Worse, they make conjectures that can
             be detrimental to wildlife and sometimes discredit
             conservation incentives. A broader understanding of the
             ecological and conservation issues speaks to elephant
             management across the Kavango-Zambezi Transfrontier
             Conservation Area that extends across Botswana, Namibia,
             Angola, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. Our communication addresses
             these. Malicious poisoning and poaching are unlikely to have
             played a role. Other species were unaffected, and elephant
             carcases had their tusks intact. Restriction of freshwater
             supplies that force elephants to use pans as a water source
             possibly polluted by blue-green algae blooms is a possible
             cause, but as yet not supported by evidence. No other
             species were involved. A contagious disease is the more
             probable one. Fences and a deep channel of water confine
             these elephants' dispersal. These factors explain the
             elephants' relatively high population growth rate despite a
             spell of increased poaching during 2014-2018. While the
             deaths represent only ~2% of the area's elephants, the
             additive effects of poaching and stress induced by people
             protecting their crops cause alarm. Confinement and
             relatively high densities probably explain why the die-off
             occurred only here. It suggests a re-alignment or removal of
             fences that restrict elephant movements and limits
             year-round access to freshwater.},
   Doi = {10.7717/peerj.10686},
   Key = {fds355009}
}

@article{fds357028,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {What we need to know to prevent a mass extinction of plant
             species},
   Journal = {Plants People Planet},
   Volume = {3},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {7-15},
   Year = {2021},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ppp3.10160},
   Abstract = {Human actions are driving plant species to extinction at
             rates a hundred to a thousand times faster than normal. To
             prevent extinctions, it would be helpful to have a more
             comprehensive taxonomic catalogue and much greater knowledge
             of where plant species live. Addressing these questions must
             be a scientific priority. However, what we know at present
             is enough to effect practical conservation actions, such as
             protecting more land in biodiverse places, reconnecting
             fragmented habitats, and eliminating species introduced
             outside their native ranges. For the benefit of people and
             the planet, we can, and must act on what we know already, to
             prevent catastrophic plant extinctions. Summary: Continuing
             destruction of habitats—and especially tropical
             forests—the introduction of plant and herbivorous animal
             species outside their native ranges, and global climate
             disruption all contribute to the extinction of plant
             species. What can we do to prevent this? Do we have enough
             basic information to make effective conservation decisions?
             First, how many plant species are there? This question has
             an easy element—how many species we know now—and a much
             more difficult one—how many do we not know. Second, where
             are the concentrations of plant species? Third, where are
             the species we do not yet know? Fourth, what plant species
             have gone extinct, and where did they live? A related
             question is which species are threatened with extinction and
             where do they live? Fifth, how well can we map threats to
             species? For habitat loss, remote sensing provides satellite
             images globally and very frequently. It does so at a
             resolution that often displays individual trees and bushes.
             Sixth, supposing we had detailed answers to the previous
             questions, what are we doing to protect species? How well
             does the existing network of protected areas encompass
             species, especially those with the smallest ranges? Does
             that network allow for species moving upslope as the climate
             heats up? How well are managers doing in removing introduced
             species? Although answering these questions must be a
             scientific priority, we cannot wait until we have all the
             answers. We can, and indeed must, act on what we know
             already.},
   Doi = {10.1002/ppp3.10160},
   Key = {fds357028}
}

@article{fds353296,
   Author = {Li, BV and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {How China expanded its protected areas to conserve
             biodiversity.},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {30},
   Number = {22},
   Pages = {R1334-R1340},
   Year = {2020},
   Month = {November},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2020.09.025},
   Abstract = {How has the global network of protected areas developed -
             and which decisions have guided this development? Answering
             these questions may give insight into what might be possible
             in the next decade. In 2021, China will host the Convention
             of Biological Diversity's Conference, which will influence
             the coming decade's agenda. We consider how China expanded
             its protected areas in the last half-century. Did concerns
             about biodiversity protection drive those decisions, or were
             other factors responsible? Like other countries, China has
             protected remote places with few people that are unusually
             cold or dry or both. Despite that, species with small
             geographical ranges that have the highest risk of extinction
             are better protected than expected. Importantly, while the
             growth of total area and number of protected areas has
             slowed for the last decade, increases in protection of
             forested ecosystems and the species they contain have
             steadily increased. China's future reserve expansion must
             consider where to protect biodiversity, not just how much
             area to protect.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2020.09.025},
   Key = {fds353296}
}

@article{fds350183,
   Author = {Zhang, J and Pimm, SL and Xu, W and Shi, X and Xiao, Y and Kong, L and Fan, X and Ouyang, Z},
   Title = {Relationship between giant panda populations and selected
             ecosystem services},
   Journal = {Ecosystem Services},
   Volume = {44},
   Year = {2020},
   Month = {August},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2020.101130},
   Abstract = {The Convention on Biological Diversity's Aichi Targets
             address both biodiversity and ecosystem services. We explore
             the relationship between giant panda populations and three
             ecosystem services: carbon sequestration, water retention,
             and soil retention. Do pandas prefer areas with higher than
             average values of these services? Areas may be good for
             pandas but not for these ecosystem services, and vice versa.
             Answering these questions can focus panda conservation. We
             map their spatial distribution and temporal changes from
             2000 to 2015, by watershed, to target future protected areas
             for both pandas and these ecosystem services. Pandas occupy
             watersheds with above-average carbon sequestration and water
             retention. There is no tendency for pandas to be increasing
             in watersheds that have higher than average values of these
             ecosystem services or in watersheds where they are
             improving. Protected areas represented watersheds with
             higher than average values of these ecosystem services but
             without pandas only poorly. Watersheds with pandas do
             provide higher than average ecosystem services, but
             watersheds above average for these ecosystem services often
             lack pandas. Those areas might be potentially important for
             pandas, but obstacles block their way. We identified
             conservation areas combining habitats, population, activity
             range, and higher than average values of these ecosystem
             services and then proposed new protected
             areas.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.ecoser.2020.101130},
   Key = {fds350183}
}

@article{fds351225,
   Author = {Dobson, AP and Pimm, SL and Hannah, L and Kaufman, L and Ahumada, JA and Ando, AW and Bernstein, A and Busch, J and Daszak, P and Engelmann, J and Kinnaird, MF and Li, BV and Loch-Temzelides, T and Lovejoy, T and Nowak,
             K and Roehrdanz, PR and Vale, MM},
   Title = {Ecology and economics for pandemic prevention.},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {369},
   Number = {6502},
   Pages = {379-381},
   Year = {2020},
   Month = {July},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abc3189},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.abc3189},
   Key = {fds351225}
}

@article{fds347679,
   Author = {Palacio, RD and Kattan, GH and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Bird extirpations and community dynamics in an Andean cloud
             forest over 100 years of land-use change.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {34},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {677-687},
   Year = {2020},
   Month = {June},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13423},
   Abstract = {Long-term studies to understand biodiversity changes remain
             scarce-especially so for tropical mountains. We examined
             changes from 1911 to 2016 in the bird community of the cloud
             forest of San Antonio, a mountain ridge in the Colombian
             Andes. We evaluated the effects of past land-use change and
             assessed species vulnerability to climate disruption. Forest
             cover decreased from 95% to 50% by 1959, and 33 forest
             species were extirpated. From 1959 to 1990, forest cover
             remained stable, and an additional 15 species were lost-a
             total of 29% of the forest bird community. Thereafter,
             forest cover increased by 26% and 17 species recolonized the
             area. The main cause of extirpations was the loss of
             connections to adjacent forests. Of the 31 (19%) extirpated
             birds, 25 have ranges peripheral to San Antonio, mostly in
             the lowlands. Most still occurred regionally, but broken
             forest connections limited their recolonization. Other
             causes of extirpation were hunting, wildlife trade, and
             water diversion. Bird community changes included a shift
             from predominantly common species to rare species; forest
             generalists replaced forest specialists that require old
             growth, and functional groups, such as large-body frugivores
             and nectarivores, declined disproportionally. All
             water-dependent birds were extirpated. Of the remaining 122
             forest species, 19 are vulnerable to climate disruption, 10
             have declined in abundance, and 4 are threatened. Our
             results show unequivocal species losses and changes in
             community structure and abundance at the local scale. We
             found species were extirpated after habitat loss and
             fragmentation, but forest recovery stopped extirpations and
             helped species repopulate. Land-use changes increased
             species vulnerability to climate change, and we suggest
             reversing landscape transformation may restore biodiversity
             and improve resistance to future threats.},
   Doi = {10.1111/cobi.13423},
   Key = {fds347679}
}

@article{fds345474,
   Author = {Huang, R and Pimm, SL and Giri, C},
   Title = {Using metapopulation theory for practical conservation of
             mangrove endemic birds.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {34},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {266-275},
   Year = {2020},
   Month = {February},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13364},
   Abstract = {As a landscape becomes increasingly fragmented through
             habitat loss, the individual patches become smaller and more
             isolated and thus less likely to sustain a local population.
             Metapopulation theory is appropriate for analyzing
             fragmented landscapes because it combines empirical
             landscape features with species-specific information to
             produce direct information on population extinction risks.
             This approach contrasts with descriptions of habitat
             fragments, which provide only indirect information on risk.
             Combining a spatially explicit metapopulation model with
             empirical data on endemic species' ranges and maps of
             habitat cover, we calculated the metapopulation capacity-a
             measure of a landscape's ability to sustain a
             metapopulation. Mangroves provide an ideal model landscape
             because they are of conservation concern and their patch
             boundaries are easily delineated. For 2000-20015, we
             calculated global metapopulation capacity for 99
             metapopulations of 32 different bird species endemic to
             mangroves. Northern Australia and Southeast Asia had the
             highest richness of mangrove endemic birds. The Caribbean,
             Pacific coast of Central America, Madagascar, Borneo, and
             isolated patches in Southeast Asia in Myanmar and Malaysia
             had the highest metapopulation losses. Regions with the
             highest loss of habitat area were not necessarily those with
             the highest loss of metapopulation capacity. Often, it was
             not a matter of how much, but how the habitat was lost. Our
             method can be used by managers to evaluate and prioritize a
             landscape for metapopulation persistence.},
   Doi = {10.1111/cobi.13364},
   Key = {fds345474}
}

@article{fds366340,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Raven, PH},
   Title = {Norman Myers (1934-2019).},
   Journal = {Nature Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {177-178},
   Year = {2020},
   Month = {February},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41559-020-1095-8},
   Doi = {10.1038/s41559-020-1095-8},
   Key = {fds366340}
}

@article{fds344889,
   Author = {Brooks, TM and Pimm, SL and Akçakaya, HR and Buchanan, GM and Butchart,
             SHM and Foden, W and Hilton-Taylor, C and Hoffmann, M and Jenkins, CN and Joppa, L and Li, BV and Menon, V and Ocampo-Peñuela, N and Rondinini,
             C},
   Title = {Measuring Terrestrial Area of Habitat (AOH) and Its Utility
             for the IUCN Red List.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {34},
   Number = {11},
   Pages = {977-986},
   Year = {2019},
   Month = {November},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2019.06.009},
   Abstract = {The International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN)
             Red List of Threatened Species includes assessment of
             extinction risk for 98 512 species, plus documentation of
             their range, habitat, elevation, and other factors. These
             range, habitat and elevation data can be matched with
             terrestrial land cover and elevation datasets to map the
             species' area of habitat (AOH; also known as extent of
             suitable habitat; ESH). This differs from the two spatial
             metrics used for assessing extinction risk in the IUCN Red
             List criteria: extent of occurrence (EOO) and area of
             occupancy (AOO). AOH can guide conservation, for example,
             through targeting areas for field surveys, assessing
             proportions of species' habitat within protected areas, and
             monitoring habitat loss and fragmentation. We recommend that
             IUCN Red List assessments document AOH wherever
             practical.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2019.06.009},
   Key = {fds344889}
}

@article{fds348938,
   Author = {Hu, Y and Luo, Z and Chapman, CA and Pimm, SL and Turvey, ST and Lawes, MJ and Peres, CA and Lee, TM and Fan, P},
   Title = {Regional scientific research benefits threatened-species
             conservation.},
   Journal = {National Science Review},
   Volume = {6},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {1076-1079},
   Year = {2019},
   Month = {November},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/nsr/nwz090},
   Doi = {10.1093/nsr/nwz090},
   Key = {fds348938}
}

@article{fds346757,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Donohue, I and Montoya, JM and Loreau,
             M},
   Title = {Measuring resilience is essential if we are to understand
             it.},
   Journal = {Nature Sustainability},
   Volume = {2},
   Number = {10},
   Pages = {895-897},
   Year = {2019},
   Month = {October},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0399-7},
   Abstract = {"Sustainability", "resilience", and other terms group under
             the heading of "stability." Their ubiquity speaks to a vital
             need to characterise changes in complex social and
             environmental systems. In a bewildering array of terms,
             practical measurements are essential to permit comparisons
             and so untangle underlying relationships.},
   Doi = {10.1038/s41893-019-0399-7},
   Key = {fds346757}
}

@article{fds344647,
   Author = {Ghosh-Harihar, M and An, R and Athreya, R and Borthakur, U and Chanchani, P and Chetry, D and Datta, A and Harihar, A and Karanth, KK and Mariyam, D and Mohan, D and Onial, M and Ramakrishnan, U and Robin, VV and Saxena, A and Shahabuddin, G and Thatte, P and Vijay, V and Wacker, K and Mathur, VB and Pimm, SL and Price, TD},
   Title = {Protected areas and biodiversity conservation in
             India},
   Journal = {Biological Conservation},
   Volume = {237},
   Pages = {114-124},
   Year = {2019},
   Month = {September},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.06.024},
   Abstract = {Three well-supported generalizations in conservation biology
             are that developing tropical countries will experience the
             greatest biodiversity declines in the near future, they are
             some of the least studied areas in the world, and in these
             regions especially, protection requires local community
             support. We assess these generalizations in an evaluation of
             protected areas in India. The 5% of India officially
             protected covers most ecoregions and protected areas have
             been an important reason why India has suffered no
             documented species extinctions in the past 70 years. India
             has strong legislation favouring conservation, government
             investment focused on 50 Tiger Reserves, and government
             compensation schemes that facilitate local support, all of
             which brighten future prospects. However, many protected
             areas are too small to maintain a full complement of
             species, making connectivity and species use of buffer zones
             a crucial issue. Conservation success and challenges vary
             across regions according to their development status. In
             less developed areas, notably the biodiverse northeast
             Himalaya, protected areas maintaining the highest
             biodiversity result from locally-focused efforts by
             dedicated individuals. Across India, we demonstrate
             considerable opportunities to increase local income through
             ecotourism. Our evaluation confirms a lack of data,
             increasing threats, and the importance of local support.
             Research on biodiversity in buffer zones, development of
             long-term monitoring schemes, and assessment of cash and
             conservation benefits from tourism are in particular need.
             For policy makers, two main goals should be the development
             of monitoring plans for ‘eco-sensitive zones’ around
             protected areas, and a strong emphasis on preserving
             established protected areas.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.biocon.2019.06.024},
   Key = {fds344647}
}

@article{fds345473,
   Author = {Xu, W and Pimm, SL and Du, A and Su, Y and Fan, X and An, L and Liu, J and Ouyang, Z},
   Title = {Transforming Protected Area Management in
             China.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {34},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {762-766},
   Year = {2019},
   Month = {September},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2019.05.009},
   Abstract = {We discuss institutional reforms to China's protected area
             management. Currently (as elsewhere), protected areas suffer
             fragmented management, lack of a comprehensive
             classification, inadequate coverage of biodiversity and
             ecosystem services, and divided, inconsistent legislation.
             We recommend establishing a new system of protected area
             management that can address past difficulties by using
             ongoing institutional reforms as unprecedented
             opportunities.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2019.05.009},
   Key = {fds345473}
}

@article{fds346447,
   Author = {Xu, W and Fan, X and Ma, J and Pimm, SL and Kong, L and Zeng, Y and Li, X and Xiao, Y and Zheng, H and Liu, J and Wu, B and An, L and Zhang, L and Wang, X and Ouyang, Z},
   Title = {Hidden Loss of Wetlands in China.},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {29},
   Number = {18},
   Pages = {3065-3071.e2},
   Year = {2019},
   Month = {September},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2019.07.053},
   Abstract = {To counter their widespread loss, global aspirations are for
             no net loss of remaining wetlands [1]. We examine whether
             this goal alone is sufficient for managing China's wetlands,
             for they constitute 10% of the world's total. Analyzing
             wetland changes between 2000 and 2015 using 30-m-resolution
             satellite images, we show that China's wetlands expanded by
             27,614 km<sup>2</sup> but lost 26,066 km<sup>2</sup>-a net
             increase of 1,548 km<sup>2</sup> (or 0.4%). This net change
             hides considerable complexities in the types of wetlands
             created and destroyed. The area of open water surface
             increased by 9,110 km<sup>2</sup>, but natural
             wetlands-henceforth "marshes"-decreased by
             7,562 km<sup>2</sup>. Of the expanded wetlands, restoration
             policies contributed 24.5% and dam construction contributed
             20.8%. Climate change accounted for 23.6% but is likely to
             involve a transient increase due to melting glaciers. Of
             the lost wetlands, agricultural and urban expansion
             contributed 47.7% and 13.8%, respectively. The increase in
             wetlands from conservation efforts (6,765 km<sup>2</sup>)
             did not offset human-caused wetland losses
             (16,032 km<sup>2</sup>). The wetland changes may harm
             wildlife. The wetland loss in east China threatens bird
             migration across eastern Asia [2]. Open water from dam
             construction flooded the original habitats of threatened
             terrestrial species and affected aquatic species by
             fragmenting wetland habitats [3]. Thus, the "no net loss"
             target measures total changes without considering changes
             in composition and the corresponding ecological
             functions. It may result in "paper offsets" and
             should be used carefully as a target for wetland
             conservation.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2019.07.053},
   Key = {fds346447}
}

@article{fds342393,
   Author = {Tian, Z and Liu, X and Fan, Z and Liu, J and Pimm, SL and Liu, L and Garcia,
             C and Songer, M and Shao, X and Skidmore, A and Wang, T and Zhang, Y and Chang, Y and Jin, X and Gong, M and Zhou, L and He, X and Dang, G and Zhu, Y and Cai, Q},
   Title = {The next widespread bamboo flowering poses a massive risk to
             the giant panda},
   Journal = {Biological Conservation},
   Volume = {234},
   Pages = {180-187},
   Year = {2019},
   Month = {June},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.03.030},
   Abstract = {The IUCN Red List has downgraded several species from
             “endangered” to “vulnerable” that still have largely
             unknown extinction risks. We consider one of those
             downgraded species, the giant panda, a bamboo specialist.
             Massive bamboo flowering could be a natural disaster for
             giant pandas. Using scenario analysis, we explored possible
             impacts of the next bamboo flowering in the Qinling and
             Minshan Mountains that are home to most giant pandas. Our
             results showed that the Qinling Mountains could experience
             large-scale bamboo flowering leading to a high risk of
             widespread food shortages for the giant pandas by 2020. The
             Minshan Mountains could similarly experience a large-scale
             bamboo flowering with a high risk for giant pandas between
             2020 and 2030 without suitable alternative habitat in the
             surrounding areas. These scenarios highlight thus-far
             unforeseen dangers of conserving giant pandas in a
             fragmented habitat. We recommend advance measures to protect
             giant panda from severe population crashes when flowering
             happens. This study also suggests the need to anticipate and
             manage long-term risks to other downgraded
             species.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.biocon.2019.03.030},
   Key = {fds342393}
}

@article{fds345475,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Jenkins, CN},
   Title = {Connecting Habitats to Prevent Species Extinctions
             Conservation biologists are creating links between forest
             fragments where the most animals with small ranges
             live.},
   Journal = {American Scientist},
   Volume = {107},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {162-169},
   Publisher = {SIGMA XI-SCI RES SOC},
   Year = {2019},
   Month = {May},
   Key = {fds345475}
}

@article{fds339864,
   Author = {Vijay, V and Reid, CD and Finer, M and Jenkins, CN and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Deforestation risks posed by oil palm expansion in the
             Peruvian Amazon},
   Journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
   Volume = {13},
   Number = {11},
   Pages = {114010-114010},
   Publisher = {IOP Publishing},
   Year = {2018},
   Month = {November},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aae540},
   Abstract = {Further expansion of agriculture in the tropics is likely to
             accelerate the loss of biodiversity. One crop of concern to
             conservation is African oil palm (Elaeis guineensis). We
             examined recent deforestation associated with oil palm in
             the Peruvian Amazon within the context of the region's other
             crops. We found more area under oil palm cultivation (845
             km2) than did previous studies. While this comprises less
             than 4% of the cropland in the region, it accounted for 11%
             of the deforestation from agricultural expansion from
             2007-2013. Patches of oil palm agriculture were larger and
             more spatially clustered than for other crops, potentially
             increasing their impact on local habitat fragmentation.
             Modeling deforestation risk for oil palm expansion using
             climatic and edaphic factors showed that sites at lower
             elevations, with higher precipitation, and lower slopes than
             those typically used for intensive agriculture are at
             long-term risk of deforestation from oil palm agriculture.
             Within areas at long-term risks, based on CART models, areas
             near urban centers, roads, and previously deforested areas
             are at greatest short-term risk of deforestation. Existing
             protected areas and officially recognized indigenous
             territories cover large areas at long-term risk of
             deforestation for oil palm (>40%). Less than 7% of these
             areas are under strict (IUCN I-IV) protection. Based on
             these findings, we suggest targeted monitoring for oil palm
             deforestation as well as strengthening and expanding
             protected areas to conserve specific habitats.},
   Doi = {10.1088/1748-9326/aae540},
   Key = {fds339864}
}

@article{fds336962,
   Author = {Carter, NH and Bouley, P and Moore, S and Poulos, M and Bouyer, J and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Climate change, disease range shifts, and the future of the
             Africa lion.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {32},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {1207-1210},
   Year = {2018},
   Month = {October},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13102},
   Doi = {10.1111/cobi.13102},
   Key = {fds336962}
}

@article{fds338072,
   Author = {Gagné, TO and Hyrenbach, KD and Hagemann, ME and Bass, OL and Pimm, SL and MacDonald, M and Peck, B and Van Houtan and KS},
   Title = {Seabird trophic position across three ocean regions tracks
             ecosystem differences},
   Journal = {Frontiers in Marine Science},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {SEP},
   Publisher = {FRONTIERS MEDIA SA},
   Year = {2018},
   Month = {September},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2018.00317},
   Abstract = {We analyze recently collected feather tissues from two
             species of seabirds, the sooty tern (Onychoprion fuscatus)
             and brown noddy (Anous stolidus), in three ocean regions
             (North Atlantic, North Pacific, and South Pacific) with
             different human impacts. The species are similar
             morphologically and in the trophic levels from which they
             feed within each location. In contrast, we detect reliable
             differences in trophic position amongst the regions. Trophic
             position appears to decline as the intensity of commercial
             fishing increases, and is at its lowest in the Caribbean.
             The spatial gradient in trophic position we document in
             these regions exceeds those detected over specimens from the
             last 130 years in the Hawaiian Islands. Modeling suggests
             that climate velocity and human impacts on fish populations
             strongly align with these differences.},
   Doi = {10.3389/fmars.2018.00317},
   Key = {fds338072}
}

@article{fds337744,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Jenkins, CN and Li, BV},
   Title = {How to protect half of Earth to ensure it protects
             sufficient biodiversity.},
   Journal = {Science Advances},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {8},
   Pages = {eaat2616},
   Year = {2018},
   Month = {August},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aat2616},
   Abstract = {It is theoretically possible to protect large fractions of
             species in relatively small regions. For plants, 85% of
             species occur entirely within just over a third of the
             Earth's land surface, carefully optimized to maximize the
             species captured. Well-known vertebrate taxa show similar
             patterns. Protecting half of Earth might not be necessary,
             but would it be sufficient given the current trends of
             protection? The predilection of national governments is to
             protect areas that are "wild," that is, typically remote,
             cold, or arid. Unfortunately, those areas often hold
             relatively few species. Wild places likely afford the easier
             opportunities for the future expansion of protected areas,
             with the expansion into human-dominated landscapes the
             greater challenge. We identify regions that are not
             currently protected, but that are wild, and consider which
             of them hold substantial numbers of especially small-ranged
             vertebrate species. We assess how successful the strategy of
             protecting the wilder half of Earth might be in conserving
             biodiversity. It is far from sufficient. (Protecting large
             wild places for reasons other than biodiversity protection,
             such as carbon sequestration and other ecosystem services,
             might still have importance.) Unexpectedly, we also show
             that, despite the bias in establishing large protected areas
             in wild places to date, numerous small protected areas are
             in biodiverse places. They at least partially protect
             significant fractions of especially small-ranged species.
             So, while a preoccupation with protecting large areas for
             the sake of getting half of Earth might achieve little for
             biodiversity, there is more progress in protecting
             high-biodiversity areas than currently appreciated.
             Continuing to prioritize the right parts of Earth, not just
             the total area protected, is what matters for
             biodiversity.},
   Doi = {10.1126/sciadv.aat2616},
   Key = {fds337744}
}

@article{fds333252,
   Author = {Montoya, JM and Donohue, I and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Why a Planetary Boundary, If It Is Not Planetary, and the
             Boundary Is Undefined? A Reply to Rockström et
             al.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {33},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {234},
   Year = {2018},
   Month = {April},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2018.01.008},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2018.01.008},
   Key = {fds333252}
}

@article{fds329828,
   Author = {Montoya, JM and Donohue, I and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Planetary Boundaries for Biodiversity: Implausible Science,
             Pernicious Policies.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {33},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {71-73},
   Year = {2018},
   Month = {February},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2017.10.004},
   Abstract = {The notion of a 'safe operating space for biodiversity' is
             vague and encourages harmful policies. Attempts to fix it
             strip it of all meaningful content. Ecology is rapidly
             gaining insights into the connections between biodiversity
             and ecosystem stability. We have no option but to understand
             ecological complexity and act accordingly.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2017.10.004},
   Key = {fds329828}
}

@article{fds329383,
   Author = {Raven, PH and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Reply to Nic Lughadha et al.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {32},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {889},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {December},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2017.09.002},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2017.09.002},
   Key = {fds329383}
}

@article{fds329827,
   Author = {Li, BV and Pimm, SL and Li, S and Zhao, L and Luo, C},
   Title = {Free-ranging livestock threaten the long-term survival of
             giant pandas},
   Journal = {Biological Conservation},
   Volume = {216},
   Pages = {18-25},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {December},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2017.09.019},
   Abstract = {China has implemented forest policies and expanded protected
             areas to halt deforestation and protect giant panda
             habitats. These policies simultaneously encouraged local
             communities to raise livestock that then freely range in
             forests. This grazing had unintended consequences. As an
             alternative livelihood, it has become the most prevalent
             human disturbance across the panda's range. How do
             free-ranging livestock impact giant panda habitats and what
             are the implications for future conservation and policy on a
             larger scale? We use Wanglang National Nature Reserve as a
             case study. It has seen a nine-fold livestock increase
             during past 15 years. We combined bamboo survey plots, GPS
             collar tracking, long-term monitoring, and species
             distribution modelling incorporating species interaction to
             understand the impacts across spatial and temporal scales.
             Our results showed that livestock, especially horses, lead
             to a significant reduction of bamboo biomass and
             regeneration. The most intensively used areas by livestock
             are in the valleys, which are also the areas that pandas
             prefer. Adding livestock presence to predictive models of
             the giant panda's distribution yielded a higher accuracy and
             suggested livestock reduce panda habitat by 34%. Pandas were
             driven out of the areas intensively used by livestock. We
             recommend the nature reserve carefully implement a livestock
             ban and prioritise removing horses because they cause the
             greater harm. To give up livestock, local communities prefer
             long-term subsidies or jobs to a one-time payment. Thus, we
             recommend the government provide payments for ecosystem
             services that create jobs in forest stewardship or tourism
             while reducing the number of domestic animals.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.biocon.2017.09.019},
   Key = {fds329827}
}

@article{fds329407,
   Author = {Xu, W and Viña, A and Kong, L and Pimm, SL and Zhang, J and Yang, W and Xiao,
             Y and Zhang, L and Chen, X and Liu, J and Ouyang, Z},
   Title = {Reassessing the conservation status of the giant panda using
             remote sensing.},
   Journal = {Nature Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {11},
   Pages = {1635-1638},
   Publisher = {NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {November},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41559-017-0317-1},
   Abstract = {The conservation status of the iconic giant panda is a
             barometer of global conservation efforts. The IUCN Red List
             has downgraded the panda's extinction risk from "endangered"
             to "vulnerable". Newly obtained, detailed GIS and remotely
             sensed data applied consistently over the last four decades
             show that panda habitat covered less area and was more
             fragmented in 2013 than in 1988 when the species was listed
             as endangered.},
   Doi = {10.1038/s41559-017-0317-1},
   Key = {fds329407}
}

@article{fds329150,
   Author = {Newmark, WD and Jenkins, CN and Pimm, SL and McNeally, PB and Halley,
             JM},
   Title = {Targeted habitat restoration can reduce extinction rates in
             fragmented forests.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {114},
   Number = {36},
   Pages = {9635-9640},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {September},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1705834114},
   Abstract = {The Eastern Arc Mountains of Tanzania and the Atlantic
             Forest of Brazil are two of the most fragmented biodiversity
             hotspots. Species-area relationships predict that their
             habitat fragments will experience a substantial loss of
             species. Most of these extinctions will occur over an
             extended time, and therefore, reconnecting fragments could
             prevent species losses and allow locally extinct species to
             recolonize former habitats. An empirical relaxation
             half-life vs. area relationship for tropical bird
             communities estimates the time that it takes to lose
             one-half of all species that will be eventually lost. We use
             it to estimate the increase in species persistence by
             regenerating a forest connection 1 km in width among the
             largest and closest fragments at 11 locations. In the
             Eastern Arc Mountains, regenerating 8,134 ha of forest would
             create >316,000 ha in total of restored contiguous forest.
             More importantly, it would increase the persistence time for
             species by a factor of 6.8 per location or ∼2,272 years,
             on average, relative to individual fragments. In the
             Atlantic Forest, regenerating 6,452 ha of forest would
             create >251,000 ha in total of restored contiguous forest
             and enhance species persistence by a factor of 13.0 per
             location or ∼5,102 years, on average, relative to
             individual fragments. Rapidly regenerating forest among
             fragments is important, because mean time to the first
             determined extinction across all fragments is 7 years. We
             estimate the cost of forest regeneration at $21-$49 million
             dollars. It could provide one of the highest returns on
             investment for biodiversity conservation
             worldwide.},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.1705834114},
   Key = {fds329150}
}

@article{fds326865,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Harris, G and Jenkins, CN and Ocampo-Peñuela, N and Li,
             BV},
   Title = {Unfulfilled promise of data-driven approaches: response to
             Peterson et al.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {31},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {944-947},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {August},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.12928},
   Doi = {10.1111/cobi.12928},
   Key = {fds326865}
}

@article{fds325357,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Raven, PH},
   Title = {The Fate of the World's Plants.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {32},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {317-320},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {May},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2017.02.014},
   Abstract = {A recent report assessing the world's plant species finds
             continuing progress in completing the taxonomic catalog.
             However, many undescribed species remain. The report
             concludes that, presently, 21% of known species risk
             extinction. We show this statement applies to the short-term
             and ignores the as-yet undescribed species, which are also
             likely at risk of extinction. Human actions will extirpate
             many more by the end of this century.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2017.02.014},
   Key = {fds325357}
}

@article{fds327248,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Environment: Hero of local conservation},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {544},
   Number = {7649},
   Pages = {158-159},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {April},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/544158a},
   Doi = {10.1038/544158a},
   Key = {fds327248}
}

@article{fds329151,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Biological extinction at the Vatican.},
   Journal = {Nature Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {136},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {April},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41559-017-0136},
   Doi = {10.1038/s41559-017-0136},
   Key = {fds329151}
}

@article{fds331442,
   Author = {Weise, FJ and Vijay, V and Jacobson, AP and Schoonover, RF and Groom,
             RJ and Horgan, J and Keeping, D and Klein, R and Marnewick, K and Maude, G and Melzheimer, J and Mills, G and van der Merwe, V and van der Meer, E and van Vuuren, RJ and Wachter, B and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The distribution and numbers of cheetah (Acinonyx jubatus)
             in southern Africa.},
   Journal = {Peerj},
   Volume = {5},
   Pages = {e4096},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj.4096},
   Abstract = {Assessing the numbers and distribution of threatened species
             is a central challenge in conservation, often made difficult
             because the species of concern are rare and elusive. For
             some predators, this may be compounded by their being
             sparsely distributed over large areas. Such is the case with
             the cheetah Acinonyx jubatus. The IUCN Red List process
             solicits comments, is democratic, transparent, widely-used,
             and has recently assessed the species. Here, we present
             additional methods to that process and provide quantitative
             approaches that may afford greater detail and a benchmark
             against which to compare future assessments. The cheetah
             poses challenges, but also affords unique opportunities. It
             is photogenic, allowing the compilation of thousands of
             crowd-sourced data. It is also persecuted for killing
             livestock, enabling estimation of local population densities
             from the numbers persecuted. Documented instances of
             persecution in areas with known human and livestock density
             mean that these data can provide an estimate of where the
             species may or may not occur in areas without observational
             data. Compilations of extensive telemetry data coupled with
             nearly 20,000 additional observations from 39 sources show
             that free-ranging cheetahs were present across approximately
             789,700 km2 of Namibia, Botswana, South Africa, and Zimbabwe
             (56%, 22%, 12% and 10% respectively) from 2010 to 2016, with
             an estimated adult population of 3,577 animals. We
             identified a further 742,800 km2 of potential cheetah
             habitat within the study region with low human and livestock
             densities, where another ∼3,250 cheetahs may occur. Unlike
             many previous estimates, we make the data available and
             provide explicit information on exactly where cheetahs
             occur, or are unlikely to occur. We stress the value of
             gathering data from public sources though these data were
             mostly from well-visited protected areas. There is a
             contiguous, transboundary population of cheetah in southern
             Africa, known to be the largest in the world. We suggest
             that this population is more threatened than believed due to
             the concentration of about 55% of free-ranging individuals
             in two ecoregions. This area overlaps with commercial
             farmland with high persecution risk; adult cheetahs were
             removed at the rate of 0.3 individuals per 100 km2 per year.
             Our population estimate for confirmed cheetah presence areas
             is 11% lower than the IUCN's current assessment for the same
             region, lending additional support to the recent call for
             the up-listing of this species from vulnerable to endangered
             status.},
   Doi = {10.7717/peerj.4096},
   Key = {fds331442}
}

@article{fds328730,
   Author = {Sutton, AE and Downey, MG and Kamande, E and Munyao, F and Rinaldi, M and Taylor, AK and Pimm, S},
   Title = {Boma fortification is cost-effective at reducing predation
             of livestock in a high-predation zone in the Western Mara
             Region, Kenya},
   Journal = {Conservation Evidence},
   Volume = {14},
   Pages = {32-38},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {January},
   Abstract = {Lions Panthera leo kill livestock in the pastoral steppe of
             East Africa. The subsequent lethal retaliation by livestock
             owners has helped reduce lion numbers by more than 80% and
             driven the species from most of its historic range. This
             conflict is especially intense along the western edge of the
             Maasai Mara National Reserve in Kenya, where some of the
             densest lion and livestock populations in Africa overlap. We
             evaluated the effectiveness of implementation for one
             proposed solution – the Anne K. Taylor Fund’s subsidized
             construction of fortified, chain-link livestock fences
             (‘bomas’) – in reducing livestock loss to depredation.
             Between 2013 and 2015 we collected 343 predation reports,
             based on semi-structured interviews and predation records.
             We used these data to study the impact of subsidised boma
             fortification on the depredation of cattle, sheep and goats.
             Of 179 fortified bomas, 67% suffered no losses over one year
             whereas only 15% of 60 unfortified bomas had no losses over
             one year. Furthermore, losses of greater than five animals
             per year occurred at only 17% of fortified bomas, compared
             to 57% of unfortified bomas. The overall reduction in losses
             to predation at fortified bomas equated to savings of more
             than &1,200 USD per household per year.},
   Key = {fds328730}
}

@article{fds326646,
   Author = {Huang, RM and Bass, OL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Sooty tern (Onychoprion fuscatus) survival, oil
             spills, shrimp fisheries, and hurricanes.},
   Journal = {Peerj},
   Volume = {5},
   Pages = {e3287},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj.3287},
   Abstract = {Migratory seabirds face threats from climate change and a
             variety of anthropogenic disturbances. Although most seabird
             research has focused on the ecology of individuals at the
             colony, technological advances now allow researchers to
             track seabird movements at sea and during migration. We
             combined telemetry data on <i>Onychoprion fuscatus</i>
             (sooty terns) with a long-term capture-mark-recapture
             dataset from the Dry Tortugas National Park to map the
             movements at sea for this species, calculate estimates of
             mortality, and investigate the impact of hurricanes on a
             migratory seabird. Included in the latter analysis is
             information on the locations of recovered bands from
             deceased individuals wrecked by tropical storms. We present
             the first known map of sooty tern migration in the Atlantic
             Ocean. Our results indicate that the birds had minor
             overlaps with areas affected by the major 2010 oil spill and
             a major shrimp fishery. Indices of hurricane strength and
             occurrence are positively correlated with annual mortality
             and indices of numbers of wrecked birds. As climate change
             may lead to an increase in severity and frequency of major
             hurricanes, this may pose a long-term problem for this
             colony.},
   Doi = {10.7717/peerj.3287},
   Key = {fds326646}
}

@article{fds327249,
   Author = {Robson, AS and Trimble, MJ and Purdon, A and Young-Overton, KD and Pimm,
             SL and van Aarde, RJ},
   Title = {Savanna elephant numbers are only a quarter of their
             expected values.},
   Journal = {Plos One},
   Volume = {12},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {e0175942},
   Year = {2017},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0175942},
   Abstract = {Savannas once constituted the range of many species that
             human encroachment has now reduced to a fraction of their
             former distribution. Many survive only in protected areas.
             Poaching reduces the savanna elephant, even where protected,
             likely to the detriment of savanna ecosystems. While
             resources go into estimating elephant populations, an
             ecological benchmark by which to assess counts is lacking.
             Knowing how many elephants there are and how many poachers
             kill is important, but on their own, such data lack context.
             We collated savanna elephant count data from 73 protected
             areas across the continent estimated to hold ~50% of
             Africa's elephants and extracted densities from 18 broadly
             stable population time series. We modeled these densities
             using primary productivity, water availability, and an index
             of poaching as predictors. We then used the model to predict
             stable densities given current conditions and poaching for
             all 73 populations. Next, to generate ecological benchmarks,
             we predicted such densities for a scenario of zero poaching.
             Where historical data are available, they corroborate or
             exceed benchmarks. According to recent counts, collectively,
             the 73 savanna elephant populations are at 75% of the size
             predicted based on current conditions and poaching levels.
             However, populations are at <25% of ecological benchmarks
             given a scenario of zero poaching (~967,000)-a total deficit
             of ~730,000 elephants. Populations in 30% of the 73
             protected areas were <5% of their benchmarks, and the median
             current density as a percentage of ecological benchmark
             across protected areas was just 13%. The ecological context
             provided by these benchmark values, in conjunction with
             ongoing census projects, allow efficient targeting of
             conservation efforts.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0175942},
   Key = {fds327249}
}

@article{fds322797,
   Author = {Xu, W and Li, X and Pimm, SL and Hull, V and Zhang, J and Zhang, L and Xiao,
             Y and Zheng, H and Ouyang, Z},
   Title = {The effectiveness of the zoning of China's protected
             areas},
   Journal = {Biological Conservation},
   Volume = {204},
   Pages = {231-236},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {December},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2016.10.028},
   Abstract = {Increasing human numbers and aspirations threaten protected
             areas worldwide. China faces especially strong pressure
             since many people live inside protected areas. It has sought
             to balance human needs and conservation goals within them by
             creating mixed zoning schemes loosely based on UNESCO's Man
             and the Biosphere Programme. These include
             strictly-protected core zones, buffer zones allowing limited
             human use, and experimental zones that examine different
             land-use options. To test the efficacy of this zoning, we
             employed field surveys and remote sensing to assess the
             penetration of agricultural and urban land into 109 national
             nature reserves in China for 2000 and 2010. Human
             disturbance was lowest in core zones and highest in
             experimental zones in both 2000 and 2010. Over this period,
             82% of the reserves were unchanged or had decreased human
             disturbance. Nonetheless, overall human disturbance
             increased by 7%, 4%, and 5% in the core, buffer and
             experimental zones respectively. Almost all the increase in
             the core zone was in four wetland reserves, where human
             actions converted large areas to agriculture. Some 58% of
             reserves experienced some human disturbance in core zones in
             2010, demonstrating a need for more effective zoning. The
             findings have broader implications for protected area
             management globally because they highlight the strengths and
             weaknesses of zoning for balancing human needs and species
             conservation.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.biocon.2016.10.028},
   Key = {fds322797}
}

@article{fds333253,
   Author = {Ocampo-Peñuela, N and Jenkins, CN and Vijay, V and Li, BV and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Incorporating explicit geospatial data shows more species at
             risk of extinction than the current Red List.},
   Journal = {Science Advances},
   Volume = {2},
   Number = {11},
   Pages = {e1601367},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {November},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1601367},
   Abstract = {The IUCN (International Union for Conservation of Nature)
             Red List classifies species according to their risk of
             extinction, informing global to local conservation
             decisions. Unfortunately, important geospatial data do not
             explicitly or efficiently enter this process. Rapid growth
             in the availability of remotely sensed observations provides
             fine-scale data on elevation and increasingly sophisticated
             characterizations of land cover and its changes. These data
             readily show that species are likely not present within many
             areas within the overall envelopes of their distributions.
             Additionally, global databases on protected areas inform how
             extensively ranges are protected. We selected 586 endemic
             and threatened forest bird species from six of the world's
             most biodiverse and threatened places (Atlantic Forest of
             Brazil, Central America, Western Andes of Colombia,
             Madagascar, Sumatra, and Southeast Asia). The Red List deems
             18% of these species to be threatened (15 critically
             endangered, 29 endangered, and 64 vulnerable). Inevitably,
             after refining ranges by elevation and forest cover, ranges
             shrink. Do they do so consistently? For example, refined
             ranges of critically endangered species might reduce by
             (say) 50% but so might the ranges of endangered, vulnerable,
             and nonthreatened species. Critically, this is not the case.
             We find that 43% of species fall below the range threshold
             where comparable species are deemed threatened. Some 210
             bird species belong in a higher-threat category than the
             current Red List placement, including 189 species that are
             currently deemed nonthreatened. Incorporating readily
             available spatial data substantially increases the numbers
             of species that should be considered at risk and alters
             priority areas for conservation.},
   Doi = {10.1126/sciadv.1601367},
   Key = {fds333253}
}

@article{fds322798,
   Author = {Donohue, I and Hillebrand, H and Montoya, JM and Petchey, OL and Pimm,
             SL and Fowler, MS and Healy, K and Jackson, AL and Lurgi, M and McClean, D and O'Connor, NE and O'Gorman, EJ and Yang, Q},
   Title = {Navigating the complexity of ecological stability.},
   Journal = {Ecology Letters},
   Volume = {19},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {1172-1185},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {September},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ele.12648},
   Abstract = {Human actions challenge nature in many ways. Ecological
             responses are ineluctably complex, demanding measures that
             describe them succinctly. Collectively, these measures
             encapsulate the overall 'stability' of the system. Many
             international bodies, including the Intergovernmental
             Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem
             Services, broadly aspire to maintain or enhance ecological
             stability. Such bodies frequently use terms pertaining to
             stability that lack clear definition. Consequently, we
             cannot measure them and so they disconnect from a large body
             of theoretical and empirical understanding. We assess the
             scientific and policy literature and show that this
             disconnect is one consequence of an inconsistent and
             one-dimensional approach that ecologists have taken to both
             disturbances and stability. This has led to confused
             communication of the nature of stability and the level of
             our insight into it. Disturbances and stability are
             multidimensional. Our understanding of them is not. We have
             a remarkably poor understanding of the impacts on stability
             of the characteristics that define many, perhaps all, of the
             most important elements of global change. We provide
             recommendations for theoreticians, empiricists and
             policymakers on how to better integrate the multidimensional
             nature of ecological stability into their research, policies
             and actions.},
   Doi = {10.1111/ele.12648},
   Key = {fds322798}
}

@article{fds322800,
   Author = {Li, BV and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {China's endemic vertebrates sheltering under the protective
             umbrella of the giant panda.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {30},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {329-339},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {April},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.12618},
   Abstract = {The giant panda attracts disproportionate conservation
             resources. How well does this emphasis protect other endemic
             species? Detailed data on geographical ranges are not
             available for plants or invertebrates, so we restrict our
             analyses to 3 vertebrate taxa: birds, mammals, and
             amphibians. There are gaps in their protection, and we
             recommend practical actions to fill them. We identified
             patterns of species richness, then identified which species
             are endemic to China, and then which, like the panda, live
             in forests. After refining each species' range by its known
             elevational range and remaining forest habitats as
             determined from remote sensing, we identified the top 5%
             richest areas as the centers of endemism. Southern
             mountains, especially the eastern Hengduan Mountains, were
             centers for all 3 taxa. Over 96% of the panda habitat
             overlapped the endemic centers. Thus, investing in almost
             any panda habitat will benefit many other endemics. Existing
             panda national nature reserves cover all but one of the
             endemic species that overlap with the panda's distribution.
             Of particular interest are 14 mammal, 20 bird, and 82
             amphibian species that are inadequately protected. Most of
             these species the International Union for Conservation of
             Nature currently deems threatened. But 7 mammal, 3 bird, and
             20 amphibian species are currently nonthreatened, yet their
             geographical ranges are <20,000 km(2) after accounting for
             elevational restriction and remaining habitats. These
             species concentrate mainly in Sichuan, Yunnan, Nan
             Mountains, and Hainan. There is a high concentration in the
             east Daxiang and Xiaoxiang Mountains of Sichuan, where
             pandas are absent and where there are no national nature
             reserves. The others concentrate in Yunnan, Nan Mountains,
             and Hainan. Here, 10 prefectures might establish new
             protected areas or upgrade local nature reserves to national
             status.},
   Doi = {10.1111/cobi.12618},
   Key = {fds322800}
}

@article{fds322801,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Conservation: Glass half full},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {531},
   Number = {7593},
   Pages = {170-171},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {March},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/531170a},
   Doi = {10.1038/531170a},
   Key = {fds322801}
}

@article{fds322799,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {[Not Available].},
   Journal = {Kyobu Geka. the Japanese Journal of Thoracic
             Surgery},
   Volume = {69},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {176-177},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {March},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/533176a},
   Doi = {10.1038/533176a},
   Key = {fds322799}
}

@article{fds322802,
   Author = {Wilson, MC and Chen, XY and Corlett, RT and Didham, RK and Ding, P and Holt, RD and Holyoak, M and Hu, G and Hughes, AC and Jiang, L and Laurance,
             WF and Liu, J and Pimm, SL and Robinson, SK and Russo, SE and Si, X and Wilcove, DS and Wu, J and Yu, M},
   Title = {Erratum to: Habitat fragmentation and biodiversity
             conservation: key findings and future challenges [Landscape
             Ecol, DOI: 10.1007/s10980-015-0312-3]},
   Journal = {Landscape Ecology},
   Volume = {31},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {229-230},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {February},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10980-015-0322-1},
   Doi = {10.1007/s10980-015-0322-1},
   Key = {fds322802}
}

@article{fds322803,
   Author = {Wilson, MC and Chen, XY and Corlett, RT and Didham, RK and Ding, P and Holt, RD and Holyoak, M and Hu, G and Hughes, AC and Jiang, L and Laurance,
             WF and Liu, J and Pimm, SL and Robinson, SK and Russo, SE and Si, X and Wilcove, DS and Wu, J and Yu, M},
   Title = {Habitat fragmentation and biodiversity conservation: key
             findings and future challenges},
   Journal = {Landscape Ecology},
   Volume = {31},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {219-227},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {February},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10980-015-0312-3},
   Doi = {10.1007/s10980-015-0312-3},
   Key = {fds322803}
}

@article{fds322808,
   Author = {Sexton, JO and Noojipady, P and Song, XP and Feng, M and Song, DX and Kim,
             DH and Anand, A and Huang, C and Channan, S and Pimm, SL and Townshend,
             JR},
   Title = {Conservation policy and the measurement of
             forests},
   Journal = {Nature Climate Change},
   Volume = {6},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {192-196},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2816},
   Abstract = {Deforestation is a major driver of climate change and the
             major driver of biodiversity loss. Yet the essential
             baseline for monitoring forest cover - the global area of
             forests - remains uncertain despite rapid technological
             advances and international consensus on conserving target
             extents of ecosystems. Previous satellite-based estimates of
             global forest area range from 32.1×10 6 km 2 to 41.4×10 6
             km 2. Here, we show that the major reason underlying this
             discrepancy is ambiguity in the term "forest". Each of the
             >800 official definitions that are capable of satellite
             measurement relies on a criterion of percentage tree cover.
             This criterion may range from >10% to >30% cover under the
             United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.
             Applying the range to the first global, high-resolution map
             of percentage tree cover reveals a discrepancy of 19.3×10 6
             km 2, some 13% of Earth's land area. The discrepancy within
             the tropics alone involves a difference of 45.2 Gt C of
             biomass, valued at US$1 trillion. To more effectively link
             science and policy to ecosystems, we must now refine forest
             monitoring, reporting and verification to focus on
             ecological measurements that are more directly relevant to
             ecosystem function, to biomass and carbon, and to climate
             and biodiversity.},
   Doi = {10.1038/nclimate2816},
   Key = {fds322808}
}

@article{fds328091,
   Author = {Vijay, V and Pimm, SL and Jenkins, CN and Smith, SJ},
   Title = {The Impacts of Oil Palm on Recent Deforestation and
             Biodiversity Loss.},
   Journal = {Plos One},
   Volume = {11},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {e0159668},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0159668},
   Abstract = {Palm oil is the most widely traded vegetable oil globally,
             with demand projected to increase substantially in the
             future. Almost all oil palm grows in areas that were once
             tropical moist forests, some of them quite recently. The
             conversion to date, and future expansion, threatens
             biodiversity and increases greenhouse gas emissions. Today,
             consumer pressure is pushing companies toward
             deforestation-free sources of palm oil. To guide
             interventions aimed at reducing tropical deforestation due
             to oil palm, we analysed recent expansions and modelled
             likely future ones. We assessed sample areas to find where
             oil palm plantations have recently replaced forests in 20
             countries, using a combination of high-resolution imagery
             from Google Earth and Landsat. We then compared these trends
             to countrywide trends in FAO data for oil palm planted area.
             Finally, we assessed which forests have high agricultural
             suitability for future oil palm development, which we refer
             to as vulnerable forests, and identified critical areas for
             biodiversity that oil palm expansion threatens. Our analysis
             reveals regional trends in deforestation associated with oil
             palm agriculture. In Southeast Asia, 45% of sampled oil palm
             plantations came from areas that were forests in 1989. For
             South America, the percentage was 31%. By contrast, in
             Mesoamerica and Africa, we observed only 2% and 7% of oil
             palm plantations coming from areas that were forest in 1989.
             The largest areas of vulnerable forest are in Africa and
             South America. Vulnerable forests in all four regions of
             production contain globally high concentrations of mammal
             and bird species at risk of extinction. However, priority
             areas for biodiversity conservation differ based on taxa and
             criteria used. Government regulation and voluntary market
             interventions can help incentivize the expansion of oil palm
             plantations in ways that protect biodiversity-rich
             ecosystems.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0159668},
   Key = {fds328091}
}

@article{fds322804,
   Author = {Riggio, J and Caro, T and Dollar, L and Durant, SM and Jacobson, AP and Kiffner, C and Pimm, SL and van Aarde, RJ},
   Title = {Lion populations may be declining in Africa but not as Bauer
             et al. suggest.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {113},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {E107-E108},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1521506113},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.1521506113},
   Key = {fds322804}
}

@article{fds322805,
   Author = {Li, BV and Hughes, AC and Jenkins, CN and Ocampo-Peñuela, N and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Remotely Sensed Data Informs Red List Evaluations and
             Conservation Priorities in Southeast Asia.},
   Journal = {Plos One},
   Volume = {11},
   Number = {8},
   Pages = {e0160566},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0160566},
   Abstract = {The IUCN Red List has assessed the global distributions of
             the majority of the world's amphibians, birds and mammals.
             Yet these assessments lack explicit reference to widely
             available, remotely-sensed data that can sensibly inform a
             species' risk of extinction. Our first goal is to add
             additional quantitative data to the existing standardised
             process that IUCN employs. Secondly, we ask: do our results
             suggest species of concern-those at considerably greater
             risk than hitherto appreciated? Thirdly, these assessments
             are not only important on a species-by-species basis. By
             combining distributions of species of concern, we map
             conservation priorities. We ask to what degree these areas
             are currently protected and how might knowledge from remote
             sensing modify the priorities? Finally, we develop a quick
             and simple method to identify and modify the priority
             setting in a landscape where natural habitats are
             disappearing rapidly and so where conventional species'
             assessments might be too slow to respond. Tropical, mainland
             Southeast Asia is under exceptional threat, yet relatively
             poorly known. Here, additional quantitative measures may be
             particularly helpful. This region contains over 122, 183,
             and 214 endemic mammals, birds, and amphibians,
             respectively, of which the IUCN considers 37, 21, and 37
             threatened. When corrected for the amount of remaining
             natural habitats within the known elevation preferences of
             species, the average sizes of species ranges shrink to <40%
             of their published ranges. Some 79 mammal, 49 bird, and 184
             amphibian ranges are <20,000km2-an area at which IUCN
             considers most other species to be threatened. Moreover,
             these species are not better protected by the existing
             network of protected areas than are species that IUCN
             accepts as threatened. Simply, there appear to be
             considerably more species at risk than hitherto appreciated.
             Furthermore, incorporating remote sensing data showing where
             habitat loss is prevalent changes the locations of
             conservation priorities.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0160566},
   Key = {fds322805}
}

@article{fds326647,
   Author = {Pimm, S and Jewell, Z and Alibhai, S},
   Title = {Protecting global diversity},
   Journal = {Issues in Science and Technology},
   Volume = {32},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {9-12},
   Year = {2016},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds326647}
}

@article{fds322806,
   Author = {Diamond, J and Pimm, SL and Sanderson, JG},
   Title = {The checkered history of checkerboard distributions:
             comment.},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Volume = {96},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {3386-3388},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {December},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/14-1848.1},
   Doi = {10.1890/14-1848.1},
   Key = {fds322806}
}

@article{fds322807,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Alibhai, S and Bergl, R and Dehgan, A and Giri, C and Jewell,
             Z and Joppa, L and Kays, R and Loarie, S},
   Title = {Emerging Technologies to Conserve Biodiversity.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {30},
   Number = {11},
   Pages = {685-696},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {November},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2015.08.008},
   Abstract = {Technologies to identify individual animals, follow their
             movements, identify and locate animal and plant species, and
             assess the status of their habitats remotely have become
             better, faster, and cheaper as threats to the survival of
             species are increasing. New technologies alone do not save
             species, and new data create new problems. For example,
             improving technologies alone cannot prevent poaching:
             solutions require providing appropriate tools to the right
             people. Habitat loss is another driver: the challenge here
             is to connect existing sophisticated remote sensing with
             species occurrence data to predict where species remain.
             Other challenges include assembling a wider public to
             crowdsource data, managing the massive quantities of data
             generated, and developing solutions to rapidly emerging
             threats.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2015.08.008},
   Key = {fds322807}
}

@article{fds279089,
   Author = {Shen, G and Pimm, SL and Feng, C and Ren, G and Liu, Y and Xu, W and Li, J and Si, X and Xie, Z},
   Title = {Climate change challenges the current conservation strategy
             for the giant panda},
   Journal = {Biological Conservation},
   Volume = {190},
   Pages = {43-50},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {October},
   ISSN = {0006-3207},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2015.05.004},
   Abstract = {The global total of protected areas to conserve biodiversity
             is increasing steadily, while numerous studies show that
             they are broadly effective. That said, how will current
             conservation strategies work, given the current and expected
             changes to the global climate? The giant panda is a
             conservation icon and exceptional efforts protect its
             remaining habitats. It provides a unique case study to
             address this question. There are many studies on the
             projected loss of habitats as climate warms, but few
             consider the geographical arrangement of future habitats,
             current protected area, and species' dispersal abilities.
             Most alarmingly, we expect much greater habitat
             fragmentation after climate change. Here, we combine
             long-term data on giant pandas with climate-change scenarios
             to predict future habitat loss and distribution in the Min
             Shan of Sichuan and Gansu, China. We employ metapopulation
             capacity as a mechanistic measure of a species' response to
             habitat fragmentation. The results show that climate changes
             will lead to 16.3. ±. 1.4 (%) losses of giant panda
             habitats. Alarmingly, 11.4% of the remaining habitat
             fragments would be smaller than the extinction threshold
             area as the extent of fragmentation increases nearly
             fourfold. The projected fragmentation of giant panda
             habitats predicts 9% lower effectiveness inside the
             protected area network compared with that outside of
             reserves. A 35% reduction will occur in future effectiveness
             of reserve networks. The results challenge the long-term
             effectiveness of protected areas in protecting the species'
             persistence. They indicate a need for integrating both
             natural processes and dynamic threats over a simple reliance
             on individual static natural reserves.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.biocon.2015.05.004},
   Key = {fds279089}
}

@article{fds279088,
   Author = {Jenkins, CN and Van Houtan and KS and Pimm, SL and Sexton,
             JO},
   Title = {Reply to Brown et al.: Species and places are the priorities
             for conservation, not economic efficiency.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {112},
   Number = {32},
   Pages = {E4343},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {August},
   ISSN = {0027-8424},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1511375112},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.1511375112},
   Key = {fds279088}
}

@article{fds279090,
   Author = {Jenkins, CN and Van Houtan and KS and Pimm, SL and Sexton,
             JO},
   Title = {US protected lands mismatch biodiversity
             priorities.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {112},
   Number = {16},
   Pages = {5081-5086},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0027-8424},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1418034112},
   Abstract = {Because habitat loss is the main cause of extinction, where
             and how much society chooses to protect is vital for saving
             species. The United States is well positioned economically
             and politically to pursue habitat conservation should it be
             a societal goal. We assessed the US protected area portfolio
             with respect to biodiversity in the country. New synthesis
             maps for terrestrial vertebrates, freshwater fish, and trees
             permit comparison with protected areas to identify
             priorities for future conservation investment. Although the
             total area protected is substantial, its geographic
             configuration is nearly the opposite of patterns of endemism
             within the country. Most protected lands are in the West,
             whereas the vulnerable species are largely in the Southeast.
             Private land protections are significant, but they are not
             concentrated where the priorities are. To adequately protect
             the nation's unique biodiversity, we recommend specific
             areas deserving additional protection, some of them
             including public lands, but many others requiring private
             investment.},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.1418034112},
   Key = {fds279090}
}

@article{fds279097,
   Author = {De Vos and JM and Joppa, LN and Gittleman, JL and Stephens, PR and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Estimating the normal background rate of species
             extinction.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {29},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {452-462},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.12380},
   Abstract = {A key measure of humanity's global impact is by how much it
             has increased species extinction rates. Familiar statements
             are that these are 100-1000 times pre-human or background
             extinction levels. Estimating recent rates is
             straightforward, but establishing a background rate for
             comparison is not. Previous researchers chose an approximate
             benchmark of 1 extinction per million species per year
             (E/MSY). We explored disparate lines of evidence that
             suggest a substantially lower estimate. Fossil data yield
             direct estimates of extinction rates, but they are
             temporally coarse, mostly limited to marine hard-bodied
             taxa, and generally involve genera not species. Based on
             these data, typical background loss is 0.01 genera per
             million genera per year. Molecular phylogenies are available
             for more taxa and ecosystems, but it is debated whether they
             can be used to estimate separately speciation and extinction
             rates. We selected data to address known concerns and used
             them to determine median extinction estimates from
             statistical distributions of probable values for terrestrial
             plants and animals. We then created simulations to explore
             effects of violating model assumptions. Finally, we compiled
             estimates of diversification-the difference between
             speciation and extinction rates for different taxa. Median
             estimates of extinction rates ranged from 0.023 to 0.135
             E/MSY. Simulation results suggested over- and
             under-estimation of extinction from individual phylogenies
             partially canceled each other out when large sets of
             phylogenies were analyzed. There was no evidence for recent
             and widespread pre-human overall declines in diversity. This
             implies that average extinction rates are less than average
             diversification rates. Median diversification rates were
             0.05-0.2 new species per million species per year. On the
             basis of these results, we concluded that typical rates of
             background extinction may be closer to 0.1 E/MSY. Thus,
             current extinction rates are 1,000 times higher than natural
             background rates of extinction and future rates are likely
             to be 10,000 times higher.},
   Doi = {10.1111/cobi.12380},
   Key = {fds279097}
}

@article{fds279092,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Joppa, LN},
   Title = {How many plant species are there, where are they, and at
             what rate are they going extinct?},
   Journal = {Annals of the Missouri Botanical Garden},
   Volume = {100},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {170-176},
   Publisher = {Missouri Botanical Garden Press},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {March},
   ISSN = {0026-6493},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3417/2012018},
   Abstract = {How many flowering plant species are there? Where are they?
             How many are going extinct, and how fast are they doing so?
             Interesting in themselves, these are questions at the heart
             of modern conservation biology. Determining the answers will
             dictate where and how successfully conservation efforts will
             be allocated. Plants form a large taxonomic sample of
             biodiversity. They are important in themselves and directly
             determine the diversity of many other taxonomic groups.
             Inspired by conversations with Peter Raven, we set out to
             provide quantitative answers to these questions. We argue
             that there are 450,000 species, two thirds of which live in
             the tropics, a third of all species are at risk of
             extinction, and they are going extinct 1000 to 10,000 times
             the background rate. In obtaining these results, we point to
             the critical role of dedicated taxonomic effort and
             biodiversity monitoring. We will only get a good answer to
             the age-old question of "how many species are there?" when
             we understand the population biology and social behavior of
             taxonomists. That most missing species will be found in
             biodiversity hotspots reaffirms their place as the foci of
             extinction for decades to come. Important, but not yet
             addressed, are future studies of how long plant species take
             to become extinct in habitat fragments. These will deliver
             not only better estimates of extinction rates, but also the
             critical timeframe of how quickly one needs to act to
             prevent extinctions.},
   Doi = {10.3417/2012018},
   Key = {fds279092}
}

@article{fds279086,
   Author = {Wells, J and Schindler, D and Pimm, S and Courtois, V and Smith, K and Schaefer, J and Jacobs, J and Raven, P},
   Title = {Domestic Policy Focus Highly Important For Protecting
             Primary Forests},
   Journal = {Conservation Letters},
   Volume = {8},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {148-149},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {March},
   ISSN = {1755-263X},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/conl.12165},
   Doi = {10.1111/conl.12165},
   Key = {fds279086}
}

@article{fds279094,
   Author = {Lees, AC and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Species, extinct before we know them?},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {25},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {R177-R180},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {March},
   ISSN = {0960-9822},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2014.12.017},
   Abstract = {Species are going extinct rapidly, while taxonomic
             catalogues are still incomplete for even the best-known
             taxa. Intensive fieldwork is finding species so rare and
             threatened that some become extinct within years of
             discovery. Recent bird extinctions in Brazil's coastal
             forests suggest that some species may have gone extinct
             before we knew of their existence.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2014.12.017},
   Key = {fds279094}
}

@article{fds279085,
   Author = {Lees, AC and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Erratum: Species, extinct before we know them? (Current
             Boilogy (2015) 25 (R177-R180))},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {25},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {969},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0960-9822},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2015.03.001},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2015.03.001},
   Key = {fds279085}
}

@article{fds279093,
   Author = {Vale, CG and Pimm, SL and Brito, JC},
   Title = {Overlooked mountain rock pools in deserts are critical local
             hotspots of biodiversity.},
   Journal = {Plos One},
   Volume = {10},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {e0118367},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0118367},
   Abstract = {<h4>Background</h4>The world is undergoing exceptional
             biodiversity loss. Most conservation efforts target
             biodiversity hotspots at large scales. Such approach
             overlooks small-sized local hotspots, which may be rich in
             endemic and highly threatened species. We explore the
             importance of mountain rock pools (gueltas) as local
             biodiversity hotspots in the Sahara-Sahel. Specifically, we
             considered how many vertebrates (total and endemics) use
             gueltas, what factors predict species richness, and which
             gueltas are of most priority for conservation. We expected
             to provide management recommendations, improve local
             biodiversity conservation, and simultaneously contribute
             with a framework for future enhancement of local
             communities' economy. The identification of local hotspots
             of biodiversity is important for revaluating global
             conservation priorities.<h4>Methodology/principal
             findings</h4>We quantified the number of vertebrate species
             from each taxonomic group and endemics present in 69 gueltas
             in Mauritania, then compared these with species present in a
             surrounding area and recorded in the country. We evaluated
             the predictors of species number's present in each guelta
             through a multiple regression model. We ranked gueltas by
             their priority for conservation taking into account the
             percentage of endemics and threats to each guelta. Within a
             mere aggregate extent of 43 ha, gueltas hold about 32% and
             78% of the total taxa analysed and endemics of Mauritania,
             respectively. The number of species present in each guelta
             increased with the primary productivity and area of gueltas
             and occurrence of permanent water. Droughts and human
             activities threaten gueltas, while 64% of them are currently
             unprotected.<h4>Conclusion/significance</h4>Gueltas are
             crucial for local biodiversity conservation and human
             activities. They require urgent management plans in
             Mauritania's mountains. They could provide refugia under
             climate change being important for long-term conservation of
             Sahara-Sahel biodiversity. Given their disproportional
             importance in relation to their size, they are local
             hotspots of biodiversity deserving global
             attention.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0118367},
   Key = {fds279093}
}

@article{fds279095,
   Author = {Ocampo-Peñuela, N and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Bird conservation would complement landslide prevention in
             the Central Andes of Colombia.},
   Journal = {Peerj},
   Volume = {3},
   Pages = {e779},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj.779},
   Abstract = {Conservation and restoration priorities often focus on
             separate ecosystem problems. Inspired by the November 11th
             (2011) landslide event near Manizales, and the current poor
             results of Colombia's Article 111 of Law 99 of 1993 as a
             conservation measure in this country, we set out to
             prioritize conservation and restoration areas where
             landslide prevention would complement bird conservation in
             the Central Andes. This area is one of the most biodiverse
             places on Earth, but also one of the most threatened. Using
             the case of the Rio Blanco Reserve, near Manizales, we
             identified areas for conservation where endemic and
             small-range bird diversity was high, and where landslide
             risk was also high. We further prioritized restoration areas
             by overlapping these conservation priorities with a forest
             cover map. Restoring forests in bare areas of high landslide
             risk and important bird diversity yields benefits for both
             biodiversity and people. We developed a simple landslide
             susceptibility model using slope, forest cover, aspect, and
             stream proximity. Using publicly available bird range maps,
             refined by elevation, we mapped concentrations of endemic
             and small-range bird species. We identified 1.54 km(2) of
             potential restoration areas in the Rio Blanco Reserve, and
             886 km(2) in the Central Andes region. By prioritizing these
             areas, we facilitate the application of Article 111 which
             requires local and regional governments to invest in land
             purchases for the conservation of watersheds.},
   Doi = {10.7717/peerj.779},
   Key = {fds279095}
}

@article{fds322809,
   Author = {Ocampo-Peñuela, N and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Elevational Ranges of Montane Birds and Deforestation in the
             Western Andes of Colombia.},
   Journal = {Plos One},
   Volume = {10},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {e0143311},
   Year = {2015},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0143311},
   Abstract = {Deforestation causes habitat loss, fragmentation,
             degradation, and can ultimately cause extinction of the
             remnant species. Tropical montane birds face these threats
             with the added natural vulnerability of narrower elevational
             ranges and higher specialization than lowland species.
             Recent studies assess the impact of present and future
             global climate change on species' ranges, but only a few of
             these evaluate the potentially confounding effect of lowland
             deforestation on species elevational distributions. In the
             Western Andes of Colombia, an important biodiversity
             hotspot, we evaluated the effects of deforestation on the
             elevational ranges of montane birds along altitudinal
             transects. Using point counts and mist-nets, we surveyed six
             altitudinal transects spanning 2200 to 2800 m. Three
             transects were forested from 2200 to 2800 m, and three were
             partially deforested with forest cover only above 2400 m. We
             compared abundance-weighted mean elevation, minimum
             elevation, and elevational range width. In addition to
             analysing the effect of deforestation on 134 species, we
             tested its impact within trophic guilds and habitat
             preference groups. Abundance-weighted mean and minimum
             elevations were not significantly different between forested
             and partially deforested transects. Range width was
             marginally different: as expected, ranges were larger in
             forested transects. Species in different trophic guilds and
             habitat preference categories showed different trends. These
             results suggest that deforestation may affect species'
             elevational ranges, even within the forest that remains.
             Climate change will likely exacerbate harmful impacts of
             deforestation on species' elevational distributions. Future
             conservation strategies need to account for this by
             protecting connected forest tracts across a wide range of
             elevations.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0143311},
   Key = {fds322809}
}

@article{fds279087,
   Author = {Si, X and Pimm, SL and Russell, GJ and Ding, P},
   Title = {Turnover of breeding bird communities on islands in an
             inundated lake},
   Journal = {Journal of Biogeography},
   Volume = {41},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {2283-2292},
   Year = {2014},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0305-0270},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jbi.12379},
   Abstract = {Aim: MacArthur and Wilson's theory of island biogeography
             proposes that the rate at which species colonize an island
             depends on the island's isolation (distance effect), whereas
             the local extinction rate depends on its area (area effect).
             Alternative hypotheses recognize that area can affect the
             colonization rate (target effect) and that isolation can
             affect the extinction rate (rescue effect) and, moreover,
             that these relationships may dominate. We quantify these
             relationships and associated turnover rates and incidence
             using long-term counts of breeding bird communities on
             islands in an inundated lake. Location: Thousand Island
             Lake, China. Methods: We assessed the occupancy and
             behaviour of breeding birds on 37 islands from 2007 to 2012.
             We estimated the effects of area, isolation and other
             biogeographical parameters on the frequencies of
             colonization and extinction events using multivariate
             logistic regression. We then extended these results to
             derived properties such as species turnover rates and
             incidence. Results: Extinction rates decreased and
             colonization rates increased on larger islands. Isolation
             had no significant effect on colonization or extinction
             rates. Islands had high species turnover overall, and
             turnover rates followed the same pattern as extinction rates
             with different areas and isolations. Pool turnover, which
             controls for the number of species in the pool, was higher
             on large islands. Species richness also increased with area.
             Our study of bird communities supported area and target
             effects, but not distance and rescue effects. Main
             conclusions: Island area was a better predictor of
             colonization and extinction than isolation, probably because
             of the relatively small scale (c. 580km2) and homogeneous
             vegetation structure of our research system, and the strong
             dispersal ability of birds. We conclude that the differences
             between our observations and theoretical predictions, or
             results from other studies that measured colonization and
             extinction directly, are consistent with the particular
             biogeography of these islands.},
   Doi = {10.1111/jbi.12379},
   Key = {fds279087}
}

@article{fds279100,
   Author = {Ocampo-Peñuela, N and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Setting practical conservation priorities for birds in the
             Western Andes of Colombia.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {28},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {1260-1270},
   Year = {2014},
   Month = {October},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.12312},
   Abstract = {We aspired to set conservation priorities in ways that lead
             to direct conservation actions. Very large-scale strategic
             mapping leads to familiar conservation priorities
             exemplified by biodiversity hotspots. In contrast, tactical
             conservation actions unfold on much smaller geographical
             extents and they need to reflect the habitat loss and
             fragmentation that have sharply restricted where species now
             live. Our aspirations for direct, practical actions were
             demanding. First, we identified the global, strategic
             conservation priorities and then downscaled to practical
             local actions within the selected priorities. In doing this,
             we recognized the limitations of incomplete information. We
             started such a process in Colombia and used the results
             presented here to implement reforestation of degraded land
             to prevent the isolation of a large area of cloud forest. We
             used existing range maps of 171 bird species to identify
             priority conservation areas that would conserve the greatest
             number of species at risk in Colombia. By at risk species,
             we mean those that are endemic and have small ranges. The
             Western Andes had the highest concentrations of such
             species-100 in total-but the lowest densities of national
             parks. We then adjusted the priorities for this region by
             refining these species ranges by selecting only areas of
             suitable elevation and remaining habitat. The estimated
             ranges of these species shrank by 18-100% after accounting
             for habitat and suitable elevation. Setting conservation
             priorities on the basis of currently available range maps
             excluded priority areas in the Western Andes and, by
             extension, likely elsewhere and for other taxa. By
             incorporating detailed maps of remaining natural habitats,
             we made practical recommendations for conservation actions.
             One recommendation was to restore forest connections to a
             patch of cloud forest about to become isolated from the main
             Andes.},
   Doi = {10.1111/cobi.12312},
   Key = {fds279100}
}

@article{fds279101,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Jenkins, CN and Abell, R and Brooks, TM and Gittleman, JL and Joppa, LN and Raven, PH and Roberts, CM and Sexton,
             JO},
   Title = {The biodiversity of species and their rates of extinction,
             distribution, and protection.},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {344},
   Number = {6187},
   Pages = {1246752},
   Year = {2014},
   Month = {May},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1246752},
   Abstract = {Recent studies clarify where the most vulnerable species
             live, where and how humanity changes the planet, and how
             this drives extinctions. We assess key statistics about
             species, their distribution, and their status. Most are
             undescribed. Those we know best have large geographical
             ranges and are often common within them. Most known species
             have small ranges. The numbers of small-ranged species are
             increasing quickly, even in well-known taxa. They are
             geographically concentrated and are disproportionately
             likely to be threatened or already extinct. Current rates of
             extinction are about 1000 times the likely background rate
             of extinction. Future rates depend on many factors and are
             poised to increase. Although there has been rapid progress
             in developing protected areas, such efforts are not
             ecologically representative, nor do they optimally protect
             biodiversity.},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.1246752},
   Key = {fds279101}
}

@article{fds279098,
   Author = {Mashintonio, AF and Pimm, SL and Harris, GM and van Aarde, RJ and Russell, GJ},
   Title = {Data-driven discovery of the spatial scales of habitat
             choice by elephants.},
   Journal = {Peerj},
   Volume = {2},
   Pages = {e504},
   Year = {2014},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj.504},
   Abstract = {Setting conservation goals and management objectives relies
             on understanding animal habitat preferences. Models that
             predict preferences combine location data from tracked
             animals with environmental information, usually at a spatial
             resolution determined by the available data. This resolution
             may be biologically irrelevant for the species in question.
             Individuals likely integrate environmental characteristics
             over varying distances when evaluating their surroundings;
             we call this the scale of selection. Even a single
             characteristic might be viewed differently at different
             scales; for example, a preference for sheltering under trees
             does not necessarily imply a fondness for continuous forest.
             Multi-scale preference is likely to be particularly evident
             for animals that occupy coarsely heterogeneous landscapes
             like savannahs. We designed a method to identify scales at
             which species respond to resources and used these scales to
             build preference models. We represented different scales of
             selection by locally averaging, or smoothing, the
             environmental data using kernels of increasing radii. First,
             we examined each environmental variable separately across a
             spectrum of selection scales and found peaks of fit. These
             'candidate' scales then determined the environmental data
             layers entering a multivariable conditional logistic model.
             We used model selection via AIC to determine the important
             predictors out of this set. We demonstrate this method using
             savannah elephants (Loxodonta africana) inhabiting two parks
             in southern Africa. The multi-scale models were more
             parsimonious than models using environmental data at only
             the source resolution. Maps describing habitat preferences
             also improved when multiple scales were included, as
             elephants were more often in places predicted to have high
             neighborhood quality. We conclude that elephants select
             habitat based on environmental qualities at multiple scales.
             For them, and likely many other species, biologists should
             include multiple scales in models of habitat selection.
             Species environmental preferences and their geospatial
             projections will be more accurately represented, improving
             management decisions and conservation planning.},
   Doi = {10.7717/peerj.504},
   Key = {fds279098}
}

@article{pimm2013conservation,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Brooks, T},
   Title = {Conservation: forest fragments, facts, and
             fallacies.},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {23},
   Number = {24},
   Pages = {R1098-R1101},
   Publisher = {Cell Press},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {December},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24355786},
   Abstract = {Most of the world's remaining habitats are split into small
             fragments that lose species quickly. Knowledge of this fact
             can guide practical actions to prevent extinctions.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2013.10.024},
   Key = {pimm2013conservation}
}

@article{pimm2013ornithology,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Ornithology: World wide wings},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {503},
   Number = {7475},
   Pages = {197},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/503197a},
   Doi = {10.1038/503197a},
   Key = {pimm2013ornithology}
}

@article{pimm2013biology,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Biology: The love of pit vipers},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {502},
   Number = {7472},
   Pages = {442-443},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/502442a},
   Doi = {10.1038/502442a},
   Key = {pimm2013biology}
}

@article{creel2013conserving,
   Author = {Creel, S and Becker, MS and Durant, SM and M'Soka, J and Matandiko, W and Dickman, AJ and Christianson, D and Dröge, E and Mweetwa, T and Pettorelli, N and Rosenblatt, E and Schuette, P and Woodroffe, R and Bashir, S and Beudels-Jamar, RC and Blake, S and Borner, M and Breitenmoser, C and Broekhuis, F and Cozzi, G and Davenport, TRB and Deutsch, J and Dollar, L and Dolrenry, S and Douglas-Hamilton, I and Fitzherbert, E and Foley, C and Hazzah, L and Henschel, P and Hilborn,
             R and Hopcraft, JGC and Ikanda, D and Jacobson, A and Joubert, B and Joubert, D and Kelly, MS and Lichtenfeld, L and Mace, GM and Milanzi, J and Mitchell, N and Msuha, M and Muir, R and Nyahongo, J and Pimm, S and Purchase, G and Schenck, C and Sillero-Zubiri, C and Sinclair, ARE and Songorwa, AN and Stanley-Price, M and Tehou, CA and Trout, C and Wall,
             J and Wittemyer, G and Zimmermann, A},
   Title = {Conserving large populations of lions - the argument for
             fences has holes.},
   Journal = {Ecology Letters},
   Volume = {16},
   Number = {11},
   Pages = {1413-e3},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {1461-023X},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ele.12145},
   Abstract = {Packer et al. reported that fenced lion populations attain
             densities closer to carrying capacity than unfenced
             populations. However, fenced populations are often
             maintained above carrying capacity, and most are small. Many
             more lions are conserved per dollar invested in unfenced
             ecosystems, which avoid the ecological and economic costs of
             fencing.},
   Doi = {10.1111/ele.12145},
   Key = {creel2013conserving}
}

@article{joppa2013achieving,
   Author = {Joppa, LN and Visconti, P and Jenkins, CN and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Achieving the convention on biological diversity's goals for
             plant conservation.},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {341},
   Number = {6150},
   Pages = {1100-1103},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of
             Scienc},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000323933100041&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {Identifying which areas capture how many species is the
             first question in conservation planning. The Convention on
             Biological Diversity (CBD) aspires to formal protection of
             at least 17% of the terrestrial world and, through the
             Global Strategy for Plant Conservation, 60% of plant
             species. Are these targets of protecting area and species
             compatible? We show that 67% of plant species live entirely
             within regions that comprise 17% of the land surface.
             Moreover, these regions include most terrestrial vertebrates
             with small geographical ranges. However, the connections
             between the CBD targets of protecting area and species are
             complex. Achieving both targets will be difficult because
             regions with the most plant species have only slightly more
             land protected than do those with fewer.},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.1241706},
   Key = {joppa2013achieving}
}

@article{jenkins2013global,
   Author = {Jenkins, CN and Pimm, SL and Joppa, LN},
   Title = {Global patterns of terrestrial vertebrate diversity and
             conservation.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {110},
   Number = {28},
   Pages = {E2602-E2610},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {July},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23803854},
   Abstract = {Identifying priority areas for biodiversity is essential for
             directing conservation resources. Fundamentally, we must
             know where individual species live, which ones are
             vulnerable, where human actions threaten them, and their
             levels of protection. As conservation knowledge and threats
             change, we must reevaluate priorities. We mapped priority
             areas for vertebrates using newly updated data on >21,000
             species of mammals, amphibians, and birds. For each taxon,
             we identified centers of richness for all species,
             small-ranged species, and threatened species listed with the
             International Union for the Conservation of Nature.
             Importantly, all analyses were at a spatial grain of 10 ×
             10 km, 100 times finer than previous assessments. This fine
             scale is a significant methodological improvement, because
             it brings mapping to scales comparable with regional
             decisions on where to place protected areas. We also mapped
             recent species discoveries, because they suggest where
             as-yet-unknown species might be living. To assess the
             protection of the priority areas, we calculated the
             percentage of priority areas within protected areas using
             the latest data from the World Database of Protected Areas,
             providing a snapshot of how well the planet's protected area
             system encompasses vertebrate biodiversity. Although the
             priority areas do have more protection than the global
             average, the level of protection still is insufficient given
             the importance of these areas for preventing vertebrate
             extinctions. We also found substantial differences between
             our identified vertebrate priorities and the leading map of
             global conservation priorities, the biodiversity hotspots.
             Our findings suggest a need to reassess the global
             allocation of conservation resources to reflect today's
             improved knowledge of biodiversity and conservation.},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.1302251110},
   Key = {jenkins2013global}
}

@article{schnell2013estimating,
   Author = {Schnell, JK and Harris, GM and Pimm, SL and Russell,
             GJ},
   Title = {Estimating extinction risk with metapopulation models of
             large-scale fragmentation.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {27},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {520-530},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {June},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23551595},
   Abstract = {Habitat loss is the principal threat to species. How much
             habitat remains-and how quickly it is shrinking-are
             implicitly included in the way the International Union for
             Conservation of Nature determines a species' risk of
             extinction. Many endangered species have habitats that are
             also fragmented to different extents. Thus, ideally,
             fragmentation should be quantified in a standard way in risk
             assessments. Although mapping fragmentation from satellite
             imagery is easy, efficient techniques for relating maps of
             remaining habitat to extinction risk are few. Purely spatial
             metrics from landscape ecology are hard to interpret and do
             not address extinction directly. Spatially explicit
             metapopulation models link fragmentation to extinction risk,
             but standard models work only at small scales.
             Counterintuitively, these models predict that a species in a
             large, contiguous habitat will fare worse than one in 2 tiny
             patches. This occurs because although the species in the
             large, contiguous habitat has a low probability of
             extinction, recolonization cannot occur if there are no
             other patches to provide colonists for a rescue effect. For
             4 ecologically comparable bird species of the North Central
             American highland forests, we devised metapopulation models
             with area-weighted self-colonization terms; this reflected
             repopulation of a patch from a remnant of individuals that
             survived an adverse event. Use of this term gives extra
             weight to a patch in its own rescue effect. Species assigned
             least risk status were comparable in long-term extinction
             risk with those ranked as threatened. This finding suggests
             that fragmentation has had a substantial negative effect on
             them that is not accounted for in their Red List
             category.},
   Doi = {10.1111/cobi.12047},
   Key = {schnell2013estimating}
}

@article{pimm2013conservation,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Conservation: The commonness of rarity},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {493},
   Number = {7432},
   Pages = {300-301},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/493300a},
   Doi = {10.1038/493300a},
   Key = {pimm2013conservation}
}

@article{schnell2013quantitative,
   Author = {Schnell, JK and Harris, GM and Pimm, SL and Russell,
             GJ},
   Title = {Quantitative analysis of forest fragmentation in the
             atlantic forest reveals more threatened bird species than
             the current red list.},
   Journal = {Plos One},
   Volume = {8},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {e65357},
   Publisher = {Public Library of Science},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23734248},
   Abstract = {Habitat loss and attendant fragmentation threaten the
             existence of many species. Conserving these species requires
             a straightforward and objective method that quantifies how
             these factors affect their survival. Therefore, we compared
             a variety of metrics that assess habitat fragmentation in
             bird ranges, using the geographical ranges of 127 forest
             endemic passerine birds inhabiting the Atlantic Forest of
             Brazil. A common, non-biological metric - cumulative area of
             size-ranked fragments within a species range - was
             misleading, as the least threatened species had the most
             habitat fragmentation. Instead, we recommend a modified
             version of metapopulation capacity. The metric links
             detailed spatial information on fragment sizes and spatial
             configuration to the birds' abilities to occupy and disperse
             across large areas (100,000+ km(2)). In the Atlantic Forest,
             metapopulation capacities were largely bimodal, in that most
             species' ranges had either low capacity (high risk of
             extinction) or high capacity (very small risk of
             extinction). This pattern persisted within taxonomically and
             ecologically homogenous groups, indicating that it is driven
             by fragmentation patterns and not differences in species
             ecology. Worryingly, we found IUCN considers some 28 of 58
             species in the low metapopulation capacity cluster to not be
             threatened. We propose that assessing the effect of
             fragmentation will separate species more clearly into
             distinct risk categories than does a simple assessment of
             remaining habitat.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0065357},
   Key = {schnell2013quantitative}
}

@article{riggio2013size,
   Author = {Riggio, J and Jacobson, A and Dollar, L and Bauer, H and Becker, M and Dickman, A and Funston, P and Groom, R and Henschel, P and de Iongh, H and Lichtenfeld, L and Pimm, S},
   Title = {The size of savannah Africa: A lion's (Panthera leo)
             view},
   Journal = {Biodiversity and Conservation},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {17-35},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2013},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0960-3115},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10531-012-0381-4},
   Abstract = {We define African savannahs as being those areas that
             receive between 300 and 1,500 mm of rain annually. This
             broad definition encompasses a variety of habitats. Thus
             defined, savannahs comprise 13.5 million km2 and encompass
             most of the present range of the African lion (Panthera
             leo). Dense human populations and extensive conversion of
             land to human use preclude use by lions. Using
             high-resolution satellite imagery and human population
             density data we define lion areas, places that likely have
             resident lion populations. In 1960, 11.9 million km2 of
             these savannahs had fewer than 25 people per km2. The
             comparable area shrank to 9.7 million km2 by 2000. Areas of
             savannah Africa with few people have shrunk considerably in
             the last 50 years and human population projections suggest
             they will likely shrink significantly in the next 40. The
             current extent of free-ranging lion populations is 3.4
             million km2 or about 25 % of savannah area. Habitats across
             this area are fragmented; all available data indicate that
             between 32,000 and 35,000 free-ranging lions live in 67 lion
             areas. Although these numbers are similar to previous
             estimates, they are geographically more comprehensive. There
             is abundant evidence of widespread declines and local
             extinctions. Under the criteria we outline, ten lion areas
             qualify as lion strongholds: four in East Africa and six in
             Southern Africa. Approximately 24,000 lions are in
             strongholds, with an additional 4,000 in potential ones.
             However, over 6,000 lions are in populations of doubtful
             long-term viability. Lion populations in West and Central
             Africa are acutely threatened with many recent, local
             extinctions even in nominally protected areas. © 2012 The
             Author(s).},
   Doi = {10.1007/s10531-012-0381-4},
   Key = {riggio2013size}
}

@article{badiou2013conserving,
   Author = {Badiou, Pascal and Baldwin, Robert and Carlson, Matt and Darveau, Marcel and Drapeau, Pierre and Gaston, Kevin and Jacobs, John and Kerr, Jeremy and Levin, Simon and Manseau,
             Micheline and others},
   Title = {Conserving the World’s Last Great Forest Is Possible:
             Here’s How},
   Year = {2013},
   Key = {badiou2013conserving}
}

@misc{pimm2013tracks,
   Author = {Pimm, Stuart},
   Title = {Tracks and Shadows: Field Biology as Art},
   Publisher = {NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP MACMILLAN BUILDING, 4 CRINAN ST,
             LONDON N1 9XW, ENGLAND},
   Year = {2013},
   Key = {pimm2013tracks}
}

@article{katz2013summer,
   Author = {Katz, David and Bell, Jim and Mulder, Monique Borgerhoff and Mody, Cyrus CM and Nicholls, Henry and Harman, Oren and Davis, Mike and Alonzo, Suzanne and Pimm, Stuart and Juma,
             Calestous and others},
   Title = {Summer books},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {499},
   Number = {7457},
   Pages = {150--153},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {2013},
   Key = {katz2013summer}
}

@article{badiou2013preservation,
   Author = {Badiou, Pascal and Baldwin, Robert and Carlson, Matt and Darveau, Marcel and Drapeau, Pierre and Gaston, Kevin and Jacobs, John and Kerr, Jeremy and Levin, Simon and Manseau,
             Micheline and others},
   Title = {Pr{\'e}servation de la derni{\`e}re grande for{\^e}t de la
             Terre: mode d’emploi},
   Year = {2013},
   Key = {badiou2013preservation}
}

@article{pimm2013careers,
   Author = {Pimm, Stuart},
   Title = {Careers: A guide to the life scientific},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {496},
   Number = {7445},
   Pages = {297--297},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {2013},
   Key = {pimm2013careers}
}

@article{pimm2013book,
   Author = {Pimm, Stuart},
   Title = {The Book of Barely Imagined Beings: A 21st Century
             Bestiary},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {499},
   Number = {7457},
   Pages = {152--152},
   Publisher = {Macmillan Publishers Ltd., London, England},
   Year = {2013},
   Key = {pimm2013book}
}

@article{fds279130,
   Author = {Scheffers, BR and Joppa, LN and Pimm, SL and Laurance,
             WF},
   Title = {Erratum to: "What we know and don't know about Earth's
             missing biodiversity". [Trends in Ecology & Evolution 27
             (2012) 501-510]},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {27},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {712-713},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2012.09.006},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2012.09.006},
   Key = {fds279130}
}

@article{fds279143,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Biodiversity: not just lots of fish in the
             sea.},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {23},
   Pages = {R996-R997},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {December},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23218014},
   Abstract = {'How many species are there?' is a basic question about
             life. From Acoela worms to Zoantharia corals, oceans are
             taxonomically more divergent than land. Answering the
             question requires many experts.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2012.09.028},
   Key = {fds279143}
}

@article{fds304944,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Conservation: Backyard jungles},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {491},
   Number = {7423},
   Pages = {188-189},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/491188a},
   Doi = {10.1038/491188a},
   Key = {fds304944}
}

@article{ISI:000310774300016,
   Author = {Pimm Stuart},
   Title = {Nature Wars: The Incredible Story of How Wildlife Comebacks
             Turned Backyards into Battlegrounds},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {491},
   Number = {7423},
   Pages = {188-189},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/491188a},
   Doi = {10.1038/491188a},
   Key = {ISI:000310774300016}
}

@article{ISI:000308268300007,
   Author = {Scheffers, BR and Joppa, LN and Pimm, SL and Laurance,
             WF},
   Title = {What we know and don't know about Earth's missing
             biodiversity.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {27},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {501-510},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22784409},
   Abstract = {Estimates of non-microbial diversity on Earth range from 2
             million to over 50 million species, with great uncertainties
             in numbers of insects, fungi, nematodes, and deep-sea
             organisms. We summarize estimates for major taxa, the
             methods used to obtain them, and prospects for further
             discoveries. Major challenges include frequent synonymy, the
             difficulty of discriminating certain species by morphology
             alone, and the fact that many undiscovered species are
             small, difficult to find, or have small geographic ranges.
             Cryptic species could be numerous in some taxa. Novel
             techniques, such as DNA barcoding, new databases, and
             crowd-sourcing, could greatly accelerate the rate of species
             discovery. Such advances are timely. Most missing species
             probably live in biodiversity hotspots, where habitat
             destruction is rife, and so current estimates of extinction
             rates from known species are too low.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2012.05.008},
   Key = {ISI:000308268300007}
}

@article{ISI:000306584000013,
   Author = {Noah Greenwald and DN and Suckling, KF and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Critical habitat and the role of peer review in government
             decisions},
   Journal = {Bioscience},
   Volume = {62},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {686-690},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {0006-3568},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1525/bio.2012.62.7.11},
   Abstract = {With few exceptions, the US Endangered Species Act requires
             the designation of "critical habitat" for threatened and
             endangered species. This provides important protections,
             including a prohibition against adverse modification of
             designated habitat by federal agencies. Scientists with the
             US Fish and Wildlife Service develop critical habitat
             designations, which are then peer reviewed before being
             finalized by the secretary of the interior. We reviewed 169
             peer reviews of 42 designations for 336 species finalized
             between 2002 and 2007 and determined whether there were
             changes in the area designated and whether those changes
             reflected the reviewers' advice. Thirty-four (81 %) of the
             42 designations were reduced by an average of 43%.
             Eighty-five of the reviews recommended adding areas, and 19
             recommended subtracting areas. Areas were added in response
             to only four reviews and subtracted in response to only
             nine. These results highlight the limitations of peer review
             of government decisions, which lack an arbiter to ensure
             that reviews are adequately considered. © 2012 2012 by
             American Institute of Biological Sciences. All rights
             reserved.},
   Doi = {10.1525/bio.2012.62.7.11},
   Key = {ISI:000306584000013}
}

@article{joppa2011taxonomy,
   Author = {Joppa, LN and Roberts, DL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Taxonomy that matters: Response to Bacher},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {27},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {66},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2011.11.015},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2011.11.015},
   Key = {joppa2011taxonomy}
}

@article{fds279141,
   Author = {Riggio, and J, and Jacobson, A and Dollar, L and Bauer, H and Becker, M and Dickman, A and Funston, P and Groom, R and Henschel, P and Iongh, HD and Lichtenfeld, L and author, SLPC},
   Title = {The size of savannah Africa: a lion’s view},
   Journal = {Biodiversity and Conservation},
   Volume = {22},
   Pages = {17-35},
   Year = {2012},
   url = {http://10.0.3.239/s10531-012-0381-4},
   Key = {fds279141}
}

@article{fds279128,
   Author = {Sanderson, JG and Diamond, J and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Response to Collins et al. (2011)},
   Journal = {Journal of Biogeography},
   Volume = {38},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {2397-2397},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0305-0270},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02575.x},
   Abstract = {We note serious problems in Collins et al. (Journal of
             Biogeography, 2011, doi: ): failure to use over 80% of the
             available data; failure to use one of the two available
             archipelagoes; mistaken inclusion of four species; and
             reliance on a grossly inadequate number of null matrices.
             Curing the paper of these problems would have strengthened
             the evidence for checkerboards and the role of competition.
             © 2011 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02575.x},
   Key = {fds279128}
}

@article{jenkins2011conservation,
   Author = {Jenkins, CN and Pimm, SL and Alves, MADS},
   Title = {How conservation GIS leads to Rio de Janeiro,
             Brazil},
   Journal = {Natureza & Conservação},
   Volume = {9},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {152-159},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {1679-0073},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4322/natcon.2011.021},
   Abstract = {Success in conservation requires that everyone maximize his
             or her individual impact, because resources are limited and
             the challenge of saving biodiversity is great. Ten years
             ago, we asked how best a small, but energetic and passionate
             group could act to prevent bird extinctions in the Americas.
             We discuss our long-term approach to the problem and the
             resulting successful conservation actions and, in doing so
             provide a possible guide for others trying to focus their
             conservation efforts. Through a progressive series of
             intuitive GIS analyses, we showed that the Atlantic Forest
             has the highest concentration of threatened birds in the
             Americas. Within the Atlantic Forest, the state of Rio de
             Janeiro has the highest concentration of those threatened
             birds. Within Rio de Janeiro state, an isolated lowland
             forest fragment of a few thousand hectares stands out as the
             highest priority for preventing bird extinctions. We
             identified the creation of a small forest corridor to that
             fragment as the most effective action we could take to
             prevent bird extinctions, in all of the Americas. Today, we
             know that corridor as the Fazenda Dourada and the trees are
             growing back. That success was the result of a specific
             research and conservation agenda, one that is long-term,
             based on quantitative science, and guided by local
             conservation actors. © 2011 ABECO.},
   Doi = {10.4322/natcon.2011.021},
   Key = {jenkins2011conservation}
}

@article{fds358241,
   Author = {Grehan, JR and Schwartz, JH},
   Title = {Evolution of human-ape relationships remains open for
             investigation},
   Journal = {Journal of Biogeography},
   Volume = {38},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {2397-2404},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {December},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02577.x},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02577.x},
   Key = {fds358241}
}

@article{joppa2011population,
   Author = {Joppa, LN and Roberts, DL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The population ecology and social behaviour of
             taxonomists.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {26},
   Number = {11},
   Pages = {551-553},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {November},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21862170},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2011.07.010},
   Key = {joppa2011population}
}

@article{joppa2011biodiversity,
   Author = {Joppa, LN and Roberts, DL and Myers, N and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Biodiversity hotspots house most undiscovered plant
             species.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {108},
   Number = {32},
   Pages = {13171-13176},
   Publisher = {National Acad Sciences},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {August},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21730155},
   Abstract = {For most organisms, the number of described species
             considerably underestimates how many exist. This is itself a
             problem and causes secondary complications given present
             high rates of species extinction. Known numbers of flowering
             plants form the basis of biodiversity "hotspots"--places
             where high levels of endemism and habitat loss coincide to
             produce high extinction rates. How different would
             conservation priorities be if the catalog were complete?
             Approximately 15% more species of flowering plant are likely
             still undiscovered. They are almost certainly rare, and
             depending on where they live, suffer high risks of
             extinction from habitat loss and global climate disruption.
             By using a model that incorporates taxonomic effort over
             time, regions predicted to contain large numbers of
             undiscovered species are already conservation priorities.
             Our results leave global conservation priorities more or
             less intact, but suggest considerably higher levels of
             species imperilment than previously acknowledged.},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.1109389108},
   Key = {joppa2011biodiversity}
}

@article{forero2011thermal,
   Author = {Forero-Medina, G and Joppa, L and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Thermal Tolerance, Range Expansion, and Status of Tropical
             Amphibians: Reply to Catenazzi},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {25},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {426-427},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {June},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2011.01666.x},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1523-1739.2011.01666.x},
   Key = {forero2011thermal}
}

@article{karanth2011counting,
   Author = {Karanth, KU and Gopalaswamy, AM and Kumar, NS and Delampady, M and Nichols, JD and Seidensticker, J and Noon, BR and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Counting India's wild tigers reliably.},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {332},
   Number = {6031},
   Pages = {791},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of
             Science},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {May},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21566176},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.332.6031.791-a},
   Key = {karanth2011counting}
}

@article{fds279239,
   Author = {Forero-Medina, G and Joppa, L and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Constraints to species' elevational range shifts as climate
             changes.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {25},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {163-171},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {February},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21198846},
   Abstract = {Predicting whether the ranges of tropical species will shift
             to higher elevations in response to climate change requires
             models that incorporate data on topography and land use. We
             incorporated temperature gradients and land-cover data from
             the current ranges of species in a model of range shifts in
             response to climate change. We tested four possible
             scenarios of amphibian movement on a tropical mountain:
             movement upslope through and to land cover suitable for the
             species; movement upslope to land-cover types that will not
             sustain survival and reproduction; movement upslope to areas
             that previously were outside the species' range; and
             movement upslope to cooler areas within the current range.
             Areas in the final scenario will become isolated as climate
             continues to change. In our scenarios more than 30% of the
             range of 21 of 46 amphibian species in the tropical Sierra
             Nevada de Santa Marta is likely to become isolated as
             climate changes. More than 30% of the range of 13 amphibian
             species would shift to areas that currently are unlikely to
             sustain survival and reproduction. Combined, over 70% of the
             current range of seven species would become thermally
             isolated or shift to areas that currently are unlikely to
             support survival and reproduction. The constraints on
             species' movements to higher elevations in response to
             climate change can increase considerably the number of
             species threatened by climate change in tropical
             mountains.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1523-1739.2010.01572.x},
   Key = {fds279239}
}

@article{fds279248,
   Author = {Joppa, LN and Roberts, DL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {How many species of flowering plants are
             there?},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological
             Sciences},
   Volume = {278},
   Number = {1705},
   Pages = {554-559},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {1471-2954},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20610425},
   Abstract = {We estimate the probable number of flowering plants. First,
             we apply a model that explicitly incorporates taxonomic
             effort over time to estimate the number of as-yet-unknown
             species. Second, we ask taxonomic experts their opinions on
             how many species are likely to be missing, on a
             family-by-family basis. The results are broadly comparable.
             We show that the current number of species should grow by
             between 10 and 20 per cent. There are, however, interesting
             discrepancies between expert and model estimates for some
             families, suggesting that our model does not always
             completely capture patterns of taxonomic activity. The
             as-yet-unknown species are probably similar to those
             taxonomists have described recently-overwhelmingly rare and
             local, and disproportionately in biodiversity hotspots,
             where there are high levels of habitat destruction.},
   Language = {ENG},
   Doi = {10.1098/rspb.2010.1004},
   Key = {fds279248}
}

@article{forero2011elevational,
   Author = {Forero-Medina, G and Terborgh, J and Socolar, SJ and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Elevational ranges of birds on a tropical montane gradient
             lag behind warming temperatures.},
   Journal = {Plos One},
   Volume = {6},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {e28535},
   Publisher = {Public Library of Science},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22163309},
   Abstract = {<h4>Background</h4>Species may respond to a warming climate
             by moving to higher latitudes or elevations. Shifts in
             geographic ranges are common responses in temperate regions.
             For the tropics, latitudinal temperature gradients are
             shallow; the only escape for species may be to move to
             higher elevations. There are few data to suggest that they
             do. Yet, the greatest loss of species from climate
             disruption may be for tropical montane species.<h4>Methodology/principal
             findings</h4>We repeat a historical transect in Peru and
             find an average upward shift of 49 m for 55 bird species
             over a 41 year interval. This shift is significantly upward,
             but also significantly smaller than the 152 m one expects
             from warming in the region. To estimate the expected shift
             in elevation we first determined the magnitude of warming in
             the locality from historical data. Then we used the
             temperature lapse rate to infer the required shift in
             altitude to compensate for warming. The range shifts in
             elevation were similar across different trophic
             guilds.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Endothermy may provide birds with
             some flexibility to temperature changes and allow them to
             move less than expected. Instead of being directly dependent
             on temperature, birds may be responding to gradual changes
             in the nature of the habitat or availability of food
             resources, and presence of competitors. If so, this has
             important implications for estimates of mountaintop
             extinctions from climate change.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0028535},
   Key = {forero2011elevational}
}

@article{hickey2011world,
   Author = {Hickey, V and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {How the World Bank funds protected areas},
   Journal = {Conservation Letters},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {269-277},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {1755-263X},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1755-263X.2011.00172.x},
   Abstract = {The World Bank is the largest international funder of
             biodiversity conservation. It invests in protected areas to
             conserve species and spaces, protect ecosystems, and provide
             food, shelter, and other ecosystem services to local
             communities. It spends on average, $275 million annually
             supporting parks in developing countries. We examined their
             protected areas investment portfolio from 1988 to 2008 to
             understand how they allocate these funds. We found that more
             money is allocated to countries with progressively larger
             GDPs. Many, but not all, of these investments correlate with
             consensus opinions of high biodiversity priorities. But the
             World Bank's investments are not proportional; poorer
             countries receive relatively more funds than richer ones,
             regardless of biodiversity importance. We suggest that these
             investments focus on supporting parks that provide benefits
             to local communities, particularly in poorer nations, rather
             than on biodiversity priorities in a vacuum. This mirrors
             their mission to work for a world without poverty. © 2011
             Wiley Periodicals, Inc.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1755-263X.2011.00172.x},
   Key = {hickey2011world}
}

@article{fds279238,
   Author = {Laurance, WF and Camargo, JLC and Luizão, RCC and Laurance, SG and Pimm, SL and Bruna, EM and Stouffer, PC and Bruce Williamson and G and Benítez-Malvido, J and Vasconcelos, HL and Van Houtan and KS and Zartman, CE and Boyle, SA and Didham, RK and Andrade, A and Lovejoy,
             TE},
   Title = {The fate of Amazonian forest fragments: A 32-year
             investigation},
   Journal = {Biological Conservation},
   Volume = {144},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {56-67},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0006-3207},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2010.09.021},
   Abstract = {We synthesize findings to date from the world's largest and
             longest-running experimental study of habitat fragmentation,
             located in central Amazonia. Over the past 32. years,
             Amazonian forest fragments ranging from 1 to 100. ha have
             experienced a wide array of ecological changes. Edge effects
             have been a dominant driver of fragment dynamics, strongly
             affecting forest microclimate, tree mortality, carbon
             storage, fauna, and other aspects of fragment ecology.
             However, edge-effect intensity varies markedly in space and
             time, and is influenced by factors such as edge age, the
             number of nearby edges, and the adjoining matrix of modified
             vegetation surrounding fragments. In our study area, the
             matrix has changed markedly over the course of the study
             (evolving from large cattle pastures to mosaics of abandoned
             pasture and regrowth forest) and this in turn has strongly
             influenced fragment dynamics and faunal persistence. Rare
             weather events, especially windstorms and droughts, have
             further altered fragment ecology. In general, populations
             and communities of species in fragments are hyperdynamic
             relative to nearby intact forest. Some edge and
             fragment-isolation effects have declined with a partial
             recovery of secondary forests around fragments, but other
             changes, such as altered patterns of tree recruitment, are
             ongoing. Fragments are highly sensitive to external
             vicissitudes, and even small changes in local
             land-management practices may drive fragmented ecosystems in
             markedly different directions. The effects of fragmentation
             are likely to interact synergistically with other
             anthropogenic threats such as logging, hunting, and
             especially fire, creating an even greater peril for the
             Amazonian biota. © 2010.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.biocon.2010.09.021},
   Key = {fds279238}
}

@article{forero2011constraints,
   Author = {FORERO-MEDINA, G. and Joppa, L. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Constraints to species’ elevational range shifts as
             climate changes},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {25},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {163--171},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2011},
   Key = {forero2011constraints}
}

@article{joppa2011many,
   Author = {Joppa, L.N. and Roberts, D.L. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {How many species of flowering plants are
             there?},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological
             Sciences},
   Volume = {278},
   Number = {1705},
   Pages = {554},
   Publisher = {The Royal Society},
   Year = {2011},
   Key = {joppa2011many}
}

@article{laurance2011fate,
   Author = {Laurance, W.F. and Camargo, J.L.C. and Luiz{\~a}o, R.C.C. and Laurance, S.G. and Pimm, S.L. and Bruna, E.M. and Stouffer, P.C. and Bruce Williamson and G. and Ben{\'\i}tez-Malvido, J. and Vasconcelos, H.L. and others},
   Title = {The fate of Amazonian forest fragments: A 32-year
             investigation},
   Journal = {Biological Conservation},
   Volume = {144},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {56--67},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {2011},
   Key = {laurance2011fate}
}

@article{fds202890,
   Author = {Brooks, T. M. and B.W. Brook and L. P. Koh and H. M. Perreira and S. L.
             Pimm and M.L. Rosenzweig and N.S. Sodhi.},
   Title = {Extinctions: consider all the species.},
   Journal = {Nature 474:284},
   Year = {2011},
   Key = {fds202890}
}

@article{ISI:000281649700012,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Jenkins, CN and Joppa, LN and Roberts, DL and Russell,
             GJ},
   Title = {How many endangered species remain to be discovered in
             Brazil?},
   Journal = {Natureza & Conservação},
   Volume = {8},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {71-77},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2010},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {1679-0073},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4322/natcon.00801011},
   Abstract = {How many species are likely as-yet unknown to science? Even
             in relatively well-known groups, there may be substantial
             numbers of such species. It seems likely that these unknown
             species will be rare and threatened with extinction. Indeed,
             science may not discover them before they go extinct. We
             address these issues for a sample of endemic flowering
             plants and three vertebrate groups: amphibians, birds, and
             mammals, all from Brazil. We predict the likely numbers of
             missing species from models of the declining numbers of
             species described per five-year interval. The raw numbers
             increase over time, so we must scale these by the taxonomic
             effort. We show that while the catalogues of birds and
             mammals are nearly complete, the numbers of amphibians may
             increase by 15% and the numbers of endemic plants by ~10 to
             ~50% depending on region. These percentages may still seem
             encouragingly low, given the complexities of studying a
             country as large as Brazil, with its extraordinary
             diversity, and with many of its regions large and still
             poorly explored. What is more worrying is that these numbers
             of as-yet unknown species are broadly the same as the
             percentages of species that are presently considered
             threatened with extinction. That is, we know only half of
             the species in danger of extinction - and our knowledge of
             even those species has mostly been acquired in the last
             three decades. © 2010 ABECO.},
   Doi = {10.4322/natcon.00801011},
   Key = {ISI:000281649700012}
}

@article{ISI:000279682600007,
   Author = {Shrader, AM and Pimm, SL and van Aarde, RJ},
   Title = {Elephant survival, rainfall and the confounding effects of
             water provision and fences},
   Journal = {Biodiversity and Conservation},
   Volume = {19},
   Number = {8},
   Pages = {2235-2245},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2010},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {0960-3115},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10531-010-9836-7},
   Abstract = {Elephant are increasing across some areas of Africa leading
             to concerns that they may reduce woodlands through their
             feeding. Droughts may help limit elephant numbers, but they
             are generally both episodic and local. To explore more
             general impacts of rainfall, we examine how its annual
             variation influences elephant survival across ten sites.
             These sites span an almost coast-to-coast transect of
             southern Africa that holds the majority of the ~500,000
             remaining savanna elephants. Elephants born in high rainfall
             years survive better than elephants born in low rainfall
             years. The relationship is generally weak, except at the two
             fenced sites, where rainfall greatly influenced juvenile
             survival. In these two sites, there are also extensive
             networks of artificial water. Rainfall likely affects
             elephant survival through its influence on food. The
             provision of artificial water opens new areas for elephants
             in the dry season, while fencing restricts their movements
             in the wet season. We conclude that the combination of these
             factors makes elephant survival more susceptible to
             reductions in rainfall. As a result, elephants living in
             enclosed reserves may be the first populations to feel the
             impacts of global warming which will decrease average
             rainfall and increase the frequency of droughts. A way to
             prevent these elephants from damaging the vegetation within
             these enclosed parks is for managers to reduce artificial
             water sources or, whenever practical, to remove fences. ©
             2010 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.},
   Doi = {10.1007/s10531-010-9836-7},
   Key = {ISI:000279682600007}
}

@article{ISI:000276425400021,
   Author = {Jenkins, CN and Alves, MAS and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Avian conservation priorities in a top-ranked biodiversity
             hotspot},
   Journal = {Biological Conservation},
   Volume = {143},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {992-998},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2010},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0006-3207},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2010.01.014},
   Abstract = {Rio de Janeiro state in Brazil has one of the most diverse
             and most endangered avifaunas in the continental Americas.
             Many of these endangered birds are endemic to the Atlantic
             Forest biodiversity hotspot, and some even endemic to Rio de
             Janeiro itself. As with all other forested hotspots, little
             original forest remains. Much of that is outside formal
             protected areas and faces the risk of deforestation. These
             factors create special circumstances for setting
             conservation priorities - ones common to hotspots in general
             - but typically not to many conservation priority setting
             exercises. We mapped the distribution of the remaining
             habitat for the 189 birds in Rio de Janeiro state that are
             officially endangered and/or endemic to the Atlantic Forest.
             Using those habitat maps, we calculated the amount of
             habitat currently within protected areas for each species.
             We then prioritized all non-protected parts of the state for
             their avian conservation value and their potential
             contribution to a comprehensive protected area system. This
             analysis identified 10% of the remaining unprotected part of
             the state as the highest priority for avian conservation. We
             further highlight specific locations where conservation
             actions could create a more comprehensive protected area
             system for the avifauna of Rio de Janeiro state. © 2010
             Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.biocon.2010.01.014},
   Key = {ISI:000276425400021}
}

@article{ISI:000275476900005,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Stuart Pimm.},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {20},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {R224-R226},
   Year = {2010},
   Month = {March},
   ISSN = {1879-0445},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2010.01.036},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2010.01.036},
   Key = {ISI:000275476900005}
}

@article{ISI:000276475900003,
   Author = {Joppa, LN and Montoya, JM and Solé, R and Sanderson, J and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {On nestedness in ecological networks},
   Journal = {Evolutionary Ecology Research},
   Volume = {12},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {35-46},
   Year = {2010},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {1522-0613},
   url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10161/4631 Duke open
             access},
   Abstract = {Questions: Are interaction patterns in species interaction
             networks different from what one expects by chance alone? In
             particular, are these networks nested - a pattern where
             resources taken by more specialized consumers form a proper
             subset of those taken by more generalized consumers?
             Organisms: Fifty-nine and 42 networks of mutualistic and
             host-parasitoid interactions, respectively. Analytical
             methods: For each network, the observed degree of nestedness
             is compared with the distribution of nestedness values
             derived from a collection of 1000 random networks. Those
             networks with nestedness values lower than 95% of all random
             values are considered 'unusually nested'. The analysis
             considers two different metrics of nestedness and five
             different network randomization algorithms, each of which
             differs in the ecological assumptions imposed. Results: Most
             ecological networks are unusually nested when compared with
             loosely constrained random networks. Comparisons with highly
             constrained networks temper these findings, but we still
             report a significant preponderance of nested networks
             (typically those with the most species). Conclusions:
             Bascompte et al. (2003) previously showed most observed
             mutualistic networks to be unusually nested. Later work
             using more ecologically realistic randomization algorithms
             cast doubt on those results. Across the largest set of
             species interactions considered to date, we conclude that an
             unexpectedly large number of interaction networks are
             patterned in a non-random manner. © 2010 Stuart L.
             Pimm.},
   Key = {ISI:000276475900003}
}

@article{ISI:000280630500007,
   Author = {Van Houtan and KS and Bass, OL and Lockwood, J and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Importance of estimating dispersal for endangered bird
             management},
   Journal = {Conservation Letters},
   Volume = {3},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {260-266},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2010},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {1755-263X},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1755-263X.2010.00108.x},
   Abstract = {Endangered species recovery plans are frustrated by small,
             spatially structured populations where understanding the
             influence of birth, death, and dispersal is difficult. Here
             we use a spatially explicit, long-term study to describe
             dispersal in the Cape Sable seaside sparrow (Ammodramus
             maritimus mirabilis). Since 1990, this species declined >
             50%. It occurs as several geographically isolated
             subpopulations in the Florida Everglades. We characterize
             dispersal, recognizing that our sampling, as well as the
             species' distribution, is spatially heterogeneous. The
             annual movements of juveniles and adults are statistically
             heavy-tailed. That is, while most individuals are recaptured
             locally, a significant portion exhibit long-distance
             dispersal. Individuals move between subpopulations to
             distances >30 km. Not accounting for the spatial
             heterogeneity of sampling or the species range itself
             underestimates dispersal and can lead to ineffective
             management decisions. Recovery focused on translocation will
             be less successful than strategies that protect habitat and
             increase breeding. ©2010 Wiley Periodicals,
             Inc.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1755-263X.2010.00108.x},
   Key = {ISI:000280630500007}
}

@article{pimm2010many,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Jenkins, C.N. and Joppa, L.N. and Roberts,
             D.L. and Russell, G.J.},
   Title = {How many endangered species remain to be discovered in
             Brazil},
   Journal = {Natureza \& Conserva{\c{c}}{\~a}o},
   Volume = {8},
   Pages = {71--77},
   Year = {2010},
   Key = {pimm2010many}
}

@article{sanderson2010pairwise,
   Author = {Sanderson, JG and Diamond, JM and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Pairwise co-existence of Bismarck and Solomon landbird
             species},
   Journal = {Evolutionary Ecology Research},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {771},
   Year = {2010},
   Key = {sanderson2010pairwise}
}

@article{van2010importance,
   Author = {Van Houtan and K.S. and Bass Jr and O.L. and Lockwood, J. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Importance of estimating dispersal for endangered bird
             management},
   Journal = {Conservation Letters},
   Volume = {3},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {260--266},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2010},
   Key = {van2010importance}
}

@article{joppa2010nestedness,
   Author = {Joppa, L.N. and Pimm, S.},
   Title = {On nestedness in ecological networks},
   Publisher = {EVOLUTIONARY ECOLOGY LTD},
   Year = {2010},
   Key = {joppa2010nestedness}
}

@article{shrader2010elephant,
   Author = {Shrader, A.M. and Pimm, S.L. and van Aarde,
             R.J.},
   Title = {Elephant survival, rainfall and the confounding effects of
             water provision and fences},
   Journal = {Biodiversity and Conservation},
   Volume = {19},
   Number = {8},
   Pages = {2235--2245},
   Publisher = {Springer},
   Year = {2010},
   Key = {shrader2010elephant}
}

@article{jenkins2010avian,
   Author = {Jenkins, C.N. and Alves, M.A.S. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Avian conservation priorities in a top-ranked biodiversity
             hotspot},
   Journal = {Biological Conservation},
   Volume = {143},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {992--998},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {2010},
   Key = {jenkins2010avian}
}

@article{pimm2010extinctions,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Jenkins, CN},
   Title = {Extinctions and the practice of preventing
             them},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology for All},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {181-199},
   Publisher = {Oxford Scholarship Online Monographs},
   Year = {2010},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199554232.003.0011},
   Abstract = {Stuart L. Pimm and Clinton N. Jenkins explore why
             extinctions are the critical issue for conservation science.
             Extinctions are irreversible, unlike many other
             environmental threats that we can reverse. Current and
             recent rates of extinction are 100 times faster than the
             background rate, while future rates may be 1000 times
             faster. Species most likely to face extinction are rare;
             rare either because they have very small geographic ranges
             or have a low population density with a larger range.
             Small-ranged terrestrial vertebrate species tend to be
             concentrated in a few areas that often do not hold the
             greatest number of species. Similar patterns apply to plants
             and many marine groups. Extinctions occur most often when
             human impacts collide with the places having many rare
             species. While habitat loss is the leading cause of
             extinctions, global warming is expected to cause extinctions
             that are additive to those caused by habitat
             loss.},
   Doi = {10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199554232.003.0011},
   Key = {pimm2010extinctions}
}

@article{ISI:000279223800002,
   Author = {Van Houtan and KS and Halley, JM and Van Aarde and R and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Achieving success with small, translocated mammal
             populations},
   Journal = {Conservation Letters},
   Volume = {2},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {254-262},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {1755-263X},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000279223800002&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {Translocations are increasingly important tools for
             endangered species conservation, but their success is often
             uncertain. We analyzed 125 time series of grazing mammal
             translocations in South African protected areas. Some 94\%
             of translocations succeeded (66\% unambiguously) even though
             most populations began with <15 individuals and most of the
             species involved are of conservation concern. Adding new
             individuals to existing small populations increases per
             capita growth rates and seems to prevent translocations from
             failing. Growth of the translocated populations is both
             greater and less variable than wild mammal populations and
             appears less affected by the typically important ecological
             factors (e. g., initial propagule size, precipitation,
             reserve size, or presence within historical range).
             One-third of the populations showed robust signs of density
             dependence but we detect few examples of Allee effects. Our
             results, from empirical time series of small populations,
             offer new insights into achieving success for translocation
             programs limited to releasing few individuals.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1755-263x.2009.00081.x},
   Key = {ISI:000279223800002}
}

@article{ISI:000272100100033,
   Author = {Loarie, SR and van Aarde, RJ and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Elephant seasonal vegetation preferences across dry and wet
             savannas},
   Journal = {Biological Conservation},
   Volume = {142},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {3099-3107},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0006-3207},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2009.08.021},
   Abstract = {As African savanna elephants (Loxodonta africana) become
             increasingly confined to smaller fragmented landscapes,
             concern over their potential detrimental impacts on
             vegetation and biodiversity has increased. Understanding
             elephant vegetation preferences across relevant spatial and
             temporal scales is a critical step towards managing
             protected areas for the persistence of both elephants and
             biodiversity. To better understand elephant vegetation
             selection, we fitted 68 elephants with GPS collars across a
             strong rainfall gradient spanning seven southern African
             countries over a period of 6 years. We compared elephant
             locations with remotely-sensed environmental data that
             measure bi-monthly vegetation greenness across the study
             area. Elephants consistently seek out greener than expected
             vegetation throughout the year. Interestingly, they do so by
             utilizing vegetation with different phenologies and by
             selecting landscapes when they are greener than their
             surroundings. We found no differences between dry and wet
             savannas. These patterns persist even when elephants are
             constrained by seasonally available water. In the wet
             season, elephants select seasonally variable landscapes such
             as open woodlands, shrublands, and grasslands. These
             landscapes have a lower average annual greenness but become
             very green for a few months in the wet season. In the dry
             season, elephants prefer less variable landscapes that are
             more consistently green year-round such as well-wooded areas
             and closed woodlands. Because elephants prefer different
             vegetation types at different times of the year, small
             homogeneous protected areas may be unsuitable for elephants.
             Since elephants prefer woody vegetation during the dry
             season when they are constrained by water, human actions
             that increase dry season water availability may contribute
             to detrimental elephant impacts on vegetation and
             biodiversity. © 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights
             reserved.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.biocon.2009.08.021},
   Key = {ISI:000272100100033}
}

@article{ISI:000272100100032,
   Author = {Loarie, SR and Aarde, RJV and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Fences and artificial water affect African savannah elephant
             movement patterns},
   Journal = {Biological Conservation},
   Volume = {142},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {3086-3098},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0006-3207},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2009.08.008},
   Abstract = {The IUCN Redlist considers the African savannah elephant
             (Loxodonta africana) to be "vulnerable" despite it numbering
             in the 100,000s and having a large geographical range. This
             seeming paradox stems from how quickly human persecution can
             eliminate elephants across large areas and how quickly
             elephant numbers can increase when protected. Much elephant
             research concentrates on the extent and consequences of
             elephant persecution. Where elephants thrive, two other
             human interventions, the provision of artificial water and
             the construction of fences may have large, and perhaps
             unintended, impacts on elephant behavior. In general,
             successful management requires that we understand elephant
             movements and land-use choices across large areas and long
             periods. Here, we ask specifically how artificial water and
             fences might affect these movements. To do this, we first
             characterize how elephants move in different seasons and
             landscape types, in different years, and how these patterns
             change over a region that varies considerably in annual
             rainfall. We fitted 73 elephants with GPS collars across a
             large rainfall gradient spanning seven southern African
             countries over a period of 6 years. We analyzed
             remotely-sensed environmental data from four satellite borne
             sensors that measure daily rainfall, weekly temperature,
             bi-monthly greenness, and summarise human infrastructure.
             Elephants move approximately 6 km/day in dry landscapes,
             down to approximately 3 km/day in the wettest ones. Strong
             seasonal differences modulate geographic differences.
             Elephants move less, cover less area, and are more faithful
             to landscapes across years in the dry season than the wet.
             Water availability drives these seasonal patterns. Seasonal
             differences in the area covered are less pronounced in wet
             landscapes where permanent water is more dispersed.
             Within-day movements reveal that elephants are consistently
             crepuscular but more active at night than midday when
             temperatures are high. Direction-changes are centered at
             midnight when elephants are close to water indicating
             regular nighttime treks to water. By design, our analyses
             seek to find general patterns of elephant movements -
             something that one can achieve only across a large range of
             locations and ecological conditions - in order to understand
             the impact of human interventions. We show that both
             interventions reduce seasonal differences in elephant
             ranging patterns and increase local impacts of elephants on
             the vegetation. Artificial water sources allow more
             extensive dry season ranging, allowing elephants to use -
             and potentially overexploit - vegetation in areas that would
             have be otherwise inaccessible to them except in the wet
             season. Fences cause elephants to "bunch-up" against them
             during the wet season, again locally increasing the pressure
             elephants put on their resources. © 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All
             rights reserved.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.biocon.2009.08.008},
   Key = {ISI:000272100100032}
}

@article{fds183906,
   Author = {A Grainger and DH Boucher and PC Frumhoff and WF Laurance and T Lovejoy and J McNeely and M Niekisch and P Raven and NS Sodhi and O Venter and SL
             Pimm},
   Title = {Biodiversity and REDD at Copenhagen.},
   Journal = {Current biology : CB},
   Volume = {19},
   Number = {21},
   Pages = {R974-6},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {1879-0445},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2009.10.001},
   Keywords = {Biodiversity* • Climate Change* • Congresses as
             Topic • Conservation of Natural Resources •
             Environmental Pollution • Forestry • legislation &
             jurisprudence},
   Language = {eng},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2009.10.001},
   Key = {fds183906}
}

@article{ISI:000271899300013,
   Author = {Pimm, S and Roulet, N and Weaver, A},
   Title = {Boreal forests' carbon stores need better
             management.},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {462},
   Number = {7271},
   Pages = {276},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/462276a},
   Doi = {10.1038/462276a},
   Key = {ISI:000271899300013}
}

@article{ISI:000271970200008,
   Author = {Grainger, A and Boucher, DH and Frumhoff, PC and Laurance, WF and Lovejoy, T and McNeely, J and Niekisch, M and Raven, P and Sodhi, NS and Venter, O and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Biodiversity and REDD at Copenhagen.},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {19},
   Number = {21},
   Pages = {R974-R976},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0960-9822},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19922850},
   Abstract = {Reducing carbon emissions through slowing deforestation can
             benefit biodiversity best if countries implement sensible
             policies.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2009.10.001},
   Key = {ISI:000271970200008}
}

@article{ISI:000268969100010,
   Author = {Joppa, LN and Bascompte, J and Montoya, JM and Solé, RV and Sanderson,
             J and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Reciprocal specialization in ecological networks.},
   Journal = {Ecology Letters},
   Volume = {12},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {961-969},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {1461-023X},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19566586},
   Abstract = {Theories suggest that food webs might consist of groups of
             species forming 'blocks', 'compartments' or 'guilds'. We
             consider ecological networks - subsets of complete food webs
             - involving species at adjacent trophic levels. Reciprocal
             specializations occur when (say) a pollinator (or group of
             pollinators) specializes on a particular flower species (or
             group of such species) and vice versa. Such specializations
             tend to group species into guilds. We characterize the level
             of reciprocal specialization for both antagonistic
             interactions - particularly parasitoids and their hosts -
             and mutualistic ones - such as insects and the flowers that
             they pollinate. We also examine whether trophic patterns
             might be 'palimpsests'- that is, there might be reciprocal
             specialization within taxonomically related species within a
             network, but these might be obscured when these
             relationships are combined. Reciprocal specializations are
             rare in all these systems when tested against the most
             conservative null model.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1461-0248.2009.01341.x},
   Key = {ISI:000268969100010}
}

@article{ISI:000268056000010,
   Author = {Stracey, CM and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Testing island biogeography theory with visitation rates of
             birds to British islands},
   Journal = {Journal of Biogeography},
   Volume = {36},
   Number = {8},
   Pages = {1532-1539},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {August},
   ISSN = {0305-0270},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02090.x},
   Abstract = {Aim We consider three hypotheses - MacArthur and Wilson's
             island biogeography theory (IBT), Lack's habitat diversity
             idea and the 'target effect'- that explain the pattern of
             decreased species richness on small and distant islands.
             Location We evaluate these hypotheses using a detailed
             dataset on the occurrence and abundance of terrestrial birds
             on nine islands off the coast of Britain and the Republic of
             Ireland. Methods Unlike previous studies, we compile data on
             species that visit the islands, rather than just those that
             breed on them. We divided the species into five mutually
             exclusive categories based upon their migratory status and
             where they regularly breed: British residents, summer
             visitors to Britain, winter visitors to Britain, and
             vagrants from Europe or beyond Europe. For each species
             group on each island we calculated the average number of
             species visiting each year. We then regressed the average
             number of species against island area and distance to the
             mainland (all variables were log-transformed). We also
             compared the average number of species visiting each island
             with the average number of species breeding on each island.
             Results Average number of visiting British residents
             decreased significantly with increasing island distance, but
             showed no relationship with island area. There was no
             significant relationship between island area or island
             distance and average number of summer or winter visitors.
             European and non-European vagrants likewise showed no
             relationship between numbers of species visiting and island
             distance. However, the relationship between island area and
             number of visiting species was significant for both these
             categories; as island area increases so too does the number
             of visiting species. Main conclusions As predicted by IBT,
             there were fewer visiting species on more distant islands.
             There were substantially more visitors to each island than
             breeding species, supporting Lack's argument that lower bird
             richness is not a result of varying immigration rates (as
             predicted by IBT) but rather a result of some other island
             property, e.g. fewer resources. Birds make a decision to
             either leave an island or stay and breed. The target effect
             was also clearly demonstrated by the increase in European
             and non-European breeders with increasing island size. ©
             2009 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02090.x},
   Key = {ISI:000268056000010}
}

@article{pimm2009climate,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Climate disruption and biodiversity.},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {19},
   Number = {14},
   Pages = {R595-R601},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {July},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19640498},
   Abstract = {'Global warming' may be a familiar term, but it is seriously
             misleading. Human actions are causing a massive disruption
             to the planet's climate that is severe, rapid, very variable
             over space and time, and highly complex. The biosphere
             itself is complex and its responses to even simple changes
             are difficult to predict in detail. One can likely only be
             certain that many changes will be unexpected and some
             unfortunate. Even the simple, slow warming of the climate
             will produce complex consequences to species numbers and
             distributions because of how species depend on each other.
             An alternative approach to worrying about details is to
             concentrate on understanding the most significant ecological
             changes, ones that are irreversible--so-called 'tipping
             points'. Once such a point has been passed, even if society
             managed to restore historical climatic conditions, it might
             not restore the historical ecological patterns. Nowhere is
             this more obvious than in the loss of species, for we cannot
             recreate them. Climate disruptions may cause the loss of a
             large fraction of the planet's biodiversity, even if the
             only mechanism were to be species ranges moving uphill as
             temperatures rise.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2009.05.055},
   Key = {pimm2009climate}
}

@article{ISI:000269674500005,
   Author = {Sanderson, JG and Diamond, JM and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Pairwise co-existence of Bismarck and Solomon landbird
             species},
   Journal = {Evolutionary Ecology Research},
   Volume = {11},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {771-786},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {1522-0613},
   Abstract = {Questions: Can the difference between chance and pattern be
             determined by the composition of species across islands in
             an archipelago? In particular, will one find 'checkerboards'
             - a pattern of mutual exclusivity that is the simplest
             pattern that might occur under competitive exclusion?
             Organisms: 150 and 141 species of land birds inhabiting 41
             and 142 islands of the Bismarck and the Solomon
             Archipelagos, respectively. (See http://evolutionary-ecology.com/data/
             2447-Supplement.pdf) Analytical methods: For each pair of
             species within each archipelago, the observed number of
             co-occurrences is compared to the distribution of the number
             of co-occurrences derived from a collection of 106
             representative unique random, or null, communities. Those
             species pairs actually co-occurring less often than they do
             in 5% of those nulls are 'unusually negative' pairs; those
             co-occurring more often than they do in 95% of those nulls
             are 'unusually positive' pairs. Islands are ranked from
             those with the smallest number of species to the largest. A
             species incidence is the span from the smallest to the
             largest number of species on islands on which it is found.
             Results: In each archipelago, proportionately more
             congeneric species pairs than non-congeneric species pairs
             are unusually negative pairs. This holds even for species
             pairs that overlap in their incidences. Among congeneric
             species pairs found in both archipelagos, a pair that is
             unusual in one archipelago generally proves to be unusual in
             the other archipelago as well and to belong to a genus
             segregating ecologically by means of spatial niche
             differences. Conclusions: Diamond (1975) suggested that
             island bird communities were structured by assembly rules
             that could be deduced by observation of which species did or
             did not co-occur on particular islands. Critics countered
             with analyses arguing that co-occurrence patterns in several
             ecological communities did not differ from random
             expectations. We conclude that the difference between chance
             and pattern can be unequivocally determined. © 2009 Stuart
             L. Pimm.},
   Key = {ISI:000269674500005}
}

@article{ISI:000266133900009,
   Author = {Boulton, RL and Lockwood, JL and Davis, MJ and Pedziwilk, A and Boadway,
             KA and Boadway, JJT and Okines, D and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Endangered cape sable seaside sparrow survival},
   Journal = {The Journal of Wildlife Management},
   Volume = {73},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {530-537},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {May},
   ISSN = {0022-541X},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2193/2007-467},
   Abstract = {We investigated survival for male, female, and first-year
             Cape Sable seaside sparrows (Ammodramus maritimus mirabilis,
             hereafter sparrows), a federally endangered bird restricted
             to the Florida Everglades, USA. Accurate estimates of
             survival are critical to improve management decisions and
             population estimates for this and other threatened species.
             We used Program MARK to evaluate effects of age, sex,
             population membership, temporal variation, and ground-water
             levels on annual survival from markrecapture data collected
             across 3 sparrow populations from 1997 to 2007. We found
             little evidence that annual survival rates differed between
             the populations or across ground-water levels, but we found
             high variability between years for both adult and juvenile
             survival. Our results revealed female sparrows experienced
             1419 lower survival than males. Sparrows experienced much
             lower survival during their first year of life and were
             short-lived (23 yr). Our results highlight sparrows'
             susceptibility to population declines and suggest that
             management actions aimed at increasing survival may be
             effective for this species' management.},
   Doi = {10.2193/2007-467},
   Key = {ISI:000266133900009}
}

@article{joppa2009population,
   Author = {Joppa, LN and Loarie, SR and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {On population growth near protected areas.},
   Journal = {Plos One},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {e4279},
   Publisher = {Public Library of Science},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19169358},
   Abstract = {<h4>Background</h4>Protected areas are the first, and often
             only, line of defense in efforts to conserve biodiversity.
             They might be detrimental or beneficial to rural communities
             depending on how they alter economic opportunities and
             access to natural resources. As such, protected areas may
             attract or repel human settlement. Disproportionate
             increases in population growth near protected area
             boundaries may threaten their ability to conserve
             biodiversity.<h4>Methodology/principal findings</h4>Using
             decadal population datasets, we analyze population growth
             across 45 countries and 304 protected areas. We find no
             evidence for population growth near protected areas to be
             greater than growth of rural areas in the same country.
             Furthermore, we argue that what growth does occur near
             protected areas likely results from a general expansion of
             nearby population centers.<h4>Conclusions/significance</h4>Our
             results contradict those from a recent study by Wittemyer et
             al., who claim overwhelming evidence for increased human
             population growth near protected areas. To understand the
             disagreement, we re-analyzed the protected areas in
             Wittemyer et al.'s paper. Their results are simply artifacts
             of mixing two incompatible datasets. Protected areas may
             experience unusual population pressures near their edges;
             indeed, individual case studies provide examples. There is
             no evidence, however, of a general pattern of
             disproportionate population growth near protected
             areas.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0004279},
   Key = {joppa2009population}
}

@article{adeney2009reserves,
   Author = {Adeney, JM and Christensen, NL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Reserves protect against deforestation fires in the
             Amazon.},
   Journal = {Plos One},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {e5014},
   Publisher = {Public Library of Science},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19352423},
   Abstract = {<h4>Background</h4>Reserves are the principal means to
             conserve forests and biodiversity, but the question of
             whether reserves work is still debated. In the Amazon, fires
             are closely linked to deforestation, and thus can be used as
             a proxy for reserve effectiveness in protecting forest
             cover. We ask whether reserves in the Brazilian Amazon
             provide effective protection against deforestation and
             consequently fires, whether that protection is because of
             their location or their legal status, and whether some
             reserve types are more effective than others.<h4>Methodology/principal
             findings</h4>Previous work has shown that most Amazonian
             fires occur close to roads and are more frequent in El Niño
             years. We quantified these relationships for reserves and
             unprotected areas by examining satellite-detected hot pixels
             regressed against road distance across the entire Brazilian
             Amazon and for a decade with 2 El Niño-related droughts.
             Deforestation fires, as measured by hot pixels, declined
             exponentially with increasing distance from roads in all
             areas. Fewer deforestation fires occurred within protected
             areas than outside and the difference between protected and
             unprotected areas was greatest near roads. Thus, reserves
             were especially effective at preventing these fires where
             they are known to be most likely to burn; but they did not
             provide absolute protection. Even within reserves, at a
             given distance from roads, there were more deforestation
             fires in regions with high human impact than in those with
             low impact. The effect of El Niño on deforestation fires
             was greatest outside of reserves and near roads. Indigenous
             reserves, limited-use reserves, and fully protected reserves
             all had fewer fires than outside areas and did not appear to
             differ in their effectiveness.<h4>Conclusions/significance</h4>Taking
             time, regional factors, and climate into account, our
             results show that reserves are an effective tool for curbing
             destructive burning in the Amazon.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0005014},
   Key = {adeney2009reserves}
}

@article{van2009achieving,
   Author = {Van Houtan and K.S. and Halley, J.M. and Van Aarde and R. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Achieving success with small, translocated mammal
             populations},
   Journal = {Conservation Letters},
   Volume = {2},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {254--262},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2009},
   Key = {van2009achieving}
}

@article{pimm2009boreal,
   Author = {Pimm, S. and Roulet, N. and Weaver, A.},
   Title = {Boreal forests' carbon stores need better
             management},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {462},
   Number = {7271},
   Pages = {276--276},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {2009},
   Key = {pimm2009boreal}
}

@article{loarie2009elephant,
   Author = {Loarie, S.R. and van Aarde, R.J. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Elephant seasonal vegetation preferences across dry and wet
             savannas},
   Journal = {Biological Conservation},
   Volume = {142},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {3099--3107},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {2009},
   Key = {loarie2009elephant}
}

@article{joppa2009reciprocal,
   Author = {Joppa, L.N. and Bascompte, J. and Montoya, J.M. and Sole,
             R.V. and Sanderson, J. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Reciprocal specialization in ecological networks},
   Journal = {Ecology letters},
   Volume = {12},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {961--969},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2009},
   Key = {joppa2009reciprocal}
}

@article{loarie2009fences,
   Author = {Loarie, S.R. and Aarde, R.J.V. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Fences and artificial water affect African savannah elephant
             movement patterns},
   Journal = {Biological conservation},
   Volume = {142},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {3086--3098},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {2009},
   Key = {loarie2009fences}
}

@article{sanderson2009pairwise,
   Author = {Sanderson, J.G. and Diamond, J.M. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Pairwise co-existence of Bismarck and Solomon landbird
             species},
   Journal = {Evolutionary Ecology Research},
   Volume = {11},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {771--786},
   Year = {2009},
   Key = {sanderson2009pairwise}
}

@article{stracey2009testing,
   Author = {Stracey, C.M. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Testing island biogeography theory with visitation rates of
             birds to British islands},
   Journal = {Journal of biogeography},
   Volume = {36},
   Number = {8},
   Pages = {1532--1539},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2009},
   Key = {stracey2009testing}
}

@article{boulton2009endangered,
   Author = {Boulton, R.L. and Lockwood, J.L. and Davis, M.J. and Pedziwilk, A. and Boadway, K.A. and Boadway, J.J.T. and Okines, D. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow survival},
   Journal = {The Journal of Wildlife Management},
   Volume = {73},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {530--537},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2009},
   Key = {boulton2009endangered}
}

@article{pimm2009we,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {How we got to be top dog},
   Journal = {Update},
   Volume = {24},
   Number = {3},
   Year = {2009},
   Key = {pimm2009we}
}

@article{alves2009birds,
   Author = {Alves, MAS and Jenkins, CN and Pimm, SL and Storni, A and Raposo, MA and Brooke, ML and Harris, G and Foster, A},
   Title = {Birds, Montane forest, State of Rio de Janeiro, Southeastern
             Brazil},
   Journal = {Check List},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {289-299},
   Year = {2009},
   Key = {alves2009birds}
}

@article{ISI:000268530200018,
   Author = {Pimm Stuart and L},
   Title = {Climate Disruption and Biodiversity},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {19},
   Number = {14, Sp. Iss. SI},
   Pages = {R595-R601},
   Year = {2009},
   ISSN = {0960-9822},
   Abstract = {`Global warming' may be a familiar term, but it is seriously
             misleading. Human actions are causing a massive disruption
             to the planet's climate that is severe, rapid, very variable
             over space and time, and highly complex. The biosphere
             itself is complex and its responses to even simple changes
             are difficult to predict in detail. One can likely only be
             certain that many changes will be unexpected and some
             unfortunate. Even the simple, slow warming of the climate
             will produce complex consequences to species numbers and
             distributions because of how species depend on each other.
             An alternative approach to worrying about details is to
             concentrate on understanding the most significant ecological
             changes, ones that are irreversible - so-called `tipping
             points'. Once such a point has been passed, even if society
             managed to restore historical climatic conditions, it might
             not restore the historical ecological patterns. Nowhere is
             this more obvious than in the loss of species, for we cannot
             recreate them. Climate disruptions may cause the loss of a
             large fraction of the planet's biodiversity, even if the
             only mechanism were to be species ranges moving uphill as
             temperatures rise.},
   Key = {ISI:000268530200018}
}

@article{ISI:000260810100022,
   Author = {Alves, MAS and Pimm, SL and Storni, A and Raposo, MA and Brooke, MDL and Harris, G and Foster, A and Jenkins, CN},
   Title = {Mapping and exploring the distribution of the Vulnerable
             grey-winged cotinga Tijuca condita},
   Journal = {Oryx},
   Volume = {42},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {562-566},
   Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {October},
   ISSN = {0030-6053},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0030605308001014},
   Abstract = {The grey-winged cotinga Tijuca condita was first described
             in 1980 from an old specimen, misidentified as a congener.
             Field observations came later, from two remote,
             high-elevation forests in the mountains of Rio de Janeiro,
             Brazil. Both involved only a few pairs of birds at best,
             making this species one of the least known in the world.
             Accurately defining the locations this species inhabits is
             an obvious prerequisite for designing conservation
             strategies to protect it. Using remotely sensed data on
             elevation and forest cover we mapped this species' habitat
             and predicted six more sites where it may occur. Field
             surveys confirmed two of them, doubling the known range of
             the species. The two easternmost predicted sites did not
             contain the species but these areas have less annual
             rainfall than other sites, which may explain the absences.
             This research serves as an important guide to conservation
             actions, for it uncovered biologically important areas for
             this species that had been previously overlooked. It has
             also measured the remaining habitat of the species so that
             any future losses can be detected. © 2008 Fauna & Flora
             International.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S0030605308001014},
   Key = {ISI:000260810100022}
}

@article{ISI:000258216600026,
   Author = {Vale, Mariana M. and Cohn-Haft, Mario and Bergen, Scott and Pimm, Stuart L.},
   Title = {Effects of future infrastructure development on threat
             status and occurrence of Amazonian birds},
   Journal = {CONSERVATION BIOLOGY},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {1006-1015},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {August},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   Abstract = {Researchers predict that new infrastructure development will
             sharply increase the rate and extent of deforestation in the
             Brazilian Amazon. There are no predictions, however, of
             which species it will affect. We used a spatially explicit
             model that predicts the location of deforestation in the
             Brazilian Amazon by 2020 on the basis of historical patterns
             of deforestation following infrastructure development. We
             overlaid the predicted deforested areas onto maps of bird
             ranges to estimate the amount of habitat loss within species
             ranges. We also estimated the amount of habitat loss within
             modified ecoregions, which were used as surrogates for areas
             of bird endemism. We then used the extent of occurrence
             criterion of the World Conservation Union to predict the
             future conservation status of birds in the Brazilian Amazon.
             At current rates of development, our results show that at
             least 16 species will qualify as threatened or will lose
             more than half of their forested habitat. We also identified
             several subspecies and isolated populations that would also
             qualify as threatened. Most of the taxa we identified are
             not currently listed as threatened, and the majority are
             associated with riverine habitats, which have been largely
             ignored in bird conservation in Amazonia. These habitats and
             the species they hold will be increasingly relevant to
             conservation as river courses are altered and hydroelectric
             dams are constructed in the Brazilian Amazon.},
   Key = {ISI:000258216600026}
}

@article{fds279403,
   Author = {Finer, M and Jenkins, CN and Pimm, SL and Keane, B and Ross,
             C},
   Title = {Oil and gas projects in the Western Amazon: threats to
             wilderness, biodiversity, and indigenous
             peoples.},
   Journal = {Plos One},
   Volume = {3},
   Number = {8},
   Pages = {e2932},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {August},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18716679},
   Abstract = {<h4>Background</h4>The western Amazon is the most
             biologically rich part of the Amazon basin and is home to a
             great diversity of indigenous ethnic groups, including some
             of the world's last uncontacted peoples living in voluntary
             isolation. Unlike the eastern Brazilian Amazon, it is still
             a largely intact ecosystem. Underlying this landscape are
             large reserves of oil and gas, many yet untapped. The
             growing global demand is leading to unprecedented
             exploration and development in the region.<h4>Methodology/principal
             findings</h4>We synthesized information from government
             sources to quantify the status of oil development in the
             western Amazon. National governments delimit specific
             geographic areas or "blocks" that are zoned for hydrocarbon
             activities, which they may lease to state and multinational
             energy companies for exploration and production. About 180
             oil and gas blocks now cover approximately 688,000 km(2) of
             the western Amazon. These blocks overlap the most
             species-rich part of the Amazon. We also found that many of
             the blocks overlap indigenous territories, both titled lands
             and areas utilized by peoples in voluntary isolation. In
             Ecuador and Peru, oil and gas blocks now cover more than
             two-thirds of the Amazon. In Bolivia and western Brazil,
             major exploration activities are set to increase
             rapidly.<h4>Conclusions/significance</h4>Without improved
             policies, the increasing scope and magnitude of planned
             extraction means that environmental and social impacts are
             likely to intensify. We review the most pressing oil- and
             gas-related conservation policy issues confronting the
             region. These include the need for regional Strategic
             Environmental Impact Assessments and the adoption of
             roadless extraction techniques. We also consider the
             conflicts where the blocks overlap indigenous peoples'
             territories.},
   Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0002932},
   Key = {fds279403}
}

@article{fds279404,
   Author = {Vale, MM and Cohn-Haft, M and Bergen, S and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Effects of future infrastructure development on threat
             status and occurrence of Amazonian birds.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {1006-1015},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {August},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18544091},
   Abstract = {Researchers predict that new infrastructure development will
             sharply increase the rate and extent of deforestation in the
             Brazilian Amazon. There are no predictions, however, of
             which species it will affect. We used a spatially explicit
             model that predicts the location of deforestation in the
             Brazilian Amazon by 2020 on the basis of historical patterns
             of deforestation following infrastructure development. We
             overlaid the predicted deforested areas onto maps of bird
             ranges to estimate the amount of habitat loss within species
             ranges. We also estimated the amount of habitat loss within
             modified ecoregions, which were used as surrogates for areas
             of bird endemism. We then used the extent of occurrence
             criterion of the World Conservation Union to predict the
             future conservation status of birds in the Brazilian Amazon.
             At current rates of development, our results show that at
             least 16 species will qualify as threatened or will lose
             more than half of their forested habitat. We also identified
             several subspecies and isolated populations that would also
             qualify as threatened. Most of the taxa we identified are
             not currently listed as threatened, and the majority are
             associated with riverine habitats, which have been largely
             ignored in bird conservation in Amazonia. These habitats and
             the species they hold will be increasingly relevant to
             conservation as river courses are altered and hydroelectric
             dams are constructed in the Brazilian Amazon.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1523-1739.2008.00939.x},
   Key = {fds279404}
}

@article{fds279405,
   Author = {Joppa, LN and Loarie, SR and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {On the protection of "protected areas".},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {105},
   Number = {18},
   Pages = {6673-6678},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {May},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18451028},
   Abstract = {Tropical moist forests contain the majority of terrestrial
             species. Human actions destroy between 1 and 2 million km(2)
             of such forests per decade, with concomitant carbon release
             into the atmosphere. Within these forests, protected areas
             are the principle defense against forest loss and species
             extinctions. Four regions-the Amazon, Congo, South American
             Atlantic Coast, and West Africa-once constituted about half
             the world's tropical moist forest. We measure forest cover
             at progressively larger distances inside and outside of
             protected areas within these four regions, using datasets on
             protected areas and land-cover. We find important
             geographical differences. In the Amazon and Congo, protected
             areas are generally large and retain high levels of forest
             cover, as do their surroundings. These areas are protected
             de facto by being inaccessible and will likely remain
             protected if they continue to be so. Deciding whether they
             are also protected de jure-that is, whether effective laws
             also protect them-is statistically difficult, for there are
             few controls. In contrast, protected areas in the Atlantic
             Coast forest and West Africa show sharp boundaries in forest
             cover at their edges. This effective protection of forest
             cover is partially offset by their very small size: little
             area is deep inside protected area boundaries. Lands outside
             protected areas in the Atlantic Coast forest are unusually
             fragmented. Finally, we ask whether global databases on
             protected areas are biased toward highly protected areas and
             ignore "paper parks." Analysis of a Brazilian database does
             not support this presumption.},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.0802471105},
   Key = {fds279405}
}

@article{fds279406,
   Author = {Vale, MM and Alves, MA and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Biopiracy: conservationists have to rebuild lost
             trust.},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {453},
   Number = {7191},
   Pages = {26},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {May},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18451831},
   Doi = {10.1038/453026b},
   Key = {fds279406}
}

@article{loarie2008satellites,
   Author = {Loarie, SR and Joppa, LN and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Satellites miss environmental priorities. Response to
             Loveland et al. and Kark et al.:},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {23},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {183-184},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2008.01.004},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2008.01.004},
   Key = {loarie2008satellites}
}

@article{ISI:000252895700018,
   Author = {Harris, G and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Range size and extinction risk in forest
             birds.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {163-171},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18254861},
   Abstract = {Small geographical range size is the single best predictor
             of threat of extinction in terrestrial species. Knowing how
             small a species' range has to be before authorities consider
             it threatened with extinction would allow prediction of a
             species' risk from continued deforestation and warming
             climates and provide a baseline for conservation and
             management strategies aspiring to mitigate these threats. To
             determine the threshold at which forest-dependent bird
             species become threatened with extinction, we compared the
             range sizes of threatened and nonthreatened species. In
             doing so, we present a simple, repeatable, and practical
             protocol to quantify range size. We started with species'
             ranges published in field guides or comparable sources. We
             then trimmed these ranges, that is, we included only those
             parts of the ranges that met the species' requirements of
             elevation and types of forest preferred. Finally, we further
             trimmed the ranges to the amount of forest cover that
             remains. This protocol generated an estimate of the
             remaining suitable range for each species. We compared these
             range estimates with those from the World Conservation Union
             Red List. We used the smaller of the two estimates to
             determine the threshold, 11,000 km2, below which birds
             should be considered threatened. Species considered
             threatened that have larger ranges than this qualified under
             other (nonspatial) red list criteria. We identified a suite
             of species (18) that have not yet qualified as threatened
             but that have perilously small ranges--about 11% of the
             nonthreatened birds we analyzed. These birds are likely at
             risk of extinction and reevaluation of their status is
             urgently needed.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1523-1739.2007.00798.x},
   Key = {ISI:000252895700018}
}

@article{fds279410,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Biodiversity: climate change or habitat loss - which will
             kill more species?},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {18},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {R117-R119},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {0960-9822},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18269905},
   Abstract = {Habitat loss and climate change both kill off species. New
             studies show that the latter is a potent threat. Worse, its
             victims will likely be mostly those not presently threatened
             by habitat loss.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2007.11.055},
   Key = {fds279410}
}

@article{ISI:000255227400002,
   Author = {Pimm, Stuart L.},
   Title = {Imagine immortal elephants},
   Journal = {ORYX},
   Volume = {42},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {2},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0030-6053},
   Key = {ISI:000255227400002}
}

@article{ISI:000255227400015,
   Author = {Harris, Grant M. and Russell, Gareth J. and van Aarde, Rudi
             I. and Pimm, Stuart L.},
   Title = {Rules of habitat use by elephants Loxodonta africana in
             southern Africa: insights for regional management},
   Journal = {ORYX},
   Volume = {42},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {66-75},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0030-6053},
   Abstract = {Managers in southern Africa are concerned that continually
             increasing elephant populations will degrade ecosystems.
             Culling, translocation and birth control are flawed
             solutions. An alternative is providing elephants more space
             but this hinges on identifying landscape preferences. We
             examined two diverse ecosystems and uncovered similarities
             in elephant habitat use, expressing these as `rules'. We
             considered and Etosha National Park, (Namibia) and the
             tropical woodlands of Tembe Elephant Park (South Africa) and
             Maputo Elephant Reserve (Mozambique). Landscape data
             consisted of vegetation types, distances from water and
             settlements. To surmount issues of scale and availability we
             incorporated elephant movements as a function that declined
             as distance from an elephant's location increased. This
             presumes that elephants optimize trade-offs between
             benefiting from high-quality resources and costs to find
             them. Under a likelihood-based approach we determined the
             important variables and shapes of their relationships to
             evaluate and compare models separated by gender, season and
             location. After considering elephants' preferences for areas
             nearby, habitat use usually increased with proximity to
             water in all locations. Elephants sought places with high
             proportions of vegetation, especially when neighbouring
             areas had low vegetative cover. Lastly, elephants avoided
             human settlements (when present), and cows more so than
             bulls. In caricature, elephants preferred to move little,
             drink easily, eat well, and avoid people. If one makes more
             areas available, elephants will probably favour areas near
             water with high vegetative cover (of many different types)
             and away from people. Managers can oblige elephants'
             preferences by supplying them. If so, they should anticipate
             higher impacts to neighbouring vegetation.},
   Key = {ISI:000255227400015}
}

@article{fds279407,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Imagine immortal elephants},
   Journal = {Oryx},
   Volume = {42},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {2},
   Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0030-6053},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0030605308042166},
   Doi = {10.1017/S0030605308042166},
   Key = {fds279407}
}

@article{fds279408,
   Author = {Harris, GM and Russell, GJ and Van Aarde and RI and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Rules of habitat use by elephants Loxodonta africana in
             southern Africa: Insights for regional management},
   Journal = {Oryx},
   Volume = {42},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {66-75},
   Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0030-6053},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0030605308000483},
   Abstract = {Managers in southern Africa are concerned that continually
             increasing elephant populations will degrade ecosystems.
             Culling, translocation and birth control are flawed
             solutions. An alternative is providing elephants more space
             but this hinges on identifying landscape preferences. We
             examined two diverse ecosystems and uncovered similarities
             in elephant habitat use, expressing these as 'rules'. We
             considered arid Etosha National Park, (Namibia) and the
             tropical woodlands of Tembe Elephant Park (South Africa) and
             Maputo Elephant Reserve (Mozambique). Landscape data
             consisted of vegetation types, distances from water and
             settlements. To surmount issues of scale and availability we
             incorporated elephant movements as a function that declined
             as distance from an elephant's location increased. This
             presumes that elephants optimize trade-offs between
             benefiting from high-quality resources and costs to find
             them. Under a likelihood-based approach we determined the
             important variables and shapes of their relationships to
             evaluate and compare models separated by gender, season and
             location. After considering elephants' preferences for areas
             nearby, habitat use usually increased with proximity to
             water in all locations. Elephants sought places with high
             proportions of vegetation, especially when neighbouring
             areas had low vegetative cover. Lastly, elephants avoided
             human settlements (when present), and cows more so than
             bulls. In caricature, elephants preferred to move little,
             drink easily, eat well, and avoid people. If one makes more
             areas available, elephants will probably favour areas near
             water with high vegetative cover (of many different types)
             and away from people. Managers can oblige elephants'
             preferences by supplying them. If so, they should anticipate
             higher impacts to neighbouring vegetation. © 2008 Fauna and
             Flora International.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S0030605308000483},
   Key = {fds279408}
}

@article{vale2008effects,
   Author = {VALE, M.M. and COHN-HAFT, M. and Bergen, S. and PIMM,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Effects of future infrastructure development on threat
             status and occurrence of Amazonian birds},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {1006--1015},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {vale2008effects}
}

@article{pimm2008imagine,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Imagine immortal elephants},
   Journal = {Oryx},
   Volume = {42},
   Number = {01},
   Pages = {2--2},
   Publisher = {Cambridge Univ Press},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {pimm2008imagine}
}

@article{alves2008mapping,
   Author = {Alves, M.A.S. and Pimm, S.L. and Storni, A. and Raposo, M.A. and Brooke, M.L. and Harris, G. and Foster, A. and Jenkins,
             C.N.},
   Title = {Mapping and exploring the distribution of the Vulnerable
             grey-winged cotinga Tijuca condita},
   Journal = {Oryx},
   Volume = {42},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {562--566},
   Publisher = {Cambridge Univ Press},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {alves2008mapping}
}

@article{harris2008rules,
   Author = {Harris, G.M. and Russell, G.J. and Van Aarde and R.I. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Rules of habitat use by elephants Loxodonta africana in
             southern Africa: insights for regional management},
   Journal = {Oryx},
   Volume = {42},
   Number = {01},
   Pages = {66--75},
   Publisher = {Cambridge Univ Press},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {harris2008rules}
}

@article{finer2008oil,
   Author = {Finer, M. and Jenkins, C.N. and Pimm, S.L. and Keane, B. and Ross, C.},
   Title = {Oil and gas projects in the western Amazon: Threats to
             wilderness, biodiversity, and indigenous
             peoples},
   Journal = {PLoS One},
   Volume = {3},
   Number = {8},
   Pages = {e2932},
   Publisher = {Public Library of Science},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {finer2008oil}
}

@article{harris2008range,
   Author = {Harris, G. and PIMM, S.L.},
   Title = {Range size and extinction risk in forest
             birds},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {163--171},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {harris2008range}
}

@article{pimm2008biodiversity,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Biodiversity: Climate Change or Habitat Loss—Which Will
             Kill More Species?},
   Journal = {Current Biology},
   Volume = {18},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {R117--R119},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {pimm2008biodiversity}
}

@article{joppa2008protection,
   Author = {Joppa, L.N. and Loarie, S.R. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {On the protection of “protected areas”},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
   Volume = {105},
   Number = {18},
   Pages = {6673},
   Publisher = {National Acad Sciences},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {joppa2008protection}
}

@article{vale2008biopiracy,
   Author = {Vale, M.M. and Alves, M.A. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Biopiracy: conservationists have to rebuild lost
             trust},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {453},
   Number = {7191},
   Pages = {26--26},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {vale2008biopiracy}
}

@article{pimm2008wild,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Where the Wild Things Were: Life, Death and Ecological
             Wreckage of Vanishing Predators by William
             Stolzenburg},
   Journal = {Nature London},
   Volume = {454},
   Number = {7202},
   Pages = {275},
   Publisher = {NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {pimm2008wild}
}

@article{pimm2008missing,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Missing links in food-chain story},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {454},
   Number = {7202},
   Pages = {275-276},
   Publisher = {NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {pimm2008missing}
}

@article{ISI:000257665300017,
   Author = {Pimm Stuart},
   Title = {Where the wild things were: life, death and ecological
             wreckage of vanishing predators},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {454},
   Number = {7202},
   Pages = {275-276},
   Year = {2008},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   Key = {ISI:000257665300017}
}

@article{fds279401,
   Author = {Harris, G and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Range size and extinction risk in forest
             birds.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {21},
   Pages = {567-569},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {fds279401}
}

@article{fds279402,
   Author = {Alves, and S, MA and Pimm, SL and Storni, A and Raposo, MA and Brooke,
             MDL and Harris, G and Foster, A and Jenkins, CN},
   Title = {Mapping and exploring the distribution of a threatened bird,
             Grey-winged Cotinga},
   Journal = {Oryx},
   Volume = {42},
   Pages = {562-566},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {fds279402}
}

@article{ISI:000255841600030,
   Author = {Joppa, Lucas N. and Loarie, Scott R. and Pimm, Stuart
             L.},
   Title = {On the protection of ``protected areas{''}},
   Journal = {PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE
             UNITED STATES OF AMERICA},
   Volume = {105},
   Number = {18},
   Pages = {6673-6678},
   Year = {2008},
   ISSN = {0027-8424},
   Abstract = {Tropical moist forests contain the majority of terrestrial
             species. Human actions destroy between 1 and 2 million km(2)
             of such forests per decade, with concomitant carbon release
             into the atmosphere. Within these forests, protected areas
             are the principle defense against forest loss and species
             extinctions. Four regions-the Amazon, Congo, South American
             Atlantic Coast, and West Africa-once constituted about half
             the world's tropical moist forest. We measure forest cover
             at progressively larger distances inside and outside of
             protected areas within these four regions, using data-sets
             on protected areas and land-cover. We find important
             geographical differences. In the Amazon and Congo, protected
             areas are generally large and retain high levels of forest
             cover, as do their surroundings. These areas are protected
             de facto by being inaccessible and will likely remain
             protected if they continue to be so. Deciding whether they
             are also protected de jure - that is, whether effective laws
             also protect them-is statistically difficult, for there are
             few controls. In contrast, protected areas in the Atlantic
             Coast forest and West Africa show sharp boundaries in forest
             cover at their edges. This effective protection of forest
             cover is partially offset by their very small size: little
             area is deep inside protected area boundaries. Lands outside
             protected areas in the Atlantic Coast forest are unusually
             fragmented. Finally, we ask whether global databases on
             protected areas are biased toward highly protected areas and
             ignore ``paper parks.{''} Analysis of a Brazilian database
             does not support this presumption.},
   Key = {ISI:000255841600030}
}

@article{ISI:000255398800017,
   Author = {Vale, Mariana M. and Alves, Maria Alice and Pimm, Stuart
             L.},
   Title = {Biopiracy: conservationists have to rebuild lost
             trust},
   Journal = {NATURE},
   Volume = {453},
   Number = {7191},
   Pages = {26},
   Year = {2008},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   Key = {ISI:000255398800017}
}

@article{ISI:000253233800014,
   Author = {Pimm, Stuart L.},
   Title = {Biodiversity: Climate change or habitat loss - Which will
             kill more species?},
   Journal = {CURRENT BIOLOGY},
   Volume = {18},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {R117-R119},
   Year = {2008},
   ISSN = {0960-9822},
   Abstract = {Habitat loss and climate change both kill off species. New
             studies show that the latter is a potent threat. Worse, its
             victims will likely be mostly those not presently threatened
             by habitat loss.},
   Key = {ISI:000253233800014}
}

@article{ISI:000251922500004,
   Author = {Loarie, Scott R. and Joppa, Lucas N. and Pimm, Stuart
             L.},
   Title = {Satellites miss environmental priorities},
   Journal = {TRENDS IN ECOLOGY \& EVOLUTION},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {630-632},
   Year = {2007},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   Key = {ISI:000251922500004}
}

@article{fds279409,
   Author = {Loarie, SR and Joppa, LN and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Satellites miss environmental priorities.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {630-632},
   Year = {2007},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17996978},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2007.08.018},
   Key = {fds279409}
}

@article{ISI:000250430300006,
   Author = {Vale, MM and Bell, JB and Alves, MAS and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Abundance, distribution and conservation of Rio Branco
             Antbird Cercomacra carbonaria and Hoary-throated Spinetail
             Synallaxis kollari},
   Journal = {Bird Conservation International},
   Volume = {17},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {245-257},
   Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
   Year = {2007},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {0959-2709},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0959270907000743},
   Abstract = {Cercomacra carbonaria and Synallaxis kollari are passerine
             birds endemic to the gallery forests of Roraima state in
             northernmost Brazil and adjacent Guyana. The IUCN Red List
             of Threatened Species lists both as Vulnerable but they have
             been removed from Brazil's list of threatened species
             because of data deficiency. They are poorly known,
             reflecting both Roraima state's distance from Brazil's main
             population centres and the inaccessibility of their habitat.
             In 2004 and 2005, we conducted bird surveys along the major
             rivers that provided previous sightings, and expanded
             records from only a handful to several dozens. We found C.
             carbonaria at 29% of the points surveyed, and estimated its
             local population density at approximately 80 individuals
             km-2 and total population size to exceed 15,000 individuals.
             The species has 723 km2 of available habitat, 8% of which is
             inside conservation units. We found S. kollari at 44% of the
             points surveyed, and estimated its local population density
             as approximately 60 individuals km2, with an estimated total
             population size exceeding 5,000 individuals. It has 206 km2
             of available habitat, none of which is inside conservation
             units. We recommend that C. carbonaria be down-listed on the
             IUCN Red List to the Near Threatened category, and that S.
             kollari be listed as Endangered. Both species live in areas
             vulnerable to habitat loss. We also recommend that both
             species re-enter the Brazilian list of threatened species
             and highlight the importance of indigenous reserves to their
             conservation. © 2007 Birdlife International.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S0959270907000743},
   Key = {ISI:000250430300006}
}

@article{ISI:000247934500022,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Imagine a better world},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {448},
   Number = {7150},
   Pages = {135-136},
   Publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
   Year = {2007},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000247934500022&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1038/448135a},
   Key = {ISI:000247934500022}
}

@article{ISI:000246843200001,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Africa: still the "dark continent".},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {21},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {567-569},
   Year = {2007},
   Month = {June},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17531033},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1523-1739.2007.00697.x},
   Key = {ISI:000246843200001}
}

@article{ISI:000244227800007,
   Author = {Van Houtan and KS and Pimm, SL and Halley, JM and Bierregaard, RO and Lovejoy, TE},
   Title = {Dispersal of Amazonian birds in continuous and fragmented
             forest.},
   Journal = {Ecology Letters},
   Volume = {10},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {219-229},
   Year = {2007},
   Month = {March},
   ISSN = {1461-023X},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17305805},
   Abstract = {Many ecologists believe birds disappear from tropical forest
             fragments because they are poor dispersers. We test this
             idea using a spatially explicit capture data base from the
             Biological Dynamics of Forest Fragments Project near Manaus,
             Brazil. We measure bird movements directly, over relatively
             large scales of space and time, both before and after
             landscape fragmentation. We found that species which
             disappear from fragments move extensively between plots
             before isolation, but not after, and often disperse to
             longer distances in continuous forest than in fragmented
             forest. Such species also preferentially emigrate from
             smaller to larger fragments, showing no preference in
             continuous forest. In contrast, species that persist in
             fragments are generally less mobile, do not cross gaps as
             often, yet disperse further after fragmentation than before.
             'Heavy tailed' probability models usually explain dispersal
             kernels better than exponential or Gaussian models,
             suggesting tropical forest birds may be better dispersers
             than assumed with some individuals moving very long
             distances.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01004.x},
   Key = {ISI:000244227800007}
}

@article{ISI:000243660100007,
   Author = {Kinahan, AA and Pimm, SL and van Aarde, RJ},
   Title = {Ambient temperature as a determinant of landscape use in the
             savanna elephant, Loxodonta africana},
   Journal = {Journal of Thermal Biology},
   Volume = {32},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {47-58},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2007},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0306-4565},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtherbio.2006.09.002},
   Abstract = {Elephants occur in landscapes where temperatures can reach
             50 °C. Due to their large size they may face physiological
             problems of dissipating heat during such high temperatures.
             In spite of this, no one seems to have considered ambient
             temperature as limiting landscape choices in elephants. We
             recorded hourly landscape use in free-ranging elephants
             using GPS collars. We also placed temperature data loggers
             in each of the landscapes, to obtain corresponding ambient
             temperatures for each hour. Our results suggest that
             elephants may select landscapes based on the rate at which
             temperatures changed and also for shade. We suggest that
             these selected variables provide a thermal benefit to
             individuals. As such, we propose that landscape use in
             elephants may be constrained by their thermal physiological
             requirements as well as other resources such as food and
             water. © 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.},
   Doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2006.09.002},
   Key = {ISI:000243660100007}
}

@article{van2007dispersal,
   Author = {Van Houtan and K.S. and Pimm, S.L. and Halley, J.M. and Bierregaard Jr and R.O. and Lovejoy, T.E.},
   Title = {Dispersal of Amazonian birds in continuous and fragmented
             forest},
   Journal = {Ecology Letters},
   Volume = {10},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {219--229},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2007},
   Key = {van2007dispersal}
}

@article{kinahan2007ambient,
   Author = {Kinahan, AA and Pimm, S.L. and Van Aarde,
             R.J.},
   Title = {Ambient temperature as a determinant of landscape use in the
             savanna elephant, Loxodonta africana},
   Journal = {Journal of Thermal Biology},
   Volume = {32},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {47--58},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {2007},
   Key = {kinahan2007ambient}
}

@article{vale2007abundance,
   Author = {Vale, M.M. and Bell, J.B. and Alves, M.A.S. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Abundance, distribution and conservation of Rio Branco
             Antbird Cercomacra carbonaria and Hoary-throated Spinetail
             Synallaxis kollari},
   Journal = {Bird Conservation International},
   Volume = {17},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {245--257},
   Publisher = {Cambridge Univ Press},
   Year = {2007},
   Key = {vale2007abundance}
}

@article{pimm2007africa,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Africa: still the “Dark Continent”},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {21},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {567--569},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2007},
   Key = {pimm2007africa}
}

@article{loarie2007satellites,
   Author = {Loarie, S.R. and Joppa, L.N. and Pimm, S.L. and others},
   Title = {Satellites miss environmental priorities},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {12},
   Pages = {630--632},
   Publisher = {Elsevier Science, The Boulevard Langford Lane Kidlington
             Oxford OX 5 1 GB UK,},
   Year = {2007},
   Key = {loarie2007satellites}
}

@article{pimm2007imagine,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Imagine a better world},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {448},
   Number = {7150},
   Pages = {135-136},
   Publisher = {NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP},
   Year = {2007},
   Key = {pimm2007imagine}
}

@article{ISI:000239327200023,
   Author = {Pimm, S and Raven, P and Peterson, A and Sekercioglu, CH and Ehrlich,
             PR},
   Title = {Human impacts on the rates of recent, present, and future
             bird extinctions.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {103},
   Number = {29},
   Pages = {10941-10946},
   Year = {2006},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {0027-8424},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0604181103},
   Abstract = {Unqualified, the statement that approximately 1.3% of the
             approximately 10,000 presently known bird species have
             become extinct since A.D. 1500 yields an estimate of
             approximately 26 extinctions per million species per year
             (or 26 E/MSY). This is higher than the benchmark rate of
             approximately 1 E/MSY before human impacts, but is a serious
             underestimate. First, Polynesian expansion across the
             Pacific also exterminated many species well before European
             explorations. Second, three factors increase the rate: (i)
             The number of known extinctions before 1800 is increasing as
             taxonomists describe new species from skeletal remains. (ii)
             One should calculate extinction rates over the years since
             taxonomists described the species. Most bird species were
             described only after 1850. (iii) Some species are probably
             extinct; there is reluctance to declare them so prematurely.
             Thus corrected, recent extinction rates are approximately
             100 E/MSY. In the last decades, the rate is <50 E/MSY, but
             would be 150 E/MSY were it not for conservation efforts.
             Increasing numbers of extinctions are on continents, whereas
             previously most were on islands. We predict a 21st century
             rate of approximately 1,000 E/MSY. Extinction threatens 12%
             of bird species; another 12% have small geographical ranges
             and live where human actions rapidly destroy their habitats.
             If present forest losses continue, extinction rates will
             reach 1,500 E/MSY by the century's end. Invasive species,
             expanding human technologies, and global change will harm
             additional species. Birds are poor models for predicting
             extinction rates for other taxa. Human actions threaten
             higher fractions of other well known taxa than they do
             birds. Moreover, people take special efforts to protect
             birds.},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.0604181103},
   Key = {ISI:000239327200023}
}

@article{fds279411,
   Author = {Montoya, JM and Pimm, SL and Solé, RV},
   Title = {Ecological networks and their fragility.},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {442},
   Number = {7100},
   Pages = {259-264},
   Year = {2006},
   Month = {July},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16855581},
   Abstract = {Darwin used the metaphor of a 'tangled bank' to describe the
             complex interactions between species. Those interactions are
             varied: they can be antagonistic ones involving predation,
             herbivory and parasitism, or mutualistic ones, such as those
             involving the pollination of flowers by insects. Moreover,
             the metaphor hints that the interactions may be complex to
             the point of being impossible to understand. All
             interactions can be visualized as ecological networks, in
             which species are linked together, either directly or
             indirectly through intermediate species. Ecological
             networks, although complex, have well defined patterns that
             both illuminate the ecological mechanisms underlying them
             and promise a better understanding of the relationship
             between complexity and ecological stability.},
   Doi = {10.1038/nature04927},
   Key = {fds279411}
}

@article{pimm2006ockham,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Bass, OL and Dollar, L},
   Title = {Ockham and Garp. Reply to Maehr et al.'s (2006) response to
             Pimm et al. (2006)},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {9},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {133-134},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2006},
   Month = {May},
   ISSN = {1367-9430},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-1795.2006.00026.x},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1469-1795.2006.00026.x},
   Key = {pimm2006ockham}
}

@article{ISI:000236766400002,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Dollar, L and Bass, OL},
   Title = {The genetic rescue of the Florida panther},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {9},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {115-122},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2006},
   Month = {May},
   ISSN = {1367-9430},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-1795.2005.00010.x},
   Abstract = {We examine the consequences of panthers introduced from
             Texas into south Florida, an area housing a small, isolated,
             inbred and distinct subspecies (Puma concolor coryi). Once
             part of a continuous, widespread population, panthers became
             isolated in south Florida more than a century ago. Numbers
             declined and the occurrence of genetic defects increased.
             Hoping to reverse the genetic damage, managers introduced
             eight female panthers from Texas into south Florida in the
             mid-1990s. This action was highly controversial and we
             explain the arguments for and against the intervention. We
             synthesized data systematically collected on the Florida
             panthers from before, during and after this management
             intervention. These data include information on movements,
             breeding, mortality, survivorship and range. There is no
             evidence that purebred Florida females produce fewer kittens
             at a later age or less often than do hybrid cats (i.e. those
             with a Texas ancestor). Hybrid kittens have about a three
             times higher chance of becoming adults as do purebred ones.
             Hybrid adult females survive better than purebred females;
             there is no obvious difference between the males. Males die
             younger than females, are more often killed by other males
             and are more likely to disperse longer distances into
             habitats that are dangerous to them. Hybrids are expanding
             the known range of habitats panthers occupy and use. © 2006
             The Zoological Society of London.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1469-1795.2005.00010.x},
   Key = {ISI:000236766400002}
}

@article{ISI:000236384700002,
   Author = {Russell, GJ and Diamond, JM and Reed, TM and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Breeding birds on small islands: island biogeography or
             optimal foraging?},
   Journal = {The Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Volume = {75},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {324-339},
   Year = {2006},
   Month = {March},
   ISSN = {0021-8790},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16637986},
   Abstract = {1. We test MacArthur and Wilson's theory about the
             biogeography of communities on isolated habitat patches
             using bird breeding records from 16 small islands off the
             coasts of Britain and Ireland. 2. A traditional examination
             of patterns of species richness on these islands suggests
             that area and habitat diversity are important predictors,
             but that isolation and latitude have a negligible impact in
             this system. 3. Unlike traditional studies, we directly
             examine the fundamental processes of colonization and local
             extinction (cessation of breeding), rather than higher-order
             phenomena such as species richness. 4. We find that many of
             MacArthur and Wilson's predictions hold: colonization
             probability is lower on more isolated islands, and
             extinction probability is lower on larger islands and those
             with a greater diversity of habitats. 5. We also find an
             unexpected pattern: extinction probability is much lower on
             more isolated islands. This is the strongest relationship in
             these data, and isolation is the best single predictor of
             colonization and extinction. 6. Our results show that
             examination of species richness alone is misleading.
             Isolation has a strong effect on both of the dynamic
             processes that underlie richness, and in this system, the
             reductions in both colonization and extinction probability
             seen on more distant islands have opposing influences on
             species richness, and largely cancel each other out. 7. We
             suggest that an appropriate model for this system might be
             optimal foraging theory, which predicts that organisms will
             stay longer in a resource patch if the distance to a
             neighbouring patch is large. If nest sites and food are the
             resources in this system, then optimal foraging theory
             predicts the pattern we observe. 8. We advance the
             hypothesis that there is a class of spatial systems, defined
             by their scale and by the taxon under consideration, at
             which decision-making processes are a key driver of the
             spatiotemporal dynamics. The appropriate theory for such
             systems will be a hybrid of concepts from
             biogeography/metapopulation theory and behavioural
             ecology.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1365-2656.2006.01052.x},
   Key = {ISI:000236384700002}
}

@article{ISI:000235123100010,
   Author = {Van Houtan and KS and Pimm, SL and Bierregaard, RO and Lovejoy, TE and Stouffer, PC},
   Title = {Local extinctions in flocking birds in Amazonian forest
             fragments},
   Journal = {Evolutionary Ecology Research},
   Volume = {8},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {129-148},
   Year = {2006},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {1522-0613},
   Abstract = {Questions: Does the tendency to join flocks predispose a
             bird species to local or global extinction? Does the ability
             to revise particular social preferences in fragmented
             landscapes confer greater persistence? Do solitary species
             of birds persist longer in small forest patches? Background:
             Social carnivores range more widely than solitary carnivores
             and are more prone to local extinction in fragmented
             landscapes. Flocking bird species typically range over
             larger areas than solitary ones, thus potentially
             encountering threats in and beyond the edges of their
             habitat more often than solitary species. Data: A 14-year
             bird-capture database from the Biological Dynamics of Forest
             Fragments Project (BDFFP) near Manaus, Brazil. Methods: From
             the literature, from independent field observations and
             mist-net captures we identified 30 species that join mixed
             flocks or follow ant swarms. We quantify the tendency for
             these species to flock both before and after habitat
             fragmentation. We test the effect of flocking on understory
             species' persistence in forest fragments of 1, 10 and 100
             ha. Results: Species that typically forage in flocks before
             plot isolation persist for shorter times than those that
             infrequently join flocks. Species that drop out of flocks
             after fragmentation persist longer than those that remain in
             flocks. Our model outperformed a nested analysis of variance
             that treated each species as a variable, inherently testing
             for life-history idiosyncrasies and phylogeny. Recapture
             rates, calculated using MARK, did not explain the residual
             variation from our model. Flocking behaviour, and its
             plasticity, influence species persistence and so are
             important criteria in understanding local extinction. ©
             2006 Stuart L. Pimm.},
   Key = {ISI:000235123100010}
}

@article{pimm2006ecological,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Sol, R.V. and others},
   Title = {Ecological networks and their fragility.},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {442},
   Number = {7100},
   Pages = {259--264},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {pimm2006ecological}
}

@article{russell2006breeding,
   Author = {Russell, G.J. and Diamond, J.M. and Reed, T.M. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Breeding birds on small islands: island biogeography or
             optimal foraging?},
   Journal = {Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Volume = {75},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {324--339},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {russell2006breeding}
}

@article{pimm2006human,
   Author = {Pimm, S. and Raven, P. and Peterson, A. and {\c{S}}ekercio{\u{g}}lu, {\c{C}}.H. and Ehrlich,
             P.R.},
   Title = {Human impacts on the rates of recent, present, and future
             bird extinctions},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
   Volume = {103},
   Number = {29},
   Pages = {10941},
   Publisher = {National Acad Sciences},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {pimm2006human}
}

@article{pimm2006genetic,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Dollar, L. and Bass Jr and O.L.},
   Title = {The genetic rescue of the Florida panther},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {9},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {115--122},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {pimm2006genetic}
}

@article{montoya2006ecological,
   Author = {Montoya, J.M. and Pimm, S.L. and Sol{\'e},
             R.V.},
   Title = {Ecological networks and their fragility},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {442},
   Number = {7100},
   Pages = {259--264},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {montoya2006ecological}
}

@article{pimm2006dr,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Dr AH Heineken Prize for Environmental Sciences
             2006},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {pimm2006dr}
}

@article{pimm2006perfect,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {The Perfect Gift to Inspire Your Students and Make Your
             Mother Love You Even More},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {20},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {923-923},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {pimm2006perfect}
}

@article{pimm2006comment,
   Author = {Pimm, S and Jenkins, C},
   Title = {Comment pr{\'e}server la biodiversit{\'e}},
   Journal = {Pour La Science},
   Number = {342},
   Pages = {54-61},
   Publisher = {Pour la science},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {pimm2006comment}
}

@article{van2006various,
   Author = {Van Houtan and KS and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The various Christian ethics of species conservation},
   Journal = {Religion and the New Ecology: Environmental Prudence in a
             World in Flux. University of Notre Dame Press, Notre Dame,
             Indiana},
   Pages = {116-147},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {van2006various}
}

@article{ISI:000239122100029,
   Author = {Montoya, Jose M. and Pimm, Stuart L. and Sole, Ricard
             V.},
   Title = {Ecological networks and their fragility},
   Journal = {NATURE},
   Volume = {442},
   Number = {7100},
   Pages = {259-264},
   Year = {2006},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   Abstract = {Darwin used the metaphor of a `tangled bank' to describe the
             complex interactions between species. Those interactions are
             varied: they can be antagonistic ones involving predation,
             herbivory and parasitism, or mutualistic ones, such as those
             involving the pollination of flowers by insects. Moreover,
             the metaphor hints that the interactions may be complex to
             the point of being impossible to understand. All
             interactions can be visualized as ecological networks, in
             which species are linked together, either directly or
             indirectly through intermediate species. Ecological
             networks, although complex, have well defined patterns that
             both illuminate the ecological mechanisms underlying them
             and promise a better understanding of the relationship
             between complexity and ecological stability.},
   Key = {ISI:000239122100029}
}

@article{ISI:000233938100035,
   Author = {Harris, GM and Jenkins, CN and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Refining biodiversity conservation priorities},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {19},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {1957-1968},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2005},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2005.00307.x},
   Abstract = {Although there is widespread agreement about conservation
             priorities at large scales (i.e., biodiversity hotspots),
             their boundaries remain too coarse for setting practical
             conservation goals. Refining hotspot conservation means
             identifying specific locations (individual habitat patches)
             of realistic size and scale for managers to protect and
             politicians to support. Because hotspots have lost most of
             their original habitat, species endemic to them rely on what
             remains. The issue now becomes identifying where this
             habitat is and these species are. We accomplished this by
             using straightforward remote sensing and GIS techniques,
             identifying specific locations in Brazil's Atlantic Forest
             hotspot important for bird conservation. Our method requires
             a regional map of current forest cover, so we explored six
             popular products for mapping and quantifying forest: MODIS
             continuous fields and a MODIS land cover (preclassified
             products), AVHRR, SPOT VGT, MODIS (satellite images), and a
             GeoCover Landsat thematic mapper mosaic (jpg). We compared
             subsets of these forest covers against a forest map based on
             a Landsat enhanced thematic mapper. The SPOT VGT forest
             cover predicted forest area and location well, so we
             combined it with elevation data to refine coarse
             distribution maps for forest endemic birds. Stacking these
             species distribution maps enabled identification of the
             subregion richest in threatened birds-the lowland forests of
             Rio de Janeiro State. We highlighted eight priority
             fragments, focusing on one with finer resolved imagery for
             detailed study. This method allows prioritization of areas
             for conservation from a region >1 million km2 to forest
             fragments of tens of square kilometers. To set priorities
             for biodiversity conservation, coarse biological information
             is sufficient. Hence, our method is attractive for tropical
             and biologically rich locations, where species location
             information is sparse. ©2005 Society for Conservation
             Biology.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1523-1739.2005.00307.x},
   Key = {ISI:000233938100035}
}

@article{ISI:000231099900030,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Jenkins, C},
   Title = {Sustaining the variety of life},
   Journal = {SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN},
   Volume = {293},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {66-73},
   Year = {2005},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {0036-8733},
   Abstract = {The four laws of biogeography describe species abundance and
             species location,i.e. biodiversity, worldwide. To sustain
             biodiversity hot spots around the world these special places
             must be preserved. This can be achieved by utilizing the
             laws to identify these hot spots.},
   Key = {ISI:000231099900030}
}

@article{fds279412,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Jenkins, C},
   Title = {Sustaining the variety of life.},
   Journal = {Scientific American},
   Volume = {293},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {66-73},
   Year = {2005},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {0036-8733},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16121856},
   Doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0905-66},
   Key = {fds279412}
}

@article{ISI:000227659700015,
   Author = {Wassenaar, TD and Van Aarde and RJ and Pimm, SL and Ferreira,
             SM},
   Title = {Community convergence in disturbed subtropical dune
             forests},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Volume = {86},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {655-666},
   Year = {2005},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0012-9658},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/03-0836},
   Abstract = {Do communities return to their former state when we disturb
             them? The answer is "surely not always," since some
             disturbances may be so devastating that recovery will be
             impossible. If communities do recover, then how fast is that
             recovery? Do different subsets of species return at the same
             rate? Is that rate a simple exponential recovery - meaning
             that the change toward the original state is fastest when
             the community is furthest away and it slows as the community
             converges? Or is recovery a more dynamically complex
             process? These questions are theoretically interesting and
             practically important. The theoretical questions are if
             there is a particular state - some exact composition - to
             which a community is likely to return, if there might be
             several (or many) possible such states, or if community
             composition is essentially haphazard. The practical
             implication is that if disturbed ecological communities do
             not tend to return to a previous state, it may be impossible
             to undo human impacts on natural ecosystems. We follow the
             fate of species assemblages following the removal of
             vegetation for mining. We show that these assemblages in
             restored subtropical coastal dune forests in South Africa do
             converge with a regional equilibrium state and that
             convergence is possible within a reasonable period. However,
             changes in assemblages from different trophic levels were
             idiosyncratic: convergence in the dung beetle assemblage did
             not mimic convergence for trees and birds, for example. Few
             of the assemblages converged exponentially, the simplest
             shape for the decay function. Furthermore, trends were
             sometimes different for different indices of community
             dissimilarity, suggesting that whether one accepts
             convergence depends, in part, on exactly what one measures.
             © 2005 by the Ecological Society of America.},
   Doi = {10.1890/03-0836},
   Key = {ISI:000227659700015}
}

@article{harris2005refining,
   Author = {Harris, G.M. and Jenkins, C.N. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Refining biodiversity conservation priorities},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {19},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {1957--1968},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2005},
   Key = {harris2005refining}
}

@article{wassenaar2005community,
   Author = {Wassenaar, TD and Van Aarde and RJ and Pimm, SL and Ferreira,
             SM},
   Title = {Community convergence in disturbed subtropical dune
             forests},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Volume = {86},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {655--666},
   Publisher = {Eco Soc America},
   Year = {2005},
   Key = {wassenaar2005community}
}

@article{pimm2005sustaining,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Jenkins, C.},
   Title = {Sustaining the variety of life},
   Journal = {Scientific American},
   Volume = {293},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {66--73},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {2005},
   Key = {pimm2005sustaining}
}

@article{pimm2005ecology,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {ECOLOGY IN THE LARGE: GAIA AND GENGHIS KHAN'},
   Journal = {Narrow Roads of Gene Land: the Collected Papers of Wd
             Hamilton Volume 3: Last Words},
   Publisher = {Oxford University Press, USA},
   Year = {2005},
   Key = {pimm2005ecology}
}

@article{pimm2005categories,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Lawton, JH and Cohen, JE},
   Title = {CATEGORIES OF PLANKTON},
   Journal = {Water Encyclopedia: Oceanography; Meteorology; Physics and
             Chemistry; Water Law; and Water History, Art, and
             Culture},
   Volume = {4},
   Pages = {154},
   Publisher = {Wiley-Interscience},
   Year = {2005},
   Key = {pimm2005categories}
}

@article{pimm2005biodiversidad,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Jenkins, C},
   Title = {BIODIVERSIDAD-Conservaci{\'o}n de la biodiversidad-De la
             investigaci{\'o}n sobre la distribuci{\'o}n geogr{\'a}fica
             de la biodiversidad y sobre el riesgo de extinci{\'o}n de
             especies pueden extraerse planes de conservaci{\'o}n
             eficaces y econ{\'o}micamente viables.},
   Journal = {Investigaci{\'O}N Y Ciencia: Edici{\'O}N Espa{\~N}Ola De
             Scientific American},
   Number = {350},
   Pages = {34-41},
   Year = {2005},
   Key = {pimm2005biodiversidad}
}

@article{pimm2005sustaining,
   Author = {PIMM, SL and JENKINS, C},
   Title = {SUSTAINING THE},
   Journal = {Scientific American},
   Year = {2005},
   Key = {pimm2005sustaining}
}

@article{ISI:000225737300024,
   Author = {Harris, GM and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Bird species' tolerance of secondary forest habitats and its
             effects on extinction},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {18},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {1607-1616},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2004},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2004.00157.x},
   Abstract = {Intense deforestation causes massive species losses. These
             losses occur because the habitats supplanting primary forest
             are inadequate to sustain viable populations of
             forest-dependent species. Despite this, certain species do
             seem to persist within the secondary habitats that replace
             original forest. This implies that there is a special class
             of species that might survive the loss of primary forest.
             Such a result would significantly influence conservation
             plans and extinction predictions. We tested whether species
             that tolerate secondary habitats survive extensive habitat
             loss and whether the same degree of loss threatens species
             that are forest obligates. To identify purported
             "survivors," we compared the remaining range sizes of
             endemic birds, their abundances, and their degree of
             extinction threat. We did this within the remaining Atlantic
             Forest of Brazil, a region extremely rich in endemics but
             with only approximately 10% of its forest remaining. We
             found no survivors. Habitat loss threatens forest-obligate
             birds and those using secondary habitats
             equally.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1523-1739.2004.00157.x},
   Key = {ISI:000225737300024}
}

@article{saterson2004disconnects,
   Author = {Saterson, KA and Christensen, NL and Jackson, RB and Kramer, RA and Pimm, SL and Smith, MD and Wiener, JB},
   Title = {Disconnects in Evaluating the Relative Effectiveness of
             Conservation Strategies},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {18},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {1-3},
   Publisher = {BLACKWELL PUBLISHING INC},
   Year = {2004},
   Month = {June},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2004.01831.x},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1523-1739.2004.01831.x},
   Key = {saterson2004disconnects}
}

@article{fds279416,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Brown, JH},
   Title = {Ecology. Domains of diversity.},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {304},
   Number = {5672},
   Pages = {831-833},
   Year = {2004},
   Month = {May},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15131295},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.1095332},
   Key = {fds279416}
}

@article{pimm2004domains,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Brown, J.H.},
   Title = {Domains of diversity},
   Journal = {Science},
   Volume = {304},
   Number = {5672},
   Pages = {831},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of
             Science},
   Year = {2004},
   Key = {pimm2004domains}
}

@article{harris2004bird,
   Author = {Harris, G.M. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Bird species' tolerance of secondary forest habitats and its
             effects on extinction},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {18},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {1607--1616},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2004},
   Key = {harris2004bird}
}

@article{pimm2004growing,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Growing biodiversity},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {430},
   Number = {7003},
   Pages = {967-968},
   Publisher = {NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP},
   Year = {2004},
   Key = {pimm2004growing}
}

@article{ISI:000223514900019,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Farmers' bounty: Locating crop diversity in the contemporary
             world},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {430},
   Number = {7003},
   Pages = {967-968},
   Year = {2004},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   Key = {ISI:000223514900019}
}

@article{ISI:000221353300001,
   Author = {Saterson, K and Christensen, NL and Jackson, RB and Kramer, RA and Pimm,
             SL and Smith, MD and Wiener, JB},
   Title = {Disconnects in Evaluating the Relative Effectiveness of
             Conservation Strategies},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {18},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {597-599},
   Year = {2004},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10161/7005 Duke open
             access},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1523-1739.2004.01831.x},
   Key = {ISI:000221353300001}
}

@article{ISI:000221243000029,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Brown, JH},
   Title = {Domains of diversity},
   Journal = {SCIENCE},
   Volume = {304},
   Number = {5672},
   Pages = {831-833},
   Year = {2004},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   Key = {ISI:000221243000029}
}

@article{ISI:000186660800023,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Expiry dates.},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {426},
   Number = {6964},
   Pages = {235-236},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/426235a},
   Abstract = {The dodo is most certainly dead. But when did the species
             finally disappear? A statistical approach allows estimation
             of the date, and could be applied to other extinctions, both
             past and present.},
   Doi = {10.1038/426235a},
   Key = {ISI:000186660800023}
}

@article{fds279424,
   Author = {Ferraz, G and Russell, GJ and Stouffer, PC and Bierregaard, RO and Pimm,
             SL and Lovejoy, TE},
   Title = {Rates of species loss from Amazonian forest
             fragments.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {100},
   Number = {24},
   Pages = {14069-14073},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0027-8424},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/14614134},
   Abstract = {In the face of worldwide habitat fragmentation, managers
             need to devise a time frame for action. We ask how fast do
             understory bird species disappear from experimentally
             isolated plots in the Biological Dynamics of Forest
             Fragments Project, central Amazon, Brazil. Our data consist
             of mist-net records obtained over a period of 13 years in 11
             sites of 1, 10, and 100 hectares. The numbers of captures
             per species per unit time, analyzed under different
             simplifying assumptions, reveal a set of species-loss
             curves. From those declining numbers, we derive a scaling
             rule for the time it takes to lose half the species in a
             fragment as a function of its area. A 10-fold decrease in
             the rate of species loss requires a 1,000-fold increase in
             area. Fragments of 100 hectares lose one half of their
             species in <15 years, too short a time for implementing
             conservation measures.},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.2336195100},
   Key = {fds279424}
}

@article{fds279426,
   Author = {Sugihara, G and Bersier, L-F and Southwood, TRE and Pimm, SL and May,
             RM},
   Title = {Predicted correspondence between species abundances and
             dendrograms of niche similarities.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {100},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {5246-5251},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0027-8424},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12702773},
   Abstract = {We examine a hypothesized relationship between two
             descriptions of community structure: the niche-overlap
             dendrogram that describes the ecological similarities of
             species and the pattern of relative abundances.
             Specifically, we examine the way in which this relationship
             follows from the niche hierarchy model, whose fundamental
             assumption is a direct connection between abundances and
             underlying hierarchical community organization. We test
             three important, although correlated, predictions of the
             niche hierarchy model and show that they are upheld in a set
             of 11 communities (encompassing fishes, amphibians, lizards,
             and birds) where both abundances and dendrograms were
             reported. First, species that are highly nested in the
             dendrogram are on average less abundant than species from
             branches less subdivided. Second, and more significantly,
             more equitable community abundances are associated with more
             evenly branched dendrogram structures, whereas less
             equitable abundances are associated with less even
             dendrograms. This relationship shows that abundance patterns
             can give insight into less visible aspects of community
             organization. Third, one can recover the distribution of
             proportional abundances seen in assemblages containing two
             species by treating each branch point in the dendrogram as a
             two-species case. This reconstruction cannot be achieved if
             abundances and the dendrogram are unrelated and suggests a
             method for hierarchically decomposing systems. To our
             knowledge, this is the first test of a species abundance
             model based on nontrivial predictions as to the origins and
             causes of abundance patterns, and not simply on the
             goodness-of-fit of distributions.},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.0831096100},
   Key = {fds279426}
}

@article{ISI:000182170100005,
   Author = {Jenkins, CN and Powell, RD and Bass, OL and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Demonstrating the destruction of the habitat of the Cape
             Sable seaside sparrow (Ammodramus maritimus
             mirabilis)},
   Journal = {ANIMAL CONSERVATION},
   Volume = {6},
   Number = {Part 1},
   Pages = {29-38},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {1367-9430},
   Abstract = {The Cape Sable seaside sparrow (Ammodramus maritimus
             mirabilis) is Federally protected under the Endangered
             Species Act of the United States of America. This
             legislation prohibits direct or indirect take - the killing
             or harming - of the protected species. In 1993 and 1995, the
             opening of floodgates into Everglades National Park during
             the normal dry season resulted in a direct take of the
             sparrow. The argument was also made that there was indirect
             take through destruction of the habitat upon which the
             sparrow depends. Using a combination of fieldwork and
             satellite image analysis, we show that the floods did damage
             to the habitat of the sparrow. Moreover, they did so for a
             period longer than the actual flooding, further increasing
             the sparrow's extinction risk. Recovery of the sparrow
             population to pre-flood levels will require an adequate and
             stable amount of habitat. We now have a technique for
             monitoring that habitat and ensuring that poor water
             management does not threaten it. More broadly, this
             technique has the potential for monitoring the habitat of
             many other species and avoiding another situation such as
             the sparrow faces.},
   Key = {ISI:000182170100005}
}

@article{ISI:000182170100006,
   Author = {Jenkins, CN and Powell, RD and Bass, OL and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Why sparrow distributions do not match model
             predictions},
   Journal = {ANIMAL CONSERVATION},
   Volume = {6},
   Number = {Part 1},
   Pages = {39-46},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {1367-9430},
   Abstract = {A companion paper in this issue describes the mapping of
             Cape Sable seaside sparrow (Ammodramus maritimus mirabilis)
             habitat using satellite imagery. In general, those maps are
             correct. However, testing against an independent survey of
             the sparrow population does identify errors. Those errors
             fall into two categories, model errors and bird errors. The
             model errors result from genuine problems with the model.
             More interesting for conservation are the bird errors, which
             are more numerous. They are of two types. (1) Commission
             errors: some suitable habitat does not contain birds. These
             are areas where prior events have depleted sparrow numbers,
             but because the sparrows do not disperse long distances,
             they cannot occupy it quickly. (2) Omission errors: some
             birds remain in unsuitable habitat that was formerly
             suitable. This results from the sparrow's very high site
             fidelity. Often, they will not leave an area even when it is
             no longer suitable. The consequences of these bird errors
             are that some habitat and some birds are not contributing to
             the species' survival. Thus, an estimate of only the amount
             of habitat or only the sparrow population may present an
             overly optimistic view of the sparrow's plight.},
   Key = {ISI:000182170100006}
}

@article{fds279414,
   Author = {Jenkins, CN and Powell, RD and Bass, OL and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Demonstrating the destruction of the habitat of the Cape
             Sable seaside sparrow (Ammodramus maritimus
             mirabilis)},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {6},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {29-38},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {February},
   url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/pimm/publications/pimmreprints/177_Jenkins_et_al_2003a.pdf},
   Abstract = {The Cape Sable seaside sparrow (Ammodramus maritimus
             mirabilis) is Federally protected under the Endangered
             Species Act of the United States of America. This
             legislation prohibits direct or indirect take - the killing
             or harming - of the protected species. In 1993 and 1995, the
             opening of floodgates into Everglades National Park during
             the normal dry season resulted in a direct take of the
             sparrow. The argument was also made that there was indirect
             take through destruction of the habitat upon which the
             sparrow depends. Using a combination of fieldwork and
             satellite image analysis, we show that the floods did damage
             to the habitat of the sparrow. Moreover, they did so for a
             period longer than the actual flooding, further increasing
             the sparrow's extinction risk. Recovery of the sparrow
             population to pre-flood levels will require an adequate and
             stable amount of habitat. We now have a technique for
             monitoring that habitat and ensuring that poor water
             management does not threaten it. More broadly, this
             technique has the potential for monitoring the habitat of
             many other species and avoiding another situation such as
             the sparrow faces. © 2003 The Zoological Society of
             London.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S1367943003003056},
   Key = {fds279414}
}

@article{fds279423,
   Author = {Jenkins, CN and Powell, RD and Bass, OL and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Why sparrow distributions do not match model
             predictions},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {6},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {39-46},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {February},
   url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/pimm/publications/pimmreprints/178_Jenkins_et_al_2003b.pdf},
   Abstract = {A companion paper in this issue describes the mapping of
             Cape Sable seaside sparrow (Ammodramus maritimus mirabilis)
             habitat using satellite imagery. In general, those maps are
             correct. However, testing against an independent survey of
             the sparrow population does identify errors. Those errors
             fall into two categories, model errors and bird errors. The
             model errors result from genuine problems with the model.
             More interesting for conservation are the bird errors, which
             are more numerous. They are of two types. (1) Commission
             errors: Some suitable habitat does not contain birds. These
             are areas where prior events have depleted sparrow numbers,
             but because the sparrows do not disperse long distances,
             they cannot occupy it quickly. (2) Omission errors: Some
             birds rema in in unsuitable habitat that was formerly
             suitable. This results from the sparrow's very high site
             fidelity. Often, they will not leave an area even when it is
             no longer suitable. The consequences of these bird errors
             are that some habitat and some birds are not contributing to
             the species' survival. Thus, an estimate of only the amount
             of habitat or only the sparrow population may present an
             overly optimistic view of the sparrow's plight. © 2003 The
             Zoological Society of London.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S1367943003003068},
   Key = {fds279423}
}

@article{ISI:000183643300003,
   Author = {Jenkins, CN and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {How big is the global weed patch?},
   Journal = {Annals of the Missouri Botanical Garden},
   Volume = {90},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {172-178},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0026-6493},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3298581},
   Abstract = {Invasive species are a major global threat to both
             biodiversity and agriculture and thus are a high priority
             for conservation science. Governments recognize this and are
             devoting increasing resources toward solving the problem.
             Even so, there is inadequate information on where invasives
             occur and thus where society can best use these resources.
             Disturbed areas tend to be very favorable to invasives,
             especially the weedy species. We map the world's disturbed
             areas, the global weed patch, using maps of original and
             current landcover. At least 29.4 million km2 (ca. 23%) of
             the world's ice-free land area is disturbed and thus
             favorable for invasive species. This weed patch map
             corresponds well to known locations of some of the world's
             worst weeds, lending support to our approach. Our results
             should help in setting geographic priorities for actions
             against invasive species.},
   Doi = {10.2307/3298581},
   Key = {ISI:000183643300003}
}

@article{fds279415,
   Author = {Myers, N and Pimm, S},
   Title = {The last extinction?},
   Journal = {Foreign Policy},
   Number = {135},
   Pages = {28-29},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/pimm/publications/pimmreprints/179_Myers_and_Pimm_FP_2003.pdf},
   Doi = {10.2307/3183586},
   Key = {fds279415}
}

@article{ferraz2003rates,
   Author = {Ferraz, G. and Russell, G.J. and Stouffer, P.C. and Bierregaard, R.O. and Pimm, S.L. and Lovejoy,
             T.E.},
   Title = {Rates of species loss from Amazonian forest
             fragments},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {100},
   Number = {24},
   Pages = {14069},
   Publisher = {National Acad Sciences},
   Year = {2003},
   Key = {ferraz2003rates}
}

@article{jenkins2003demonstrating,
   Author = {Jenkins, C.N. and Powell, R.D. and Bass Jr and O.L. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Demonstrating the destruction of the habitat of the Cape
             Sable seaside sparrow (Ammodramus maritimus
             mirabilis)},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {6},
   Number = {01},
   Pages = {29--38},
   Publisher = {Cambridge Univ Press},
   Year = {2003},
   Key = {jenkins2003demonstrating}
}

@article{jenkins2003big,
   Author = {Jenkins, C.N. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {How big is the global weed patch?},
   Journal = {Annals of the Missouri Botanical Garden},
   Pages = {172--178},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {2003},
   Key = {jenkins2003big}
}

@article{myers2003last,
   Author = {Myers, N. and Pimm, S.},
   Title = {The Last Extinction?},
   Journal = {Foreign Policy},
   Pages = {28--29},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {2003},
   Key = {myers2003last}
}

@article{liu2003protecting,
   Author = {Liu, J. and Ouyang, Z. and Pimm, S.L. and Raven, P.H. and Wang, X. and Miao, H. and Han, N.},
   Title = {Protecting China's biodiversity},
   Journal = {Science},
   Volume = {300},
   Number = {5623},
   Pages = {1240},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of
             Science},
   Year = {2003},
   Key = {liu2003protecting}
}

@article{jenkins2003sparrow,
   Author = {Jenkins, C.N. and Powell, R.D. and Bass Jr and O.L. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Why sparrow distributions do not match model
             predictions},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {6},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {39--46},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2003},
   Key = {jenkins2003sparrow}
}

@article{sugihara2003predicted,
   Author = {Sugihara, G. and Bersier, L.F. and Southwood, T.R.E. and Pimm, S.L. and May, R.M.},
   Title = {Predicted correspondence between species abundances and
             dendrograms of niche similarities},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
   Volume = {100},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {5246},
   Publisher = {National Acad Sciences},
   Year = {2003},
   Key = {sugihara2003predicted}
}

@article{pimm2003expiry,
   Author = {Pimm, S.},
   Title = {Expiry dates},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {426},
   Number = {6964},
   Pages = {235--236},
   Year = {2003},
   Key = {pimm2003expiry}
}

@article{pimm2003evolutionary,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Evolutionary biology: Expiry dates},
   Journal = {Nature London},
   Pages = {235-235},
   Publisher = {MACMILLAN MAGAZINES LTD},
   Year = {2003},
   Key = {pimm2003evolutionary}
}

@article{fds279425,
   Author = {Liu, J and Ouyang, Z and Pimm, SL and Raven, PH and Wang, X and Xiaoke, M and Hong, H and Han, N},
   Title = {Protecting China's Biodiversity},
   Journal = {Science},
   Volume = {300},
   Number = {5623},
   Pages = {1240-1241},
   Year = {2003},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12764180},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.1078868},
   Key = {fds279425}
}

@article{ISI:000186803800059,
   Author = {Ferraz, G and Russell, GJ and Stouffer, PC and Bierregaard,
             RO and Pimm, SL and Lovejoy, TE},
   Title = {Rates of species loss from Amazonian forest
             fragments},
   Journal = {PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE
             UNITED STATES OF AMERICA},
   Volume = {100},
   Number = {24},
   Pages = {14069-14073},
   Year = {2003},
   ISSN = {0027-8424},
   Abstract = {In the face of worldwide habitat fragmentation, managers
             need to devise a time frame for action. We ask how fast do
             understory bird species disappear from experimentally
             isolated plots in the Biological Dynamics of Forest
             Fragments Project, central Amazon, Brazil. Our data consist
             of mist-net records obtained over a period of 13 years in 11
             sites of 1, 10, and 100 hectares. The numbers of captures
             per species per unit time, analyzed under different
             simplifying assumptions, reveal a set of species-loss
             curves. From those declining numbers, we derive a scaling
             rule for the time it takes to lose half the species in a
             fragment as a function of its area. A 10-fold decrease in
             the rate of species loss requires a 1,000-fold increase in
             area. Fragments of 100 hectares lose one half of their
             species in <15 years, too short a time for implementing
             conservation measures.},
   Key = {ISI:000186803800059}
}

@article{ISI:000182612600052,
   Author = {Sugihara, G and Bersier, LF and Southwood, TRE and Pimm, SL and May, RM},
   Title = {Predicted correspondence between species abundances and
             dendrograms of niche similarities},
   Journal = {PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE
             UNITED STATES OF AMERICA},
   Volume = {100},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {5246-5251},
   Year = {2003},
   ISSN = {0027-8424},
   Abstract = {We examine a hypothesized relationship between two
             descriptions of community structure: the niche-overlap
             dendrogram that describes the ecological similarities of
             species and the pattern of relative abundances.
             Specifically, we examine the way in. which this relationship
             follows from the niche hierarchy model, whose fundamental
             assumption is a direct connection between abundances and
             underlying hierarchical community organization. We test
             three important, although correlated, predictions of the
             niche hierarchy model and show that they are upheld in a set
             of 11 communities (encompassing fishes, amphibians, lizards,
             and birds) where both abundances and dendrograms were
             reported. First, species that are highly nested in the
             dendrogram are on average less abundant than species from
             branches less subdivided. Second, and more significantly,
             more equitable community abundances are associated with more
             evenly branched dendrogram structures, whereas less
             equitable abundances are associated with less even
             dendrograms. This relationship shows that abundance patterns
             can give insight into less visible aspects of community
             organization. Third, one can recover the distribution of
             proportional abundances seen in assemblages containing two
             species by treating each branch point in the dendrogram as a
             two-species case. This reconstruction cannot be achieved if
             abundances and the dendrogram are unrelated and suggests a
             method for hierarchically decomposing systems. To our
             knowledge, this is the first test of a species abundance
             model based on nontrivial predictions as to the origins and
             causes of abundance patterns, and not simply on the
             goodness-of-fit of distributions.},
   Key = {ISI:000182612600052}
}

@article{ISI:000183042400029,
   Author = {Liu, JG and Ouyang, ZY and Pimm, SL and Raven, PH and Wang,
             XK and Miao, H and Han, NY},
   Title = {Protecting China's biodiversity},
   Journal = {SCIENCE},
   Volume = {300},
   Number = {5623},
   Pages = {1240-1241},
   Year = {2003},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   Key = {ISI:000183042400029}
}

@article{fds279421,
   Author = {Piper, JK and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The creation of diverse prairie-like communities},
   Journal = {Community Ecology},
   Volume = {3},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {205-216},
   Year = {2002},
   Month = {December},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1556/ComEc.3.2002.2.7},
   Abstract = {We tested the prediction that we are more likely to create
             persistent, species-rich plant communities by increasing the
             number of species sown and allowing communities to assemble
             over six or seven growing seasons. Treatments consisted of
             four initial seed mixtures comprising 4, 8, 12 and 16
             species that represent four functional groups (C3
             graminoids, C4 grasses, N-fixing species, and late-flowering
             composites) that predominate within North American prairies.
             Once seeded, half of the plots were left alone to develop
             without subsequent reseeding. To provide multiple
             opportunities for establishment, we reseeded the remaining
             plots with any target species that failed to establish after
             two growing seasons. There were two 16 _xt 16 m (256 m2)
             replicates per treatment established in 1994 and 1996 on
             former agricultural land. Annually, we measured total
             species richness and evenness, total cover, and
             establishment success defined as target species richness and
             total percentage cover by target species, collectively. In
             some instances, significant treatment x year interactions
             indicated that treatment effects on variables varied among
             years. Both richness and rate of establishment of target
             communities were higher in the more species-rich mixtures.
             Moreover, richness of resident species in the plots declined
             with increasing target species richness. Reseeding had no
             measurable effect on any of the variables, nor on the
             eventual establishment of target communities or individual
             target species. Our results, indicating that establishment
             of species-rich plant communities can be enhanced by
             starting with larger numbers of species at the outset, have
             implications for projects in which community biodiversity
             creation and maintenance are key goals.},
   Doi = {10.1556/ComEc.3.2002.2.7},
   Key = {fds279421}
}

@article{ISI:000178547400002,
   Author = {Russell, GJ and Bass, OL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The effect of hydrological patterns and breeding-season
             flooding on the numbers and distribution of wading birds in
             Everglades National Park},
   Journal = {ANIMAL CONSERVATION},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {Part 3},
   Pages = {185-199},
   Year = {2002},
   Month = {August},
   ISSN = {1367-9430},
   Abstract = {Field ecologists in Everglades National Park know that the
             dynamics of water flow affect the breeding success of wading
             birds. A number of recent studies have suggested foraging
             success as the primary causal link. Data on the number and
             location of foraging birds are available from the Systematic
             Reconnaissance Flights, monthly aerial surveys of wading
             birds and surface water condition. A set of regression
             models were developed that predict the number of foraging
             birds observed in the Park at the beginning of May, a
             crucial period in the breeding season of almost all wading
             birds in this area. Predictor variables were obtained by
             converting the observations of surface water condition into
             three indexes that describe (1) the amount of surface water
             in the Park in January (near the beginning of the `dry'
             season), (2) the rate at which it dries over the subsequent
             months, and (3) the amount of disruption to that drying
             process. An information-theoretic measure, ICOMP(IFIM), was
             used to choose on the basis of parsimony between the large
             set of possible models that incorporate these predictors.
             Most species were best predicted by the same few models, and
             the fitted model parameters were also similar, indicating
             that the same pattern of surface water dynamics was optimal
             for most species. The optimal pattern was: intermediate
             water levels at the beginning of the dry season, a rapid
             rate of drying, and no disruption in the drying process. A
             number of disruptions in drying since 1985 have been the
             result of releases of water from the flow-control structures
             at the northern boundary of Everglades National Park.
             Reducing or eliminating these unnatural hydrological events
             should help wading bird populations to increase.},
   Key = {ISI:000178547400002}
}

@article{fds279422,
   Author = {Russell, GJ and Bass, OL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The effect of hydrological patterns and breeding-season
             flooding on the numbers and distribution of wading birds in
             Everglades National Park},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {185-199},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2002},
   Month = {August},
   url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/pimm/publications/pimmreprints/172_Russell_et_al_Anim_Conser_2002.pdf},
   Abstract = {Field ecologists in Everglades National Park know that the
             dynamics of water flow affect the breeding success of wading
             birds. A number of recent studies have suggested foraging
             success as the primary causal link. Data on the number and
             location of foraging birds are available from the Systematic
             Reconnaissance Flights, monthly aerial surveys of wading
             birds and surface water condition. A set of regression
             models were developed that predict the number of foraging
             birds observed in the Park at the beginning of May, a
             crucial period in the breeding season of almost all wading
             birds in this area. Predictor variables were obtained by
             converting the observations of surface water condition into
             three indexes that describe (1) the amount of surface water
             in the Park in January (near the beginning of the 'dry'
             season), (2) the rate at which it dries over the subsequent
             months, and (3) the amount of disruption to that drying
             process. An information-theoretic measure, ICOMP(IFIM), was
             used to choose on the basis of parsimony between the large
             set of possible models that incorporate these predictors.
             Most species were best predicted by the same few models, and
             the fitted model parameters were also similar, indicating
             that the same pattern of surface water dynamics was optimal
             for most species. The optimal pattern was: intermediate
             water levels at the beginning of the dry season, a rapid
             rate of drying, and no disruption in the drying process. A
             number of disruptions in drying since 1985 have been the
             result of releases of water from the flow-control structures
             at the northern boundary of Everglades National Park.
             Reducing or eliminating these unnatural hydrological events
             should help wading bird populations to increase. © 2002 The
             Zoological Society of London.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S136794300200224X},
   Key = {fds279422}
}

@article{ISI:000176821200007,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The dodo went extinct (and other ecological
             myths)},
   Journal = {Annals of the Missouri Botanical Garden},
   Volume = {89},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {190-198},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {2002},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0026-6493},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3298563},
   Abstract = {The scientific consensus is that human impacts are driving
             species to extinction hundreds to thousands of times faster
             than expected from the natural background rate. Critics
             challenge this. Perhaps giving them more credit than they
             deserve, I examine four concerns. First, that the extinction
             crisis is not real. It is and high rates of extinction are
             the rule, not the exception, within well-known taxa. The
             second criticism dismisses the problem as one restricted
             just to islands. It is not. Island species have special
             vulnerabilities, but they are far more locally abundant
             within their ranges than are continental species with the
             same range size. There are large numbers of locally rare,
             continental species with small geographic ranges that are
             threatened by human impacts. A third criticism notes the few
             species that became extinct following the clearing of
             forests from eastern North America in the 19th century,
             casting doubt upon the relationship between habitat loss and
             species loss. Analysis of this case history shows that
             exactly as many species of birds were lost as expected, for
             the region had very few species to lose. Extensions to
             species-rich areas such as Southeast Asia and the Atlantic
             coast of Brazil confirm the expected calibrations with an
             interesting caveat. Forest losses predict the number of
             threatened species - those on the verge of extinction - not
             the number of extinctions. This leads to the final
             criticism: that there have been too few recent extinctions.
             The reply is that in these regions the deforestation is more
             recent and species do not go extinct immediately. Some
             doomed species can linger for decades - as did the
             now-extinct species in eastern North America.},
   Doi = {10.2307/3298563},
   Key = {ISI:000176821200007}
}

@article{piper2002creation,
   Author = {Piper, JK and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The creation of diverse prairie-like communities},
   Journal = {Community Ecology},
   Volume = {3},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {205--216},
   Publisher = {Akad{\'e}miai Kiad{\'o}},
   Year = {2002},
   Key = {piper2002creation}
}

@article{pimm2002dodo,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {The dodo went extinct (and other ecological
             myths)},
   Journal = {Annals of the Missouri Botanical Garden},
   Pages = {190--198},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {2002},
   Key = {pimm2002dodo}
}

@article{russell2002effect,
   Author = {Russell, G.J. and Bass Jr and O.L. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {The effect of hydrological patterns and breeding-season
             flooding on the numbers and distribution of wading birds in
             Everglades National Park},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {185--199},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2002},
   Key = {russell2002effect}
}

@article{pimm2002lost,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {The Lost World of the Moa: Prehistoric Life of New Zealand,
             Trevor H Worthy \& Richard N Holdaway},
   Journal = {Nature London},
   Pages = {361-361},
   Publisher = {MACMILLAN MAGAZINES LTD},
   Year = {2002},
   Key = {pimm2002lost}
}

@article{pimm2002range,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Bass Jr and OL},
   Title = {Range-wide risks to large populations: the Cape Sable
             sparrow as a case history},
   Journal = {Population Viability Analysis},
   Pages = {406-424},
   Publisher = {The University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {2002},
   Key = {pimm2002range}
}

@article{pimm2002no,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {No more moa},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {420},
   Number = {6914},
   Pages = {361-361},
   Publisher = {NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP},
   Year = {2002},
   Key = {pimm2002no}
}

@article{ISI:000179494700017,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {The lost world of the moa: prehistoric life of New
             Zealand},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {420},
   Number = {6914},
   Pages = {361},
   Year = {2002},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   Key = {ISI:000179494700017}
}

@article{fds279418,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Hat die viefalt des lebens auf der erde eine
             zukunft?},
   Journal = {Nature Und Kultur},
   Volume = {3},
   Pages = {3-33},
   Year = {2002},
   Key = {fds279418}
}

@article{ISI:000171139400024,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Ayres, M and Balmford, A and Branch, G and Brandon, K and Brooks, T and Bustamante, R and Costanza, R and Cowling, R and Curran,
             LM and Dobson, A and Farber, S and da Fonseca, GA and Gascon, C and Kitching, R and McNeely, J and Lovejoy, T and Mittermeier, RA and Myers,
             N and Patz, JA and Raffle, B and Rapport, D and Raven, P and Roberts, C and Rodriguez, JP and Rylands, AB and Tucker, C and Safina, C and Samper, C and Stiassny, ML and Supriatna, J and Wall, DH and Wilcove,
             D},
   Title = {Environment. Can we defy nature's end?},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {293},
   Number = {5538},
   Pages = {2207-2208},
   Year = {2001},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11567124},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.1061626},
   Key = {ISI:000171139400024}
}

@article{ISI:000170344000011,
   Author = {Lockwood, JL and Fenn, KH and Caudill, JM and Okines, D and Bass, OL and Duncan, JR and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The implications of Cape Sable seaside sparrow demography
             for Everglades restoration},
   Journal = {ANIMAL CONSERVATION},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {Part 3},
   Pages = {275-281},
   Year = {2001},
   Month = {August},
   ISSN = {1367-9430},
   Abstract = {The Cape Sable seaside sparrow is a Federally listed
             endangered species endemic to south Florida's Everglades. It
             nests near the ground in seasonally dry prairies.
             Consequently, the timing and depth of seasonal water flows
             determine its fate. With water management plans the central
             focus of Everglades' restoration schemes, the demography of
             this bird becomes central to hydrologic planning. In order
             to understand how its demography influences restoration
             options, we calculated survivorship, fecundity and dispersal
             within three of the sparrow's six populations. Nearly 40\%
             of adult sparrows die from year to year. Sparrows can
             produce up to four broods per breeding season, and typically
             produce two (March to August). Females lay an average of
             three eggs per nest, two of which usually hatch. The success
             of these nests varies among populations such that nests in
             population E are more than four times as likely to fledge
             young as nests within population A. Nest success within
             population B is 26\% early in the breeding season, but drops
             to 9\% after the onset of summer rains in early June. Nests
             are built 16 to 21 cm from the soil surface making them
             vulnerable to water depths that exceed these values. Based
             on observations of marked individuals, sparrows generally
             remain within a I km area centred on their breeding grounds.
             We have never observed immigration between populations. A
             simple demographic model demonstrates that breeding success
             and duration appear to constrain sparrow population growth
             more than other demographic parameters. Maintaining suitable
             breeding conditions restricts water management options to
             those that will restore hydrological conditions to their
             original patterns.},
   Key = {ISI:000170344000011}
}

@article{ISI:000170344000005,
   Author = {Manne, LL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Beyond eight forms of rarity: Which species are threatened
             and which will be next?},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {221-229},
   Year = {2001},
   Month = {August},
   ISSN = {1367-9430},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000170344000005&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {We tabulate three measures of rarity: local abundance,
             breeding range size and elevational extent for the passerine
             birds of the New World. We determine what fraction of
             species is threatened with extinction within the
             combinations of these three measures. Species with smaller
             ranges, lower abundances and narrower elevational bands
             suffer higher levels of threat across lowland, montane and
             island species. For a given range size, lowland species
             suffer higher levels of threat than island or montane
             species. (This is counter to the intuition that island
             species - and those isolated on mountain tops - might be
             ecologically naïve.) When all three factors are considered
             together, there is only a slight tendency for lowland
             species to be disproportionately more threatened. Simply,
             island and montane species tend to be relatively common
             within their restricted ranges and their increased abundance
             reduces their likelihood of being threatened. Elevation is a
             consistent but relatively unimportant factor in determining
             threat; abundance and range size are much more important,
             and have an interactive effect on threatened status. We
             calculate the number of humans with which each species
             shares its breeding range, and find that this number does
             not aid in predicting threat status.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S1367943001001263},
   Key = {ISI:000170344000005}
}

@article{fds279419,
   Author = {Lockwood, JL and Fenn, KH and Caudill, JM and Okines, D and Bass, OL and Duncan, JR and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The implications of Cape Sable seaside sparrow demography
             for Everglades restoration},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {275-281},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2001},
   Month = {August},
   url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/pimm/publications/pimmreprints/168_Lockwood_et_al_AnimCons_2001.pdf},
   Abstract = {The Cape Sable seaside sparrow is a Federally listed
             endangered species endemic to south Florida's Everglades. It
             nests near the ground in seasonally dry prairies.
             Consequently, the timing and depth of seasonal water flows
             determine its fate. With water management plans the central
             focus of Everglades' restoration schemes, the demography of
             this bird becomes central to hydrologic planning. In order
             to understand how its demography influences restoration
             options, we calculated survivorship, fecundity and dispersal
             within three of the sparrow's six populations. Nearly 40% of
             adult sparrows die from year to year. Sparrows can produce
             up to four broods per breeding season, and typically produce
             two (March to August). Females lay an average of three eggs
             per nest, two of which usually hatch. The success of these
             nests varies among populations such that nests in population
             E are more than four times as likely to fledge young as
             nests within population A. Nest success within population B
             is 26% early in the breeding season, but drops to 9% after
             the onset of summer rains in early June. Nests are built 16
             to 21 cm from the soil surface making them vulnerable to
             water depths that exceed these values. Based on observations
             of marked individuals, sparrows generally remain within a 1
             km area centred on their breeding grounds. We have never
             observed immigration between populations. A simple
             demographic model demonstrates that breeding success and
             duration appear to constrain sparrow population growth more
             than other demographic parameters. Maintaining suitable
             breeding conditions restricts water management options to
             those that will restore hydrological conditions to their
             original patterns.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S1367943001001329},
   Key = {fds279419}
}

@article{fds279420,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and van Aarde, RJ},
   Title = {African elephants and contraception.},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {411},
   Number = {6839},
   Pages = {766},
   Year = {2001},
   Month = {June},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000169246400037&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1038/35081154},
   Key = {fds279420}
}

@article{ISI:000168982500027,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Entrepreneurial insects.},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {411},
   Number = {6837},
   Pages = {531-532},
   Year = {2001},
   Month = {May},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11385546},
   Doi = {10.1038/35079206},
   Key = {ISI:000168982500027}
}

@article{pimm2001can,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Ayres, M. and Balmford, A. and Branch, G. and Brandon, K. and Brooks, T. and Bustamante, R. and Costanza,
             R. and Cowling, R. and Curran, L.M. and others},
   Title = {Can we defy nature's end?},
   Journal = {Science},
   Volume = {293},
   Number = {5538},
   Pages = {2207},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of
             Science},
   Year = {2001},
   Key = {pimm2001can}
}

@article{lockwood2001implications,
   Author = {Lockwood, J.L. and Fenn, K.H. and Caudill, J.M. and Okines,
             D. and Bass Jr and O.L. and Duncan, J.R. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {The implications of Cape Sable seaside sparrow demography
             for Everglades restoration},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {275--281},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2001},
   Key = {lockwood2001implications}
}

@article{pimm2001entrepreneurial,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Entrepreneurial insects},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {411},
   Number = {6837},
   Pages = {531--532},
   Year = {2001},
   Key = {pimm2001entrepreneurial}
}

@article{pimm2001no,
   Author = {Pimm, S and Harvey, J},
   Title = {No need to worry about the future},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {414},
   Number = {6860},
   Pages = {149-150},
   Publisher = {NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP},
   Year = {2001},
   Key = {pimm2001no}
}

@article{pimm2001ecology,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {ECOLOGY: The Eternal Frontier An Ecological History of North
             America and Its Peoples T. Flannery},
   Journal = {Science New York Then Washington},
   Pages = {1841-1842},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of
             Science},
   Year = {2001},
   Key = {pimm2001ecology}
}

@article{flannery2001books,
   Author = {Flannery, T and Pimm, S},
   Title = {BOOKS ET AL.-ECOLOGY: The Eternal Frontier An Ecological
             History of North America and Its Peoples},
   Journal = {Science International Edition Aaas},
   Volume = {292},
   Number = {5523},
   Pages = {1841-1842},
   Publisher = {New York, NY:[sn] 1880-},
   Year = {2001},
   Key = {flannery2001books}
}

@article{pimm2001cenozoic,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Cenozoic dramas},
   Journal = {Science},
   Volume = {292},
   Number = {5523},
   Pages = {1841},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of
             Science},
   Year = {2001},
   Key = {pimm2001cenozoic}
}

@article{curnutt2001many,
   Author = {Curnutt, J and Pimm, S},
   Title = {How many bird species in Hawaii and the Central Pacific
             before first contact?},
   Journal = {Studies in Avian Biology},
   Volume = {22},
   Pages = {15-30},
   Publisher = {Cooper Ornithological Society},
   Year = {2001},
   Key = {curnutt2001many}
}

@article{pimm2001science,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Raven, P},
   Title = {SCIENCE'S COMPASS-BOOKS ET AL.-ENVIRONMENT: The World
             According to Pimm A Scientist Audits the
             Earth},
   Journal = {Science International Edition Aaas},
   Volume = {293},
   Number = {5535},
   Pages = {1598-1598},
   Publisher = {New York, NY:[sn] 1880-},
   Year = {2001},
   Key = {pimm2001science}
}

@article{flannery2001science,
   Author = {Flannery, T and Pimm, S},
   Title = {SCIENCE'S COMPASS-BOOKS ET AL.-ECOLOGY: The Eternal Frontier
             An Ecological History of North America and Its
             Peoples},
   Journal = {Science International Edition Aaas},
   Volume = {292},
   Number = {5523},
   Pages = {841-1809},
   Publisher = {New York, NY:[sn] 1880-},
   Year = {2001},
   Key = {flannery2001science}
}

@article{ISI:000171851800021,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {"Can we defy nature's end?" (vol 293, pg 2207,
             2001)},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {294},
   Number = {5543},
   Pages = {788-788},
   Year = {2001},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000171851800021&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Key = {ISI:000171851800021}
}

@article{ISI:000169200700026,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {The eternal frontier - An ecological history of North
             America and its peoples},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {292},
   Number = {5523},
   Pages = {1841+},
   Year = {2001},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   Key = {ISI:000169200700026}
}

@article{ISI:000172029100022,
   Author = {Pimm, S and Harvey, J},
   Title = {The skeptical environmentalist: Measuring the real state of
             the world},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {414},
   Number = {6860},
   Pages = {149-150},
   Year = {2001},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   Key = {ISI:000172029100022}
}

@article{ISI:000169246400037,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and van Aarde, RJ},
   Title = {Population control - African elephants and
             contraception},
   Journal = {NATURE},
   Volume = {411},
   Number = {6839},
   Pages = {766},
   Year = {2001},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   Key = {ISI:000169246400037}
}

@article{ISI:000089593500031,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Against Triage},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {289},
   Number = {5488},
   Pages = {2289-2289},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of Science
             (AAAS)},
   Year = {2000},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000089593500031&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {<jats:p> <jats:bold>The California Condor</jats:bold> A Saga
             of Natural History and Conservation. Noel and Helen Snyder.
             AP Natural World (Academic Press), San Diego, 2000. 432 pp.
             $29.95. ISBN 0-12-654005-5. </jats:p> <jats:p>This account
             of the biology and conservation of one of the most
             endangered North American species draws on the authors'
             extensive experiences in condor research and in the
             controversies that have attended efforts to assure the
             birds' future.</jats:p>},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.289.5488.2289},
   Key = {ISI:000089593500031}
}

@article{ISI:000088594100001,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Biodiversity is us},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {90},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {3-6},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2000},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {0030-1299},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000088594100001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1034/j.1600-0706.2000.900101.x},
   Key = {ISI:000088594100001}
}

@article{ISI:000085559200035,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Raven, P},
   Title = {Biodiversity. Extinction by numbers.},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {403},
   Number = {6772},
   Pages = {843-845},
   Year = {2000},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10706267},
   Doi = {10.1038/35002708},
   Key = {ISI:000085559200035}
}

@article{ISI:000087831100003,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Conservation connections},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {15},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {262-263},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {2000},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0169-5347(00)01891-7},
   Doi = {10.1016/S0169-5347(00)01891-7},
   Key = {ISI:000087831100003}
}

@article{ISI:000166017800001,
   Author = {Pimm, S and Harvey, J},
   Title = {The world at our fingertips},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {91},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {209-212},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2000},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0030-1299},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0706.2000.910201.x},
   Doi = {10.1034/j.1600-0706.2000.910201.x},
   Key = {ISI:000166017800001}
}

@article{ISI:000085424600001,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Measuring the millennium},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {88},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {3-5},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2000},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0030-1299},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0706.2000.880101.x},
   Doi = {10.1034/j.1600-0706.2000.880101.x},
   Key = {ISI:000085424600001}
}

@article{pimm2000biodiversity,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Raven, P.},
   Title = {Biodiversity: extinction by numbers},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {403},
   Number = {6772},
   Pages = {843--845},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {2000},
   Key = {pimm2000biodiversity}
}

@article{pimm2000world,
   Author = {Pimm, S. and Harvey, J.},
   Title = {The world at our fingertips},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {91},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {209--212},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {2000},
   Key = {pimm2000world}
}

@article{pimm2000biodiversity,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Biodiversity is us},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {90},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {3--6},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {2000},
   Key = {pimm2000biodiversity}
}

@article{pimm2000conservation,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Conservation connections},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {15},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {262--262},
   Publisher = {Amsterdam [Netherlands]: Elsevier Science Publishers BV
             [(Biomedical Division)], c1986-},
   Year = {2000},
   Key = {pimm2000conservation}
}

@article{pimm20002000,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {The 2000 Cape Sable sparrow annual report},
   Journal = {Web address: http://www. ldeo. columbia.
             edu/pimmlab/cssspdf/2000report. pdf (1 August
             2002)},
   Year = {2000},
   Key = {pimm20002000}
}

@article{pimm2000against,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Against triage},
   Journal = {Science},
   Volume = {289},
   Number = {5488},
   Pages = {2289},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of
             Science},
   Year = {2000},
   Key = {pimm2000against}
}

@article{pimm2000sixth,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Brooks, TM},
   Title = {The sixth extinction: how large, where, and
             when},
   Journal = {Nature and Human Society: the Quest for a Sustainable
             World},
   Pages = {46-62},
   Year = {2000},
   Key = {pimm2000sixth}
}

@article{pimm2000conservation,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {CONSERVATION: The California Condor A Saga of Natural
             History and Conservation N. Snyder and H.
             Snyder},
   Journal = {Science New York Then Washington},
   Pages = {2289-2289},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of
             Science},
   Year = {2000},
   Key = {pimm2000conservation}
}

@article{fds279125,
   Author = {Okey, TA and Pauly, D and Allen, J and Anderson, P and Bechtol, B and Bishop, MA and Blackburn, J and Bodkin, JL and Brown, ED and Bugh, B and Cooney, RT and Dalsgaard, J and Dean, TA and DeCosimo, J and Duffy, D and Esler, D and Eslinger, D and Esslinger, GE and Foy, RJ and Frost, KJ and Geiselman, J and Gotthardt, T and Gunther, A and Hauser, WJ and Hobbs,
             R and Hulbert, L and Irons, D and Irvine, G and Jewett, SC and Kirsh, J and Kline, TC and Leer, J and Matkin, C and McRoy, P and Meyer, S and Monson,
             DH and Morestad, S and Mundy, PR and Murphy, K and Ostrand, W and Paul, AJ and Peterson, C and Pimm, S and Powell, B and Preikshot, D and Purcell, J and Ruesink, J and Senner, S and Shirley, T and Smith, C and Spies, RB and Sturdevant, MV and Sullivan, J and Suryan, R and Thomas, L and Trowbridge, C and Trumble, B and Wilcock, J and Willette, M and Wright,
             B and Zeiner, K},
   Title = {Trophic Mass-Balance Model of Alaska's Prince William Sound
             Ecosystem, for the Post-Spill Period 1994-1996},
   Journal = {Exxon Valdez Oil Spill Restoration Project Final
             Report},
   Number = {REPORT99330-1},
   Year = {1999},
   Month = {December},
   Abstract = {A better understanding of the whole Prince William Sound
             (PWS) food web and its dynamics was achieved by constructing
             a balanced trophic model using the Ecopath approach. The PWS
             model was a cohesive synthesis of the overall biotic
             community with a focus on energy flow structure, and
             response to perturbations, both natural and anthropogenic.
             Forty-eight biotic components were included in the PWS model
             ranging from life stages of individual species to aggregated
             functional groups. These groups were organized into primary
             producers, zooplankton, benthic invertebrates, planktivorous
             "forage fishes", larger fishes, birds, mammals, and
             detritus, for the purpose of model documentation. Estimates
             of biomass flows related to fisheries landings and discards
             in Prince William Sound were also incorporated. Outputs of
             the Ecopath model included biomass and flux estimates for
             individual groups that were refined through the
             collaborative mass-balancing approach, and useful
             characterizations of the whole food web. The outputs of
             Ecosim and Ecospace, which include simulations of population
             trajectories through time, and habitat-based
             re-distributions of organisms in space, were also featured.
             The Ecopath model of PWS could be used to help guide future
             research programs in the region, to help assess impacts of
             the EVOS, and to help resource agencies and local
             communities achieve ecosystem-based conservation and
             management in the face of increasing human activities in the
             region. This approach could also be used to help distinguish
             the relative importance of physical forces and tropic forces
             in marine ecosystems.},
   Key = {fds279125}
}

@article{ISI:000084482000016,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Seeing both the woods and the trees},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {402},
   Number = {6764},
   Pages = {853-854},
   Publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
   Year = {1999},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000084482000016&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1038/47183},
   Key = {ISI:000084482000016}
}

@article{ISI:000084218700001,
   Author = {Brooks, TM and Pimm, SL and Kapos, V and Ravilious,
             C},
   Title = {Threat from deforestation to montane and lowland birds and
             mammals in insular South-east Asia},
   Journal = {The Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Volume = {68},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {1061-1078},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1999},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0021-8790},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2656.1999.00353.x},
   Abstract = {1. A reduction in forest area should result in a reduction
             of its number of species and, moreover, do so in a
             characteristic way according to the familiar species-area
             relationship. Brooks, Pimm and Collar (1997) applied this
             formula to the losses in forest area in the Philippines and
             Indonesia. Independently derived totals of the number of
             endemic bird species that are threatened with extinction
             broadly agree with these predicted losses. In some cases,
             however, predicted losses overestimate or underestimate the
             actual numbers of threatened species. 2. Within an island,
             the proportionate deforestation to date might be most
             extensive where there are many endemic species, or where
             there are few. To test this possibility, we obtained recent
             forest cover data for the region. We separated lowland (<
             1000 m a.s.l.) from montane (> 1000 m a.s.l.) forest cover
             by overlaying topographic maps. From these data, we predict
             separately the numbers of montane and lowland endemic bird
             species likely to become extinct as a result of
             deforestation. We then compared these totals with the
             numbers considered threatened in the latest Red List. 3. Our
             predictions based on deforestation closely match the numbers
             of threatened endemic birds in the lowlands, but
             underestimate them in montane regions. 4. Our predictions
             based on deforestation underestimate the number of
             threatened montane mammal species even more seriously. 5.
             Lowland faunas of insular South-east Asia are under extreme
             threat because of massive deforestation. The region's
             montane faunas appear seriously threatened even by low
             levels of deforestation.},
   Doi = {10.1046/j.1365-2656.1999.00353.x},
   Key = {ISI:000084218700001}
}

@article{ISI:000082821400026,
   Author = {Brooks, TM and Pimm, SL and Oyugi, JO},
   Title = {Time lag between deforestation and bird extinction in
             tropical forest fragments},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {13},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {1140-1150},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1999},
   Month = {October},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1523-1739.1999.98341.x},
   Abstract = {Tropical forests are becoming increasingly fragmented,
             threatening the survival of the species that depend on them.
             Small, isolated forest fragments will lose some of their
             original species. What is uncertain is how long this process
             of faunal relaxation will take. We compiled data on birds in
             five tropical forest fragments in Kakamega Forest, Kenya, of
             known date of isolation. We then predicted the original and
             eventual species richness of these fragments and, from this
             difference, the eventual species losses. Expressing the
             losses to date as a fraction of eventual losses suggests
             that faunal relaxation approximates an exponential decay
             with a half-life of approximately 50 years for fragments of
             roughly 1000 ha. In other words, in the first 50 years after
             isolation, tropical forest fragments of this size suffer
             half of the total number of extinctions that they are likely
             to experience. This result sets the time scale over which
             humanity must take conservation action in fragmented
             tropical forests, may aid efforts to set priorities, and
             indicates how high the future global extinction rate will
             be.},
   Doi = {10.1046/j.1523-1739.1999.98341.x},
   Key = {ISI:000082821400026}
}

@article{ISI:000080427400055,
   Author = {Manne, LL and Brooks, TM and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Relative risk of extinction of passerine birds on continents
             and islands},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {399},
   Number = {6733},
   Pages = {258-261},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1999},
   Month = {May},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/20436},
   Abstract = {Greater numbers and higher proportions of recent species
             extinctions have been on islands rather than on continents.
             In contrast, predictions of massive future extinctions stem
             from the current clearing of continental, tropical forests.
             For instance, since 1600, 97 out of 108 bird extinctions
             have been on islands. However, 452 of the total 1,111
             species currently considered to be threatened are
             continental. Island flora and fauna are uniquely vulnerable
             to the human introduction of previously absent predators,
             diseases and other menaces, whereas species on continents
             are not so ecologically naive. So could predictions of
             future continental extinctions based on island histories be
             exaggerated? Most threatened species have small geographic
             ranges, and the ranges of island species are inevitably
             smaller than those of continental species. For a given range
             size, how do the proportions of threatened island and
             continental species compare? Here we compile the ranges of
             the passerine (perching) birds of the Americas. Corrected
             for range size, continental species are more-not less-likely
             to be threatened. We use this unexpected vulnerability of
             continental species with small ranges to produce a map
             showing where species losses might occur in the long
             term.},
   Doi = {10.1038/20436},
   Key = {ISI:000080427400055}
}

@article{fds279123,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Askins, RA},
   Title = {Forest losses predict bird extinctions in eastern North
             America},
   Journal = {Ncasi Technical Bulletin},
   Volume = {2},
   Number = {781},
   Pages = {420},
   Year = {1999},
   Month = {May},
   Abstract = {A study was conducted to analyze the distribution of bird
             species and the timing and extent of forest loss in eastern
             North America. Forest losses were not concurrent across the
             region. Calculations predicted fewer extinctions than the
             number observed.},
   Key = {fds279123}
}

@article{ISI:000204810900007,
   Author = {Van Aarde and R and Whyte, I and Pimm, S},
   Title = {Culling and the dynamics of the Kruger National Park African
             elephant population},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {2},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {287-294},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1999},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {1367-9430},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-1795.1999.tb00075.x},
   Abstract = {South Africa's National Parks Board has opted to control
             African elephants (Loxodonta africana) through culling in
             the Kruger National Park (KNP). Killing elephants is highly
             controversial. The Board must balance this controversy
             against the probable destruction of vegetation and the
             consequent depletion of biological diversity that high
             elephant densities cause. Annual aerial counts provided the
             population estimates on which the culling quotas were based.
             For management purposes, the elephant population of the Park
             is divided into four sub-populations. From 1984 to 1994, the
             annual quota was usually taken from only one of these
             sub-populations during a given year. This resulted in 3 to 5
             years elapsing between culls in each sub-population. We
             investigated the year-to-year changes in densities after
             culling. These changes were density dependent. Density
             dependence implies that immediate culls following estimated
             high densities may be premature. If left alone, the
             densities would decline naturally. Indeed, culling becomes
             self-reinforcing as it moves population densities towards
             the level where reproduction is greatest. Data confirm this
             intuition: at densities greater than 0.37 elephants/km2
             elephant numbers generally declined without culling. Many
             culls were unnecessary. Culling, as implemented in the past,
             may have had consequences for elephants and their habitat
             that were different to those expected from a mere reduction
             in their numbers. Densities in the year immediately after a
             cull tended to decline - not increase as would be expected
             from density dependence alone. Undoubtedly, this unexpected
             decline was the consequence of disturbance and subsequent
             emigration. In following years, the densities rose as
             animals moved back into the sub-population. A management
             programme where culling will be instituted only when
             densities exceed 0.37 elephants/km2 in selected regions in
             the park for at least 1 year, may be more acceptable than
             the programme used up to 1995. However, we do not know if
             the vegetation of KNP can withstand the resulting episodic
             high densities. With densities presently exceeding the
             cut-off values calculated for both the south and the
             northern management regions vegetation changes there need to
             be monitored.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1469-1795.1999.tb00075.x},
   Key = {ISI:000204810900007}
}

@article{manne1999relative,
   Author = {Manne, L.L. and Brooks, T.M. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Relative risk of extinction of passerine birds on continents
             and islands},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {399},
   Number = {6733},
   Pages = {258--261},
   Year = {1999},
   Key = {manne1999relative}
}

@article{aarde1999culling,
   Author = {Aarde, R. and Whyte, I. and Pimm, S.},
   Title = {Culling and the dynamics of the Kruger National Park African
             elephant population},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {2},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {287--294},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {1999},
   Key = {aarde1999culling}
}

@article{brooks1999threat,
   Author = {Brooks, T.M. and Pimm, S.L. and Kapos, V. and Ravilious,
             C.},
   Title = {Threat from deforestation to montane and lowland birds and
             mammals in insular South-east Asia},
   Journal = {Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Volume = {68},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {1061--1078},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {1999},
   Key = {brooks1999threat}
}

@article{brooks1999time,
   Author = {Brooks, T.M. and Pimm, S.L. and Oyugi, J.O.},
   Title = {Time lag between deforestation and bird extinction in
             tropical forest fragments},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {13},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {1140--1150},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {1999},
   Key = {brooks1999time}
}

@article{fds279124,
   Author = {Okey, TA and Pauly, D and Allen, J and Anderson, P and Bechtol, B and Bishop, MA and Blackburn, J and Bodkin, JL and Brown, ED and Bugh, B and Cooney, RT and Dalsgaard, J and Dean, TA and DeCosimo, J and Duffy, D and Esler, D and Eslinger, D and Esslinger, GE and Foy, RJ and Frost, KJ and Geiselman, J and Gotthardt, T and Gunther, A and Hauser, WJ and Hobbs,
             R and Hulbert, L and Irons, D and Irvine, G and Jewett, SC and Kirsh, J and Jr, TCK and Leer, J and Matkin, C and McRoy, P and Meyer, S and Monson, DH and Morestad, S and Mundy, PR and Murphy, K and Ostrand, W and Paul, AJ and Peterson, C and Pimm, S and Powell, B and Preikshot, D and Purcell, J and Ruesink, J and Senner, S and Shirley, T and Smith, C and Spies, RB and Sturdevant, MV and Sullivan, J and Suryan, R and Thomas, L and Trowbridge, C and Trumble, B and Wilcock, J and Willette, M and Wright,
             B and Zeiner, K},
   Title = {Trophic Mass-Balance Model of Alaska's Prince William Sound
             Ecosystem, for the Post-Spill Period 1994-1996},
   Journal = {Exxon Valdez Oil Spill Restoration Project Final
             Report},
   Number = {REPORT99330-1},
   Year = {1999},
   Abstract = {A better understanding of the whole Prince William Sound
             (PWS) food web and its dynamics was achieved by constructing
             a balanced trophic model using the Ecopath approach. The PWS
             model was a cohesive synthesis of the overall biotic
             community with a focus on energy flow structure, and
             response to perturbations, both natural and anthropogenic.
             Forty-eight biotic components were included in the PWS model
             ranging from life stages of individual species to aggregated
             functional groups. These groups were organized into primary
             producers, zooplankton, benthic invertebrates, planktivorous
             "forage fishes", larger fishes, birds, mammals, and
             detritus, for the purpose of model documentation. Estimates
             of biomass flows related to fisheries landings and discards
             in Prince William Sound were also incorporated. Outputs of
             the Ecopath model included biomass and flux estimates for
             individual groups that were refined through the
             collaborative mass-balancing approach, and useful
             characterizations of the whole food web. The outputs of
             Ecosim and Ecospace, which include simulations of population
             trajectories through time, and habitat-based
             re-distributions of organisms in space, were also featured.
             The Ecopath model of PWS could be used to help guide future
             research programs in the region, to help assess impacts of
             the EVOS, and to help resource agencies and local
             communities achieve ecosystem-based conservation and
             management in the face of increasing human activities in the
             region. This approach could also be used to help distinguish
             the relative importance of physical forces and tropic forces
             in marine ecosystems.},
   Key = {fds279124}
}

@article{pimm1999terrestrial,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Terrestrial Ecoregions of North America: A Conservation
             Assessment, TH Ricketts et al.},
   Journal = {Nature London},
   Pages = {853-853},
   Publisher = {MACMILLAN MAGAZINES LTD},
   Year = {1999},
   Key = {pimm1999terrestrial}
}

@article{pimm1999seeing,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Seeing both the woods and the trees},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {402},
   Number = {6764},
   Pages = {853-854},
   Publisher = {NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP},
   Year = {1999},
   Key = {pimm1999seeing}
}

@article{pimm1999dynamics,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The dynamics of the flows of matter and energy},
   Journal = {Advanced Ecological Theory},
   Pages = {172-193},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {1999},
   Key = {pimm1999dynamics}
}

@article{lockwood1999does,
   Author = {Lockwood, JL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {When does restoration succeed},
   Journal = {Ecological Assembly Rules: Perspectives, Advances,
             Retreats},
   Pages = {363-392},
   Publisher = {Cambridge University Press Cambridge},
   Year = {1999},
   Key = {lockwood1999does}
}

@article{ISI:000076100300010,
   Author = {Manne, LL and Pimm, SL and Diamond, JM and Reed, TM},
   Title = {The form of the curves: A direct evaluation of Macarthur and
             Wilson's classic theory},
   Journal = {The Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Volume = {67},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {784-794},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1998},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {0021-8790},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2656.1998.00241.x},
   Abstract = {1. We calculate the yearly numbers of bird species
             immigrating to-and becoming extinct on-13 small islands of
             the British Isles, using a long and relatively complete data
             record. 2. We estimate the size of the colonist pool for
             each island using four methods. 3. We assume that
             immigrations and extinctions are distributed binomially, and
             use a maximum likelihood method to fit concave immigration
             and extinction functions to the data, utilizing all four
             species pool estimates. 4. Extinction rates increase
             significantly and consistently with increasing numbers of
             breeding species on each island. For nine of the 13 islands
             the extinction functions are significantly concave. 5.
             Immigration rates decrease consistently with increasing
             numbers of breeding species on each island. Seven islands
             have significantly concave immigration functions. 6.
             Immigration rates and extinction rates decline consistently,
             but not significantly, with island distance and island size,
             respectively. The number of breeding species does not always
             reflect the number of species likely to have reached an
             island. Moreover, some species may choose not to breed when
             their chance of extinction is high. These factors, plus the
             modest range of island areas and distances in our database,
             reduce our chances of finding the theoretically predicted
             effects of area and distance on extinction and immigration
             rates.},
   Doi = {10.1046/j.1365-2656.1998.00241.x},
   Key = {ISI:000076100300010}
}

@article{ISI:000073497500026,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The forest fragment classic},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {393},
   Number = {6680},
   Pages = {23-24},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1998},
   Month = {May},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000073497500026&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1038/29892},
   Key = {ISI:000073497500026}
}

@article{ISI:000072775600035,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Lawton, JH},
   Title = {Planning for biodiversity},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {279},
   Number = {5359},
   Pages = {2068-2069},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of Science
             (AAAS)},
   Year = {1998},
   Month = {March},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000072775600035&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.279.5359.2068},
   Key = {ISI:000072775600035}
}

@article{ISI:000076406700001,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Managing nature by coin tossing},
   Journal = {South African Journal of Science},
   Volume = {94},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {306},
   Year = {1998},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0038-2353},
   Key = {ISI:000076406700001}
}

@article{ISI:000204810300001,
   Author = {Whyte, I and Van Aarde and R and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Managing the elephants of Kruger National
             Park},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {77-83},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1998},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {1367-9430},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1367943098000018},
   Abstract = {The elephant population in Kruger National Park, Republic of
             South Africa, is growing rapidly. To prevent damage to the
             Park's ecosystems, the management has culled about 7% of the
             population annually. Such culls are very controversial. At
             first glance, contraceptives seem an attractive alternative
             means of control. We examine contraception as a management
             option, review the relevant aspects of elephant
             reproduction, physiology and demography and conclude that
             this optimism is probably misplaced. First, contraceptives
             have a wide range of physiological and behavioural
             side-effects that may prove to be damaging to the individual
             female and those around her. Second, the elephants in the
             Park have near-maximal growth rates with inter-calving
             intervals of less than four years. To achieve zero
             population growth, about three-quarters of the adult female
             elephants would need to be on contraceptives. There are no
             simple alternatives. The smallest numerical target for
             controlling population numbers is to kill or sterilize
             females about to become pregnant for the first time. Such a
             solution is unlikely to appease those who consider killing
             elephants to be unethical. It may, however, be the one
             closest to the natural patterns of elephant
             mortality.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S1367943098000018},
   Key = {ISI:000204810300001}
}

@article{ISI:000204810200004,
   Author = {Nott, MP and Bass, OL and Fleming, DM and Killeffer, SE and Fraley, N and Manne, L and Curnutt, JL and Brooks, TM and Powell, R and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Water levels, rapid vegetational changes, and the endangered
             Cape Sable seaside-sparrow},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {23-32},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1998},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {1367-9430},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1367943098001036},
   Abstract = {The legally endangered Cape Sable seaside-sparrow
             (Ammodramus maritimus mirabilis) is restricted to
             short-hydroperiod, marl prairies within Florida's Everglades
             National Park and Big Cypress National Preserve. Marl
             prairies are typified by dense, mixed stands of graminoid
             species usually below 1 m in height, naturally inundated by
             freshwater for 3-7 months annually. Water levels affect the
             birds directly, by flooding their nests, and indirectly by
             altering the habitat on which they depend. Managed
             redistribution of water flows flooded nearly half of the
             sparrow's geographical range during several consecutive
             breeding seasons starting in 1993. Furthermore, these high
             water levels rapidly changed plant communities, so
             jeopardizing the sparrow's survival by reducing the
             availability of nesting habitat.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S1367943098001036},
   Key = {ISI:000204810200004}
}

@article{ISI:000204810200003,
   Author = {Curnutt, JL and Mayer, AL and Brooks, TM and Manne, L and Bass, OL and Fleming, DM and Philip Nott and M and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Population dynamics of the endangered Cape Sable
             seaside-sparrow},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {11-21},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1998},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {1367-9430},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1367943098001024},
   Abstract = {The Cape Sable seaside-sparrow (Ammodramus maritimus
             mirabilis) has disappeared from its only known breeding
             areas episodically since its discovery early this century.
             Systematic surveys across its range in the southern
             Everglades find the sparrow's range to be fragmented into
             six subpopulations. The sparrow population decreased by 58%
             between 1992 and 1995, with the near extinction of the
             western half of the population and the temporary local
             extinction of some eastern populations. Other similar
             grassland sparrows have populations that vary considerably
             from year to year. Yet the decline in the western
             subpopulation and the local extinction of some of the
             peripheral populations cannot be explained by natural
             variability alone. Hurricane Andrew passed over several
             subpopulations prior to the particularly poor year of 1993.
             However, the geographical and temporal patterns of
             subpopulation decline are not consistent with what would be
             expected following a hurricane. Frequent fires prevent
             successful breeding as does flooding during the breeding
             season. Better management can prevent frequent fires and
             episodic flooding. However, the long-term survival of the
             sparrow depends on managing the unanticipated risks that
             attend its small, fragmented population.},
   Doi = {10.1017/S1367943098001024},
   Key = {ISI:000204810200003}
}

@article{manne1998form,
   Author = {Manne, L.L. and Pimm, S.L. and Diamond, J.M. and Reed,
             T.M.},
   Title = {The form of the curves: a direct evaluation of MacArthur \&
             Wilson's classic theory},
   Journal = {Journal of animal ecology},
   Volume = {67},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {784--794},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {1998},
   Key = {manne1998form}
}

@article{whyte1998managing,
   Author = {Whyte, I. and Aarde, R. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Managing the elephants of Kruger National
             Park},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {77--83},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {1998},
   Key = {whyte1998managing}
}

@article{pimm1998managing,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Managing nature by coin tossing},
   Journal = {South African journal of science},
   Volume = {94},
   Number = {7},
   Publisher = {Open Journals Publishing},
   Year = {1998},
   Key = {pimm1998managing}
}

@article{nott1998water,
   Author = {Nott, M.P. and Bass Jr and O.L. and Fleming, D.M. and Killeffer, S.E. and Fraley, N. and Manne, L. and Curnutt,
             J.L. and Brooks, T.M. and Powell, R. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Water levels, rapid vegetational changes, and the endangered
             Cape Sable seaside-sparrow},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {23--32},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {1998},
   Key = {nott1998water}
}

@article{pimm1998extinction,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Extinction},
   Journal = {Conservation Science and Action},
   Pages = {20-38},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {1998},
   Key = {pimm1998extinction}
}

@article{mayer1998integrating,
   Author = {Mayer, AL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Integrating endangered species protection and ecosystem
             management: the Cape Sable seaside sparrow as a case
             study},
   Journal = {Conservation in a Changing World},
   Year = {1998},
   Key = {mayer1998integrating}
}

@article{pimm19982,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {2.1 The human future and extinctions: crisis or
             conspiracy?},
   Journal = {Conservation Science and Action},
   Pages = {20},
   Publisher = {WILEY-BLACKWELL},
   Year = {1998},
   Key = {pimm19982}
}

@article{curnutt1998population,
   Author = {Curnutt, JL and Mayer, AL and Brooks, TM and Manne, L and Bass, OL and Fleming, DM and Nott, MP and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Population dynamics of the endangered Cape Sable
             seaside-sparrow},
   Journal = {Animal Conservation},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {01},
   Pages = {11-21},
   Publisher = {CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS},
   Year = {1998},
   Key = {curnutt1998population}
}

@article{ISI:A1997XK26500017,
   Author = {Mayer, AL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Tropical rainforests: diversity begets diversity.},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {7},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {R430-R432},
   Year = {1997},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {0960-9822},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/9210362},
   Abstract = {Tropical rainforests exhibit an extraordinarily high level
             of biological diversity. A new study shows that the patterns
             of seedling survival surrounding parent trees are
             responsible in large part for this amazing
             diversity.},
   Doi = {10.1016/s0960-9822(06)00210-7},
   Key = {ISI:A1997XK26500017}
}

@article{ISI:A1997WZ16700023,
   Author = {PIMM, SL},
   Title = {Estimating the cultural value of the oceans},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {387},
   Number = {6630},
   Pages = {231-231},
   Publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
   Year = {1997},
   Month = {May},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1997WZ16700023&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1038/387231b0},
   Key = {ISI:A1997WZ16700023}
}

@article{ISI:A1997WV11500022,
   Author = {Brooks, TM and Pimm, SL and Collart, NJ},
   Title = {Deforestation predicts the number of threatened birds in
             insular southeast Asia},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {11},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {382-394},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1997},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1523-1739.1997.95493.x},
   Abstract = {The world's tropical forests are being cleared rapidly, and
             ecologists claim this is causing a massive loss of species.
             This claim has its critics. Can we predict extinctions from
             the extent of deforestation? We mapped the percentage of
             deforestation on the islands of the Philippines and
             Indonesia and counted the number of bird species found only
             on these islands. We then used the species-area relationship
             to calculate the number of species predicted to become
             globally extinct following deforestation on these islands.
             Next, we counted the numbers of insular southeast Asian
             endemic bird species considered threatened-i.e., those
             having 'a high probability of extinction in the wild in the
             medium-term future'-in the latest summary Red Data Book. The
             numbers of extinctions predicted from deforestation and the
             numbers of species actually threatened are strikingly
             similar. This suggests we can estimate the size of the
             extinction crisis in once-forested regions from the extent
             of deforestation. The numbers of extinctions will be large.
             Without rapid and effective conservation, many of the
             species endemic to insular southeast Asia will soon be
             lost.},
   Doi = {10.1046/j.1523-1739.1997.95493.x},
   Key = {ISI:A1997WV11500022}
}

@article{ISI:A1997WZ16700022,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The value of everything},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {387},
   Number = {6630},
   Pages = {231-232},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1997},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/387231a0},
   Abstract = {Economists and ecologists have joined forces to estimate the
             annual value of the services that Earth's ecosystems
             provide. Most services lie outside the market and are hard
             to calculate, yet minimum estimates equal or exceed global
             gross national product.},
   Doi = {10.1038/387231a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1997WZ16700022}
}

@article{ISI:A1997XV75700027,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Agriculture: In search of perennial solutions},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {389},
   Number = {6647},
   Pages = {126-127},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1997},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/38126},
   Doi = {10.1038/38126},
   Key = {ISI:A1997XV75700027}
}

@article{ISI:A1997YL29100015,
   Author = {Lockwood, JL and Powell, RD and Nott, MP and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {Assembling ecological communities in time and
             space},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {80},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {549-553},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1997},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0030-1299},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3546628},
   Abstract = {Ecological communities do not spring into existence
             overnight, but develop during the process we call assembly.
             As in other complex systems, random assemblies may generate
             surprising patterns. In previous models, sequential invasion
             and extinction moved successive species mixes toward a
             persistent one. Other species present in the pool could not
             invade this persistent mix. Chance events early in the
             assembly produced persistent mixes of different
             compositions. Most model species survived somewhere by
             belonging to one or more of these different persistent
             mixes. We show that with more rapid invasion, communities
             move through complex cycles of composition, where each
             species gets its turn. These complementary views offer
             insights into the diversity of natural communities.
             Importantly, they have practical implications for those
             attempting to restore diversity to damaged
             ecosystems.},
   Doi = {10.2307/3546628},
   Key = {ISI:A1997YL29100015}
}

@article{lockwood1997assembling,
   Author = {Lockwood, J.L. and Powell, R.D. and Nott, M.P. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Assembling ecological communities in time and
             space},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Pages = {549--553},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1997},
   Key = {lockwood1997assembling}
}

@article{pimm1997value,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {The value of everything},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {387},
   Pages = {231--232},
   Year = {1997},
   Key = {pimm1997value}
}

@article{mayer1997tropical,
   Author = {Mayer, A.L. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Tropical rainforests: diversity begets diversity},
   Journal = {Current Biology},
   Volume = {7},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {R430--R432},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1997},
   Key = {mayer1997tropical}
}

@article{pauly1997mass,
   Author = {Pauly, D. and Dalsgaard, J. and Okey, TA and Powell, R. and Pimm, S.},
   Title = {Mass-balance food web ecosystem models as an alternative
             approach for combining multiple information sources in
             fisheries.},
   Journal = {Int. Symp. on Fishery Stock Assessment Models for the 21st
             Century, Anchorage, Alaska, EEUU. 8-11 Oct
             1997.},
   Year = {1997},
   Key = {pauly1997mass}
}

@article{brooks1997deforestation,
   Author = {Brooks, T.M. and Pimm, S.L. and Collar, N.J.},
   Title = {Deforestation predicts the number of threatened birds in
             insular Southeast Asia},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {11},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {382--394},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {1997},
   Key = {brooks1997deforestation}
}

@article{pimm1997estimating,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Estimating the cultural value of the oceans},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {387},
   Pages = {231},
   Year = {1997},
   Key = {pimm1997estimating}
}

@article{nott1997evaluation,
   Author = {Nott, MP and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The evaluation of biodiversity as a target for
             conservation},
   Journal = {The Ecological Basis of Conservation: Heterogeneity,
             Ecosystems, and Biodiveristy. Chapman \& Hall, New
             York},
   Pages = {125-135},
   Year = {1997},
   Key = {nott1997evaluation}
}

@article{pimm1997search,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {In search of perennial solutions},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {389},
   Number = {6647},
   Pages = {126-127},
   Publisher = {NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP},
   Year = {1997},
   Key = {pimm1997search}
}

@article{pimm1996response,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Gittleman, JL and Russell, GJ and Brooks,
             TM},
   Title = {Response: extinction rates.},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {273},
   Number = {5273},
   Pages = {297a},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17737253},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.273.5273.297a},
   Key = {pimm1996response}
}

@article{pimm1996extinction,
   Author = {Simon, JL and Pimm, SL and Gittleman, JL and Russell, GJ and Brooks,
             TM},
   Title = {Extinction rates [4]},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {273},
   Number = {5273},
   Pages = {296-297},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {pimm1996extinction}
}

@article{fds279122,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {The lonely earth.},
   Journal = {World Conservation},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {8-9},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {January},
   Abstract = {Biologists have spent time calculating extinction rates and
             devising conservation programs to determine and trace the
             rate of wildlife disappearance. Several researchers have
             resorted to bone hunting in estimating and documenting waves
             of extinction. However, this method is not feasible in
             estimating the disappearance of all species. Other
             researchers have calculated the rate of species extinction
             based on their findings. Although extinction is a natural
             part of life, the question remains as to whether the rate is
             unusual. One study revealed that species tend to last
             between 1 and 10 million years before they disappear;
             however, the rate of extinction of these animals and plants
             is now becoming an annual event. Furthermore, naturalists
             have documented kilodeath ¿black spots¿ throughout the
             world, ranging from deserts to rainforests, rivers, and
             freshwater lakes. Overall, the implication of the
             disappearance of these species should influence governments
             in developing and implementing policies that would ensure
             the protection of wildlife.},
   Key = {fds279122}
}

@article{ISI:A1996VH80800004,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Lessons from a kill},
   Journal = {Biodiversity and Conservation},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {1059-1067},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature America, Inc},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0960-3115},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00052716},
   Abstract = {During their colonization by Polynesians and later by
             Europeans, the Hawaiian islands suffered a massive loss of
             species. All the extinctions are indirectly attributable to
             human impact. Nonetheless, it has proved extremely difficult
             to specify which of several possible mechanisms caused each
             particular extinction. This seems to admit defeat in the
             battle to understand past extinctions. Such understanding
             could guide our efforts to protect species that are now
             threatened with extinction. Will it be easier to understand
             the causes of future extinctions? Surveys of future
             extinctions stress habitat destruction as the simple and
             dominant mechanism. This contrasts to its secondary (and
             generally confused) role in past extinctions. I argue that
             this contrast between the complexity of the past and the
             apparent simplicity of the future arises because extinction
             mechanisms are inherently synergistic. Once extensive
             species losses begin, it may be impossible to separate the
             mechanisms and thus manage an individual species as if its
             decline had a single cause.},
   Doi = {10.1007/BF00052716},
   Key = {ISI:A1996VH80800004}
}

@article{ISI:A1996TQ16900034,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Designer ecosystems},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {379},
   Number = {6562},
   Pages = {217-218},
   Publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1996TQ16900034&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1038/379217a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1996TQ16900034}
}

@article{ISI:A1996TR29400016,
   Author = {Manne, L and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Ecology: engineered food webs.},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {6},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {29-31},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0960-9822},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/8825521},
   Abstract = {An important new study shows that, in a food web, the
             strengths and arrangement of the interactions between
             species are determining factors of stability of the
             system.},
   Doi = {10.1016/s0960-9822(02)00414-1},
   Key = {ISI:A1996TR29400016}
}

@article{ISI:A1996UX38900018,
   Author = {Morton, RD and Law, R and Pimm, SL and Drake, JA},
   Title = {On models for assembling ecological communities},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {75},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {493-499},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0030-1299},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3545891},
   Abstract = {Previous numerical studies of community assembly have found
             (1) that invasion resistance increases with time, and (2)
             that different assembly sequences typically result in
             different community endpoints. The algorithm used in these
             studies involved sequential introductions of species coupled
             with tests for existence of feasible equilibria with local
             asymptotic stability. In this paper the algorithm is tested
             against a method based on numerical integration. We show
             that the algorithm contains serious technical flaws. The
             algorithm gives the incorrect outcome in many iterations,
             and correct assembly sequences diverge rapidly from those it
             predicts. In the light of this, we reassess the earlier work
             and suggest that results (1) and (2) above should be treated
             with caution. A more reliable method of community assembly
             is clearly needed. Numerical integration, although useful
             for investigating the outcome over small numbers of
             iterations, is too slow to deal with large, highly
             replicated, assembly sequences. We suggest that an
             alternative, based on a criterion of coexistence known as
             permanence, would be appropriate, as this is relatively fast
             and reliable.},
   Doi = {10.2307/3545891},
   Key = {ISI:A1996UX38900018}
}

@article{ISI:A1996UY43300014,
   Author = {Curnutt, JL and Pimm, SL and Maurer, BA},
   Title = {Population variability of sparrows in space and
             time},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {76},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {131-144},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0030-1299},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3545755},
   Abstract = {The abundance of a species through time and across space,
             and the variability of that abundance, determines the
             species' persistence within its geographic range. We
             investigated the relationship between abundance and
             variability of nine species of grassland sparrows to uncover
             their population dynamics across their ranges. Sparrow
             populations consist of centrally located sites of high
             abundance with relatively low variability surrounded by
             sites of low abundance with relatively high variability.
             These sites are distributed across space such that
             variability decreases and abundance increases with
             increasing distance from the edge of a species' geographic
             range. Population numbers as a whole become increasingly
             variable over time, but only a portion of the total
             population heavily influences this increase in variability.
             For all but one species variability accrued in the areas of
             highest abundance. Thus, for these sparrows, the edge of the
             range is sparsely populated and variable, but not
             increasingly so. We suggest that the spatial and temporal
             behavior of grassland sparrow populations exhibit a 'source
             and sink' dynamic where the core of the range 'feeds' the
             less productive peripheral areas. Conservation of species
             that exhibit this dynamic would depend on preservation and
             management of highly productive core areas.},
   Doi = {10.2307/3545755},
   Key = {ISI:A1996UY43300014}
}

@article{curnutt1996population,
   Author = {Curnutt, J.L. and Pimm, S.L. and Maurer,
             B.A.},
   Title = {Population variability of sparrows in space and
             time},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Pages = {131--144},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1996},
   Key = {curnutt1996population}
}

@article{pimm1996lessons,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Lessons from a kill},
   Journal = {Biodiversity and Conservation},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {9},
   Pages = {1059--1067},
   Publisher = {Springer},
   Year = {1996},
   Key = {pimm1996lessons}
}

@article{manne1996ecology,
   Author = {Manne, L. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Ecology: engineered food webs},
   Journal = {Current Biology},
   Volume = {6},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {29--31},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1996},
   Key = {manne1996ecology}
}

@article{morton1996models,
   Author = {Morton, R.D. and Law, R. and Pimm, S.L. and Drake,
             J.A.},
   Title = {On models for assembling ecological communities},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Pages = {493--499},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1996},
   Key = {morton1996models}
}

@article{pimm1996miracle,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Miracle Under the Oaks: The Revival of Nature in America by
             WK Stevens},
   Journal = {NATURE-LONDON-},
   Pages = {217--217},
   Publisher = {MACMILLAN MAGAZINES LTD},
   Year = {1996},
   Key = {pimm1996miracle}
}

@article{pimm1996food,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Food Webs (GA Polis and KO Winemiller, eds)},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {11},
   Pages = {349-349},
   Year = {1996},
   Key = {pimm1996food}
}

@article{pimm1996brown,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Brown fables, green wit},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {383},
   Pages = {494},
   Year = {1996},
   Key = {pimm1996brown}
}

@article{pimm1996biological,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Gittleman, JL},
   Title = {Biological diversity: where is it?},
   Journal = {Ecosystem Management: Selected Readings},
   Pages = {1},
   Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
   Year = {1996},
   Key = {pimm1996biological}
}

@article{pimm1996designer,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Designer ecosystems},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {379},
   Pages = {217-218},
   Year = {1996},
   Key = {pimm1996designer}
}

@article{pimm1996food,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Food webs: integration of patterns and dynamics},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
   Volume = {11},
   Number = {8},
   Pages = {349},
   Publisher = {Elsevier Science Publishing Company, Inc.},
   Year = {1996},
   Key = {pimm1996food}
}

@article{ISI:A1996VL75500040,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Betrayal of science and reason - Ehrlich,PR,
             Ehrlich,AH},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {383},
   Number = {6600},
   Pages = {494},
   Year = {1996},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   Key = {ISI:A1996VL75500040}
}

@article{ISI:A1996UY20200008,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Gittleman, JL and Russell, GJ and Brooks,
             TM},
   Title = {Extinction rates - Response},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {273},
   Number = {5273},
   Pages = {297-297},
   Year = {1996},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1996UY20200008&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Key = {ISI:A1996UY20200008}
}

@article{ISI:A1995TC46900068,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Nature lovers and other villains},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {378},
   Number = {6552},
   Pages = {104-105},
   Publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
   Year = {1995},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1995TC46900068&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1038/378104a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1995TC46900068}
}

@article{ISI:A1995RX20000069,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Askins, RA},
   Title = {Forest losses predict bird extinctions in eastern North
             America.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {92},
   Number = {20},
   Pages = {9343-9347},
   Year = {1995},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {0027-8424},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11607581},
   Abstract = {Claims that there will be a massive loss of species as
             tropical forests are cleared are based on the relationship
             between habitat area and the number of species. Few studies
             calibrate extinction with habitat reduction. Critics raise
             doubts about this calibration, noting that there has been
             extensive clearing of the eastern North American forest, yet
             only 4 of its approximately 200 bird species have gone
             extinct. We analyze the distribution of bird species and the
             timing and extent of forest loss. The forest losses were not
             concurrent across the region. Based on the maximum extent of
             forest losses, our calculations predict fewer extinctions
             than the number observed. At most, there are 28 species of
             birds restricted to the region. Only these species would be
             at risk even if all the forests were cleared. Far from
             providing comfort to those who argue that the current rapid
             rate of tropical deforestation might cause fewer extinctions
             than often claimed, our results suggest that the losses may
             be worse. In contrast to eastern North America, small
             regions of tropical forest often hold hundreds of endemic
             bird species.},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.92.20.9343},
   Key = {ISI:A1995RX20000069}
}

@article{ISI:A1995RK37600008,
   Author = {Ariño, A and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {On the nature of population extremes},
   Journal = {Evolutionary Ecology},
   Volume = {9},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {429-443},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1995},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {0269-7653},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01237765},
   Abstract = {Much ecology considers only the typical size of a
             population, yet extreme values may be of particular
             importance. Unusually low numbers may doom a population to
             extinction and unusually high numbers may pose an economic
             threat. Extreme values may also determine the evolutionary
             traits that predominate. Obviously, even for a fixed
             variance in annual numbers, the observed maximum and minimum
             population size will increase the more years that we count
             the population. Interestingly, over the time scales of
             available data (<100 years), most animal populations have an
             observed variance in annual numbers that increases the more
             consecutive years we use in its calculation. Consequently,
             populations will meet extreme values more quickly than if
             the variance were constant. We quantify the increases in
             variance for diatoms, insects, and vertebrates, first
             correcting the data for overall differences in variance.
             Short- and long-lived species are not consistently
             different. Species that cycle in density have relatively
             small increases relative to those that do not cycle. Species
             in marine ecosystems have larger increases than those in
             terrestrial and freshwater systems. All these results
             suggest that the system in which a species is embedded -
             rather the species' own characteristics - plays the crucial
             role in determining the nature of population extremes. ©
             1995 Chapman & Hall.},
   Doi = {10.1007/BF01237765},
   Key = {ISI:A1995RK37600008}
}

@article{ISI:A1995RK93800004,
   Author = {PIMM, S},
   Title = {BODY COUNT - REPLY},
   Journal = {The Sciences},
   Volume = {35},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {5},
   Year = {1995},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {0036-861X},
   Key = {ISI:A1995RK93800004}
}

@article{ISI:A1995RK42700032,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Russell, GJ and Gittleman, JL and Brooks,
             TM},
   Title = {The future of biodiversity.},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {269},
   Number = {5222},
   Pages = {347-350},
   Year = {1995},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17841251},
   Abstract = {Recent extinction rates are 100 to 1000 times their
             pre-human levels in well-known, but taxonomically diverse
             groups from widely different environments. If all species
             currently deemed "threatened" become extinct in the next
             century, then future extinction rates will be 10 times
             recent rates. Some threatened species will survive the
             century, but many species not now threatened will succumb.
             Regions rich in species found only within them (endemics)
             dominate the global patterns of extinction. Although new
             technology provides details of habitat losses, estimates of
             future extinctions are hampered by our limited knowledge of
             which areas are rich in endemics.},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.269.5222.347},
   Key = {ISI:A1995RK42700032}
}

@article{ISI:A1995QH19700015,
   Author = {PIMM, SL},
   Title = {Dead Reckoning},
   Journal = {The Sciences},
   Volume = {35},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {15-17},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1995},
   Month = {March},
   ISSN = {0036-861X},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1995QH19700015&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1002/j.2326-1951.1995.tb03178.x},
   Key = {ISI:A1995QH19700015}
}

@article{ISI:A1995QK07900038,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Beyond the forest primaeval},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {374},
   Number = {6517},
   Pages = {24-25},
   Publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
   Year = {1995},
   Month = {March},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1995QK07900038&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1038/374024a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1995QK07900038}
}

@article{ISI:A1995RY35100008,
   Author = {Russell, GJ and Diamond, JM and Pimm, SL and Reed,
             TM},
   Title = {A century of turnover: Community dynamics at three
             timescales},
   Journal = {The Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Volume = {64},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {628-641},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1995},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0021-8790},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/5805},
   Abstract = {1. We calculated the observed species turnover of the bird
             communities on 13 small islands off the coast of the British
             isles and the Republic of lreland for different census
             intervals. For seven of these islands, the maximum intervals
             exceeded 80 years. 2. We developed a non-linear, asymptotic
             model to describe how observed turnover should change with
             census interval. Our assumptions were traditional ones,
             based upon the assumption of dynamic equilibrium in familiar
             island biogeography theory, even though we knew that such
             equilibrium was rare in these islands. Furthermore, the
             model considered the average dynamics of the species present
             and not the dynamics of the individual species. 3. This
             model showed that neither the observed turnover calculated
             over different intervals, nor the turnover rate obtained by
             dividing this observed turnover by the interval, are
             statistics that permit comparison between islands. Observed
             turnover increased over time, thus 1-year turnover
             underestimated the turnovers over a decade or a century. The
             increase was less than linear, however, so dividing observed
             turnover by the number of years in its calculation produced
             a statistic that declined progressively with that number. 4.
             The model provided a significant overall fit to the data,
             but underestimated turnover at both the shortest and longest
             census intervals. We modified the model to reduce the amount
             of underestimation, by incorporating the long-term changes
             in the number of species on each island and hence removing
             the assumption of equilibrium. This non-equilibrium model
             provided a much improved fit to the data, but it still
             failed to describe turnover at the very shortest intervals.
             These, however, are known from other studies to be inflated
             by individuals-floaters-that nest only once or twice on the
             islands. 5. The improved, non-equilibrium model made good
             predictions of the observed turnover over a 4-year interval.
             These predictions may be used to compare islands, including
             those for which empirical data on 4-year turnovers are
             sparse, 6. We divided the non-equilibrium model into an
             intrinsic and an extrinsic component, representing the
             influence of within-community and external factors,
             respectively. 7. Even the intrinsic components of turnover
             are large, involving differences in species composition of
             6-36\% between widely separated censuses. How these
             intrinsic components of turnover vary from island to island
             is not clear because previous studies have been unable to
             compare turnover at different time scales. The number of
             islands in this study was too few for this purpose and we
             leave a more broadly based comparison for a future
             paper.},
   Doi = {10.2307/5805},
   Key = {ISI:A1995RY35100008}
}

@article{ISI:A1995QB63700005,
   Author = {Nott, MP and Rogers, E and Pimm, S},
   Title = {Extinction rates. Modern extinctions in the kilo-death
             range.},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {14-17},
   Year = {1995},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0960-9822},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0960-9822(95)00005-4},
   Abstract = {For some groups of species, extinction rates are orders of
             magnitude higher than expected background rates--many
             species now last nearer a fateful second than their destined
             hour.},
   Doi = {10.1016/s0960-9822(95)00005-4},
   Key = {ISI:A1995QB63700005}
}

@article{fds326648,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Bibliographie},
   Journal = {Mammalia},
   Volume = {59},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {165-169},
   Publisher = {WALTER DE GRUYTER GMBH},
   Year = {1995},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/mamm.1995.59.1.165},
   Doi = {10.1515/mamm.1995.59.1.165},
   Key = {fds326648}
}

@article{nott1995extinction,
   Author = {Nott, MP and Rogers, E. and Pimm, S.},
   Title = {Extinction Rates: Modern extinctions in the kilo-death
             range},
   Journal = {Current Biology},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {14--17},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1995},
   Key = {nott1995extinction}
}

@article{whitney1995coastal,
   Author = {Whitney, GG and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {From coastal wilderness to fruited plain: a history of
             environmental change in temperate North America from 1500 to
             the present},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {374},
   Number = {6517},
   Pages = {24--24},
   Publisher = {[London: Macmillan Journals], 1869-},
   Year = {1995},
   Key = {whitney1995coastal}
}

@article{pimm1995coastal,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {From Coastal Wilderness to Fruited Plain: A History of
             Environmental Change in Temperate North America from 1500 to
             the Present by GG Whitney},
   Journal = {NATURE-LONDON-},
   Pages = {24--24},
   Publisher = {MACMILLAN MAGAZINES LTD},
   Year = {1995},
   Key = {pimm1995coastal}
}

@article{russell1995century,
   Author = {Russell, G.J. and Diamond, J.M. and Pimm, S.L. and Reed,
             T.M.},
   Title = {A century of turnover: community dynamics at three
             timescales},
   Journal = {Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Pages = {628--641},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1995},
   Key = {russell1995century}
}

@article{pimm1995forest,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Askins, R.A.},
   Title = {Forest losses predict bird extinctions in eastern North
             America},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
   Volume = {92},
   Number = {20},
   Pages = {9343},
   Publisher = {National Acad Sciences},
   Year = {1995},
   Key = {pimm1995forest}
}

@article{pimm1995future,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Russell, G.J. and Gittleman, J.L. and Brooks,
             T.M.},
   Title = {The future of biodiversity},
   Journal = {Science},
   Volume = {269},
   Number = {5222},
   Pages = {347},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of
             Science},
   Year = {1995},
   Key = {pimm1995future}
}

@article{curnutt1995biodiversity,
   Author = {Curnutt, J.L. and Pimm, S.},
   Title = {Biodiversity: Managing nature when there are no [] ill
             winds'},
   Journal = {Current Biology},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {713--715},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1995},
   Key = {curnutt1995biodiversity}
}

@article{fds279116,
   Author = {PIMM, S},
   Title = {Forest loss predict bird extinction in eastern North
             America},
   Journal = {Proc Natl Acad Sci Usa},
   Volume = {92},
   Pages = {9343-9347},
   Year = {1995},
   Key = {fds279116}
}

@article{fds279120,
   Author = {Curnutt, JL and Pimm, S},
   Title = {Managing nature when there are no 'ill winds'},
   Journal = {Current Biology},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {713-715},
   Year = {1995},
   Abstract = {Interspecific interactions affect biodiversity, but in
             unpredictable ways that change over time and space. There is
             little evidence for the 'ill wind that blows no good' to any
             species. So how can we manage nature?},
   Key = {fds279120}
}

@article{pimm1995nature,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Nature lovers and other villains},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {378},
   Pages = {104-105},
   Year = {1995},
   Key = {pimm1995nature}
}

@article{pimm1995beyond,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Beyond the forest primaeval},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {374},
   Pages = {24-25},
   Year = {1995},
   Key = {pimm1995beyond}
}

@article{ISI:A1995RL95300006,
   Author = {CURNUTT, JL and PIMM, S},
   Title = {BIODIVERSITY - MANAGING NATURE WHEN THERE ARE NO ILL
             WINDS},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {713-715},
   Year = {1995},
   ISSN = {0960-9822},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0960-9822(95)00141-2},
   Abstract = {Interspecific interactions affect biodiversity, but in
             unpredictable ways that change over time and space. There is
             little evidence for the `ill wind that blows no good' to any
             species. So how can we manage nature?},
   Doi = {10.1016/s0960-9822(95)00141-2},
   Key = {ISI:A1995RL95300006}
}

@article{ISI:A1995QT20100043,
   Author = {PIMM, S},
   Title = {SEEDS OF OUR OWN DESTRUCTION},
   Journal = {New Scientist},
   Volume = {146},
   Number = {1972},
   Pages = {31-35},
   Year = {1995},
   ISSN = {0262-4079},
   Key = {ISI:A1995QT20100043}
}

@article{ehrlich1994birdwatcher,
   Author = {Ehrlich, PR and Dobkin, DS and Wheye, D and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {The birdwatcher's handbook: a guide to the natural history
             of the birds of Britain and Europe},
   Journal = {The Birdwatcher'S Handbook: a Guide to the Natural History
             of the Birds of Britain and Europe},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {December},
   Abstract = {After an introductory note on how to use the guide and
             pointers on observing and recording bird biology,
             information is provided on 516 species which regularly breed
             in Europe and adjacent parts of the Middle East and North
             Africa. For each species the following details are presented
             in symbol form: nest location; nest type; who builds the
             nest; breeding system (monogamy, polygyny, polyandry and
             cooperative breeder); eggs, clutch size and broods;
             incubating sex; length of incubation; stage of development
             at hatching; who tends the young; time from hatching to
             fledging; diet; foraging techniques. In addition, text is
             provided on: breeding habitat; territorial/courtship
             displays; nesting; diet; over-wintering ecology; and
             conservation status. The volume also includes 170 short
             essays on topics as wide-ranging as species and speciation,
             preening and adaptations for flight. Species names are
             indexed in English, Latin, French, German, Dutch, Spanish
             and Swedish. -S.R.Harris},
   Key = {ehrlich1994birdwatcher}
}

@article{ISI:A1994NX97100038,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {An American tale},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {370},
   Number = {6486},
   Pages = {188-188},
   Publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1994NX97100038&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1038/370188b0},
   Key = {ISI:A1994NX97100038}
}

@article{ISI:A1994NJ23900016,
   Author = {PIMM, S},
   Title = {WHAT THE WOODS WONT WHISPER - ON GUAM, SINCE THE EARLY
             1960S, A MYSTERIOUS PESTILENCE HAS WIPED OUT ALL THE FOREST
             BIRDS - NOW THE SAME SCOURGE THREATENS HAWAII},
   Journal = {The Sciences},
   Volume = {34},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {16-19},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {May},
   ISSN = {0036-861X},
   Key = {ISI:A1994NJ23900016}
}

@article{ISI:A1994NL99700016,
   Author = {Lockwood, JL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Biological diversity. Species: would any of them be
             missed?},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {455-457},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {May},
   ISSN = {0960-9822},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/7922364},
   Abstract = {Contrary to the view taken by some, individual species
             matter: they are valuable for their contribution to the
             stability of the ecosystems they inhabit.},
   Doi = {10.1016/s0960-9822(00)00102-0},
   Key = {ISI:A1994NL99700016}
}

@article{ISI:A1994NC66200001,
   Author = {MURPHY, D and WILCOVE, D and NOSS, R and HARTE, J and SAFINA, C and LUBCHENCO, J and ROOT, T and SHER, V and KAUFMAN, L and BEAN, M and PIMM,
             S},
   Title = {ON REAUTHORIZATION OF THE ENDANGERED SPECIES
             ACT},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society for
             Conservation Biology},
   Volume = {8},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {1-3},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {March},
   ISSN = {0888-8892},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1523-1739.1994.08010001.x},
   Doi = {10.1046/j.1523-1739.1994.08010001.x},
   Key = {ISI:A1994NC66200001}
}

@article{ISI:A1994MX16500024,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Sugden, AM},
   Title = {Tropical diversity and global change.},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {263},
   Number = {5149},
   Pages = {933-934},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17758632},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.263.5149.933},
   Key = {ISI:A1994MX16500024}
}

@article{ISI:A1994MU94300002,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The importance of watching birds from airplanes.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {9},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {41-43},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21236762},
   Doi = {10.1016/0169-5347(94)90264-x},
   Key = {ISI:A1994MU94300002}
}

@article{ISI:A1994NM57000005,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Moulton, MP and Justice, LJ},
   Title = {Bird extinctions in the central Pacific},
   Journal = {Philosophical Transactions Royal Society of London,
             B},
   Volume = {344},
   Number = {1307},
   Pages = {27-33},
   Publisher = {The Royal Society},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0962-8436},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rstb.1994.0047},
   Abstract = {The first wave of human colonists spread across the Pacific
             from 4000-1000 yr ago. That they caused many extinctions is
             well known from fossil finds. The authors estimate how many
             fossil bird species were missed (roughly half) and so
             estimate the true extinction rate. The first colonists
             exterminated roughly half the species on each island group.
             Some of these extinctions are falsely attributed to the
             first colonists, because intensive collection often began a
             half century after the damage initiated by European
             discovery. Even taken at face value, these recent
             extinctions are too few. Many species are so critically
             endangered that we know neither whether they still survive
             or how to save them. There are fewer recent extinctions and
             currently endangered species in the islands of the western
             Pacific, which were the islands occupied first by humans.
             The species sensitive to human occupation probably died out
             long ago in these areas. If so, these islands would have
             lost even more than half of their bird species.
             -Authors},
   Doi = {10.1098/rstb.1994.0047},
   Key = {ISI:A1994NM57000005}
}

@article{ISI:A1994NC16000010,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Davis, GE and Loope, L and Roman, CT and Smith, TJII and Tilmant, JT},
   Title = {Hurricane Andrew. The 1992 hurricane allowed scientists to
             assess damage and consider long-term consequences to
             well-studied ecosystems},
   Journal = {Bioscience},
   Volume = {44},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {224-229},
   Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0006-3568},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1994NC16000010&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.2307/1312226},
   Key = {ISI:A1994NC16000010}
}

@article{fds343228,
   Author = {Ehrlich, PR and Dobkin, DS and Wheye, D and Pimm,
             SL},
   Title = {The birdwatcher's handbook: a guide to the natural history
             of the birds of Britain and Europe},
   Journal = {The Birdwatcher'S Handbook: a Guide to the Natural History
             of the Birds of Britain and Europe},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {January},
   Abstract = {After an introductory note on how to use the guide and
             pointers on observing and recording bird biology,
             information is provided on 516 species which regularly breed
             in Europe and adjacent parts of the Middle East and North
             Africa. For each species the following details are presented
             in symbol form: nest location; nest type; who builds the
             nest; breeding system (monogamy, polygyny, polyandry and
             cooperative breeder); eggs, clutch size and broods;
             incubating sex; length of incubation; stage of development
             at hatching; who tends the young; time from hatching to
             fledging; diet; foraging techniques. In addition, text is
             provided on: breeding habitat; territorial/courtship
             displays; nesting; diet; over-wintering ecology; and
             conservation status. The volume also includes 170 short
             essays on topics as wide-ranging as species and speciation,
             preening and adaptations for flight. Species names are
             indexed in English, Latin, French, German, Dutch, Spanish
             and Swedish. -S.R.Harris},
   Key = {fds343228}
}

@article{pimm1994history,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {A History of the Ecosystem Concept in Ecology: More than the
             Sum of the Parts by FB Golley},
   Journal = {NATURE-LONDON-},
   Pages = {188--188},
   Publisher = {MACMILLAN MAGAZINES LTD},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {pimm1994history}
}

@article{curnutt1994hotspots,
   Author = {Curnutt, J. and Lockwood, J. and Luh, H.K. and Nott, P. and Russell, G.},
   Title = {Hotspots and species diversity},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {367},
   Number = {6461},
   Pages = {326--327},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {curnutt1994hotspots}
}

@article{lockwood1994biological,
   Author = {Lockwood, J.L. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Biological Diversity: Species: would any of them be
             missed?},
   Journal = {Current Biology},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {455--457},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {lockwood1994biological}
}

@article{pimm1994tropical,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Sugden, A.M.},
   Title = {Tropical diversity and global change},
   Journal = {Science (Washington, DC);(United States)},
   Volume = {263},
   Number = {5149},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {pimm1994tropical}
}

@article{pimm1994importance,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {The importance of watching birds from airplanes.},
   Journal = {Trends in ecology \& evolution (Personal
             edition)},
   Volume = {9},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {41},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {pimm1994importance}
}

@article{fds279112,
   Author = {PIMM, SL and CURNUTT, JL},
   Title = {The management of endangered birds},
   Journal = {Biodiversity and Terrestrial Ecosystems},
   Number = {14},
   Pages = {227-244},
   Year = {1994},
   ISSN = {0258-5170},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1994BD37W00018&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Key = {fds279112}
}

@article{pimm1994field,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Field Notes},
   Journal = {Sciences New York},
   Volume = {34},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {16},
   Publisher = {[New York]: New York Academy of Sciences,[1961]-c2001.},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {pimm1994field}
}

@article{collar1994bird,
   Author = {Collar, NJ and Bowman, D and Bond, WJ and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Bird Extinctions in the Central Pacific:
             Discussion},
   Journal = {Royal Society of London Philosophical Transactions Series
             B},
   Volume = {344},
   Pages = {33},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {collar1994bird}
}

@article{pimm1994ornithology,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The Ornithology XI},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Volume = {75},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {2147-2148},
   Publisher = {Eco Soc America},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {pimm1994ornithology}
}

@article{pimm1994american,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {An American tale},
   Journal = {Nature: International Weekly Journal of Science},
   Volume = {370},
   Number = {6486},
   Pages = {188},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {pimm1994american}
}

@article{pimm1994cassandra,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {Cassandra versus Pangloss},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {372},
   Pages = {512-513},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {pimm1994cassandra}
}

@article{pimm1994management,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Curnutt, JL},
   Title = {The management of endangered species},
   Journal = {Biodiversity and Terrestrial Ecosystems. Institute of
             Botany, Academia Sinica Monograph Series
             No},
   Volume = {14},
   Pages = {227-244},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {pimm1994management}
}

@article{redfearn1994population,
   Author = {Redfearn, A and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Population fluctuation in phytophagous insects},
   Journal = {Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America;(United
             States)},
   Volume = {75},
   Number = {CONF-940894--},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {redfearn1994population}
}

@article{pimm1994bird,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Moulton, MP and Justice, LJ and Collar, NJ and Bowman, D and Bond, WJ},
   Title = {Bird Extinctions in the Central Pacific [and
             Discussion]},
   Journal = {Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London.
             Series B: Biological Sciences},
   Volume = {344},
   Number = {1307},
   Pages = {27-33},
   Publisher = {The Royal Society},
   Year = {1994},
   Key = {pimm1994bird}
}

@article{ISI:A1994NE25401541,
   Author = {MCMENAMIN, C and PIMM, S and MCKELLAR, M and HOLT,
             PG},
   Title = {SELECTIVE SUPPRESSION OF IGE PRODUCTION BY MHC CLASS-I
             RESTRICTED CD8+ T-CELLS FOLLOWING INHALATION OF
             SOLUBLE-PROTEIN ANTIGENS IN A RODENT MODEL},
   Journal = {Journal of Cellular Biochemistry},
   Number = {Suppl. 18D},
   Pages = {446},
   Year = {1994},
   ISSN = {0730-2312},
   Key = {ISI:A1994NE25401541}
}

@article{ISI:A1994PW08200039,
   Author = {PIMM, S},
   Title = {SCARCITY OR ABUNDANCE - A DEBATE ON THE ENVIRONMENT -
             MYERS,N, SIMON,JL},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {372},
   Number = {6506},
   Pages = {512-513},
   Year = {1994},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   Key = {ISI:A1994PW08200039}
}

@article{ISI:A1993MQ51700009,
   Author = {DIAMOND, J and PIMM, S},
   Title = {SURVIVAL TIMES OF BIRD POPULATIONS - A REPLY},
   Journal = {The American Naturalist},
   Volume = {142},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {1030-1035},
   Year = {1993},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0003-0147},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/285588},
   Doi = {10.1086/285588},
   Key = {ISI:A1993MQ51700009}
}

@article{fds304945,
   Author = {Diamond, J and Pimm, S},
   Title = {Survival times of bird populations: A reply [to Haila and
             Hanski]},
   Journal = {The American Naturalist},
   Volume = {142},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {1030-1035},
   Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {1993},
   Month = {December},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/285588},
   Doi = {10.1086/285588},
   Key = {fds304945}
}

@article{ISI:A1993MH32200095,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Diamond, J and Reed, TM and Russell, GJ and Verner,
             J},
   Title = {Times to extinction for small populations of large
             birds.},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the
             United States of America},
   Volume = {90},
   Number = {22},
   Pages = {10871-10875},
   Year = {1993},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0027-8424},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11607439},
   Abstract = {A major practical problem in conservation biology is to
             predict the survival times-"lifetimes"-for small populations
             under alternative proposed management regimes. Examples in
             the United States include the 'Alala (Hawaiian Crow; Corvus
             hawaiiensis) and Northern Spotted Owl (Strix occidentalis
             caurina). To guide such decisions, we analyze counts of all
             crow, owl, and hawk species in the most complete available
             data set: counts of bird breeding pairs on 14 European
             islands censused for 29-66 consecutive years. The data set
             yielded 129 records for analysis. We define the population
             ceiling as the highest number of breeding pairs observed
             from colonization to extinction, within a consecutive series
             of counts for a given species on a given island. The
             resulting distributions of population lifetimes as a
             function of population size prove to be highly skewed: most
             small populations disappear quickly, but a few last for a
             long time. Median (i.e., 50th percentile) lifetimes are
             calculated as only 1-5 yr for hawk, owl, and crow
             populations with ceilings of one or two breeding pairs. As
             expected if demographic accidents are the main cause of
             extinction for small populations, lifetimes rise by a factor
             of 3-4 for each additional pair up to three pairs. They rise
             more slowly thereafter. These observations suggest that
             lifetimes of the 'Alala (now reduced to about three pairs in
             the wild), and of populations of Northern Spotted Owl in the
             smallest forest fragments, will be short unless active
             management is implemented.},
   Doi = {10.1073/pnas.90.22.10871},
   Key = {ISI:A1993MH32200095}
}

@article{ISI:A1993LL95700008,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Ecosystem dynamics: nature's short, sharp
             shocks.},
   Journal = {Current Biology : Cb},
   Volume = {3},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {288-290},
   Year = {1993},
   Month = {May},
   ISSN = {0960-9822},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15335751},
   Doi = {10.1016/0960-9822(93)90181-m},
   Key = {ISI:A1993LL95700008}
}

@article{ISI:A1993KK57600004,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Life on an intermittent edge.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {8},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {45-46},
   Year = {1993},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21236104},
   Doi = {10.1016/0169-5347(93)90156-j},
   Key = {ISI:A1993KK57600004}
}

@article{ISI:A1993KF77500026,
   Author = {Cohen, JE and Beaver, RA and Cousins, SH and DeAngelis, DL and Goldwasser, L and Heong, KL and Holt, RD and Kohn, AJ and Lawton, JH and Martinez, N and O'Malley, R and Page, LM and Patten, BC and Pimm, SL and Polis, GA and Rejmanek, M and Schoener, TW and Schoenly, K and Sprules,
             WG and Teal, JM and Ulanowicz, RE and Warren, PH and Wilbur, HM and Yodzis,
             P},
   Title = {Improving Food Webs},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Volume = {74},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {252-258},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1993},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0012-9658},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1993KF77500026&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.2307/1939520},
   Key = {ISI:A1993KF77500026}
}

@article{ISI:A1993MA34600014,
   Author = {Hang-Kwang Luh, and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The assembly of ecological communities: a minimalist
             approach},
   Journal = {The Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Volume = {62},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {749-765},
   Year = {1993},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0021-8790},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/5394},
   Abstract = {Communities develop through community assembly, in which
             species invade, persist, or become extinct. Community
             assembly is a sequence of different community states. Each
             state is a unique combination of species' presence or
             absence. The community transition graph is the directed
             graph of the transitions between states. The authors
             investigated the statistical distribution of different
             community transition graphs that contain varying numbers of
             species. Does the species composition of a community
             persist? Or does it cycle, and, if so, through a few
             recognizable states or through a complex sequence that might
             appear superificially random? In random transition graphs,
             the directions of the transitions are specified entirely at
             random. In a second recipe. all cycles are excluded by
             assigning each state a random "height'. The community
             transition graph moves from a "lower' state to one of its
             "higher' neighbours. This produces landscape transition
             graphs. A third recipe adds one ecological constraint to the
             random assembly models. The simple, ecologically implausible
             cycles are removed to produce minimal transition graphs.
             Random transition graphs most commonly have one persistent
             state. Landscape transition graphs commonly have many more
             persistent states and the number increases rapidly with the
             number of species in the system. Persistent cycles are rare
             in the random graphs and are impossible in the landscape
             graphs. Random graphs may best describe community
             restoration. If so, restoration might eventually reach its
             desired persistent community but only after a long period of
             intermediate cycling. In contrast, if landscape or minimal
             graphs best decribe restoration, then it would quickly reach
             a persistent community. Unfortunately, this persistent
             community may not be the desired community. -from
             Authors},
   Doi = {10.2307/5394},
   Key = {ISI:A1993MA34600014}
}

@article{ISI:A1993MA34600009,
   Author = {Blackburn, TM and Lawton, JH and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Non-metabolic explanations for the relationship between body
             size and animal abundance},
   Journal = {The Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Volume = {62},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {694-702},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1993},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0021-8790},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/5389},
   Abstract = {Metabolic constraints are the usual explanation for the
             relationship between body size and species abundance in
             natural assemblages of animals. In some assemblages,
             abundance scales with body weight to the -0.75 power.
             Metabolic rate scales as weight raised to the (plus) power,
             therefore, on average equal amounts of energy are available
             to each species in a community. This equality has been taken
             as evidence that a species' abundance is limited by its
             energetic requirements. But most species in samples of
             complete assemblages cannot be energy limited (although the
             most abundant species, at the "upper bound' may be). And
             arguments also ignore the frequency distributions of
             species; body size and species; abundance which underlie
             abundance versus size plots. The authors test the hypothesis
             that concatenating the underlying frequency distributions of
             species' body size and species' abundance can directly
             account for observed patterns in plots of size versus
             abundance in assemblages of animals, comparing the negative
             slope of the upper boundary of plots of size against
             abundance from real assemblages, with the same slopes
             derived from models with no energy constraints. Models give
             estimates for the upper bound slopes that are very similar
             to slopes calculated from real assemblages. Patterns of
             abundance versus body size in natural assemblages thus may
             not be constrainted by species' energy requirements, and do
             not require explanations independent of those for the
             constituent frequency distributions of size and abundance.
             -from Authors},
   Doi = {10.2307/5389},
   Key = {ISI:A1993MA34600009}
}

@article{ISI:A1993KK04500007,
   Author = {Cohen, JE and Pimm, SL and Yodzis, P and Saldana,
             J},
   Title = {Body sizes of animal predators and animal prey in food
             webs},
   Journal = {The Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Volume = {62},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {67-78},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1993},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0021-8790},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/5483},
   Abstract = {In c90% of the feeding links among the animal species with
             known sizes, a larger predator consumes a smaller prey.
             Larger predators eat prey with a wider range of body sizes
             than do smaller predators. The geometric mean predator size
             increases with the size of prey. The increase in geometric
             mean predator size is less than proportional to the increase
             in prey size (ie has a slope less than one on log-log
             coordinates). The geometric mean sizes of prey and predators
             increase as the habitat of webs changes from aquatic to
             terrestrial to coastal to marine. Within each type of
             habitat, mean prey sizes are always less than mean predator
             sizes, and prey and predator sizes are always positively
             correlated. Feeding relations order the metabolic types of
             organisms from invertebrate to vertebrate ectotherm to
             vertebrate endotherm. Organisms commonly eat other organisms
             with the same or lower metabolic type, but (with very rare
             exceptions) organisms do not eat other organisms with a
             higher metabolic type. Mean sizes of prey increase as the
             metabolic type of prey changes from the invertebrate to
             vertebrate ectotherm to vertebrate endotherm, but the same
             does not hold true for predators. Prey and predator sizes
             are positively correlated in links from invertebrate prey to
             invertebrate predators. In links with other combinations of
             prey and predator metabolic types, the correlation between
             prey and predator body sizes is rarely large when it is
             positive, and in some cases is even negative. Species sizes
             are roughly log-normally distributed. Body size offers a
             good interpretation of the ordering of animal species
             assumed in the cascade model, a stochastic model of food web
             structure. When body size is taken as the physical
             interpretation of the ordering assumed in the cascade model,
             and when the body sizes of different animal species are
             taken as log-normally distributed, many of the empirical
             findings can be explained in terms of the cascade model.
             -from Authors},
   Doi = {10.2307/5483},
   Key = {ISI:A1993KK04500007}
}

@article{cohen1993improving,
   Author = {Cohen, JE and Beaver, RA and Cousins, SH and DeAngelis, DL and Goldwasser, L. and Heong, KL and Holt, RD and Kohn, AJ and Lawton, JH and Martinez, N. and others},
   Title = {Improving food webs},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Volume = {74},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {252--258},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1993},
   Key = {cohen1993improving}
}

@article{pimm1993life,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Life on an intermittent edge.},
   Journal = {Trends in ecology \& evolution (Personal
             edition)},
   Volume = {8},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {45},
   Year = {1993},
   Key = {pimm1993life}
}

@article{cohen1993body,
   Author = {Cohen, J.E. and Pimm, S.L. and Yodzis, P. and Salda{\~n}a,
             J.},
   Title = {Body sizes of animal predators and animal prey in food
             webs},
   Journal = {Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Pages = {67--78},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1993},
   Key = {cohen1993body}
}

@article{pimm1993times,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Diamond, J. and Reed, T.M. and Russell, G.J. and Verner, J.},
   Title = {Times to extinction for small populations of large
             birds},
   Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
   Volume = {90},
   Number = {22},
   Pages = {10871},
   Publisher = {National Acad Sciences},
   Year = {1993},
   Key = {pimm1993times}
}

@article{blackburn1993non,
   Author = {Blackburn, T.M. and Lawton, J.H. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {Non-metabolic explanations for the relationship between body
             size and animal abundance},
   Journal = {Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Pages = {694--702},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1993},
   Key = {blackburn1993non}
}

@article{hang1993assembly,
   Author = {Hang-Kwang, L. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {The assembly of ecological communities: a minimalist
             approach},
   Journal = {Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Pages = {749--765},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1993},
   Key = {hang1993assembly}
}

@article{gaston1993book,
   Author = {Gaston, KJ and McArdle, BH and Lawton, JH and Lewinsohn, TM and Compton, SG and Memmott, J. and Godfray, HC and Thomas,
             CD and Fowler, SV and Syrett, P. and others},
   Title = {Book chapters},
   Journal = {Brighton Crop Protection Conference-Weeds},
   Pages = {753--757},
   Year = {1993},
   Key = {gaston1993book}
}

@article{pimm199416,
   Author = {PIMM, SL},
   Title = {BIODIVERSITY AND THE BALANCE OF NATURE},
   Journal = {Biodiversity and Ecosystem Function},
   Volume = {99},
   Pages = {347-359},
   Publisher = {Springer},
   Year = {1993},
   ISBN = {3-540-55804-7},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1993BZ53F00016&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Key = {pimm199416}
}

@article{pimm1993nature,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Nature's short, sharp shocks},
   Journal = {Current Biology},
   Volume = {3},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {288-290},
   Year = {1993},
   Abstract = {A recent experimental study confirms theoretical predictions
             of how the response of an ecosystem to a perturbation
             depends on the structure of its food web.},
   Key = {pimm1993nature}
}

@article{pimm1993discussion,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Discussion: understanding indirect effects: is it
             possible},
   Journal = {Mutualism and Community Organization. Oxford University
             Press, Oxford},
   Pages = {199-209},
   Year = {1993},
   Key = {pimm1993discussion}
}

@article{ISI:A1992HE60500030,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Gittleman, JL},
   Title = {Biological diversity: where is it?},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {255},
   Number = {5047},
   Pages = {940},
   Year = {1992},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/1546290},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.1546290},
   Key = {ISI:A1992HE60500030}
}

@article{pimm1992frog,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Frog ponds and ocean iron},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {360},
   Number = {6402},
   Pages = {298-299},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1992},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/360298a0},
   Doi = {10.1038/360298a0},
   Key = {pimm1992frog}
}

@article{ISI:A1992JT28000010,
   Author = {Jenkins, B and Kitching, RL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Productivity, disturbance and food web structure at a local
             spatial scale in experimental container habitats},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {65},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {249-255},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1992},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0030-1299},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3545016},
   Abstract = {Using water-filled container analogues of natural treeholes
             placed in a subtropical rainforest, the source of energy in
             both experimental and natural systems was detrital leaves.
             Ten-fold and hundred-fold reductions in energy input reduced
             food chain lengths by an extra link. The principal predator
             was less prevalent in less productive habitat units. Food
             webs with fewer trophic links and fewer species were found
             in habitat units that were less productive. Numbers of
             species, trophic links and abundance of the most common prey
             species increased during food web assembly. A natural
             perturbation created by low rainfall caused numbers of
             species, trophic links and food chain length to be
             temporarily reduced at 36 wk. The effect on food chain
             length was most marked in the most productive system. While
             relatively long food chains were possibly only in the most
             productive systems, these systems were especially vulnerable
             to external perturbations. -from Authors},
   Doi = {10.2307/3545016},
   Key = {ISI:A1992JT28000010}
}

@article{jenkins1992productivity,
   Author = {Jenkins, B. and Kitching, RL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Productivity, disturbance and food web structure at a local
             spatial scale in experimental container habitats},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Pages = {249--255},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1992},
   Key = {jenkins1992productivity}
}

@article{redfearn1992natural,
   Author = {Redfearn, A and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Natural enemies and community dynamics},
   Journal = {Natural Enemies},
   Pages = {395-411},
   Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
   Year = {1992},
   Key = {redfearn1992natural}
}

@article{pimm1992introduction,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {An introduction to evolutionary ecology:: by Andrew
             Cockburn, Blackwell Scientific Publications, 1991.{\pounds}
             17.50 pbk (xii+ 370 pages) ISBN 0 632 027290},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
   Volume = {7},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {33-34},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1992},
   Key = {pimm1992introduction}
}

@article{pimm1992big,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Big Questions in Ecology.(Book Reviews: The Balance of
             Nature? Ecological Issues in the Conservation of Species and
             Communities.)},
   Journal = {Science},
   Volume = {256},
   Pages = {1056-1057},
   Year = {1992},
   Key = {pimm1992big}
}

@article{ISI:A1991FJ13000047,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Falling victim to politics},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {350},
   Number = {6320},
   Pages = {668-668},
   Publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
   Year = {1991},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1991FJ13000047&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1038/350668a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1991FJ13000047}
}

@article{gittleman1991crying,
   Author = {Gittleman, JL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Crying wolf in North America},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {351},
   Number = {6327},
   Pages = {524-525},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1991},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/351524a0},
   Doi = {10.1038/351524a0},
   Key = {gittleman1991crying}
}

@article{ISI:A1991FJ13000048,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Lawton, JH and Cohen, JE},
   Title = {Food web patterns and their consequences},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {350},
   Number = {6320},
   Pages = {669-674},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1991},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/350669a0},
   Abstract = {A food web is a map that describes which kinds of organisms
             in a community eat which other kinds. A web helps picture
             how a community is put together and how it works. Although
             webs were often initially reported in despair at ever
             understanding ecological complexity, recently discovered
             widespread patterns in the shapes of webs, and theoretical
             explanations for these patterns, indicate that webs are
             orderly and intelligible, and have some foreseeable
             consequences for the dynamics of communities. © 1991 Nature
             Publishing Group.},
   Doi = {10.1038/350669a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1991FJ13000048}
}

@article{crawley1991group,
   Author = {Crawley, MJ and Halim, Y. and Hsu, KJ and Jordan III and WR and Kafka, P. and Ndthel, H. and Pauly, DM and Pimm, SL and Sayler, GS and Van den Daele and W.},
   Title = {Group Report Does Bioscience Threaten Ecological
             lntegrity?},
   Journal = {Bioscience [symbol for chemical equilibrium] society: report
             of the Schering Workshop on Bioscience [symbol for chemical
             equilibrium] Society, Berlin 1990, November
             25-30},
   Volume = {1990},
   Pages = {185},
   Publisher = {John Wiley \& Son Ltd},
   Year = {1991},
   Key = {crawley1991group}
}

@article{pimm1991food,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Lawton, J.H. and Cohen, J.E.},
   Title = {Food web patterns and their consequences},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {350},
   Number = {6320},
   Pages = {669--674},
   Year = {1991},
   Key = {pimm1991food}
}

@article{pimm1991falling,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Falling victim to politics},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {350},
   Pages = {668},
   Year = {1991},
   Key = {pimm1991falling}
}

@article{pimm1991human,
   Author = {PIMM, SL},
   Title = {HUMAN-POPULATION GROWTH AND ECOLOGICAL INTEGRITY},
   Journal = {Bioscience Society},
   Pages = {163-182},
   Year = {1991},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1991BV42D00013&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Key = {pimm1991human}
}

@article{ISI:A1990DU19400008,
   Author = {Witteman, GJ and Redfearn, A and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The extent of complex population changes in
             nature},
   Journal = {Evolutionary Ecology},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {173-183},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1990},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0269-7653},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF02270914},
   Abstract = {Many models of animal populations show complex yet
             predictable patterns of density changes under simple and
             plausible assumptions. Yet one previous attempt to determine
             the extent and importance of complex dynamics concluded that
             they were likely only in some laboratory populations, but
             not in field populations. Ecologists have treated changes
             more complex than a return to a simple equilibrium, such as
             the cyclical changes in populations of lynx and voles in the
             arctic, as special cases. Highly variable populations, such
             as insects, are usually thought to be driven by
             unpredictable changes in the weather. Here, we assemble 71
             populations counted for over 50 years, and suggest that
             complex yet predictable population changes are more common
             than previously thought. © 1990 Chapman and Hall
             Ltd.},
   Doi = {10.1007/BF02270914},
   Key = {ISI:A1990DU19400008}
}

@article{ISI:A1990CQ43600002,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Gittleman, JL},
   Title = {Carnivores and ecologists on the road to
             damascus},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {70-73},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {1990},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0169-5347(90)90232-3},
   Doi = {10.1016/0169-5347(90)90232-3},
   Key = {ISI:A1990CQ43600002}
}

@article{ISI:A1990ED99500002,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The decline of the Newfoundland crossbill},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {11},
   Pages = {350-351},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {1990},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0169-5347(90)90092-R},
   Doi = {10.1016/0169-5347(90)90092-R},
   Key = {ISI:A1990ED99500002}
}

@article{baker1990endangered,
   Author = {Baker, A.J. and Ballou, J.D. and Beck, B.B. and Beck Jr,
             R.E. and Cade, T.J. and Carpenter, J.W. and Clark, T.W. and Cox, P. and David, B. and Derickson, S.R. and others},
   Title = {Endangered species update, 8: 1 (November
             1990)},
   Publisher = {University of Michigan, School of Natural
             Resources},
   Year = {1990},
   Key = {baker1990endangered}
}

@article{pimm1990decline,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {The decline of the Newfoundland crossbill},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {11},
   Pages = {350--351},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1990},
   Key = {pimm1990decline}
}

@article{witteman1990extent,
   Author = {Witteman, G.J. and Redfearn, A. and Pimm,
             S.L.},
   Title = {The extent of complex population changes in
             nature},
   Journal = {Evolutionary Ecology},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {173--183},
   Publisher = {Springer},
   Year = {1990},
   Key = {witteman1990extent}
}

@article{pimm1990carnivores,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Gittleman, J.L.},
   Title = {Carnivores and ecologists on the road to
             Damascus},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
   Volume = {5},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {70--73},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1990},
   Key = {pimm1990carnivores}
}

@article{ISI:A1989CG26700001,
   Author = {Diamond, J and Pimm, SL and Gilpin, ME and LeCroy,
             M},
   Title = {Rapid Evolution of Character Displacement in Myzomelid
             Honeyeaters},
   Journal = {The American Naturalist},
   Volume = {134},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {675-708},
   Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {1989},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0003-0147},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1989CG26700001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1086/285006},
   Key = {ISI:A1989CG26700001}
}

@article{ISI:A1989U913100007,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Gittleman, JL and McCracken, GF and Gilpin,
             M},
   Title = {Plausible alternatives to bottlenecks to explain reduced
             genetic diversity.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {4},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {176-178},
   Year = {1989},
   Month = {June},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21227345},
   Doi = {10.1016/0169-5347(89)90123-7},
   Key = {ISI:A1989U913100007}
}

@article{pimm1989communities,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Communities oceans apart?},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {339},
   Number = {6219},
   Pages = {13},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1989},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/339013a0},
   Doi = {10.1038/339013a0},
   Key = {pimm1989communities}
}

@article{ISI:A1989U228800044,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Redfearn, A},
   Title = {Bird population densities [9]},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {338},
   Number = {6217},
   Pages = {628},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1989},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/338628b0},
   Doi = {10.1038/338628b0},
   Key = {ISI:A1989U228800044}
}

@article{pimm1989bird,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Redfearn, A.},
   Title = {Bird population densities},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {338},
   Pages = {628},
   Year = {1989},
   Key = {pimm1989bird}
}

@article{diamond1989rapid,
   Author = {Diamond, J. and Pimm, S.L. and Gilpin, M.E. and LeCroy,
             M.},
   Title = {Rapid evolution of character displacement in myzomelid
             honeyeaters},
   Journal = {American Naturalist},
   Pages = {675--708},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1989},
   Key = {diamond1989rapid}
}

@article{pimm1989plausable,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Gittleman, J.L. and McCracken, G.F. and Gilpin, ME},
   Title = {Plausable alternatives to bottlenecks to explain reduced
             genetic diversity},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {4},
   Pages = {176--178},
   Year = {1989},
   Key = {pimm1989plausable}
}

@article{pimm1989theories,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Theories of predicting success and impact of introduced
             species},
   Journal = {Biological Invasions: a Global Perspective},
   Pages = {351-368},
   Publisher = {John Wiley \& Sons, New York},
   Year = {1989},
   Key = {pimm1989theories}
}

@article{pimm1989theoretical,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Gilpin, ME},
   Title = {Theoretical issues in conservation biology},
   Journal = {Perspectives in Ecological Theory},
   Pages = {287-305},
   Publisher = {Princeton University Press Princeton, NJ},
   Year = {1989},
   Key = {pimm1989theoretical}
}

@article{western1989agenda,
   Author = {Western, D and Pearl, MC and Pimm, SL and Walker, B and Atkinson, I and Woodruff, DS},
   Title = {An agenda for conservation action},
   Journal = {Conservation for the Twenty First Century. Oxford University
             Press, New York},
   Pages = {304-323},
   Year = {1989},
   Key = {western1989agenda}
}

@article{ISI:A1988R017400005,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Kitching, RL},
   Title = {Food Web Patterns: Trivial Flaws or the Basis of an Active
             Research Program?},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Volume = {69},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {1669-1672},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1988},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0012-9658},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1988R017400005&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.2307/1941144},
   Key = {ISI:A1988R017400005}
}

@article{ISI:A1988Q543500005,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Rapid morphological change in an introduced
             bird},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {3},
   Number = {11},
   Pages = {290-291},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {1988},
   Month = {November},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1988Q543500005&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1016/0169-5347(88)90103-6},
   Key = {ISI:A1988Q543500005}
}

@article{fds279136,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Energy flow and trophic structure},
   Journal = {Concepts of Ecosystem Ecology},
   Pages = {263-278},
   Year = {1988},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-3842-3_13},
   Abstract = {A simple energy flow hypothesis is inadequate to explain the
             patterns of food chain lengths observed in nature: although
             the species at the end of the food chain are limited by
             their food supply, a good correlaiton between overall level
             of energy flow and food chain length does not follow.
             Rather, food chain lengths are set by a combination of 1)
             how violently ecosystems are disturbed (variance of energy
             flow), and 2) how quickly their constituent species can
             recover from such disturbances (rate of recovery being
             determined by the flux of energy and nutrient flows and the
             openness of nutrient cycles). Ideas concerning disturbance,
             resilience and species persistence are mooted. Spatial and
             temporal variations of energy and nutrient cycles are argued
             to be the essential ingredients in any comprehensive theory
             of trophic structure. -P.J.Jarvis},
   Doi = {10.1007/978-1-4612-3842-3_13},
   Key = {fds279136}
}

@article{ISI:A1988R471300001,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Jones, HL and Diamond, J},
   Title = {On the risks of extinction},
   Journal = {The American Naturalist},
   Volume = {132},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {757-785},
   Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {1988},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0003-0147},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/284889},
   Abstract = {Well-known theoretical predictions are that the risk of
             extinction should decrease with maximum population size (K)
             and should increase with the temporal coefficient of
             variation in population size (CV). In an unvarying
             environment, where extinction is caused solely by
             demographic accidents, the risk of extinction should
             decrease steeply with K; the greater the contribution of
             environmental variability to the risk of extinction, the
             less steep should be the dependence on K. Large-bodies
             species tend to have long lifetimes but low rates of
             increase, which have opposite effects on the risk of
             extinction per year. In comparisons of a large- and
             small-bodied species at the same average population size
             (N), the large-bodied species should be at less risk at low
             N but at greater risk at high N. These predictions were
             tested using a data base of short-term survivals of 355
             populations belonging to 100 species of British land birds
             on 16 islands. Mean N and risk of extinction are known for
             these populations, and CVs for 39 species can be calculated.
             Risk of extinction does decrease sharply with N. After
             correcting for much of the effect of N, the theoretical
             prediction is confirmed that the relative susceptibility to
             extinction of large- and small-bodied species reverses with
             increasing population size. Above 7 pairs, larger-bodied
             species are at greater risk than smaller-bodied species; the
             reverse is true <7 pairs. Migratory species are at greater
             risk of extinction that resident species. After accounting
             for the effects of N, body size, and migratory status, the
             risk of extinction does increase with the CV. -from
             Authors},
   Doi = {10.1086/284889},
   Key = {ISI:A1988R471300001}
}

@article{ISI:A1988P709000063,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Redfearn, A},
   Title = {The variability of population densities},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {334},
   Number = {6183},
   Pages = {613-614},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1988},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/334613a0},
   Abstract = {The variability of population densities over time
             (henceforth called population variability) is one of several
             meanings of ecological stability1. Here we show that
             estimates of the variability of population densities
             increase as we increase the number of years included in
             their calculation. This result appears for the majority of
             populations surveyed and over almost all the time intervals
             over which we calculate the variability. This result has
             implications for the debate over whether populations have an
             equilibrium. © 1988 Nature Publishing Group.},
   Doi = {10.1038/334613a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1988P709000063}
}

@article{ISI:A1988M010500003,
   Author = {Redfearn, A and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Population variability and polyphagy in herbivorous insect
             communities},
   Journal = {Ecological Monographs},
   Volume = {58},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {39-55},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1988},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0012-9615},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1942633},
   Abstract = {Examined British aphids, British moths, and Canadian
             Macrolepidoptera. Degree of polyphagy was negatively
             correlated or uncorrelated with population variability, ie
             highly polyphagous species have a weak tendency to be less
             variable than host specialists. This lends some support to
             the argument that polyphagous species may be less
             susceptible to fluctuating resource levels. Population
             variability in monophagous or oligophagous herbivorous
             insects may, in part, reflect variation in resource levels.
             -from Authors},
   Doi = {10.2307/1942633},
   Key = {ISI:A1988M010500003}
}

@article{pimm1988rapid,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Rapid morphological change in an introduced
             bird},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
   Volume = {3},
   Number = {11},
   Pages = {290--291},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1988},
   Key = {pimm1988rapid}
}

@article{redfearn1988population,
   Author = {Redfearn, A. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Population variability and polyphagy in herbivorous insect
             communities},
   Journal = {Ecological Monographs},
   Pages = {39--55},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1988},
   Key = {redfearn1988population}
}

@article{pimm1988risk,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Jones, H.L. and Diamond, J.},
   Title = {On the risk of extinction},
   Journal = {American Naturalist},
   Pages = {757--785},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1988},
   Key = {pimm1988risk}
}

@article{pimm1988variability,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Redfearn, A.},
   Title = {The variability of population densities},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {1988},
   Key = {pimm1988variability}
}

@article{pimm1988food,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Kitching, R.L.},
   Title = {Food web patterns: Trivial flaws or the basis of an active
             research program?},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Volume = {69},
   Number = {6},
   Pages = {1669--1672},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1988},
   Key = {pimm1988food}
}

@article{moulton1987morphological,
   Author = {Moulton, MP and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Morphological assortment in introduced Hawaiian
             passerines},
   Journal = {Evolutionary Ecology},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {113-124},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1987},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0269-7653},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF02067395},
   Abstract = {To evaluate the role of competition in structuring
             communities, we conducted morphological analyses on the
             surviving species of passerine birds that were successfully
             introduced to the Hawaiian islands. Forty-nine species have
             been introduced a total of 111 times to five of the six main
             islands. There have been 33 extinctions. Our analyses were
             done at two separate organizational levels: all species
             introduced to an island; and all forest-dwelling species. If
             competition determines which species can coexist, and the
             intensity of competition is correlated with morphological
             similarity, then the surviving species should be
             overdispersed in morphological space. Further, sets of
             surviving species that coexist should be regularly
             positioned in morphological space. At the island-wide
             organizational level, the surviving species were neither
             overdispersed nor regularly positioned in morphological
             space. However, at the forest-wide level the surviving
             species were not only highly overdispersed, they were also
             regularly positioned when compared to randomly assembled
             communities. © 1987 Chapman and Hall Ltd.},
   Doi = {10.1007/BF02067395},
   Key = {moulton1987morphological}
}

@article{ISI:A1987G915000009,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Determining the effects of introduced species.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology and Evolution},
   Volume = {2},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {106-108},
   Year = {1987},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21227831},
   Abstract = {People have moved species around the world for millenia,
             sometimes by accident, but often with considerable
             enthusiasm. English garden birds in New Zealand are merely
             quaint curiosities introduced by settlers wanting the
             familiar species of their former homes. Some introductions
             have been devastating - goats or rabbits on various islands,
             for example. Other introductions, such as those of
             genetically engineered organisms, present potential problems
             yet to be considered in any detail. What should we expect
             the impact of introduced species to be?},
   Doi = {10.1016/0169-5347(87)90169-8},
   Key = {ISI:A1987G915000009}
}

@article{redfearn1987insect,
   Author = {Redfearn, A and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Insect outbreaks and community structure},
   Journal = {Insect Outbreaks},
   Pages = {99-133},
   Publisher = {Academic Press, San Diego},
   Year = {1987},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-078148-5.50009-9},
   Abstract = {Pest outbreaks in agricultural systems do not appear to be
             an ecologically inevitable consequence of trophic
             simplicity. Populations do appear to become more resilient
             as the system's trophic structure becomes simpler. Insect
             pest outbreaks may be considered "dynamic instabilities' and
             instability may be related not just to the intrinsic
             properties of the species, but to the trophic structure of
             the community to which the species belongs. -from
             Authors},
   Doi = {10.1016/b978-0-12-078148-5.50009-9},
   Key = {redfearn1987insect}
}

@article{ISI:A1987K646300004,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The snake that ate Guam.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology &Amp; Evolution},
   Volume = {2},
   Number = {10},
   Pages = {293-295},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {1987},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0169-5347(87)90080-2},
   Abstract = {The extermination of the entire avian community on Guam has
             resulted from the introduced snake, Boiga irregularis, which
             first appeared in Guam in the late 1940s or early 1950s and
             probably arrived as a passive stowaway in a military cargo.
             -from Author},
   Doi = {10.1016/0169-5347(87)90080-2},
   Key = {ISI:A1987K646300004}
}

@article{ISI:A1987L357200001,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Rice, JC},
   Title = {The dynamics of multispecies, multi-life-stage models of
             aquatic food webs},
   Journal = {Theoretical Population Biology},
   Volume = {32},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {303-325},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {1987},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0040-5809},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0040-5809(87)90052-9},
   Abstract = {We investigated the dynamics of models of aquatic food webs
             using stability analysis methods previously applied to other
             types of food web models. Our models expanded traditional
             Lotka-Volterra models of predator-prey interactions in
             several ways. We added life history structure to these
             models in order to investigate its effects. Life history
             omnivory is different life history stages of a species
             feeding in trophically different positions in a food web.
             Such a species might appear omnivorous, integrating across
             all stages, but the individual stage might not be. Other
             important additions to the basic models included
             stock-recruitment relationships between adults and young and
             food-dependent maturation rates for early life history
             stages. Complex models of multispecies interactions were
             built from basic ones by adding new features sequentially.
             Our analysis revealed five major features of our
             multispecies, multi-life-stage models. Omnivory reduces
             stability, as it does in food web models without life
             history structure. However, life history omnivory reduces
             stability much less than single life stage omnivory does.
             Stock recruitment relationships affect the likelihood of
             finding stable models. If the maturation rate of young
             varies with their food supply, the chance of finding stable
             models decreases. Finally, predation loops of the type A
             eats B, B eats A, or A eats B, B eats C, C eats A greatly
             reduce model stability. We present both biological and
             mathematical explanations for these findings. We also
             discuss their implications for management of marine
             resources. © 1987.},
   Doi = {10.1016/0040-5809(87)90052-9},
   Key = {ISI:A1987L357200001}
}

@article{ISI:A1987K854000004,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Kitching, RL},
   Title = {The determinants of food chain lengths.},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {50},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {302-307},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1987},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0030-1299},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3565490},
   Abstract = {Reviews natural variation in the food chains of phytotelmata
             - water-filled plant-bodies. Here the role of disturbances
             may be the major factor in determining their food chains.
             Tadpoles of a small frog actually avoid the most productive
             systems. Larvae of a chironomid show a slight increase in
             numbers with level of energy input, but most importantly, it
             was slow to colonize - waiting for its prey (species of
             saprophagous chironomids) to attain approximately constant
             numbers and size. Data indicate that frequent disturbances
             would remove these predators from the system resulting in
             the 2 trophic level systems found in tree holes
             elsewhere.-from Authors},
   Doi = {10.2307/3565490},
   Key = {ISI:A1987K854000004}
}

@article{fds320094,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Hyman, JB},
   Title = {Ecological stability in the context of multispecies
             fisheries},
   Journal = {Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
             Sciences},
   Volume = {44},
   Number = {Suppl.2},
   Pages = {84-94},
   Year = {1987},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1139/f87-312},
   Abstract = {The most likely species to invade a harvested community are
             those most similar to the harvested species, except in their
             propensity to be harvested. Most communities are not
             resistant to removals of top predators; large changes in
             species composition usually ensue. Large changes in
             community composition may, however, be associated with small
             changes in total biomass. Although there is some debate over
             whether natural communities are, on average, resistant,
             given species additions, community changes following species
             introductions appear to be common, especially in harvested
             or polluted systems where man effects a positive feedback
             between extinctions and invasions. There are several
             alternative theoretical relationships between population
             resilience, variability, and stress; choices strongly depend
             on the underlying mathematical model. Multispecies models
             suggest that the relationship will depend on the relation of
             the population to other species. -from Authors},
   Doi = {10.1139/f87-312},
   Key = {fds320094}
}

@article{pimm1987snake,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {The snake that ate Guam.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
   Volume = {2},
   Number = {10},
   Pages = {293--295},
   Year = {1987},
   Key = {pimm1987snake}
}

@article{pimm1987determinants,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Kitching, RL},
   Title = {The determinants of food chain lengths},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Pages = {302--307},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1987},
   Key = {pimm1987determinants}
}

@article{pimm1987determining,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Determining the effects of introduced species},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
   Volume = {2},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {106--108},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1987},
   Key = {pimm1987determining}
}

@article{pimm1987dynamics,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Rice, J.C.},
   Title = {The dynamics of multispecies, multi-life-stage models of
             aquatic food webs},
   Journal = {Theoretical population biology},
   Volume = {32},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {303--325},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1987},
   Key = {pimm1987dynamics}
}

@article{pimm1987ecology,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Ecology and evolution of Darwin's finches:: by Peter R.
             Grant, Princeton University Press, 1986. $55.00/{\L}36. 70
             hbk, $22.50/{\L}15. 10 pbk (458 pages) ISBN 0 691 08427
             0},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
   Volume = {2},
   Number = {7},
   Pages = {228-229},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1987},
   Key = {pimm1987ecology}
}

@article{pimm1987ecological,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Hyman, JB},
   Title = {Ecological stability in the context of multispecies
             fisheries},
   Journal = {Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
             Sciences},
   Volume = {44},
   Number = {S2},
   Pages = {84-94},
   Publisher = {NRC Research Press},
   Year = {1987},
   Abstract = {The most likely species to invade a harvested community are
             those most similar to the harvested species, except in their
             propensity to be harvested. Most communities are not
             resistant to removals of top predators; large changes in
             species composition usually ensue. Large changes in
             community composition may, however, be associated with small
             changes in total biomass. Although there is some debate over
             whether natural communities are, on average, resistant,
             given species additions, community changes following species
             introductions appear to be common, especially in harvested
             or polluted systems where man effects a positive feedback
             between extinctions and invasions. There are several
             alternative theoretical relationships between population
             resilience, variability, and stress; choices strongly depend
             on the underlying mathematical model. Multispecies models
             suggest that the relationship will depend on the relation of
             the population to other species. -from Authors},
   Key = {pimm1987ecological}
}

@article{ISI:A1987M676000011,
   Author = {PIMM, SL and HYMAN, JB},
   Title = {ECOLOGICAL STABILITY IN THE CONTEXT OF MULTISPECIES
             FISHERIES},
   Journal = {Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
             Sciences},
   Volume = {44},
   Number = {Suppl.2},
   Pages = {84-94},
   Year = {1987},
   ISSN = {0706-652X},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1987M676000011&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {The most likely species to invade a harvested community are
             those most similar to the harvested species, except in their
             propensity to be harvested. Most communities are not
             resistant to removals of top predators; large changes in
             species composition usually ensue. Large changes in
             community composition may, however, be associated with small
             changes in total biomass. Although there is some debate over
             whether natural communities are, on average, resistant,
             given species additions, community changes following species
             introductions appear to be common, especially in harvested
             or polluted systems where man effects a positive feedback
             between extinctions and invasions. There are several
             alternative theoretical relationships between population
             resilience, variability, and stress; choices strongly depend
             on the underlying mathematical model. Multispecies models
             suggest that the relationship will depend on the relation of
             the population to other species. -from Authors},
   Key = {ISI:A1987M676000011}
}

@article{ISI:A1986F726600002,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Filling niches carefully.},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology &Amp; Evolution},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {86-87},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {1986},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0169-5347},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0169-5347(86)90029-7},
   Abstract = {Argues that sympatric speciation may have been responsible
             for most of the species - and certainly the most persistent
             ones - in a system, evaluating the mechanism for this
             (elimination of intermediate genotypes) and adducing
             evidence from the fossil record. -P.J.Jarvis},
   Doi = {10.1016/0169-5347(86)90029-7},
   Key = {ISI:A1986F726600002}
}

@article{pimm1986filling,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Filling niches carefully},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {86--87},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1986},
   Key = {pimm1986filling}
}

@article{moulton1986species,
   Author = {Moulton, MP and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Species introduction to Hawaii.},
   Journal = {Ecological Studies[ECOL. STUD.]. 1986.},
   Year = {1986},
   Key = {moulton1986species}
}

@article{pimm1986ecology,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Ecology and natural history of desert lizards:: by Eric R.
             Pianka, Princeton University Press, 1986.{\pounds}
             56.80/$45.00 hbk, $19.00 pbk (x+ 208 pages) ISBN 0 691 08148
             4},
   Journal = {Trends in Ecology \& Evolution},
   Volume = {1},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {51-52},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1986},
   Key = {pimm1986ecology}
}

@article{pimm1986community,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Community stability and structure.},
   Journal = {Conservation Biology: the Science of Scarcity and
             Diversity.},
   Year = {1986},
   Key = {pimm1986community}
}

@article{moulton1986extent,
   Author = {Moulton, MP and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The extent of competition in shaping an introduced
             avifauna},
   Journal = {Community Ecology},
   Pages = {80-97},
   Publisher = {Harper and Row, NY, USA},
   Year = {1986},
   Key = {moulton1986extent}
}

@article{ISI:A1985ASZ7800018,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Estimating competition coefficients from census
             data.},
   Journal = {Oecologia},
   Volume = {67},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {588-590},
   Year = {1985},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0029-8549},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/bf00790031},
   Doi = {10.1007/bf00790031},
   Key = {ISI:A1985ASZ7800018}
}

@article{ISI:A1985AHZ2800016,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Rosenzweig, ML and Mitchell, W},
   Title = {Competition and Food Selection: Field Tests of a
             Theory},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Volume = {66},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {798-807},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1985},
   Month = {June},
   ISSN = {0012-9658},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1985AHZ2800016&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.2307/1940541},
   Key = {ISI:A1985AHZ2800016}
}

@article{ISI:A1985ABR7400003,
   Author = {Brown, JL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The origin of helping: the role of variability in
             reproductive potential.},
   Journal = {Journal of Theoretical Biology},
   Volume = {112},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {465-477},
   Year = {1985},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {0022-5193},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/3982049},
   Abstract = {We investigate the relationship between variation in
             reproductive potential among members of a family and genetic
             relatedness to determine which combinations favor natural
             selection for helping behavior. Conditions favoring helping
             are derived for the helper, the recipient, and the parents
             of these individuals. Our analysis reveals that a factor of
             general significance in the evolution of social organisms is
             variability in reproductive potential among offspring of a
             parent. To a limited extent this factor has already been
             appreciated because of its implicit role in "facultative
             altruism" and "parental manipulation", or suppression of
             offspring or sibs; however, the unifying role of variance
             per se and the ways by which it may act have not been widely
             appreciated. We show that suppression as a source of
             intra-brood variance is less powerful in the evolution of
             sociality than other, natural, sources of variance. The
             facts of natural history appear to be more consistent with a
             model utilizing natural variance than with a
             variance-enhancement model for most vertebrates. We present
             models for discrete and for overlapping generations.
             Fecundity of young potential helpers relative to adults is
             an important source of variance for the origin of
             helping.},
   Doi = {10.1016/s0022-5193(85)80015-1},
   Key = {ISI:A1985ABR7400003}
}

@article{pimm1985estimating,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Estimating competition coefficients from census
             data},
   Journal = {Oecologia},
   Volume = {67},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {588--590},
   Publisher = {Springer},
   Year = {1985},
   Key = {pimm1985estimating}
}

@article{pimm1985competition,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Rosenzweig, M.L. and Mitchell,
             W.},
   Title = {Competition and food selection: field tests of a
             theory},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Pages = {798--807},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1985},
   Key = {pimm1985competition}
}

@article{ISI:A1984SA08600031,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The complexity and stability of ecosystems},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {307},
   Number = {5949},
   Pages = {321-326},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1984},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/307321a0},
   Abstract = {Early studies suggested that simple ecosystems were less
             stable than complex ones, but later studies came to the
             opposite conclusion. Confusion arose because of the many
             different meanings of 'complexity' and 'stability'. Most of
             the possible questions about the relationship between
             stability-complexity have not been asked. Those that have
             yield a variety of answers. © 1984 Nature Publishing
             Group.},
   Doi = {10.1038/307321a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1984SA08600031}
}

@article{pimm1984complexity,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {The complexity and stability of ecosystems},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {307},
   Number = {5949},
   Pages = {321--326},
   Year = {1984},
   Key = {pimm1984complexity}
}

@article{fds279413,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The complexity and stability of ecosystems},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {307},
   Number = {321-326},
   Year = {1984},
   Key = {fds279413}
}

@article{ISI:A1983QZ97800005,
   Author = {King, AW and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Complexity, diversity, and stability: a reconciliation of
             theoretical and empirical results ( grazing).},
   Journal = {The American Naturalist},
   Volume = {122},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {229-239},
   Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {1983},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0003-0147},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/284132},
   Abstract = {In model grazing systems, examines the relationship between
             complexity and the lack of change in total plant biomass
             (biomass stability) following removal of an herbivore.
             Systems with relatively few plant species are expected to be
             more stable than systems with more (but also fewer) plants
             per herbivore. But systems with more competing plant species
             are more biomass stable than those with few, if any,
             interactions between plants. Moreover, increased evenness in
             plant abundances also enhances biomass stability. Also, with
             the removal of the herbivore, increases in evenness are
             associated with smaller changes in biomass.-from
             Authors},
   Doi = {10.1086/284132},
   Key = {ISI:A1983QZ97800005}
}

@article{ISI:A1983QP01200006,
   Author = {Moulton, MP and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The introduced Hawaiian avifauna: biogeographic evidence for
             competition ( passeriforms, columbiforms).},
   Journal = {The American Naturalist},
   Volume = {121},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {669-690},
   Year = {1983},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0003-0147},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1983QP01200006&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {Discusses the patterns of introduction and extinction of the
             species of land birds (passeriforms and columbiforms)
             introduced to the Hawaiian Islands over the last century.
             Data are consistent with the idea that rising extinction
             rates will eventually match immigration rates leading to a
             dynamic equilibrium. Turnover in species composition is a
             prominent feature of the introduced Hawaiian avifauna with
             extinctions common even among populations that had persisted
             for decades. No effect of island size on extinction rate was
             detected. However, the per species extinction rates do
             increase with the number of species on the island. This
             suggests that the species mutually affect each other's
             changes of extinction. -from Authors},
   Doi = {10.1086/284094},
   Key = {ISI:A1983QP01200006}
}

@article{ISI:A1983QX98100002,
   Author = {Post, WM and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Community assembly and food web stability},
   Journal = {Mathematical Biosciences},
   Volume = {64},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {169-192},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {1983},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0025-5564},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0025-5564(83)90002-0},
   Abstract = {The ecological assembly of food web is considered as a
             process of predator colonizations and extinctions. The
             results of computer simulations using predator-prey
             equations allow us to identify three types of food web
             stability and examine how they may change through
             development of food webs. Species turnover stability
             increases, stability to extensive species extinction remains
             constant, and local stability to population fluctuations
             decreases as food web assembly proceeds. ©
             1983.},
   Doi = {10.1016/0025-5564(83)90002-0},
   Key = {ISI:A1983QX98100002}
}

@article{post1983community,
   Author = {Post, WM and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Community assembly and food web stability},
   Journal = {Mathematical Biosciences},
   Volume = {64},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {169--192},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1983},
   Key = {post1983community}
}

@article{king1983complexity,
   Author = {King, A.W. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Complexity, diversity, and stability: a reconciliation of
             theoretical and empirical results},
   Journal = {The American Naturalist},
   Volume = {122},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {229--239},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1983},
   Key = {king1983complexity}
}

@article{pimm1983food,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Food Webs.(Book Reviews: Food Webs)},
   Journal = {Science},
   Volume = {220},
   Pages = {295-296},
   Year = {1983},
   Key = {pimm1983food}
}

@article{ISI:A1983RN42600029,
   Author = {PIMM, SL},
   Title = {RESOURCE COMPETITION AND COMMUNITY STRUCTURE -
             TILMAN,D},
   Journal = {Limnology and Oceanography},
   Volume = {28},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {1043-1045},
   Year = {1983},
   ISSN = {0024-3590},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1983RN42600029&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Key = {ISI:A1983RN42600029}
}

@article{ISI:A1982PJ82200030,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Pimm, JW},
   Title = {Resource use, competition, and resource availability in
             Hawaiian honeycreepers.},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Volume = {63},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {1468-1480},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1982},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0012-9658},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1938873},
   Abstract = {Rosenzweig's models predict 3 occasions where resource
             scarcity will be accompanied by specialization: 1) In the
             shared-preference case, the dominant may be unable to
             exploit the poorer patch. If it can, it is likely to drive
             the subordinate to extinction, leaving a one species system.
             2) The subordinate may specialize on clearly inferior
             resources because the dominant forces it from the better
             resources. 3) In the distinct-preference case, the scarcity
             of both resources leads to specialization of both species
             because interspecific competition (causing specialization)
             is greater than intraspecific competition (causing
             generalization). The 3 commonest endemic nectivores in and
             near the Hawaii Volcanoes National park fed principally on
             the flowers of Metrosideros collina and Sophora
             chrysophylla. During the study, Metrosideros went from few
             flowers per tree to peak bloom, and Sophora did the reverse.
             Both distinct- and shared-preference cases were noted. The
             former involved Himatione sanguinea on Metrosideros and
             Loxops virens on Sophora. The latter involved Vestiaria
             coccinea (the dominant) and subordinates Himatione and
             Loxops, with the preferred resources being trees with the
             highest numbers of flowers. Vestiaria only exploited trees
             with high numbers of flowers and may have had no
             alternative. Its competitors were forced onto poorer
             resources by its presence. These results support the
             theory's first 2 predictions. The data are also at least
             consistent with the 3rd prediction. -from Authors Hawaii
             Volcanoes National Park Metrosideros collina Sophora
             chrysophylla Himatione sanguinea Metrosideros Loxops virens
             Vestiaria coccineaDept. of Biological Sci., Texas Tech.
             Univ., Lubbock, Texas 79409, USA.},
   Doi = {10.2307/1938873},
   Key = {ISI:A1982PJ82200030}
}

@article{pimm1982resource,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Pimm, J.W.},
   Title = {Resource use, competition, and resource availability in
             Hawaiian honeycreepers},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Pages = {1468--1480},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1982},
   Key = {pimm1982resource}
}

@article{ISI:A1981ME38100001,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Rosenzweig, ML},
   Title = {Competitors and Habitat Use},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {37},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {1-1},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1981},
   Month = {July},
   ISSN = {0030-1299},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1981ME38100001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.2307/3544067},
   Key = {ISI:A1981ME38100001}
}

@article{pimm1981competitors,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Rosenzweig, M.L.},
   Title = {Competitors and habitat use},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Pages = {1--6},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1981},
   Key = {pimm1981competitors}
}

@article{ISI:A1980JW42800043,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Bounds on food web connectance},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {285},
   Number = {5766},
   Pages = {591},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1980},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/285591a0},
   Doi = {10.1038/285591a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1980JW42800043}
}

@article{ISI:A1980KQ34700014,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Lawton, JH},
   Title = {Are Food Webs Divided into Compartments?},
   Journal = {The Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Volume = {49},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {879-879},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1980},
   Month = {October},
   ISSN = {0021-8790},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1980KQ34700014&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.2307/4233},
   Key = {ISI:A1980KQ34700014}
}

@article{ISI:A1980KZ34200039,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Bartell, DP},
   Title = {Statistical Model for Predicting Range Expansion of the Red
             Imported Fire Ant, Solenopsis invicta , 1 in Texas
             2},
   Journal = {Environmental Entomology},
   Volume = {9},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {653-658},
   Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)},
   Year = {1980},
   Month = {October},
   ISSN = {0046-225X},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1980KZ34200039&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1093/ee/9.5.653},
   Key = {ISI:A1980KZ34200039}
}

@article{ISI:A1980KN89000003,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Food Web Design and the Effect of Species
             Deletion},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {35},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {139-139},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1980},
   Month = {October},
   ISSN = {0030-1299},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1980KN89000003&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.2307/3544422},
   Key = {ISI:A1980KN89000003}
}

@article{ISI:A1980KD17300002,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Properties of Food Webs},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Volume = {61},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {219-225},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {1980},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0012-9658},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1980KD17300002&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.2307/1935177},
   Key = {ISI:A1980KD17300002}
}

@article{mecham1980mo,
   Author = {Mecham, D. and Rose, F.L. and Rylander, M.K. and Pimm, S.L. and Hallett, J. and Matos, JA and Mitchell, W. and Puckett,
             W. and Reddell, JR and Rowland, JM and others},
   Title = {MO\^{} s?\^{} ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS},
   Year = {1980},
   Key = {mecham1980mo}
}

@article{pimm1980food,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and Lawton, J.H.},
   Title = {Are food webs divided into compartments?},
   Journal = {The Journal of Animal Ecology},
   Pages = {879--898},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1980},
   Key = {pimm1980food}
}

@article{pimm1980bounds,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Bounds on food web connectance},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {1980},
   Key = {pimm1980bounds}
}

@article{pimm1980properties,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Properties of food webs},
   Journal = {Ecology},
   Pages = {219--225},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1980},
   Key = {pimm1980properties}
}

@article{pimm1980food,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Food web design and the effect of species
             deletion},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Pages = {139--149},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1980},
   Key = {pimm1980food}
}

@article{ISI:A1979HA53500061,
   Author = {Lawton, JH and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Some real communities are unstable (reply)},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {279},
   Number = {5716},
   Pages = {822},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1979},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/279822a0},
   Doi = {10.1038/279822a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1979HA53500061}
}

@article{ISI:A1979HY47600003,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {The structure of food webs.},
   Journal = {Theoretical Population Biology},
   Volume = {16},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {144-158},
   Year = {1979},
   Month = {October},
   ISSN = {0040-5809},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/538731},
   Doi = {10.1016/0040-5809(79)90010-8},
   Key = {ISI:A1979HY47600003}
}

@article{ISI:A1979GR81500009,
   Author = {Hallett, JG and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Direct Estimation of Competition},
   Journal = {The American Naturalist},
   Volume = {113},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {593-600},
   Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {1979},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0003-0147},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1979GR81500009&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1086/283415},
   Key = {ISI:A1979GR81500009}
}

@article{ISI:A1979GN57400002,
   Author = {PIMM, SL},
   Title = {Sympatric speciation: a simulation model},
   Journal = {Biological Journal of the Linnean Society},
   Volume = {11},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {131-139},
   Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)},
   Year = {1979},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0024-4066},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1095-8312.1979.tb00030.x},
   Abstract = {A model of mating and population growth dependent on
             competition that suggests circumstances under which
             sympatric speciation might occur is described. The model is
             similar to one in a companion paper by Rosenzweig in that a
             heterozygote genotype, involving a new allele, is first
             selected by virtue of its ability to exploit a new niche and
             is then eliminated through competition. The superior
             competitor, which eliminates the heterozygote, is the
             homozygote for the new allele. For this process to occur the
             heterozygote must be sufficiently fit to exploit and invade
             a new niche, but not so fit that a classical polymorphism
             results from heterozygous advantage. This process of
             speciation is most likely to occur when there are vacant
             niches. When and where these might occur are discussed.
             Copyright © 1979, Wiley Blackwell. All rights
             reserved},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1095-8312.1979.tb00030.x},
   Key = {ISI:A1979GN57400002}
}

@article{ISI:A1979GF69900015,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Cave Communities and Statistical Inference},
   Journal = {The American Naturalist},
   Volume = {113},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {159-160},
   Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {1979},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0003-0147},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1979GF69900015&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1086/283375},
   Key = {ISI:A1979GF69900015}
}

@article{hallett1979direct,
   Author = {Hallett, J.G. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Direct estimation of competition},
   Journal = {American Naturalist},
   Pages = {593--600},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1979},
   Key = {hallett1979direct}
}

@article{pimm1979complexity,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Complexity and stability: another look at MacArthur's
             original hypothesis},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Pages = {351--357},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1979},
   Key = {pimm1979complexity}
}

@article{pimm1979structure,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {The structure of food webs},
   Journal = {Theoretical Population Biology},
   Volume = {16},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {144--158},
   Publisher = {Elsevier},
   Year = {1979},
   Key = {pimm1979structure}
}

@article{pimm1979cave,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Cave Communities and Statistical Inference},
   Journal = {American Naturalist},
   Pages = {159--160},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1979},
   Key = {pimm1979cave}
}

@article{lawton1979some,
   Author = {Lawton, JH and PIMM, SL},
   Title = {Some real communities are unstable (reply)},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {1979},
   Key = {lawton1979some}
}

@article{ISI:A1979HV35600001,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Complexity and Stability: Another Look at MacArthur's
             Original Hypothesis},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {33},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {351-351},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1979},
   ISSN = {0030-1299},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1979HV35600001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.2307/3544322},
   Key = {ISI:A1979HV35600001}
}

@article{pimm1978niche,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Niche overlaps.},
   Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
   Volume = {202},
   Number = {4372},
   Pages = {1075-1076},
   Publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of
             Science},
   Year = {1978},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0036-8075},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17777954},
   Doi = {10.1126/science.202.4372.1075},
   Key = {pimm1978niche}
}

@article{ISI:A1978EP71000056,
   Author = {Lawton, JH and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Population dynamics and the length of food chains
             (reply)},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {272},
   Number = {5649},
   Pages = {190},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1978},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/272190a0},
   Doi = {10.1038/272190a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1978EP71000056}
}

@article{ISI:A1978FS34900046,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Lawton, JH},
   Title = {On feeding on more than one trophic level
             [18]},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {275},
   Number = {5680},
   Pages = {542-544},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1978},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1978FS34900046&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {IN trying to understand the structure of ecological
             communities, ecologists usually pay particular attention to
             the interactions between pairs, or small groups of species1.
             Questions about the 'shape' of the food webs within which
             these species are embedded are much more rarely asked 2-4.
             For example, what happens when a population feeds at more
             than one trophic level (omnivory)? In some real food webs
             there seem to be no omnivores (Fig. 1a)5; in others
             omnivores are common6,7 (Fig. 1c)8. In this note we attack
             the problem of omnivory using simple, linear Lotka-Volterra
             models of food webs9, and show that certain patterns are
             much more likely to persist on an evolutionary time scale
             than others. We then compare the model predictions with real
             food webs. © 1978 Nature Publishing Group.},
   Doi = {10.1038/275542a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1978FS34900046}
}

@article{ISI:A1978GH43900010,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {An experimental approach to the effects of predictability on
             community structure},
   Journal = {Integrative and Comparative Biology},
   Volume = {18},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {797-808},
   Year = {1978},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {0003-1569},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1978GH43900010&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {This paper considers the effects of different levels of
             resource predictability on niche widths, competition and
             diversity in a community of three hummingbird species. Three
             pairs of hypotheses are tested: whether decreasing
             predictability (a) increases or decreases niche width, (b)
             increases or decreases competition and (c) increases or
             decreases diversity. The results show that complementary
             increases and decreases in niche width occur with decreasing
             predictability, while competition and diversity decrease, at
             least with extreme unpredictability. A model, which assumes
             the species to have similar resource preferences, and its
             predictions are examined.The dominant species, Lampornis
             clemenciae, excludes a subordinate species, Archilochus
             alexandri, from preferred resources. This defense becomes
             unprofitable with decreasing predictability and Archilochus
             invades the resources once vigorously defended by Lampornis.
             When the spectrum of resources is altered in the direction
             of decreasing suitability for both species, Lampornis
             becomes even more specialized and sensitive to the effects
             of unpredictability. A third species, Eugenes fulgens,
             steals resources undefended by Lampornis. These
             characteristics seem to be common to a number of communities
             in very different taxonomic groups, and characteristic of
             communities in which species share a common preferred
             resource. The question of how a community organized with
             distinct resource preferences responds to decreasing
             predictability remains open. © 1978 American Society of
             Zoologists.},
   Doi = {10.1093/icb/18.4.797},
   Key = {ISI:A1978GH43900010}
}

@article{lawton1978population,
   Author = {Saunders, PT and Lawton, JH and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Population dynamics and the length of food
             chains},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {272},
   Number = {5649},
   Pages = {189-190},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {1978},
   Key = {lawton1978population}
}

@article{pimm1978feeding,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Lawton, JH},
   Title = {On feeding on more than one trophic level},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {275},
   Number = {5680},
   Pages = {542-544},
   Publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
   Year = {1978},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/275542a0},
   Doi = {10.1038/275542a0},
   Key = {pimm1978feeding}
}

@article{ISI:A1977DP39300034,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Lawton, JH},
   Title = {Number of trophic levels in ecological communities},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {268},
   Number = {5618},
   Pages = {329-331},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {1977},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0028-0836},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/268329a0},
   Abstract = {ECOLOGICAL food chains are typically short, consisting of
             not more than four or five trophic levels. This is usually
             explained by a reduction in the energy which is available to
             successive links in the food chain1,2. In contrast, we
             believe that the number of trophic levels is constrained by
             population dynamics and not by ecological energetics. ©
             1977 Nature Publishing Group.},
   Doi = {10.1038/268329a0},
   Key = {ISI:A1977DP39300034}
}

@article{ISI:A1976BV81100029,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Existence Metabolism},
   Journal = {The Condor},
   Volume = {78},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {121-124},
   Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)},
   Year = {1976},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0010-5422},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1976BV81100029&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.2307/1366939},
   Key = {ISI:A1976BV81100029}
}

@article{raitt1976dynamics,
   Author = {Raitt, R.J. and Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Dynamics of bird communities in the Chihuahuan Desert, New
             Mexico},
   Journal = {The Condor},
   Volume = {78},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {427--442},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1976},
   Key = {raitt1976dynamics}
}

@article{crowell1976competition,
   Author = {Crowell, K.L. and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Competition and niche shifts of mice introduced onto small
             islands},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Pages = {251--258},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1976},
   Key = {crowell1976competition}
}

@article{pimm1976estimation,
   Author = {Pimm, S.},
   Title = {Estimation of the duration of bird molt},
   Journal = {The Condor},
   Volume = {78},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {550--550},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1976},
   Key = {pimm1976estimation}
}

@article{ISI:A1976CZ88000001,
   Author = {Raitt, RJ and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Dynamics of Bird Communities in the Chihuahuan Desert, New
             Mexico},
   Journal = {The Condor},
   Volume = {78},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {427-427},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1976},
   ISSN = {0010-5422},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1976CZ88000001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.2307/1367091},
   Key = {ISI:A1976CZ88000001}
}

@article{ISI:A1976BU82800007,
   Author = {Crowell, KL and Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Competition and Niche Shifts of Mice Introduced onto Small
             Islands},
   Journal = {Oikos},
   Volume = {27},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {251-251},
   Publisher = {JSTOR},
   Year = {1976},
   ISSN = {0030-1299},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1976BU82800007&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.2307/3543903},
   Key = {ISI:A1976BU82800007}
}

@article{ISI:A1976CZ88000014,
   Author = {PIMM, S},
   Title = {ESTIMATION OF DURATION OF BIRD MOLT},
   Journal = {The Condor},
   Volume = {78},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {550},
   Year = {1976},
   ISSN = {0010-5422},
   Key = {ISI:A1976CZ88000014}
}

@article{ISI:A1973R702400003,
   Author = {PIMM, SL},
   Title = {MOLT OF EUROPEAN WHITETHROAT},
   Journal = {The Condor},
   Volume = {75},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {386-391},
   Year = {1973},
   ISSN = {0010-5422},
   Key = {ISI:A1973R702400003}
}

@article{ISI:A1972M783100009,
   Author = {PIMM, SL},
   Title = {MOLT IN SWALLOW},
   Journal = {Bird Study},
   Volume = {19},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {116-\&},
   Year = {1972},
   ISSN = {0006-3657},
   Key = {ISI:A1972M783100009}
}

@article{fds326649,
   Author = {Pimm, SL},
   Title = {Food of the Common gull on grassland in autumn and
             winter},
   Journal = {Bird Study},
   Volume = {17},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {36-51},
   Publisher = {Informa UK Limited},
   Year = {1970},
   Month = {January},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00063657009476253},
   Doi = {10.1080/00063657009476253},
   Key = {fds326649}
}


%% Chapters in Books   
@misc{fds367676,
   Author = {Pimm, S},
   Title = {‘Putting Nature Back Together Again’: Stuart Pimm in
             Conversation},
   Pages = {91-110},
   Booktitle = {Animals, Plants And Afterimages: The Art and Science of
             Representing Extinction},
   Year = {2022},
   Month = {January},
   ISBN = {9781800734258},
   Key = {fds367676}
}

@misc{fds354292,
   Author = {Pimm, SL and Raven, PH},
   Title = {The state of the world’s biodiversity},
   Pages = {80-112},
   Booktitle = {Biological Extinction: New Perspectives},
   Year = {2019},
   Month = {January},
   ISBN = {9781108482288},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/9781108668675.006},
   Abstract = {In this chapter, we ask several simple questions. How many
             species are there, both named and unnamed? How fast are
             species now going extinct? How fast do species go extinct
             normally? And how fast do they diversify and thus might be
             able to recover from the current massive losses? Finally,
             where are extinctions concentrated, and how can we use this
             information to prevent extinctions? This deceptively simple
             question has a rich - and even theological - pedigree.
             Westwood (1833) speculated ‘On the probable number of
             species of insects in the Creation’.},
   Doi = {10.1017/9781108668675.006},
   Key = {fds354292}
}

@misc{fds340872,
   Author = {Finer, M and Jenkins, CN and Pimm, SL and Keane, B and Ross,
             C},
   Title = {Threats from oil and gas projects in the western
             amazon},
   Pages = {146-158},
   Booktitle = {Recent Advances and Issues in Environmental
             Science},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {January},
   ISBN = {9781926692708},
   Abstract = {The western Amazon is the most biologically rich part of the
             Amazon basin and is home to a great diversity of indigenous
             ethnic groups, including some of the world’s last
             uncontacted peoples living in voluntary isolation. Unlike
             the eastern Brazilian Amazon, it is still a largely intact
             ecosystem. Underlying this landscape are large reserves of
             oil and gas, many yet untapped. The growing global demand is
             leading to unprecedented exploration and development in the
             region.},
   Key = {fds340872}
}


%% Book Reviews   
@article{fds153488,
   Author = {S.L. Pimm},
   Title = {Where the wild things were.},
   Journal = {Nature},
   Volume = {457},
   Number = {275-276},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {fds153488}
}


%% Books Published   
@misc{fds49459,
   Author = {S.L. Pimm},
   Title = {Food Webs (with a new Forward).},
   Publisher = {Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {2003},
   Key = {fds49459}
}

@book{pimm2002sparrow,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L. and julie L. Lockwood and Jenkins, C.N. and Curnutt, J.L. and Nott, M.P. and Powell, R.D. and Bass, O.L. and United States. National Park Service. Everglades
             National Park},
   Title = {Sparrow in the grass: a report on the first ten years of
             research on the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (Ammodramus
             maritimus mirabilis)},
   Publisher = {Everglades National Park},
   Year = {2002},
   Key = {pimm2002sparrow}
}

@book{pimm2002food,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {Food webs},
   Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {2002},
   Key = {pimm2002food}
}

@book{pimm2001world,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {The world according to Pimm: a scientist audits the
             earth},
   Publisher = {McGraw-Hill Professional},
   Year = {2001},
   Key = {pimm2001world}
}

@misc{fds49491,
   Author = {S.L. Pimm},
   Title = {The World According to Pimm: a Scientist Audits the
             Earth},
   Pages = {304},
   Publisher = {New York: McGraw Hill},
   Year = {2001},
   Key = {fds49491}
}

@book{ehrlich1993guide,
   Author = {Ehrlich, P.R. and Dobkin, D.S. and Wheye, D. and Pimm, S.L. and Kelly, J. and Stanford University. Center for
             Conservation Biology},
   Title = {A Guide to the Natural History of the Birds of St. Lawrence
             Island, Alaska},
   Publisher = {Center for Conservation Biology, Dept. of Biological
             Sciences, Stanford University},
   Year = {1993},
   Key = {ehrlich1993guide}
}

@book{pimm1991balance,
   Author = {Pimm, S.L.},
   Title = {The balance of nature?: ecological issues in the
             conservation of species and communities},
   Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
   Year = {1991},
   Key = {pimm1991balance}
}

@book{witteman1990decline,
   Author = {Witteman, G.J. and Beck, R.E.J. and Pimm, S.L. and Derrickson, S.R.},
   Title = {The decline and restoration of the guam rail, Rallus
             owstoi},
   Year = {1990},
   Key = {witteman1990decline}
}

@book{raitt1974jornada,
   Author = {Raitt, R.J. and Pimm, S.L. and Colorado State University.
             Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory and US International
             Biological Program. Grassland Biome},
   Title = {Jornada Bird Censuses, 1972},
   Publisher = {Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Colorado State
             University},
   Year = {1974},
   Key = {raitt1974jornada}
}


%% Other   
@phdthesis{brooks1998predicting,
   Author = {Brooks, T.M.},
   Title = {Predicting bird extinctions following tropical
             deforestation},
   Organization = {University of Tennessee, Knoxville},
   Institution = {University of Tennessee, Knoxville},
   Year = {1998},
   Key = {brooks1998predicting}
}


%% Book Chapters   
@misc{fds213979,
   Author = {S.L. Pimm},
   Title = {Observation and policy: the importance of being
             there.},
   Booktitle = {In R. Sagarin and A. Pauchnard, (Eds.) Observation and
             Ecology: Broadening the Scopeof Science to Understand a
             Complex World. Island Press.},
   Year = {2012},
   Key = {fds213979}
}

@misc{fds213388,
   Author = {S.L. Pimm},
   Title = {Forward},
   Booktitle = {Scott Leslie —100 Under 100: the Race to Save the
             World’s Rarest Living Things},
   Year = {2012},
   Key = {fds213388}
}

@misc{fds214193,
   Author = {S.L. Pimm},
   Title = {Getting close},
   Booktitle = {In J. Brockman (ed). Is the Internet Changing the Way You
             Think? The Net’s Impact on Our Minds and Future.
             Harper.},
   Year = {2012},
   Key = {fds214193}
}

@misc{fds186369,
   Author = {S.L. Pimm and C. N. Jenkins},
   Title = {Extinctions and the practice of preventing
             them},
   Booktitle = {. In Conservation Biology for All, N. S. Sodhi and P. R.
             Ehrlich (eds). Oxford University Press.},
   Year = {2010},
   Key = {fds186369}
}

@misc{fds153480,
   Author = {S.L. Pimm},
   Title = {Letters to my grandchildren and great-grandchildren.},
   Booktitle = {In Wallace, M., The way we will be 50 years from today.
             Thomas Nelson Pub.},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {fds153480}
}

@misc{fds153486,
   Author = {Pimm, S and L., M.A. S. Alves and E. Chivian and A.
             Bernstein},
   Title = {What is biodiversity?},
   Booktitle = {E. Chivian and A. Bernstein (eds). Sustaining Life: How
             Human Health Depends on Biodiversity. Oxford University
             Press.},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {fds153486}
}

@misc{fds69309,
   Author = {Van Houtan and K. S. and Pimm, S. L.},
   Title = {The Christian ethics of species conservation},
   Pages = {116-147},
   Booktitle = {Religion and the New Ecology: Environmental Prudence in a
             World in Flux},
   Publisher = {University of Notre Dame Press, South Bend,
             IN},
   Editor = {D. M. Lodge and C. Hamlin},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {fds69309}
}


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