Research Interests for Robert L. Winkler

Areas of Interest:

Risk Analysis
Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Probability Forecasting
Combining Forecasts
Bayesian Inference

Recent Publications

1. Müller, A; Scarsini, M; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL, Multivariate Almost Stochastic Dominance: Transfer Characterizations and Sufficient Conditions Under Dependence Uncertainty, Operations Research, vol. 73 no. 2 (March, 2025), pp. 879-893 [doi] [abs]
2. Babic, B; Gaba, A; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL, RESOLUTE AND CORRELATED BAYESIANS, Philosophers Imprint, vol. 25 (January, 2025) [doi] [abs]
3. Babic, B; Gaba, A; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL, Normativity, Epistemic Rationality, and Noisy Statistical Evidence, British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, vol. 75 no. 1 (March, 2024), pp. 153-176 [doi] [abs]
4. Chen, Z; Gaba, A; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL, Evaluating quantile forecasts in the M5 uncertainty competition, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 38 no. 4 (October, 2022), pp. 1531-1545 [doi] [abs]
5. Makridakis, S; Spiliotis, E; Assimakopoulos, V; Chen, Z; Gaba, A; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL, The M5 uncertainty competition: Results, findings and conclusions, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 38 no. 4 (October, 2022), pp. 1365-1385 [doi] [abs]