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| Publications of Martin D. Smith :chronological alphabetical combined listing:%% Papers Published @article{fds376268, Author = {McNamara, DE and Smith, MD and Williams, Z and Gopalakrishnan, S and Landry, CE}, Title = {Policy and market forces delay real estate price declines on the US coast.}, Journal = {Nature communications}, Volume = {15}, Number = {1}, Pages = {2209}, Publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC}, Year = {2024}, Month = {March}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46548-6}, Abstract = {Despite increasing risks from sea-level rise (SLR) and storms, US coastal communities continue to attract relatively high-income residents, and coastal property values continue to rise. To understand this seeming paradox and explore policy responses, we develop the Coastal Home Ownership Model (C-HOM) and analyze the long-term evolution of coastal real estate markets. C-HOM incorporates changing physical attributes of the coast, economic values of these attributes, and dynamic risks associated with storms and flooding. Resident owners, renters, and non-resident investors jointly determine coastal property values and the policy choices that influence the physical evolution of the coast. In the coupled system, we find that subsidies for coastal management, such as beach nourishment, tax advantages for high-income property owners, and stable or increasing property values outside the coastal zone all dampen the effects of SLR on coastal property values. The effects, however, are temporary and only delay precipitous declines as total inundation approaches. By removing subsidies, prices would more accurately reflect risks from SLR but also trigger more coastal gentrification, as relatively high-income owners enter the market and self-finance nourishment. Our results suggest a policy tradeoff between slowing demographic transitions in coastal communities and allowing property markets to adjust smoothly to risks from climate change.}, Doi = {10.1038/s41467-024-46548-6}, Key = {fds376268} } @article{fds373985, Author = {Waller, J and Bartlett, J and Bates, E and Bray, H and Brown, M and Cieri, M and Clark, C and Devoe, W and Donahue, B and Frechette, D and Glon, H and Hunter, M and Huntsberger, C and Kanwit, K and Ledwin, S and Lewis, B and Peters, R and Reardon, K and Russell, R and Smith, M and Uraneck, C and Watts, R and Wilson, C}, Title = {Reflecting on the recent history of coastal Maine fisheries and marine resource monitoring: the value of collaborative research, changing ecosystems, and thoughts on preparing for the future}, Journal = {ICES Journal of Marine Science}, Volume = {80}, Number = {8}, Pages = {2074-2086}, Year = {2023}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsad134}, Abstract = {The Maine Department of Marine Resources (MEDMR) is a state agency tasked with developing, conserving, researching, and promoting commercial and recreational marine fisheries across Maine's vast coastline. Close collaborations with industry members in each of the 30 or more fisheries that support Maine's coastal economy are central to MEDMR's efforts to address this suite of tasks. Here we reflect on recent decades of MEDMR's work and demonstrate how MEDMR fisheries research programmes are preparing for an uncertain future through the lens of three broadly applicable climate-driven challenges: (1) a rapidly changing marine ecosystem; (2) recommendations driven by state and federal climate initiatives; and (3) the need to share institutional knowledge with a new generation of marine resource scientists. We do this by highlighting our scientific and co-management approach to coastal Maine fisheries that have prospered, declined, or followed a unique trend over the last 25+ years. We use these examples to illustrate our lessons learned when studying a diverse array of fisheries, highlight the importance of collaborations with academia and the commercial fishing industry, and share our recommendations to marine resource scientists for addressing the climate-driven challenges that motivated this work.}, Doi = {10.1093/icesjms/fsad134}, Key = {fds373985} } @article{fds373423, Author = {Schlüter, M and Brelsford, C and Ferraro, PJ and Orach, K and Qiu, M and Smith, MD}, Title = {Unraveling complex causal processes that affect sustainability requires more integration between empirical and modeling approaches.}, Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, Volume = {120}, Number = {41}, Pages = {e2215676120}, Year = {2023}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2215676120}, Abstract = {Scientists seek to understand the causal processes that generate sustainability problems and determine effective solutions. Yet, causal inquiry in nature-society systems is hampered by conceptual and methodological challenges that arise from nature-society interdependencies and the complex dynamics they create. Here, we demonstrate how sustainability scientists can address these challenges and make more robust causal claims through better integration between empirical analyses and process- or agent-based modeling. To illustrate how these different epistemological traditions can be integrated, we present four studies of air pollution regulation, natural resource management, and the spread of COVID-19. The studies show how integration can improve empirical estimates of causal effects, inform future research designs and data collection, enhance understanding of the complex dynamics that underlie observed temporal patterns, and elucidate causal mechanisms and the contexts in which they operate. These advances in causal understanding can help sustainability scientists develop better theories of phenomena where social and ecological processes are dynamically intertwined and prior causal knowledge and data are limited. The improved causal understanding also enhances governance by helping scientists and practitioners choose among potential interventions, decide when and how the timing of an intervention matters, and anticipate unexpected outcomes. Methodological integration, however, requires skills and efforts of all involved to learn how members of the respective other tradition think and analyze nature-society systems.}, Doi = {10.1073/pnas.2215676120}, Key = {fds373423} } @article{fds373696, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Economics of Aquatic Foods: Combining Bioeconomics and Market Analysis to Inform Regulations That Deliver Value}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {38}, Number = {4}, Pages = {305-327}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2023}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/726026}, Abstract = {Bioeconomic modeling and seafood market analysis both have rich intellectual traditions that have contrib-uted insights to understanding the economics of aquatic foods. This paper argues that these traditions, which developed mostly in parallel, should be combined more purposefully to understand management problems in fisheries and aquaculture. First, modeling the feedback between economic incentives and biological mecha-nisms is essential for avoiding management failure, and prices provide important incentives. Second, the form of management affects opportunities to generate value, influencing patterns of exploitation and the types of products that come from fishery resources. Third, price incentives in fisheries and responses to management depend on market context, including competition with aquaculture. By combining these insights with a modern empirical focus on counterfactuals, including both reduced-form and structural modeling approaches to causal inference, economists can inform policy and help to deliver a wide range of values from the production and consumption of aquatic foods.}, Doi = {10.1086/726026}, Key = {fds373696} } @article{fds372271, Author = {Birkenbach, AM and Kaczan, DJ and Smith, MD and Ardini, G and Holland, DS and Lee, MY and Lipton, D and Travis, MD}, Title = {Do Catch Shares Increase Prices? Evidence from US Fisheries}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {38}, Number = {3}, Pages = {203-228}, Year = {2023}, Month = {July}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/725010}, Abstract = {Rights-based management of fishery resources theoretically allows firms to minimize the cost of extraction without the threat that other harvesters will take their allocations, but added flexibility also allows firms to exploit revenue margins such that firms balance potential revenue gains with potential cost savings. Using two approaches, difference-in-differences with an index of seafood prices and synthetic control, we test for revenue gains in 39 US fisheries that adopted market-based regulations and find mixed evidence of price increases. Species with price increases tend to have viable fresh markets or other features that discourage gluts, whereas species with price decreases plausibly have more to gain on the cost side or are part of a multispecies complex with a higher-value species experiencing a price increase.}, Doi = {10.1086/725010}, Key = {fds372271} } @article{fds363394, Author = {Keeler, AG and Mullin, M and McNamara, DE and Smith, MD}, Title = {Buyouts with rentbacks: a policy proposal for managing coastal retreat}, Journal = {Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences}, Volume = {12}, Number = {3}, Pages = {646-651}, Year = {2022}, Month = {September}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13412-022-00762-0}, Abstract = {The discussion of adaptation to climate change in coastal areas has focused on short-term risk reduction and climate-proofing, but there is growing recognition that—at some point in the future—relocation to less vulnerable geographical areas will become necessary for large numbers of residents in many coastal communities. Spontaneous relocations that occur after catastrophic events can entail high costs, both for those who resettle elsewhere and for the remaining community. Managed retreat attempts to reduce such costs, thereby facilitating the relocation process. Property buyouts, the most prominently discussed policy tool for managed retreat, present significant challenges in terms of equity, timing, finance, and scale. We discuss innovation in buyout policy that allows residents to remain in their homes as renters after being bought out. We develop the basic structure of such a policy and show the pathways through which it can help to finance buyouts, harmonize public and private decision-making, and manage the timing of community transition. We also recommend funding mechanisms and other details to overcome the substantial barriers to implementation. Although buyouts with rentbacks will require institutional innovation in order to serve as an effective policy framework, the policy has the potential to improve social, economic, and environmental outcomes from the eventual unfortunate but necessary migration away from coastal areas.}, Doi = {10.1007/s13412-022-00762-0}, Key = {fds363394} } @article{fds363708, Author = {Garlock, T and Anderson, JL and Asche, F and Smith, MD and Camp, E and Chu, J and Lorenzen, K and Vannuccini, S}, Title = {Global insights on managing fishery systems for the three pillars of sustainability}, Journal = {Fish and Fisheries}, Volume = {23}, Number = {4}, Pages = {899-909}, Year = {2022}, Month = {July}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/faf.12660}, Abstract = {There is growing recognition that fisheries should be managed for all three pillars of sustainability: economic, social and environmental sustainability. Limited quantitative evidence exists on factors supporting social sustainability, much less factors that contribute to multiple dimensions of sustainability. To develop a broader understanding of the factors that influence the performance of fishery management systems in environmental, economic and social pillars, we examine 11 input factors conjectured to contribute to successful fisheries using a global dataset of 145 fisheries case studies. The analysis indicates that management approaches are cross-cutting and contribute to multiple dimensions of sustainability to varying extents. Importantly, factors exogenous to fisheries management can be as important as fisheries management, suggesting collaboration of fisheries institutions with other public and private institutions is important for sustainable fisheries development.}, Doi = {10.1111/faf.12660}, Key = {fds363708} } @article{fds363899, Author = {Birkenbach, AM and Cojocaru, AL and Smith, MD and Asche, F}, Title = {Discrete Choice Modeling of Fishers’ Landing Locations}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {37}, Number = {3}, Pages = {235-262}, Year = {2022}, Month = {July}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/719929}, Abstract = {Commercial fishing decisions about where to land and sell catches have important efficiency and distributional implications for fishing communities. Unlike fishing location choices, landing locations choices have received little attention. We develop a model of fishers’ landing sites in northern Norway. While fishers are highly responsive to travel distance, we find that expected revenues are a lesser driver of landing location choices. Rather, choices are dominated by strong state dependence, and most vessels always land at the same port. These results suggest that economic policies designed to redistribute landings in order to aid certain communities would not necessarily draw fishers away from their preferred landing sites. On the other hand, the responsiveness of some fishers to intraseasonal stock movements offers a glimpse of how climate change could reshape the spatial equilibria of landings and seafood production in years to come.}, Doi = {10.1086/719929}, Key = {fds363899} } @article{fds361962, Author = {Asche, F and Yang, B and Gephart, JA and Smith, MD and Anderson, JL and Camp, EV and Garlock, TM and Love, DC and Oglend, A and Straume, H-M}, Title = {China's seafood imports-Not for domestic consumption?}, Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, Volume = {375}, Number = {6579}, Pages = {386-388}, Year = {2022}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abl4756}, Abstract = {[Figure: see text].}, Doi = {10.1126/science.abl4756}, Key = {fds361962} } @article{fds363000, Author = {Asche, F and Oglend, A and Smith, MD}, Title = {Global markets and the commons: The role of imports in the US wild-caught shrimp market}, Journal = {Environmental Research Letters}, Volume = {17}, Number = {4}, Year = {2022}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5b3e}, Abstract = {The commons literature focuses heavily on rules and the behavior of resource users but places less emphasis on the returns to individual effort. However, for most resource settings, market conditions and associated resource prices are key drivers of exploitation effort. In a globalized world, import competition can strongly influence the incentives for individual resource users, a topic largely unexplored in the commons literature. Import competition is especially salient for seafood, one of the most internationally traded food groups. We analyze the US shrimp market, which was once dominated by domestic catches but is now mostly supplied by imports. For domestic producers (users of the commons), lower revenues result, while US consumers eat more shrimp at lower prices. Globalization changed the sources of price risk and compensation that domestic producers face and altered incentives to exploit the commons. In a market dominated by domestic supply shocks, the price response to a shock moderates the effect on revenue and effort. In a market dominated by imports, domestic shocks are buffered by import adjustments, while price movements are determined by global shocks. Despite losses for the domestic fishery, globalization creates new incentives to coordinate effort and capture price premiums determined in the global market.}, Doi = {10.1088/1748-9326/ac5b3e}, Key = {fds363000} } @article{fds365199, Author = {Cojocaru, AL and Liu, Y and Smith, MD and Akpalu, W and Chávez, C and Dey, MM and Dresdner, J and Kahui, V and Pincinato, RBM and Tran, N}, Title = {The “Seafood” System: Aquatic Foods, Food Security, and the Global South}, Journal = {Review of Environmental Economics and Policy}, Year = {2022}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/721032}, Doi = {10.1086/721032}, Key = {fds365199} } @article{fds365200, Author = {Asche, F and Eggert, H and Oglend, A and Roheim, CA and Smith, MD}, Title = {Aquaculture: Externalities and Policy Options}, Journal = {Review of Environmental Economics and Policy}, Year = {2022}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/721055}, Doi = {10.1086/721055}, Key = {fds365200} } @article{fds360608, Author = {Asseng, S and Palm, CA and Anderson, JL and Fresco, L and Sanchez, PA and Asche, F and Garlock, TM and Fanzo, J and Smith, MD and Knapp, G and Jarvis, A and Adesogan, A and Capua, I and Hoogenboom, G and Despommier, DD and Conti, L and Garrett, KA}, Title = {Implications of new technologies for future food supply systems}, Journal = {Journal of Agricultural Science}, Volume = {159}, Number = {5-6}, Pages = {315-319}, Year = {2021}, Month = {July}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0021859621000836}, Abstract = {The combination of advances in knowledge, technology, changes in consumer preference and low cost of manufacturing is accelerating the next technology revolution in crop, livestock and fish production systems. This will have major implications for how, where and by whom food will be produced in the future. This next technology revolution could benefit the producer through substantial improvements in resource use and profitability, but also the environment through reduced externalities. The consumer will ultimately benefit through more nutritious, safe and affordable food diversity, which in turn will also contribute to the acceleration of the next technology. It will create new opportunities in achieving progress towards many of the Sustainable Development Goals, but it will require early recognition of trends and impact, public research and policy guidance to avoid negative trade-offs. Unfortunately, the quantitative predictability of future impacts will remain low and uncertain, while new chocks with unexpected consequences will continue to interrupt current and future outcomes. However, there is a continuing need for improving the predictability of shocks to future food systems especially for ex-ante assessment for policy and planning.}, Doi = {10.1017/S0021859621000836}, Key = {fds360608} } @article{fds357023, Author = {Havice, E and Campbell, LM and Campling, L and Smith, MD}, Title = {Making sense of firms for ocean governance}, Journal = {One Earth}, Volume = {4}, Number = {5}, Pages = {602-604}, Year = {2021}, Month = {May}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.04.022}, Abstract = {Attention to firms in the ocean economy is growing as oceans face rapid ecological change as well as surges in investment and governance efforts under a “blue economy” paradigm. Concepts and methods that can “make sense” of firms and their positioning within value chains are essential for scholars seeking to inform a more sustainable ocean future.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.oneear.2021.04.022}, Key = {fds357023} } @article{fds355796, Author = {Petesch, T and Dubik, B and Smith, MD}, Title = {Implications of disease in shrimp aquaculture for wild-caught shrimp}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {36}, Number = {2}, Pages = {191-209}, Year = {2021}, Month = {April}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/712993}, Abstract = {We investigate whether supply shocks in shrimp aquaculture caused by disease increase prices of wild-caught shrimp in the US Gulf of Mexico, using Gulf prices and US shrimp imports from Ecuador, Thailand, and Indonesia. Many studies have shown that shrimp markets are cointegrated, meaning relative prices tend not to diverge substantially or for long periods. We also find cointegration, and we evaluate a vector error correction model for structural breaks to determine whether the most significant changes in the price relationships coincide with the timing of disease crises in aquaculture. Gulf prices fell steadily throughout the early 2000s because of innovations in shrimp aquaculture, however, early mortality syndrome (EMS) caused a major disruption in aquaculture starting around 2011. Our results indicate that EMS may have precipitated a disturbance to the long-run relationship of our prices, suggesting that disease may have offered temporary benefits to the US shrimp fishery.}, Doi = {10.1086/712993}, Key = {fds355796} } @article{fds354175, Author = {Li, Q and Smith, MD}, Title = {Fishery collapse revisited}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {36}, Number = {1}, Pages = {1-22}, Year = {2021}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/711233}, Abstract = {Fishery collapse has been defined as a fishery with annual landings less than 10% of the historic maximum observed catch. However, this 10% rule is not grounded in bioeconomic theory despite being widely used in empirical economic studies of fisheries. We assess the 10% rule by simulating fisheries under pure open access, open access with cost changes, open access with critical depensation, optimal management (both deterministic and stochastic cases), and rebuilding plans. We show that the 10% rule generates false negatives and false positives, and that the prevalence of these problems varies under different institutional configurations, economic incentives, and biological conditions. We urge researchers to abandon this outcome measure for comparative empirical tests and encourage more research on collapse that attends to human agency and institutions.}, Doi = {10.1086/711233}, Key = {fds354175} } @article{fds354344, Author = {Li, Q and Bronnmann, J and Karasik, R and Quaas, MF and Smith, MD}, Title = {An Age-Structured Backward-Bending Supply of Fish: Implications for Conservation of Bluefin Tuna}, Journal = {Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists}, Volume = {8}, Number = {1}, Pages = {165-192}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2021}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/711225}, Abstract = {We develop a bioeconomic model to analyze the long-run supply of fish and find that steady-state supply can have multiple bends in an age-structured setting. We parameterize the model using data for the Eastern stock of Atlantic Bluefin tuna dur-ing the predominantly open-access period (1950–2006). The numerical Bluefin supply curve bends backward just once and at a price below the current ex-vessel price and far below historic real prices from the 1990s. Reestimating the model using data through 2015 to account for new management and allowing for cost changes finds that the current backward-bending price is far above the current market price. The results suggest that market developments that lower price, including growth in closed-cycle aquaculture, can influence the stock condition. However, strengthening management in the mid-2000s was necessary to keep the fishery from operating on the backward-bending portion of supply in the long run.}, Doi = {10.1086/711225}, Key = {fds354344} } @article{fds355500, Author = {Nowlin, M and Bennett, A and Basurto, X and Virdin, J and Lin, X and Betances, S and Smith, M and Roady, S}, Title = {Recognize Fish as Food in Policy Discourse and Development Funding}, Journal = {Ambio}, Volume = {50}, Number = {5}, Pages = {981-989}, Year = {2021}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01451-4}, Abstract = {The international development community is off-track from meeting targets for alleviating global malnutrition. Meanwhile, there is growing consensus across scientific disciplines that fish plays a crucial role in food and nutrition security. However, this 'fish as food' perspective has yet to translate into policy and development funding priorities. We argue that the traditional framing of fish as a natural resource emphasizes economic development and biodiversity conservation objectives, whereas situating fish within a food systems perspective can lead to innovative policies and investments that promote nutrition-sensitive and socially equitable capture fisheries and aquaculture. This paper highlights four pillars of research needs and policy directions toward this end. Ultimately, recognizing and working to enhance the role of fish in alleviating hunger and malnutrition can provide an additional long-term development incentive, beyond revenue generation and biodiversity conservation, for governments, international development organizations, and society more broadly to invest in the sustainability of capture fisheries and aquaculture.}, Doi = {10.1007/s13280-020-01451-4}, Key = {fds355500} } @article{fds350814, Author = {Bronnmann, J and Smith, MD and Abbott, J and Hay, CJ and Næsje, TF}, Title = {Integration of a local fish market in Namibia with the global seafood trade: Implications for fish traders and sustainability}, Journal = {World Development}, Volume = {135}, Year = {2020}, Month = {November}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105048}, Abstract = {Within the last decades, globalization has changed the international seafood trade, allowing low-income countries to access markets in high-income countries and vice versa. Nevertheless, the effects of globalization are controversial and in particular the impacts on small-scale fishers and local fish traders are unclear. This paper examines the economic effects of globalization on a local fish market in Katima Mulilo, Namibia along the Zambezi River and near the border with Zambia. Using market data from January 2008 to December 2016, we test two hypotheses. First, we test if the local market is integrated with global markets. Second, we test whether local prices are increasing and associated with positive terms of trade. Using time series methods and hedonic models, results show that the Katima market is linked to the world market, and local fish traders receive higher prices over time as predicted by an increasingly globalized seafood trade.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105048}, Key = {fds350814} } @article{fds373424, Author = {Birkenbach, AM and Cojocaru, AL and Asche, F and Guttormsen, AG and Smith, MD}, Title = {Seasonal Harvest Patterns in Multispecies Fisheries}, Journal = {Environmental and Resource Economics}, Volume = {75}, Number = {3}, Pages = {631-655}, Year = {2020}, Month = {March}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10640-020-00402-7}, Abstract = {Fishers face multidimensional decisions: when to fish, what species to target, and how much gear to deploy. Most bioeconomic models assume single-species fisheries with perfectly elastic demand and focus on inter-seasonal dynamics. In real-world fisheries, vessels hold quotas for multiple species with heterogeneous biological and/or market conditions that vary intra-seasonally. We analyze within-season behavior in multispecies fisheries with individual fishing quotas, accounting for stock aggregations, capacity constraints, and downward-sloping demand. Numerical results demonstrate variation in harvest patterns. We specifically find: (1) harvests for species with downward-sloping demand tend to spread out; (2) spreading harvest of a high-value species can cause lower-value species to be harvested earlier in the season; and (3) harvest can be unresponsive or even respond negatively to biological aggregation when fishers balance incentives in multispecies settings. We test these using panel data from the Norwegian multispecies groundfish fishery and find evidence for all three. We extend the numerical model to account for transitions to management with individual fishing quotas in multispecies fisheries. We show that, under some circumstances, fishing seasons could contract or spread out.}, Doi = {10.1007/s10640-020-00402-7}, Key = {fds373424} } @article{fds346897, Author = {Garlock, T and Asche, F and Anderson, J and Bjørndal, T and Kumar, G and Lorenzen, K and Ropicki, A and Smith, MD and Tveterås, R}, Title = {A Global Blue Revolution: Aquaculture Growth Across Regions, Species, and Countries}, Journal = {Reviews in Fisheries Science and Aquaculture}, Volume = {28}, Number = {1}, Pages = {107-116}, Year = {2020}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23308249.2019.1678111}, Abstract = {Discussions about global aquaculture production and prospects for future growth largely focus on Asia, where most global production takes place. Countries in Asia accounted for about 89% of global production in 2016. Exclusive attention to Asian aquaculture, however, overlooks the fact that “the blue revolution” is occurring in most parts of the world. This paper examines patterns in the development of aquaculture production by analyzing growth rates across the globe at the regional, species and country levels. The results show that production in some non-Asian countries is growing more rapidly than the major Asian producers. Moreover, most developed countries have played a limited role in the blue revolution despite being leading producers as late as the 1970s.}, Doi = {10.1080/23308249.2019.1678111}, Key = {fds346897} } @article{fds354345, Author = {Banzhaf, HS and Liu, Y and Smith, MD and Asche, F}, Title = {Non-Parametric Tests of the Tragedy of the Commons}, Year = {2019}, Month = {October}, Key = {fds354345} } @article{fds342425, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Subsidies, efficiency, and fairness in fisheries policy.}, Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, Volume = {364}, Number = {6435}, Pages = {34-35}, Year = {2019}, Month = {April}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw4087}, Doi = {10.1126/science.aaw4087}, Key = {fds342425} } @article{fds339523, Author = {Ferraro, PJ and Sanchirico, JN and Smith, MD}, Title = {Causal inference in coupled human and natural systems.}, Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, Volume = {116}, Number = {12}, Pages = {5311-5318}, Year = {2019}, Month = {March}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1805563115}, Abstract = {Coupled human and natural systems (CHANS) are complex, dynamic, interconnected systems with feedback across social and environmental dimensions. This feedback leads to formidable challenges for causal inference. Two significant challenges involve assumptions about excludability and the absence of interference. These two assumptions have been largely unexplored in the CHANS literature, but when either is violated, causal inferences from observable data are difficult to interpret. To explore their plausibility, structural knowledge of the system is requisite, as is an explicit recognition that most causal variables in CHANS affect a coupled pairing of environmental and human elements. In a large CHANS literature that evaluates marine protected areas, nearly 200 studies attempt to make causal claims, but few address the excludability assumption. To examine the relevance of interference in CHANS, we develop a stylized simulation of a marine CHANS with shocks that can represent policy interventions, ecological disturbances, and technological disasters. Human and capital mobility in CHANS is both a cause of interference, which biases inferences about causal effects, and a moderator of the causal effects themselves. No perfect solutions exist for satisfying excludability and interference assumptions in CHANS. To elucidate causal relationships in CHANS, multiple approaches will be needed for a given causal question, with the aim of identifying sources of bias in each approach and then triangulating on credible inferences. Within CHANS research, and sustainability science more generally, the path to accumulating an evidence base on causal relationships requires skills and knowledge from many disciplines and effective academic-practitioner collaborations.}, Doi = {10.1073/pnas.1805563115}, Key = {fds339523} } @article{fds341926, Author = {Birkenbach, AM and Smith, MD and Stefanski, S}, Title = {Feature-Taking Stock of Catch Shares: Lessons from the Past and Directions for the Future}, Journal = {Review of Environmental Economics and Policy}, Volume = {13}, Number = {1}, Pages = {130-139}, Year = {2019}, Month = {February}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/reep/rey016}, Abstract = {With the widespread implementation of catch shares (i.e., rights-based fisheries management) at the end of the twentieth century, economists have begun to examine empirical evidence about their performance. Yet despite documented positive outcomes and predicted gains from wider adoption of this approach, catch shares face persistent political opposition and criticism in the noneconomics literature. The debate surrounding catch shares focuses on equity, industry consolidation, nonlocal ownership of quotas, employment, and other impacts on fishing communities, but the evidence on both sides has been largely anecdotal. To inform this debate, it is important for economists and other researchers to produce rigorous analyses that quantify the effects of catch shares on employment, the distribution of economic value in the harvest and processing sectors, and other indicators of community well-being. We assess catch shares to identify research needs and guide policymakers. Using examples from the experiences of the United States and Argentina with rights-based fisheries, we demonstrate that a key challenge for researchers and policymakers is accounting for multiple species, globalization of seafood markets, and climate change. We urge policymakers to consider these forces and their impacts, along with available empirical evidence, when evaluating fisheries management options that balance efficiency and equity goals.}, Doi = {10.1093/reep/rey016}, Key = {fds341926} } @article{fds340960, Author = {Mullin, M and Smith, MD and McNamara, DE}, Title = {Paying to save the beach: effects of local finance decisions on coastal management}, Journal = {Climatic Change}, Volume = {152}, Number = {2}, Pages = {275-289}, Year = {2019}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2191-5}, Abstract = {As sea level rises and storm frequency and severity increase, communities worldwide are investing in coastline management projects to maintain beach widths and dunes that support recreational amenities and mitigate storm risks. These projects are costly, and differences in property owners’ returns from maintaining wide beaches will influence community-level support for investment in shoreline defense. One way to account for these differences is by funding the project through a tax instrument that imposes the heaviest cost on residents who benefit most from beach nourishment. Some communities along the US east coast have adopted this approach. We use an agent-based model to evaluate how the imposition of project costs affects coastline management over the long-term. Charging higher tax rates on oceanfront properties reduces desired beach width among those owners but increases desired width for owners of inland properties. The aggregate impact on beach width depends on coastline shape and development patterns that determine the balance between these two groups, heterogeneity of beach width preferences and climate change beliefs, and levels of participation in local politics. Overall, requiring property owners who benefit most from beach nourishment to bear the highest cost results in wider beaches. The result suggests that delineating tax rates to account for unequal benefits of local public goods across taxpayers could facilitate local investment in climate change adaptation.}, Doi = {10.1007/s10584-018-2191-5}, Key = {fds340960} } @article{fds339522, Author = {Asche, F and Garlock, TM and Anderson, JL and Bush, SR and Smith, MD and Anderson, CM and Chu, J and Garrett, KA and Lem, A and Lorenzen, K and Oglend, A and Tveteras, S and Vannuccini, S}, Title = {Three pillars of sustainability in fisheries.}, Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, Volume = {115}, Number = {44}, Pages = {11221-11225}, Year = {2018}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1807677115}, Abstract = {Sustainability of global fisheries is a growing concern. The United Nations has identified three pillars of sustainability: economic development, social development, and environmental protection. The fisheries literature suggests that there are two key trade-offs among these pillars of sustainability. First, poor ecological health of a fishery reduces economic profits for fishers, and second, economic profitability of individual fishers undermines the social objectives of fishing communities. Although recent research has shown that management can reconcile ecological and economic objectives, there are lingering concerns about achieving positive social outcomes. We examined trade-offs among the three pillars of sustainability by analyzing the Fishery Performance Indicators, a unique dataset that scores 121 distinct fishery systems worldwide on 68 metrics categorized by social, economic, or ecological outcomes. For each of the 121 fishery systems, we averaged the outcome measures to create overall scores for economic, ecological, and social performance. We analyzed the scores and found that they were positively associated in the full sample. We divided the data into subsamples that correspond to fisheries management systems with three categories of access-open access, access rights, and harvest rights-and performed a similar analysis. Our results show that economic, social, and ecological objectives are at worst independent and are mutually reinforcing in both types of managed fisheries. The implication is that rights-based management systems should not be rejected on the basis of potentially negative social outcomes; instead, social considerations should be addressed in the design of these systems.}, Doi = {10.1073/pnas.1807677115}, Key = {fds339522} } @article{fds335997, Author = {Abbott, JK and Sanchirico, JN and Smith, MD}, Title = {Common property resources and the dynamics of overexploitation: The case of the north pacific fur seal—a 42-year legacy}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {33}, Number = {3}, Pages = {209-212}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2018}, Month = {July}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/698020}, Doi = {10.1086/698020}, Key = {fds335997} } @article{fds335998, Author = {Asche, F and Smith, MD}, Title = {Viewpoint: Induced Innovation in Fisheries and Aquaculture}, Journal = {Food Policy}, Volume = {76}, Pages = {1-7}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2018}, Month = {April}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2018.02.002}, Abstract = {Some classical economists, most notably Malthus, predicted that scarcity would undermine long-term human well-being. John Stuart Mill, in contrast, predicted that the threat of scarcity creates incentives for innovation that help to avoid some of the worst outcomes. Popular claims of marine ecologists often apply the Malthusian narrative to supplies of seafood, yet global supplies have continued to grow. We examine the modern seafood industry and evaluate Mill's claims about innovation. We argue that the mechanisms that Mill discusses–innovation in response to and in anticipation of scarcity–account for much of what we see. Scarcities induce technological, policy, and market innovations that enable seafood supplies to grow, and these innovations can build on each other. The challenge for policy makers is to avoid knee-jerk responses to Malthusian narratives and craft policy responses that encourage innovation while recognizing physical limits of ocean resources.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.foodpol.2018.02.002}, Key = {fds335998} } @article{fds333239, Author = {Gopalakrishnan, S and Landry, CE and Smith, MD}, Title = {Climate change adaptation in coastal environments: Modeling challenges for resource and environmental economists}, Journal = {Review of Environmental Economics and Policy}, Volume = {12}, Number = {1}, Pages = {48-68}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2018}, Month = {February}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/reep/rex020}, Doi = {10.1093/reep/rex020}, Key = {fds333239} } @article{fds329745, Author = {Miteva, DA and Kramer, RA and Brown, ZS and Smith, MD}, Title = {Spatial patterns of market participation and resource extraction: Fuelwood collection in Northern Uganda}, Journal = {American Journal of Agricultural Economics}, Volume = {99}, Number = {4}, Pages = {1008-1026}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2017}, Month = {July}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aax027}, Abstract = {While distance to markets is a key determinant of market participation for households that are dependent on natural resources, the distance to the resource stock is also essential. Thus, a household's location with respect to markets and the resource stock determines household market participation and associated resource degradation. Applying a discrete-choice framework for fuelwood collection in a developing country, we characterize the spatial pattern of market participation regimes and forest use. All else being equal, autarkic households are closest to the forest and furthest from the market, buyer households are closest to the market and furthest from the forest, and seller households are at intermediate distances. Empirical tests based on survey data from northern Uganda support the predictions from our theoretical model. Our findings have important implications for understanding the spatial patterns of forest degradation and determining the control group when designing impact evaluations of the effectiveness of development and conservation interventions.}, Doi = {10.1093/ajae/aax027}, Key = {fds329745} } @article{fds323783, Author = {Fischer, C and Guttormsen, AG and Smith, MD}, Title = {Disease Risk and Market Structure in Salmon Aquaculture}, Journal = {Water Economics and Policy}, Volume = {3}, Number = {2}, Pages = {1-29}, Publisher = {World Scientific Pub Co Pte Lt}, Year = {2017}, Month = {April}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S2382624X16500156}, Abstract = {We develop a model of a multi-national firm producing commodities for a global market in multiple locations with location-specific risks and different regulatory standards. Salmon aquaculture and disease outbreaks provide an empirically relevant example. We specifically examine details of the infectious salmon anemia outbreak in Chile in the late 2000s, the multi-national nature of some firms operating in Chile, and the overall market structure of the salmon farming industry as motivation for our theoretical model. In the model, market structure and the regulatory environments in multiple countries interact to influence how intensively firms use aquatic ecosystems. Downward-sloping market demand can lead to a perverse outcome in which high environmental standards in one country both lower the provision of disease management in the other country and reduce industry-wide output. We extend this model to consider additional locations, types of firms, and within-location risk spillovers. We find that the risk of outbreak in a given location is decreasing with greater firm concentration within the location, increasing with the outside production of operators within the location, and increasing with lower risk (or more regulation) in other locations where the operators produce. We suggest other applications of multi-national risk management.}, Doi = {10.1142/S2382624X16500156}, Key = {fds323783} } @article{fds325886, Author = {Birkenbach, AM and Kaczan, DJ and Smith, MD}, Title = {Catch shares slow the race to fish.}, Journal = {Nature}, Volume = {544}, Number = {7649}, Pages = {223-226}, Year = {2017}, Month = {April}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature21728}, Abstract = {In fisheries, the tragedy of the commons manifests as a competitive race to fish that compresses fishing seasons, resulting in ecological damage, economic waste, and occupational hazards. Catch shares are hypothesized to halt the race by securing each individual's right to a portion of the total catch, but there is evidence for this from selected examples only. Here we systematically analyse natural experiments to test whether catch shares reduce racing in 39 US fisheries. We compare each fishery treated with catch shares to an individually matched control before and after the policy change. We estimate an average policy treatment effect in a pooled model and in a meta-analysis that combines separate estimates for each treatment-control pair. Consistent with the theory that market-based management ends the race to fish, we find strong evidence that catch shares extend fishing seasons. This evidence informs the current debate over expanding the use of market-based regulation to other fisheries.}, Doi = {10.1038/nature21728}, Key = {fds325886} } @article{fds326063, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Editorial: The Breadth of Ocean and Coastal Economics}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {32}, Number = {2}, Pages = {119-121}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2017}, Month = {April}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/691607}, Doi = {10.1086/691607}, Key = {fds326063} } @article{fds323782, Author = {Smith, MD and Oglend, A and Kirkpatrick, AJ and Asche, F and Bennear, LS and Craig, JK and Nance, JM}, Title = {Seafood prices reveal impacts of a major ecological disturbance.}, Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, Volume = {114}, Number = {7}, Pages = {1512-1517}, Year = {2017}, Month = {February}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1617948114}, Abstract = {Coastal hypoxia (dissolved oxygen ≤ 2 mg/L) is a growing problem worldwide that threatens marine ecosystem services, but little is known about economic effects on fisheries. Here, we provide evidence that hypoxia causes economic impacts on a major fishery. Ecological studies of hypoxia and marine fauna suggest multiple mechanisms through which hypoxia can skew a population's size distribution toward smaller individuals. These mechanisms produce sharp predictions about changes in seafood markets. Hypoxia is hypothesized to decrease the quantity of large shrimp relative to small shrimp and increase the price of large shrimp relative to small shrimp. We test these hypotheses using time series of size-based prices. Naive quantity-based models using treatment/control comparisons in hypoxic and nonhypoxic areas produce null results, but we find strong evidence of the hypothesized effects in the relative prices: Hypoxia increases the relative price of large shrimp compared with small shrimp. The effects of fuel prices provide supporting evidence. Empirical models of fishing effort and bioeconomic simulations explain why quantifying effects of hypoxia on fisheries using quantity data has been inconclusive. Specifically, spatial-dynamic feedbacks across the natural system (the fish stock) and human system (the mobile fishing fleet) confound "treated" and "control" areas. Consequently, analyses of price data, which rely on a market counterfactual, are able to reveal effects of the ecological disturbance that are obscured in quantity data. Our results are an important step toward quantifying the economic value of reduced upstream nutrient loading in the Mississippi Basin and are broadly applicable to other coupled human-natural systems.}, Doi = {10.1073/pnas.1617948114}, Key = {fds323782} } @article{fds328719, Author = {Purcell, KM and Craig, JK and Nance, JM and Smith, MD and Bennear, LS}, Title = {Fleet behavior is responsive to a large-scale environmental disturbance: Hypoxia effects on the spatial dynamics of the northern Gulf of Mexico shrimp fishery.}, Journal = {PloS one}, Volume = {12}, Number = {8}, Pages = {e0183032}, Year = {2017}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0183032}, Abstract = {The northwestern Gulf of Mexico shelf experiences one of the largest seasonal hypoxic zones in the western hemisphere. Hypoxia (dissolved oxygen, DO ≤ 2.0 mg·L-1) is most severe from May to August during the height of the Gulf shrimp fishery, but its effects on the fishery are not well known. Prior studies indicate that hypoxia alters the spatial dynamics of shrimp and other species through habitat loss and aggregation in nearby oxygenated refuge habitats. We hypothesized that hypoxia-induced changes in the distribution of shrimp also alter the spatial dynamics of the Gulf shrimp fleet. We integrated data on the geographic distribution of shrimp tows and bottom DO to evaluate the effects of hypoxia on spatial patterns in shrimping effort. Our analyses indicate that shrimping effort declines in low DO waters on both the Texas and Louisiana shelf, but that considerable effort still occurs in low DO waters off Louisiana, likely because riverine nutrients fuel both benthic production and low bottom DO in the same general regions. The response of the shrimp fleet to hypoxia on the Louisiana shelf was complex with shifts in effort inshore, offshore, westward, and eastward of the hypoxic zone, as well as to an oxygenated area between two hypoxia regimes associated with the Mississippi and the Atchafalaya River outflows. In contrast, effort on the Texas shelf mostly shifted offshore in response to low DO but also shifted inshore in some years. Spatial patterns in total shrimping effort were driven primarily by the number of shrimp tows, consistent with aggregation of the fleet outside of hypoxic waters, though tow duration also declined in low DO waters. Overall, our results demonstrate that hypoxia alters the spatial dynamics of the Gulf shrimp fishery with potential consequences for harvest interactions and the economic condition of the fishery.}, Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0183032}, Key = {fds328719} } @article{fds322708, Author = {Gopalakrishnan, S and Landry, CE and Smith, MD and Whitehead, JC}, Title = {Economics of coastal erosion and adaptation to sea level rise}, Journal = {Annual Review of Resource Economics}, Volume = {8}, Number = {1}, Pages = {119-139}, Publisher = {ANNUAL REVIEWS}, Year = {2016}, Month = {October}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-100815-095416}, Abstract = {This article provides a review and synthesis of geoeconomic models that are used to analyze coastal erosion management and shoreline change. We outline a generic framework for analyzing risk-mitigating and/or recreation-enhancing policy interventions within a dynamic framework, and we review literature that informs the nature and extent of net benefit flows associated with coastal management. Using stated preference analysis, we present new estimates on household preferences for shoreline erosion management, including costs associated with ecological impacts of management. Lastly, we offer some guidance on directions for future research.}, Doi = {10.1146/annurev-resource-100815-095416}, Key = {fds322708} } @article{fds267446, Author = {Asche, F and Roheim, CA and Smith, MD}, Title = {Trade intervention: Not a silver bullet to address environmental externalities in global aquaculture}, Journal = {Marine Policy}, Volume = {69}, Pages = {194-201}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2016}, Month = {July}, ISSN = {0308-597X}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.06.021}, Abstract = {Aquaculture has been the world's fastest growing food production technology in recent decades, and continued growth in aquaculture production is predicted. While creating economic opportunity, aquaculture is also a new way of using eco-systems, and there is substantial evidence that aquaculture creates negative environmental externalities. Although the most effective way to address these externalities may be improved governance, this approach is often difficult because most aquaculture production takes place in developing countries with limited management capacity. The fact that a large part of aquaculture production is traded motivates substantial interest in the use of trade measures to reduce environmental impacts. However, the wide variety of species, production practices, and governance systems present in aquaculture makes it unlikely that general trade measures will achieve environmental objectives. Rather, there is a real risk that trade measures will reduce economic opportunity, raise new equity concerns, and impinge on public health with little or no environmental impact.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.marpol.2015.06.021}, Key = {fds267446} } @article{fds314227, Author = {Cunningham, S and Bennear, LS and Smith, MD}, Title = {Spillovers in regional fisheries management: Do catch shares cause leakage?}, Journal = {Land Economics}, Volume = {92}, Number = {2}, Pages = {344-362}, Publisher = {University of Wisconsin Press}, Year = {2016}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0023-7639}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3368/le.92.2.344}, Abstract = {Regional councils manage U.S. fisheries. Fishermen can participate in fisheries managed by multiple councils, and effort controls in one region could lead to effort leakage into another. Theoretical modeling demonstrates that positive, negative, and no leakage are possible. Using difference-in-differences, we test for leakage across regional boundaries for a catch share program in New England and find evidence that the New England groundfish sector program caused spillover into adjacent Mid-Atlantic fisheries. Aggregate Mid-Atlantic harvest volume increased among sector members after the policy change. We find leakage in individual fisheries with similar gear and high market substitutability with sector species.}, Doi = {10.3368/le.92.2.344}, Key = {fds314227} } @article{fds314221, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {American Catch: The Fight for Our Local Seafood. By Paul Greenberg}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {31}, Number = {1}, Pages = {117-119}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2016}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0738-1360}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000366629500007&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1086/684368}, Key = {fds314221} } @article{fds267448, Author = {Asche, F and Chen, Y and Smith, MD}, Title = {Economic incentives to target species and fish size: Prices and fine-scale product attributes in Norwegian fisheries}, Journal = {ICES Journal of Marine Science}, Volume = {72}, Number = {3}, Pages = {733-740}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2015}, Month = {August}, ISSN = {1054-3139}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsu208}, Abstract = {Improved fisheries management provides fishers with more opportunities to maximize harvest value by accounting for valuable attributes of the harvest such as species, harvest timing, fish size, product form, and landing location. Harvest values can also vary by vessel and gear type. Moreover, the extent of targeting can influence the ecosystem in which the fishers operate and provide important management challenges.Weutilize a unique dataset containing daily vessel-level fish landings in one region of Norway in 2010 to investigate the value of an array of attributes, including species, product form, product condition, timing, fish size, vessel type, gear type, and landing location for cod and other whitefish species, aswell as king crab. Wealso investigate to what extent landed value differs across different communities, firms, and plants. The results indicate substantial variation for all attributes, highlighting opportunities for fishers aswell as potential management challenges. For whitefish, the species landed accounts for threequarters of the variation in prices. For cod in particular, the fish size accounts for nearly all variation in prices. In these fisheries, market conditions justify management focus on the biological composition of the catch.}, Doi = {10.1093/icesjms/fsu208}, Key = {fds267448} } @article{fds267450, Author = {Asche, F and Bellemare, MF and Roheim, C and Smith, MD and Tveteras, S}, Title = {Fair Enough? Food Security and the International Trade of Seafood}, Journal = {World Development}, Volume = {67}, Pages = {151-160}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2015}, Month = {March}, ISSN = {0305-750X}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.10.013}, Abstract = {Does international trade make all parties better off? We study the relationship between food security and the international trade of fish and seafood between developing and developed countries. Specifically, we look at and discuss the evolution of trade flows - values, quantities, and prices - between developing and developed countries. The picture that emerges suggests that the quantity of seafood exported from developing countries to developed countries is close to the quantity of seafood imported by developing countries from developed countries. What takes place is a quality exchange: developing countries export high-quality seafood in exchange for lower quality seafood.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.10.013}, Key = {fds267450} } @article{fds267447, Author = {Anderson, JL and Anderson, CM and Chu, J and Meredith, J and Asche, F and Sylvia, G and Smith, MD and Anggraeni, D and Arthur, R and Guttormsen, A and McCluney, JK and Ward, T and Akpalu, W and Eggert, H and Flores, J and Freeman, MA and Holland, DS and Knapp, G and Kobayashi, M and Larkin, S and MacLauchlin, K and Schnier, K and Soboil, M and Tveteras, S and Uchida, H and Valderrama, D}, Title = {The fishery performance indicators: a management tool for triple bottom line outcomes.}, Journal = {PloS one}, Volume = {10}, Number = {5}, Pages = {e0122809}, Year = {2015}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0122809}, Abstract = {Pursuit of the triple bottom line of economic, community and ecological sustainability has increased the complexity of fishery management; fisheries assessments require new types of data and analysis to guide science-based policy in addition to traditional biological information and modeling. We introduce the Fishery Performance Indicators (FPIs), a broadly applicable and flexible tool for assessing performance in individual fisheries, and for establishing cross-sectional links between enabling conditions, management strategies and triple bottom line outcomes. Conceptually separating measures of performance, the FPIs use 68 individual outcome metrics--coded on a 1 to 5 scale based on expert assessment to facilitate application to data poor fisheries and sectors--that can be partitioned into sector-based or triple-bottom-line sustainability-based interpretative indicators. Variation among outcomes is explained with 54 similarly structured metrics of inputs, management approaches and enabling conditions. Using 61 initial fishery case studies drawn from industrial and developing countries around the world, we demonstrate the inferential importance of tracking economic and community outcomes, in addition to resource status.}, Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0122809}, Key = {fds267447} } @article{fds267449, Author = {McNamara, DE and Gopalakrishnan, S and Smith, MD and Murray, AB}, Title = {Climate adaptation and policy-induced inflation of coastal property value.}, Journal = {PloS one}, Volume = {10}, Number = {3}, Pages = {e0121278}, Year = {2015}, Month = {January}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0121278}, Abstract = {Human population density in the coastal zone and potential impacts of climate change underscore a growing conflict between coastal development and an encroaching shoreline. Rising sea-levels and increased storminess threaten to accelerate coastal erosion, while growing demand for coastal real estate encourages more spending to hold back the sea in spite of the shrinking federal budget for beach nourishment. As climatic drivers and federal policies for beach nourishment change, the evolution of coastline mitigation and property values is uncertain. We develop an empirically grounded, stochastic dynamic model coupling coastal property markets and shoreline evolution, including beach nourishment, and show that a large share of coastal property value reflects capitalized erosion control. The model is parameterized for coastal properties and physical forcing in North Carolina, U.S.A. and we conduct sensitivity analyses using property values spanning a wide range of sandy coastlines along the U.S. East Coast. The model shows that a sudden removal of federal nourishment subsidies, as has been proposed, could trigger a dramatic downward adjustment in coastal real estate, analogous to the bursting of a bubble. We find that the policy-induced inflation of property value grows with increased erosion from sea level rise or increased storminess, but the effect of background erosion is larger due to human behavioral feedbacks. Our results suggest that if nourishment is not a long-run strategy to manage eroding coastlines, a gradual removal is more likely to smooth the transition to more climate-resilient coastal communities.}, Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0121278}, Key = {fds267449} } @article{fds314230, Author = {Asche, F and Larsen, TA and Smith, MD and Sogn-Grundvåg, G and Young, JA}, Title = {Pricing of eco-labels with retailer heterogeneity}, Journal = {Food Policy}, Volume = {53}, Pages = {82-93}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2015}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0306-9192}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2015.04.004}, Abstract = {Eco-labels are important features of many natural resource and food markets. They certify that a product has some desirable unobserved quality, typically related to a public good such as being sustainably produced. Two issues that have received limited attention are whether pricing varies across different eco-labels that may compete with each other and to what extent different retailers charge different prices. Using a unique data set of salmon prices in eight different United Kingdom retail chains, we investigate these issues by estimating a price-attribute model that includes two eco-labels and one country-of-origin label. Results show substantial variation in the prices of the different eco-labels and that eco-label premiums vary across retail chains. Specifically, salmon certified with the Marine Stewardship Council (MSC) label has a high premium in low-end retail chains but no statistically significant premium in the high-end chains. These findings question the ability of the MSC label to transmit consumer willingness-to-pay for public goods through the supply chain to incentivize sustainable management. In contrast, premiums for organic certification are similar in magnitude across retailer types. In general, failure to account for retailer heterogeneity will over- or under-estimate a label's premium.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.foodpol.2015.04.004}, Key = {fds314230} } @article{fds267452, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Fauna in decline: management risks.}, Journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, Volume = {346}, Number = {6211}, Pages = {819}, Year = {2014}, Month = {November}, ISSN = {0036-8075}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.346.6211.819-b}, Doi = {10.1126/science.346.6211.819-b}, Key = {fds267452} } @article{fds267454, Author = {Smith, MD and Asche, F and Bennear, LS and Oglend, A}, Title = {Spatial-dynamics of hypoxia and fisheries: The case of Gulf of Mexico brown shrimp}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {29}, Number = {2}, Pages = {111-131}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2014}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0738-1360}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/676826}, Abstract = {We analyze the Gulf of Mexico brown shrimp fishery and the potential impacts of a large seasonal area of hypoxia (low dissolved oxygen) that coincides with the peak shrimp season. A spatial-dynamic bioeconomic simulation embeds three biological impacts on shrimp: mortality, growth, and aggregation on hypoxic edges. Hypoxia creates feedbacks in the bioeconomic system, altering catch and effort patterns. System changes propagate over space to affect areas that do not experience hypoxia. Areas that might otherwise be considered controls in a natural experiments framework are contaminated by the ecological disturbance through spatial sorting. Aggregate predictions from simulations are similar to empirical fishery data. Average shrimp size and total landings are negatively correlated, as are hypoxic severity and landings. Shrimp size and hypoxic severity are only weakly negatively correlated. Growth overfishing, which varies with recruitment success and ecological disturbances, is a key mediating effect.}, Doi = {10.1086/676826}, Key = {fds267454} } @article{fds267455, Author = {Abbott, J and Anderson, JL and Campling, L and Hannesson, R and Havice, E and Lozier, MS and Smith, MD and Wilberg, MJ}, Title = {Steering the global partnership for oceans}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {29}, Number = {1}, Pages = {1-16}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2014}, Month = {May}, ISSN = {0738-1360}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/676290}, Abstract = {The Global Partnership for Oceans (GPO) is an alliance of governments, private firms, international organizations, and civil society groups that aims to promote ocean health while contributing to human wellbeing. A Blue Ribbon Panel (BRP) was commissioned to develop guiding principles for GPO investments. Here we offer commentary on the BRP report from scholars in multiple disciplines that study the oceans: environmental economics, environmental politics, fisheries science, physical oceanography, and political economy. The BRP is a prominent, unique group of individuals representing diverse interests of GPO partners. We applaud the call for knowledge creation, but identify diverse issues that the BRP omitted: the need for effective governance to address data-poor stocks so that gaps do not dictate solutions; the deployment of projects that facilitate learning about governance effectiveness through program evaluation; and the importance of large-scale coordination of data collection in furthering the BRP's call for capacity building. Commenters' opinions are mixed on the likely impact of the report's recommendations on ocean health, governance, and economic development, but they highlight several key features of the report. A centerpiece of the report that distinguishes it from most previous high-level reports on the oceans is the prominence given to human well-being. The report emphasizes the commons problem as a critical institutional failure that must be addressed and focuses heavily on market-based mechanisms to improve governance. The report successfully acknowledges tradeoffs-across different stakeholders as well as across human well-being and ocean health-but there is little specific guidance on how to make these tradeoffs. Historical tensions among GPO partners run deep, and resolving them will require more than high-level principles. For instance, it is unclear how to resolve the potential conflict between proprietary data and the report's stated desire for transparency and open access to information. Some differences may ultimately be irreconcilable. The report appropriately advocates flexibility for the GPO to adapt solutions to particulars of a problem, avoiding the trap of one size fits all. However, flexibility is also a weakness because the BRP does not provide guidance on how best to approach problems that span multiple scales. Some scales may be beyond the scope of the GPO; for example, the GPO cannot meaningfully contribute to global climate change mitigation. Nevertheless, the GPO could play an important role in climate adaptation by facilitating the development of governance regimes that are resilient to climate-induced species migrations.}, Doi = {10.1086/676290}, Key = {fds267455} } @article{fds267456, Author = {Smith, MD and Asche, F and Bennear, LS and Havice, E and Read, AJ and Squires, D}, Title = {Will a catch share for whales improve social welfare?}, Journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America}, Volume = {24}, Number = {1}, Pages = {15-23}, Year = {2014}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {1051-0761}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/13-0085.1}, Abstract = {We critique a proposal to use catch shares to manage transboundary wildlife resources with potentially high non-extractive values, and we focus on the case of whales. Because whales are impure public goods, a policy that fails to capture all nonmarket benefits (due to free riding) could lead to a suboptimal outcome. Even if free riding were overcome, whale shares would face four implementation challenges. First, a whale share could legitimize the international trade in whale meat and expand the whale meat market. Second, a legal whale trade creates monitoring and enforcement challenges similar to those of organizations that manage highly migratory species such as tuna. Third, a whale share could create a new political economy of management that changes incentives and increases costs for nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) to achieve the current level of conservation. Fourth, a whale share program creates new logistical challenges for quota definition and allocation regardless of whether the market for whale products expands or contracts. Each of these issues, if left unaddressed, could result in lower overall welfare for society than under the status quo.}, Doi = {10.1890/13-0085.1}, Key = {fds267456} } @article{fds267451, Author = {Huang, L and Smith, MD}, Title = {The Dynamic Efficiency Costs of Common-Pool Resource Exploitation}, Journal = {American Economic Review}, Volume = {104}, Number = {12}, Pages = {4071-4103}, Publisher = {American Economic Association}, Year = {2014}, ISSN = {0002-8282}, url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10161/9293 Duke open access}, Abstract = {We conduct the first empirical investigation of common-pool resource users' dynamic and strategic behavior at the micro level using real-world data. Fishermen's strategies in a fully dynamic game account for latent resource dynamics and other players' actions, revealing the profit structure of the fishery. We compare the fishermen's actual and socially optimal exploitation paths under a time-specific vessel allocation policy and find a sizable dynamic externality. Individual fishermen respond to other users by exerting effort above the optimal level early in the season. Congestion is costly instantaneously but is beneficial in the long run because it partially offsets dynamic inefficiencies.}, Doi = {10.1257/aer.104.12.4071}, Key = {fds267451} } @article{fds267457, Author = {Campbell, LM and Boucquey, N and Stoll, J and Coppola, H and Smith, MD}, Title = {From Vegetable Box to Seafood Cooler: Applying the Community-Supported Agriculture Model to Fisheries}, Journal = {Society and Natural Resources}, Year = {2014}, ISSN = {0894-1920}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08941920.2013.842276}, Abstract = {Community-supported fisheries (CSF) projects show signs of rapid growth. Modeled on community-supported agriculture (CSA) projects, CSFs share objectives of reducing social and physical distance between consumers and producers and re-embedding food systems in social and environmental contexts. This article offers a comparison of CSF and CSA, situated in the differences between seafood and agricultural products, and fishing and farming. We draw on economic and resource theory, past research on CSA, and a member survey from a case study CSF. Survey results show CSF members are interested in accessing high-quality, fresh, local seafood, and in supporting fishing communities, and they believe that participating in a CSF achieves both. They are less certain that a CSF can address environmental concerns, and few identify environmental motives as their primary reason for participating. The latter contrasts with CSA research results, and we contextualize these findings in our broader comparison. © 2014 Copyright Taylor and Francis Group, LLC.}, Doi = {10.1080/08941920.2013.842276}, Key = {fds267457} } @article{fds267461, Author = {Williams, ZC and McNamara, DE and Smith, MD and Murray, AB and Gopalakrishnan, S}, Title = {Coupled economic-coastline modeling with suckers and free riders}, Journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface}, Volume = {118}, Number = {2}, Pages = {887-899}, Publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)}, Year = {2013}, Month = {June}, ISSN = {2169-9011}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jgrf.20066}, Abstract = {Shoreline erosion is a natural trend along most sandy coastlines. Humans often respond to shoreline erosion with beach nourishment to maintain coastal property values. Locally extending the shoreline through nourishment alters alongshore sediment transport and changes shoreline dynamics in adjacent coastal regions. If left unmanaged, sandy coastlines can have spatially complex or simple patterns of erosion due to the relationship of large-scale morphology and the local wave climate. Using a numerical model that simulates spatially decentralized and locally optimal nourishment decisions characteristic of much of U.S. East Coast beach management, we find that human erosion intervention does not simply reflect the alongshore erosion pattern. Spatial interactions generate feedbacks in economic and physical variables that lead to widespread emergence of "free riders" and "suckers" with subsequent inequality in the alongshore distribution of property value. Along cuspate coastlines, such as those found along the U.S. Southeast Coast, these long-term property value differences span an order of magnitude. Results imply that spatially decentralized management of nourishment can lead to property values that are divorced from spatial erosion signals; this management approach is unlikely to be optimal. Key Points Spatial interactions drive feedbacks between economic and physical variables Property value differences span an order of magnitude along cuspate coastlines Spatially myopic nourishment disconnects property value from physical forcing ©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.}, Doi = {10.1002/jgrf.20066}, Key = {fds267461} } @article{fds222694, Author = {Williams, Z.C. and D. McNamara and S. Gopalakrishnan and M.D. Smith and A.B. Murray}, Title = {A Coupled Economic-Coastline Model Modeling with Free Riders and Suckers}, Journal = {J Geophys Res}, Year = {2013}, Key = {fds222694} } @article{fds267459, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Reflections on Marine Resource Economics: Editor’s Introduction}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {27}, Number = {3}, Pages = {197-201}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2012}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {0738-1360}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000309334000001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.5950/0738-1360-27.3.197}, Key = {fds267459} } @article{fds267469, Author = {Tveterås, S and Asche, F and Bellemare, MF and Smith, MD and Guttormsen, AG and Lem, A and Lien, K and Vannuccini, S}, Title = {Fish is food--the FAO's fish price index.}, Journal = {PloS one}, Volume = {7}, Number = {5}, Pages = {e36731}, Year = {2012}, Month = {January}, url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22590598}, Abstract = {World food prices hit an all-time high in February 2011 and are still almost two and a half times those of 2000. Although three billion people worldwide use seafood as a key source of animal protein, the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations-which compiles prices for other major food categories-has not tracked seafood prices. We fill this gap by developing an index of global seafood prices that can help to understand food crises and may assist in averting them. The fish price index (FPI) relies on trade statistics because seafood is heavily traded internationally, exposing non-traded seafood to price competition from imports and exports. Easily updated trade data can thus proxy for domestic seafood prices that are difficult to observe in many regions and costly to update with global coverage. Calculations of the extent of price competition in different countries support the plausibility of reliance on trade data. Overall, the FPI shows less volatility and fewer price spikes than other food price indices including oils, cereals, and dairy. The FPI generally reflects seafood scarcity, but it can also be separated into indices by production technology, fish species, or region. Splitting FPI into capture fisheries and aquaculture suggests increased scarcity of capture fishery resources in recent years, but also growth in aquaculture that is keeping pace with demand. Regionally, seafood price volatility varies, and some prices are negatively correlated. These patterns hint that regional supply shocks are consequential for seafood prices in spite of the high degree of seafood tradability.}, Doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0036731}, Key = {fds267469} } @article{fds215333, Author = {Tveterås, S. and F. Asche and M.F. Bellemare and M.D. Smith and A.G. Guttormsen, A. Lem and K. Lien and S. Vannuccini}, Title = {Fish Is Food - The FAO Fish Price Index}, Journal = {PLoS ONE}, Volume = {7(5): e36731}, Year = {2012}, url = {http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0036731}, Key = {fds215333} } @article{fds267463, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {The New Fisheries Economics: Incentives Across Many Margins}, Journal = {ANNUAL REVIEW OF RESOURCE ECONOMICS, VOL 4}, Volume = {4}, Number = {1}, Pages = {379-+}, Publisher = {ANNUAL REVIEWS}, Year = {2012}, ISSN = {1941-1340}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000311896200018&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Doi = {10.1146/annurev-resource-110811-114550}, Key = {fds267463} } @article{fds267470, Author = {Asche, F and Bennear, LS and Oglend, A and Smith, MD}, Title = {U.S. Shrimp Market Integration}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {27}, Number = {2}, Pages = {181-192}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2012}, ISSN = {0738-1360}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5950/0738-1360-27.2.181}, Abstract = {Recent supply shocks in the Gulf of Mexico-including hurricanes, the Deepwater Horizon oil spill, and the seasonal appearance of a large dead zone of low oxygen water (hypoxia)-have raised concerns about the economic viability of the U.S. shrimp fishery. The ability of U.S. shrimpers to mediate supply shocks through increased prices hinges on the degree of market integration, both among shrimp of different sizes classes and between U.S. wild caught shrimp and imported farmed shrimp. We use detailed data on shrimp prices by size class and import prices to conduct a co-integration analysis of market integration in the shrimp industry. We find significant evidence of market integration, suggesting that the law of one price holds for this industry. Hence, in the face of a supply shocks, prices do not rise; instead, imports of foreign farmed fish increase.}, Doi = {10.5950/0738-1360-27.2.181}, Key = {fds267470} } @article{fds267472, Author = {Huang, L and Nichols, LAB and Craig, JK and Smith, MD}, Title = {Measuring Welfare Losses from Hypoxia: The Case of North Carolina Brown Shrimp}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {27}, Number = {1}, Pages = {3-23}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2012}, ISSN = {0738-1360}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5950/0738-1360-27.1.3}, Abstract = {While environmental stressors such as hypoxia (low dissolved oxygen) are perceived as a threat to the productivity of coastal ecosystems, policy makers have little information about the economic consequences for fisheries. Recent work on hypoxia develops a bioeconomic model to harness microdata and quantify the effects of hypoxia on North Carolina's brown shrimp fishery. This work finds that hypoxia is responsible for a 12.9% decrease in NC brown shrimp catches from 1999-2005 in the Neuse River Estuary and Pamlico Sound, assuming that vessels do not react to changes in abundance. The current article extends this work to explore the full economic consequences of hypoxia on the supply and demand for brown shrimp. Demand analysis reveals that the NC shrimp industry is too small to influence prices, which are driven entirely by imports and other domestic U.S. harvest. Thus, demand is flat and there are no measurable benefits to shrimp consumers from reduced hypoxia. On the supply side, we find that the shrimp fleet responds to variation in price, abundance, and weather. Hence, the supply curve has some elasticity. Producer benefits of reduced hypoxia are less than a quarter of the computed gains from assuming no behavioral adjustment. Copyright © 2012 MRE Foundation, Inc.}, Doi = {10.5950/0738-1360-27.1.3}, Key = {fds267472} } @article{fds267471, Author = {Lazarus, ED and McNamara, DE and Smith, MD and Gopalakrishnan, S and Murray, AB}, Title = {Emergent behavior in a coupled economic and coastline model for beach nourishment}, Journal = {Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics}, Volume = {18}, Number = {6}, Pages = {989-999}, Publisher = {Copernicus GmbH}, Year = {2011}, Month = {December}, ISSN = {1023-5809}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000298367500018&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {Developed coastal areas often exhibit a strong systemic coupling between shoreline dynamics and economic dynamics. "Beach nourishment", a common erosion-control practice, involves mechanically depositing sediment from outside the local littoral system onto an actively eroding shoreline to alter shoreline morphology. Natural sedimenttransport processes quickly rework the newly engineered beach, causing further changes to the shoreline that in turn affect subsequent beach-nourishment decisions. To the limited extent that this landscape/economic coupling has been considered, evidence suggests that towns tend to employ spatially myopic economic strategies under which individual towns make isolated decisions that do not account for their neighbors. What happens when an optimization strategy that explicitly ignores spatial interactions is incorporated into a physical model that is spatially dynamic? The longterm attractor that develops for the coupled system (the state and behavior to which the system evolves over time) is unclear. We link an economic model, in which town-manager agents choose economically optimal beach-nourishment intervals according to past observations of their immediate shoreline, to a simplified coastal-dynamics model that includes alongshore sediment transport and background erosion (e.g. from sea-level rise). Simulations suggest that feedbacks between these human and natural coastal processes can generate emergent behaviors. When alongshore sediment transport and spatially myopic nourishment decisions are coupled, increases in the rate of sea-level rise can destabilize economically optimal nourishment practices into a regime characterized by the emergence of chaotic shoreline evolution. © Author(s) 2011.}, Doi = {10.5194/npg-18-989-2011}, Key = {fds267471} } @article{fds314222, Author = {Smith, MD and Gopalakrishnan, S}, Title = {Prices and Quantities to Control Overfishing}, Year = {2011}, Month = {July}, Abstract = {Economists have long promoted fishery rationalization programs, but ITQs may fail to address the ecological consequences of fishing. Of particular concern is that economic incentives to harvest larger fish (due to size-dependent pricing or quota-induced discarding) can destabilize fish populations or lead to evolutionary changes. A substantial theoretical literature in economics has explored incentive problems in ITQ fisheries but has treated highgrading as part of the stock externality. We provide an alternative viewpoint in that the stock externality and the size-based incentives are two distinct externalities and thus require two distinct policy instruments. In this paper, we show that if managers know the price-by-size distribution and the size distribution of the population, total revenues and total catch (in weight) by vessel are sufficient statistics to design a schedule of revenue-neutral individualized landings taxes that eliminate the incentive to highgrade in an ITQ fishery. Landings taxes can be used to address the ecological consequences of fishing while using ITQs to address the open access stock externality.}, Key = {fds314222} } @article{fds201467, Author = {Gopalakrishnan, S. and D. McNamara and A.B. Murray and J.M. Slott and M.D. Smith}, Title = {Shifting Shorelines: Adapting to the Future}, Journal = {Proceedings of the Coastal Society's 2010 International Conference, Wilmington, NC}, Year = {2011}, Key = {fds201467} } @article{fds267473, Author = {Smith, MD and Crowder, LB}, Title = {Valuing Ecosystem Services with Fishery Rents: A Lumped-Parameter Approach to Hypoxia in the Neuse River Estuary}, Journal = {Sustainability}, Volume = {3}, Number = {11}, Pages = {2229-2267}, Publisher = {MDPI AG}, Year = {2011}, ISSN = {2071-1050}, url = {http://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/3/11/2229/pdf}, Abstract = {Valuing ecosystem services with microeconomic underpinnings presents challenges because these services typically constitute nonmarket values and contribute to human welfare indirectly through a series of ecological pathways that are dynamic, nonlinear, and difficult to quantify and link to appropriate economic spatial and temporal scales. This paper develops and demonstrates a method to value a portion of ecosystem services when a commercial fishery is dependent on the quality of estuarine habitat. Using a lumped-parameter, dynamic open access bioeconomic model that is spatially explicit and includes predator-prey interactions, this paper quantifies part of the value of improved ecosystem function in the Neuse River Estuary when nutrient pollution is reduced. Specifically, it traces the effects of nitrogen loading on the North Carolina commercial blue crab fishery by modeling the response of primary production and the subsequent impact on hypoxia (low dissolved oxygen). Hypoxia, in turn, affects blue crabs and their preferred prey. The discounted present value fishery rent increase from a 30% reduction in nitrogen loadings in the Neuse is $2.56 million, though this welfare estimate is fairly sensitive to some parameter values. Surprisingly, this number is not sensitive to initial conditions. © 2011 by the authors.}, Doi = {10.3390/su3112229}, Key = {fds267473} } @article{fds267474, Author = {Zhang, J and Smith, MD}, Title = {Estimation of a generalized fishery model: A two-stage approach}, Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics}, Volume = {93}, Number = {2}, Pages = {690-699}, Publisher = {MIT Press - Journals}, Year = {2011}, ISSN = {0034-6535}, url = {http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1162/REST_a_00075}, Abstract = {U.S. federal law calls for an end to overfishing, but measuring overfishing requires knowledge of bioeconomic parameters. Using microlevel economic data from the commercial fishery, this paper proposes a two-stage approach to estimate these parameters for a generalized fishery model. In the first stage, a fishery production function is consistently estimated by a within-period estimator treating the latent stock as a fixed effect. The estimated stock is then substituted into an equation of fish stock dynamics to estimate all other biological parameters. The bootstrap approach is used to correct the standard errors in the two-stage model. This method is applied to the reef-fish fishery in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. The traditional method, which uses catch-per-unit-effort as a stock proxy, significantly overstates the optimal harvest level. © 2011 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.}, Doi = {10.1162/REST_a_00075}, Key = {fds267474} } @article{fds267475, Author = {Conrad, JM and Smith, MD}, Title = {Non-spatial and spatial models in bioeconomics}, Journal = {Natural Resource Modeling}, Volume = {25}, Number = {1}, Pages = {52-92}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2011}, ISSN = {0890-8575}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1939-7445.2011.00102.x}, Abstract = {Beginning in the 1960s, ecologists, mathematicians, and economists started developing a class of models, which today are referred to as bioeconomic models. These early models started with a difference or differential equation describing the dynamics of a biological resource. To this equation one might add a second difference or differential equation describing the dynamics of "harvesting effort." Alternatively, one could formulate a dynamic optimization problem seeking to maximize discounted net benefit. These models provided important insights into the tragedy of the commons and policies that might promote optimal management. By the 1970s, more complex models were developed incorporating multispecies interactions, age-structured populations, and models with stochastic growth. In the late 1990s, spatial bioeconomic models were developed in recognition of the importance of location when managing biological resources. The objectives of this survey are to: (i) review some of the early models in bioeconomics, (ii) present some of the key spatial models in bioeconomics that have been used to assess the value of marine (no-take) reserves, and (iii) speculate on the direction of future research in spatial bioeconomics. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1939-7445.2011.00102.x}, Key = {fds267475} } @article{fds267476, Author = {Zhang, J and Smith, MD}, Title = {Heterogeneous Response to Marine Reserve Formation: A Sorting Model Approach}, Journal = {Environ & Resource Econ}, Volume = {49}, Number = {3}, Pages = {311-325}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2011}, ISSN = {0924-6460}, url = {http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/klu/eare/2011/00000049/00000003/00009434?crawler=true}, Abstract = {The bioeconomic impacts of spatial fisheries management hinge on how fishing vessels reallocate their effort over space. However, empirical studies face two challenges: heterogeneous behavioral responses and unobservable resource abundance. This paper addresses these two problems simultaneously by using an unusual data set and an estimation technique developed in the industrial organization literature. We apply the methods to location and species choices in the Gulf of Mexico reef-fish fishery. The models are used to explore spatial effort substitution in response to two marine reserves. Individual attributes from a survey of vessel captains are linked to each fisherman's observed daily trip information to control for observable heterogeneity. Some unobservable abundance information is captured by location- and species-specific constants and estimated by contraction mapping. The empirical results confirm that there is significant heterogeneity in fishermen's response to the formation of marine reserves. They also show that ignoring unobservable abundance information will lead to significant bias in predicting spatial fishing effort. © 2010 The Author(s).}, Doi = {10.1007/s10640-010-9434-x}, Key = {fds267476} } @article{fds267477, Author = {Gopalakrishnan, S and Smith, MD and Slott, JM and Murray, AB}, Title = {The Value of Disappearing Beaches: A Hedonic Model with Endogenous Beach Width}, Journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, Volume = {61}, Number = {3}, Pages = {297-310}, Year = {2011}, ISSN = {0095-0696}, url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0095069610001221}, Abstract = {Beach nourishment is a policy used to rebuild eroding beaches with sand dredged from other locations. Previous studies indicate that beach width positively affects coastal property values, but these studies ignore the dynamic features of beaches and the feedback that nourishment has on shoreline retreat. We correct for the resulting attenuation and endogeneity bias in a hedonic property value model by instrumenting for beach width using spatially varying coastal geological features. We find that the beach width coefficient is nearly five times larger than the OLS estimate, suggesting that beach width is a much larger portion of property value than previously thought. We use the empirical results to parameterize a dynamic optimization model of beach nourishment decisions and show that the predicted interval between nourishment projects is closer to what we observe in the data when we use the estimate from the instrumental variables model rather than OLS. As coastal communities adapt to climate change, we find that the long-term net value of coastal residential property can fall by as much as 52% when erosion rate triples and cost of nourishment sand quadruples. © 2010 Elsevier Inc.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jeem.2010.09.003}, Key = {fds267477} } @article{fds267479, Author = {Huang, L and Smith, MD}, Title = {Management of an Annual Fishery in the Presence of Ecological Stress: The Case of Shrimp and Hypoxia}, Journal = {Ecological Economics}, Volume = {70}, Number = {4}, Pages = {688-697}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2011}, ISSN = {0921-8009}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2010.11.003}, Abstract = {The emergence of ecosystem-based management suggests that traditional fisheries management and protection of environmental quality are increasingly interrelated. Fishery managers, however, have limited control over most sources of marine and estuarine pollution and at best can only adapt to environmental conditions. We develop a bioeconomic model of optimal harvest of an annual species that is subject to an environmental disturbance. We parameterize the model to analyze the effect of hypoxia (low dissolved oxygen) on the optimal harvest path of brown shrimp, a commercially important species that is fished in hypoxic waters in the Gulf of Mexico and in estuaries in the southeastern United States. We find that hypoxia alters the qualitative pattern of optimal harvest and shifts the season opening earlier in the year; more severe hypoxia leads to even earlier season openings. Failure to adapt to hypoxia leads to greater losses when the effects of hypoxia are more severe. However, rent gains from adapting fishery management to hypoxia are relatively small compared to rent losses from the hypoxia effect itself. This suggests that it is critical for other regulatory agencies to control estuarine pollution, and fishery managers need to generate value from the fishery resources through other means such as rationalization. © 2010 Elsevier B.V.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.ecolecon.2010.11.003}, Key = {fds267479} } @article{fds359357, Author = {Murray, AB and Gopalakrishnan, S and McNamara, D and Smith, MD}, Title = {Progress in Coupling Models of Human and Coastal Landscape Change}, Journal = {Computers & Geosciences}, Year = {2011}, Key = {fds359357} } @article{fds267480, Author = {Smith, MD and Asche, F and Guttormsen, AG and Wiener, JB}, Title = {Genetically Modified Salmon and Full Impact Assessment}, Journal = {Science}, Volume = {330}, Number = {6007}, Pages = {1052-1053}, Year = {2010}, Month = {November}, url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21097923}, Doi = {10.1126/science.1197769}, Key = {fds267480} } @article{fds267482, Author = {Smith, MD and Lynham, J and Sanchirico, JN and Wilson, JA}, Title = {Political economy of marine reserves: understanding the role of opportunity costs.}, Journal = {Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A}, Volume = {107}, Number = {43}, Pages = {18300-18305}, Year = {2010}, Month = {October}, url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20133732}, Abstract = {The creation of marine reserves is often controversial. For decisionmakers, trying to find compromises, an understanding of the timing, magnitude, and incidence of the costs of a reserve is critical. Understanding the costs, in turn, requires consideration of not just the direct financial costs but also the opportunity costs associated with reserves. We use a discrete choice model of commercial fishermen's behavior to examine both the short-run and long-run opportunity costs of marine reserves. Our results can help policymakers recognize the factors influencing commercial fishermen's responses to reserve proposals. More generally, we highlight the potential drivers behind the political economy of marine reserves.}, Doi = {10.1073/pnas.0907365107}, Key = {fds267482} } @article{fds267488, Author = {Smith, MD and Roheim, CA and Crowder, LB and Halpern, BS and Turnipseed, M and Anderson, JL and Asche, F and Bourillón, L and Guttormsen, AG and Khan, A and Liguori, LA and McNevin, A and O'Connor, MI and Squires, D and Tyedmers, P and Brownstein, C and Carden, K and Klinger, DH and Sagarin, R and Selkoe, KA}, Title = {Economics. Sustainability and global seafood.}, Journal = {Science}, Volume = {327}, Number = {5967}, Pages = {784-786}, Year = {2010}, Month = {February}, url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20150469}, Doi = {10.1126/science.1185345}, Key = {fds267488} } @article{fds184505, Author = {L. Huang and L.A.B. Nichols and J.K. Craig and M.D. Smith}, Title = {Economic Impacts of Hypoxia on North Carolina Brown Shrimp}, Journal = {CD ROM Proceedings of the15th Biennial Conference of the International Institute for Fisheries Economics and Trade}, Year = {2010}, Key = {fds184505} } @article{fds184506, Author = {M.D. Smith and S. Gopalakrishnan}, Title = {Combining Property Rights and Landings Taxes to Mitigate the Ecological Impacts of Fishing}, Journal = {CD ROM Proceedings of the15th Biennial Conference of the International Institute for Fisheries Economics and Trade}, Year = {2010}, Key = {fds184506} } @article{fds267478, Author = {McNamara, D and Murray, AB and Smith, MD}, Title = {Coastal sustainability depends on how economic and coastline responses to climate change affect each other}, Journal = {Geophysical Research Letters}, Volume = {38}, Number = {7}, Pages = {n/a-n/a}, Publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)}, Year = {2010}, ISSN = {0094-8276}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047207}, Abstract = {Human-induced climate change is predicted to accelerate sea level rise and alter storm frequency along the US east coast. Rising sea level will enhance shoreline erosion, and recent work indicates changing storm patterns and associated changes in wave conditions can intensify coastal erosion along parts of a coastline. Investigations of coastal response to climate change typically consider natural processes in isolation neglecting repeated changes to the coastline from human actions, primarily through shoreline nourishment projects, which add sand to the shoreline to counteract erosion. In a model coupling economically driven shoreline nourishment with wave- and sea level rise-driven coastline change, and accounting for dwindling sediment resources for nourishment, coastline response depends dramatically on the relationship between patterns of property value and erosion. Simulations show that when nourishment costs rise with depletion of sand resources, coastline change is tied to the interaction between patterns of erosion and property value. Simulations show that when high property values align with highly erosive locations, sand resources are depleted rapidly and nourishment in lower property value towns is quickly abandoned. Although our model simulates a particular coastal morphology, the result that future behavior of the coastline and the economic viability of nourishment in a given town depend on the regional interaction between patterns of property value and erosion is likely applicable to many coastal configurations. More broadly, coupling economic and physical models reveals equity and sustainability implications of coastal climate adaptation as well as patterns of coastline change that a physical model alone would overlook. Copyright 2011 by the American Geophysical Union.}, Doi = {10.1029/2011GL047207}, Key = {fds267478} } @article{fds267481, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Toward an Econometric Foundation for Marine Ecosystem-based Management}, Journal = {Bulletin of Marine Science}, Volume = {86}, Number = {2}, Pages = {461-477}, Year = {2010}, ISSN = {0007-4977}, Abstract = {Fishery-dependent data increasingly include fine-scale resolution of the spatial and temporal behavior of individual fishing vessels. Here, I discuss how empirical economic models can be used to analyze these data and inform the design and evaluation of marine spatial management. First, empirical economic models can isolate the causal drivers of fishing decisions and inform managers about what will happen after a policy change such as the formation of a new marine reserve. The main approach in fisheries economics is to use a statistical model of fishing-ground choice as a function of the profitability of each alternative. I highlight key findings from this literature and ways in which recent methodological developments can address emerging issues in spatial management. Second, the decisions of individual fishermen can reveal information about the spatial biophysical characteristics of an ecosystem. To illustrate this point, I present a Monte Carlo simulated-data experiment in which individual spatial fishing choices are statistically analyzed. The experiment shows how the information embedded in individual fishermen's choices can isolate the spatiotemporal pattern of fish abundance. Tis pattern, in turn, can be used to quantify the environment dependence of fishery resources. Harnessing fishery-dependent data in this way can in principle show how environmental variables affect fisheries without direct observation of fish abundance or a specific model of stock dynamics. © 2010 Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science of the University of Miami.}, Key = {fds267481} } @article{fds267483, Author = {Huang, L and Smith, MD and Craig, JK}, Title = {Quantifying the Economic Effects of Hypoxia on a Fishery for Brown Shrimp, Farfantepenaeus aztecus}, Journal = {Marine and Coastal Fisheries: Dynamics, Management, and Ecosystem Science}, Volume = {2}, Number = {1}, Pages = {232-248}, Publisher = {WILEY}, Year = {2010}, ISSN = {1942-5120}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000208152900017&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Abstract = {Although hypoxia is a threat to coastal ecosystems, policy makers have limited information about its economic impacts on fisheries. Studies using spatially and temporally aggregated data generally fail to detect statistically significant effects of hypoxia on fisheries. Limited recent work using disaggregated fishing data (microdata) has revealed modest effects of hypoxia on the catches of recreationally harvested species. These studies did not account for important spatial and temporal aspects of the system, however. For example, the effects of hypoxia on catch may not materialize instantaneously but involve a lagged process reflecting cumulative past exposure. This paper develops a differenced bioeconomic model to account for the lagged effects of hypoxia on the North Carolina fishery for brown shrimp Farfantepenaeus aztecus. The model integrates high-resolution oxygen monitoring data with fishery-dependent microdata from North Carolina's trip ticket program to investigate the detailed spatial and temporal relationships of hypoxia to commercial fishery harvests. The main finding is that hypoxia may have resulted in a 12.9% annual decrease in the brown shrimp harvest during the period 1999-2005. The paper also develops two alternative models-a nondifferenced model and a polynomial distributed lag model-whose results are consistent with those of the main model. © American Fisheries Society 2010.}, Doi = {10.1577/C09-048.1}, Key = {fds267483} } @article{fds304888, Author = {Gopalakrishnan, S and Smith, M and Slott, J and Murray, AB}, Title = {The Value of Disappearing Beaches in North Carolina: A hedonic pricing model with endogenous beach width}, Journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, Volume = {61}, Number = {3}, Pages = {297-310}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2010}, ISSN = {0095-0696}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2010.09.003}, Abstract = {Beach nourishment is a policy used to rebuild eroding beaches with sand dredged from other locations. Previous studies indicate that beach width positively affects coastal property values, but these studies ignore the dynamic features of beaches and the feedback that nourishment has on shoreline retreat. We correct for the resulting attenuation and endogeneity bias in a hedonic property value model by instrumenting for beach width using spatially varying coastal geological features. We find that the beach width coefficient is nearly five times larger than the OLS estimate, suggesting that beach width is a much larger portion of property value than previously thought. We use the empirical results to parameterize a dynamic optimization model of beach nourishment decisions and show that the predicted interval between nourishment projects is closer to what we observe in the data when we use the estimate from the instrumental variables model rather than OLS. As coastal communities adapt to climate change, we find that the long-term net value of coastal residential property can fall by as much as 52% when erosion rate triples and cost of nourishment sand quadruples. © 2010 Elsevier Inc.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jeem.2010.09.003}, Key = {fds304888} } @article{fds267484, Author = {Smith, MD and Slott, JM and McNamara, D and Murray, AB}, Title = {Beach nourishment as a dynamic capital accumulation problem}, Journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, Volume = {58}, Number = {1}, Pages = {58-71}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2009}, ISSN = {0095-0696}, url = {doi:10.1016/j.jeem.2008.07.011}, Abstract = {Beach nourishment is a common coastal management strategy used to combat erosion along sandy coastlines. It involves building out a beach with sand dredged from another location. This paper develops a positive model of beach nourishment and generates testable hypotheses about how the frequency of nourishment responds to property values, project costs, erosion rates, and discounting. By treating the decision to nourish as a dynamic capital accumulation problem, the model produces new insights about coupled economic geomorphological systems. In particular, determining whether the frequency of nourishment increases in response to physical and economic forces depends on whether the decay rate of nourishment sand exceeds the discount rate. © 2009 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jeem.2008.07.011}, Key = {fds267484} } @article{fds267487, Author = {Smith, MD and Sanchirico, JN and Wilen, JE}, Title = {The economics of spatial-dynamic processes: Applications to renewable resources}, Journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, Volume = {57}, Number = {1}, Pages = {104-121}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2009}, ISSN = {0095-0696}, url = {http://10.1016/j.jeem.2008.08.001}, Abstract = {Spatial-dynamic processes in renewable resource economics pose difficult conceptual, analytical, empirical, and institutional challenges that are distinct from either spatial or dynamic problems. We describe the challenges and conceptual approaches using both continuous and discrete depictions of space and summarize key findings. Using a metapopulation model of the fishery and simulated economic and ecological data, we show that it is possible in certain circumstances to recover both biological and economic parameters of a linked spatial-dynamic system from only economic data. We illustrate the application empirically with data from the Gulf of Mexico reef-fish fishery. We conclude with a discussion of key policy and institutional design issues involved in managing spatial-dynamic systems. © 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jeem.2008.08.001}, Key = {fds267487} } @article{fds267489, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Bioeconometrics: Empirical Modeling of Bioeconomic Systems}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {23}, Number = {1}, Pages = {1-23}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2008}, ISSN = {0738-1360}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/mre.23.1.42629599}, Abstract = {The rise of ecosystem management as an approach to renewable resource policy increases the demand for empirical bioeconomics. This paper provides a working definition of bioeconometrics and a taxonomy of model types. A bioeconometric model is a structural model that econometrically estimates one or more parameters of a bioeconomic system. Bioeconometric model types include equilibrium, dynamically decoupled, and dynamically coupled. The challenges and importance of bioeconometrics are illustrated with a Monte Carlo analysis of simulated data that attempts to differentiate among six different qualitative categories in a system characterized by critical depensation. The analysis highlights a theme in nonlinear dynamics - that a small quantitative change in a parameter can affect the qualitative dynamics - and shows that the econometrician may know the least empirically about a bioeconomic system when she needs to know the most. Copyright © 2008 MRE Foundation, Inc.}, Doi = {10.1086/mre.23.1.42629599}, Key = {fds267489} } @article{fds267490, Author = {Slott, JM and Smith, MD and Murray, AB}, Title = {Synergies Between Adjacent Beach-Nourishing Communities in a Morpho-economic Coupled Coastline Model}, Journal = {Coastal Management}, Volume = {36}, Number = {4}, Pages = {374-391}, Publisher = {Informa UK Limited}, Year = {2008}, ISSN = {0892-0753}, url = {10.1080/08920750802266429}, Abstract = {Beach "nourishment" consists of placing sand on an eroding beach. The widened beach provides increased storm protection to adjacent structures and improved recreational benefits, but is most often transient, requiring on-going, repeated nourishment episodes. Numerical models of beach nourishment typically address such questions as how long a widened beach will last; economic models compare the benefits and costs of preserving a stretch of beach without regard to its geomorphic evolution. Neither have addressed the physical nor economic interactions between adjacent nourishing communities. Here, we couple a numerical model of coastline evolution and a cost-benefit model of beach nourishment, allowing adjacent communities to make dynamic nourishment decisions. Beach nourishment benefits adjacent communities both "updrift" and "downdrift." The total amount of money spent on nourishment activities can decrease by as much as 25% when adjacent communities both conduct on-going nourishment projects, as opposed to the case where each community nourishes in isolation.}, Doi = {10.1080/08920750802266429}, Key = {fds267490} } @article{fds267491, Author = {Smith, MD and Zhang, J and Coleman, FC}, Title = {Econometric Modeling of Fisheries with Complex Life Histories: Avoiding Biological Management Failures}, Journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, Volume = {55}, Number = {3}, Pages = {265-280}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2008}, ISSN = {0095-0696}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2007.11.003}, Abstract = {Economics of the fishery has focused on the wastefulness of common pool resource exploitation. Pure open access fisheries dissipate economic rents and degrade biological stocks. Biologically managed fisheries also dissipate rents but are thought to hold biological stocks at desired levels. We develop and estimate an empirical bioeconomic model of the Gulf of Mexico gag fishery that questions the presumptive success of biological management. Unlike previous bioeconomic life history studies, we provide a way to circumvent calibration problems by embedding our estimation routine directly in the dynamic bioeconomic model. We nest a standard biological management model that accounts for complex life history characteristics of the gag. Biological intuition suggests that a spawning season closure will reduce fishing pressure and increase stocks, and simulations of the biological management model confirm this finding. However, simulations of the empirical bioeconomic model suggest that these intended outcomes of the spawning closure do not materialize. The behavioral response to the closure appears to be so pronounced that it offsets the restriction in allowable fishing days. Our results indicate that failure to account for fishing behavior may play an important role in fishery management failures. © 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jeem.2007.11.003}, Key = {fds267491} } @article{fds267492, Author = {Sanchirico, JN and Smith, MD and Lipton, DW}, Title = {An empirical approach to ecosystem-based fishery management}, Journal = {Ecological Economics}, Volume = {64}, Number = {3}, Pages = {586-596}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2008}, ISSN = {0921-8009}, url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/smith/EBFM_EcolEcon_06-00332_FINAL.pdf}, Abstract = {Marine scientists and policymakers are encouraging ecosystem-based fishery management (EBFM), but there is limited guidance on how to operationalize the concept. We adapt financial portfolio theory as a method for EBFM that accounts for species interdependencies, uncertainty, and sustainability constraints. Illustrating our method with routinely collected data available from the Chesapeake Bay, we demonstrate the gains from taking into account variances and covariances of gross fishing revenues in setting species total allowable catches. We find over the period from 1962-2003 that managers could have increased the revenues from fishing and reduced the variance by employing EBFM frontiers in setting catch levels. © 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.ecolecon.2007.04.006}, Key = {fds267492} } @article{fds267486, Author = {Sanchirico, JN and Smith, MD and Lipton, DW}, Title = {Managing Fish Portfolios}, Journal = {Resources}, Year = {2007}, Month = {Winter}, url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/smith/RFF-Resources-164-FishPortfolios.pdf}, Key = {fds267486} } @article{fds267460, Author = {Smith, MD and Zhang, J and Coleman, FC}, Title = {Structural Modeling of Marine Reserves with Bayesian Estimation}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {22}, Number = {131-46}, Pages = {121-136}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2007}, url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/smith/REVISED_MRE06-81_smith_zhang_coleman.pdf}, Abstract = {Structural models can assess the effectiveness of fishery management prospectively and retrospectively. However, when only fishery-dependent data are available, structural econometric models are highly nonlinear in the parameters, and maximum likelihood and other extremum-based estimators can fail to converge. As a solution to these estimation challenges, we adapt Bayesian econometric methods to estimate a dynamic structural model of marine reserve formation. Using simulated data, we find that our approach is able to recover structural biological and economic parameters that classical estimation procedures fail to recover. We apply the approach to real data from the Gulf of Mexico reef-fish fishery. We test the effects of the Steamboat Lumps Marine Reserve on population growth and catchability for gag, a species of grouper. We find that after four years, the reserve has neither produced statistically significant losses in sustainable yield nor statistically significant gains in biological production. Copyright © 1996 Marine Resources Foundation.}, Doi = {10.1086/mre.22.2.42629548}, Key = {fds267460} } @article{fds267485, Author = {Liese, C and Smith, MD and Kramer, RA}, Title = {Open access in a spatially delineated artisanal fishery: The case of Minahasa, Indonesia}, Journal = {Environment and Development Economics}, Volume = {12}, Number = {1}, Pages = {123-143}, Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)}, Year = {2007}, ISSN = {1355-770X}, url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10161/6744 Duke open access}, Abstract = {The effects of economic development on the exploitation of renewable resources are investigated in settings where property rights are ill defined or not enforced. This paper explores potential conservation implications from labor and product market developments, such as enhanced transportation infrastructure. A model is developed that predicts individual fish catch per unit effort based on characteristics of individual fishermen and the development status of their villages. The econometric model is estimated using data from a cross-sectional household survey of artisanal coral reef fishermen in Minahasa, Indonesia, taking account of fishermen heterogeneity. Variation across different villages and across fishermen within the villages is used to explore the effects of development. Strong evidence is found for the countervailing forces of product and labor market effects on the exploitation of a coral reef fishery. © 2007 Cambridge University Press.}, Doi = {10.1017/S1355770X06003421}, Key = {fds267485} } @article{fds267505, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Generating value in habitat-dependent fisheries: The importance of fishery management institutions}, Journal = {Land Economics}, Volume = {83}, Number = {1}, Pages = {59-73}, Publisher = {University of Wisconsin Press}, Year = {2007}, ISSN = {0023-7639}, url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/smith/FINALVERSIONm_smith_LandEcon_naafe_2005.pdf}, Abstract = {This paper models dynamic producer and consumer benefits from improving habitat that supports the North Carolina blue crab fishery. It embeds two fishery management institutions - open access and partial rationalization - in a multispecies, two-patch spatial bioeconomic model with endogenous output price and estuarine eutrophication. Producer benefits from improved environmental quality are higher for the rationalized fishery than for open access. Consumer benefits are larger than producer benefits and are comparable across institutions. However, the total benefits from improving environmental quality are small relative to the benefits from rationalizing the fishery and leaving environmental quality the same. © 2007 by the Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System.}, Doi = {10.3368/le.83.1.59}, Key = {fds267505} } @article{fds267504, Author = {Smith, MD and Zhang, J and Coleman, FC}, Title = {Effectiveness of marine reserves for large-scale fisheries management}, Journal = {Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences}, Volume = {63}, Number = {1}, Pages = {153-164}, Publisher = {Canadian Science Publishing}, Year = {2006}, ISSN = {0706-652X}, url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/smith/smith}, Abstract = {As more no-take marine reserves are established, the importance of evaluating effectiveness retrospectively is growing. This paper adapts methods from program evaluation to quantify the effects of establishing a marine reserve on fisheries using fishery-dependent data. The approach analyzes the effects of a policy at the individual vessel level and accommodates the coarse spatial resolution of fishing logbooks. It illuminates implicit assumptions in previous retrospective analyses of marine reserves that are unlikely to hold for large-scale fisheries. We illustrate the empirical model with an application to the Gulf of Mexico reef-fish fishery. Isolating the effects of reserves requires a full accounting of multiple gear production technologies, heterogeneity in vessel captain skill, spatial heterogeneity of fish stocks, seasonal patterns in abundance, the effects of coexisting management policies, and the possibility that the harvest sector anticipates reserve establishment. We find that the effect of two recently established marine reserves on catch is negative and trending downward, though the reserves have only been in place for 4.5 years. © 2005 NRC.}, Doi = {10.1139/f05-205}, Key = {fds267504} } @article{fds267465, Author = {Smith, MD and Wilen, JE}, Title = {Heterogeneous and correlated risk preferences in commercial fishermen: The perfect storm dilemma}, Journal = {Journal of Risk and Uncertainty}, Volume = {31}, Number = {1}, Pages = {53-71}, Publisher = {Springer Nature}, Year = {2005}, ISSN = {0895-5646}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11166-005-2930-7}, Abstract = {Commercial fishing involves both physical and financial risks. This combination questions whether fishermen are inherently risk-loving, whether physical and financial risk preferences are correlated, and how much preferences vary across fishermen. This paper addresses these questions with a panel data set of daily participation decisions in the California sea urchin dive fishery. Weather buoy data and the prevalence of great white sharks at a particular fishing site proxy for physical risk. Overall, urchin fishermen are not risk-loving on average, risk preferences are heterogeneous, and there is some evidence that risk preferences are positively correlated across physical and financial domains. © 2005 Springer Science + Business Media, Inc.}, Doi = {10.1007/s11166-005-2930-7}, Key = {fds267465} } @article{fds267500, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {State Dependence and Heterogeneity in Fishing Location Choice}, Journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, Volume = {50}, Number = {2}, Pages = {319-340}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2005}, url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/smith/msmith_state_het_jeem_for_pub_WITH_APPENDIX.pdf}, Abstract = {To explore the distinction between state dependence and heterogeneity in repeated decisions, this paper combines a Mixed Logit model with a state dependence parameterization from the marketing literature to study fishing location choices of commercial sea urchin divers in California. It examines implications of ignoring either effect and finds in all cases that true state dependence is an important determinant of location choice. Consequently, spatial policies like marine reserves can lead to differences in the short- and long-run behavioral responses of the fishing fleet. Under some specifications, random preference parameters are statistically significant when state dependence is excluded from the model, but when it is included, random preference parameters are not significant. In other specifications, including state dependence only dampens the variability in preference parameters. These results highlight the importance of gathering and analyzing diary-type data for commercial fisheries as well as for similar choice problems in recreation demand. © 2005 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1016/j.jeem.2005.04.001}, Key = {fds267500} } @article{fds267503, Author = {Smith, MD and Wilen, JE}, Title = {Correlated Risk Preferences and Behavior of Commercial Fishermen: The Perfect Storm/Dilemma}, Journal = {The Journal of Risk and Uncertainty}, Volume = {31}, Number = {1}, Pages = {53-71}, Year = {2005}, url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/smith/smith_wilen_correlated}, Key = {fds267503} } @article{fds267468, Author = {Saterson, K and Christensen, NL and Jackson, RB and Kramer, RA and Pimm, SL and Smith, MD and Wiener, JB}, Title = {Disconnects in Evaluating the Relative Effectiveness of Conservation Strategies}, Journal = {Conservation Biology}, Volume = {18}, Number = {3}, Pages = {597-599}, Year = {2004}, url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10161/7005 Duke open access}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1523-1739.2004.01831.x}, Key = {fds267468} } @article{fds267497, Author = {Smith, MD and Wilen, JE}, Title = {Marine Reserves with Endogenous Ports: Empirical Bioeconomics of the California Sea Urchin Fishery}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Volume = {19}, Number = {1}, Pages = {85-112}, Publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, Year = {2004}, url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/smith/SmithWilen_mre}, Abstract = {Marine reserves are gaining substantial public support as tools for commercial fisheries management. Harvest sector responses will influence policy performance, yet biological studies often depict harvester behavior as spread uniformly over fishing grounds and unresponsive to economic opportunities. Previous bioeconomic analyses show that these behavioral assumptions are inconsistent with empirical data and, more importantly, lead to overly optimistic predictions about harvest gains from reserves. This paper adds another layer of behavioral realism to the bioeconomics of marine reserves by endogenizing fisher home port choices with a partial adjustment share model. Estimated with Seemingly Unrelated Regression over monthly data, this approach allows simulation of both short- And long-run behavioral response to changes induced by marine reserve formation. The findings cast further doubt on the notion that marine reserves generate long-run harvest benefits.}, Doi = {10.1086/mre.19.1.42629420}, Key = {fds267497} } @article{fds267498, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Fishing Yield, Curvature, and Spatial Behavior: Implications for Modeling Marine Reserves}, Journal = {Natural Resource Modeling}, Volume = {17}, Number = {3}, Pages = {273-298}, Year = {2004}, url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/smith/fishing_yield_smith_nrm_final.pdf}, Abstract = {Given a paucity of empirical data, policymakers are forced to rely on modeling to assess potential impacts of creating marine reserves to manage fisheries. Many modeling studies of reserves conclude that fishing yield will increase (or decrease only modestly) after creating a reserve in a heavily exploited fishery. However, much of the marine reserves modeling ignores the spatial heterogeneity of fishing behavior. Contrary to empirical findings in fisheries science and economics, most models assume explicitly or implicitly that fishing effort is distributed uniformly over space. This paper demonstrates that by ignoring this heterogeneity, yield-per-recruit models systematically overstate the yield gains (or understate the losses) from creating a reserve in a heavily exploited fishery. Conversely, at very low levels of exploitation, models that ignore heterogeneous fishing effort overstate the fishing yield losses from creating a reserve. Starting with a standard yield-per-recruit model, the paper derives a yield surface that maps spatially differentiated fishing effort into total long-run fishing yield. It is the curvature of this surface that accounts for why the spatial distribution of fishing effort so greatly affects predicted changes from forming a reserve. The results apply generally to any model in which the long-run fishing yield has similar curvature to a two-patch Beverton-Holt model. A simulation of marine reserve formation in the California red sea urchin fishery with Beverton-Holt recruitment, eleven patches, and common larval pool dispersal dynamics reinforces these results. © 2004 Rocky Mountain Mathematics Consortium.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.1939-7445.2004.tb00137.x}, Key = {fds267498} } @article{fds267499, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Limited Entry Licensing: Insights from a Duration Model}, Journal = {American Journal of Agricultural Economics}, Volume = {86}, Number = {3}, Pages = {605-618}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2004}, url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/smith/limited_entry_ajae_604%5B601-614%5D.pdf}, Abstract = {Limited entry is used to manage many fisheries. Effectiveness depends on a program's ability to control aggregate fishing power, which fleet size and composition both affect. This article analyzes fleet composition and attrition in a limited-entry fishery, the California red sea urchin fishery. It explores the dynamics of heterogeneity in catch and revenue and applies duration analysis to study individual fisherman attrition using both individual-level and time-varying covariates. The results show that the fleet is becoming more homogenous but also more potent and spatially mobile. Regulations such as size limits and season restrictions tend to increase attrition. Copyright 2004 American Agricultural Economics Association.}, Doi = {10.1111/j.0002-9092.2004.00604.x}, Key = {fds267499} } @article{fds267458, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {The economics of conserving wildlife and natural areas}, Journal = {AUSTRALIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL AND RESOURCE ECONOMICS}, Volume = {47}, Number = {3}, Pages = {418-420}, Publisher = {BLACKWELL PUBL LTD}, Year = {2003}, Month = {September}, ISSN = {1364-985X}, url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000186092600009&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92}, Key = {fds267458} } @article{fds267496, Author = {Smith, MD and Wilen, JE}, Title = {Economic Impacts of Marine Reserves: The Importance of Spatial Behavior}, Journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, Volume = {46}, Number = {2}, Pages = {183-206}, Publisher = {Elsevier BV}, Year = {2003}, url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/smith/smithwilen_jeem_pub.pdf}, Abstract = {Marine biologists have shown virtually unqualified support for managing fisheries with marine reserves, signifying a new resource management paradigm that recognizes the importance of spatial processes in exploited systems. Most modeling of reserves employs simplifying assumptions about the behavior of fishermen in response to spatial closures. We show that a realistic depiction of fishermen behavior dramatically alters the conclusions about reserves. We develop, estimate, and calibrate an integrated bioeconomic model of the sea urchin fishery in northern California and use it to simulate reserve policies. Our behavioral model shows how economic incentives determine both participation and location choices of fishermen. We compare simulations with behavioral response to biological modeling that presumes that effort is spatially uniform and unresponsive to economic incentives. We demonstrate that optimistic conclusions about reserves may be an artifact of simplifying assumptions that ignore economic behavior. © 2003 Elsevier Science (USA). All rights reserved.}, Doi = {10.1016/S0095-0696(03)00024-X}, Key = {fds267496} } @article{fds267495, Author = {Wilen, JE and Smith, MD and Lockwood, D and Botsford, LW}, Title = {Avoiding surprises: Incorporating fisherman behavior into management models}, Journal = {Bulletin of Marine Science}, Volume = {70}, Number = {2}, Pages = {553-575}, Year = {2002}, Month = {March}, Abstract = {All fisheries-management models incorporate simplifying assumptions about ecological and oceanographic mechanisms that are fundamentally uncertain or stochastic, but exploited fisheries are also subject to equally important uncertainties associated with fisherman behavior. Fishermen make decisions ranging from long-term entry/exit decisions to daily or even hourly decisions about where and how to fish. These decisions are influenced by regulations, technology, weather, and expectations about prices, costs, and abundance. They ultimately determine the spatial and temporal pattern of mortality in an exploited fishery. Although biologists have tried to incorporate fisherman behavior into management models, much of the work is ad hoc, whereas economics has a rich tradition of both conceptual and empirical behavioral modeling. This paper is an attempt to demonstrate the potential usefulness of economics-based behavioral modeling, with data collected for biological management. A model of participation and spatial choice is constructed, and the economic model is linked to a biological model of metapopulation dynamics and used to forecast the implications of management measures that might be applied to the red sea urchin fishery in California. The results show that modeling spatial behavior strongly affects the predicted outcomes of management policies even if the policies are not spatial in character.}, Key = {fds267495} } @article{fds267464, Author = {Klonsky, K and Smith, MD}, Title = {Entry and exit in California's organic farming sector}, Journal = {Advances in the Economics of Environmental Resources}, Volume = {4}, Pages = {139-165}, Booktitle = {Economics of Pesticides, Sustainable Food Production and Organic Food Markets, Advances in the Economics of Environmental Resources}, Publisher = {New York: Elsevier Science}, Editor = {D.C. Hall and L.J. Moffitt}, Year = {2002}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {1569-3740}, Abstract = {In California, organic acreage increased by 60% and sales of organic commodities increased by 110% between 1992 and 1997. The rate of growth in the organic industry does not reveal the dynamic nature of California's organic agriculture. In this chapter, we explore the characteristics of farmers entering and exiting the organic market in California. In so doing, our analysis provides insight into the impact of policy and growth on the future composition of the organic industry. © 2002.}, Key = {fds267464} } @article{fds267493, Author = {Smith, MD and Wilen, JE}, Title = {The Marine Environment: Fencing the Last Frontier}, Journal = {Review of Agricultural Economics}, Volume = {24}, Number = {1}, Pages = {31-42}, Year = {2002}, Key = {fds267493} } @article{fds267494, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Two Econometric Approaches for Predicting the Spatial Behavior of Renewable Resource Harvesters}, Journal = {Land Economics}, Volume = {78}, Number = {4}, Pages = {522-538}, Publisher = {University of Wisconsin Press}, Year = {2002}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3146851}, Abstract = {This paper analyzes spatial patterns of exploitation in the California sea urchin fishery using two different econometric approaches: a combined count data and SUR model of monthly observations and a micro-level Nested Logit model of individual harvester daily decisions. Each model is used to simulate the spatial distribution of fishing effort. The models are compared using goodness of fit measures and implications for management are discussed.}, Doi = {10.2307/3146851}, Key = {fds267494} } @article{fds69148, Author = {J.D. Kaplan and M.D. Smith}, Title = {Optimal Fisheries Management in the Presence of an Endangered Predator and Harvestable Prey}, Booktitle = {Proceedings of the10th Biennial Conference of the International Institute for Fisheries Economics and Trade}, Year = {2001}, url = {http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/people/faculty/smith/msmith_jkaplan_predprey.pdf}, Key = {fds69148} } @article{fds267502, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Breeding Incentives and the Demand for California Thoroughbred Racing: Is there a Quality/Quantity Tradeoff?}, Journal = {Applied Economics}, Volume = {33}, Number = {14}, Pages = {1755-1762}, Publisher = {Informa UK Limited}, Year = {2001}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00036840010019675}, Abstract = {Both quantity of horses and quality stimulate demand for horse race gambling. This paper addresses the potential for a quantity/quality tradeoff due to breeding incentives for California thoroughbreds. Econometric analysis is used to assess the demand for quality and quantity of horses, and results suggest the likely net benefit of breeding incentives on the industry at large.}, Doi = {10.1080/00036840010019675}, Key = {fds267502} } @article{fds267501, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Spatial search and fishing location choice: Methodological challenges of empirical modeling}, Journal = {American Journal of Agricultural Economics}, Volume = {82}, Number = {5}, Pages = {1198-1206}, Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, Year = {2000}, Month = {January}, ISSN = {0002-9092}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/0002-9092.00120}, Abstract = {Discrete choice modeling of fishing location tries to resolve simultaneously behavioral responses to information, what this information is, and the way that the information is gathered and processed. Without observing the process itself, the modeler really only sees choices and revenue (or catch) histories. We cannot separate how these histories are combined into measures of profitability and how these measures affect choice. This paper discussed two fundamentally different attempts to resolve questions about information. The author concludes that structural attempts are essentially intractable in every setting, and reduced-form methods are by nature ad hoc. Nevertheless, some hope lies in reduced-form methods. A conclusion of the first section is that even ad hoc approaches to information processing should account for sampling variance in addition to variance of the underlying stochastic process. Of the methods discussed, the Bayesian approach with a realistic probability model seems most compelling but is also the most difficult to implement. In contrast, it is much less clear how best to model the decay of information.}, Doi = {10.1111/0002-9092.00120}, Key = {fds267501} } %% Papers Submitted @article{fds352826, Author = {Smith, MD and Wilen, JE}, Title = {Economic impacts of marine reserves: The importance of spatial behavior}, Pages = {51-76}, Booktitle = {Spatial Aspects of Environmental Policy}, Year = {2019}, Month = {January}, ISBN = {9780815397175}, Abstract = {Marine biologists have shown virtually unqualified support for managing fisheries with marine reserves, signifying a new resource management paradigm that recognizes the importance of spatial processes in exploited systems. Most modeling of reserves employs simplifying assumptions about the behavior of fishermen in response to spatial closures. We show that a realistic depiction of fishermen behavior dramatically alters the conclusions about reserves. We develop, estimate, and calibrate an integrated bioeconomic model of the sea urchin fishery in northern California and use it to simulate reserve policies. Our behavioral model shows how economic incentives determine both participation and location choices of fishermen. We compare simulations with behavioral response to biological modeling that presumes that effort is spatially uniform and unresponsive to economic incentives. We demonstrate that optimistic conclusions about reserves may be an artifact of simplifying assumptions that ignore economic behavior.}, Key = {fds352826} } @article{fds376748, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Fisheries management}, Volume = {3-4}, Pages = {175-177}, Booktitle = {Economics: The Definitive Encyclopedia from Theory to Practice}, Year = {2017}, Month = {March}, ISBN = {9780313397073}, Key = {fds376748} } @article{fds323784, Author = {Smith, MD and Asche, F and Roheim, C}, Title = {Markets, Trade and Seafood}, Volume = {2}, Pages = {791-797}, Booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Natural Resources - Two-Volume Set (Print)}, Publisher = {CRC Press}, Editor = {Wang, Y}, Year = {2014}, Month = {July}, ISBN = {978-1439852484}, Abstract = {This entry describes the growth in seafood production and trade and the main factors causing these developments. We then review the leading economic research on the international seafood trade and markets with a focus on interactions of markets and the management of fisheries and aquaculture. Specific examples include the relationship between fisheries management institutions and international trade; the relationship between the value of seafood attributes and production practices; and the development of the Fish Price Index (FPI) by the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) to address food security concerns.}, Key = {fds323784} } @article{fds323785, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Open access and the fishery}, Booktitle = {Environmental and Natural Resource Economics: An Encyclopedia}, Publisher = {ABC-CLIO}, Year = {2014}, Month = {March}, ISBN = {9781440801204}, Abstract = {Economics is the study of the decisions, the insti- tutions, the rules, and the laws that result in how our stuff is made and consumed ... Environmental and Natural Resource Economics: An Encyclopedia offers the critical information needed to ...}, Key = {fds323785} } @article{fds323786, Author = {Smith, MD}, Title = {Managing Our Nations Fisheries 3: Advancing Sustainability}, Editor = {Gilden, J}, Year = {2014}, Abstract = {Value Tradeoffs in Fisheries Management}, Key = {fds323786} } @article{fds215338, Author = {Squires, D. K. Carden and A. Khan and M.D. Smith and N. Vestergaard}, Title = {Rethinking Marine Conservation from Solving the Commons Problem to Provision of Impure Public Goods}, Year = {2013}, Key = {fds215338} } @article{fds215340, Author = {Smith, M.D. and F. Asche and L.S. Bennear and E. Havice and A.J. Read and D. Squires}, Title = {A catch share for whales is unlikely to improve social welfare}, Journal = {Ecol Appl}, Year = {2013}, Key = {fds215340} } @article{fds222698, Author = {Smith, M.D. and F. Asche and F., A. Oglend and L.S. Bennear}, Title = {Spatial-dynamics of Hypoxia and Fisheries: The Case of the Gulf of Mexico Dead Zone}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Year = {2013}, Key = {fds222698} } @article{fds222699, Author = {Asche, F. and M.F. Bellemare and C. Roheim and M.D. Smith and S. Tveteras}, Title = {Fair Enough? Food Security and the International Seafood Trade}, Journal = {Food Security}, Year = {2013}, Key = {fds222699} } @article{fds222701, Author = {Gopalakrishnan, S. and D. McNamara and M.D. Smith and A.B. Murray}, Title = {Decentralized coastal management hinders climate adaptation}, Year = {2013}, Key = {fds222701} } @article{fds222703, Author = {M.D. Smith}, Title = {Value Tradeoffs in Fisheries Management}, Booktitle = {Proceedings of Managing Our Nation’s Fisheries 3}, Year = {2013}, Key = {fds222703} } @article{fds172079, Author = {Huang, L. and M.D. Smith}, Title = {The Dynamic Efficiency Costs of Common-pool Resource Exploitation}, Year = {2010}, Key = {fds172079} } %% Book Reviews @article{fds222697, Author = {M.D. Smith}, Title = {Review of Demon Fish}, Journal = {Marine Resource Economics}, Year = {2013}, Key = {fds222697} } @article{fds184509, Author = {M.D. Smith}, Title = {Review of Fisheries Management: Pandemic Failure and Workable Solutions (by Giulio Pontecorvo and William Schrank., Emerald Group Publishing, Bingley UK 2009)}, Journal = {International Journal of Maritime History}, Volume = {22}, Pages = {351-52,}, Year = {2010}, Key = {fds184509} } @article{fds171923, Author = {M.D. Smith}, Title = {Review of Climate Change and the Economics of the World’s Fisheries: Examples of Small Pelagic Stocks (Edited by Rögnvaldur Hannesson, Manuael Barange, and Samuel F. Herrick Jr., Northhampton, MA: Edward Elgar, 2006)}, Journal = {International Journal of Maritime History}, Year = {2007}, Key = {fds171923} } @article{fds49801, Author = {M.D. Smith}, Title = {Review of The Economics of Conserving Wildlife and Natural Areas (by C. Tisdell),}, Journal = {Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics}, Volume = {47}, Number = {3}, Pages = {418-420}, Year = {2003}, Key = {fds49801} } %% Chapters in Books @misc{fds331432, Author = {Roebeling, PC and Bohnet, I and Smith, M and Westcott, D and Kroon, F and Hartcher, M and Hodgen, M and Vleeshouwer, J}, Title = {Landscapes toolkit for triple-bottom-line assessment of land use scenarios in Great Barrier Reef catchments}, Journal = {MODSIM05 - International Congress on Modelling and Simulation: Advances and Applications for Management and Decision Making, Proceedings}, Pages = {711-717}, Year = {2005}, Month = {December}, ISBN = {9780975840009}, Abstract = {The coastal strip adjacent to the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) is a region of high economic importance and exceptional environmental value. It contains the highest biological diversity in Australia, supports a World Heritage rainforest area and directly influences the GBR. To ensure that future development addresses economic and social issues while enabling remediation of landscape and ecosystem degradation, a Landscapes Toolkit (LsT) is being developed as part of the CSIRO 'Water for a Healthy Country' National Research Flagship project: Repair and Sustainable Development of Floodplains in the Wet Tropics. (Figure Presented) Using The Invisible Modelling Environment (TIME) the LsT integrates disparate disciplinary approaches, knowledge and data, to allow for the spatially-explicit analysis of the impacts on environmental, social and economic values (i.e. the triple-bottom-line) of changes in land use & management. The LsT comprises disciplinary models for terrestrial biodiversity, aquatic biodiversity, production systems, hydrology and water quality, and terrestrial economics, which users can select depending on their specific concerns. These models are passively linked to allow for the comparative-static evaluation of predefined land use & management change scenarios, while users can define the corresponding type and format of output (see Figure 1). The Douglas Shire in North Queensland serves as a case study to develop and test the LsT approach. Three land use scenarios (production, water quality and biodiversity) are developed together with the local community and are assessed for their impact based on a limited number of selected economic, biodiversity and water quality criteria. In the Water Quality scenario farm incomes, biodiversity and, to a limited extent, water quality improve as compared to the current situation, whereas in the Biodiversity scenario, terrestrial and aquatic biodiversity improve significantly while farm incomes decrease as compared to the current situation and the Water Quality scenario. It is anticipated to use the LsT in a participatory process with stakeholders, to develop future scenarios and provide information that aid the community in deciding among multiple choices. Over the coming years the LsT will be developed to allow for the dynamic evaluation of user-defined scenarios, while in the long-term the LsT will allow for active linkages between disciplinary models to account for processes endogenous to the system. Additionally, attention will be given to uncertainty surrounding the component models' and integrated system results.}, Key = {fds331432} } %% Working Papers @article{fds215334, Author = {L.S. Bennear and M.D. Smith}, Title = {Success or Selection? An economic perspective on fisheries co-management}, Year = {2011}, Key = {fds215334} } @article{fds171924, Author = {Asche, F. and M.D. Smith}, Title = {Trade and Fisheries: Key Issues for the World Trade Organization}, Year = {2009}, Key = {fds171924} } %% Other @misc{fds304078, Author = {Bennear, LS and Smith, MD}, Title = {Success or Selection: An Economic Perspective on Fisheries Co-Management}, Journal = {Working Papers on the Web}, Year = {2011}, Month = {April}, Key = {fds304078} } | |
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