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| Publications of John Aldrich :recent first alphabetical combined listing:
%% Books
@book{fds249461,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Before the Convention: Strategies and Choices in
Presidential Nomination Campaigns},
Publisher = {Chicago: University of Chicago Press},
Year = {1980},
Key = {fds249461}
}
@book{fds249462,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Abramson, PR and Rohde, DW},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 1980 Elections},
Publisher = {Washington: Congressional Quarterly Press},
Year = {1982},
Key = {fds249462}
}
@book{fds249463,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Nelson, F},
Title = {Analysis with a Limited Dependent Variable: Linear
Probability, Logit, and Probit Models},
Publisher = {Sage Series on Quantitative Analysis},
Year = {1984},
Key = {fds249463}
}
@book{fds249464,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Abramson, P and Rohde, D},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 1984 Elections},
Publisher = {Washington: Congressional Quarterly Press},
Year = {1986},
Key = {fds249464}
}
@book{fds249465,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Miller, G and Ostrom, C and Rohde,
D},
Title = {American Government: People, Institutions and
Policies},
Publisher = {Boston: Houghton Mifflin},
Year = {1986},
Key = {fds249465}
}
@book{fds249466,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Abramson, P and Rohde, D},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 1988 Elections},
Publisher = {Washington: CQ Press},
Year = {1990},
Key = {fds249466}
}
@book{fds303767,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Abramson, P and Rohde, D},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 1992 Elections},
Publisher = {Washington: CQ Press},
Year = {1994},
Key = {fds303767}
}
@book{fds249468,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Why Parties? The Origin and Transformation of Political
Parties in America},
Publisher = {Chicago, University of Chicago Press},
Year = {1995},
Key = {fds249468}
}
@book{fds249469,
Author = {Rohde, D and Abramson, P and Aldrich, J},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 1992 Elections},
Publisher = {CQ Press},
Year = {1995},
Key = {fds249469}
}
@book{fds18613,
Author = {J.H. Aldrich and Paul Abramson and David
Rohde},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 1996 Elections},
Publisher = {Washington: CQ Press},
Year = {1998},
Key = {fds18613}
}
@book{fds249470,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Abramson, P and Rohde, D},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 1996 and 1998
Elections},
Publisher = {Washington: CQ Press},
Year = {1999},
Key = {fds249470}
}
@book{fds249471,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Abramson, P and Rohde, D},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 2000 Elections},
Publisher = {Washington: CQ Press},
Year = {2002},
Key = {fds249471}
}
@book{fds249472,
Author = {Abramson, P and Rohde, DW and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 2000 and 2002
Elections},
Publisher = {CQ Press},
Year = {2003},
Key = {fds249472}
}
@book{fds249473,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Abramson, P and Rohde, D},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 2004 Elections},
Publisher = {CQ Press},
Year = {2006},
Key = {fds249473}
}
@book{fds309850,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Alt, L},
Title = {A Positive Change in Political Science: The Legacy of
Richard D. McKelvey’s Most Influential
Writings},
Publisher = {University of Michigan Press},
Editor = {Aldrich, A and Lupia},
Year = {2007},
Key = {fds309850}
}
@book{fds249474,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Abramson, PR and Rohde, DW},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 2004 and 2006
Elections},
Publisher = {CQ Press},
Year = {2008},
ISBN = {978-0-87289-415-X},
Key = {fds249474}
}
@book{fds249475,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Abramson, P and Rohde, DW},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 2008 Elections},
Publisher = {CQ Press},
Year = {2010},
ISBN = {978-1-60426-520-0},
Key = {fds249475}
}
@book{fds249476,
Author = {Abramson, PR and Aldrich, JH and Rohde, DW},
Title = {Change and continuity in the 2008 elections},
Pages = {1-427},
Publisher = {CQ Press},
Year = {2010},
Month = {January},
ISBN = {9781604265200},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4135/9781483330846},
Abstract = {One of the first texts to make use of the 2008 National
Election Study results, this new edition of Change and
Continuity will put the momentous recent elections into
historical context for your students. Questions considered
include: What were the impact of race and gender in this
election cycle? How did fundraising during the invisible
primary shape the nomination contest? To what extent did
youth participation determine the outcome of the election?
What effect did new media have on the campaign and voter
turnout? What role did the economic crisis play in voters
choices? Was 2008 a year for partisan realignment of the
electorate? This well-respected author team delves deeply
into each area, armed with an array of thorough, yet
student-friendly data, graphics, and figures. As with all
books in the Change and Continuity series, the authors
present election data from a variety of sources in a
straightforward, accessible manner and make sure to
incorporate and discuss the most recent research.},
Doi = {10.4135/9781483330846},
Key = {fds249476}
}
@book{fds249477,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Why Parties?: A Second look},
Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
Year = {2011},
Key = {fds249477}
}
@book{fds249482,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and McGraw, KM},
Title = {Introduction to the volume},
Pages = {4-8},
Year = {2011},
Month = {December},
ISBN = {9780691151458},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.23943/princeton/9780691151458.003.0001},
Doi = {10.23943/princeton/9780691151458.003.0001},
Key = {fds249482}
}
@book{fds249406,
Author = {Abramson, PR and Aldrich, JH and Gomez, BT and Rohde,
DW},
Title = {Change and Continuity in the 2012 Elections},
Pages = {408 pages},
Publisher = {CQ Press},
Year = {2014},
Month = {April},
ISBN = {9781483323411},
Abstract = {The 2012 edition, with its current scholarship and its
excellent use and display of data, covers the most recent
presidential and Congressional elections, voter turnout, and
the social forces, party loyalties, and prominent issues
that ...},
Key = {fds249406}
}
@book{fds249405,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Interdisciplinarity: Its Role in a Discipline-based
Academy},
Pages = {320 pages},
Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
Year = {2014},
Month = {August},
ISBN = {9780199331369},
Abstract = {Their emergence at that time fundamentally altered how
universities were constructed and how they did their
business. It is the model on which the academy of the
twenty-first century operates.},
Key = {fds249405}
}
@book{fds341785,
Author = {Hershey, MR and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Party politics in America},
Pages = {1-398},
Year = {2017},
Month = {January},
ISBN = {9781138683679},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781315544427},
Abstract = {The seventeenth edition of Party Politics in America
continues the comprehensive and authoritative coverage of
political parties for which it is known while expanding and
updating the treatment of key related topics including
interest groups and elections. Marjorie Hershey builds on
the book’s three-pronged coverage of party organization,
party in the electorate, and party in government and
integrates contemporary examples-such as campaign finance
reform, party polarization, and social media-to bring to
life the fascinating story of how parties shape our
political system. New to the 17th Edition Fully updated
through the 2016 election, including changes in virtually
all of the boxed materials, the chapter openings, and the
data presented. Explores increasing partisan hostility, the
status of voter ID laws and other efforts to affect voter
turnout, young voters’ attitudes and participation, and
the role of big givers such as the energy billionaire Koch
brothers in the 2016 campaigns. Critically examines the idea
that Super PACs are replacing, or can replace, the party
organizations in running campaigns. New and expanded online
Instructor’s Resources, including author-written test
banks, essay questions, relevant websites with correlated
sample assignments, the book’s appendix, and links to a
collection of course syllabi.},
Doi = {10.4324/9781315544427},
Key = {fds341785}
}
@book{fds333502,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Griffin, JD},
Title = {Why Parties Matter Political Competition and Democracy in
the American South},
Pages = {318 pages},
Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
Year = {2018},
Month = {January},
ISBN = {9780226495378},
Abstract = {Why Parties Matter argues that a competitive party system is
essential in order to have the public's preferences and
wants expressed and satisfied in elections.},
Key = {fds333502}
}
%% Monographs
@misc{fds303766,
Author = {Aldrich, J},
Title = {Interdisciplinary: Its Role in a Discipline-Based Academy
(Task force report)},
Publisher = {American Political Science Association},
Year = {2014},
Month = {October},
Key = {fds303766}
}
%% Chapters in Books
@misc{fds249416,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {A Model of the U.S. Presidential Primary
Campaign},
Booktitle = {Applied Game Theory},
Publisher = {Wurzburg-Wien, Austria: Physica-Verlag},
Editor = {Brams, SJ and Schotter, A and Schwodiauer, G},
Year = {1979},
Key = {fds249416}
}
@misc{fds249417,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Rohde, DW},
Title = {The Limitations of Equilibrium Analysis in Political
Science},
Booktitle = {Political Equilibrium},
Publisher = {Boston: Martinus Nijhoff},
Editor = {Ordeshook, P and Shepsle, K},
Year = {1982},
Key = {fds249417}
}
@misc{fds249418,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Nelson, F},
Title = {Logit and Probit Models for Multivariate Analysis with
Qualitative Dependent Variables},
Booktitle = {New Directions in Social Science Research
Models},
Publisher = {Sage Publications},
Editor = {Berry, WD and Lewis-Beck, MS},
Year = {1986},
Key = {fds249418}
}
@misc{fds249419,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Methods and Actors: The Relationship of Processes to
Candidates},
Booktitle = {Perspectives on Presidential Selection},
Publisher = {Duke University Press},
Editor = {Heard, A and Nelson, M},
Year = {1987},
Key = {fds249419}
}
@misc{fds249420,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Duvall, R and Weldes, J},
Title = {The Costs of National Security: Spending for Defense and
Spending for Welfare in the United States:
1948-1983},
Booktitle = {Issues and Choices},
Publisher = {University Press of America},
Editor = {Goldman, J},
Year = {1987},
Key = {fds249420}
}
@misc{fds249421,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Weko, T},
Title = {The Presidency and the Election Process: Campaign Strategy,
Voting, and Governance},
Series = {2nd edition},
Pages = {155-187},
Booktitle = {The Presidency and the Political System},
Publisher = {CQ Press},
Editor = {Nelson, M},
Year = {1988},
Key = {fds249421}
}
@misc{fds249422,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Power and Order: The Bases of Institutional Structure and
Its Change in the U.S. House of Representatives},
Booktitle = {Home Style and Washington Work},
Publisher = {University of Michigan Press},
Editor = {Fiorina, MP and Rohde, DW},
Year = {1989},
Key = {fds249422}
}
@misc{fds249423,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Presidential Nominations and a Clash of Values},
Booktitle = {The Presidency in American Politics},
Publisher = {New York: New York University},
Editor = {Brace, P and Harrington, C and King, G},
Year = {1989},
Key = {fds249423}
}
@misc{fds249424,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Weko, T},
Title = {The Presidency and the Election Campaign: Framing the Choice
in 1988},
Series = {3rd edition},
Booktitle = {The Presidency and the Political System},
Publisher = {Washington: CQ Press},
Editor = {Nelson, M},
Year = {1990},
Key = {fds249424}
}
@misc{fds249425,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Rahn, W and Borgida, E and Sullivan,
J},
Title = {A Social Cognitive Model of Candidate Appraisal},
Booktitle = {Information and Democratic Processes},
Publisher = {Champaign, Ill: University of Illinois Press},
Year = {1990},
Key = {fds249425}
}
@misc{fds249426,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Presidential Campaigns in Party- and Candidate-Centered
Eras},
Booktitle = {Under Watchful Eye: Managing Presidential Campaigns in the
Television Era},
Publisher = {Washington, D.C.: CQ Press},
Editor = {McCubbins, MD},
Year = {1992},
Key = {fds249426}
}
@misc{fds249427,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Niemi, RG},
Title = {The Sixth American Party System: Electoral Change,
1952-1992},
Booktitle = {Broken Contract:: Changing Relationships between Americans
and their Government},
Publisher = {Westview Press},
Editor = {Craig, S},
Year = {1993},
Key = {fds249427}
}
@misc{fds249428,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Presidential Selection},
Booktitle = {Researching the Presidency: Vital Questions, New
Approaches},
Publisher = {Pittsburgh, Pa.: University of Pittsburgh
Press},
Editor = {III, GE and Kessel, JH and Rockman, BA},
Year = {1993},
Key = {fds249428}
}
@misc{fds249429,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Weko, T},
Title = {The Presidency and the Election Campaign},
Series = {4th edition},
Booktitle = {The Presidency and the Political System},
Publisher = {Washington: CQ Press},
Editor = {Nelson, M},
Year = {1994},
Key = {fds249429}
}
@misc{fds249430,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Rational Choice and the Study of American
Politics},
Booktitle = {The Dynamics of American Politics: Approaches and
Interpretations},
Publisher = {Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press},
Editor = {Dodd, LC and Jillson, C},
Year = {1994},
Key = {fds249430}
}
@misc{fds249431,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Foreign Policy and Elections},
Booktitle = {American Reference Publication Company in conjunction with
the Council on Foreign Relations},
Editor = {Jentleson, BW and Smith, G},
Year = {1996},
Key = {fds249431}
}
@misc{fds249432,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {When is it Rational to Vote?},
Booktitle = {Perspectives on Public Choice: A Handbook},
Publisher = {University of Michigan Press},
Editor = {Mueller, D},
Year = {1997},
Key = {fds249432}
}
@misc{fds341796,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Rohde, DW},
Title = {Balance of power: Republican party leadership and the
committee system in the 104th House.},
Journal = {LEGISLATIVE STUDIES QUARTERLY},
Volume = {22},
Number = {4},
Pages = {590-590},
Publisher = {WILEY},
Year = {1997},
Month = {November},
Key = {fds341796}
}
@misc{fds249433,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Weko, T},
Title = {The Presidency and the Election Campaign: Framing the Choice
in 1996},
Series = {5th edition},
Booktitle = {The Presidency and the Political System},
Publisher = {Washington: CQ Press},
Editor = {Nelson, M},
Year = {1998},
Key = {fds249433}
}
@misc{fds249434,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Explaining Institutional Change: Soaking and Poking in the
U.S. Congress},
Booktitle = {Congress on Display, Congress at Work},
Publisher = {Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press},
Editor = {Bianco, WT},
Year = {2000},
Key = {fds249434}
}
@misc{fds249435,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Weko, T},
Title = {The Presidency and the Election Campaign: Framing the Choice
in 1996},
Series = {6th},
Booktitle = {The Presidency and the Political System},
Publisher = {Washington, D.C.: CQ Press},
Editor = {Nelson, M},
Year = {2000},
Key = {fds249435}
}
@misc{fds249436,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Rohde, D},
Title = {The Consequences of Party Organization in the House: The
Role of the Majority and Minority Parties in Conditional
Party Government},
Booktitle = {Polarized Politics: Congress and the President in a Partisan
Era},
Publisher = {CQ Press},
Editor = {Bond, JR and Fleisher, R},
Year = {2000},
Key = {fds249436}
}
@misc{fds249437,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Rohde, DW},
Title = {The Logic of Conditional Party Government: Revisiting the
Electoral Connection},
Series = {7th ed.},
Booktitle = {Congress Reconsidered},
Publisher = {Washington, D.C.: CQ Press},
Editor = {Dodd, LC and Oppenheimer, BI},
Year = {2001},
Key = {fds249437}
}
@misc{fds249438,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Berger, M and Rohde, D},
Title = {The Historical Variability in Conditional Party Government,
1977-1994},
Booktitle = {Party, Process, and Political Change in Congress: New
Perspectives on the History of Congress},
Publisher = {Stanford University Press},
Editor = {Brady, D and McCubbins, MD},
Year = {2002},
Key = {fds249438}
}
@misc{fds249439,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Abramson, P},
Title = {Were Voters Strategic?},
Booktitle = {Elections in Israel, 1999},
Publisher = {SUNY, Albany Press},
Editor = {Arian, A and Shamir, M},
Year = {2002},
Key = {fds249439}
}
@misc{fds249440,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Electoral Democracy During Politics as Usual - and
Unusual},
Booktitle = {Electoral Democracy},
Publisher = {University of Michigan Press},
Editor = {McKuen, M and Rabinowitz, G},
Year = {2002},
Key = {fds249440}
}
@misc{fds249441,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Jillson, C and Wilson, R},
Title = {Why Congress: What the Failure of the Continental and the
Survival of the Federal Congress Tell Us about the New
Institutionalism},
Booktitle = {Party, Process, and Political Change in Congress: New
Perspectives on the History of Congress},
Publisher = {Stanford University Press},
Editor = {Brady, D and McCubbins, MD},
Year = {2002},
Key = {fds249441}
}
@misc{fds249409,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Griffin, JD and Rickershauser,
J},
Title = {The Presidency and the Campaign: Campaigns and Voter
Priorities in the 2004 Election},
Booktitle = {The Presidency and the Political System},
Publisher = {Washington, D.C.: CQ Press},
Editor = {Nelson, M},
Year = {2003},
Key = {fds249409}
}
@misc{fds249442,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Griffin, JD},
Title = {The Presidency and the Campaign: Creating Voter Priorities
in the 2000 Election},
Series = {7th edition},
Booktitle = {The Presidency and the Political System},
Publisher = {Washington, D.C.:CQ Press},
Editor = {Nelson, M},
Year = {2003},
Key = {fds249442}
}
@misc{fds249443,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Electoral Democracy During Politics as Usual – and
Unusual},
Booktitle = {Electoral Democracy},
Publisher = {University of Michigan Press},
Editor = {McKuen, M and Rabinowitz, G},
Year = {2003},
Key = {fds249443}
}
@misc{fds249444,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Blais, A and Indridason, IH and Levine,
R},
Title = {Coalition Considerations and the Vote},
Pages = {180-211},
Booktitle = {The Elections in Israel, 2003},
Publisher = {Jerusalem, Israel: Israel Democracy Institute and New
Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Press},
Editor = {Arian, A and Shamir, M},
Year = {2004},
Key = {fds249444}
}
@misc{fds249445,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Rohde, DW},
Title = {Congressional Committees in a Partisan Era},
Series = {8th ed.},
Booktitle = {Congress Reconsidered},
Publisher = {CQ Press},
Editor = {Dodd, LC and Oppenheimer, BI},
Year = {2005},
Key = {fds249445}
}
@misc{fds249446,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Political Parties In and Out of Legal Legislatures},
Booktitle = {Oxford Handbook of Political Institutions},
Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
Editor = {Rhodes, R},
Year = {2006},
Key = {fds249446}
}
@misc{fds249410,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Grynaveski, J},
Title = {Theories of Political Parties},
Booktitle = {Oxford Handbook of Political Parties and Interest
Groups},
Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
Editor = {Maisel, LS and Berry, JM},
Year = {2007},
Key = {fds249410}
}
@misc{fds249411,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Abramson, PR and Rohde, DW},
Title = {On Elections},
Booktitle = {Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political
Behavior},
Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
Editor = {Leighley, J},
Year = {2007},
Key = {fds249411}
}
@misc{fds249447,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Rohde, DW and Tofias, M},
Title = {One D Is Not Enough: Measuring Conditional Party Government,
1887-2002},
Booktitle = {Party, Profess and Political Change in Congress: Further New
Perspectives on the History of Congress},
Publisher = {Stanford University Press},
Editor = {Brady, D and McCubbins, MD},
Year = {2007},
Key = {fds249447}
}
@misc{fds249448,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Poole, KT},
Title = {Statistical Tests of Theoretical Results},
Pages = {93-102},
Booktitle = {A Positive Change in Political Science: The Legacy of
Richard D. McKelvey’s Most Influential
Writings},
Publisher = {University of Michigan Press},
Editor = {Aldrich, JH and Alt, J and Lupia, A},
Year = {2007},
ISBN = {13-978-0-472-09986-3},
Key = {fds249448}
}
@misc{fds249449,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Abramson, PR and Blais, A and Lee, D and Levine,
R},
Title = {Coalition Considerations and the Vote},
Booktitle = {The Elections in Israel, 2006},
Publisher = {Israel Demcoracy Institute},
Editor = {Arian, A and Shamir, M},
Year = {2007},
Key = {fds249449}
}
@misc{fds249450,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Abramson, PR and Blais, A and Lee, D and Levine,
R},
Title = {Coalition Considerations and the Vote},
Pages = {45-66},
Booktitle = {The Elections in Israel, 2006},
Publisher = {Transaction Publishers},
Editor = {Arian, A and Shamir, M},
Year = {2008},
Key = {fds249450}
}
@misc{fds249451,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Rohde, DW},
Title = {Congressional Committees in a Continuing Partisan
Era},
Booktitle = {Congress Reconsidered, 9th edition},
Year = {2008},
ISBN = {978-0-87289-616-1},
Key = {fds249451}
}
@misc{fds249452,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Brady, M and Marchi, SD and McDonald, I and Nyhan, B and Rohde, DW and Tofias, M},
Title = {Party and Constitutency in the U.S. Senate,
1933-2004},
Booktitle = {Why Not Parties?},
Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
Editor = {Monroe, N and Roberts, JM and Rohde, DW},
Year = {2008},
Key = {fds249452}
}
@misc{fds249398,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Alt, JE and Lupia, A},
Title = {The Eitm Approach: Origins and Interpretations},
Booktitle = {The Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology},
Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
Year = {2008},
Month = {August},
ISBN = {9780199286546},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199286546.003.0037},
Abstract = {This article describes the National Science Foundation
(NSF)'s initiative to close the gap between theory and
methods. It also deals with the Empirical Implications of
Theoretical Models (EITM) as currently understood as a way
of thinking about causal inference in service to causal
reasoning. Additionally, it explores the approach's origins
and various ways in which NSF's call to EITM action has been
interpreted. It makes a brief attempt to explain why the
EITM approach emerged, why it is valuable, and how it is
currently understood. It then contends that EITM has been
interpreted in multiple ways. It emphasizes a subset of
extant interpretations and, in the process, offers views
about the most constructive way forward. The idea of EITM is
to bring deduction and induction, hypothesis generation and
hypothesis testing, close together.},
Doi = {10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199286546.003.0037},
Key = {fds249398}
}
@misc{fds249412,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Freeze, M},
Title = {Political Participation, Polarization, and Public Opinion:
Activism and the Merging of Partisan and Ideological
Polarization},
Booktitle = {Facing the Challenge of Democracy: Explorations in the
Analysis of Public Opinion and Political
Participation},
Publisher = {Princeton University Press},
Editor = {Highton, B and Sniderman, P},
Year = {2009},
Key = {fds249412}
}
@misc{fds249413,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Lupia, A},
Title = {Experiments and Game Theory’s Value to Political
Science},
Booktitle = {Oxford Handbook of Experiments in the Social
Sciences},
Year = {2009},
Key = {fds249413}
}
@misc{fds249414,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Lupia, A},
Title = {Formal Modeling, Strategic Behavior, and the Study of
American Elections},
Booktitle = {Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political
Behavior},
Year = {2009},
Key = {fds249414}
}
@misc{fds249415,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Griffin, J},
Title = {“Parties, Elections, and Democratic Politics"},
Booktitle = {., Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political
Behavior},
Year = {2009},
Key = {fds249415}
}
@misc{fds249402,
Author = {Aldrich, J},
Title = {Decisions people make in small groups},
Pages = {73-74},
Booktitle = {The Future of Political Science: 100 Perspectives},
Publisher = {Routledge},
Year = {2009},
Month = {March},
ISBN = {9780203882313},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9780203882313},
Doi = {10.4324/9780203882313},
Key = {fds249402}
}
@misc{fds249453,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Abramson, P and Rohde, DW},
Title = {Studying American Elections},
Pages = {700-715},
Booktitle = {The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and
Behavior},
Editor = {Leighley, J},
Year = {2010},
ISBN = {978-0-19-923547-6},
Key = {fds249453}
}
@misc{fds249454,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Griffin, J},
Title = {Parties, Elections, and Democratic Politics},
Pages = {595-610},
Booktitle = {The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and
Behavior},
Editor = {Leighley, J},
Year = {2010},
ISBN = {978-0-19-923547-6},
Key = {fds249454}
}
@misc{fds249455,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Lupia, A},
Title = {Formal Modeling, Strategic Beahvior, and the Study of
American Elections},
Pages = {89-104},
Booktitle = {The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and
Behavior},
Editor = {Leighley, J},
Year = {2010},
ISBN = {978-0-19-923547-6},
Key = {fds249455}
}
@misc{fds249457,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Grynaveski, J},
Title = {Theories of Political Parties},
Pages = {21-36},
Booktitle = {The Oxford Handbook of American Political Parties and
Interest Groups},
Year = {2010},
ISBN = {978-0-19-954262-8},
Key = {fds249457}
}
@misc{fds249456,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Rohde, D and Aldrich, J},
Title = {Consequences of Electoral and Institutional Change: The
Evolution of Conditional Party Government in the U.S. House
of Representatives1},
Pages = {234-250},
Booktitle = {New Directions in American Political Parties},
Publisher = {Routledge},
Editor = {Stonecash, JM},
Year = {2010},
Month = {January},
ISBN = {9780415805230},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9780203868416-24},
Abstract = {The U.S. Congress has changed in many ways over the last
fifty years, but perhaps the most dramatic has been the
changing role of the political parties. David Mayhew’s
study of the Congress (published in 1974) argued that
political parties were weak institutions in the Congress,
and that they were weak because the members wanted it that
way.2 Virtually as he was writing, the Democratic Party (in
the midst of its forty-year reign as majority party), began
revising its own rules to strengthen its party organization
and its leadership in the House. These changing electoral
and legislative circumstances resulted, in time, in the
passage of more partisan legislation. That is, many of the
most important pieces of legislation, aft er these changes
were fully in place, passed with a greater degree of
party-line voting and with policy content that was closer to
the views of a now more consensual majority in the
Democratic Party than was true in the House Mayhew examined
(see chapter 1 for a discussion of changes in party unity).
This trend continued, indeed even expanded, when the
Republican Party won majority control in the 1994 elections,
and has persisted with the return of Democrats to
power.},
Doi = {10.4324/9780203868416-24},
Key = {fds249456}
}
@misc{fds198847,
Author = {J.H. Aldrich and Melanie Freeze},
Title = {Political Participation, Polarization, and Public Opinion:
Activism and the Merging of Partisan and Ideological
Polarization},
Booktitle = {Facing the Challenge of Democracy: Explorations in the
Analysis of Public Opinion and Political
Participation},
Publisher = {Princeton University Press},
Editor = {Paul Sniderman and Ben Highton},
Year = {2011},
Key = {fds198847}
}
@misc{fds341791,
Author = {Kuhnline Sloan and CD and Nandi, P and Linz, TH and Aldrich, JV and Audus,
KL and Lunte, SM},
Title = {Analytical and biological methods for probing the
blood-brain barrier.},
Volume = {5},
Pages = {505-531},
Year = {2012},
Month = {January},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-anchem-062011-143002},
Abstract = {The blood-brain barrier (BBB) is an important interface
between the peripheral and central nervous systems. It
protects the brain against the infiltration of harmful
substances and regulates the permeation of beneficial
endogenous substances from the blood into the extracellular
fluid of the brain. It can also present a major obstacle in
the development of drugs that are targeted for the central
nervous system. Several methods have been developed to
investigate the transport and metabolism of drugs, peptides,
and endogenous compounds at the BBB. In vivo methods include
intravenous injection, brain perfusion, positron emission
tomography, and microdialysis sampling. Researchers have
also developed in vitro cell-culture models that can be
employed to investigate transport and metabolism at the BBB
without the complication of systemic involvement. All these
methods require sensitive and selective analytical methods
to monitor the transport and metabolism of the compounds of
interest at the BBB.},
Doi = {10.1146/annurev-anchem-062011-143002},
Key = {fds341791}
}
@misc{fds249458,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Perry, BN and Rohde, DW},
Title = {Richard Fenno’s Theory of Congressional Committees and the
Partisan Polarization of the House,},
Booktitle = {Congress Reconsidered, 10th edition},
Publisher = {CQ Press},
Address = {Washington, D.C.},
Editor = {Dodd, LC and Oppenheimer, BI},
Year = {2013},
Key = {fds249458}
}
@misc{fds249401,
Author = {Shi, T and Lu, J and Aldrich, J},
Title = {Bifurcated images of the U.S. in Urban China and the impact
of media environment},
Pages = {97-116},
Booktitle = {Political Communication in China: Convergence or Divergence
Between the Media and Political System},
Publisher = {Routledge},
Year = {2013},
Month = {January},
ISBN = {9780203720165},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9780203720165},
Abstract = {The Chinese public’s prevailing admiration and respect for
the United States was widely observed in the 1980s when
reforms first began. However, since the early 1990s
significant anti-American sentiments have started to emerge
in China. Such a dramatic shift in Chinese people’s
attitudes toward the U.S. has significant implications for
both U.S. domestic politics and foreign policies. Many
politicians, journalists, and scholars have identified the
increasing reliance of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) on
nationalism for mobilizing political support, as well as its
still firm control over the domestic mass media for
propaganda campaigns, as critical factors driving this
dramatic public opinion shift. Nevertheless, without
systematic and appropriate empirical evidence, it is
extremely difficult to adjudicate the validity of
speculations on why such a change occurred. Taking advantage
of a 2005 two-city survey in China with pertinent survey
instruments, we (a) explored Chinese urban residents’
usage of different media sources, (b) examined the
dimensionality of their evaluations of the U.S., and (c)
scrutinized the impacts of Chinese urbanites’ usage of
diversified media sources on their perceptions of the U.S.
The findings show that people’s attitudes toward U.S.
foreign policies can be clearly distinguished from their
evaluations of American political institutions and
socioeconomic achievements. Most importantly, our analyses
also reveal that, embedded as they are in China’s
partially transformed and partially diversified media
environment, Chinese urban residents do not become
pro-American (or vice versa) from the usage of alternative
media sources beyond the CCP’s control.},
Doi = {10.4324/9780203720165},
Key = {fds249401}
}
@misc{fds366927,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Jenke, LM},
Title = {TURNOUT AND THE CALCULUS OF VOTING: Recent advances and
prospects for integration with theories of campaigns and
elections},
Pages = {83-95},
Booktitle = {The Routledge Handbook of Elections, Voting Behavior and
Public Opinion},
Year = {2017},
Month = {January},
ISBN = {9781138890404},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781315712390-8},
Abstract = {After a review of the basics of the calculus of voting with
respect to turnout, this chapter considers two relatively
new theoretical advances: the development of a fully
articulated theory of expressive voting; and specification
of the utility function. It considers a theoretically
coherent account of “abstention due to alienation”, and
its relationship to the account of moral convictions. Downs
began the systematic inquiry into rational choice and
turnout by posing the problem as one in expected utility. A
second step is needed because basic decision theory yields
an incomplete theory. The calculus of voting has been tested
extensively, and three terms - the valuation of the
outcomes, the costs of voting, and the benefits associated
with voting - have been found to be strongly and
consistently related to the choice. Ferejohn and Fiorina
apply minimax regret to the turnout decision problem. As
Aldrich reviews, there are important game theoretic models
of turnout.},
Doi = {10.4324/9781315712390-8},
Key = {fds366927}
}
@misc{fds341780,
Author = {Abramson, PR and Aldrich, JH and Diskin, A and Houck, AM and Levine, R and Scotto, TJ and Sparks, DB},
Title = {The effect of national and constituency expectations on
tactical voting in the British General Election of
2010},
Pages = {28-60},
Booktitle = {The Many Faces of Strategic Voting: Tactical Behavior in
Electoral Systems Around the World},
Year = {2018},
Month = {November},
ISBN = {9780472131020},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3998/mpub.9946117},
Doi = {10.3998/mpub.9946117},
Key = {fds341780}
}
@misc{fds366926,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Bussing, A and Krishnamurthy, A and Madan, N and Ice,
KM and Renberg, KM and Ridge, HM},
Title = {Does a partisan public increase democratic
stability?},
Pages = {256-265},
Booktitle = {Research Handbook on Political Partisanship},
Year = {2020},
Month = {January},
ISBN = {9781788111997},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.4337/9781788111997.00027},
Abstract = {Philip Converse argued that partisanship was itself a stable
attribute over time, with parental socialization the key
mechanism of transmission and source of stability. He
implied that stability in partisanship was an important
source of stability in democracy, a source based in the
public rather than among elites. In this chapter, the
authors re-examine Converse’s account with 50 years of
additional data. We first use the Jennings and Niemi
long-term panel to estimate parental transmission directly.
They then use CSES data to estimate Converse’s full model,
with special attention to the time paths of party
development in former Soviet bloc nations, compared to
longer-standing democracies. Finally, they use those data to
examine the relationship between partisanship and
satisfaction with the workings of democracy. The results are
generally supportive of Converse’s original claims and,
further, provide a key step forward in assessing the role of
the public in stabilizing democracies.},
Doi = {10.4337/9781788111997.00027},
Key = {fds366926}
}
%% Journal Articles
@article{fds249532,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Candidate Support Functions inthe 1968 Election: An
Empirical Application of the Spatial Model},
Journal = {Public Choice},
Year = {1975},
Month = {Summer},
Key = {fds249532}
}
@article{fds249533,
Author = {Cnudde, C and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Probing the Bounds of Conventional Wisdom: A Comparison of
Regression, Probit, and Discriminant Analysis},
Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
Year = {1975},
Month = {August},
Key = {fds249533}
}
@article{fds249531,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Some Problems in Testing Two Rational Models of
Participation},
Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
Year = {1976},
Month = {November},
Key = {fds249531}
}
@article{fds249528,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Electoral Choice in 1972: A Test of Some Theorems of the
Spatial Model of Electoral Competition},
Journal = {Journal of Mathematical Sociology},
Volume = {5},
Year = {1977},
Key = {fds249528}
}
@article{fds249530,
Author = {McKelvey, R and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {A Method of Scaling with Applications to the 1968 and 1972
U.S. Presidential Elections},
Journal = {American Political Science Review},
Year = {1977},
Month = {March},
Key = {fds249530}
}
@article{fds249529,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {The Dilemma of a Paretian Liberal: Some Consequences of
Sen's Theorem" and "Liberal Games: Further Thoughts on
Social Choice and Game Theory},
Journal = {Public Choice},
Year = {1977},
Month = {Summer},
Key = {fds249529}
}
@article{fds249527,
Author = {Ostrom, C and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {The Relationship Between Size and Stability in the Major
Power International System},
Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
Year = {1978},
Month = {November},
Key = {fds249527}
}
@article{fds249526,
Author = {Ostrom, C and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Regularities, Verification, and Systemization: Twenty Five
Years of Research in Political Science},
Journal = {American Behavioral Scientist},
Year = {1980},
Key = {fds249526}
}
@article{fds249525,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {A Dynamic Model of Presidential Nomination
Campaigns},
Journal = {American Political Science Review},
Year = {1980},
Month = {September},
Key = {fds249525}
}
@article{fds249524,
Author = {Niemi, RG and Rabinowitz, G and Rohde, DW and Aldrich,
JH},
Title = {The Measurement of Public Opinion about Public Policy: A
Report on Some New Issue Question Formats},
Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
Year = {1982},
Month = {May},
Key = {fds249524}
}
@article{fds249523,
Author = {Abramson, PR and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {The Decline of Electoral Participation in
America},
Journal = {American Political Science Review},
Year = {1982},
Month = {September},
Key = {fds249523}
}
@article{fds249522,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {A Spatial Model with Party Activists: Implications for
Electoral Dynamics" and "Rejoinder"},
Journal = {Public Choice},
Year = {1983},
Key = {fds249522}
}
@article{fds249521,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {A Downsian Spatial Model with Party Activism},
Journal = {American Political Science Review},
Year = {1983},
Month = {December},
Key = {fds249521}
}
@article{fds249520,
Author = {Simon, D and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Turnout in American National Elections},
Journal = {Research in Micropolitics},
Volume = {1},
Year = {1986},
Key = {fds249520}
}
@article{fds249519,
Author = {Young, J and Borgida, E and Sullivan, J and Aldrich,
JH},
Title = {Personal Agendas and the Relationship between Self Interest
and Voting Behavior},
Journal = {Social Psychology Quarterly},
Year = {1987},
Key = {fds249519}
}
@article{fds249539,
Author = {Abramson, PR and Rohde, DW and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Progressive Ambition among United States Senators:
1972-1988},
Journal = {Journal of Politics},
Volume = {49},
Number = {1},
Pages = {3-35},
Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
Year = {1987},
Month = {February},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2131132},
Abstract = {A rational-choice model is used to account for the decisions
of United States Senators to run for president. The model
predicts that senators will be more likely to run for
president if their relative costs of running are low, if
they have no political liabilities that might reduce their
chances of winning, and if they have a propensity to take
risks, which we measure by their past willingness to take
risks in running for the Senate. The model works well in
accounting for the decisions of Democrats to seek the
presidency in 1972, 1976, and 1984, and can explain why few
Republican senators ran in 1980. The model is used to
predict which senators in the 99th Congress are relatively
likely to run for president in 1988. The model works better
in accounting for the past behavior of Democrats than
Republicans, and also generates more plausible predictions
about future Democratic presidential candidates. This
partisan difference results largely from the different
opportunity structures of the two parties. Finally, we
discuss the changing dynamics of the nomination process and
the implications of this change both for our model and for
American electoral politics. © 1987, Southern Political
Science Association. All rights reserved.},
Doi = {10.2307/2131132},
Key = {fds249539}
}
@article{fds249518,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and McGinnis, MD},
Title = {A model of party constraints on optimal candidate
positions},
Journal = {Mathematical and Computer Modelling},
Volume = {12},
Number = {4-5},
Pages = {437-450},
Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
Year = {1989},
ISSN = {0895-7177},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0895-7177(89)90415-9},
Abstract = {In this paper, we propose a generalized version of the
spatial model of electoral competition. A model of political
parties is developed and a general theorem about the
existence of distinct Nash equilibria distributions of party
activists is proven. Candidates are assumed to acquire
resources from the party and its activists and through the
candidate's own campaign organization to assist in their
campaign efforts, and they are assumed to value both winning
and policy outcomes. We then explore the formal properties
of this more general model, especially examining the impact
of party-based resources and of candidate policy preferences
on the optimal location of candidates. We show, in
particular, that such positions will, in general, be
divergent, and yet there will be regular differentiation
between the nominees of the two political parties. ©
1989.},
Doi = {10.1016/0895-7177(89)90415-9},
Key = {fds249518}
}
@article{fds341800,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Sullivan, JL and Borgida, E},
Title = {Foreign Affairs and Issue Voting: Do Presidential Candidates
“Waltz Before a Blind Audience?”},
Journal = {American Political Science Review},
Volume = {83},
Number = {1},
Pages = {123-141},
Year = {1989},
Month = {January},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1956437},
Abstract = {While candidates regularly spend much time and effort
campaigning on foreign and defense policies, the thrust of
prevailing scholarly opinion is that voters possess little
information and weak attitudes on these issues, which
therefore have negligible impact on their voting behavior.
We resolve this anomaly by arguing that public attitudes on
foreign and defense policies are available and cognitively
accessible, that the public has perceived clear differences
between the candidates on these issues in recent elections,
and that these issues have affected the public's vote
choices. Data indicate that these conclusions are
appropriate for foreign affairs issues and domestic issues.
© 1989, American Political Science Association. All rights
reserved.},
Doi = {10.2307/1956437},
Key = {fds341800}
}
@article{fds249538,
Author = {Sullivan, JL and Borgida, E and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Foreign Policy and Voting in Presidential Elections: Are
Candidates 'Waltzing before a Blind Audience?'},
Journal = {American Political Science Review},
Year = {1989},
Month = {March},
Key = {fds249538}
}
@article{fds249517,
Author = {Sullivan, JL and Borgida, E and Rahn, W and Aldrich,
JH},
Title = {Candidate Appraisal and Human Nature: Man and Superman in
the 1988 Election},
Journal = {Political Psychology},
Year = {1990},
Key = {fds249517}
}
@article{fds249489,
Author = {ALDRICH, J},
Title = {On equilibrium of political institutions},
Journal = {Mathematical Social Sciences},
Volume = {20},
Number = {3},
Pages = {309-310},
Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
Year = {1990},
Month = {December},
ISSN = {0165-4896},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1990EZ91000019&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Doi = {10.1016/0165-4896(90)90019-4},
Key = {fds249489}
}
@article{fds249516,
Author = {Young, J and Thomsen, CJ and Borgida, E and Sullivan, JL and Aldrich,
JH},
Title = {When self-interest makes a difference: The role of construct
accessibility in political reasoning},
Journal = {Journal of Experimental Social Psychology},
Volume = {27},
Number = {3},
Pages = {271-296},
Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
Year = {1991},
Month = {May},
ISSN = {0022-1031},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0022-1031(91)90016-y},
Abstract = {Previous research has generally shown that self-interest is
less influential than symbolic beliefs in determining
people's policy preferences. The present study examined the
hypothesis that one reason why self-interest may not exert a
strong influence on political reasoning is that it is less
cognitively accessible than other applicable constructs. We
examined the influence of both individual differences in
issue-relevant experience and the priming of self-interest
on political judgments and reasoning. Subjects (N = 66) were
initially classified as having either a high or low level of
experience for each of two issues (environmental pollution
and social service spending). Several weeks later, subjects
participated in two ostensibly unrelated studies. The first
conveyed the priming manipulation; the second involved
completing questionnaires to assess subjects' opinions about
hypothetical legislative proposals and their reasoning with
respect to ambiguous political scenarios. We predicted that
priming would result in greater self-interested reasoning
about issues, regardless of the individual's level of
experience. We also expected individuals with more extensive
issue-related experience to consider their self-interest to
a greater extent when reasoning about political issues.
Priming, in turn, was expected to lead to different policy
preferences among low and high experience subjects, since
different issue positions would best serve the
self-interests of these two groups. These predictions were
generally supported. The implications of these findings for
theory and research on social and political cognition are
discussed. © 1991.},
Doi = {10.1016/0022-1031(91)90016-y},
Key = {fds249516}
}
@article{fds249537,
Author = {Harper, RK and Aldrich, J},
Title = {The political economy of sugar legislation},
Journal = {Public Choice},
Volume = {70},
Number = {3},
Pages = {299-314},
Publisher = {Springer Nature},
Year = {1991},
Month = {June},
ISSN = {0048-5829},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1991FN68900004&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Abstract = {The findings of this paper are a rather straightforward
account of the political economy of senatorial voting on the
sugar program. In the spirit of Stigler and Peltzman's
accounts of interest group activity, voting on sugar is
indeed related to the concentration of economic interests in
the Senators' states. States with high concentrations of
sugar growers and processing tend to vote for the program,
those with high concentration of users tend to vote against
it. The emergence of corn syrup as a sugar substitute and
its subsequent interests in the program further supports
this perspective. These concentrated interests are
associated with conditions ripe for overcoming the
collective action problem and, we infer, use their
organizations to influence senatorial behavior. The
political variables suggest countervailing forces which can
be interpreted, at least in part, as further examples of
organized (here, politically organized) influences on the
interests of Senators. Thus, while the model is one of
opposing interests, those of producers and users tend to
influence different Senators. The major group-interest
trade-off, then, is between the pull of organized interests
in the constituency with that of party organization at the
national (or national institutional level), at least for
those for whom the pull is in opposite directions. It is
clear, then, that variables representing (concentrated)
consumer interests as well as variables representing grower
and processor interests as well as variables representing
grower and processor interests are significant in
determining voting patterns on sugar legislation in the
Senate. This model, therefore, is not one in which one-sided
organizational interests operate politically uncontested.
That, even so, consumer interests are not powerful enough to
prevent sugar programs from passing is clear at one level,
due to the existence of the program over most of this
period. The existing level of the transfers from consumers
to producers and of deadweight losses must be reflective of
the magnitude of their respective free rider problems. Yet
voting on the program to renew or alter those benefits at
any level clearly reflects these interests and their
interplay. © 1991 Kluwer Academic Publishers.},
Doi = {10.1007/BF00156237},
Key = {fds249537}
}
@article{fds249515,
Author = {Bianco, WT and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {A Game-Theoretic Model of Party Affiliation of Candidates
and Office Holders},
Journal = {Mathematical and Computer Modeling},
Volume = {16},
Number = {8-9},
Pages = {103-116},
Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
Year = {1992},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0895-7177(92)90090-8},
Abstract = {In this paper, we develop a formal model of ambition theory,
extending it to account for the choice of party affiliation.
We begin by translating the expected utility, "calculus of
candidacy" to the choice party affiliation. The model is
then used to develop two game-theoretic models of
affiliation. The first game models the affiliation decisions
of an incumbent and a challenger within a single
constituency. Our analysis shows these decisions to be
fundamentally interdependent. Switches in affiliation can
occur because of shifts in the electoral support for the
parties, but also because politicians want to avoid
contested primaries. Moving beyond one district, we show how
the affiliation decisions of candidates running for
different offices or in different districts are also
interdependent. The analysis indicates that when electoral
strength depends on who runs, politicians affiliated with a
decaying political party are involved in a collective-action
game. © 1992.},
Doi = {10.1016/0895-7177(92)90090-8},
Key = {fds249515}
}
@article{fds249513,
Author = {Abramson, PR and Aldrich, JH and Paolino, P and Rohde,
DW},
Title = {“Sophisticated” Voting in the 1988 Presidential
Primaries},
Journal = {American Political Science Review},
Volume = {86},
Number = {1},
Pages = {55-69},
Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
Year = {1992},
Month = {January},
ISSN = {0003-0554},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1992HK86200005&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Abstract = {Voters in multicandidate contests may confront circumstances
under which it is in their interest to vote for a second- or
even lower-ranked candidate. The U.S. electoral system,
typically offering a choice between only two major
contenders, rarely presents opportunities for this
“sophisticated” voting. In presidential primaries,
however, many plausible candidates may compete. We
investigate the presence of sophisticated voting in the 1988
presidential primaries, using data from the National
Election Study's Super Tuesday survey. We examine patterns
of voting types based on ordinal measures of preferences
among candidates and assessments of their chances of winning
their party's nomination and estimate several models of
choice, testing the multicandidate calculus of voting. Among
both Republicans and Democrats, respondents' choices were
consistent with the calculus of voting and thus with
sophisticated voting. © 1992, American Political Science
Association. All rights reserved.},
Doi = {10.2307/1964015},
Key = {fds249513}
}
@article{fds249514,
Author = {Niemi, RG and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {El sexto sistma de partidos estadunidense: El realineamiento
do los anos sesenta y los partidos entrados en los
candidatos},
Journal = {Estados Unidos},
Volume = {II},
Number = {4},
Year = {1992},
Month = {Winter},
Key = {fds249514}
}
@article{fds249512,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Turnout and Rational Choice},
Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
Year = {1993},
Month = {February},
Key = {fds249512}
}
@article{fds249511,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Grant, RW},
Title = {The Antifederalists, the First Congress, and the First
Parties},
Journal = {The Journal of Politics},
Volume = {55},
Number = {2},
Pages = {295-326},
Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
Year = {1993},
Month = {May},
ISSN = {0022-3816},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:A1993LB05800001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Doi = {10.2307/2132267},
Key = {fds249511}
}
@article{fds249510,
Author = {Rahn, WM and Borgida, E and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Individual and Contextual Variations in Political Candidate
Appraisal},
Journal = {American Political Science Review},
Volume = {88},
Number = {1},
Pages = {193-199},
Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
Year = {1994},
Month = {March},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2944891},
Abstract = {In this note we elaborate on the conditions under which
on-line and memory-based strategies of political candidate
evaluation can be implemented. We suggest that the structure
of information may be an important contextual variable
affecting the voter's choice of these strategies. In
addition, we propose that citizens with less political
sophistication are particularly sensitive to structural
differences in the political information environment. We use
an experimental design that manipulates the
information-processing context to test these ideas. Our
results suggest that the context in which information is
presented plays a critical role in moderating the influence
of individual differences in political sophistication. ©
1994, American Political Science Association. All rights
reserved.},
Doi = {10.2307/2944891},
Key = {fds249510}
}
@article{fds249508,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {A Model of a Legislature with Two Parties and a Committee
System},
Journal = {Legislative Studies Quarterly},
Volume = {19},
Number = {3},
Year = {1994},
Month = {August},
Key = {fds249508}
}
@article{fds249509,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Michael Alvarez and R},
Title = {Issues and the Presidency Primary Voter},
Journal = {Political Behavior},
Volume = {16},
Number = {3},
Pages = {289-317},
Publisher = {Springer Nature},
Year = {1994},
Month = {September},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01498953},
Abstract = {Most agree that voting in presidential general elections is
largely contingent on the evaluations of the candidates,
issues, and parties. Yet in presidential primary elections
the determinants of voter choices are less clear.
Partisanship is inconsequential, information about candidate
personalities and policy positions is scarce, and a fourth
factor, expectations, may influence voters. In this paper,
we reconsider the influence of political issues in
presidential primaries. We argue that past work has not
adequately considered how issues matter in primary
elections. Primaries are intraparty affairs, and the
political issues that typically divide the parties are not
very relevant in primaries. Instead, we focus on the policy
issues each candidate chooses to emphasize in their quest
for the nomination, which we call policy priorities. With
data gathered about media coverage of the presidential
contenders in the 1988 primaries, and using exit poll data
from the 1988 Super Tuesday primaries, we show that issues,
as policy priorities, do matter in presidential primary
elections. This research also implies that primary campaigns
matter, since information concerning the policy priorities
of the candidates reaches the intended audience. © 1994
Plenum Publishing Corporation.},
Doi = {10.1007/BF01498953},
Key = {fds249509}
}
@article{fds341799,
Author = {Abramson, PR and Aldrich, JH and Paolino, P and Rohde,
DW},
Title = {Third-Party and Independent Candidates in American Politics:
Wallace, Anderson, and Perot},
Journal = {Political Science Quarterly},
Volume = {110},
Number = {3},
Pages = {349-367},
Publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)},
Year = {1995},
Month = {September},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2152568},
Doi = {10.2307/2152568},
Key = {fds341799}
}
@article{fds249507,
Author = {Abramson, P and Paolino, P and Rohde, DW and Aldrich,
JH},
Title = {The Problem of Third-Party and Independent Candidates in the
American Political System: Wallace, Anderson, and Perot in
Comparative Perspective},
Journal = {Political Studies Quarterly},
Volume = {10},
Number = {3},
Year = {1995},
Month = {Fall},
Key = {fds249507}
}
@article{fds249506,
Author = {Rohde, D and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Theories of Party in the Legislature and the Transition to
Republican Rule in the House},
Journal = {Political Science Quarterly},
Volume = {112},
Number = {4},
Year = {1997},
Key = {fds249506}
}
@article{fds341797,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Positive Theory, Normative Theory, and Practical Politics:
Sidney Verba, Kay Lehman Schlozman, and Henry E. Brady's
Voice and Equality: Civic Voluntarism in American
Politics},
Journal = {American Political Science Review},
Volume = {91},
Number = {2},
Pages = {421-423},
Year = {1997},
Month = {January},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2952366},
Doi = {10.2307/2952366},
Key = {fds341797}
}
@article{fds341798,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Rohde, DW},
Title = {The transition to Republican rule in the house: Implications
for theories of congressional politics},
Journal = {Political Science Quarterly},
Volume = {112},
Number = {4},
Pages = {541-567},
Year = {1997},
Month = {January},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2657691},
Doi = {10.2307/2657691},
Key = {fds341798}
}
@article{fds15348,
Author = {J.H. Aldrich},
Title = {Political Parties in a Critical Era},
Journal = {American Politics Quarterly},
Volume = {27},
Number = {1},
Year = {1999},
Key = {fds15348}
}
@article{fds249535,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Southern Parties in State and Nation},
Journal = {Journal of Politics},
Volume = {62},
Number = {3},
Pages = {643-670},
Year = {2000},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/0022-3816.00028},
Doi = {10.1111/0022-3816.00028},
Key = {fds249535}
}
@article{fds249534,
Author = {Abramson, PR and Aldrich, JH and Paolino, P and Rohde,
DW},
Title = {Challenges to the American two-party system: Evidence from
the 1968, 1980, 1992, and 1996 presidential
elections},
Journal = {Political Research Quarterly},
Volume = {53},
Number = {3},
Pages = {495-522},
Publisher = {SAGE Publications},
Year = {2000},
Month = {January},
ISSN = {1065-9129},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000165398600003&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Abstract = {Recent successes by independent presidential candidates
raise questions about the stability of the American
two-party system. Students of electoral behavior point to
party decline, whereas analysts of party organization see
growth and transformation. Analyses of the 1968, 1980, 1992,
and 1996 National Election Study surveys are used to
determine whether support for Wallace, Anderson, and Perot
resulted from dissatisfaction with the current two-party
system. We find that there has been little erosion of
support for the major political parties between 1968 and
1996. Americans with low levels of support for the major
political parties were more likely to support Wallace in
1968 and Perot in 1992 and 1996. But to a large extent,
support for Wallace, Anderson, and Perot resulted from
dissatisfaction with the major-party candidates. Support for
the major parties themselves has not eroded enough to
provide a systemic opportunity for an independent candidate
or for a new political party to end the Republican and
Democratic duopoly.},
Doi = {10.1177/106591290005300303},
Key = {fds249534}
}
@article{fds249536,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Rohde, DW},
Title = {The republican revolution and the house appropriations
committee},
Journal = {Journal of Politics},
Volume = {62},
Number = {1},
Pages = {1-33},
Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
Year = {2000},
Month = {January},
ISSN = {0022-3816},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000086334000001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Abstract = {This study applies the theory of "conditional party
government" to the interaction between the Republican party
and the Appropriations Committee in the 104th House, seen in
the context of developments since the 96th Congress. As
expected by the theory, we find that the relatively
homogenous preferences of the Republican contingent in the
House led them to adopt new institutional arrangements to
enhance the powers of their leaders, which in turn were used
to advance the party's policy goals. Given that the
leadership decided to use Appropriations as one of the
vehicles of major policy change, they and the Conference
sought to monitor the committee's actions, and to influence
it to behave as they wanted. The leaders used their enhanced
powers over incentives and with regard to the agenda to
advance the party cause. Both leaders and the Conference
sought to block policy shifts away from what they wanted,
but facilitated changes in the desired direction. Finally,
we expected to see evidence of the increasing applicability
of the theory over time, culminating in the developments of
the 104th Congress, and this expectation was borne
out.},
Doi = {10.1111/0022-3816.00001},
Key = {fds249536}
}
@article{fds341795,
Author = {Aldrich, JA},
Title = {Congress: The Electoral Connection: Reflections on Its First
Quarter-Century},
Journal = {PS - Political Science and Politics},
Volume = {34},
Number = {2},
Pages = {255-256},
Year = {2001},
Month = {January},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1049096501000440},
Doi = {10.1017/S1049096501000440},
Key = {fds341795}
}
@article{fds249504,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Battista, JSC},
Title = {Conditional Party Government in the States},
Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
Volume = {46, Issue 1},
Number = {1},
Pages = {164-172},
Publisher = {JSTOR},
Year = {2002},
Month = {September},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3088420},
Abstract = {We extend theories of congressional parties and committees
to the state legislative setting, using the variation among
legislatures to explore the links between elections and
parties and between parties and committees. We examine
elections by comparing the electrol concentration of parties
to measures of conditional party government. We examine
informational and partisan theories of committees by looking
to the relationship between committee representativeness and
conditional party government. With data from eleven states,
we find that competitive party systems breed highly
polorized legisalative parties, and these two traits lead to
representative committees.},
Doi = {10.2307/3088420},
Key = {fds249504}
}
@article{fds249490,
Author = {Aldrich, J and Alt, J},
Title = {Introduction to the Special Issue},
Journal = {Political Analysis},
Volume = {11},
Number = {4},
Pages = {309-315},
Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
Year = {2003},
ISSN = {1047-1987},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000186431100001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Abstract = {<jats:p>This special issue is devoted to original articles
that reflect recent progress in one of the most exciting
developments in Political Science, the National Science
Foundation's (NSF) initiative called Empirical Implications
of Theoretical Models (EITM). This initiative reflects the
ideas and hard work of the Political Science team there, Jim
Granato and Frank Scioli, backed up by the contributions of
an EITM panel that assembled at NSF in July 2001, some of
whose observations we mention below. The challenge set by
the EITM program is straightforward: to improve our
theoretical work so that it yields more testable hypotheses
and to improve our methodological work so that testing is
made more effective and informative about theories. It is
hard to object to this, but it also turns out to be hard to
meet fully. The EITM initiative contains several components
designed to close the gap between theoretical derivation and
empirical test. This issue represents one component,
presenting some of the most innovative work in the
discipline on the current research frontier in
EITM.</jats:p>},
Doi = {10.1093/pan/mpg019},
Key = {fds249490}
}
@article{fds249540,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Abramson, P and Rohde, D},
Title = {Will Changing the Rules Change the Game?: Front-loading and
the 2004 Presidential Nomination},
Journal = {The Berkeley Electronic Press},
Volume = {1},
Number = {3},
Year = {2003},
Month = {May},
Key = {fds249540}
}
@article{fds309851,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models},
Journal = {Political Analysis},
Editor = {Aldrich, JH and Alt, J},
Year = {2003},
Month = {September},
Key = {fds309851}
}
@article{fds16119,
Author = {J.H. Aldrich and James Alt},
Title = {Introduction},
Journal = {Political Analysis},
Year = {2003},
Month = {September},
Key = {fds16119}
}
@article{fds249505,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Abramson, WPR and Diamond, M and Diskin, A and Levine,
R and Scotto, TJ},
Title = {Strategic Abandonment or Sincerely Second Best? The 1999
Israeli Prime Ministerial Election},
Journal = {Journal of Politics},
Volume = {66},
Number = {3},
Pages = {706-728},
Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
Year = {2004},
Month = {August},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2508.2004.00273.x},
Abstract = {The Israeli election for Prime Minister in 1999 featured
five candidates. Three, including a major, centrally located
candidate, Yitzhak Mordechai, withdrew from competition
during the two days before the voting. Mordechai withdrew in
large measure in reaction to the strategic decisions of
voters, that is, some voters who favored him deserted his
candidacy as his poll standings declined. We use surveys
conducted during the 1999 campaign to estimate models of
strategic voting behavior based on the multicandidate
calculus of voting. We find that strategic voting in the
Israeli, majority-with-runoff electoral system closely
resembled the level and nature of strategic voting found in
the more nearly pure plurality systems for which the
statistical models were originally developed. The result is
support for the reasoning Mordechai provided for his
decision, illustrating the interlocking nature of strategic
decisions between candidates and voters.},
Doi = {10.1111/j.1468-2508.2004.00273.x},
Key = {fds249505}
}
@article{fds304637,
Author = {Abramson, PR and Aldrich, JH and Rohde, DW},
Title = {The 2004 presidential election: The emergence of a permanent
majority?},
Journal = {Political Science Quarterly},
Volume = {120},
Number = {1},
Pages = {33-57},
Publisher = {WILEY},
Year = {2005},
Month = {January},
ISSN = {0032-3195},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000228380400002&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Doi = {10.1002/j.1538-165X.2005.tb00537.x},
Key = {fds304637}
}
@article{fds249501,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Abramson, P and Rohde, D},
Title = {The 2004 Presidential Election: The Emergence of a Permanent
Majority?},
Journal = {Political Science Quarterly},
Volume = {120},
Number = {1},
Pages = {35-57},
Year = {2005},
Month = {Spring},
ISSN = {0032-3195},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000228380400002&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Key = {fds249501}
}
@article{fds249502,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Blais, A and Indridason, I and Levine, R},
Title = {Do Voters Vote for Government Coalitions? Testing Downs'
Pessimistic Conclusion},
Journal = {Party Politics},
Volume = {12},
Year = {2006},
Key = {fds249502}
}
@article{fds249503,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Gelpi, C and Feaver, P and Reifler, J and Sharp,
KT},
Title = {Foreign policy and the electoral connection},
Journal = {Annual Review of Political Science},
Volume = {9},
Number = {1},
Pages = {477-502},
Publisher = {ANNUAL REVIEWS},
Year = {2006},
Month = {July},
ISSN = {1094-2939},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000238980300022&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Abstract = {Public opinion is central to representation, democratic
accountability, and decision making. Yet, the public was
long believed to be relatively uninterested in foreign
affairs, absent an immediate threat to safety and welfare.
It had become conventional to say that "voting ends at
water's edge." We start the examination of the scholarly
understanding of the role of foreign affairs in public
opinion and voting at that low point of view. Much
subsequent development saw an increasing degree of holding
and using of attitudes and beliefs about foreign affairs
among the public. Moving in parallel with developments in
political psychology, theoretical and methodological
advances led to an increasingly widely shared view that the
public holds reasonably sensible and nuanced views, that
these help shape their political behaviors, and that these,
in turn, help shape and constrain foreign policy
making.},
Doi = {10.1146/annurev.polisci.9.111605.105008},
Key = {fds249503}
}
@article{fds249479,
Author = {Blais, A and Aldrich, JH and Indridason, IH and Levine,
R},
Title = {Do voters vote for government coalitions? Testing downs'
pessimistic conclusion},
Journal = {Party Politics},
Volume = {12},
Number = {6},
Pages = {691-705},
Publisher = {SAGE Publications},
Year = {2006},
Month = {November},
ISSN = {1354-0688},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1354068806068594},
Abstract = {In many countries, elections produce coalition governments.
Downs points out that in such cases the rational voter needs
to determine what coalitions are possible, i.e. to ascertain
their probability and to anticipate the policy compromises
that they entail. Downs adds that this may be too complex a
task and concludes that 'most voters do not vote as though
elections were government-selection mechanisms' (Downs,
1957: 300). We test Downs' 'pessimistic' conclusion in the
case of the 2003 Israeli election, an election that was
bound to produce a coalition government and in which the
issue of what the possible coalitions were was at the
forefront of the campaign. We show that voters' views about
the coalitions that could be formed after the election had
an independent effect on vote choice, over and above their
views about the parties, the leaders and their ideological
orientations. We estimate that for one voter out of ten,
coalition preferences were a decisive consideration, that
is, they induced the voter to support a party other than the
most preferred one. For many others, they were a factor,
though perhaps not the dominant one. Furthermore, the least
informed were as prone to vote on the basis of coalition
preferences as the most informed. Our evidence disconfirms
Downs' pessimistic view that voters will decide not to care
about the formation of government. When they are provided
with sufficient information about the possible options,
voters think ahead about the coalitions that may be formed
after the election. Copyright © 2006 SAGE
Publications.},
Doi = {10.1177/1354068806068594},
Key = {fds249479}
}
@article{fds249499,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Rickershauser, J and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {‘‘It’s the electability, stupid’’ or maybe not?
Electability,Substance, and Strategic Voting in Presidential
Primaries},
Journal = {Electoral Studies},
Volume = {26},
Number = {2},
Pages = {371-380},
Year = {2007},
ISSN = {0261-3794},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2006.09.003},
Abstract = {In an experiment that tests the effects of different
information on the role of electability and policy
considerations in people's evaluations of presidential
candidates, we find that both substance and electability
affect those assessments. In the context of the 2004
Democratic presidential primary, evaluations of candidates
by more politically sophisticated partisans were affected by
the experimental treatment that mentioned the traditional
Democratic issue of social security, whereas less
sophisticated respondents were more affected by the issue
treatment that mentioned the economy. Because both groups
were affected by positive electability information, we find
some evidence of strategic considerations in voters'
decision-making processes. In contrast to complaints that
citizens do not use substantive information when assessing
candidates in presidential nomination campaigns, we find
that presidential primary candidates' electability and issue
emphases both matter. © 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights
reserved.},
Doi = {10.1016/j.electstud.2006.09.003},
Key = {fds249499}
}
@article{fds249500,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Abramson, PR and Aldrich, JH and Rickershauser, J and Rohde,
DW},
Title = {Fear in the voting booth: The 2004 presidential
election},
Journal = {Political Behavior},
Volume = {29},
Number = {2},
Pages = {197-220},
Publisher = {Springer Nature},
Year = {2007},
Month = {June},
ISSN = {0190-9320},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000246521300004&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Abstract = {Every presidential election offers interesting questions for
analysis, but some elections are more puzzling than others.
The election of 2004 involves two linked and countervailing
puzzles. The first is: How did President George W. Bush
manage to win at all, avoiding the fates of George H.W. Bush
and Jimmy Carter? The other is: Why didn't he win by a more
substantial margin than in his first election, as all
reelected presidents since Eisenhower were able to do? On
the one hand, in the wake of September 11, the president had
approval ratings around 90% and the threat of terrorism
remained a substantial concern through Election Day. This
would seem to afford Bush an overwhelming advantage. On the
other hand, the public's views of the state of the economy
and of the course of the war in Iraq were negative. We think
that the juxtaposition of these questions will help to
explain the outcome of the election and of the pattern of
the results. Moreover, by unpacking our explanation of the
vote into three policy-related issue components-economic
retrospective evaluations, domestic policy views, and
foreign policy views-we examine the way these preferences
contributed to the electorate's voting decisions. ©
Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2007.},
Doi = {10.1007/s11109-006-9018-1},
Key = {fds249500}
}
@article{fds304638,
Author = {Rickershauser, J and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {"It's the electability, stupid" - or maybe not?
Electability, substance, and strategic voting in
presidential primaries},
Journal = {Electoral Studies},
Volume = {26},
Number = {2},
Pages = {371-380},
Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
Year = {2007},
Month = {June},
ISSN = {0261-3794},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2006.09.003},
Abstract = {In an experiment that tests the effects of different
information on the role of electability and policy
considerations in people's evaluations of presidential
candidates, we find that both substance and electability
affect those assessments. In the context of the 2004
Democratic presidential primary, evaluations of candidates
by more politically sophisticated partisans were affected by
the experimental treatment that mentioned the traditional
Democratic issue of social security, whereas less
sophisticated respondents were more affected by the issue
treatment that mentioned the economy. Because both groups
were affected by positive electability information, we find
some evidence of strategic considerations in voters'
decision-making processes. In contrast to complaints that
citizens do not use substantive information when assessing
candidates in presidential nomination campaigns, we find
that presidential primary candidates' electability and issue
emphases both matter. © 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights
reserved.},
Doi = {10.1016/j.electstud.2006.09.003},
Key = {fds304638}
}
@article{fds249494,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Transue, JE and Lee, DJ and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Treatment Spillover Effects across Survey
Experiments},
Journal = {Political Analysis},
Volume = {17},
Number = {2},
Pages = {143-171},
Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
Year = {2008},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpn012},
Abstract = {Embedding experiments within surveys has reinvigorated
survey research. Several survey experiments are generally
embedded within a survey, and analysts treat each of these
experiments as self-contained. We investigate whether
experiments are self-contained or if earlier treatments
affect later experiments, which we call "experimental
spillover." We consider two types of bias that might be
introduced by spillover: mean and inference biases. Using a
simple procedure, we test for experimental spillover in two
data sets: the 1991 Race and Politics Survey and a survey
containing several experiments pertaining to foreign policy
attitudes. We find some evidence of spillover and suggest
solutions to avoid bias. © The Author 2009. Published by
Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for
Political Methodology. All rights reserved.},
Doi = {10.1093/pan/mpn012},
Key = {fds249494}
}
@article{fds249498,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Winer, SL and Tofias, MW and Grofman, B and Aldrich,
JH},
Title = {Trending Economic Factors and the Structure of Congress in
the Growth of Government, 1930 – 2002},
Journal = {Public Choice},
Volume = {135},
Number = {3-4},
Pages = {415-448},
Publisher = {Springer Nature},
Year = {2008},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11127-007-9270-x},
Abstract = {We investigate the role of Congress in the growth of federal
public expenditure since 1930, building on the work of Kau
and Rubin (Public Choice, 113:389-402, 2002). The model
incorporates majority party strength and the extent of party
control of Congress in addition to the median ideological
position of elected representatives. We first provide
estimates of the relative importance of the state of
Congress and of trending supply and demand-side economic
factors in the evolution of federal spending. The resulting
models are then used to simulate the consequences of the
radical and historically unprecedented shift to the right of
Congress in 1994/95. © 2008 Springer Science+Business
Media, LLC.},
Doi = {10.1007/s11127-007-9270-x},
Key = {fds249498}
}
@article{fds249495,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Soto, VD and Petrow, G and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {The Human Face of Economic Globalization: Mexican Migrants
and their Support for Free Trade},
Journal = {Journal of Latino-Latin American Studies},
Volume = {3 (Fall)},
Number = {2},
Pages = {24-46},
Year = {2009},
Key = {fds249495}
}
@article{fds249496,
Author = {Aldrich, J},
Title = {The invisible primary and its effects on democratic
choice},
Journal = {PS - Political Science and Politics},
Volume = {42},
Number = {1},
Pages = {33-38},
Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
Year = {2009},
Month = {January},
ISSN = {1049-0965},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000262873400018&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Abstract = {<jats:p>The current method for selecting presidential
nominees by the two major parties went into place mostly in
1972 and certainly by 1976, after<jats:italic>Buckely v.
Valeo</jats:italic>. It was the natural culmination of
reform efforts over the history of the republic in that,
while prior reforms consistently invoked greater openness
and democratic governance as rationales for their adoption,
this method actually empowered voters as the central figures
in determining who would be nominated (see Aldrich 1987).
This fact became fully evident almost at once. The selection
via primaries of senator George McGovern in 1972 and
governor Jimmy Carter in 1976 as the Democratic presidential
nominees arguably not only would not have happened, they
would not have even come close to winning nomination without
successful appeal to the voting public.</jats:p>},
Doi = {10.1017/S1049096509090027},
Key = {fds249496}
}
@article{fds249492,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Montgomery, J and Wood, W and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Turnout as a Habit},
Journal = {Political Behavior},
Volume = {33},
Number = {4},
Pages = {533-563},
Publisher = {Springer Nature},
Year = {2010},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11109-010-9148-3},
Abstract = {It is conventional to speak of voting as "habitual." But
what does this mean? In psychology, habits are cognitive
associations between repeated responses and stable features
of the performance context. Thus, "turnout habit" is best
measured by an index of repeated behavior and a consistent
performance setting. Once habit associations form, the
response can be cued even in the absence of supporting
beliefs and motivations. Therefore, variables that form part
of the standard cognitive-based accounts of turnout should
be more weakly related to turnout among those with a strong
habit. We draw evidence from a large array of ANES surveys
to test these hypotheses and find strong support. © 2010
Springer Science+Business Media, LLC.},
Doi = {10.1007/s11109-010-9148-3},
Key = {fds249492}
}
@article{fds249493,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Elinor Ostrom and the ‘just right’ solution},
Journal = {Public Choice},
Volume = {143},
Number = {3-4},
Pages = {269-273},
Year = {2010},
ISSN = {0048-5829},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11127-010-9630-9},
Abstract = {Elinor Ostrom is justly valued for her contributions to
understanding the nature of and solution to common pool
resource problems (CPRs). Her solution is generally referred
to as balancing the aim of reducing the high costs
associated with political solutions with that of
ameliorating the absence of incentives to create solutions
at all in the market-based approach. In this short paper, I
characterize her solution as a " 'just right' solution," in
the sense that it is a governmental solution, but one that
balances these objectives. I consider endogenous variables
that help maintain the creation of the institution to solve
CPRs as being the "just right" solution, because it is at
just the correct scope. © Springer Science+Business
Media, LLC 2010.},
Doi = {10.1007/s11127-010-9630-9},
Key = {fds249493}
}
@article{fds341793,
Author = {Aldrich, J and Dorobantu, S and Fernandez, MA},
Title = {The Use of the Left-Right Scale in Individual's Voting
Decisions},
Year = {2010},
Key = {fds341793}
}
@article{fds249497,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Abramson, PR and Aldrich, JH and Blais, A and Diamond, M and Diskin, A and Indridason, IH and Lee, DJ and Levine, R},
Title = {Comparing Strategic Voting Under FPTP and
PR},
Journal = {Comparative Political Studies},
Volume = {43},
Number = {1},
Pages = {61-90},
Publisher = {SAGE Publications},
Year = {2010},
Month = {January},
ISSN = {0010-4140},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0010414009341717},
Abstract = {<jats:p>Based on recent work that suggests that voters in
proportional representation (PR) systems have incentives to
cast strategic votes, the authors hypothesize that levels of
strategic voting are similar in both first-past-the-post
(FPTP) and PR systems. Comparing vote intentions in
majoritarian elections in the United States, Mexico,
Britain, and Israel to PR elections in Israel and the
Netherlands, the authors find that a substantial proportion
of the voters desert their most preferred candidate or party
and that patterns of strategic voting across FPTP and PR
bear striking similarities. In every election, smaller
parties tend to lose votes to major parties. Because there
tend to be more small parties in PR systems, tactical voting
is actually more common under PR than under FPTP. The
findings suggest that whatever the electoral system, voters
focus on the policy consequences of their behavior and which
parties are likely to influence policy outcomes following
the election.</jats:p>},
Doi = {10.1177/0010414009341717},
Key = {fds249497}
}
@article{fds304639,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Elinor Ostrom and the "just right" solution},
Journal = {Public Choice},
Volume = {143},
Number = {3},
Pages = {269-273},
Publisher = {Springer Nature},
Year = {2010},
Month = {June},
ISSN = {0048-5829},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11127-010-9630-9},
Abstract = {Elinor Ostrom is justly valued for her contributions to
understanding the nature of and solution to common pool
resource problems (CPRs). Her solution is generally referred
to as balancing the aim of reducing the high costs
associated with political solutions with that of
ameliorating the absence of incentives to create solutions
at all in the market-based approach. In this short paper, I
characterize her solution as a " 'just right' solution," in
the sense that it is a governmental solution, but one that
balances these objectives. I consider endogenous variables
that help maintain the creation of the institution to solve
CPRs as being the "just right" solution, because it is at
just the correct scope. © Springer Science+Business Media,
LLC 2010.},
Doi = {10.1007/s11127-010-9630-9},
Key = {fds304639}
}
@article{fds341792,
Author = {Aldrich, J and Houck, A and Abramson, P and Levine, R and Scotto,
TJ},
Title = {Strategic Voting in the 2010 UK Election},
Year = {2011},
Key = {fds341792}
}
@article{fds249491,
Author = {Shi, T and Lu, J and Aldrich, J},
Title = {Bifurcated images of the U.S. in Urban China and the impact
of media environment},
Journal = {Political Communication},
Volume = {28},
Number = {3},
Pages = {357-376},
Publisher = {Informa UK Limited},
Year = {2011},
Month = {July},
ISSN = {1058-4609},
url = {http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000299956800006&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=47d3190e77e5a3a53558812f597b0b92},
Abstract = {The Chinese public's prevailing admiration and respect for
the United States was widely observed in the 1980s when
reforms first began. However, since the early 1990s
significant anti-American sentiments have started to emerge
in China. Such a dramatic shift in Chinese people's
attitudes toward the U.S. has significant implications for
both U.S. domestic politics and foreign policies. Many
politicians, journalists, and scholars have identified the
increasing reliance of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) on
nationalism for mobilizing political support, as well as its
still firm control over the domestic mass media for
propaganda campaigns, as critical factors driving this
dramatic public opinion shift. Nevertheless, without
systematic and appropriate empirical evidence, it is
extremely difficult to adjudicate the validity of
speculations on why such a change occurred. Taking advantage
of a 2005 two-city survey in China with pertinent survey
instruments, we (a) explored Chinese urban residents' usage
of different media sources, (b) examined the dimensionality
of their evaluations of the U.S., and (c) scrutinized the
impacts of Chinese urbanites' usage of diversified media
sources on their perceptions of the U.S. The findings show
that people's attitudes toward U.S. foreign policies can be
clearly distinguished from their evaluations of American
political institutions and socioeconomic achievements. Most
importantly, our analyses also reveal that, embedded as they
are in China's partially transformed and partially
diversified media environment, Chinese urban residents do
not become pro-American (or vice versa) from the usage of
alternative media sources beyond the CCP's control. ©
Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.},
Doi = {10.1080/10584609.2011.572479},
Key = {fds249491}
}
@article{fds198845,
Author = {J.H. Aldrich and J.M. Montgomery and W. Wood},
Title = {Turnout as a Habit},
Journal = {Political Behavior},
Volume = {33},
Number = {4},
Pages = {535-563},
Year = {2011},
Month = {December},
Key = {fds198845}
}
@article{fds249483,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and McGraw, KM},
Title = {Improving public opinion surveys: Interdisciplinary
innovation and the American national election
studies},
Journal = {Improving Public Opinion Surveys: Interdisciplinary
Innovation and the American National Election
Studies},
Pages = {1-395},
Publisher = {Princeton University Press},
Editor = {Aldrich, J and McGraw, K},
Year = {2011},
Month = {December},
ISBN = {9780691151465},
Abstract = {The American National Election Studies (ANES) is the premier
social science survey program devoted to voting and
elections. Conducted during the presidential election years
and midterm Congressional elections, the survey is based on
interviews with voters and delves into why they make certain
choices. In this edited volume, John Aldrich and Kathleen
McGraw bring together a group of leading social scientists
that developed and tested new measures that might be added
to the ANES, with the ultimate goal of extending scholarly
understanding of the causes and consequences of electoral
outcomes. The contributors--leading experts from several
disciplines in the fields of polling, public opinion, survey
methodology, and elections and voting behavior--illuminate
some of the most important questions and results from the
ANES 2006 pilot study. They look at such varied topics as
self-monitoring in the expression of political attitudes,
personal values and political orientations, alternate
measures of political trust, perceptions of similarity and
disagreement in partisan groups, measuring ambivalence about
government, gender preferences in politics, and the
political issues of abortion, crime, and taxes. Testing new
ideas in the study of politics and the political psychology
of voting choices and turnout, this collection is an
invaluable resource for all students and scholars working to
understand the American electorate. © 2012 by Princeton
University Press. All Rights Reserved.},
Key = {fds249483}
}
@article{fds249485,
Author = {Aldrich, J and Munger, MC and Reifler, J},
Title = {Institutions, Information, and Faction: An Experimental Test
of Riker’s Federalism Thesis for Political
Parties},
Journal = {Public Choice},
Year = {2012},
Key = {fds249485}
}
@article{fds249488,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, J and Reifler, J and Munger, M},
Title = {Sophisticated and myopic? Citizen preferences for Electoral
College reform.},
Journal = {Public Choice},
Volume = {2013},
Pages = {1-18},
Year = {2012},
Key = {fds249488}
}
@article{fds249484,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Perry, BN and Rohde, DW},
Title = {House Appropriations After the Republican
Revolution},
Journal = {Congress and the Presidency},
Volume = {39},
Number = {3},
Pages = {229-253},
Publisher = {Informa UK Limited},
Year = {2012},
Month = {Fall},
ISSN = {0734-3469},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07343469.2012.710708},
Abstract = {This article applies the theory of "conditional party
government" (CPG) to the interaction between the majority
party and the Appropriations Committee in the period
following the Republican Revolution of 1995. We extend the
analysis of Aldrich and Rohde (2000b) by examining how
actions within the committee have changed over time and
analyzing whether behavior and outcomes continue to match
the expectations of CPG theory, particularly with respect to
the times in which power in Congress switched from the
Republicans to the Democrats and back. The conditions of the
CPG theory continued to be met so that we can continue to
test the theory's predictions. We show that following the
Republican Revolution, the role of the party remained
paramount and the party leadership maintained its influence
over the direction of policy. While in the majority, both
parties used the Appropriations Committee as a vehicle for
policy change and the party leadership monitored committee
actions, either by blocking policy shifts away from what the
majority party wanted or facilitating changes in the desired
direction. © 2012 Copyright Taylor and Francis Group,
LLC.},
Doi = {10.1080/07343469.2012.710708},
Key = {fds249484}
}
@article{fds249487,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Aldrich, JH and Bishop, BH and Hatch, RS and Sunshine Hillygus and D and Rohde, DW},
Title = {Blame, Responsibility, and the Tea Party in the 2010 Midterm
Elections},
Journal = {Political Behavior},
Volume = {36},
Number = {3},
Pages = {1-21},
Publisher = {Springer Nature},
Year = {2013},
ISSN = {0190-9320},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11109-013-9242-4},
Doi = {10.1007/s11109-013-9242-4},
Key = {fds249487}
}
@article{fds341790,
Author = {Aldrich, J and Ley, SJ and Schober, GS},
Title = {Uncertainty or Ambiguity? Sources of Variation in
Ideological Placements of Political Parties},
Year = {2013},
Key = {fds341790}
}
@article{fds249486,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Abramson, PR and Aldrich, JH and Diskin, A and Houck, AM and Levine, R and Scotto, TJ},
Title = {The British general election of 2010 under different voting
rules},
Journal = {Electoral Studies},
Volume = {32},
Number = {1},
Pages = {134-139},
Publisher = {Elsevier BV},
Year = {2013},
Month = {March},
ISSN = {0261-3794},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2012.10.002},
Abstract = {The 2010 British election resulted in what the British refer
to as a " hung Parliament" for the first time in over a
generation. This result further heightened the debate over
the fairness and utility of the nation's centuries-old
first-past-the-post (FPTP) system. Survey data are used to
simulate the election outcome under four different electoral
systems beyond FPTP: round-robin pair-wise comparisons, the
Borda count, the alternative vote, and Coombs' method.
Results suggest that in 2010, the Liberal-Democrats were
Condorcet preferred to all other parties and would have won
a national election under every tested method except the
alternative vote, the method supported by the
Liberal-Democrats during the referendum in May 2011 and, of
course, FPTP as actually used. © 2012 Elsevier
Ltd.},
Doi = {10.1016/j.electstud.2012.10.002},
Key = {fds249486}
}
@article{fds249408,
Author = {Lu, J and Aldrich, J and Shi, T},
Title = {Revisiting Media Effects in Authoritarian Societies:
Democratic Conceptions, Collectivistic Norms, and Media
Access in Urban China},
Journal = {Politics and Society},
Volume = {42},
Number = {2},
Pages = {253-283},
Publisher = {SAGE Publications},
Year = {2014},
Month = {January},
ISSN = {0032-3292},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0032329213519423},
Abstract = {We argue that, to effectively understand media effects in
authoritarian societies, researchers must assess different
types of media strategies adopted by authoritarian leaders.
Using survey data from two Chinese cities, we examine the
effects of two types of media strategies adopted by the
Chinese government, targeting political attitudes and
nonpolitical values and norms, respectively. Following a new
line of research, we contrast China's domestic-controlled
media to foreign free media. After accounting for the
selection bias in Chinese urbanites' media access, we do not
find sufficient evidence for the effect of the media
strategies directly targeting their democratic conceptions.
However, sufficient and robust evidence shows that more
intensive consumption of diverse media sources, including
foreign media, does significantly but indirectly counteract
the Chinese government's political campaigns targeting its
citizens' democratic conceptions, via thwarting the
government's media strategies to cultivate a collectivistic
norm in the society. © 2014 SAGE Publications.},
Doi = {10.1177/0032329213519423},
Key = {fds249408}
}
@article{fds341789,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Montgomery, JM and Sparks, DB},
Title = {Polarization and ideology: Partisan sources of low
dimensionality in scaled roll call analyses},
Journal = {Political Analysis},
Volume = {22},
Number = {4},
Pages = {435-456},
Year = {2014},
Month = {January},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpt048},
Abstract = {In this article, we challenge the conclusion that the
preferences of members of Congress are best represented as
existing in a low-dimensional space. We conduct Monte Carlo
simulations altering assumptions regarding the
dimensionality and distribution of member preferences and
scale the resulting roll call matrices. Our simulations show
that party polarization generates misleading evidence in
favor of low dimensionality. This suggests that the
increasing levels of party polarization in recent Congresses
may have produced false evidence in favor of a
lowdimensional policy space. However, we show that focusing
more narrowly on each party caucus in isolation can help
researchers discern the true dimensionality of the policy
space in the context of significant party polarization. We
re-examine the historical roll call record and find evidence
suggesting that the low dimensionality of the contemporary
Congress may reflect party polarization rather than changes
in the dimensionality of policy conflict.},
Doi = {10.1093/pan/mpt048},
Key = {fds341789}
}
@article{fds249459,
Author = {Aldrich, J and Munger, M and Reifler, J},
Title = {Institutions, information, and faction: An experimental test
of Riker's federalism thesis for political
parties},
Journal = {Public Choice},
Volume = {158},
Number = {3-4},
Pages = {577-588},
Publisher = {Springer Nature},
Year = {2014},
Month = {March},
ISSN = {0048-5829},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11127-012-0040-z},
Doi = {10.1007/s11127-012-0040-z},
Key = {fds249459}
}
@article{fds287701,
Author = {Aldrich, J and Reifler, J and Munger, MC},
Title = {Sophisticated and myopic? Citizen preferences for Electoral
College reform},
Journal = {Public Choice},
Volume = {158},
Number = {3-4},
Pages = {541-558},
Publisher = {Springer Nature},
Year = {2014},
Month = {March},
ISSN = {0048-5829},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11127-013-0056-z},
Abstract = {Different institutions can produce more (or less) preferred
outcomes, in terms of citizens' preferences. Consequently,
citizen preferences over institutions may "inherit"-to use
William Riker's term-the features of preferences over
outcomes. But the level of information and understanding
required for this effect to be observable seems quite high.
In this paper, we investigate whether Riker's intuition
about citizens acting on institutional preferences is borne
out by an original empirical dataset collected for this
purpose. These data, a survey commissioned specifically for
this project, were collected as part of a larger nationally
representative sample conducted right before the 2004
election. The results show that support for a reform to
split a state's Electoral College votes proportionally is
explained by (1) which candidate one supports, (2) which
candidate one thinks is likely to win the election under the
existing system of apportionment, (3) preferences for
abolishing the Electoral College in favor of the popular
vote winner, and (4) statistical interactions between these
variables. In baldly political terms, Kerry voters tend to
support splitting their state's Electoral College votes if
they felt George W. Bush was likely to win in that state.
But Kerry voters who expect Kerry to win their state favor
winner-take-all Electoral College rules for their state. In
both cases, mutatis mutandis, the reverse is true for Bush
voters. © 2013 Springer Science+Business Media New
York.},
Doi = {10.1007/s11127-013-0056-z},
Key = {fds287701}
}
@article{fds249400,
Author = {Aldrich, J and Lu, J and Kang, L},
Title = {How do Americans view the rising China?},
Journal = {Journal of Contemporary China},
Volume = {24},
Number = {92},
Pages = {203-221},
Year = {2015},
Month = {March},
ISSN = {1067-0564},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10670564.2014.932148},
Abstract = {The dramatic increase in China’s economic and hence
political power and influence is a common story around the
world. Just how clearly and well does this story get across
to citizens of some nations other than China, itself? In
particular, we ask what Americans know about China. Do they
observe its rise? Are their views simple or rich and
nuanced? How do they vary across the public? What leads to
more positive and what leads to more negative views of
China? We report the results of a survey of the American
population designed to address these questions. We find that
they are reasonably knowledgeable of China’s rise and that
they have rich and nuanced perceptions of a variety of
dimensions of China, its society, economy and polity. These
views are, on balance, not especially positive, but the more
cosmopolitan the citizen, the more likely they are to hold
positive views. Those who are Democrats, who are liberals,
and who have had the opportunity to travel in China are
especially likely to have positive impressions.},
Doi = {10.1080/10670564.2014.932148},
Key = {fds249400}
}
@article{fds249399,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Did Hamilton, Jefferson, and Madison "Cause" the U.S.
Government Shutdown? the institutional path from an
eighteenth century republic to a twenty-first century
democracy},
Journal = {Perspectives on Politics},
Volume = {13},
Number = {1},
Pages = {7-23},
Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
Year = {2015},
Month = {March},
ISSN = {1537-5927},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1537592714003107},
Abstract = {This address asks how we got to today's politics in America;
a politics of polarized political parties engaged in close
political competition in a system of checks and balances.
The result has often been divided control of government and
an apparent inability to address major political problems.
This address develops the historical foundation for these
characteristics. Historically, the Founding period set the
stage of separated powers and the first party system.
America developed a market economy, a middle class, and a
mass-based set of parties in the Antebellum period. Through
the Progressive era, nation-wide reforms led to a more
democratic but increasingly candidate-centered politics in
the North, and the establishment of Jim Crow politics in the
South. The post-War period saw the full development of
candidate-centered elections. While the breakup of Jim Crow
due to the Civil Rights and Voting Rights Acts in the
mid-1960s ended Jim Crow and made possible a competitive
party system in the South, the later was delayed until the
full implementation of the Republican's southern strategy in
1980 and beyond. This set in motion the partisan
polarization of today, to combine with separated powers to
create what many refer to as the current political
dysfunction.},
Doi = {10.1017/S1537592714003107},
Key = {fds249399}
}
@article{fds249397,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Lu, J},
Title = {How the public in the US, Latin America, and East Asia sees
an emerging China},
Journal = {European Review},
Volume = {23},
Number = {2},
Pages = {227-241},
Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
Year = {2015},
Month = {March},
ISSN = {1062-7987},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1062798714000659},
Abstract = {The People's Republic of China's dramatic transformation has
not only benefited its people, but has also led it to become
a major player in the world. Here we examine how deeply
perceptions of China have penetrated into the public's
perceptions in a wide variety of nations around the world -
the US, 11 nations in East Asia, and 22 in Latin America. We
ask a series of questions: how much do people know? How do
Americans evaluate China? And how do publics in East Asia
and Latin America view China's influence in their nations
and around the world? We also examine some of the ways in
which perceptions vary, both across nations and within
nations, such as by partisanship. In addition, we report the
results of an experiment using an advertisement the PRC ran
in the US to assess how successful they were in shaping
public opinion about China. We conclude that our studies,
and those of others, provide a strong baseline for assessing
the effect of an emerging superpower on citizens around the
world.},
Doi = {10.1017/S1062798714000659},
Key = {fds249397}
}
@article{fds341788,
Author = {Lupia, A and Aldrich, JH},
Title = {How Political Science Can Better Communicate its Value: 12
Recommendations from the APSA task Force},
Journal = {PS - Political Science and Politics},
Volume = {48},
Number = {S1},
Pages = {1-19},
Year = {2015},
Month = {August},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1049096515000335},
Doi = {10.1017/S1049096515000335},
Key = {fds341788}
}
@article{fds341787,
Author = {Abramson, PR and Aldrich, JH and Press, CO and Rohde,
DW},
Title = {Joseph A. Schlesinger In Memoriam},
Journal = {PS-POLITICAL SCIENCE & POLITICS},
Volume = {48},
Number = {4},
Pages = {651-652},
Publisher = {CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS},
Year = {2015},
Month = {October},
Key = {fds341787}
}
@article{fds341786,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Gibson, RK and Cantijoch, M and Konitzer,
T},
Title = {Getting out the vote in the social media era: Are digital
tools changing the extent, nature and impact of party
contacting in elections?},
Journal = {Party Politics},
Volume = {22},
Number = {2},
Pages = {165-178},
Year = {2016},
Month = {March},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1354068815605304},
Abstract = {This paper compares the spread and impact of new digital
modes of voter mobilization with more traditional methods
(phone, mail and in person canvassing) in recent national
elections in the US and UK. We develop hypotheses regarding
the relative effects of online contacting and test them
using election study data. Our findings show that while
online contact is generally less frequent than the offline
form in both countries, this gap is particularly pronounced
in the UK. US campaigns also reach a much wider audience
than their UK counterparts. In terms of impact, while
offline forms remain most effective in mobilizing turnout,
online messages are important for campaign participation,
particularly among younger citizens when they are mediated
through social networks.},
Doi = {10.1177/1354068815605304},
Key = {fds341786}
}
@article{fds324426,
Author = {Gibson, RK and Aldrich, JH and Cantijoch, M},
Title = {Voter mobilisation in context: Special issue editors’
introduction},
Journal = {Party Politics},
Volume = {22},
Number = {2},
Pages = {145-148},
Publisher = {SAGE Publications},
Year = {2016},
Month = {March},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1354068815604865},
Doi = {10.1177/1354068815604865},
Key = {fds324426}
}
@article{fds341784,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Thomsen, DM},
Title = {Party, Policy, and the Ambition to Run for Higher
Office},
Journal = {Legislative Studies Quarterly},
Volume = {42},
Number = {2},
Pages = {321-343},
Year = {2017},
Month = {May},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/lsq.12161},
Abstract = {This article examines why some state legislators run for
Congress and others do not. Our main argument is that there
are differences in the expected value of a state legislative
seat and the expected benefits of being a member of
Congress. One key component of this value is how closely the
candidate fits with her party. We find that the probability
of seeking congressional office increases among state
legislators who are distant from the state party and
proximate to the congressional party and decreases among
those who are distant from the congressional party and
proximate to the state party.},
Doi = {10.1111/lsq.12161},
Key = {fds341784}
}
@article{fds341783,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Ballard, AO and Lerner, JY and Rohde,
DW},
Title = {Does the gift keep on giving? House leadership PAC donations
before and after majority status},
Journal = {Journal of Politics},
Volume = {79},
Number = {4},
Pages = {1449-1453},
Year = {2017},
Month = {October},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/692736},
Abstract = {Party leaders face a significant trade-off financing races
when the party is out of power: while they care about
gaining control of the House, they do not know how willing a
potential representative will be to work with and for the
party once elected. Leadership political action committee
(LPAC) contributions are a major mechanism of leadership
control over the financing of congressional campaigns, with
the hope of influencing the future behavior of candidates.
We study differences between contributions of the LPACs for
leaders of both parties conditional on majority status. We
find that both majority and minority party leaders
prioritize winning elections and ideological homogeneity in
their donations, but that these trends are largely
contingent on overall electoral conditions. In their
contributions, majority party leaders pay more attention to
ideological cohesion than minority party leaders, while
minority party leaders are more interested in gaining seats
in the House than majority party leaders.},
Doi = {10.1086/692736},
Key = {fds341783}
}
@article{fds335621,
Author = {Aldrich, JH and Schober, GS and Ley, S and Fernandez,
M},
Title = {Incognizance and Perceptual Deviation: Individual and
Institutional Sources of Variation in Citizens’
Perceptions of Party Placements on the Left–Right
Scale},
Journal = {Political Behavior},
Volume = {40},
Number = {2},
Pages = {415-433},
Publisher = {Springer Nature},
Year = {2018},
Month = {June},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11109-017-9406-8},
Abstract = {In this paper we use comparative study of electoral systems
data to understand the variation in citizens’ perceptions
of political party placements on the left–right scale. We
estimate multilevel models to assess the extent to which
individual characteristics, party characteristics, and
institutional designs contribute to variability observed in
citizens’ perceptions of party placements. Because lack of
information on the part of the citizens may be revealed
through failure to respond to the left–right scale
questions or through random components to actual placements,
we develop models that include assessments of both types of
responses to reduce bias from considering only one source.
We find that individual-, party-, and institutional-level
variables are relevant to understanding variation in
citizens’ perceptions of party placements. Finally, we
demonstrate that an inability to cognize the left–right
scale (incognizance) and a deviation in the perceptions of
party positions (perceptual deviation) have important
consequences for citizens’ thermometer evaluations of
political parties.},
Doi = {10.1007/s11109-017-9406-8},
Key = {fds335621}
}
@article{fds341782,
Author = {Magalhães, PC and Aldrich, JH and Gibson, RK},
Title = {New forms of mobilization, new people mobilized? Evidence
from the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems},
Journal = {Party Politics},
Volume = {26},
Number = {5},
Pages = {605-618},
Year = {2020},
Month = {September},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1354068818797367},
Abstract = {Mobilization efforts by parties and candidates during
election campaigns tend to reach those who are more likely
to vote in the first place. This is thought to be
particularly consequential for turnout among the young.
Harder and less cost-effective to reach, young adults are
less mobilized and vote less often, creating a vicious
circle of demobilization. However, new forms of political
communication—including online and text messaging—have
created expectations this circle might be broken. Is this
happening? We examine data from Module 4 of the Comparative
Study of Electoral Systems surveys, looking at the
prevalence of different types of party contacts in 38
countries, the profile of voters who are reached, and the
effects of these efforts on turnout. New forms of party
contacting do matter for turnout and partially reduce the
age gap in contacting, but still fail to compensate for the
much larger differentials that persist in traditional forms
of contacting.},
Doi = {10.1177/1354068818797367},
Key = {fds341782}
}
@article{fds341781,
Author = {Rheault, L and Blais, A and Aldrich, JH and Gschwend,
T},
Title = {Understanding people’s choice when they have two
votes},
Journal = {Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and
Parties},
Volume = {30},
Number = {4},
Pages = {466-483},
Year = {2020},
Month = {October},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2018.1560301},
Abstract = {This paper introduces a model of vote choice in mixed-member
proportional representation systems where electors cast two
votes. Despite the growing popularity of mixed systems
around the world, a recent stream of literature suggests
that the candidate vote contaminates the list vote, inducing
the type of behavior observed under majority rule. We
propose a new approach to account for these so-called
“contamination” effects, a phenomenon that we define as
a causal influence making choices more similar across the
vote decisions. Since causality entails a time ordering, we
argue that contamination arises only when voters choose
sequentially. By making use of new survey questions asking
respondents about the timing of vote decisions, we can
estimate the magnitude of these contamination effects
directly. The model is tested using Bayesian multinomial
probit models with survey data from the 2013 federal
election in Germany. A key contribution of this paper is to
show that contamination effects are present only among
voters with lower levels of education, and work primarily
from the list vote to the candidate vote. We also test a
number of predictions about the determinants of the two vote
choices in mixed systems.},
Doi = {10.1080/17457289.2018.1560301},
Key = {fds341781}
}
%% Papers Accepted
@article{fds154654,
Author = {J. Aldrich and Paul R. Abramson and Andre Blais and Mathew Diamond and Abraham
Diskin, Indridi Indridason and Daniel Lee and Renan
Levine},
Title = {Comparing Strategic Voting under FPTP and
PR},
Journal = {Comparative Political Studies},
Year = {2008},
Key = {fds154654}
}
%% Other
@misc{fds249403,
Author = {Aldrich, J},
Title = {A Review of 'Party Influence in Congress'},
Journal = {Congress and the Presidency},
Volume = {36},
Number = {2},
Pages = {203-205},
Publisher = {Taylor & Francis (Routledge)},
Year = {2009},
ISSN = {0734-3469},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07343460902956470},
Doi = {10.1080/07343460902956470},
Key = {fds249403}
}
@misc{fds341794,
Author = {Aldrich, JH},
Title = {Parties, Partisanship, and Democratic Politics},
Journal = {Perspectives on Politics},
Volume = {7},
Number = {3},
Pages = {624-625},
Year = {2009},
Month = {January},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1537592709990582},
Doi = {10.1017/S1537592709990582},
Key = {fds341794}
}
@misc{fds303765,
Author = {Aldrich, J},
Title = {Review of On the Side of Angels: An Appreciation of Parties
and Partisanship, by Nancy L. Rosenblum},
Journal = {Perspectives on Politics},
Publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
Year = {2014},
Month = {October},
ISSN = {1541-0986},
Key = {fds303765}
}
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