Publications [#268090] of Henry Petroski

Papers Published

1. Petroski, H; Kayello, S, Measures and mismeasures of the applied mechanics literature, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 31 no. 4 (January, 1987), pp. 323-333, Elsevier BV, ISSN 0040-1625 [doi]
   (last updated on 2023/06/01)

   Abstract:
   A 1975 study of the archival literature of applied mechanics showed it to be following a classic growth pattern for a scientific field. The present study, with ten years' additional data, tests some extrapolations of the 1975 data and finds them wanting. How such well-behaved data can prove unreliable for forecasting is explored. © 1987.