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Publications of Michael Ward    :chronological  alphabetical  combined  bibtex listing:

Books

  1. Ward, MD; Gleditsch, KS, Spatial Regression Models (in Chinese), edited by Lao, T (2012), pp. 136 pages, Sage Publications & Truth and Wisdom Press .
  2. Ward, MD; Hoff, PD, Analyzing dependencies in geo-economics and geo-politics, vol. 6 (October, 2008), pp. 133-160, Emerald (MCB UP ) [doi]  [abs].
  3. Ward, MD; Gleditsch, KS, Spatial Regression Models (February, 2008), pp. 99 pages, Sage  [abs].
  4. Ward, MD, The New Geopolitics (January, 1992), pp. 187 pages, Taylor & Francis  [abs].
  5. Ward, M, Power in World Politics (1989), Lynne Rienner Publishing .
  6. Dynamic Approaches to International Conflict, edited by Ward, MD; Luterbacher, U (1985), Lynne Rienner Publishing .
  7. Guetzkow, HS; Ward, MD, Theories, models, and simulations in international relations (1985), pp. 625 pages, Westview Pr .
  8. Ward, MD, Research gaps in alliance dynamics (1982), pp. 107 pages, Denver Monograph Series in World Affairs .
  9. Ward, MD, The Political Economy of Distribution (1978), Elsevier .

Chapters in Books

  1. O'Loughlin, J; Ward, MD; Lofdahl, CL; Cohen, JS; Brown, DS; Reilly, D; Gleditsch, KS; Shin, M, The diffusion of democracy, 1946-1994, in Politics: Critical Essays in Human Geography (May, 2017), pp. 173-202  [abs].
  2. WARD, MD; Dorff, CL, Les réseaux, les dyades et le modèle des relations sociales, in Liber amicorum: Hommage en l’honneur du Professeur Jacques Fontanel, edited by Perrin-Bensahel, L; Guilhaudis, J-F (March, 2013), pp. 271-288, L’Harmattan .
  3. Ward, MD, Statistical Analysis of International Interdependencies., in International Studies Encyclopaedic Compendium:, edited by Diehl, PF; Morrow, JD, vol. Scientific Studies of International Proc no. 10 (2010), pp. 6615-6628, Cambridge University Press .
  4. Ward, MD; Hoff, PD, Analyzing Dependencies in Geo-Politics and Geo-Economics, in Contributions to Conflict Management, Peace Economics and Development, edited by Fontanel, J; Chatterji, M, vol. 6 (2009), pp. 133-160, Emerald Publishing (Elsevier) .
  5. Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, Diffusion and the spread of democratic institutions, in The Global Diffusion of Markets and Democracy, vol. 9780521878890 (January, 2008), pp. 261-302, Cambridge University Press [doi]  [abs].

Journal Articles

  1. Lee, SJ; Liu, H; Ward, MD, Lost in space: Geolocation in event data, Political Science Research and Methods, vol. 7 no. 4 (October, 2019), pp. 871-888 [doi]  [abs].
  2. Minhas, S; Hoff, PD; Ward, MD, Inferential Approaches for Network Analysis: AMEN for Latent Factor Models, Political Analysis, vol. 27 no. 2 (April, 2019), pp. 208-222 [doi]  [abs].
  3. Hollenbach, FM; Bojinov, I; Minhas, S; Metternich, NW; Ward, MD; Volfovsky, A, Multiple Imputation Using Gaussian Copulas, Sociological Methods & Research (January, 2018) [doi]  [abs].
  4. Beger, A; Hill, DW; Metternich, NW; Minhas, S; Ward, MD, Splitting it up: The spduration split-population duration regression package for time-varying covariates, R Journal, vol. 9 no. 2 (December, 2017), pp. 474-486 [doi]  [abs].
  5. Metternich, NW; Minhas, S; Ward, MD, Firewall? or Wall on Fire? A Unified Framework of Conflict Contagion and the Role of Ethnic Exclusion, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 61 no. 6 (July, 2017), pp. 1151-1173, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  6. Ward, MD; Beger, A, Lessons from near real-time forecasting of irregular leadership changes, edited by Hegre, H; Metternich, NW; Nygård, HM; Wucherpfennig, J, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 54 no. 2 (March, 2017), pp. 141-156, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  7. Minhas, S; Hoff, PD; Ward, MD, A new approach to analyzing coevolving longitudinal networks in international relations, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 53 no. 3 (May, 2016), pp. 491-505, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  8. Beger, A; Dorff, CL; Ward, MD, Irregular leadership changes in 2014: Forecasts using ensemble, split-population duration models, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 32 no. 1 (January, 2016), pp. 98-111, Elsevier BV [doi]  [abs].
  9. Minhas, S; Ulfelder, J; Ward, MD, Mining texts to efficiently generate global data on political regime types, Research & Politics, vol. 2 no. 3 (July, 2015), pp. 205316801558921-205316801558921, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  10. Montgomery, JM; Hollenbach, FM; Ward, MD, Calibrating ensemble forecasting models with sparse data in the social sciences, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 31 no. 3 (July, 2015), pp. 930-942, Elsevier BV [doi]  [abs].
  11. Beger, A; Dorff, CL; Ward, MD, Ensemble forecasting of irregular leadership change, Research & Politics, vol. 1 no. 3 (October, 2014), pp. 205316801455751-205316801455751, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  12. Dorff, C; Ward, MD, Networks, Dyads, and the Social Relations Model, Political Science Research and Methods, vol. 1 no. 2 (December, 2013), pp. 159-178, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  13. Montgomery, JM; Hollenbach, FM; Ward, MD, Aggregation and ensembles: Principled combinations of data, Ps: Political Science & Politics, vol. 46 no. 1 (February, 2013), pp. 43-44, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  14. Ward, MD; Ahlquist, JS; Rozenas, A, Gravity's Rainbow: A dynamic latent space model for the world trade network, Network Science (Cambridge University Press), vol. 1 no. 1 (January, 2013), pp. 95-118, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] .
  15. Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, Forecasting is difficult, especially about the future: Using contentious issues to forecast interstate disputes, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 50 no. 1 (January, 2013), pp. 17-31, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  16. Metternich, NW; Dorff, C; Gallop, M; Weschle, S; Ward, MD, Antigovernment Networks in Civil Conflicts: How Network Structures Affect Conflictual Behavior, American Journal of Political Science, vol. 57 no. 4 (January, 2013), pp. 892-911, WILEY [doi]  [abs].
  17. M.D. WARD and Nils Metternich and Cassy Dorff and Max Gallop and Florian Hollenbach and Anna Schultz and Simon Weschle, Learning from the Past and Stepping into the Future: The Next Generation of Crisis Prediction, International Studies Review, vol. 15 no. 4 (2013), pp. tbd .
  18. Cao, X; WARD, MD, Do Democracies Attract Portfolio Investment? Transnational Portfolio Investments Modeled as Dynamic Network, International Interactions, vol. 39 no. 2 (2013), pp. in press-in press, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].
  19. Bakke, KM; O'Loughlin, J; Toal, G; Ward, MD, Convincing State-Builders? Disaggregating Internal Legitimacy in Abkhazia, International Studies Quarterly, vol. 58 no. 3 (2013), pp. 591-607 [doi]  [abs].
  20. Ward, MD; Metternich, NW; Dorff, CL; Gallop, M; Hollenbach, FM; Schultz, A; Weschle, S, Learning from the Past and Stepping into the Future: Toward a New Generation of Conflict Prediction, International Studies Review, vol. 15 no. 4 (2013), pp. 473-490, Oxford University Press (OUP) [doi]  [abs].
  21. Montgomery, JM; Hollenbach, FM; Ward, MD, Ensemble predictions of the 2012 US presidential election, Ps: Political Science & Politics, vol. 45 no. 4 (October, 2012), pp. 651-654, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  22. Montgomery, JM; Hollenbach, FM; Ward, MD, Improving predictions using ensemble bayesian model averaging, Political Analysis, vol. 20 no. 3 (July, 2012), pp. 271-291, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  23. Ward, MD, Networks of Nations: The Evolution, Structure, and Impact of International Networks, 1816–2001. By Zeev Maoz. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2010. 448p. $95.00 cloth, $36.99 paper., Perspectives on Politics, vol. 10 no. 1 (March, 2012), pp. 224-225, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] .
  24. Montgomery, JM; Hollenbach, FM; Ward, MD, Ensemble Predictions of the 2012 US Presidential Election, Ps: Political Science & Politics, vol. 45 no. 4 (2012), pp. 651-654 [41691405], [doi] .
  25. Greenhill, B; Ward, MD; Sacks, A, The Separation Plot: A New Visual Method for Evaluating the Fit of Binary Models, American Journal of Political Science, vol. 55 no. 4 (October, 2011), pp. 991-1002, WILEY [doi]  [abs].
  26. Ward, MD; Stovel, K; Sacks, A, Network analysis and political science, edited by Margaret Levi, Annual Review of Political Science, vol. 14 no. 1 (June, 2011), pp. 245-264, ANNUAL REVIEWS [doi]  [abs].
  27. Weidmann, NB; Ward, MD, Erratum to: Predicting Conflict in Space and Time(Journal of Conflict Resolution, (2010), 54, 6 (883-901), 10.1177/0022002710371669), Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 55 no. 2 (April, 2011), pp. 321, SAGE Publications [doi] .
  28. Ward, MD; Greenhill, BD; Bakke, KM, The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 47 no. 4 (July, 2010), pp. 363-375, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  29. Raftery, AE; Ward, MD, Special issue on statistical methods for the social sciences: Guest editors' introduction, Statistical Methodology, vol. 7 no. 3 (May, 2010), pp. 173-174, Elsevier BV [doi] .
  30. Weidmann, NB; Ward, MD, Predicting conflict in space and time, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 54 no. 6 (January, 2010), pp. 883-901, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  31. Greenhill, BD; Ward, MD; Bakke, KM, Perils of Policy by P-Value: Predicting Civil Conflicts, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 47 no. 4 (2010), pp. 1-13 .
  32. Bakke, KM; O'Loughlin, J; Ward, MD, Reconciliation in conflict-affected societies: Multilevel modeling of individual and contextual factors in the North Caucasus of Russia, Annals of the Association of American Geographers, vol. 99 no. 5 (November, 2009), pp. 1012-1021, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].
  33. Bakke, KM; Cao, X; O'Loughlin, J; Ward, MD, Social distance in Bosnia-Herzegovina and the North Caucasus region of Russia: Inter and intra-ethnic attitudes and identities, Nations and Nationalism, vol. 15 no. 2 (April, 2009), pp. 227-253, WILEY [doi]  [abs].
  34. Ward, MD; Siverson, RM; Cao, X, Disputes, democracies, and dependencies: A reexamination of the Kantian peace, American Journal of Political Science, vol. 51 no. 3 (July, 2007), pp. 583-601, WILEY [doi]  [abs].
  35. Cao, X; Prakash, A; Ward, MD, Protecting jobs in the age of globalization: Examining the relative salience of social welfare and industrial subsidies in OECD countries, International Studies Quarterly, vol. 51 no. 2 (June, 2007), pp. 301-327, Oxford University Press (OUP) [doi]  [abs].
  36. Ward, MD; Hoff, PD, Persistent patterns of international commerce, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 44 no. 2 (March, 2007), pp. 157-175, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  37. Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, Diffusion and the International Context of Democratization, International Organization, vol. 60 no. 4 (2006), pp. 911-933, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [3877851], [doi]  [abs].
  38. Hoff, PD; Ward, MD, Modeling dependencies in international relations networks, Political Analysis, vol. 12 no. 2 (March, 2004), pp. 160-175, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  39. Siverson, RM; Ward, MD, The long peace: A reconsideration, International Organization, vol. 56 no. 3 (June, 2002), pp. 679-691, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  40. Ward, MD, Book Review, Comparative Political Studies, vol. 35 no. 4 (May, 2002), pp. 484-488, SAGE Publications [doi] .
  41. Ward, MD, Green binders in cyberspace: A modest proposal, Comparative Political Studies, vol. 35 no. 1 (February, 2002), pp. 46-51, SAGE Publications [doi] .
  42. Ward, MD; Gleditsch, KS, Location, Location, Location: An MCMC Approach to Modeling the Spatial Context of War and Peace, Political Analysis, vol. 10 no. 3 (2002), pp. 244-260, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  43. Ward, MD; O'Loughlin, J, Spatial Processes and Political Methodology: Introduction to the Special Issue, Political Analysis, vol. 10 no. 3 (2002), pp. 211-216, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  44. Heagerty, P; Ward, MD; Gleditsch, KS, Windows of Opportunity: Window Subseries Empirical Variance Estimators in International Relations, Political Analysis, vol. 10 no. 3 (2002), pp. 304-317, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  45. Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, Measuring space: A minimum-distance database and applications to international studies, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 38 no. 6 (January, 2001), pp. 739-758, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  46. Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, War and peace in space and time: The role of democratization, International Studies Quarterly, vol. 44 no. 1 (January, 2000), pp. 1-29, Oxford University Press (OUP) [doi]  [abs].
  47. Shin, M; Ward, MD, Lost in space: Political geography and the defense-growth trade-off, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 43 no. 6 (January, 1999), pp. 793-817, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  48. Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, A revised list of independent states since the congress of Vienna, International Interactions, vol. 25 no. 4 (January, 1999), pp. 393-413, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].
  49. O'Loughlin, J; Ward, MD; Lofdahl, CL; Cohen, JS; Brown, DS; Reilly, D; Gleditsch, KS; Shin, M, The diffusion of democracy, 1946-1994, Annals of the Association of American Geographers, vol. 88 no. 4 (January, 1998), pp. 545-574, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].
  50. Ward, MD; Gleditsch, KS, Democratizing for peace, American Political Science Review, vol. 92 no. 1 (January, 1998), pp. 51-61, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  51. Cohen, JS; Ward, MD, Great expectations: Russian defence conversion, Defence and Peace Economics, vol. 9 no. 4 (January, 1998), pp. 381-394, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].
  52. Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, Double take: A reexamination of democracy and autocracy in modern polities, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 41 no. 3 (January, 1997), pp. 361-383, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  53. Cohen, JS; Stevenson, R; Mintz, A; Ward, MD, Defense Expenditures and Economic Growth in Israel: The Indirect Link, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 33 no. 3 (January, 1996), pp. 341-352, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  54. Fontanel, J; Borissova, I; Ward, M, The principles of arms conversion in the case of russia, Defence and Peace Economics, vol. 6 no. 3 (November, 1995), pp. 237-251, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].
  55. Ward, MD; Cohen, JS; Betsill, MM, The three faces of conversion in the usa, Defence and Peace Economics, vol. 6 no. 3 (November, 1995), pp. 221-235, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].
  56. Ward, MD, Allies, Adversaries, and International Trade. By Joanne Gowa. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1994. 148p. $24.95., American Political Science Review, vol. 89 no. 3 (September, 1995), pp. 802-803, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] .
  57. Ward, MD; Davis, DR; Lofdahl, CL, A century of tradeoffs: defense and growth in Japan and the United States, International Studies Quarterly, vol. 39 no. 1 (January, 1995), pp. 27-50, Oxford University Press (OUP) [2600722], [doi]  [abs].
  58. Ward, MD; Penubarti, M; Cohen, JS; Lofdahl, CL, Guns and' growth around the globe, International Interactions, vol. 21 no. 2 (January, 1995), pp. 181-201, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].
  59. Gibson, ML; Ward, MD, Export orientation: pathway or artifact?, International Studies Quarterly, vol. 36 no. 3 (January, 1992), pp. 331-344, Oxford University Press (OUP) [2600776], [doi]  [abs].
  60. Ward, MD; Rajmaira, S, Reciprocity and Norms in U.S.-Soviet Foreign Policy, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 36 no. 2 (January, 1992), pp. 342-368, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  61. Ward, MD; Davis, DR, Sizing up the Peace Dividend: Economic Growth and Military Spending in the United States, 1948–1996, American Political Science Review, vol. 86 no. 3 (January, 1992), pp. 748-755, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  62. Kirby, A; Ward, MD, Modernity and the process of state formation: An examination of 20th century africa, International Interactions, vol. 17 no. 1 (January, 1991), pp. 113-126, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].
  63. Rajmaira, S; Ward, MD, Evolving Foreign Policy Norms: Reciprocity in the Superpower Triad, International Studies Quarterly, vol. 34 no. 4 (December, 1990), pp. 457-457, Oxford University Press (OUP) [2600607], [doi]  [abs].
  64. Davis, DR; Ward, MD, They Dance Alone: Deaths and the Disappeared in Contemporary Chile, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 34 no. 3 (January, 1990), pp. 449-475, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  65. Davis, DR; Ward, MD, The Entrepreneurial State: Evidence from Taiwan, Comparative Political Studies, vol. 23 no. 3 (January, 1990), pp. 314-333, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  66. Mintz, A; Ward, MD, The political economy of military spending in Israel, American Political Science Review, vol. 83 no. 2 (January, 1989), pp. 521-533, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  67. Ward, MD, Things fall apart: A logical analysis of crisis resolution dynamics, International Interactions, vol. 15 no. 1 (December, 1988), pp. 65-79, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].
  68. Mintz, A; Ward, MD, The Evolution of Israel's Military Expenditures: 1960-1983, Western Political Quarterly, vol. 41 no. 3 (September, 1988), pp. 489-489, JSTOR [448599], [doi]  [abs].
  69. House, LL; Ward, MD, The behavioral power of nations: an analysis of verbal conflict using the equations of statistical equilibrium, Quality & Quantity, vol. 22 no. 2 (June, 1988), pp. 167-189, Springer Nature [doi]  [abs].
  70. Ward, MD; House, LL, A Theory of the Behavioral Power of Nations, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 32 no. 1 (January, 1988), pp. 3-36, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  71. Park, KY; Ward, MD, A research note on the correlates of war national capability data: Some revised procedures applied to the 1950–1980 era, International Interactions, vol. 14 no. 3 (January, 1988), pp. 191-199, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].
  72. Ward, MD, PC-Globe, Social Science Computer Review, vol. 6 no. 1 (January, 1988), pp. 163-164, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  73. Mintz, A; Ward, MD, The evolution of israel's military expenditures: 1960-1983, Political Research Quarterly, vol. 41 no. 3 (January, 1988), pp. 489-507 [doi] .
  74. Don Ward, M; DonKirby, AM, Reexamining Spatial Models of International Conflicts, Annals of the Association of American Geographers, vol. 77 no. 2 (June, 1987), pp. 279-283, Informa UK Limited [doi] .
  75. Ward, MD; Mintz, A, Dynamics of Military Spending in Israel: A computer simulation, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 31 no. 1 (January, 1987), pp. 86-105, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  76. Kirby, AM; Ward, MD, The spatial analysis of peace and war, Comparative Political Studies, vol. 20 no. 3 (January, 1987), pp. 293-313, SAGE Publications [doi] .
  77. Ward, MD, The Political Economy of Arms Races and International Tension, Conflict Management and Peace Science, vol. 7 no. 2 (January, 1984), pp. 1-24, SAGE Publications [doi] .
  78. Ward, MD, Differential Paths to Parity: A Study of the Contemporary Arms Race, American Political Science Review, vol. 78 no. 2 (January, 1984), pp. 297-317, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi]  [abs].
  79. Ward, MD; Mahajan, AK, Defense Expenditures, Security Threats, and Governmental Deficits: A case study of india, 1952-1979, Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 28 no. 3 (January, 1984), pp. 382-419, SAGE Publications [doi]  [abs].
  80. Ward, MD; Widmaier, U, The Domestic-International Conflict Nexus: New Evidence and Old Hypotheses, International Interactions, vol. 9 no. 1 (January, 1982), pp. 75-101, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].
  81. Ward, MD; Guetzkow, H, Toward integrated global models: From economic engineering to social science modeling, Journal of Policy Modeling, vol. 1 no. 3 (January, 1979), pp. 445-464, Elsevier BV [doi]  [abs].
  82. Park, TW; Abolfathi, F; Ward, M, Resource nationalism in the foreign policy behavior of oil exporting countries (1947 - 1974), International Interactions, vol. 2 no. 4 (January, 1976), pp. 247-262, Informa UK Limited [doi]  [abs].

Other

  1. Ward, MD; Hoff, PD; Lofdahl, CL, Identifying international networks: Latent spaces and imputation, edited by Breiger, R; Carley, K; Pattison, P, Dynamic Social Network Modeling and Analysis (January, 2003), pp. 345-359, NATL ACADEMIES PRESS .
  2. Wilson, A; Ward, M; Kirby, A; Pinder, R, Re-entry into general practice - The Wessex strategy, Education for General Practice, vol. 9 no. 1 SUPPL. (January, 1998), pp. 135-137 .
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