Math @ Duke
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Publications [#354544] of David B. Dunson
search arxiv.org.Papers Published
- Ferrari, F; Dunson, DB, IDENTIFYING MAIN EFFECTS AND INTERACTIONS AMONG EXPOSURES USING GAUSSIAN PROCESSES.,
The annals of applied statistics, vol. 14 no. 4
(December, 2020),
pp. 1743-1758 [doi]
(last updated on 2025/04/11)
Abstract: This article is motivated by the problem of studying the joint effect of different chemical exposures on human health outcomes. This is essentially a nonparametric regression problem, with interest being focused not on a black box for prediction but instead on selection of main effects and interactions. For interpretability we decompose the expected health outcome into a linear main effect, pairwise interactions and a nonlinear deviation. Our interest is in model selection for these different components, accounting for uncertainty and addressing nonidentifiability between the linear and nonparametric components of the semiparametric model. We propose a Bayesian approach to inference, placing variable selection priors on the different components, and developing a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. A key component of our approach is the incorporation of a heredity constraint to only include interactions in the presence of main effects, effectively reducing dimensionality of the model search. We adapt a projection approach developed in the spatial statistics literature to enforce identifiability in modeling the nonparametric component using a Gaussian process. We also employ a dimension reduction strategy to sample the nonlinear random effects that aids the mixing of the MCMC algorithm. The proposed MixSelect framework is evaluated using a simulation study, and is illustrated using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Code is available on GitHub.
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