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| Publications of Amy Goldberg :chronological alphabetical combined listing:%% Book Sections/Chapters @misc{fds355710, Author = {Agusto, F and Goldberg, A and Ortega, O and Ponce, J and Zaytseva, S and Sindi, S and Blower, S}, Title = {How Do Interventions Impact Malaria Dynamics Between Neighboring Countries? A Case Study with Botswana and Zimbabwe}, Volume = {22}, Pages = {83-109}, Booktitle = {Association for Women in Mathematics Series}, Year = {2021}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-57129-0_5}, Abstract = {Malaria is a vector-borne disease that is responsible for over 400,000 deaths per year. Although countries around the world have taken measures to decrease the incidence of malaria, many regions remain endemic. Indeed, progress towards elimination has stalled in multiple countries. While control efforts are largely focused at the national level, the movement of individuals between countries may complicate the efficacy of elimination efforts. Here, we consider the case of neighboring countries Botswana and Zimbabwe, connected by human mobility. Both have improved malaria interventions in recent years with differing success. We use a two-patch Ross-MacDonald model with Lagrangian human mobility to examine the coupled disease dynamics between these two countries. In particular, we are interested in the impact that interventions for controlling malaria applied in one country can have on the incidence of malaria in the other country. We find that dynamics and interventions in Zimbabwe can dramatically influence pathways to elimination in Botswana, largely driven by Zimbabwe’s population size and larger basic reproduction number.}, Doi = {10.1007/978-3-030-57129-0_5}, Key = {fds355710} } %% Journal Articles @article{fds369942, Author = {Hamid, I and Korunes, KL and Schrider, DR and Goldberg, A}, Title = {Localizing Post-Admixture Adaptive Variants with Object Detection on Ancestry-Painted Chromosomes.}, Journal = {Molecular biology and evolution}, Volume = {40}, Number = {4}, Pages = {msad074}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Editor = {Rogers, R}, Year = {2023}, Month = {April}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msad074}, Abstract = {Gene flow between previously differentiated populations during the founding of an admixed or hybrid population has the potential to introduce adaptive alleles into the new population. If the adaptive allele is common in one source population, but not the other, then as the adaptive allele rises in frequency in the admixed population, genetic ancestry from the source containing the adaptive allele will increase nearby as well. Patterns of genetic ancestry have therefore been used to identify post-admixture positive selection in humans and other animals, including examples in immunity, metabolism, and animal coloration. A common method identifies regions of the genome that have local ancestry "outliers" compared with the distribution across the rest of the genome, considering each locus independently. However, we lack theoretical models for expected distributions of ancestry under various demographic scenarios, resulting in potential false positives and false negatives. Further, ancestry patterns between distant sites are often not independent. As a result, current methods tend to infer wide genomic regions containing many genes as under selection, limiting biological interpretation. Instead, we develop a deep learning object detection method applied to images generated from local ancestry-painted genomes. This approach preserves information from the surrounding genomic context and avoids potential pitfalls of user-defined summary statistics. We find the method is robust to a variety of demographic misspecifications using simulated data. Applied to human genotype data from Cabo Verde, we localize a known adaptive locus to a single narrow region compared with multiple or long windows obtained using two other ancestry-based methods.}, Doi = {10.1093/molbev/msad074}, Key = {fds369942} } @article{fds364954, Author = {Korunes, KL and Soares-Souza, GB and Bobrek, K and Tang, H and Araújo, II and Goldberg, A and Beleza, S}, Title = {Sex-biased admixture and assortative mating shape genetic variation and influence demographic inference in admixed Cabo Verdeans.}, Journal = {G3 (Bethesda, Md.)}, Volume = {12}, Number = {10}, Pages = {jkac183}, Year = {2022}, Month = {September}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/g3journal/jkac183}, Abstract = {Genetic data can provide insights into population history, but first, we must understand the patterns that complex histories leave in genomes. Here, we consider the admixed human population of Cabo Verde to understand the patterns of genetic variation left by social and demographic processes. First settled in the late 1400s, Cabo Verdeans are admixed descendants of Portuguese colonizers and enslaved West African people. We consider Cabo Verde's well-studied historical record alongside genome-wide SNP data from 563 individuals from 4 regions within the archipelago. We use genetic ancestry to test for patterns of nonrandom mating and sex-specific gene flow, and we examine the consequences of these processes for common demographic inference methods and genetic patterns. Notably, multiple population genetic tools that assume random mating underestimate the timing of admixture, but incorporating nonrandom mating produces estimates more consistent with historical records. We consider how admixture interrupts common summaries of genomic variation such as runs of homozygosity. While summaries of runs of homozygosity may be difficult to interpret in admixed populations, differentiating runs of homozygosity by length class shows that runs of homozygosity reflect historical differences between the islands in their contributions from the source populations and postadmixture population dynamics. Finally, we find higher African ancestry on the X chromosome than on the autosomes, consistent with an excess of European males and African females contributing to the gene pool. Considering these genomic insights into population history in the context of Cabo Verde's historical record, we can identify how assumptions in genetic models impact inference of population history more broadly.}, Doi = {10.1093/g3journal/jkac183}, Key = {fds364954} } @article{fds362923, Author = {Gopalan, S and Smith, SP and Korunes, K and Hamid, I and Ramachandran, S and Goldberg, A}, Title = {Human genetic admixture through the lens of population genomics.}, Journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences}, Volume = {377}, Number = {1852}, Pages = {20200410}, Year = {2022}, Month = {June}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2020.0410}, Abstract = {Over the past 50 years, geneticists have made great strides in understanding how our species' evolutionary history gave rise to current patterns of human genetic diversity classically summarized by Lewontin in his 1972 paper, 'The Apportionment of Human Diversity'. One evolutionary process that requires special attention in both population genetics and statistical genetics is admixture: gene flow between two or more previously separated source populations to form a new admixed population. The admixture process introduces ancestry-based structure into patterns of genetic variation within and between populations, which in turn influences the inference of demographic histories, identification of genetic targets of selection and prediction of complex traits. In this review, we outline some challenges for admixture population genetics, including limitations of applying methods designed for populations without recent admixture to the study of admixed populations. We highlight recent studies and methodological advances that aim to overcome such challenges, leveraging genomic signatures of admixture that occurred in the past tens of generations to gain insights into human history, natural selection and complex trait architecture. This article is part of the theme issue 'Celebrating 50 years since Lewontin's apportionment of human diversity'.}, Doi = {10.1098/rstb.2020.0410}, Key = {fds362923} } @article{fds361870, Author = {Voinson, M and Nunn, CL and Goldberg, A}, Title = {Primate malarias as a model for cross-species parasite transmission.}, Journal = {eLife}, Volume = {11}, Pages = {e69628}, Year = {2022}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/elife.69628}, Abstract = {Parasites regularly switch into new host species, representing a disease burden and conservation risk to the hosts. The distribution of these parasites also gives insight into characteristics of ecological networks and genetic mechanisms of host-parasite interactions. Some parasites are shared across many species, whereas others tend to be restricted to hosts from a single species. Understanding the mechanisms producing this distribution of host specificity can enable more effective interventions and potentially identify genetic targets for vaccines or therapies. As ecological connections between human and local animal populations increase, the risk to human and wildlife health from novel parasites also increases. Which of these parasites will fizzle out and which have the potential to become widespread in humans? We consider the case of primate malarias, caused by <i>Plasmodium</i> parasites, to investigate the interacting ecological and evolutionary mechanisms that put human and nonhuman primates at risk for infection. <i>Plasmodium</i> host switching from nonhuman primates to humans led to ancient introductions of the most common malaria-causing agents in humans today, and new parasite switching is a growing threat, especially in Asia and South America. Based on a wild host-<i>Plasmodium</i> occurrence database, we highlight geographic areas of concern and potential areas to target further sampling. We also discuss methodological developments that will facilitate clinical and field-based interventions to improve human and wildlife health based on this eco-evolutionary perspective.}, Doi = {10.7554/elife.69628}, Key = {fds361870} } @article{fds359963, Author = {Ai, H and Zhang, M and Yang, B and Goldberg, A and Li, W and Ma, J and Brandt, D and Zhang, Z and Nielsen, R and Huang, L}, Title = {Human-Mediated Admixture and Selection Shape the Diversity on the Modern Swine (Sus scrofa) Y Chromosomes.}, Journal = {Molecular biology and evolution}, Volume = {38}, Number = {11}, Pages = {5051-5065}, Year = {2021}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msab230}, Abstract = {Throughout its distribution across Eurasia, domestic pig (Sus scrofa) populations have acquired differences through natural and artificial selection, and have often interbred. We resequenced 80 Eurasian pigs from nine different Asian and European breeds; we identify 42,288 reliable SNPs on the Y chromosome in a panel of 103 males, among which 96.1% are newly detected. Based on these new data, we elucidate the evolutionary history of pigs through the lens of the Y chromosome. We identify two highly divergent haplogroups: one present only in Asia and one fixed in Europe but present in some Asian populations. Analyzing the European haplotypes present in Asian populations, we find evidence of three independent waves of introgression from Europe to Asia in last 200 years, agreeing well with the literature and historical records. The diverse European lineages were brought in China by humans and left significant imprints not only on the autosomes but also on the Y chromosome of geographically and genetically distinct Chinese pig breeds. We also find a general excess of European ancestry on Y chromosomes relative to autosomes in Chinese pigs, an observation that cannot be explained solely by sex-biased migration and genetic drift. The European Y haplotype is associated with leaner meat production, and we hypothesize that the European Y chromosome increased in frequency in Chinese populations due to artificial selection. We find evidence of Y chromosomal gene flow between Sumatran wild boar and Chinese pigs. Our results demonstrate how human-mediated admixture and selection shaped the distribution of modern swine Y chromosomes.}, Doi = {10.1093/molbev/msab230}, Key = {fds359963} } @article{fds355709, Author = {Kim, J and Edge, MD and Goldberg, A and Rosenberg, NA}, Title = {Skin deep: The decoupling of genetic admixture levels from phenotypes that differed between source populations.}, Journal = {American journal of physical anthropology}, Volume = {175}, Number = {2}, Pages = {406-421}, Year = {2021}, Month = {June}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ajpa.24261}, Abstract = {<h4>Objectives</h4>In genetic admixture processes, source groups for an admixed population possess distinct patterns of genotype and phenotype at the onset of admixture. Particularly in the context of recent and ongoing admixture, such differences are sometimes taken to serve as markers of ancestry for individuals-that is, phenotypes initially associated with the ancestral background in one source population are assumed to continue to reflect ancestry in that population. Such phenotypes might possess ongoing significance in social categorizations of individuals, owing in part to perceived continuing correlations with ancestry. However, genotypes or phenotypes initially associated with ancestry in one specific source population have been seen to decouple from overall admixture levels, so that they no longer serve as proxies for genetic ancestry. Here, we aim to develop an understanding of the joint dynamics of admixture levels and phenotype distributions in an admixed population.<h4>Methods</h4>We devise a mechanistic model, consisting of an admixture model, a quantitative trait model, and a mating model. We analyze the behavior of the mechanistic model in relation to the model parameters.<h4>Results</h4>We find that it is possible for the decoupling of genetic ancestry and phenotype to proceed quickly, and that it occurs faster if the phenotype is driven by fewer loci. Positive assortative mating attenuates the process of dissociation relative to a scenario in which mating is random with respect to genetic admixture and with respect to phenotype.<h4>Conclusions</h4>The mechanistic framework suggests that in an admixed population, a trait that initially differed between source populations might serve as a reliable proxy for ancestry for only a short time, especially if the trait is determined by few loci. It follows that a social categorization based on such a trait is increasingly uninformative about genetic ancestry and about other traits that differed between source populations at the onset of admixture.}, Doi = {10.1002/ajpa.24261}, Key = {fds355709} } @article{fds366028, Author = {Voinson, M and Nunn, C and Goldberg, A}, Title = {Primate malarias as a model for cross-species parasite transmission}, Year = {2021}, Month = {April}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.32942/osf.io/zk2dq}, Abstract = {<p>Parasites regularly switch into new host species, representing a disease burden and conservation risk to the hosts. The distribution of these parasites also gives insight into characteristics of ecological networks and genetic mechanisms of host-parasite interactions. Some parasites are shared across many species, whereas others tend to be restricted to hosts from a single species. Understanding the mechanisms producing this distribution of host specificity can enable more effective interventions and potentially identify genetic targets for vaccines or therapies. With increasing ecological connections to local animal populations, the risk to human health is increasing. Which of these parasites will fizzle out and which have potential to become widespread in humans? We consider the case of primate malarias, caused by Plasmodium parasites, to understand the interacting ecological and evolutionary mechanisms that put humans at risk for disease. Plasmodium host switching from primates to humans led to ancient introductions of the most common malaria-causing agents in humans today, and new parasite switching is a growing threat, especially in Asia and South America. Based on a wild host-Plasmodium occurrence database, we highlight geographic areas of concern and potential areas to target further sampling. Finally, we discuss methodological developments that will facilitate clinical and field-based interventions to improve human health based on this eco-evolutionary perspective.</p>}, Doi = {10.32942/osf.io/zk2dq}, Key = {fds366028} } @article{fds355550, Author = {Korunes, KL and Goldberg, A}, Title = {Human genetic admixture.}, Journal = {PLoS genetics}, Volume = {17}, Number = {3}, Pages = {e1009374}, Year = {2021}, Month = {March}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgen.1009374}, Abstract = {Throughout human history, large-scale migrations have facilitated the formation of populations with ancestry from multiple previously separated populations. This process leads to subsequent shuffling of genetic ancestry through recombination, producing variation in ancestry between populations, among individuals in a population, and along the genome within an individual. Recent methodological and empirical developments have elucidated the genomic signatures of this admixture process, bringing previously understudied admixed populations to the forefront of population and medical genetics. Under this theme, we present a collection of recent PLOS Genetics publications that exemplify recent progress in human genetic admixture studies, and we discuss potential areas for future work.}, Doi = {10.1371/journal.pgen.1009374}, Key = {fds355550} } @article{fds354581, Author = {Hamid, I and Korunes, KL and Beleza, S and Goldberg, A}, Title = {Rapid adaptation to malaria facilitated by admixture in the human population of Cabo Verde.}, Journal = {eLife}, Volume = {10}, Pages = {e63177}, Year = {2021}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/elife.63177}, Abstract = {Humans have undergone large migrations over the past hundreds to thousands of years, exposing ourselves to new environments and selective pressures. Yet, evidence of ongoing or recent selection in humans is difficult to detect. Many of these migrations also resulted in gene flow between previously separated populations. These recently admixed populations provide unique opportunities to study rapid evolution in humans. Developing methods based on distributions of local ancestry, we demonstrate that this sort of genetic exchange has facilitated detectable adaptation to a malaria parasite in the admixed population of Cabo Verde within the last ~20 generations. We estimate that the selection coefficient is approximately 0.08, one of the highest inferred in humans. Notably, we show that this strong selection at a single locus has likely affected patterns of ancestry genome-wide, potentially biasing demographic inference. Our study provides evidence of adaptation in a human population on historical timescales.}, Doi = {10.7554/elife.63177}, Key = {fds354581} } @article{fds349408, Author = {Goldberg, A and Rastogi, A and Rosenberg, NA}, Title = {Assortative mating by population of origin in a mechanistic model of admixture.}, Journal = {Theoretical population biology}, Volume = {134}, Pages = {129-146}, Year = {2020}, Month = {August}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tpb.2020.02.004}, Abstract = {Populations whose mating pairs have levels of similarity in phenotypes or genotypes that differ systematically from the level expected under random mating are described as experiencing assortative mating. Excess similarity in mating pairs is termed positive assortative mating, and excess dissimilarity is negative assortative mating. In humans, empirical studies suggest that mating pairs from various admixed populations - whose ancestry derives from two or more source populations - possess correlated ancestry components that indicate the occurrence of positive assortative mating on the basis of ancestry. Generalizing a two-sex mechanistic admixture model, we devise a model of one form of ancestry-assortative mating that occurs through preferential mating based on source population. Under the model, we study the moments of the admixture fraction distribution for different assumptions about mating preferences, including both positive and negative assortative mating by population. We demonstrate that whereas the mean admixture under assortative mating is equivalent to that of a corresponding randomly mating population, the variance of admixture depends on the level and direction of assortative mating. We consider two special cases of assortative mating by population: first, a single admixture event, and second, constant contributions to the admixed population over time. In contrast to standard settings in which positive assortment increases variation within a population, certain assortative mating scenarios allow the variance of admixture to decrease relative to a corresponding randomly mating population: with the three populations we consider, the variance-increasing effect of positive assortative mating within a population might be overwhelmed by a variance-decreasing effect emerging from mating preferences involving other pairs of populations. The effect of assortative mating is smaller on the X chromosome than on the autosomes because inheritance of the X in males depends only on the mother's ancestry, not on the mating pair. Because the variance of admixture is informative about the timing of admixture and possibly about sex-biased admixture contributions, the effects of assortative mating are important to consider in inferring features of population history from distributions of admixture values. Our model provides a framework to quantitatively study assortative mating under flexible scenarios of admixture over time.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.tpb.2020.02.004}, Key = {fds349408} } @article{fds349643, Author = {Kemp, ME and Mychajliw, AM and Wadman, J and Goldberg, A}, Title = {7000 years of turnover: historical contingency and human niche construction shape the Caribbean's Anthropocene biota.}, Journal = {Proceedings. Biological sciences}, Volume = {287}, Number = {1927}, Pages = {20200447}, Year = {2020}, Month = {May}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2020.0447}, Abstract = {The human-mediated movement of species across biogeographic boundaries-whether intentional or accidental-is dramatically reshaping the modern world. Yet humans have been reshaping ecosystems and translocating species for millennia, and acknowledging the deeper roots of these phenomena is important for contextualizing present-day biodiversity loss, ecosystem functioning and management needs. Here, we present the first database of terrestrial vertebrate species introductions spanning the entire anthropogenic history of a system: the Caribbean. We employ this approximately 7000-year dataset to assess the roles of historical contingency and priority effects in shaping present-day community structure and conservation outcomes, finding that serial human colonization events contributed to habitat modifications and species extinctions that shaped the trajectories of subsequent species introductions by other human groups. We contextualized spatial and temporal patterns of species introductions within cultural practices and population histories of Indigenous, colonial and modern human societies, and show that the taxonomic and biogeographic diversity of introduced species reflects diversifying reasons for species introductions through time. Recognition of the complex social and economic structures across the 7000-year human history of the Caribbean provides the necessary context for interpreting the formation of an Anthropocene biota.}, Doi = {10.1098/rspb.2020.0447}, Key = {fds349643} } @article{fds354167, Author = {Hamid, I and Korunes, K and Beleza, S and Goldberg, A}, Title = {Rapid adaptation to malaria facilitated by admixture in the human population of Cabo Verde}, Year = {2020}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.01.278226}, Abstract = {Humans have undergone large migrations over the past hundreds to thousands of years, exposing ourselves to new environments and selective pressures. Yet, evidence of ongoing or recent selection in humans is difficult to detect. Many of these migrations also resulted in gene flow between previously separated populations. These recently admixed populations provide unique opportunities to study rapid evolution in humans. Developing methods based on distributions of local ancestry, we demonstrate that this sort of genetic exchange has facilitated detectable adaptation to a malaria parasite in the admixed population of Cabo Verde within the last ∼20 generations. We estimate the selection coefficient is approximately 0.08, one of the highest inferred in humans. Notably, we show that this strong selection at a single locus has likely affected patterns of ancestry genome-wide, potentially biasing demographic inference. Our study provides evidence of adaptation in a human population on historical timescales.}, Doi = {10.1101/2020.09.01.278226}, Key = {fds354167} } @article{fds366029, Author = {Korunes, K and Soares-Souza, GB and Bobrek, K and Tang, H and Araújo, II and Goldberg, A and Beleza, S}, Title = {Sex-biased admixture and assortative mating shape genetic variation and influence demographic inference in admixed Cabo Verdeans}, Year = {2020}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.14.422766}, Abstract = {Genetic data can provide insights into population history, but first we must understand the patterns that complex histories leave in genomes. Here, we consider the admixed human population of Cabo Verde to understand the patterns of genetic variation left by social and demographic processes. First settled in the late 1400s, Cabo Verdeans are admixed descendants of Portuguese colonizers and enslaved West African people. We consider Cabo Verde’s well-studied historical record alongside genome-wide SNP data from 563 individuals from 4 regions within the archipelago. We use genetic ancestry to test for patterns of nonrandom mating and sex-specific gene flow, and we examine the consequences of these processes for common demographic inference methods and for genetic patterns. Notably, multiple population genetic tools that assume random mating underestimate the timing of admixture, but incorporating non-random mating produces estimates more consistent with historical records. We consider how admixture interrupts common summaries of genomic variation such as runs-of-homozygosity (ROH). While summaries of ROH may be difficult to interpret in admixed populations, differentiating ROH by length class shows that ROH reflect historical differences between the islands in their contributions from the source populations and post-admixture population dynamics. Finally, we find higher African ancestry on the X chromosome than on the autosomes, consistent with an excess of European males and African females contributing to the gene pool. Considering these genomic insights into population history in the context of Cabo Verde’s historical record, we can identify how assumptions in genetic models impact inference of population history more broadly.}, Doi = {10.1101/2020.12.14.422766}, Key = {fds366029} } @article{fds366768, Author = {Alcala, N and Goldberg, A and Ramakrishnan, U and Rosenberg, NA}, Title = {Coalescent Theory of Migration Network Motifs.}, Journal = {Molecular biology and evolution}, Volume = {36}, Number = {10}, Pages = {2358-2374}, Year = {2019}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msz136}, Abstract = {Natural populations display a variety of spatial arrangements, each potentially with a distinctive impact on genetic diversity and genetic differentiation among subpopulations. Although the spatial arrangement of populations can lead to intricate migration networks, theoretical developments have focused mainly on a small subset of such networks, emphasizing the island-migration and stepping-stone models. In this study, we investigate all small network motifs: the set of all possible migration networks among populations subdivided into at most four subpopulations. For each motif, we use coalescent theory to derive expectations for three quantities that describe genetic variation: nucleotide diversity, FST, and half-time to equilibrium diversity. We describe the impact of network properties on these quantities, finding that motifs with a high mean node degree have the largest nucleotide diversity and the longest time to equilibrium, whereas motifs with low density have the largest FST. In addition, we show that the motifs whose pattern of variation is most strongly influenced by loss of a connection or a subpopulation are those that can be split easily into disconnected components. We illustrate our results using two example data sets-sky island birds of genus Sholicola and Indian tigers-identifying disturbance scenarios that produce the greatest reduction in genetic diversity; for tigers, we also compare the benefits of two assisted gene flow scenarios. Our results have consequences for understanding the effect of geography on genetic diversity, and they can assist in designing strategies to alter population migration networks toward maximizing genetic variation in the context of conservation of endangered species.}, Doi = {10.1093/molbev/msz136}, Key = {fds366768} } @article{fds346384, Author = {Kim, J and Edge, M and Goldberg, A and Rosenberg, N}, Title = {Assortative mating and the dynamical decoupling of genetic admixture levels from phenotypes that differ between source populations}, Year = {2019}, Month = {September}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/773663}, Abstract = {Abstract Source populations for an admixed population can possess distinct patterns of genotype and pheno-type at the beginning of the admixture process. Such differences are sometimes taken to serve as markers of ancestry—that is, phenotypes that are initially associated with the ancestral background in one source population are taken to reflect ancestry in that population. Examples exist, however, in which genotypes or phenotypes initially associated with ancestry in one source population have decoupled from overall admixture levels, so that they no longer serve as proxies for genetic ancestry. We develop a mechanistic model for describing the joint dynamics of admixture levels and phenotype distributions in an admixed population. The approach includes a quantitative-genetic model that relates a phenotype to underlying loci that affect its trait value. We consider three forms of mating. First, individuals might assort in a manner that is independent of the overall genetic admixture level. Second, individuals might assort by a quantitative phenotype that is initially correlated with the genetic admixture level. Third, individuals might assort by the genetic admixture level itself. Under the model, we explore the relationship between genetic admixture level and phenotype over time, studying the effect on this relationship of the genetic architecture of the phenotype. We find that the decoupling of genetic ancestry and phenotype can occur surprisingly quickly, especially if the phenotype is driven by a small number of loci. We also find that positive assortative mating attenuates the process of dissociation in relation to a scenario in which mating is random with respect to genetic admixture and with respect to phenotype. The mechanistic framework suggests that in an admixed population, a trait that initially differed between source populations might be a reliable proxy for ancestry for only a short time, especially if the trait is determined by relatively few loci. The results are potentially relevant in admixed human populations, in which phenotypes that have a perceived correlation with ancestry might have social significance as ancestry markers, despite declining correlations with ancestry over time. Author Summary Admixed populations are populations that descend from two or more populations that had been separated for a long time at the beginning of the admixture process. The source populations typically possess distinct patterns of genotype and phenotype. Hence, early in the admixture process, phenotypes of admixed individuals can provide information about the extent to which these individuals possess ancestry in a specific source population. To study correlations between admixture levels and phenotypes that differ between source populations, we construct a genetic and phenotypic model of the dynamical process of admixture. Under the model, we show that correlations between admixture levels and these phenotypes dissipate over time—especially if the genetic architecture of the phenotypes involves only a small number of loci, or if mating in the admixed population is random with respect to both the admixture levels and the phenotypes. The result has the implication that a trait that once reflected ancestry in a specific source population might lose this ancestry correlation. As a consequence, in human populations, after a sufficient length of time, salient phenotypes that can have social meaning as ancestry markers might no longer bear any relationship to genome-wide genetic ancestry.}, Doi = {10.1101/773663}, Key = {fds346384} } @article{fds345875, Author = {Goldberg, A and Rastogi, A and Rosenberg, N}, Title = {Assortative mating by population of origin in a mechanistic model of admixture}, Year = {2019}, Month = {August}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/743476}, Abstract = {Abstract Populations whose mating pairs have levels of similarity in phenotypes or genotypes that differ systematically from the level expected under random mating are described as experiencing assortative mating. Excess similarity in mating pairs is termed positive assortative mating, and excess dissimilarity is negative assortative mating. In humans, empirical studies suggest that mating pairs from various admixed populations—whose ancestry derives from two or more source populations—possess correlated ancestry components that indicate the occurrence of positive assortative mating on the basis of ancestry. Generalizing a two-sex mechanistic admixture model, we devise a model of one form of ancestry-assortative mating that occurs through preferential mating based on source population. Under the model, we study the moments of the admixture fraction distribution for different assumptions about mating preferences, including both positive and negative assortative mating by population. We consider the special cases of assortative mating by population that involve a single admixture event and that consider a model of constant contributions to the admixed population over time. We demonstrate that whereas the mean admixture under assortative mating is equivalent to that of a corresponding randomly mating population, the variance of admixture depends on the level and direction of assortative mating. In contrast to standard settings in which positive assortment increases variation within a population, certain assortative mating scenarios allow the variance of admixture to decrease relative to a corresponding randomly mating population: with the three populations we consider, the variance-increasing effect of positive assortative mating within a population might be overwhelmed by a variance-decreasing effect emerging from mating preferences involving other pairs of populations. The effect of assortative mating is smaller on the X chromosome than the autosomes because inheritance of the X in males depends only on the mother’s ancestry, not on the mating pair. Because the variance of admixture is informative about the timing of admixture and possibly about sex-biased admixture contributions, the effects of assortative mating are important to consider in inferring features of population history from distributions of admixture values. Our model provides a framework to quantitatively study assortative mating under flexible scenarios of admixture over time.}, Doi = {10.1101/743476}, Key = {fds345875} } @article{fds354168, Author = {Agusto, F and Goldberg, A and Ortega, O and Ponce, J and Zaytseva, S and Sindi, S and Blower, S}, Title = {How do interventions impact malaria dynamics between neighboring countries? A case study with Botswana and Zimbabwe}, Year = {2019}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/19013631}, Abstract = {Malaria is a vector-borne disease that is responsible for over 400,000 deaths per year. Although countries around the world have taken measures to decrease the incidence of malaria, many regions remain endemic. Indeed, progress towards elimination has stalled in multiple countries. While control efforts are largely focused at the national level, the movement of individuals between countries may complicate the efficacy of elimination efforts. Here, we consider the case of neighboring countries Botswana and Zimbabwe, connected by human mobility. Both have improved malaria rates in recent years with differing success. We use a two-patch Ross-MacDonald Model with Lagrangian human mobility to examine the coupled disease dynamics between these two countries. In particular, we are interested in the impact that interventions for controlling malaria applied in one country can have on the incidence of malaria in the other country. We find that dynamics and interventions in Zimbabwe can dramatically influence pathways to elimination in Botswana, largely driven by Zimbabwe’s population size and larger basic reproduction number.}, Doi = {10.1101/19013631}, Key = {fds354168} } @article{fds354020, Author = {Damgaard, PDB and Marchi, N and Rasmussen, S and Peyrot, M and Renaud, G and Korneliussen, T and Moreno-Mayar, JV and Pedersen, MW and Goldberg, A and Usmanova, E and Baimukhanov, N and Loman, V and Hedeager, L and Pedersen, AG and Nielsen, K and Afanasiev, G and Akmatov, K and Aldashev, A and Alpaslan, A and Baimbetov, G and Bazaliiskii, VI and Beisenov, A and Boldbaatar, B and Boldgiv, B and Dorzhu, C and Ellingvag, S and Erdenebaatar, D and Dajani, R and Dmitriev, E and Evdokimov, V and Frei, KM and Gromov, A and Goryachev, A and Hakonarson, H and Hegay, T and Khachatryan, Z and Khaskhanov, R and Kitov, E and Kolbina, A and Kubatbek, T and Kukushkin, A and Kukushkin, I and Lau, N and Margaryan, A and Merkyte, I and Mertz, IV and Mertz, VK and Mijiddorj, E and Moiyesev, V and Mukhtarova, G and Nurmukhanbetov, B and Orozbekova, Z and Panyushkina, I and Pieta, K and Smrčka, V and Shevnina, I and Logvin, A and Sjögren, K-G and Štolcová, T and Taravella, AM and Tashbaeva, K and Tkachev, A and Tulegenov, T and Voyakin, D and Yepiskoposyan, L and Undrakhbold, S and Varfolomeev, V and Weber, A and Wilson Sayres and MA and Kradin, N and Allentoft, ME and Orlando, L and Nielsen, R and Sikora, M and Heyer, E and Kristiansen, K and Willerslev, E}, Title = {137 ancient human genomes from across the Eurasian steppes.}, Journal = {Nature}, Volume = {557}, Number = {7705}, Pages = {369-374}, Year = {2018}, Month = {May}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0094-2}, Abstract = {For thousands of years the Eurasian steppes have been a centre of human migrations and cultural change. Here we sequence the genomes of 137 ancient humans (about 1× average coverage), covering a period of 4,000 years, to understand the population history of the Eurasian steppes after the Bronze Age migrations. We find that the genetics of the Scythian groups that dominated the Eurasian steppes throughout the Iron Age were highly structured, with diverse origins comprising Late Bronze Age herders, European farmers and southern Siberian hunter-gatherers. Later, Scythians admixed with the eastern steppe nomads who formed the Xiongnu confederations, and moved westward in about the second or third century BC, forming the Hun traditions in the fourth-fifth century AD, and carrying with them plague that was basal to the Justinian plague. These nomads were further admixed with East Asian groups during several short-term khanates in the Medieval period. These historical events transformed the Eurasian steppes from being inhabited by Indo-European speakers of largely West Eurasian ancestry to the mostly Turkic-speaking groups of the present day, who are primarily of East Asian ancestry.}, Doi = {10.1038/s41586-018-0094-2}, Key = {fds354020} } @article{fds336364, Author = {Goldberg, A and Günther, T and Rosenberg, NA and Jakobsson, M}, Title = {Reply to Lazaridis and Reich: Robust model-based inference of male-biased admixture during Bronze Age migration from the Pontic-Caspian Steppe.}, Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, Volume = {114}, Number = {20}, Pages = {E3875-E3877}, Year = {2017}, Month = {May}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1704442114}, Doi = {10.1073/pnas.1704442114}, Key = {fds336364} } @article{fds336365, Author = {Goldberg, A and Günther, T and Rosenberg, NA and Jakobsson, M}, Title = {Ancient X chromosomes reveal contrasting sex bias in Neolithic and Bronze Age Eurasian migrations.}, Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, Volume = {114}, Number = {10}, Pages = {2657-2662}, Year = {2017}, Month = {March}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1616392114}, Abstract = {Dramatic events in human prehistory, such as the spread of agriculture to Europe from Anatolia and the late Neolithic/Bronze Age migration from the Pontic-Caspian Steppe, can be investigated using patterns of genetic variation among the people who lived in those times. In particular, studies of differing female and male demographic histories on the basis of ancient genomes can provide information about complexities of social structures and cultural interactions in prehistoric populations. We use a mechanistic admixture model to compare the sex-specifically-inherited X chromosome with the autosomes in 20 early Neolithic and 16 late Neolithic/Bronze Age human remains. Contrary to previous hypotheses suggested by the patrilocality of many agricultural populations, we find no evidence of sex-biased admixture during the migration that spread farming across Europe during the early Neolithic. For later migrations from the Pontic Steppe during the late Neolithic/Bronze Age, however, we estimate a dramatic male bias, with approximately five to 14 migrating males for every migrating female. We find evidence of ongoing, primarily male, migration from the steppe to central Europe over a period of multiple generations, with a level of sex bias that excludes a pulse migration during a single generation. The contrasting patterns of sex-specific migration during these two migrations suggest a view of differing cultural histories in which the Neolithic transition was driven by mass migration of both males and females in roughly equal numbers, perhaps whole families, whereas the later Bronze Age migration and cultural shift were instead driven by male migration, potentially connected to new technology and conquest.}, Doi = {10.1073/pnas.1616392114}, Key = {fds336365} } @article{fds354021, Author = {Algee-Hewitt, BFB and Goldberg, A}, Title = {Better together: Thinking anthropologically about genetics.}, Journal = {American journal of physical anthropology}, Volume = {160}, Number = {4}, Pages = {557-560}, Year = {2016}, Month = {August}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ajpa.23022}, Abstract = {What are the effects that genetics has had on Anthropological research and how can we think anthropologically about Genetics? Just as genetic data have encouraged new hypotheses about human phenotypic variation, evolutionary history, population interaction, and environmental effects, so too has Anthropology offered to genetic studies a new interpretive locus in its history and perspective. This introduction examines how the fields of Anthropology and Genetics have arrived at a crucial moment at which their interaction requires careful examination and critical reflection. The papers discussed here exemplify how we may engage in such a trans-disciplinary conversation. They speak to the future of thoughtful interaction between genetic and anthropological literature and seek a new integration that embodies the holism of the human biological sciences.}, Doi = {10.1002/ajpa.23022}, Key = {fds354021} } @article{fds340695, Author = {Goldberg, A and Mychajliw, AM and Hadly, EA}, Title = {Post-invasion demography of prehistoric humans in South America.}, Journal = {Nature}, Volume = {532}, Number = {7598}, Pages = {232-235}, Publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC}, Year = {2016}, Month = {April}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature17176}, Abstract = {As the last habitable continent colonized by humans, the site of multiple domestication hotspots, and the location of the largest Pleistocene megafaunal extinction, South America is central to human prehistory. Yet remarkably little is known about human population dynamics during colonization, subsequent expansions, and domestication. Here we reconstruct the spatiotemporal patterns of human population growth in South America using a newly aggregated database of 1,147 archaeological sites and 5,464 calibrated radiocarbon dates spanning fourteen thousand to two thousand years ago (ka). We demonstrate that, rather than a steady exponential expansion, the demographic history of South Americans is characterized by two distinct phases. First, humans spread rapidly throughout the continent, but remained at low population sizes for 8,000 years, including a 4,000-year period of 'boom-and-bust' oscillations with no net growth. Supplementation of hunting with domesticated crops and animals had a minimal impact on population carrying capacity. Only with widespread sedentism, beginning ~5 ka, did a second demographic phase begin, with evidence for exponential population growth in cultural hotspots, characteristic of the Neolithic transition worldwide. The unique extent of humanity's ability to modify its environment to markedly increase carrying capacity in South America is therefore an unexpectedly recent phenomenon.}, Doi = {10.1038/nature17176}, Key = {fds340695} } @article{fds354022, Author = {Kang, JTL and Goldberg, A and Edge, MD and Behar, DM and Rosenberg, NA}, Title = {Consanguinity Rates Predict Long Runs of Homozygosity in Jewish Populations.}, Journal = {Human heredity}, Volume = {82}, Number = {3-4}, Pages = {87-102}, Year = {2016}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1159/000478897}, Abstract = {<h4>Objectives</h4>Recent studies have highlighted the potential of analyses of genomic sharing to produce insight into the demographic processes affecting human populations. We study runs of homozygosity (ROH) in 18 Jewish populations, examining these groups in relation to 123 non-Jewish populations sampled worldwide.<h4>Methods</h4>By sorting ROH into 3 length classes (short, intermediate, and long), we evaluate the impact of demographic processes on genomic patterns in Jewish populations.<h4>Results</h4>We find that the portion of the genome appearing in long ROH - the length class most directly related to recent consanguinity - closely accords with data gathered from interviews during the 1950s on frequencies of consanguineous unions in various Jewish groups.<h4>Conclusion</h4>The high correlation between 1950s consanguinity levels and coverage by long ROH explains differences across populations in ROH patterns. The dissection of ROH into length classes and the comparison to consanguinity data assist in understanding a number of additional phenomena, including similarities of Jewish populations to Middle Eastern, European, and Central and South Asian non-Jewish populations in short ROH patterns, relative lengths of identity-by-descent tracts in different Jewish groups, and the "population isolate" status of the Ashkenazi Jews.}, Doi = {10.1159/000478897}, Key = {fds354022} } @article{fds354023, Author = {Goldberg, A and Rosenberg, NA}, Title = {Beyond 2/3 and 1/3: The Complex Signatures of Sex-Biased Admixture on the X Chromosome.}, Journal = {Genetics}, Volume = {201}, Number = {1}, Pages = {263-279}, Year = {2015}, Month = {September}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1534/genetics.115.178509}, Abstract = {Sex-biased demography, in which parameters governing migration and population size differ between females and males, has been studied through comparisons of X chromosomes, which are inherited sex-specifically, and autosomes, which are not. A common form of sex bias in humans is sex-biased admixture, in which at least one of the source populations differs in its proportions of females and males contributing to an admixed population. Studies of sex-biased admixture often examine the mean ancestry for markers on the X chromosome in relation to the autosomes. A simple framework noting that in a population with equally many females and males, two-thirds of X chromosomes appear in females, suggests that the mean X-chromosomal admixture fraction is a linear combination of female and male admixture parameters, with coefficients 2/3 and 1/3, respectively. Extending a mechanistic admixture model to accommodate the X chromosome, we demonstrate that this prediction is not generally true in admixture models, although it holds in the limit for an admixture process occurring as a single event. For a model with constant ongoing admixture, we determine the mean X-chromosomal admixture, comparing admixture on female and male X chromosomes to corresponding autosomal values. Surprisingly, in reanalyzing African-American genetic data to estimate sex-specific contributions from African and European sources, we find that the range of contributions compatible with the excess African ancestry on the X chromosome compared to autosomes has a wide spread, permitting scenarios either without male-biased contributions from Europe or without female-biased contributions from Africa.}, Doi = {10.1534/genetics.115.178509}, Key = {fds354023} } @article{fds336366, Author = {Goldberg, A and Rosenberg, N}, Title = {Beyond 2/3 and 1/3: the complex signatures of sex-biased admixture on the X chromosome}, Year = {2015}, Month = {March}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/016543}, Abstract = {Sex-biased demography, in which parameters governing migration and population size differ between females and males, has been studied through comparisons of X chromosomes, which are inherited sex-specifically, and autosomes, which are not. A common form of sex bias in humans is sex-biased admixture, in which at least one of the source populations differs in its proportions of females and males contributing to an admixed population. Studies of sex-biased admixture often examine the mean ancestry for markers on the X chromosome in relation to the autosomes. A simple framework noting that in a population with equally many females and males, 2/3 of X chromosomes appear in females, suggests that the mean X-chromosomal admixture fraction is a linear combination of female and male admixture parameters, with coefficients 2/3 and 1/3, respectively. Extending a mechanistic admixture model to accommodate the X chromosome, we demonstrate that this prediction is not generally true in admixture models, though it holds in the limit for an admixture process occurring as a single event. For a model with constant ongoing admixture, we determine the mean X-chromosomal admixture, comparing admixture on female and male X chromosomes to corresponding autosomal values. Surprisingly, in reanalyzing African-American genetic data to estimate sex-specific contributions from African and European sources, we find that the range of contributions compatible with the excess African ancestry on the X chromosome compared to autosomes has a wide spread, permitting scenarios either without male-biased contributions from Europe or without female-biased contributions from Africa.}, Doi = {10.1101/016543}, Key = {fds336366} } @article{fds354024, Author = {Goldberg, A and Verdu, P and Rosenberg, NA}, Title = {Autosomal admixture levels are informative about sex bias in admixed populations.}, Journal = {Genetics}, Volume = {198}, Number = {3}, Pages = {1209-1229}, Year = {2014}, Month = {November}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1534/genetics.114.166793}, Abstract = {Sex-biased admixture has been observed in a wide variety of admixed populations. Genetic variation in sex chromosomes and functions of quantities computed from sex chromosomes and autosomes have often been examined to infer patterns of sex-biased admixture, typically using statistical approaches that do not mechanistically model the complexity of a sex-specific history of admixture. Here, expanding on a model of Verdu and Rosenberg (2011) that did not include sex specificity, we develop a model that mechanistically examines sex-specific admixture histories. Under the model, multiple source populations contribute to an admixed population, potentially with their male and female contributions varying over time. In an admixed population descended from two source groups, we derive the moments of the distribution of the autosomal admixture fraction from a specific source population as a function of sex-specific introgression parameters and time. Considering admixture processes that are constant in time, we demonstrate that surprisingly, although the mean autosomal admixture fraction from a specific source population does not reveal a sex bias in the admixture history, the variance of autosomal admixture is informative about sex bias. Specifically, the long-term variance decreases as the sex bias from a contributing source population increases. This result can be viewed as analogous to the reduction in effective population size for populations with an unequal number of breeding males and females. Our approach suggests that it may be possible to use the effect of sex-biased admixture on autosomal DNA to assist with methods for inference of the history of complex sex-biased admixture processes.}, Doi = {10.1534/genetics.114.166793}, Key = {fds354024} } %% Papers Presented/Symposia/Abstracts @article{fds342235, Author = {Bobrek, K and Beleza, S and Goldberg, A}, Title = {Sex-biased admixture and geographic mating structure shape genomic variation in Cape Verde}, Journal = {AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL ANTHROPOLOGY}, Volume = {168}, Pages = {23-23}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2019}, Month = {March}, Key = {fds342235} } | ||
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