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Books
- Ward, MD; Gleditsch, KS, Spatial Regression Models (in Chinese), edited by Lao, T
(2012),
pp. 136 pages, Sage Publications & Truth and Wisdom Press .
- Ward, MD; Hoff, PD, Analyzing dependencies in geo-economics and geo-politics, vol. 6
(October, 2008),
pp. 133-160, Emerald (MCB UP ) [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Gleditsch, KS, Spatial Regression Models
(February, 2008),
pp. 99 pages, Sage [abs].
- Ward, MD, The New Geopolitics
(January, 1992),
pp. 187 pages, Taylor & Francis [abs].
- Ward, M, Power in World Politics
(1989), Lynne Rienner Publishing .
- Dynamic Approaches to International Conflict, edited by Ward, MD; Luterbacher, U
(1985), Lynne Rienner Publishing .
- Guetzkow, HS; Ward, MD, Theories, models, and simulations in international relations
(1985),
pp. 625 pages, Westview Pr .
- Ward, MD, Research gaps in alliance dynamics
(1982),
pp. 107 pages, Denver Monograph Series in World Affairs .
- Ward, MD, The Political Economy of Distribution
(1978), Elsevier .
Chapters in Books
- O'Loughlin, J; Ward, MD; Lofdahl, CL; Cohen, JS; Brown, DS; Reilly, D; Gleditsch, KS; Shin, M, The diffusion of democracy, 1946-1994,
in Politics: Critical Essays in Human Geography
(May, 2017),
pp. 173-202 [abs].
- WARD, MD; Dorff, CL, Les réseaux, les dyades et le modèle des relations sociales,
in Liber amicorum: Hommage en l’honneur du Professeur Jacques Fontanel, edited by Perrin-Bensahel, L; Guilhaudis, J-F
(March, 2013),
pp. 271-288, L’Harmattan .
- Ward, MD, Statistical Analysis of International Interdependencies.,
in International Studies Encyclopaedic Compendium:, edited by Diehl, PF; Morrow, JD, vol. Scientific Studies of International Proc no. 10
(2010),
pp. 6615-6628, Cambridge University Press .
- Ward, MD; Hoff, PD, Analyzing Dependencies in Geo-Politics and Geo-Economics,
in Contributions to Conflict Management, Peace Economics and Development, edited by Fontanel, J; Chatterji, M, vol. 6
(2009),
pp. 133-160, Emerald Publishing (Elsevier) .
- Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, Diffusion and the spread of democratic institutions,
in The Global Diffusion of Markets and Democracy, vol. 9780521878890
(January, 2008),
pp. 261-302, Cambridge University Press [doi] [abs].
Journal Articles
- Lee, SJ; Liu, H; Ward, MD, Lost in space: Geolocation in event data,
Political Science Research and Methods, vol. 7 no. 4
(October, 2019),
pp. 871-888 [doi] [abs].
- Minhas, S; Hoff, PD; Ward, MD, Inferential Approaches for Network Analysis: AMEN for Latent Factor Models,
Political Analysis, vol. 27 no. 2
(April, 2019),
pp. 208-222 [doi] [abs].
- Hollenbach, FM; Bojinov, I; Minhas, S; Metternich, NW; Ward, MD; Volfovsky, A, Multiple Imputation Using Gaussian Copulas,
Sociological Methods & Research
(January, 2018) [doi] [abs].
- Beger, A; Hill, DW; Metternich, NW; Minhas, S; Ward, MD, Splitting it up: The spduration split-population duration regression package for time-varying covariates,
R Journal, vol. 9 no. 2
(December, 2017),
pp. 474-486 [doi] [abs].
- Metternich, NW; Minhas, S; Ward, MD, Firewall? or Wall on Fire? A Unified Framework of Conflict Contagion and the Role of Ethnic Exclusion,
Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 61 no. 6
(July, 2017),
pp. 1151-1173, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Beger, A, Lessons from near real-time forecasting of irregular leadership changes, edited by Hegre, H; Metternich, NW; Nygård, HM; Wucherpfennig, J,
Journal of Peace Research, vol. 54 no. 2
(March, 2017),
pp. 141-156, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Minhas, S; Hoff, PD; Ward, MD, A new approach to analyzing coevolving longitudinal networks in international relations,
Journal of Peace Research, vol. 53 no. 3
(May, 2016),
pp. 491-505, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Beger, A; Dorff, CL; Ward, MD, Irregular leadership changes in 2014: Forecasts using ensemble, split-population duration models,
International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 32 no. 1
(January, 2016),
pp. 98-111, Elsevier BV [doi] [abs].
- Minhas, S; Ulfelder, J; Ward, MD, Mining texts to efficiently generate global data on political regime types,
Research & Politics, vol. 2 no. 3
(July, 2015),
pp. 205316801558921-205316801558921, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Montgomery, JM; Hollenbach, FM; Ward, MD, Calibrating ensemble forecasting models with sparse data in the social sciences,
International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 31 no. 3
(July, 2015),
pp. 930-942, Elsevier BV [doi] [abs].
- Beger, A; Dorff, CL; Ward, MD, Ensemble forecasting of irregular leadership change,
Research & Politics, vol. 1 no. 3
(October, 2014),
pp. 205316801455751-205316801455751, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Dorff, C; Ward, MD, Networks, Dyads, and the Social Relations Model,
Political Science Research and Methods, vol. 1 no. 2
(December, 2013),
pp. 159-178, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Montgomery, JM; Hollenbach, FM; Ward, MD, Aggregation and ensembles: Principled combinations of data,
Ps: Political Science & Politics, vol. 46 no. 1
(February, 2013),
pp. 43-44, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Ahlquist, JS; Rozenas, A, Gravity's Rainbow: A dynamic latent space model for the world trade network,
Network Science (Cambridge University Press), vol. 1 no. 1
(January, 2013),
pp. 95-118, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] .
- Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, Forecasting is difficult, especially about the future: Using contentious issues to forecast interstate disputes,
Journal of Peace Research, vol. 50 no. 1
(January, 2013),
pp. 17-31, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Metternich, NW; Dorff, C; Gallop, M; Weschle, S; Ward, MD, Antigovernment Networks in Civil Conflicts: How Network Structures Affect Conflictual Behavior,
American Journal of Political Science, vol. 57 no. 4
(January, 2013),
pp. 892-911, WILEY [doi] [abs].
- M.D. WARD and Nils Metternich and Cassy Dorff and Max Gallop and Florian Hollenbach and Anna Schultz and Simon Weschle, Learning from the Past and Stepping into the Future: The Next Generation of Crisis Prediction,
International Studies Review, vol. 15 no. 4
(2013),
pp. tbd .
- Cao, X; WARD, MD, Do Democracies Attract Portfolio Investment? Transnational Portfolio Investments Modeled as Dynamic Network,
International Interactions, vol. 39 no. 2
(2013),
pp. in press-in press, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
- Bakke, KM; O'Loughlin, J; Toal, G; Ward, MD, Convincing State-Builders? Disaggregating Internal Legitimacy in Abkhazia,
International Studies Quarterly, vol. 58 no. 3
(2013),
pp. 591-607 [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Metternich, NW; Dorff, CL; Gallop, M; Hollenbach, FM; Schultz, A; Weschle, S, Learning from the Past and Stepping into the Future: Toward a New Generation of Conflict Prediction,
International Studies Review, vol. 15 no. 4
(2013),
pp. 473-490, Oxford University Press (OUP) [doi] [abs].
- Montgomery, JM; Hollenbach, FM; Ward, MD, Ensemble predictions of the 2012 US presidential election,
Ps: Political Science & Politics, vol. 45 no. 4
(October, 2012),
pp. 651-654, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Montgomery, JM; Hollenbach, FM; Ward, MD, Improving predictions using ensemble bayesian model averaging,
Political Analysis, vol. 20 no. 3
(July, 2012),
pp. 271-291, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD, Networks of Nations: The Evolution, Structure, and Impact of International Networks, 1816–2001. By Zeev Maoz. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2010. 448p. $95.00 cloth, $36.99 paper.,
Perspectives on Politics, vol. 10 no. 1
(March, 2012),
pp. 224-225, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] .
- Montgomery, JM; Hollenbach, FM; Ward, MD, Ensemble Predictions of the 2012 US Presidential Election,
Ps: Political Science & Politics, vol. 45 no. 4
(2012),
pp. 651-654 [41691405], [doi] .
- Greenhill, B; Ward, MD; Sacks, A, The Separation Plot: A New Visual Method for Evaluating the Fit of Binary Models,
American Journal of Political Science, vol. 55 no. 4
(October, 2011),
pp. 991-1002, WILEY [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Stovel, K; Sacks, A, Network analysis and political science, edited by Margaret Levi,
Annual Review of Political Science, vol. 14 no. 1
(June, 2011),
pp. 245-264, ANNUAL REVIEWS [doi] [abs].
- Weidmann, NB; Ward, MD, Erratum to: Predicting Conflict in Space and Time(Journal of Conflict Resolution, (2010), 54, 6 (883-901), 10.1177/0022002710371669),
Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 55 no. 2
(April, 2011),
pp. 321, SAGE Publications [doi] .
- Ward, MD; Greenhill, BD; Bakke, KM, The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts,
Journal of Peace Research, vol. 47 no. 4
(July, 2010),
pp. 363-375, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Raftery, AE; Ward, MD, Special issue on statistical methods for the social sciences: Guest editors' introduction,
Statistical Methodology, vol. 7 no. 3
(May, 2010),
pp. 173-174, Elsevier BV [doi] .
- Weidmann, NB; Ward, MD, Predicting conflict in space and time,
Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 54 no. 6
(January, 2010),
pp. 883-901, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Greenhill, BD; Ward, MD; Bakke, KM, Perils of Policy by P-Value: Predicting Civil Conflicts,
Journal of Peace Research, vol. 47 no. 4
(2010),
pp. 1-13 .
- Bakke, KM; O'Loughlin, J; Ward, MD, Reconciliation in conflict-affected societies: Multilevel modeling of individual and contextual factors in the North Caucasus of Russia,
Annals of the Association of American Geographers, vol. 99 no. 5
(November, 2009),
pp. 1012-1021, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
- Bakke, KM; Cao, X; O'Loughlin, J; Ward, MD, Social distance in Bosnia-Herzegovina and the North Caucasus region of Russia: Inter and intra-ethnic attitudes and identities,
Nations and Nationalism, vol. 15 no. 2
(April, 2009),
pp. 227-253, WILEY [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Siverson, RM; Cao, X, Disputes, democracies, and dependencies: A reexamination of the Kantian peace,
American Journal of Political Science, vol. 51 no. 3
(July, 2007),
pp. 583-601, WILEY [doi] [abs].
- Cao, X; Prakash, A; Ward, MD, Protecting jobs in the age of globalization: Examining the relative salience of social welfare and industrial subsidies in OECD countries,
International Studies Quarterly, vol. 51 no. 2
(June, 2007),
pp. 301-327, Oxford University Press (OUP) [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Hoff, PD, Persistent patterns of international commerce,
Journal of Peace Research, vol. 44 no. 2
(March, 2007),
pp. 157-175, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, Diffusion and the International Context of Democratization,
International Organization, vol. 60 no. 4
(2006),
pp. 911-933, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [3877851], [doi] [abs].
- Hoff, PD; Ward, MD, Modeling dependencies in international relations networks,
Political Analysis, vol. 12 no. 2
(March, 2004),
pp. 160-175, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Siverson, RM; Ward, MD, The long peace: A reconsideration,
International Organization, vol. 56 no. 3
(June, 2002),
pp. 679-691, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD, Book Review,
Comparative Political Studies, vol. 35 no. 4
(May, 2002),
pp. 484-488, SAGE Publications [doi] .
- Ward, MD, Green binders in cyberspace: A modest proposal,
Comparative Political Studies, vol. 35 no. 1
(February, 2002),
pp. 46-51, SAGE Publications [doi] .
- Ward, MD; Gleditsch, KS, Location, Location, Location: An MCMC Approach to Modeling the Spatial Context of War and Peace,
Political Analysis, vol. 10 no. 3
(2002),
pp. 244-260, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; O'Loughlin, J, Spatial Processes and Political Methodology: Introduction to the Special Issue,
Political Analysis, vol. 10 no. 3
(2002),
pp. 211-216, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Heagerty, P; Ward, MD; Gleditsch, KS, Windows of Opportunity: Window Subseries Empirical Variance Estimators in International Relations,
Political Analysis, vol. 10 no. 3
(2002),
pp. 304-317, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, Measuring space: A minimum-distance database and applications to international studies,
Journal of Peace Research, vol. 38 no. 6
(January, 2001),
pp. 739-758, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, War and peace in space and time: The role of democratization,
International Studies Quarterly, vol. 44 no. 1
(January, 2000),
pp. 1-29, Oxford University Press (OUP) [doi] [abs].
- Shin, M; Ward, MD, Lost in space: Political geography and the defense-growth trade-off,
Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 43 no. 6
(January, 1999),
pp. 793-817, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, A revised list of independent states since the congress of Vienna,
International Interactions, vol. 25 no. 4
(January, 1999),
pp. 393-413, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
- O'Loughlin, J; Ward, MD; Lofdahl, CL; Cohen, JS; Brown, DS; Reilly, D; Gleditsch, KS; Shin, M, The diffusion of democracy, 1946-1994,
Annals of the Association of American Geographers, vol. 88 no. 4
(January, 1998),
pp. 545-574, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Gleditsch, KS, Democratizing for peace,
American Political Science Review, vol. 92 no. 1
(January, 1998),
pp. 51-61, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Cohen, JS; Ward, MD, Great expectations: Russian defence conversion,
Defence and Peace Economics, vol. 9 no. 4
(January, 1998),
pp. 381-394, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
- Gleditsch, KS; Ward, MD, Double take: A reexamination of democracy and autocracy in modern polities,
Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 41 no. 3
(January, 1997),
pp. 361-383, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Cohen, JS; Stevenson, R; Mintz, A; Ward, MD, Defense Expenditures and Economic Growth in Israel: The Indirect Link,
Journal of Peace Research, vol. 33 no. 3
(January, 1996),
pp. 341-352, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Fontanel, J; Borissova, I; Ward, M, The principles of arms conversion in the case of russia,
Defence and Peace Economics, vol. 6 no. 3
(November, 1995),
pp. 237-251, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Cohen, JS; Betsill, MM, The three faces of conversion in the usa,
Defence and Peace Economics, vol. 6 no. 3
(November, 1995),
pp. 221-235, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD, Allies, Adversaries, and International Trade. By Joanne Gowa. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1994. 148p. $24.95.,
American Political Science Review, vol. 89 no. 3
(September, 1995),
pp. 802-803, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] .
- Ward, MD; Davis, DR; Lofdahl, CL, A century of tradeoffs: defense and growth in Japan and the United States,
International Studies Quarterly, vol. 39 no. 1
(January, 1995),
pp. 27-50, Oxford University Press (OUP) [2600722], [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Penubarti, M; Cohen, JS; Lofdahl, CL, Guns and' growth around the globe,
International Interactions, vol. 21 no. 2
(January, 1995),
pp. 181-201, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
- Gibson, ML; Ward, MD, Export orientation: pathway or artifact?,
International Studies Quarterly, vol. 36 no. 3
(January, 1992),
pp. 331-344, Oxford University Press (OUP) [2600776], [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Rajmaira, S, Reciprocity and Norms in U.S.-Soviet Foreign Policy,
Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 36 no. 2
(January, 1992),
pp. 342-368, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Davis, DR, Sizing up the Peace Dividend: Economic Growth and Military Spending in the United States, 1948–1996,
American Political Science Review, vol. 86 no. 3
(January, 1992),
pp. 748-755, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Kirby, A; Ward, MD, Modernity and the process of state formation: An examination of 20th century africa,
International Interactions, vol. 17 no. 1
(January, 1991),
pp. 113-126, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
- Rajmaira, S; Ward, MD, Evolving Foreign Policy Norms: Reciprocity in the Superpower Triad,
International Studies Quarterly, vol. 34 no. 4
(December, 1990),
pp. 457-457, Oxford University Press (OUP) [2600607], [doi] [abs].
- Davis, DR; Ward, MD, They Dance Alone: Deaths and the Disappeared in Contemporary Chile,
Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 34 no. 3
(January, 1990),
pp. 449-475, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Davis, DR; Ward, MD, The Entrepreneurial State: Evidence from Taiwan,
Comparative Political Studies, vol. 23 no. 3
(January, 1990),
pp. 314-333, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Mintz, A; Ward, MD, The political economy of military spending in Israel,
American Political Science Review, vol. 83 no. 2
(January, 1989),
pp. 521-533, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD, Things fall apart: A logical analysis of crisis resolution dynamics,
International Interactions, vol. 15 no. 1
(December, 1988),
pp. 65-79, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
- Mintz, A; Ward, MD, The Evolution of Israel's Military Expenditures: 1960-1983,
Western Political Quarterly, vol. 41 no. 3
(September, 1988),
pp. 489-489, JSTOR [448599], [doi] [abs].
- House, LL; Ward, MD, The behavioral power of nations: an analysis of verbal conflict using the equations of statistical equilibrium,
Quality & Quantity, vol. 22 no. 2
(June, 1988),
pp. 167-189, Springer Nature [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; House, LL, A Theory of the Behavioral Power of Nations,
Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 32 no. 1
(January, 1988),
pp. 3-36, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Park, KY; Ward, MD, A research note on the correlates of war national capability data: Some revised procedures applied to the 1950–1980 era,
International Interactions, vol. 14 no. 3
(January, 1988),
pp. 191-199, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD, PC-Globe,
Social Science Computer Review, vol. 6 no. 1
(January, 1988),
pp. 163-164, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Mintz, A; Ward, MD, The evolution of israel's military expenditures: 1960-1983,
Political Research Quarterly, vol. 41 no. 3
(January, 1988),
pp. 489-507 [doi] .
- Don Ward, M; DonKirby, AM, Reexamining Spatial Models of International Conflicts,
Annals of the Association of American Geographers, vol. 77 no. 2
(June, 1987),
pp. 279-283, Informa UK Limited [doi] .
- Ward, MD; Mintz, A, Dynamics of Military Spending in Israel: A computer simulation,
Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 31 no. 1
(January, 1987),
pp. 86-105, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Kirby, AM; Ward, MD, The spatial analysis of peace and war,
Comparative Political Studies, vol. 20 no. 3
(January, 1987),
pp. 293-313, SAGE Publications [doi] .
- Ward, MD, The Political Economy of Arms Races and International Tension,
Conflict Management and Peace Science, vol. 7 no. 2
(January, 1984),
pp. 1-24, SAGE Publications [doi] .
- Ward, MD, Differential Paths to Parity: A Study of the Contemporary Arms Race,
American Political Science Review, vol. 78 no. 2
(January, 1984),
pp. 297-317, Cambridge University Press (CUP) [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Mahajan, AK, Defense Expenditures, Security Threats, and Governmental Deficits: A case study of india, 1952-1979,
Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 28 no. 3
(January, 1984),
pp. 382-419, SAGE Publications [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Widmaier, U, The Domestic-International Conflict Nexus: New Evidence and Old Hypotheses,
International Interactions, vol. 9 no. 1
(January, 1982),
pp. 75-101, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
- Ward, MD; Guetzkow, H, Toward integrated global models: From economic engineering to social science modeling,
Journal of Policy Modeling, vol. 1 no. 3
(January, 1979),
pp. 445-464, Elsevier BV [doi] [abs].
- Park, TW; Abolfathi, F; Ward, M, Resource nationalism in the foreign policy behavior of oil exporting countries (1947 - 1974),
International Interactions, vol. 2 no. 4
(January, 1976),
pp. 247-262, Informa UK Limited [doi] [abs].
Other
- Ward, MD; Hoff, PD; Lofdahl, CL, Identifying international networks: Latent spaces and imputation, edited by Breiger, R; Carley, K; Pattison, P,
Dynamic Social Network Modeling and Analysis
(January, 2003),
pp. 345-359, NATL ACADEMIES PRESS .
- Wilson, A; Ward, M; Kirby, A; Pinder, R, Re-entry into general practice - The Wessex strategy,
Education for General Practice, vol. 9 no. 1 SUPPL.
(January, 1998),
pp. 135-137 .
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