Publications [#315679] of Robert L. Winkler
Papers Published
- Winkler, RL; Kadane, JB; Dickey, RL; Smith, WS; Peters, SC. "Interactive Elicitation of Opinion for a Normal Linear Model." Journal of the American Statistical Association 75.4 (1980): 845-854. [doi]
(last updated on 2026/01/18)Abstract:
This article describes the mathematical theory underlying an interactive computer program for eliciting the hyperparameters of a subjective conjugate distribution for the multiple linear regression model with the usual normal error structure. Although the methods are heuristic, they are shown to produce hyperparameter estimates satisfying the constraints satisfied by the hyperparameters themselves. An application is given to the problem of predicting the time to fatigue failure of an asphalt-concrete road as a function of several design variables concerning the road. © 1980, Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.