Publications [#278427] of Robert L. Winkler
Papers Published
- Murphy, AH; Lichtenstein, S; Fischhoff, B; Winkler, RL. "Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts ( Eugene, Oregon).." Bulletin American Meteorological Society 61.7 (January, 1980).
(last updated on 2026/01/17)Abstract:
Summarizes a study of 79 residents of Eugene, Oreg., who completed a questionnaire designed to investigate their understanding of and attitude toward precipitation probability forecasts. Results indicate that the event in question frequently is misunderstood. On the other hand, the probabilities themselves are well understood. The results of this study strongly support the inclusion of probabilities in public forecasts of precipitation occurrence. -after Authors