Publications [#278426] of Robert L. Winkler
Papers Published
- Murphy, AH; Lichtenstein, S; Fischhoff, B; Winkler, RL. "Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts ( Eugene, Oregon).." 61.7 (December, 1980).
(last updated on 2024/07/23)Abstract:
Previous studies have suggested that the general public misinterprets probability of precipitation (PoP) forecasts. Summarizes a study of 79 residents of Eugene, Oregon who completed a questionnaire designed to investigate their understanding of an attitude toward precipitation probability forecasts. Results indicate that the event in question frequently is misunderstood, with both traditional precipitation forecasts and PoP forecasts experiencing similar levels of event misinterpretation.-from US Govt Reports Announcements, 15, 1980