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Math @ Duke
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Publications [#383824] of Kyle J. Lafata
Papers Published
- Domanski, P; Ray, A; Firouzi, F; Lafata, K; Chakrabarty, K; Pfluger, D, Blood Glucose Prediction for Type-1 Diabetics using Deep Reinforcement Learning,
Proceedings 2023 IEEE International Conference on Digital Health Icdh 2023
(January, 2023),
pp. 339-347 [doi]
(last updated on 2026/01/17)
Abstract: An accurate prediction of blood glucose levels for individuals affected with type-1 diabetes mellitus helps to regulate blood glucose through specific insulin delivery. In our work, we propose the design of a densely-connected encoder-decoder network in conjunction with Long-Short Term Memory networks. We formulate the blood glucose prediction as a deep reinforcement learning problem and evaluate our results on the OhioT1DM dataset. The OhioT1DM dataset contains blood glucose monitoring records in intervals of 5 minutes over 8 weeks for 12 patients affected with type-1 diabetes mellitus. Prior works aim to predict the blood glucose levels in prediction horizons of 30 and 45 minutes, corresponding to 6 and 9 data points, respectively. Compared to prior work with the best prediction accuracy so far with respect to the mean absolute error, we improve by 18.4% and 22.5% in 30-minute and 45-minute prediction horizons, respectively. Furthermore, for risk assessment in our predictions, we visualize the error and evaluate clinical risk through a surveillance error grid approach.
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