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Social Sciences Research Institute
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Duke University

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Publications of S. Philip Morgan    :chronological  alphabetical  combined listing:

%% Books   
@book{fds185514,
   Author = {S.P. Morgan and Johnson-Hanks, Jenna. and Christine Bachrach and Hans-Peter
             Kohler},
   Title = {Understanding Family Change and Variation: Structure,
             Conjuncture, and Action},
   Publisher = {Springer},
   Address = {New York},
   Year = {2011},
   Key = {fds185514}
}

@book{fds4333,
   Author = {Rindfuss, Ronald R. and S. Philip Morgan and C. Gray
             Swicegood},
   Title = {First Births in America: Changes in the Timing of
             Parenthood},
   Publisher = {University of California Press},
   Year = {1988},
   Month = {May},
   Key = {fds4333}
}

@book{fds56,
   Author = {Furstenberg, Frank F. and J. Brooks Gunn and S. Philip
             Morgan},
   Title = {Adolescent Mothers in Later Life},
   Journal = {Cambridge University Press},
   Year = {1987},
   Month = {May},
   Key = {fds56}
}


%% Papers Published   
@article{fds257079,
   Author = {S.P. Morgan and Zeng, Y and Morgan, SP and Wang, Z and Gu, D and Yang,
             C},
   Title = {A Multistate Life Table Analysis of Union Regimes in the
             United States: Trends and Racial Differentials,
             1970-2002.},
   Journal = {Population Research and Policy Review},
   Volume = {31},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {207-234},
   Year = {2012},
   Month = {April},
   ISSN = {0167-5923},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11113-011-9217-2},
   Abstract = {We estimate trends and racial differentials in marriage,
             cohabitation, union formation and dissolution (union
             regimes) for the period 1970-2002 in the United States.
             These estimates are based on an innovative application of
             multistate life table analysis to pooled survey data. Our
             analysis demonstrates (1) a dramatic increase in the
             lifetime proportions of transitions from never-married,
             divorced or widowed to cohabiting; (2) a substantial
             decrease in the stability of cohabiting unions; (3) a
             dramatic increase in mean ages at cohabiting after divorce
             and widowhood; (4) a substantial decrease in direct
             transition from never-married to married; (5) a significant
             decrease in the overall lifetime proportion of ever marrying
             and re-marrying in the 1970s to 1980s but a relatively
             stable pattern in the 1990s to 2000-2002; and (6) a
             substantial decrease in the lifetime proportion of
             transition from cohabiting to marriage. We also present, for
             the first time, comparable evidence on differentials in
             union regimes between four racial groups.},
   Doi = {10.1007/s11113-011-9217-2},
   Key = {fds257079}
}

@article{fds257080,
   Author = {S.P. Morgan and Merli, MG and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Below replacement fertility preferences in
             Shanghai.},
   Journal = {Population},
   Volume = {66},
   Number = {3-4},
   Pages = {519-542},
   Year = {2011},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {1634-2941},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3917/pope.1103.0519},
   Abstract = {China has joined the group of low-fertility countries; it
             has a TFR somewhere in the range of 1.4 to 1.6. Much
             speculation about China's future fertility depends on
             whether individual's fertility intentions and preferences
             are much higher than the state's fertility goals. If so,
             then a relaxation of family planning restrictions could lead
             to a substantial fertility increase. We directly ask a
             probability sample of Shanghai registered residents and
             migrants whether a policy relaxation would lead them to have
             additional children. Our results show that small families
             (one or two children) are intended in this urban setting. If
             family planning policy were relaxed, a relatively small
             fraction (fewer than 14%) reports that they would revise
             their intentions upward. Even this modest increase (as much
             as 10%) is suspect because factors that can deflate
             fertility relative to intentions are likely more powerful
             than the inflationary ones (in Shanghai). These empirical
             findings help ground speculations on the future of fertility
             in the hypothetical absence of policy constraints.},
   Doi = {10.3917/pope.1103.0519},
   Key = {fds257080}
}

@article{fds257083,
   Author = {Sautter, JM and Tippett, RM and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {The Social demography of internet dating in the United
             States*},
   Journal = {Social Science Quarterly},
   Volume = {91},
   Number = {2},
   Pages = {554-575},
   Publisher = {WILEY},
   Year = {2010},
   Month = {June},
   ISSN = {0038-4941},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000276408100014&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {Objective: The objective of this article is to identify the
             sociodemographic correlates of Internet dating net of
             selective processes that determine who is " at risk." We
             also examine the role of computer literacy, social networks,
             and attitudes toward Internet dating among single Internet
             users. Methods: We use multivariate logistic regression to
             analyze 3,215 respondents from the first nationally
             representative U.S. survey of Internet dating. Results:
             Sociodemographic factors have strong effects on Internet
             access and single status but weak effects on use of Internet
             dating services once the sample is conditioned on these
             factors. For this " at-risk" subpopulation, computer
             literacy and social networks strongly influence the
             likelihood of Internet dating. Conclusions: Internet dating
             is a common mate selection strategy among the highly
             selective subpopulation of single Internet users and may
             continue to grow through social networks. Material and
             virtual elements of the digital divide have direct and
             indirect effects on Internet dating. © 2010 by the
             Southwestern Social Science Association.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1540-6237.2010.00707.x},
   Key = {fds257083}
}

@article{fds257084,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Rackin, H},
   Title = {The Correspondence of Fertility Intentions and Behavior in
             the U.S.},
   Journal = {Population and Development Review},
   Volume = {36},
   Pages = {91-118},
   Year = {2010},
   Month = {March},
   Key = {fds257084}
}

@article{fds257081,
   Author = {S.P. Morgan and Rindfuss, and Ronald, R and David, G and Oystein,
             K},
   Title = {Child Care Availability and Fertility},
   Journal = {Population and Development Review},
   Volume = {36},
   Pages = {725-748},
   Year = {2010},
   Abstract = {The child care and fertility hypothesis has been in the
             literature for a long time and is straightforward: As child
             care becomes more available, affordable, and acceptable, the
             antinatalist effects of increased female educational
             attainment and work opportunities decrease. As an increasing
             number of countries express concern about low fertility, the
             child care and fertility hypothesis takes on increased
             importance. Yet data and statistical limitations have
             heretofore limited empirical tests of the hypothesis. Using
             rich longitudinal data and appropriate statistical
             methodology, we show that increased availability of child
             care clearly and consistently increases completed fertility.
             Moreover, this positive effect of child care availability is
             found at every parity transition. We discuss the
             generalizability of these results to other settings and
             their broader importance for understanding low fertility
             variation and trends.},
   Key = {fds257081}
}

@article{fds257082,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Rackin, H},
   Title = {Forty Years of Fertility Change},
   Journal = {Journal of Comparative Family Studies},
   Volume = {40},
   Pages = {515-536},
   Year = {2010},
   Key = {fds257082}
}

@article{fds257085,
   Author = {Abbasi-Shavazi, MJ and Morgan, SP and Hossein-Chavoshi, M and McDonald, P},
   Title = {Family Change and Continuity in Iran: Birth Control Use
             Before First Pregnancy.},
   Journal = {Journal of Marriage and the Family},
   Volume = {71},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {1309-1324},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0022-2445},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000272344500013&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {Using data from the 2002 Iran Fertility Transition Survey,
             we examined birth control use between marriage and first
             pregnancy. We focused on the post-1990 increase in birth
             control use and develop two explanations. The first posits
             that birth control use reflects a new marriage form, the
             conjugal marriage, which places a heightened value on the
             spousal relationship while deemphasizing the centrality of
             parenthood. A second explanation stresses the use of a new
             resource, effective birth control, within an
             Iranian-Islamist view of marriage. Key to this explanation
             is the role of the state-Iranian political/religious actors
             encourage early marriage and the use of birth control.
             Although the explanations could be complementary, evidence
             provides more support for the latter.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1741-3737.2009.00670.x},
   Key = {fds257085}
}

@article{fds257091,
   Author = {Morgan, SP and Zhigang, G and Hayford, SR},
   Title = {China's Below-Replacement Fertility: Recent Trends and
             Future Prospects.},
   Journal = {Population and Development Review},
   Volume = {35},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {605-629},
   Year = {2009},
   Month = {Winter},
   ISSN = {0098-7921},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000269704800006&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1728-4457.2009.00298.x},
   Key = {fds257091}
}

@article{fds257093,
   Author = {Parrado, EA and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Intergenerational fertility among Hispanic women: new
             evidence of immigrant assimilation.},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {45},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {651-671},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {August},
   ISSN = {0070-3370},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18939666},
   Abstract = {In recent decades, rapid growth of the U.S. Hispanic
             population has raised concerns about immigrant adaptation,
             including fertility. Empirical research suggests that
             Hispanics, especially Mexicans, might not be following the
             historical European pattern of rapid intergenerational
             fertility decline (and convergence toward native levels). If
             confirmed, continued high Hispanic fertility could indicate
             a broader lack of assimilation into mainstream American
             society. In this paper, we reexamine the issue of Hispanic
             and Mexican fertility using an approach that combines
             biological and immigrant generations to more closely
             approximate a comparison of immigrant women with those of
             their daughters' and granddaughters' generation. Contrary to
             cross-sectional results, our new analyses show that Hispanic
             and Mexican fertility is converging with that of whites, and
             that it is similarly responsive to period conditions and to
             women's level of education. In addition, we employ a
             mathematical simulation to illustrate the conditions under
             which cross-sectional analyses can produce misleading
             results. Finally, we discuss the import of the fertility
             convergence we document for debates about immigrant
             assimilation.},
   Doi = {10.1353/dem.0.0023},
   Key = {fds257093}
}

@article{fds257094,
   Author = {Hayford, SR and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {The quality of retrospective data on cohabitation.},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {45},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {129-141},
   Year = {2008},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {0070-3370},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000253850200008&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {We assess the quality of retrospective data on cohabitation
             by comparing data collected in four major U.S. family
             surveys: the National Survey of Families and Households and
             three rounds of the National Survey of Family Growth. We use
             event-history analysis to analyze rates of entry into
             cohabitation in age-period-cohort segments captured by
             multiple surveys. We find consistent discrepancies among the
             four surveys. The pattern of differences suggests that
             cohabitation histories underestimate cohabitation rates in
             distant periods relative to rates estimated closer to the
             date of survey. We conclude with cautions regarding the use
             of retrospective data on cohabitation.},
   Doi = {10.1353/dem.2008.0005},
   Key = {fds257094}
}

@article{fds155087,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Childbearing},
   Booktitle = {Encyclopedia of the Life Course and Human
             Development.},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {fds155087}
}

@article{fds257090,
   Author = {Hayford, and Sarah, and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Religiosity and Fertility in the United States:},
   Journal = {Social Forces},
   Volume = {86},
   Pages = {1163-1188},
   Year = {2008},
   Key = {fds257090}
}

@article{fds257092,
   Author = {Rindfuss, and Ronald, R and Guilkey, D and Morgan, SP and Kravdal, O and Guzzo, KB},
   Title = {Child Care Availability and Fertility in Norway:
             Pro-Natalist Effects},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {44},
   Pages = {345-372},
   Year = {2007},
   Key = {fds257092}
}

@article{fds257089,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Taylor, M},
   Title = {Low Fertility in the 21st Century},
   Journal = {Annual Review of Sociology},
   Volume = {32},
   Pages = {375-400},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {fds257089}
}

@article{fds257095,
   Author = {Johnson-Hanks, and Jenna, and Morgan, SP and Bachrach, C and Kohler,
             H-P},
   Title = {The American family in a theory of conjunctural
             action},
   Journal = {American Journal of Sociology},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {fds257095}
}

@article{fds257096,
   Author = {Morgan, SP and Welsh, W},
   Title = {Stability and Change in the Digital Terrain: The U.S.
             2000-2005.},
   Journal = {Social Forces},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {fds257096}
}

@article{fds257087,
   Author = {Hagewen, and Kellie, and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Intended Parity and Ideal Family Size in the United States,
             1970-2002.},
   Journal = {Population and Development Review},
   Volume = {31},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {507-528},
   Year = {2005},
   Month = {Fall},
   Key = {fds257087}
}

@article{fds13644,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip. and Kellie. Hagewen},
   Title = {"Is Very Low Fertility Inevitable in America? Insights and
             Forecasts From An Integrative Model of Fertility."},
   Booktitle = {Creating the Next Generation},
   Publisher = {Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates},
   Editor = {A. Booth and A. C. Crouter},
   Year = {2005},
   Month = {Spring},
   Key = {fds13644}
}

@article{fds257086,
   Author = {Dharmalingam, A and Navaneetham, K and Philip Morgan,
             S},
   Title = {Muslim-Hindu Fertility Differences in India: Evidence from
             National Family Health Survey II},
   Journal = {Economic and Political Weekly},
   Volume = {XL},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {429-436},
   Year = {2005},
   Month = {Spring},
   Key = {fds257086}
}

@article{fds257088,
   Author = {Morgan, and Morgan, SP and Shanahan, S and Welsh,
             W},
   Title = {Brave New Worlds: Philosophy, Politics, and
             Science},
   Journal = {Population and Development Review},
   Volume = {31},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {127:145},
   Year = {2005},
   Month = {Spring},
   Key = {fds257088}
}

@article{fds257097,
   Author = {Dharmalingam, A and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Pervasive Muslim-Hindu fertility differences in
             India.},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {41},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {529-545},
   Year = {2004},
   Month = {Winter},
   ISSN = {0070-3370},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000223680400007&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {Using the 1993 Indian Family and Health Survey, we examined
             Muslim-Hindu differences in (1) the parity-specific intent
             to have another child and (2) given a stated intent for no
             more children, reports of the current use of contraceptives.
             We found that Muslims are much more likely than Hindus to
             intend to have additional children and, among those who do
             not want more children, Muslims are much less likely than
             Hindus to use contraceptives. These findings are robust to
             model specification and pervasive across the states of
             India. This national study provides the context within which
             local studies should be enmeshed and begs for general (as
             opposed to place-specific) explanations for these pervasive
             differences.},
   Doi = {10.1353/dem.2004.0020},
   Key = {fds257097}
}

@article{fds13643,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip and Kellie Hagewen},
   Title = {“Fertility.”},
   Series = {Poston},
   Booktitle = {Handbook of Population},
   Publisher = {Boston:Klewer Academic Publishers},
   Editor = {Dudley L. Jr. and Michael Micklin},
   Year = {2004},
   Key = {fds13643}
}

@article{fds303980,
   Author = {Yang, Y and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {How big are educational and racial fertility differentials
             in the U.S.?},
   Journal = {Social Biology},
   Volume = {50},
   Number = {3-4},
   Pages = {167-187},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {0037-766X},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16382810},
   Abstract = {Using pooled data from the 1980, 1985, 1990 and 1995 CPS and
             1988 and 1995 NSFG surveys, we show that shifts in fertility
             timing have occurred disproportionately for the more
             educated and for whites (compared to the less educated and
             to African Americans). Such timing shifts imply that the
             underlying period quantum of fertility is considerably
             higher for college-educated women and for whites than
             suggested by the standard total fertility rate. Applying the
             Bongaarts-Feeney model (1998), we decompose observed racial
             and educational differences in age-order-specific fertility
             rates and TFR into tempo and quantum components. We find
             that a modest part of educational differences and a
             substantial part of racial difference in period fertility
             can be attributed to differential changes in tempo. Analysis
             by race and education shows a clear interaction: higher
             fertility among African Americans is confined to the less
             educated.},
   Doi = {10.1080/19485565.2003.9989070},
   Key = {fds303980}
}

@article{fds14918,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Family size preferences},
   Series = {Farmington Hills, MI:Macmillan},
   Booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Population},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {August},
   Key = {fds14918}
}

@article{fds14919,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {The baby boom.},
   Booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Population},
   Publisher = {Farmington Hills, MI:Macmillan},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {June},
   Key = {fds14919}
}

@article{fds257099,
   Author = {Quesnel-Vallée, A and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Missing the target? Correspondence of fertility intentions
             and behavior in the U.S},
   Journal = {Population Research and Policy Review},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {5-6},
   Pages = {497-525},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {Winter},
   ISSN = {0167-5923},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000220406000004&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {Building on a framework suggested by Bongaarts (2001) and
             using data from the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of
             Youth, we describe the correspondence between intended
             family size and observed fertility for the 1957 to 1961
             birth cohorts of U.S. women and men. Over an 18-year period
             (1982-2000), we show that while aggregate intentions are
             quite stable, discrepancies are very common at the
             individual level. Women and men were more likely to err in
             predicting number of additional births in the period
             1982-2000 than to hit their target number. A very strong
             predictor of over- and underachieving fertility is initial
             intended parity. Those who intended more than two children
             tended to have fewer children than intended, while those who
             intended fewer than two children tended to have more
             children than intended. In addition and consistent with life
             course arguments, those unmarried in 1982, childless in
             1982, and (for women) still in school in 1982 were most
             likely to underachieve their 2000 intended parity (i.e.,
             have fewer children than intended). We conclude by
             reflecting on how the circumstances that allow discrepancies
             between intentions and behavior to almost "balance" in the
             U.S. may cumulate differently elsewhere to produce much
             lower fertility. © 2004 Kluwer Academic
             Publishers.},
   Doi = {10.1023/b:popu.0000021074.33415.c1},
   Key = {fds257099}
}

@article{fds257100,
   Author = {Diprete, TA and Morgan, SP and Engelhardt, H and Pacalova,
             H},
   Title = {Do cross-national differences in the costs of children
             generate cross-national differences in fertility
             rates?},
   Journal = {Population Research and Policy Review},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {5-6},
   Pages = {439-477},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {Winter},
   ISSN = {0167-5923},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000220406000002&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {Parity-specific probabilities of having a next birth are
             estimated from national fertility data and are compared with
             nation-specific costs of having children as measured by
             time-budget data, by attitude data from the International
             Social Survey Program, and by panel data on labor earnings
             and standard of living changes following a birth. We focus
             on five countries (the United States, the former West
             Germany, Denmark, Italy, and the United Kingdom), whose
             fertility rates span the observed fertility range in the
             contemporary industrialized world and whose social welfare
             and family policies span the conceptual space of standard
             welfare-state typologies. Definitive conclusions are
             difficult because of the multiple dimensions on which child
             costs can be measured, the possibility that child costs
             affect both the quantum and the tempo of fertility, the
             relatively small fertility differences across industrialized
             nations, and the inherent small-N problem resulting from
             nation-level comparisons. Empirical analysis, however,
             supports the assertion that institutionally driven child
             costs affect the fertility patterns of industrialized
             nations. © 2004 Kluwer Academic Publishers.},
   Doi = {10.1023/b:popu.0000020961.89068.91},
   Key = {fds257100}
}

@article{fds257101,
   Author = {Rindfuss, RR and Guzzo, KB and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {The changing institutional context of low
             fertility},
   Journal = {Population Research and Policy Review},
   Volume = {22},
   Number = {5-6},
   Pages = {411-438},
   Publisher = {Springer Nature},
   Year = {2003},
   Month = {January},
   ISSN = {0167-5923},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000220406000001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {Using data for 1960-97 for 22 low fertility countries, we
             document a dramatic change in the association of fertility
             levels to women's levels of labor force participation. Until
             the 1980s, this association had been strongly negative.
             However, during the 1980s it became positive, and since 1990
             strongly positive. We also document an emerging positive
             association of the country-level total fertility ratio (TFR)
             and nonmarital ratio (e.g., the proportion of births to
             unmarried women). We argue that these transformed
             associations reflect societal level responses that, in some
             contexts, have eased the incompatibility between mother and
             worker roles, and loosened the link between marriage and
             childbearing. These arguments imply that societal responses
             to mother/worker incompatibility exert substantial influence
             on fertility levels in low fertility countries. © 2004
             Kluwer Academic Publishers.},
   Doi = {10.1023/b:popu.0000020877.96401.b3},
   Key = {fds257101}
}

@article{fds257103,
   Author = {Morgan, SP},
   Title = {"Is low fertility a 21st century demographic crisis? (PAA
             Presidential Address)."},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {40},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {589-603},
   Year = {2003},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1353/dem.2003.0037},
   Abstract = {Nearly half of the world's population in 2000 lived in
             countries with fertility rates at or below replacement
             level, and nearly all countries will reach low fertility
             levels in the next two decades. Concerns about low
             fertility, fertility that is well below replacement, are
             widespread. But there are both persistent rationales for
             having children and institutional adjustments that can make
             the widespread intentions for two children attainable, even
             in increasingly individualistic and egalitarian
             societies.},
   Doi = {10.1353/dem.2003.0037},
   Key = {fds257103}
}

@article{fds257102,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Stash, S and Mason, K and Smith,
             H},
   Title = {Do women’s power/autonomy differences between Moslems and
             non-Moslems explain high demand for more children and low
             contraceptive use among Moslems? Evidence from India,
             Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines},
   Journal = {Population and Development Review},
   Volume = {28},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {515-538},
   Year = {2002},
   Month = {September},
   url = {http://www.soc.duke.edu/~pmorgan/02_Morgan_etal_Muslim_nonMuslim.pdf},
   Key = {fds257102}
}

@article{fds257098,
   Author = {Morgan, SP and Parnell, AM},
   Title = {Effects on pregnancy outcomes of changes in the North
             Carolina state abortion fund},
   Journal = {Population Research and Policy Review},
   Volume = {21},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {319-338},
   Year = {2002},
   Month = {August},
   ISSN = {0167-5923},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000177820800002&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {Extending work of Cook et al. (1999, 1996), this paper
             examines abortion funding cutoffs for poor women in North
             Carolina, a unique setting allowing for a strong
             quasi-experimental design. Using vital registration data and
             additional administrative data from North Carolina, we
             decompose program effects on the abortion/birth ratio into
             two components: coverage (i.e., the proportion of all
             abortions that are state funded) and substitutability (the
             proportion of state funded abortions that would have been
             births in the absence of the state program). We show that
             both components are crucial for understanding the effects of
             fund cutoffs and that both components vary by age and by
             race. We offer explanations for these differences. Overall,
             we conclude that: the North Carolina State Abortion Fund
             (SAF) had powerful and pervasive effects: i.e., the SAF
             cutoffs reduced abortions and increased births.},
   Doi = {10.1023/A:1020078406216},
   Key = {fds257098}
}

@article{fds257104,
   Author = {Pollard, MS and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {EMERGING PARENTAL GENDER INDIFFERENCE? SEX COMPOSITION OF
             CHILDREN AND THE THIRD BIRTH.},
   Journal = {American Sociological Review},
   Volume = {67},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {600-613},
   Year = {2002},
   Month = {August},
   ISSN = {0003-1224},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20411039},
   Abstract = {For much of the twentieth century, parents in the United
             States with two children of the same sex were more likely to
             have a third child than were parents with one son and one
             daughter, that is, there was an effect of the sex of
             previous children on the occurrence of a third birth. Using
             multiple cycles of the Current Population Survey and
             National Survey of Family Growth, the authors examine the
             strength of this effect on both fertility behavior and
             intentions over multiple decades. Changes in the societal
             gender system are expected to weaken this pronatalist effect
             in recent periods. Consistent with this expectation, there
             has been some attenuation of the effect of sex composition
             of previous children on the third birth, suggesting
             declining salience of children's gender for
             parents.},
   Doi = {10.2307/3088947},
   Key = {fds257104}
}

@article{fds324072,
   Author = {Morgan, SP and Lynch, SM},
   Title = {Success and future of demography: the role of data and
             methods.},
   Journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences},
   Volume = {954},
   Pages = {35-51},
   Year = {2001},
   Month = {December},
   url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-6632.2001.tb02745.x},
   Abstract = {Demography typifies paradigmatic success; that is,
             cumulative scientific work that has provided useful
             perspectives on a set of important questions. This success
             can be traced partly to the core subject matter of
             demography, which is relatively conducive to quantitative,
             observational science. The development of demography was
             further aided by extrinsic factors, such as the import of
             its data for government administration, for business
             purposes, and the import of demographic questions for social
             problems and public policy. These observations make suspect
             any simple projection of demography's success into the
             future or the transport of its experience to other
             disciplines.},
   Doi = {10.1111/j.1749-6632.2001.tb02745.x},
   Key = {fds324072}
}

@article{fds257122,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and King, RB},
   Title = {Why Have Children in the 21st Century?},
   Journal = {European Journal of Population},
   Volume = {17},
   Pages = {3-20},
   Year = {2001},
   Month = {July},
   url = {http://www.soc.duke.edu/~pmorgan/01_Morgan_Whyhavechildreninthe21stcentury.pdf},
   Key = {fds257122}
}

@article{fds58,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip and Scott M. Lynch},
   Title = {Demography’s Success and Its Future: The role of Data
             and},
   Journal = {In Population Health and Aging: Strengthening the Dialogue
             Between Epidemiology},
   Volume = {954},
   Year = {2001},
   Month = {May},
   url = {http://www.soc.duke.edu/~pmorgan/02_Morgan_Lynch_success_and_future_of_demography.pdf},
   Key = {fds58}
}

@article{fds257124,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Dharmalingam, A and Sceats, J and Pool,
             I},
   Title = {The link of early childbearing to marriage and to subsequent
             fertility in New Zealand.},
   Journal = {New Zealand Population Review},
   Volume = {27},
   Pages = {46-73},
   Year = {2001},
   Month = {May},
   Key = {fds257124}
}

@article{fds257123,
   Author = {Neidell, and Shara, and Niraula, B and Morgan, SP and StashMorgan, S and Philip, S},
   Title = {Moslem and non-Moslem fertility differences in the Eastern
             Terai in Nepal.},
   Journal = {Contributions to Nepalese Studies},
   Volume = {25},
   Pages = {109-129},
   Year = {2001},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257123}
}

@article{fds60,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Current features and future trends in U.S.
             fertility.},
   Journal = {Population Bulletin of the United Nations. Below
             Replacement Fertility: Special Issue Nos.
             40/41},
   Volume = {1999},
   Pages = {334-348},
   Year = {2000},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds60}
}

@article{fds257120,
   Author = {Niraula Bhanu and B and Philip Morgan and S},
   Title = {Gender inequality in two Nepali settings.},
   Journal = {Garcia, Brigida (ed.) Women, Poverty and Demographic
             Change.},
   Pages = {42-72},
   Publisher = {Oxford:Oxford U. Press},
   Year = {2000},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257120}
}

@article{fds257119,
   Author = {Morgan, SP and Botev, N and Chen, R and Huang, J},
   Title = {White and nonwhite trends in first birth timing: Comparisons
             using vital registration and current population
             surveys},
   Journal = {Population Research and Policy Review},
   Volume = {18},
   Number = {4},
   Pages = {339-356},
   Year = {1999},
   Month = {December},
   ISSN = {0167-5923},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000084677400003&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Abstract = {The magnitude of racial differences in first birth timing
             vary greatly depending upon the data sources from which they
             are estimated. Vital registration data (Heuser 1976; with
             updates from the National Center for Health Statistics
             1974-1990) show that in recent years nonwhites have higher
             risks of a first birth at virtually all ages compared to
             whites. As a result very large and historically novel
             differentials in childlessness are forecast using these data
             (see Rindfuss et al. 1988; Chen and Morgan 1991; Morgan and
             Chen 1992). However, retrospective fertility history data
             collected from the 1980, 1985 and 1990 Current Population
             Surveys (CPS) suggest much smaller racial differences in
             completed childlessness and isolate racial differences in
             probabilities of first births at young ages. Differences
             also exist between theses two series for whites prior to the
             mid-1960s but not afterwards. Reasons for these differing
             estimates are suggested and examined. We conclude that a
             substantial portion of the differences result from an
             accumulation of biases in the vital registration estimates
             that affect primarily estimates of first birth timing. Thus,
             the CPS data provide a more firm basis for racial
             comparisons of first birth timing.},
   Doi = {10.1023/A:1006245612218},
   Key = {fds257119}
}

@article{fds257145,
   Author = {Morgan, SP and Rindfuss, RR},
   Title = {Reexamining the link of early childbearing to marriage and
             to subsequent fertility.},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {36},
   Number = {1},
   Pages = {59-75},
   Year = {1999},
   Month = {February},
   ISSN = {0070-3370},
   url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10036593},
   Abstract = {Using data from the 1980, 1985, and 1990 Current Population
             Surveys, we show that the link between early fertility and
             nonmarital births has become stronger. Women who give birth
             earlier are increasingly likely to be unmarried. In
             contrast, we find a weaker association between first births
             at young (versus older) ages and (1) a rapid pace of
             subsequent childbearing and (2) higher completed fertility.
             We discuss possible causes and consequences of these
             changes.},
   Doi = {10.2307/2648134},
   Key = {fds257145}
}

@article{fds257118,
   Author = {Smith, HL and Gager, CT and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Identifying Underlying Dimensions in Spouses' Evaluations of
             Fairness in the Division of Household Labor},
   Journal = {Social Science Research},
   Volume = {27},
   Number = {3},
   Pages = {305-327},
   Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
   Year = {1998},
   Month = {September},
   ISSN = {0049-089X},
   url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000075755600005&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
   Doi = {10.1006/ssre.1998.0624},
   Key = {fds257118}
}

@article{fds257136,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Lye, DN and Condran, GA},
   Title = {Sons, daughters and the risk of marital disruption.},
   Journal = {American Journal of Sociology},
   Volume = {1988},
   Number = {94},
   Pages = {110-129},
   Year = {1998},
   Month = {February},
   url = {http://www.soc.duke.edu/~pmorgan/88_Morgan_sonsdaughtersandtheriskofmaritaldissolution.pdf},
   Key = {fds257136}
}

@article{fds257114,
   Author = {Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Characteristic features of modern American
             fertility.},
   Journal = {Population and Development Review},
   Volume = {22},
   Pages = {19-63},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {June},
   url = {http://www.soc.duke.edu/~pmorgan/96_Morgan_characteristicfeaturesofmodernamerican.pdf},
   Key = {fds257114}
}

@article{fds257144,
   Author = {McDaniel, and Antonio, and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Racial differences in mother-child coresidence in the
             past.},
   Journal = {Journal of Marriage and the Family},
   Volume = {58},
   Pages = {1011-1017},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {May},
   Key = {fds257144}
}

@article{fds257115,
   Author = {Sloane, and Douglas, and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {An introduction to categorical data analysis.},
   Journal = {Annual Review of Sociology},
   Volume = {22},
   Pages = {351-375},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257115}
}

@article{fds257116,
   Author = {Smith, and Herbert, L and Morgan, SP and Koropeckyj-Cox,
             T},
   Title = {A decomposition of trends in the nonmarital fertility ratios
             of blacks and whites in the United States,
             1960-92.},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {33},
   Pages = {141-151},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257116}
}

@article{fds257121,
   Author = {Rindfuss, and Ronald, R and Morgan, SP and Offutt,
             K},
   Title = {Education and the changing age pattern of American
             fertility: 1963-89.},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {33},
   Pages = {277-290},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257121}
}

@article{fds257142,
   Author = {Niraula Bhanu and B and Philip Morgan and S},
   Title = {Son and daughter preferences in Benighat, Nepal:
             Implications for fertility transition.},
   Journal = {Social Biology},
   Volume = {42},
   Pages = {256-273},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257142}
}

@article{fds257143,
   Author = {Niraula, and Bhanu, and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Marriage formation, post-marital contact with natal kin and
             autonomy of women: Evidence from two Nepali
             settings.},
   Journal = {Population Studies},
   Volume = {50},
   Pages = {35-50},
   Year = {1996},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257143}
}

@article{fds257117,
   Author = {Pagnini, and Deanna, and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Racial Differences in marriage and childbearing: oral
             history evidence from the South in the early twentieth
             century.},
   Journal = {American Journal of Sociology},
   Volume = {101},
   Pages = {1694-1718},
   Year = {1996},
   Key = {fds257117}
}

@article{fds257154,
   Author = {Dharmalingam, A and Philip Morgan and S},
   Title = {Women’s work, autonomy and birth control: Evidence from
             two south Indian villages.},
   Journal = {Population Studies},
   Volume = {50},
   Pages = {187-201},
   Year = {1996},
   Key = {fds257154}
}

@article{fds257113,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Niraula, BB},
   Title = {Gender inequality and fertility in two Nepal
             villages.},
   Journal = {Population and Development Review},
   Volume = {21},
   Pages = {541-561},
   Year = {1995},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257113}
}

@article{fds3585,
   Author = {Miller, Andrew T. and S. Philip Morgan and Antonio
             McDaniel},
   Title = {Under the same roof: Family and household
             structure.},
   Pages = {125-173},
   Booktitle = {After Ellis Island: A 1910 Census
             Monograph},
   Publisher = {New York: Russell Sage Foundation},
   Editor = {Susan Watkins},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds3585}
}

@article{fds6470,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip and Susan C. Watkins and Douglas
             Ewbank},
   Title = {Generating Americans: The fertility of the foreign-born in
             the U.S., 1905-10.},
   Pages = {83-124},
   Booktitle = {After Ellis Island: A1910 Census Monograph.},
   Publisher = {New York: Russell Sage Foundation},
   Editor = {Susan Watkins},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6470}
}

@article{fds257111,
   Author = {Smith Herbert and L and Philip Morgan and S},
   Title = {Children's closeness to father as reported by mothers, sons
             and daughters: Evaluating subjective assessments with the
             Rasch Model.},
   Journal = {Journal of Family Issues},
   Volume = {15},
   Pages = {3-29},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257111}
}

@article{fds257112,
   Author = {London Andrew and S and Philip Morgan and S},
   Title = {Racial differences in first names in 1910.},
   Journal = {Journal of Family History},
   Volume = {19},
   Pages = {261-284},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257112}
}

@article{fds257141,
   Author = {Bracher, and Michael, and Santow, G and Morgan, SP and Trussell,
             J},
   Title = {Marriage dissolution in Australia:models and
             explanations.},
   Journal = {Population Studies},
   Volume = {47},
   Pages = {403-425},
   Year = {1993},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257141}
}

@article{fds257110,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and McDaniel, A and Miller, A and Preston,
             S},
   Title = {Racial differences in household and family structure at the
             turn of the century.},
   Journal = {American Journal of Sociology},
   Volume = {98},
   Pages = {798-28},
   Year = {1993},
   Key = {fds257110}
}

@article{fds6469,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Third world urbanization, migration and family
             adaptation.},
   Pages = {235-254},
   Booktitle = {Third World Cities: Problems, Policies, and
             Prospects.},
   Publisher = {Newbury Park, CA: Russell Sage},
   Editor = {Kasarda, J},
   Year = {1992},
   Month = {June},
   Key = {fds6469}
}

@article{fds257109,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Chen, R},
   Title = {Predicting childlessness for recent cohorts of American
             women.},
   Journal = {International Journal of Forecasting},
   Volume = {8},
   Pages = {477-493},
   Year = {1992},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257109}
}

@article{fds257140,
   Author = {Preston, and Samuel, H and Lim, S and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {African-American Marriage in 1910: Beneath the Surface of
             Census Data.},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {29},
   Pages = {1-15},
   Year = {1992},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257140}
}

@article{fds257138,
   Author = {Chen, and Renbao, and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Recent trends in the timing of first births in the United
             States: an update and examination of earlier
             projections.},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {28},
   Pages = {513-533},
   Year = {1991},
   Month = {June},
   Key = {fds257138}
}

@article{fds257153,
   Author = {Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Late nineteenth and early twentieth century childlessness in
             the United States.},
   Journal = {American Journal of Sociology},
   Volume = {97},
   Pages = {779-807},
   Year = {1991},
   Month = {June},
   Key = {fds257153}
}

@article{fds257137,
   Author = {Ekouevi, and Koffi, and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Note on the reliability and validity of mothers'
             retrospective reports of their children's birth
             weights.},
   Journal = {Social Biology},
   Volume = {38},
   Pages = {140-145},
   Year = {1991},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257137}
}

@article{fds257139,
   Author = {Harris Kathleen and M and Philip Morgan and S},
   Title = {Fathers, sons and daughters: differential paternal
             involvement in parenting.},
   Journal = {Journal of Marriage and the Family},
   Pages = {531-544},
   Year = {1991},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257139}
}

@article{fds257152,
   Author = {Pagnini Deanna and L and Philip Morgan and S},
   Title = {Intermarriage and social distance among U.S. immigrants at
             the turn of the century.},
   Journal = {American Journal of Sociology},
   Volume = {96},
   Pages = {405-432},
   Year = {1990},
   Key = {fds257152}
}

@article{fds257108,
   Author = {Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Immigrazione e diversita etnico-razziale: il caso degli
             Stati Uniti (Immigration and racial/ethnic diversity: The
             United States case)},
   Journal = {in Abitare Il Pianeta: Futuro Demografico, Migration e
             Tensioni Etniche.},
   Pages = {39-60},
   Publisher = {Torino:Fondazione Agnelli},
   Year = {1989},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257108}
}

@article{fds257133,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Teachman, JD},
   Title = {Logistic regression: Description, examples, and
             comparisons.},
   Journal = {Journal of Marriage and the Family},
   Volume = {50},
   Pages = {929-936},
   Year = {1988},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257133}
}

@article{fds257135,
   Author = {Chamratrithirong, A and Morgan, SP and Rindfuss,
             RR},
   Title = {Living arrangements and family formation.},
   Journal = {Social Forces},
   Volume = {66},
   Pages = {926.-950.},
   Year = {1988},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257135}
}

@article{fds257107,
   Author = {Furstenberg, and Frank, F and Jr, and Gunn, JB and Morgan,
             SP},
   Title = {Adolescent mothers and their children in later
             life.},
   Journal = {Family Planning Perspectives.},
   Volume = {19},
   Pages = {142-151},
   Year = {1987},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257107}
}

@article{fds257134,
   Author = {Furstenberg, and Frank, F and Morgan, SP and Moore, K and Peterson,
             J},
   Title = {Exploring race differences in the timing of adolescent
             intercourse.},
   Journal = {American Sociological Review},
   Volume = {52},
   Pages = {695-701},
   Year = {1987},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257134}
}

@article{fds93,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip and Linda J. Waite},
   Title = {Parenthood and the attitudes of young adults.},
   Journal = {American Sociological Review},
   Volume = {52},
   Pages = {541-47},
   Year = {1987},
   Key = {fds93}
}

@article{fds257151,
   Author = {Furstenberg, and Frank, F and Jr, and Morgan, SP and Allison,
             P},
   Title = {Paternal participation and children's well being after
             divorce:},
   Journal = {American Sociological Review},
   Volume = {52},
   Pages = {695-701},
   Year = {1987},
   Key = {fds257151}
}

@article{fds257155,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Waite, LJ},
   Title = {Parenthood and the attitudes of young adults.},
   Journal = {American Sociological Review},
   Volume = {52},
   Pages = {541-547},
   Year = {1987},
   Key = {fds257155}
}

@article{fds257132,
   Author = {Abdelrahman, AI and Philip Morgan and S},
   Title = {Socioeconomic and institutional determinants of family
             formation: Khartoum, Sudan, 1945-75.},
   Journal = {Journal of Marriage and the Family},
   Volume = {49},
   Pages = {401-412},
   Year = {1986},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257132}
}

@article{fds257150,
   Author = {Mammo, and Abate, and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Childlessness in rural Ethiopia.},
   Journal = {Population and Development Review.},
   Volume = {12},
   Pages = {533-545},
   Year = {1986},
   Key = {fds257150}
}

@article{fds257130,
   Author = {Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Individual and couple intentions for more
             children.},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {22},
   Pages = {125-132},
   Year = {1985},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257130}
}

@article{fds257131,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Rindfuss, RR},
   Title = {Marital disruption: Structural and temporal
             dimensions.},
   Journal = {American Journal of Sociology},
   Volume = {90},
   Pages = {1055-1077},
   Year = {1985},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257131}
}

@article{fds257128,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Rindfuss, RR},
   Title = {Household structure and the tempo of family formation in
             comparative perspective.},
   Journal = {Population Studies},
   Volume = {38},
   Pages = {129-139},
   Year = {1984},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257128}
}

@article{fds257129,
   Author = {Swicegood, and Gray, C and Morgan, SP and Rindfuss,
             RR},
   Title = {Measurement and replication: Evaluating the consistency of
             eight U.S. fertility surveys.},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {21},
   Pages = {19-33},
   Year = {1984},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257129}
}

@article{fds257148,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and and, RRR and Parnell, A},
   Title = {Modern fertility patterns: The transition to parenthood in
             Japan and the United States.},
   Journal = {Population and Development Review},
   Volume = {10},
   Pages = {19-40},
   Year = {1984},
   Key = {fds257148}
}

@article{fds257149,
   Author = {Rindfuss, and Ronald, R and Morgan, SP and Swicegood,
             G},
   Title = {The transition to motherhood: The intersection of structural
             and temporal dimensions.},
   Journal = {American Sociological Review},
   Volume = {49},
   Pages = {359-372},
   Year = {1984},
   Key = {fds257149}
}

@article{fds257106,
   Author = {Fligstein, and Neil, and Hicks, A and Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Toward a theory of income determination.},
   Journal = {Sociology of Work and Occupations.},
   Volume = {10},
   Pages = {289-306},
   Year = {1983},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257106}
}

@article{fds257127,
   Author = {Morgan, SP},
   Title = {A research note on religion and morality: Are religious
             people nice people?},
   Journal = {Social Forces},
   Volume = {61},
   Pages = {683-692},
   Year = {1983},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257127}
}

@article{fds257146,
   Author = {Morgan, and Philip, S and Hirosima, K},
   Title = {The persistence of extended family residence in Japan:
             Anachronism or alternative strategy?},
   Journal = {American Sociological Review},
   Volume = {48},
   Pages = {269-281},
   Year = {1983},
   Key = {fds257146}
}

@article{fds257147,
   Author = {Rindfuss Ronald and R and Philip Morgan and S},
   Title = {Marriage, sex, and the first birth interval: The quiet
             revolution in Asia.},
   Journal = {Population and Development Review},
   Volume = {9},
   Pages = {259-278},
   Year = {1983},
   Key = {fds257147}
}

@article{fds257126,
   Author = {Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Parity-specific fertility intentions and uncertainty: The
             United States, 1970 to1976.},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {19},
   Pages = {315-334},
   Year = {1982},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257126}
}

@article{fds257105,
   Author = {Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Prayerfulness in America.},
   Journal = {Chicago Studies.},
   Volume = {20},
   Pages = {237-252},
   Year = {1981},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257105}
}

@article{fds257125,
   Author = {Morgan, SP},
   Title = {Intention and uncertainty at later stages of childbearing:
             The United States, 1965-70.},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Volume = {18},
   Pages = {267-286},
   Year = {1981},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds257125}
}


%% Papers Submitted   
@article{fds3593,
   Author = {Pollard, Michael S. and S. Philip Morgan},
   Title = {Do Parents of Girls Really Have a Higher Risk of
             Divorce?},
   Year = {2002},
   Key = {fds3593}
}


%% Journal Articles   
@article{fds165432,
   Author = {Marie Lynn and Dohyeong Kim and Alicia Overstreet Galeano and Christopher J. Paul and Andrew P. Hull},
   Title = {The relationship between early childhood blood lead levels
             and performance on end of grade tests},
   Journal = {Environmental Health Perspectives},
   Volume = {115},
   Number = {8},
   Pages = {1242-1247},
   Year = {2007},
   Key = {fds165432}
}

@article{fds165435,
   Author = {Rindfuss, Ronald R. and David Guilkey and S. Philip Morgan and Oystein Kravdal and Karen B. Guzzo},
   Title = {Child Care Availability and Fertility in Norway:
             Pro-Natalist Effects},
   Journal = {Demography},
   Pages = {345-372},
   Year = {2007},
   Key = {fds165435}
}

@article{fds165433,
   Author = {Seltzer, Judith A. and Christine Bachrach and Suzanne M. Bianchi and Caroline Bledsoe and Lynne Casper},
   Title = {Designing New Models for Explaining Family Change and
             Variation: Challenges for Family Demographers},
   Journal = {Journal of Marriage and the Family},
   Year = {2005},
   Month = {Summer},
   Key = {fds165433}
}

@article{fds165436,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip and Kellie Hagewen},
   Title = {Fertility},
   Booktitle = {Handbook of Population},
   Publisher = {Boston:Klewer Academic Publishers},
   Editor = {Dudley L. Poston Jr. and Michael Micklin},
   Year = {2005},
   Month = {Spring},
   Key = {fds165436}
}


%% Book Reviews   
@article{fds45367,
   Author = {Morgan, s. Philip},
   Title = {Rooted in Place: Family and Belonging in a Southern Black
             Community, by William W. Falk},
   Journal = {Contemporary Sociology},
   Year = {2006},
   Key = {fds45367}
}

@article{fds28923,
   Title = {The Blackwell Companion to the Sociology of Families by
             Jacqueline Scott, Judith Treas and Martin Richards
             (eds)"},
   Journal = {Population and Development Review},
   Volume = {3},
   Pages = {540:541},
   Year = {2004},
   Key = {fds28923}
}

@article{fds14925,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {“Out-of-Wedlock Births: The United States in Comparative
             Perspective, by Mark Abrahamson.”},
   Journal = {Contemporary Sociology forthcoming},
   Volume = {28},
   Number = {5},
   Pages = {556-557},
   Year = {1999},
   Month = {September},
   Key = {fds14925}
}

@article{fds125,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Without Issue: New Zealanders who chose not to have children
             by Jan Cameron.},
   Journal = {New Zealand Population Review},
   Volume = {24},
   Pages = {135-138},
   Year = {1998},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds125}
}

@article{fds126,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Dating, mating and marriage by Martin King
             Whyte.},
   Journal = {American Journal of Sociology},
   Volume = {97},
   Pages = {879-880},
   Year = {1991},
   Month = {June},
   Key = {fds126}
}

@article{fds128,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {"Fertility change on the American frontie” by Bean, L.L.,
             G.P. Mineau, and D.L. Anderton.},
   Journal = {Social Forces},
   Volume = {69},
   Pages = {935-936},
   Year = {1991},
   Month = {June},
   Key = {fds128}
}

@article{fds127,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Reproduction and social organization in sub-Saharan Africa,
             edited by Lesthaeghe, R.J.},
   Journal = {Social Forces},
   Volume = {69},
   Pages = {261-262},
   Year = {1991},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds127}
}

@article{fds130,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Teenage pregnancy in industrialized countries by Jones,
             E.F., et al.},
   Journal = {American Journal of Sociology},
   Volume = {95},
   Pages = {799-801},
   Year = {1989},
   Month = {June},
   Key = {fds130}
}

@article{fds129,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {The changing lives of American women by McLaughin, S.D., et
             al.},
   Journal = {American Journal of Sociology},
   Volume = {95},
   Pages = {799-801},
   Year = {1989},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds129}
}

@article{fds131,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Teenage pregnancy in industrialized countries by Jones,
             E.F., et al.},
   Journal = {Journal of Marriage and the Family},
   Volume = {49},
   Pages = {950-51},
   Year = {1987},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds131}
}


%% Book Chapters   
@misc{fds165451,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Thinking About Demographic Family Differences},
   Booktitle = {Changing Families in and Unequal Society},
   Publisher = {Stanford U. Press},
   Address = {Palo Alto, CA},
   Editor = {M. Carlson and P. England},
   Year = {2011},
   Abstract = {In this chapter I offer a theoretical frame, the theory of
             conjunctural action (TCA) that allows for uniform analysis
             of all three types of fertility differentials. I then
             provide contemporary examples of each type. A key feature or
             this approach is a move away from culture-versus-structure
             arguments--a framing that has long hampered social science
             research, and especially research on the
             family.},
   Key = {fds165451}
}

@misc{fds185512,
   Author = {S.P. Morgan and E. Cumberworth and C. Wimer},
   Title = {The Great Recession and the American Family},
   Booktitle = {The Consequences of the Great Recession},
   Publisher = {Russel Sage},
   Address = {New York},
   Editor = {D. Grusky},
   Year = {2011},
   Abstract = {The 2008-2009 recession produced hundreds of thousands of
             unemployed, billions of dollars of lost wealth, and
             pervasive uncertainly and insecurity. The recession has also
             produced hundreds of journalistic claims about profound
             recession effects on the family – from increasing domestic
             violence to the return of the family meal and family game
             night, from increasing divorce to reducing it, from
             increasing fertility to reducing it. Our paper reviews
             social science evidence on the effects of past recessions
             and examines available data on the current one. These
             materials provide a description of the effects of recession
             on families and the responses of families to recession.
             Stated differently, people not only “feel” the recession
             in their families, they also respond to it, not only as
             individuals but as members of families. Specifically, we
             examine the recession’s effects on: fertility and family
             planning use; unions -- marriage, divorce, cohabitation; and
             living arrangements of those not in unions. We will also
             discuss why some expected effects may not be clearly visible
             (because of inadequate data or because responses are likely
             heterogeneous). Using data from Vital Statistics and the
             Current Population Survey, our preliminary evidence suggests
             a substantial decline in fertility rates during the
             recession after years of steady increases. We present
             evidence that state-level declines in fertility were
             greatest in states hardest hit by the recession. Further, we
             find that the recession response was greater in “red
             states” than in “blue states,” suggesting that
             partisan political frames were mediating perceptions of the
             recession’s severity and threat. In contrast, we find no
             substantial differences in union formation or dissolution
             trends, though this may be because of countervailing forces
             at work or insufficient data. We do find marked increases in
             young people “returning to the nest,” suggesting
             intergenerational family responses to economic hardship and
             uncertainty.},
   Key = {fds185512}
}

@misc{fds165452,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Comments on Consilience Efforts},
   Booktitle = {Biosocial Research Contributions to Understanding Family
             Processes and Problems.},
   Publisher = {Springer},
   Address = {New York},
   Editor = {Alan Booth and Nancy Landale and Susan McHale},
   Year = {2010},
   Key = {fds165452}
}

@misc{fds3608,
   Author = {Swicegood, Gray and S. Philip Morgan},
   Title = {Racial and ethnic fertility differentials in the United
             States.},
   Journal = {American Diversity: A Demographic Challenge for the
             Twenty-First Century},
   Publisher = {Albany:SUNY Press},
   Editor = {Denton, Nancy A. and Stewart E. Tolnay},
   Year = {2002},
   Month = {Spring},
   Key = {fds3608}
}


%% Published Exchanges   
@misc{fds200739,
   Author = {S.P. Morgan and Christine Bachrach},
   Title = {Is the theory of planned behavior an appropriate model for
             human fertility},
   Journal = {Vienna Journal of Population},
   Volume = {forthcoming},
   Year = {2012},
   Key = {fds200739}
}

@misc{fds200740,
   Author = {S.P. Morgan and Bachrach, Christine},
   Title = {Further reflections on the Theory of Planned Behaviour and
             fertility research},
   Journal = {Vienna Journal of Population},
   Volume = {forthcoming},
   Year = {2012},
   Key = {fds200740}
}

@misc{fds6463,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Comment on: Demographic change and public assistance
             expenditures},
   Booktitle = {Demographic Change and Public Assistance},
   Publisher = {Cambridge U. Press},
   Editor = {Auerbach, Allan J. and Ronald D. Lee},
   Year = {2000},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6463}
}

@misc{fds6464,
   Author = {Apichat Chamratrithirong and S. Philip Morgan and Ronald R.
             Rindfuss},
   Title = {Why does it matter: A reply to Knodel and
             Chayovan.},
   Journal = {Social Forces},
   Volume = {71},
   Pages = {999-1000},
   Year = {1992},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6464}
}

@misc{fds6465,
   Author = {Teachman Jay and S. Philip Morgan},
   Title = {A brief reply to Demaris.},
   Journal = {Journal of Marriage and the Family},
   Volume = {52},
   Pages = {277},
   Year = {1990},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6465}
}

@misc{fds6466,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {On identifying determinants of divorce in a divorcing
             population: Comments onRankin and Maneker.},
   Journal = {Journal of Marriage and the Family.},
   Volume = {48},
   Pages = {673-75},
   Year = {1986},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6466}
}

@misc{fds6467,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip and Tim F. Liao},
   Title = {A cautionary note on the analysis of life cycle events:
             Comments on Smith and Meitz.},
   Journal = {Journal of Marriage and Family},
   Volume = {47},
   Pages = {233-236},
   Year = {1985},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6467}
}

@misc{fds6468,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Reply to King and Hunt.},
   Journal = {Social Forces},
   Volume = {62},
   Pages = {1089-1090},
   Year = {1984},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6468}
}


%% Presented Papers   
@article{fds165453,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip and Wendy Brynildsen and Suzanne
             Shanahan},
   Title = {Hanging out, hooking up and falling in love on college
             campuses},
   Year = {2010},
   Key = {fds165453}
}

@article{fds165454,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip and Heather Rackin},
   Title = {Comparing Prospective and Retrospective Measures of Unwanted
             Fertility},
   Year = {2010},
   Key = {fds165454}
}

@article{fds166269,
   Author = {Merli, Giovanna and S. Philip Morgan},
   Title = {Below Replacement Fertility Preferences in Shanghai,
             China},
   Year = {2010},
   Key = {fds166269}
}

@article{fds28926,
   Author = {Hagewen, Kellie J. and S. Philip Morgan},
   Title = {Analysis of Intended Parity and Ideal Family Size in the
             United States, 1970-2002},
   Year = {2004},
   Key = {fds28926}
}

@article{fds6964,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip.},
   Title = {Is low fertility a 21st Century crisis?},
   Booktitle = {Presidential Address, Annual Meeting of the Population
             Association of America, May 2, 2003},
   Year = {2003},
   Key = {fds6964}
}

@article{fds6483,
   Author = {Quesnel-Vallée, Amelie. and S. Philip Morgan},
   Title = {Do Women and Men Realize Their Fertility
             Intentions?},
   Booktitle = {Paper prepared for presentation at the Annual Meeting of the
             American Sociological Association, August 16-19, Chicago,
             Illinois},
   Year = {2002},
   Month = {December},
   Key = {fds6483}
}

@article{fds6472,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Low fertility in developed countries.},
   Pages = {1999},
   Year = {1999},
   Month = {June},
   Key = {fds6472}
}

@article{fds6473,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Post-transition fertility.},
   Year = {1999},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6473}
}

@article{fds6474,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip and Herbert L. Smith and Connie T.
             Gager},
   Title = {His and her reports of marital happiness: Assessing
             subjective reports from husbands and wives in the
             NSFH.},
   Year = {1998},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6474}
}

@article{fds6475,
   Author = {Smith, Herbert and S. Philip Morgan},
   Title = {Individual and couple intentions for more children: an
             application of the Rasch Model.},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6475}
}

@article{fds6476,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip and Smith, Herbert and Constance T.
             Gager},
   Title = {Discrepant responses in spouses reports of coital
             frequency.},
   Pages = {1994},
   Year = {1994},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6476}
}

@article{fds6477,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip and Renbao Chen},
   Title = {Thirtysomething fertility: Recent fertility increase among
             baby boomers.},
   Year = {1992},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6477}
}

@article{fds6471,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip and Ellen A. Kramarow},
   Title = {Stability and change in female headship},
   Year = {1992},
   Key = {fds6471}
}

@article{fds6478,
   Author = {Ewbank, Douglas and S. Philip Morgan and Susan C.
             Watkins},
   Title = {Immigrant fertility differences at the turn of the
             century.},
   Year = {1990},
   Month = {June},
   Key = {fds6478}
}

@article{fds6479,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {Nontraditional sex roles and the timing of
             parenthood.},
   Year = {1985},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6479}
}

@article{fds6480,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {The intergenerational transmission of religious behavior.
             The effects of parentson their children's frequency of
             prayer},
   Year = {1982},
   Month = {June},
   Key = {fds6480}
}

@article{fds6481,
   Author = {Hout, Michael and S. Philip Morgan},
   Title = {The fertility of black and white women during the baby boom:
             Differences by parity, cohort, and age at
             marriage.},
   Year = {1981},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6481}
}

@article{fds6482,
   Author = {Morgan, S. Philip},
   Title = {U.S. socioeconomic fertility differentials: Stability or
             change.},
   Year = {1979},
   Month = {January},
   Key = {fds6482}
}


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