Publications of Robert L. Winkler    :chronological  alphabetical  combined  bibtex listing:

Books

1. Winkler, RL; Makridakis, S; Andersen, A; Carbone, R; Fildes, R; Hibon, M; Lewandowski, R; Newton, J; Parzen, E. The Forecasting Accuracy of Major Time Series Method. Wiley, February, 2015.
2. Winkler, RL. An Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision. Probabilistic Pub, January, 2003. 452 pages pp.  [abs]
3. Winkler, RL; Maridakis, RL; Deplas, M. PSI: Programmes de Statistique Interactif. Les Editions d'Organisation, 1988.
4. Winkler, RL; Maridakis, S. ISP: Interactive Statistical Programs. West, 1986.
5. Winkler, RL. Statistical Methods. Edited by Harnett, DL.  1975.
6. Hays, WL; Winkler, RL. Statistics: probability, inference, and decision. Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1970. 650 pages pp.

Papers Published

1. Müller, A; Scarsini, M; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "Multivariate Almost Stochastic Dominance: Transfer Characterizations and Sufficient Conditions Under Dependence Uncertainty." Operations Research 73.2 (March, 2025): 879-893. [doi]  [abs]
2. Babic, B; Gaba, A; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "RESOLUTE AND CORRELATED BAYESIANS." Philosophers Imprint 25 (January, 2025). [doi]  [abs]
3. Babic, B; Gaba, A; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "Normativity, Epistemic Rationality, and Noisy Statistical Evidence." British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 75.1 (March, 2024): 153-176. [doi]  [abs]
4. Makridakis, S; Spiliotis, E; Assimakopoulos, V; Chen, Z; Gaba, A; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "The M5 uncertainty competition: Results, findings and conclusions." International Journal of Forecasting 38.4 (October, 2022): 1365-1385. [doi]  [abs]
5. Chen, Z; Gaba, A; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "Evaluating quantile forecasts in the M5 uncertainty competition." International Journal of Forecasting 38.4 (October, 2022): 1531-1545. [doi]  [abs]
6. Lichtendahl, KC; Grushka-Cockayne, Y; Jose, VR; Winkler, RL. "Extremizing and Antiextremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts." Operations Research 70.5 (September, 2022): 2998-3014. [doi]  [abs]
7. Müller, A; Scarsini, M; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "Technical Note—Ranking Distributions When Only Means and Variances Are Known." Operations Research 70.5 (September, 2022): 2851-2859. [doi]  [abs]
8. Petropoulos, F; Apiletti, D; Assimakopoulos, V; Babai, MZ; Barrow, DK; Ben Taieb, S; Bergmeir, C; Bessa, RJ; Bijak, J; Boylan, JE; Browell, J; Carnevale, C; Castle, JL; Cirillo, P; Clements, MP; Cordeiro, C; Cyrino Oliveira, FL; De Baets, S; Dokumentov, A; Ellison, J; Fiszeder, P; Franses, PH; Frazier, DT; Gilliland, M; Gönül, MS; Goodwin, P; Grossi, L; Grushka-Cockayne, Y; Guidolin, M; Gunter, U; Guo, X; Guseo, R; Harvey, N; Hendry, DF; Hollyman, R; Januschowski, T; Jeon, J; Jose, VRR; Kang, Y; Koehler, AB; Kolassa, S; Kourentzes, N; Leva, S; Li, F; Litsiou, K; Makridakis, S; Martin, GM; Martinez, AB; Meeran, S; Modis, T; Nikolopoulos, K; Önkal, D; Paccagnini, A; Panagiotelis, A; Panapakidis, I; Pavía, JM; Pedio, M; Pedregal, DJ; Pinson, P; Ramos, P; Rapach, DE; Reade, JJ; Rostami-Tabar, B; Rubaszek, M; Sermpinis, G; Shang, HL; Spiliotis, E; Syntetos, AA; Talagala, PD; Talagala, TS; Tashman, L; Thomakos, D; Thorarinsdottir, T; Todini, E; Trapero Arenas, JR; Wang, X; Winkler, RL; Yusupova, A; Ziel, F. "Forecasting: theory and practice." International Journal of Forecasting 38.3 (July, 2022): 705-871. [doi]  [abs]
9. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Probabilistic tornado forecasts: some experimental results.." (January, 2020).  [abs]
10. Lichtendahl, KC; Winkler, RL. "Why do some combinations perform better than others?." International Journal of Forecasting 36.1 (January, 2020): 142-149. [doi]  [abs]
11. Winkler, RL; Grushka-Cockayne, Y; Lichtendahl, KC; Jose, VRR. "Probability forecasts and their combination: A research perspective." Decision Analysis 16.4 (January, 2019): 239-260. [doi]  [abs]
12. Yao, Y; Vehtari, A; Simpson, D; Gelman, A. "Using Stacking to Average Bayesian Predictive Distributions (with Discussion)." Bayesian Analysis 13.3 (September, 2018): 917-1007. [doi]
13. Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "Multivariate Almost Stochastic Dominance." Journal of Risk and Insurance 85.2 (June, 2018): 431-445. [doi]  [abs]
14. McCardle, KF; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "When to abandon a research project and search for a new one." Operations Research 66.3 (May, 2018): 799-813. [doi]  [abs]
15. Müller, A; Scarsini, M; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "Between first- and second-order stochastic dominance." Management Science 63.9 (September, 2017): 2933-2947. [doi]  [abs]
16. Grushka-Cockayne, Y; Lichtendahl, KC; Jose, VRR; Winkler, RL. "Quantile evaluation, sensitivity to bracketing, and sharing business payoffs." Operations Research 65.3 (May, 2017): 712-728. [doi]  [abs]
17. Gaba, A; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "Combining interval forecasts." Decision Analysis 14.1 (March, 2017): 1-20. [doi]  [abs]
18. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Probabilistic tornado forecasts: some experimental results.." (January, 2017).  [abs]
19. Winkler, RL. "The importance of communicating uncertainties in forecasts: overestimating the risks from winter storm Juno.." Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis 35.3 (March, 2015): 349-353. [doi]
20. Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL; Huang, RJ; Tzeng, LY. "Generalized almost stochastic dominance." Operations Research 63.2 (March, 2015): 363-377. [doi]  [abs]
21. Winkler, RL. "Equal versus differential weighting in combining forecasts.." Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis 35.1 (January, 2015): 16-18. [doi]
22. Lichtendahl, KC; Grushka-Cockayne, Y; Winkler, RL. "Is it better to average probabilities or quantiles?." Management Science 59.7 (January, 2013): 1594-1611. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]  [abs]
23. Johnstone, DJ. "Log-Optimal Economic Evaluation of Probability Forecasts." Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society 175.3 (July, 2012): 661-689. [doi]  [abs]
24. Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "Multiattribute one-switch utility." Management Science 58.3 (March, 2012): 602-605. [doi]  [abs]
25. Belloni, A; Winkler, RL. "On multivariate quantiles under partial orders." The Annals of Statistics 39.2 (April, 2011): 1125-1179. [0912.5489v3], [doi]  [abs]
26. Johnstone, DJ; Jose, VRR; Winkler, RL. "Tailored scoring rules for probabilities." Decision Analysis 8.4 (January, 2011): 256-268. [doi]  [abs]
27. Winkler, RL; Jose, VRR. "Scoring Rules." Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science (January, 2010): 1-11. [doi]  [abs]
28. Nau, RF; Jose, VRR; Winkler, RL. "Duality between maximization of expected utility and minimization of relative entropy when probabilities are imprecise." Isipta 2009 Proceedings of the 6th International Symposium on Imprecise Probability Theories and Applications (December, 2009): 337-346. [Gateway.cgi]  [abs]
29. Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "Multiattribute utility satisfying a preference for combining good with bad." Management Science 55.12 (December, 2009): 1942-1952. [doi]  [abs]
30. Jose, VRR; Winkler, RL. "Evaluating quantile assessments." Operations Research 57.5 (September, 2009): 1287-1297. [doi]  [abs]
31. Jose, VRR; Nau, RF; Winkler, RL. "Sensitivity to distance and baseline distributions in forecast evaluation." Management Science 55.4 (April, 2009): 582-590. [doi]  [abs]
32. Jose, VRR; Nau, RF; Winkler, RL. "Scoring rules, generalized entropy, and utility maximization." Operations Research 56.5 (September, 2008): 1146-1157. [doi]  [abs]
33. Winkler, RL; Jose, VRR. "Comments on: Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds." Test 17.2 (August, 2008): 251-255. [doi]
34. Jose, VRR; Winkler, RL. "Simple robust averages of forecasts: Some empirical results." International Journal of Forecasting 24.1 (January, 2008): 163-169. [doi]  [abs]
35. Nau, R; Jose, VR; Winkler, R. "Scoring rules, entropy, and imprecise probabilities." Isipta 2007 Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Imprecise Probability Theories and Applications (December, 2007): 307-315.  [abs]
36. Lichtendahl, KC; Winkler, RL. "Probability elicitation, scoring rules, and competition among forecasters." Management Science 53.11 (November, 2007): 1745-1755. [doi]  [abs]
37. Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "Decision making with multiattribute performance targets: The impact of changes in performance and target distributions." Operations Research 55.2 (March, 2007): 226-233. [doi]  [abs]
38. Clemen, RT; Winkler, RL. "Aggregating probability distributions." Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications (January, 2007): 154-176. [doi]  [abs]
39. Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "On Equivalent Target-Oriented Formulations for Multiattribute Utility." Decision Analysis 3.2 (June, 2006): 94-99. [doi]  [abs]
40. Smith, JE; Winkler, RL. "The optimizer's curse: Skepticism and postdecision surprise in decision analysis." Management Science 52.3 (March, 2006): 311-322. [doi]  [abs]
41. Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "Risky choices and correlated background risk." Management Science 51.9 (September, 2005): 1336-1345. [doi]  [abs]
42. Winkler, RL; Smith, JE. "On uncertainty in medical testing.." Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making 24.6 (November, 2004): 654-658. [15534345], [doi]  [abs]
43. Tsetlin, I; Gaba, A; Winkler, RL. "Strategic choice of variability in multiround contests and contests with handicaps." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 29.2 (September, 2004): 143-158. [doi]  [abs]
44. Winkler, RL; Clemen, RT. "Multiple Experts vs. Multiple Methods: Combining Correlation Assessments." Decision Analysis 1.3 (September, 2004): 167-176. [doi]  [abs]
45. Gaba, A; Tsetlin, I; Winkler, RL. "Modifying variability and correlations in winner-take-all contests." Operations Research 52.3 (May, 2004): 384-496. [doi]  [abs]
46. Browne, RH; Winkler, RL. "Winkler, R. L., Smith, J. E., and Fryback, D. G. (2002), "The role of informative priors in zero-numerator problems: Being conservative versus being candid," the american statistician, 56, 1-4: Comments by browne [1] (multiple letters)." American Statistician 56.3 (August, 2002): 252-253. [doi]
47. Winkler, RL; Smith, JE; Fryback, DG. "The role of informative priors in zero-numerator problems: Being conservative versus being candid." American Statistician 56.1 (January, 2002): 1-4. [doi]  [abs]
48. Winkler, RL. "Why Bayesian analysis hasn't caught on in healthcare decision making.." International journal of technology assessment in health care 17.1 (January, 2001): 56-66. [11329845], [doi]  [abs]
49. Smith, JE; Winkler, RL; Fryback, DG. "The first positive: computing positive predictive value at the extremes.." Annals of internal medicine 132.10 (May, 2000): 804-809. [10819704], [doi]  [abs]
50. Clemen, RT; Fischer, GW; Winkler, RL. "Assessing dependence: some experimental results." Management Science 46.8 (January, 2000): 1100-1115. [doi]  [abs]
51. Clemen, RT; Winkler, RL. "Combining probability distributions from experts in risk analysis." Risk Analysis 19.2 (April, 1999): 187-203. [doi]  [abs]
52. Winkler, RL. "Evaluation of probabilities: A level playing field?." DECISION SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY: REFLECTIONS ON THE CONTRIBUTIONS OF WARD EDWARDS (January, 1999): 155-170. [Gateway.cgi]
53. Smith, JE; Winkler, RL. "Casey's problem: Interpreting and evaluating a new test." Interfaces 29.3 (January, 1999): 63-76. [doi]  [abs]
54. Boiney, LG; Winkler, RL; Sarin, RK; Matchar, DB. "Combining Patient Utility with Health Status Assessment to Improve Medical Decision Making." Journal of Multi‐Criteria Decision Analysis 5.4 (December, 1996): 248-258. [doi]  [abs]
55. Winkler, RL. "Uncertainty in probabilistic risk assessment." Reliability Engineering and System Safety 54.2-3 (November, 1996): 127-132. [doi]  [abs]
56. Abramson, B; Brown, J; Edwards, W; Murphy, A; Winkler, RL. "Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather." International Journal of Forecasting 12.1 (January, 1996): 57-71. [doi]  [abs]
57. Winkler, RL; Muñoz, J; Cervera, JL; Bernardo, JM; Blattenberger, G; Kadane, JB; Lindley, DV; Murphy, AH; Oliver, RM; Ríos-Insua, D. "Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities." Test 5.1 (January, 1996): 1-60. [doi]  [abs]
58. Boiney, LG; Winkler, RL; Sarin, RK; Matchar, DB. "Combining patient utility with health status assessment to improve medical decision making." Journal of Multi Criteria Decision Analysis 5.4 (January, 1996): 248-258. [doi]  [abs]
59. Dawid, AP; DeGroot, MH; Mortera, J; Cooke, R; French, S; Genest, C; Schervish, MJ; Lindley, DV; McConway, KJ; Winkler, RL. "Coherent combination of experts' opinions." Test 4.2 (December, 1995): 263-313. [doi]  [abs]
60. Gaba, A; Winkler, RL. "The impact of testing errors on value of information: A quality-control example." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 10.1 (January, 1995): 5-13. [doi]  [abs]
61. Winkler, RL; Wallsten, TS; Whitfield, RG; Richmond, HM; Hayes, SR; Rosenbaum, AS. "Assessment of the risk of chronic lung injury attributable to long-term ozone exposure." Operations Research 43.1 (January, 1995): 19-28. [doi]  [abs]
62. Clemen, RT; Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Screening probability forecasts: contrasts between choosing and combining." International Journal of Forecasting 11.1 (January, 1995): 133-145. [doi]  [abs]
63. Winkler, RL. "Evaluating Probabilities: Asymmetric Scoring Rules." Management Science 40.11 (November, 1994): 1395-1405. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]  [abs]
64. WINKLER, RL. "VALUED-FOCUSED THINKING." SLOAN MANAGEMENT REVIEW 36.1 (September, 1994): 5-5. [Gateway.cgi]
65. Kadane, JB; Girón, J; Peña, D; Fishburn, P; French, S; Lindley, DV; Parmigiani, G; Winkler, RL. "Several Bayesians: A review." Test 2.1-2 (December, 1993): 1-32. [doi]  [abs]
66. Winkler, RL; Poses, RM. "Evaluating and combining physicians' probabilities of survival in an intensive care unit." Management Science 39.12 (January, 1993): 1526-1543. [doi]  [abs]
67. Clemen, RT; Winkler, RL. "Aggregating point estimates. A flexible modeling approach." Management Science 39.4 (January, 1993): 501-516. [doi]  [abs]
68. Winkler, RL. "Several Bayesians: Multiple-Person Problems." TEST 2.1-2 (1993): 25-29.
69. Sarin, RK; Winkler, RL. "Ambiguity and decision modeling: A preference-based approach." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 5.4 (October, 1992): 389-407. [doi]  [abs]
70. Gaba, A; Winkler, RL. "Implications of Errors in Survey Data: A Bayesian Model." Management Science 38.7 (July, 1992): 913-925. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]  [abs]
71. Winkler, RL; Clemen, RT. "Sensitivity of Weights in Combining Forecasts." Operations Research 40.3 (June, 1992): 609-614. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]  [abs]
72. McCardle, KF; Winkler, RL. "Repeated Gambles, Learning, and Risk Aversion." Management Science 38.6 (June, 1992): 807-818. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]  [abs]
73. Winkler, RL; Murphy, AH. "On seeking a best performance measure or a best forecasting method." International Journal of Forecasting 8.1 (January, 1992): 104-107. [doi]
74. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Diagnostic verification of probability forecasts." International Journal of Forecasting 7.4 (January, 1992): 435-455. [doi]  [abs]
75. Miller, CM; Clemen, RT; Winkler, RL. "The effect of nonstationarity on combined forecasts." International Journal of Forecasting 7.4 (January, 1992): 515-529. [doi]  [abs]
76. Winkler, RL. "Ambiguity, probability, preference, and decision analysis." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 4.3 (July, 1991): 285-297. [doi]  [abs]
77. WEST, M; WINKLER, RL. "DATA-BASE ERROR TRAPPING AND PREDICTION." JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION 86.416 (1991): 987-996. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]  [abs]
78. Poses, RM; Bekes, C; Winkler, RL; Scott, WE; Copare, FJ. "Are two (inexperienced) heads better than one (experienced) head? Averaging house officers' prognostic judgments for critically ill patients.." Archives of internal medicine 150.9 (September, 1990): 1874-1878. [doi]  [abs]
79. Clemen, RT; Winkler, RL. "Unanimity and Compromise Among Probability Forecasters." Management Science 36.7 (July, 1990): 767-779. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]  [abs]
80. Winkler, RL. "Decision Modeling and Rational Choice: AHP and Utility Theory." Management Science 36.3 (March, 1990): 247-248. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]
81. Edwards, W; Schum, DA; Winkler, RL. "Murder and (of?) the likelihood principle: A Trialogue." Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 3.2 (January, 1990): 75-89. [doi]  [abs]
82. Winkler, RL. "Representing and Communicating Uncertainty." Statistical Science 5.1 (1990): 26-30. [doi]
83. Haves, SR; Rosenbaum, AS; Wallsten, TS; Whitfield, RG; Winkler, RL; Richmond, H. "A health risk assessment for use in setting the U.S. primary ozone standard." Studies in Environmental Science 35.C (December, 1989): 851-867. [doi]  [abs]
84. Winkler, RL. "Uncertainty about processes that shift over time: Modeling and analysis." Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 7.4 (January, 1989): 419-422. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]
85. MAKRIDAKIS, S; WINKLER, RL. "SAMPLING DISTRIBUTIONS OF POST-SAMPLE FORECASTING ERRORS." JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES C-APPLIED STATISTICS 38.2 (January, 1989): 331-342. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]
86. Winkler, RL. "Combining forecasts: A philosophical basis and some current issues." International Journal of Forecasting 5.4 (January, 1989): 605-609. [doi]  [abs]
87. McCardle, KF; Winkler, RL. "All Roads Lead to Risk Preference: A Turnpike Theorem for Conditionally Independent Returns." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 24.1 (January, 1989): 13-28. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]  [abs]
88. Kadane, JB; Winkler, RL. "Separating probability elicitation from utilities." Journal of the American Statistical Association 83.402 (January, 1988): 357-363. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]  [abs]
89. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "A general framework for forecast verification." Monthly Weather Review 115.7 (January, 1987): 1330-1338. [doi]  [abs]
90. Winkler, RL. "Expert Resolution." Management Science 32.3 (March, 1986): 298-303. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]  [abs]
91. Winkler, RL. "Comment." Statistical Science 1.1 (January, 1986): 138-140. [doi]
92. Conroy, RM; Winkler, RL. "Market structure. The specialist as dealer and broker." Journal of Banking and Finance 10.1 (January, 1986): 21-36. [doi]  [abs]
93. Clemen, RT; Winkler, RL. "Combining Economic Forecasts." Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 4.1 (January, 1986): 39-39. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]  [abs]
94. Clemen, RT; Winkler, RL. "Combining economic forecasts." Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 4.1 (January, 1986): 39-46. [doi]  [abs]
95. Murphy, AH; Katz, RW; Winkler, RL; Hsu, W-R. "Repetitive Decision Making and the Value of Forecasts in the Cost‐Loss Ratio Situation: A Dynamic Model." Monthly Weather Review 113.5 (May, 1985): 801-813. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]
96. Winkler, RL. "Comment: Bayesian model building and forecasting." Journal of the American Statistical Association 80.389 (January, 1985): 95. [doi]
97. Murphy, AH; Wu-Ron Hsu; Winkler, RL; Wilks, DS. "The use of probabilities in subjective quantitative precipitation forecasts: some experimental results.." Monthly Weather Review 113.12 (January, 1985): 2075-2089. [doi]  [abs]
98. Cohen, MD; Huber, G; Keeney, RL; Levis, AH; Lopes, LL; Sage, AP; Sen, S; Whinston, AB; Winkler, RL; Von Winterfeldt, D; Zadeh, L. "Research Needs and the Phenomena of Decisionmaking and Operations." IEEE Transactions on Systems Man and Cybernetics SMC-15.6 (January, 1985): 764-775. [doi]  [abs]
99. Keeney, RL; Winkler, RL. "EVALUATING DECISION STRATEGIES FOR EQUITY OF PUBLIC RISKS.." Operations Research 33.5 (January, 1985): 955-970. [doi]  [abs]
100. Clemen, RT; Winkler, RL. "LIMITS FOR THE PRECISION AND VALUE OF INFORMATION FROM DEPENDENT SOURCES.." Operations Research 33.2 (January, 1985): 427-442. [doi]  [abs]
101. Keeney, RL; Sarin, RK; Winkler, RL. "Analysis of alternative national ambient carbon monoxide standards." Management Science 30.4 (January, 1984): 518-528. [doi]  [abs]
102. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Probability forecasting in meteorology." Journal of the American Statistical Association 79.387 (January, 1984): 489-500. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]  [abs]
103. Keeney, RL; Sarin, RK; Winkler, RL. "RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR THE STUDY OF ALTERNATIVE NATIONAL AMBIENT CARBON MONOXIDE STANDARDS.." Proceedings Annual Meeting Air Pollution Control Association 1 (December, 1983).
104. Goss, DA; Winkler, RL. "Progression of myopia in youth: age of cessation.." American journal of optometry and physiological optics 60.8 (August, 1983): 651-658. [doi]  [abs]
105. Goss, DA; Winkler, RL. "Progression of myopia in youth: Age of cessation." Optometry and Vision Science 60.8 (January, 1983): 651-658.  [abs]
106. Makridakis, S; Winkler, RL. "AVERAGES OF FORECASTS: SOME EMPIRICAL RESULTS.." Management Science 29.7 (January, 1983): 987-996. [doi]  [abs]
107. Winkler, RL; Murphy, AH; Katz, RW. "The value of climate information: A decision‐analytic approach." Journal of Climatology 3.2 (January, 1983): 187-197. [doi]  [abs]
108. Winkler, RL. "The Effects of Combining Forecasts and the Improvement of the Overall Forecasting Process." Journal of Forecasting 2 (1983): 293-294.
109. Winkler, RL; Makridakis, S. "The Combination of Forecasts." Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General) 146.2 (1983): 150-157.
110. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Subjective Probabilistic Tornado Forecasts: Some Experimental Results." Monthly Weather Review 110.9 (September, 1982): 1288-1297. [doi]
111. Katz, RW; Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Assessing the value of frost forecasts to orchardists: a dynamic decision-making approach.." Journal of Applied Meteorology 21.4 (January, 1982): 518-531. [doi]  [abs]
112. Harpaz, G; Lee, W; Winkler, RL. "LEARNING, EXPERIMENTATION, AND THE OPTIMAL OUTPUT DECISIONS OF A COMPETITIVE FIRM.." Management Science 28.6 (January, 1982): 589-603. [doi]  [abs]
113. Winkler, RL. "State of the Art: RESEARCH DIRECTIONS IN DECISION MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY." Decision Sciences 13.4 (January, 1982): 517-533. [doi]  [abs]
114. Winkler, RL; Makridakis, S; Andersen, A; Carbone, R; Fildes, R; Hibon, M; Lewandowski, R; Newton, J; Parzen, E. "The Accuracy of Extrapolation (Time Series) Methods: Results of a Forecasting Competition." Journal of Forecasting 1.2 (1982): 111-153. [doi]  [abs]
115. Winkler, RL. "Combining Probability Distributions from Dependent Information Sources." Management Science 27.4 (April, 1981): 479-488. [doi]  [abs]
116. Winkler, RL; Sarin, RK. "Risk assessment: consulting the experts.." Environmental Professional 3.3-4 (January, 1981): 265-276.  [abs]
117. Conroy, RM; Winkler, RL. "Informational Differences Between Limit and Market Orders for a Market Maker." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 16.5 (January, 1981): 703-724. [Gateway.cgi], [doi]
118. Eliashberg, J; Winkler, RL. "RISK SHARING AND GROUP DECISION MAKING.." Management Science 27.11 (January, 1981): 1221-1235. [doi]  [abs]
119. Murphy, AH; Lichtenstein, S; Fischhoff, B; Winkler, RL. "Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts ( Eugene, Oregon).." 61.7 (December, 1980).  [abs]
120. Sarin, RK; Winkler, RL. "Performance-Based Incentive Plans." Management Science 26.11 (November, 1980): 1131-1144. [doi]  [abs]
121. Winkler, RL; Brooks, DG. "Competitive Bidding with Dependent Value Estimates." Operations Research 28.3-part-i (June, 1980): 603-613. [doi]  [abs]
122. Murphy, AH; Lichtenstein, S; Fischhoff, B; Winkler, RL. "Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts ( Eugene, Oregon).." Bulletin American Meteorological Society 61.7 (January, 1980).  [abs]
123. Kadane, JB; Dickey, JM; Winkler, RL; Smith, WS; Peters, SC. "Interactive elicitation of opinion for a normal linear model." Journal of the American Statistical Association 75.372 (January, 1980): 845-854. [doi]  [abs]
124. Murphy, AH; Lichtenstein, S; Fischhoff, B; Winkler, RL. "Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts ( Eugene, Oregon).." undefined (January, 1980).  [abs]
125. Winkler, RL; Murphy, AH. "Subjective quantification of uncertainty in tornado forecasts: Some experimental results.." undefined (January, 1979).  [abs]
126. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Problabilistic temperature forecasts: the case for an operational program.." Bulletin American Meteorological Society 60.1 (January, 1979): 12-19.  [abs]
127. Winkler, RL; Murphy, AH. "The use of probabilities in forecasts of maximum and minimum temperatures.." Meteorological Magazine 108.1288 (January, 1979): 317-329.  [abs]
128. Winkler, RL; Franklin, LA. "Warner’s randomized response model: A Bayesian approach." Journal of the American Statistical Association 74.365 (January, 1979): 207-214. [doi]  [abs]
129. Winkler, RL. "Comment." American Statistician 32.2 (January, 1978): 54-56. [doi]
130. Eliashberg, J; Winkler, RL. "ROLE OF ATTITUDE TOWARD RISK IN STRICTLY COMPETITIVE DECISION-MAKING SITUATIONS.." undefined 24.12 (January, 1978): 1231-1241. [doi]  [abs]
131. Winkler, RL. "Statisticians Can Matter: Comment." The American statistician 32.2 (1978): 54-56. [doi]
132. Winkler, RL; Murphy, AH. "Can Weather Forecasters Formulate Reliable Probability Forecasts for a Forecast Area with Significant Local Effects." National Weather Digest 2.2 (1977): 2-9.
133. Winkler, RL; Murphy, AH. "Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature." Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics) 26.1 (1977): 41-47.
134. Winkler, RL; Murphy, AH. "Experimental Point and Area Precipitation Probability Forecasts for a Forecast Area with Significant Local Effects." Atmosphere 15.2 (1977): 61-78. [doi]  [abs]
135. Matheson, JE; Winkler, RL. "SCORING RULES FOR CONTINUOUS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS.." Management Science 22.10 (January, 1976): 1087-1096. [doi]  [abs]
136. Jaffe, JF; Winkler, RL. "OPTIMAL SPECULATION AGAINST AN EFFICIENT MARKET." Journal of Finance 31.1 (January, 1976): 49-61. [doi]
137. Winkler, RL; Murphy, AH. "Point and Area Precipitation Probability Forecasts: Some Experimental Results." Monthly Weather Review 104.1 (January, 1976): 86-95. [doi]
138. Barry, CB; Winkler, RL. "Nohstationarity and portfolio choice." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 11.2 (January, 1976): 217-235. [doi]
139. Winkler, RL; Barry, CB. "Nonstationarity and Portfolio Choice." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 11.2 (1976): 217-235. [doi]
140. Marschak, J; Degroot, MH; Borch, K; Chernoff, H; De Groot, M; Dorfman, R; Edwards, W; Ferguson, TS; Miyasawa, K; Randolph, P; Savage, LJ; Schlaifer, R; Winkler, RL. "Personal probabilities of probabilities." Theory and Decision 6.2 (May, 1975): 121-153. [doi]  [abs]
141. Winkler, RL. "Comment." Journal of the American Statistical Association 70.350 (January, 1975): 290-291. [doi]
142. Winkler, RL; Barry, CB. "A BAYESIAN MODEL FOR PORTFOLIO SELECTION AND REVISION." Journal of Finance 30.1 (January, 1975): 179-192. [doi]
143. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Probabilistic tornado forecasts: some experimental results.." undefined (January, 1975).  [abs]
144. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Probability Forecasts: a Survey of National Weather Service Forecasters." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 55.12 (December, 1974): 1449-1452. [doi]
145. Britney, RR; Winkler, RL. "Bayesian point estimation and prediction." Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 26.1 (December, 1974): 15-34. [doi]  [abs]
146. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Credible Interval Temperature Forecasting: Some Experimental Results." Monthly Weather Review 102.11 (November, 1974): 784-794. [doi]
147. Winkler, RL. "Information Aggregation in Probabilistic Prediction." IEEE Transactions on Systems Man and Cybernetics SMC-3.2 (January, 1973): 154-160. [doi]  [abs]
148. Winkler, RL; Murphy, AH. "Experiments in the laboratory and the real world." Organizational Behavior and Human Performance 10.2 (January, 1973): 252-270. [doi]  [abs]
149. Winkler, RL. "Bayesianism: Its Unifying Role for Both the Foundations and the Applications of Statistics: Comments." Bulleting of the International Statistical Institute 45.4 (1973): 375-375.
150. Winkler, RL; Murphy, AH. "Subjective Probability Forecasting of Temperature: Some Experimental Results." Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute 45.2 (1973): 247-268.
151. Winkler, RL. "Bayesian Models for Forecasting Future Security Prices." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 8 (1973): 387-405.
152. Winkler, RL; Roodman, GM; Britney, RR. "The Determination of Partial Moments." Management Science 19.3 (November, 1972): 290-296. [doi]  [abs]
153. Winkler, RL. "Comment." Journal of the American Statistical Association 67.338 (January, 1972): 376-378. [doi]
154. Winkler, RL. "A decision-theoretic approach to interval estimation." Journal of the American Statistical Association 67.337 (January, 1972): 187-191. [doi]  [abs]
155. Winkler, RL; Cummings, LL. "On the choice of a consensus distribution in Bayesian analysis." Organizational Behavior and Human Performance 7.1 (January, 1972): 63-76. [doi]  [abs]
156. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Forecasters and Probability Forecasts: Some Current Problems." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 52.4 (April, 1971): 239-248. [doi]
157. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Forecasters and Probability Forecasts: the Responses to a Questionnaire." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 52.3 (March, 1971): 158-166. [doi]
158. Winkler, RL. "Probabilistic prediction: Some experimental results." Journal of the American Statistical Association 66.336 (January, 1971): 675-685. [doi]  [abs]
159. Murphy, AH; Winkler, RL. "Scoring rules in probability assessment and evaluation." Acta Psychologica 34.C (January, 1970): 273-286. [doi]  [abs]
160. WINKLER RL; MURPHY AH. "NONLINEAR UTILITY AND THE PROBABILITY SCORE." Journal of Applied Meteorology 9.1 (January, 1970): 143-148.  [abs]
161. Winkler, RL. "Intuitive bayesian point estimation." Organizational Behavior and Human Performance 5.5 (January, 1970): 417-429. [doi]  [abs]
162. Winkler, RL. "Tables of the nth Order Partial Moments about the Origin for the Standard Normal Distribution, n=1(1)6." Mathematics of Computation 24 (1970): 995-995.
163. Winkler, RL. "Scoring Rules and the Evaluation of Probability Assessors." Journal of the American Statistical Association 64.3 (1969): 1073-1078. [doi]  [abs]
164. Winkler, RL; Murphy, AH. "“Good” Probability Assessors." Journal of Applied Meteorology 7.5 (October, 1968): 751-758. [doi]
165. Winkler, RL. "The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions." Management Science 15.2 (October, 1968): B-61-B-75. [doi]  [abs]
166. Winkler, RL. "The Quantification of Judgment: Some Methodological Suggestions." Journal of the American Statistical Association 62.320 (January, 1967): 1105-1120. [doi]  [abs]
167. Winkler, RL. "The Assessment of Prior Distributions in Bayesian Analysis." Journal of the American Statistical Association 62.319 (January, 1967): 776-800. [doi]  [abs]